1.Analysis and projection of the disease burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China based on the GBD database.
Yexun SONG ; Xiajing LIU ; Yongquan ZHANG ; Heqing LI
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(4):675-683
OBJECTIVES:
Nasopharyngeal carcinoma is often diagnosed at a late stage due to its concealed location and exhibits marked regional clustering, posing a significant public health challenge in China. This study aims to analyze the disease burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China using the latest 2021 Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) database, providing epidemiological evidence for precise prevention and control of nasopharyngeal carcinoma.
METHODS:
Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), mortality rate, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate were used as indicators of disease burden. Stratified analyses were conducted by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and relevant risk factors. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model were employed to project ASIR trends through 2050.
RESULTS:
In 2021, China's age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALY rates of nasopharyngeal carcinoma were 3.4/100 000, 1.5/100 000, and 48.7/100 000, respectively, all higher than the global average. Across all age groups, Chinese males exhibited higher ASIR, mortality, and DALY rates than females. From 1990 to 2021, the disease burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China decreased gradually with rising SDI. The proportion of nasopharyngeal carcinoma burden attributed to alcohol consumption, smoking, and occupational formaldehyde exposure in China exceeded global levels, especially among males. Projections from both models indicate a rising trend in ASIR for males, females, and the general population in China and globally from 2022 to 2050.
CONCLUSIONS
Over the past 30 years, the disease burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China has decreased with the increasing SDI values but remains higher than the global average. Furthermore, ASIR is projected to increase over the next 30 years. It is imperative for China to enhance healthcare resource allocation for nasopharyngeal carcinoma prevention, diagnosis, and treatment, particularly among high-risk male populations.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma/mortality*
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Adult
;
Incidence
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Adolescent
;
Databases, Factual
;
Young Adult
;
Cost of Illness
;
Child
;
Bayes Theorem
2.Clinical characteristics and prognosis analysis of 108 cases of recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma from a single center.
Qing WANG ; Fusheng LIN ; Ran ZHANG ; Lin GAO ; Xingqian ZHAO ; Jie YANG ; Xiaojiang LI
Journal of Clinical Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2025;39(8):743-748
Objective:Retrospective analysis of the correlation between clinicopathologic features and related indexes and prognosis in patients with recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Methods:One hundred and eight nasopharyngeal cancer(NPC) patients with post-treatment recurrence in Yunnan Cancer Hospital from January 2013 to January 2018 were collected, and the survival time was estimated by Kaplan-Meier method, and clinicopathological characteristics were analyzed by log-rank test; risk factors and prognosis were analyzed by Cox proportional risk model for single-factor and multifactorial analysis. A P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results:The median survival of all patients was 54 months, with a 3-year survival rate of 80.2% and a 5-year survival rate of 39.8%. The 5-year overall survival rate was 50.2% for patients >46 years old and 27.9% for patients ≤46 years old(P<0.05), a statistically significant difference. Univariate analysis showed that overall survival was associated with age, chemotherapy regimen, EBV early antigen IgA, plasma D-dimer, glycan antigen-125, γ-interferon, α-tumor necrosis factor, IL-10, and IL-4(P<0.05). Multifactorial analysis revealed that age, chemotherapy regimen, EBV early antigen IgA, plasma D-dimer, glycan antigen-125, and interleukin 10 were independent influences on the prognosis of recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma(P<0.05). Conclusion:Differences in chemotherapy regimens affect the prognosis of recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Elevated plasma D-dimer, glycan antigen 125, and interleukin 10 levels affect the overall survival of recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma, which may be a valid independent prognostic factor, and are expected to provide new biomarkers for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in the clinic.
Humans
;
Prognosis
;
Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Female
;
Survival Rate
;
Adult
;
Risk Factors
;
Interleukin-10/blood*
;
Aged
;
Proportional Hazards Models
3.Changes in Esophageal Cancer Survival: A Global Review of Survival Analysis from Cancer Registration Data over the Past Three Decades.
