1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Efficacy and safety of Shuganning injection in treatment of liver injury: A clinical analysis
Qiaoxin WEI ; Mei LIU ; Daimeng SHI ; Shaoli YOU ; Yu CHEN ; Shuangsuo DANG ; Dongliang YANG ; Yuemin NAN ; Mingliang CHENG ; Zhongping DUAN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(6):1349-1357
ObjectiveTo investigate the efficacy and safety of Shuganning injection in the treatment of liver injury by observing the clinical outcome of patients with liver injury after treatment with Shuganning injection and comparing it with reduced glutathione (GSH). MethodsThis study was conducted among 175 patients with liver injury who attended 6 hospitals in China (Beijing YouAn Hospital, Capital Medical University; Nanyang First People’s Hospital; The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University; The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital; The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University; The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University) from April 25, 2019 to February 28, 2022. The patients were divided into experimental group (89 patients treated with Shuganning injection) and control group (86 patients treated with GSH), and the course of treatment was 4 weeks for both groups. Related indicators were recorded before treatment, after treatment, and after drug withdrawal for 8 weeks, including liver function parameters, blood biochemical parameters, blood lipids, coagulation profiles, liver fibrosis markers, traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) syndrome score, and ultrasound findings, as well as adverse events during treatment. The Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used for comparison of observation indicators before treatment, at week 4 of treatment, and after drug withdrawal for 8 weeks. When the efficacy evaluation of TCM syndromes was used as the outcome, a pooled analysis was performed for the effective cases and the markedly effective cases, and a Logistic regression model was used to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and its 95%CI. ResultsAfter 4 weeks of treatment with Shuganning injection, the patients showed significant reductions in TCM syndrome score (P<0.001) and the levels of aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, total bilirubin, and direct bilirubin (all P<0.001) and a significant increase in the level of albumin (P=0.002), and these significant improvements persisted after drug withdrawal for 8 weeks. Furthermore, compared with the control group, the experimental group had a significantly higher proportion of patients assessed as effective or markedly effective cases (48.31% vs 32.56%, P=0.033). Compared with the control group, the experimental group had a significantly greater change in TCM syndrome score at weeks 1-4 of treatment and after drug withdrawal for 8 weeks (P<0.05). At week 4 of treatment, the experimental group had a significantly greater reduction in alanine aminotransferase than the control group (P<0.05), and at week 8 after drug withdrawal, the experimental group had a significantly greater reduction in alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase than the control group (all P<0.05). One patient in the experimental group (1.12%) experienced an adverse event, which was determined to be associated with the progression of viral hepatitis. ConclusionShuganning injection can effectively improve liver injury, with good long-term efficacy and a low incidence rate of adverse reactions.
3.Analysis of 8 cases of primary mediastinal large B-cell lymphoma
Linlin ZHANG ; Chunju ZHOU ; Nan LI ; Shuang HUANG ; Meng ZHANG ; Ling JIN ; Jing YANG ; Yonghong ZHANG ; Yanlong DUAN
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(8):901-905
Objective:To investigate the clinical features, pathologic characteristics, treatment and prognosis of primary mediastinal large B-cell lymphoma (PMBCL) in children.Methods:Clinical data including clinical manifestations, treatment, clinical efficacy of 8 cases of childhood PMBCL treated in Beijing Children′s Hospital, Capital Medical University from March 2017 to February 2024 were collected retrospectively, the clinical characteristics and prognosis of them were summarized.Results:Among the 8 children, there were 5 males and 3 females. The age at the time of initial diagnosis was 11.0 (10.3, 13.5) years. The first clinical symptoms were cough (8 cases) and stridor (6 cases). The lesions most often involved the mediastinum (8 cases), lungs (5 cases, hilum more often), pericardium (5 cases), and pleura (4 cases). Extra thoracic invasion was present in 4 cases, 7 cases had huge tumor lesions and 7 cases were phase Ⅲ clinical stage. Except for 1 case who underwent surgical resection of the tumor, the remaining 7 cases were treated with DA-EPOCH+R (dose adjusted-etoposide+prednisone+vincristine+cyclo-phosphamide+doxorubicin+rituximab) chemotherapy. The follow-up time was 25.0 (10.5, 43.3) months, with 7 cases in complete and partial metabolism response, 1 case had disease progression. All 8 cases survived.Conclusions:PMBCL is most common in school-age boys and most of them present with huge mediastinal tumor focus. PMBCL expresses B-cell spectrum antigens and weakly expresses CD30.The application of DA-EPOCH+R is effective in the treatment of PMBCL in children.
4.Analysis of 7 cases of childhood blastic plasmacytoid dendritic cell neoplasm
Ziqing FENG ; Chunju ZHOU ; Ningning ZHANG ; Ling JIN ; Jing YANG ; Shuang HUANG ; Meng ZHANG ; Nan LI ; Yanlong DUAN
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(11):1207-1211
Objective:To evaluate the clinical characteristics, pathology, treatment and prognosis of blastic plasmacytoid dendritic cell neoplasm (BPDCN) in children.Methods:Clinical data (including gender, age of disease onset, affected sites, treatment, timing of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), etc.) of 7 children with BPDCN who were admitted to Beijing Children′s Hospital, Capital Medical University from December 2018 to December 2023 were analyzed retrospectively. Clinical outcomes were also assessed, with patients followed up until December 2024.Results:Among 7 patients, there were 3 males and 4 females. Age at disease onset ranged from 3.2 to 12.9 years. Initial presentations included subcutaneous nodules in 5 cases, rash in 1 case, and ankle pain in 1 case. Extra-cutaneous involvement was seen in the bone marrow, lymph nodes, and central nervous system. Six patients received induction chemotherapy using a modified lymphoblastic lymphoma regimen, 1 patient received the high-risk protocol for pediatric lymphoblastic lymphoma/leukemia and salvage therapy regimens. Allo-HSCT was performed soon after chemotherapy remission. The time to bridge allo-HSCT was 3.5 to 6.5 months. The follow-up time was 1.6 to 6.0 years. Six patients were in disease-free survival, while 1 patient survived with disease after recurrence following transplantation.Conclusions:BPDCN is rare in children and presents diverse clinical manifestations, with skin involvement being the predominant feature. Early allo-HSCT following complete remission with chemotherapy can improve prognosis.
6.Association of Body Mass Index with All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Rural China: 10-Year Follow-up of a Population-Based Multicenter Prospective Study.
Juan Juan HUANG ; Yuan Zhi DI ; Ling Yu SHEN ; Jian Guo LIANG ; Jiang DU ; Xue Fang CAO ; Wei Tao DUAN ; Ai Wei HE ; Jun LIANG ; Li Mei ZHU ; Zi Sen LIU ; Fang LIU ; Shu Min YANG ; Zu Hui XU ; Cheng CHEN ; Bin ZHANG ; Jiao Xia YAN ; Yan Chun LIANG ; Rong LIU ; Tao ZHU ; Hong Zhi LI ; Fei SHEN ; Bo Xuan FENG ; Yi Jun HE ; Zi Han LI ; Ya Qi ZHAO ; Tong Lei GUO ; Li Qiong BAI ; Wei LU ; Qi JIN ; Lei GAO ; He Nan XIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1179-1193
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study.
METHODS:
A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants.
RESULTS:
Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m 2) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m 2) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m 2) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m 2 ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans
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Body Mass Index
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China/epidemiology*
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Male
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Female
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Middle Aged
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Prospective Studies
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Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
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Aged
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Follow-Up Studies
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Adult
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Mortality
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Cause of Death
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Obesity/mortality*
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