Zhuo Jun YE ; Dan Ni YANG ; Yu JIANG ; Yu Xuan XIAO ; Zhuo Ying LI ; Yu Ting TAN ; Hui Yun YUAN ; Yong Bing XIANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(5):571-584
OBJECTIVE:
To describe survival trends and global patterns of esophageal cancer (EC) using survival data from population-based cancer registries.
METHODS:
We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, SEER, and SinoMed databases for articles published up to 31 December 2023. Eligible EC survival estimates were evaluated according to country or region, period, sex, age group, pathology, and disease stage.
RESULTS:
After 2010, Jordan exhibited the highest age-standardized 5-year relative survival rates (RSRs)/net survival rates (NSRs) at 41.1% between 2010 and 2014, while India had the lowest, at 4.1%. Survival rates generally improved with diagnostic age across most countries, with significant increases in South Korea and China, of 12.7% and 10.5% between 2000 and 2017, respectively. Survival was higher among women compared to men, ranging from 0.4%-10.9%. Survival rates for adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma were similar, differing by about 4%. In China, the highest age-standardized RSRs/NSRs was 33.4% between 2015 and 2017. Meanwhile, the lowest was 5.3%, in Qidong (Jiangsu province) between 1992-1996.
CONCLUSION
Global EC survival rates have improved significantly in recent decades, but substantial geographical, sex, and age disparities still exist. In Asia, squamous cell carcinoma demonstrated superior survival rates compared to adenocarcinoma, while the opposite trend was observed in Western countries. Future research should clarify the prognostic factors influencing EC survival and tailor prevention and screening strategies to the changing EC survival patterns.
Humans
;
Esophageal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Registries
;
Male
;
Female
;
Survival Analysis
;
Middle Aged
;
Survival Rate
;
Aged
;
Global Health
4.Association of Dietary Preferences with All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality: Prospective Cohort Study of 1,160,312 Adults in China.
Wen Ru SHI ; Si Tong WEI ; Qing Mei HUANG ; Huan CHEN ; Dong SHEN ; Bo Feng ZHU ; Chen MAO
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(9):1120-1128
OBJECTIVE:
Although dietary preferences influence chronic diseases, few studies have linked dietary preferences to mortality risk, particularly in large cohorts. To investigate the relationship between dietary preferences and mortality risk (all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular disease [CVD]) in a large adult cohort.
METHODS:
A cohort of 1,160,312 adults (mean age 62.48 ± 9.55) from the Shenzhen Healthcare Big Data Cohort (SHBDC) was analyzed. Hazard ratios ( HRs) for mortality were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model.
RESULTS:
The study identified 12,308 all-cause deaths, of which 3,865 (31.4%) were cancer-related and 3,576 (29.1%) were attributed to CVD. Compared with a mixed diet of meat and vegetables, a mainly meat-based diet (hazard ratio [ HR] = 1.13; 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.02, 1.27) associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality, while mainly vegetarian ( HR = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.78, 0.97) was linked to a reduced risk. Furthermore, there was a stronger correlation between mortality risk and dietary preference in the > 65 age range.
CONCLUSION
A meat-based diet was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, whereas a mainly vegetarian diet was linked to a reduced risk.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
Prospective Studies
;
Aged
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality*
;
Diet/statistics & numerical data*
;
Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Adult
;
Cause of Death
;
Food Preferences
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Mortality
;
Cohort Studies
5.Analysis of Influencing Factors of Death in the Elderly With Coronavirus Disease 2019 Based on Propensity Score Matching.
Ying CHEN ; Hai-Ping HUANG ; Xin LI ; Si-Jie CHAI ; Jia-Li YE ; Ding-Zi ZHOU ; Tao ZHANG
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(3):375-381
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of death in the elderly with coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19).Methods The case data of death caused by COVID-19 in West China Fourth Hospital from January 1 to July 8,2023 were collected,and surviving cases from the West China Elderly Health Cohort infected with COVID-19 during the same period were selected as the control.LASSO-Logistic regression was adopted to analyze the data after propensity score matching and the validity of the model was verified by drawing the receiver operating characteristic curve.Results A total of 3 239 COVID-19 survivors and 142 deaths with COVID-19 were included.The results of LASSO-Logistic regression showed that smoking(OR=3.33,95%CI=1.46-7.59,P=0.004),stroke(OR=3.55,95%CI=1.15-10.30,P=0.022),malignant tumors(OR=19.93, 95%CI=8.52-49.23, P<0.001),coronary heart disease(OR=7.68, 95%CI=3.52-17.07, P<0.001),fever(OR=0.51, 95%CI=0.26-0.96, P=0.042),difficulty breathing or asthma symptoms(OR=21.48, 95%CI=9.44-51.95, P<0.001),and vomiting(OR=8.19,95%CI=2.87-23.58, P<0.001)increased the risk of death with COVID-19.The prediction model constructed based on the influencing factors achieved an area under the curve of 0.889 in the test set.Conclusions Smoking,stroke,malignant tumors,coronary heart disease,fever,breathing difficulty or asthma symptoms,and vomiting were identified as key factors influencing the death risk in COVID-19.
Humans
;
COVID-19/mortality*
;
Aged
;
Propensity Score
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Logistic Models
;
Smoking
;
SARS-CoV-2
;
Male
;
Female
;
Stroke
;
Neoplasms
6.Evaluating the impact of relative dose intensity on efficacy of trastuzumab deruxtecan for metastatic breast cancer in the real-world clinical setting.
Han Yi LEE ; Vivianne SHIH ; Jack Junjie CHAN ; Shun Zi LIONG ; Ryan Shea Ying Cong TAN ; Jun MA ; Bernard Ji Guang CHUA ; Joshua Zhi Chien TAN ; Chuan Yaw LEE ; Wei Ling TEO ; Su-Ming TAN ; Phyu NITAR ; Yoon Sim YAP ; Mabel WONG ; Rebecca DENT ; Fuh Yong WONG ; Tira J TAN
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(8):458-466
INTRODUCTION:
Trastuzumab deruxtecan (T-DXd) has revolutionised treatment for metastatic breast cancer (MBC). While effective, its high cost and toxicities, such as fatigue and nausea, pose challenges.
METHOD:
Medical records from the Joint Breast Cancer Registry in Singapore were used to study MBC patients treated with T-DXd (February 2021-June 2024). This study was conducted to address whether reducing dose intensity and density may have an adverse effect on treatment outcomes.
RESULTS:
Eighty-seven MBC patients were treated with T-DXd, with a median age of 59 years. At the time of data cutoff, 32.1% of patients were still receiving T-DXd. Over half (54%) of the patients received treatment with an initial relative dose intensity (RDI) of <;85%. Overall median real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) was 8.1 months. rwPFS was similar between RDI groups (<85%: 8.7 months, <85%: 8.1 months, P=0.62). However, human epidermal growth receptor 2 (HER2)-positive patients showed significantly better rwPFS outcomes compared to HER2-low patients (8.8 versus 2.5 months, P<0.001). Only 16% with central nervous system (CNS) involvement had CNS progressive disease on treatment. No significant progression-free survival (PFS) differences were found between patients with or without CNS disease, regardless of RDI groups. Five patients (5.7%) developed interstitial lung disease (ILD), with 3 (3.4%) having grade 3 events. Two required high-dose steroids and none were rechallenged after ILD. There were no fatalities.
CONCLUSION
Our study demonstrated that reduced dose intensity and density had no significant impact on rwPFS or treatment-related toxicities. Furthermore, only 5.7% of patients developed ILD. T-Dxd provided good control of CNS disease, with 82% of patients achieving CNS disease control.
Humans
;
Female
;
Breast Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Middle Aged
;
Trastuzumab/adverse effects*
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
;
Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/adverse effects*
;
Camptothecin/adverse effects*
;
Immunoconjugates/adverse effects*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Progression-Free Survival
;
Receptor, ErbB-2/metabolism*
;
Neoplasm Metastasis
;
Dose-Response Relationship, Drug
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Registries
7.Effect of Huaier granule on prognosis of breast cancer: A single-center propensity score matching retrospective study.
Qianqian GUO ; Yuting PENG ; Ge ZHANG ; Huan LIN ; Qianjun CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(1):93-98
BACKGROUND:
Huaier granule is an important medicinal fungus extract widely used in cancer treatment. Previous retrospective studies have reported its effectiveness in breast cancer patients, but the imbalanced baseline characteristics of participants could have biased the results. Therefore, this retrospective study aimed to examine the efficacy of Huaier granule on the prognosis of breast cancer patients.
METHODS:
In this single-center cohort study, breast cancer patients diagnosed and treated at the Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine between 2009 and 2017 were selected. The data were retrospectively analyzed and divided into two groups according to whether the patients received Huaier granules. The propensity score matching (PSM) method was used to eliminate selection bias. The disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) for these groups were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox regression.
RESULTS:
This study included 214 early invasive breast cancer patients, 107 in the Huaier group and 107 in the control group. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, the 2-year and 5-year DFS rates were significantly different in the Huaier group and control group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.495; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.257-0.953; P = 0.023). The 2-year and 5-year OS rates were also significantly different (HR, 0.308; 95% CI, 0.148-0.644; P = 0.001). On multivariable Cox regression, Huaier granule was associated with improved DFS (HR, 0.440; 95% CI, 0.223-0.868; P = 0.018) and OS (HR, 0.236; 95% CI, 0.103-0.540; P = 0.001).
CONCLUSION
In this retrospective study, Huaier granules improved the DFS and OS of early invasive breast cancer patients, providing real-world evidence for further prospective studies on treating breast cancer with Huaier granules.
Humans
;
Breast Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Female
;
Propensity Score
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Prognosis
;
Disease-Free Survival
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Aged
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Complex Mixtures/therapeutic use*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Trametes
8.Stomach cancer epidemic in Chinese mainland: Current trends and future predictions.
Wenxuan ZHU ; Wanyue DONG ; Yunning LIU ; Ruhai BAI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(2):205-212
BACKGROUND:
China is one of the countries with the highest burdens of stomach cancer. The objective of this study was to analyze long-term trends in the incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in Chinese mainland from 1990 to 2019 and to make projections until 2030.
METHODS:
Data on stomach cancer were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. Population data were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 and World Population Prospects 2019. An age-period-cohort framework and decomposition analysis were used in this study.
RESULTS:
The net drift for the incidence of stomach cancer was 0.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0, 0.4%) per year for men and -1.8% (95% CI: -2.0%, -1.6%) for women. The net drift for mortality was -1.6% (95% CI: -1.8%, -1.3%) per year for men and -3.3% (95% CI: -3.5%, -3.1%) for women. In the last 10-15 years, the risk of stomach cancer occurrence and death has continued to decline for both sexes. Regarding birth cohorts, although the risk of stomach cancer death decreased in general among women and men born after 1920, the risk of occurrence increased in recent birth cohorts (men born after 1970 and women born after 1985). It is expected that the age-standardized incidence will increase among men and decrease among women, and age-standardized mortality will decrease for both sexes. The largest contributor to the projected increase in incident cases and deaths is population aging, and elderly individuals are projected to have an increased proportion of occurrence and death.
CONCLUSIONS
In the past three decades, the incidence of stomach cancer among men has increased in Chinese mainland, and this trend is projected to continue. Aging will be the main contributor to future increased stomach cancer occurrence and deaths. To reduce the health impact of stomach cancer, more efforts are needed.
Adult
;
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Incidence
;
Stomach Neoplasms/mortality*
9.Recent global patterns in skin cancer incidence, mortality, and prevalence.
Mingyue WANG ; Xinghua GAO ; Li ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(2):185-192
BACKGROUND:
Skin cancer is a common skin disease whose incidence and mortality rates have been showing yearly increases. In this report, we update the most recent data on skin cancer as obtained from GLOBOCAN 2022.
METHODS:
The incidence and mortality rates of skin cancer (melanoma of skin and non-melanoma skin cancer) in GLOBOCAN 2022 were reviewed. These data were analyzed and the characteristics of incidence and mortality across five continents and top five countries and regions in each continent are presented. In addition, correlations between Human Development Index (HDI) and age-standardized incidence and mortality rates of these two skin cancers are described.
RESULTS:
The GLOBOCAN 2022 data indicated that melanoma was the 17th most common cancer. An estimated 331,722 people were diagnosed with melanoma globally and approximately 58,667 died from this disease. For non-melanoma skin cancer, it ranks as the 5th most common cancer, and an estimated 1,234,533 people were diagnosed with non-melanoma skin cancer globally and approximately 69,416 died from this disease. The incidence of skin cancer varies across geographic regions and countries, with a predominance observed in Oceania, North America, and Europe. Australia was ranked first in terms of incidence, while incidence rates in Africa and Asia were very low. Despite these regional differences in incidence, there was little geographic variation in mortality rates. Currently, the number of deaths from non-melanoma skin cancer exceeds that of melanoma of skin. HDI was positively associated with the incidence of both types of skin cancers, with a positive correlation obtained between HDI and mortality from melanoma of skin and a negative correlation between HDI and mortality from non-melanoma skin cancer.
CONCLUSIONS
Skin cancer remains a major disease burden worldwide. Substantial variations are observed across countries and regions. Further research on skin cancer will be required to provide a rationale for more effective preventions and treatments of this condition.
Humans
;
Skin Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Incidence
;
Melanoma/mortality*
;
Prevalence
;
Global Health
;
Male
;
Female
10.Real-world long-term outcomes of non-small cell lung cancer patients undergoing neoadjuvant treatment with or without immune checkpoint inhibitors.
Bolun ZHOU ; Lin LI ; Fan ZHANG ; Qilin HUAI ; Liang ZHAO ; Fengwei TAN ; Qi XUE ; Wei GUO ; Shugeng GAO
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(22):2963-2973
BACKGROUND:
Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have been included in various neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) regimens for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, due to the relatively short period for the use of ICIs in NAT, patients' clinical outcomes with different regimens are uncertain. Our study aims to examine the efficacy of neoadjuvant immunotherapy (NAIT) for NSCLC patients and compare the overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) of patients receiving different NAT regimens.
METHODS:
This study retrospectively included 308 NSCLC patients treated with different NAT regimens and subsequent surgery in National Cancer Center between August 1, 2016 and July 31, 2022. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were conducted to evaluate the prognosis of patients.
RESULTS:
With a median follow-up of 27.5 months, the 1-year OS rates were 98.8% and 96.2%, and the 2-year OS rates were 96.6% and 85.8% in patients of the NAIT and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) group, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 0.339; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.160-0.720; P = 0.003). The 1-year EFS rates were 96.0% and 88.0%, and the 2-year EFS rates were 92.0% and 77.7% for patients in the NAIT and NACT groups, respectively (HR, 0.438; 95% CI, 0.276-0.846; P = 0.010). For patients who did not achieve pathological complete response (pCR), significantly longer OS ( P = 0.012) and EFS ( P = 0.019) were observed in patients receiving NAIT than those receiving NACT. Different NAT regimens had little effect on surgery and the postoperative length of stay (6 [4, 7] days vs . 6 [4, 7] days, Z = -0.227, P = 0.820).
CONCLUSIONS
NAIT exhibited superior efficacy to NACT for NSCLC, resulting in longer OS and EFS. The OS and EFS benefits were also observed among patients in the NAIT group who did not achieve pCR.
Humans
;
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/mortality*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Lung Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Middle Aged
;
Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/therapeutic use*
;
Neoadjuvant Therapy/methods*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Immunotherapy/methods*

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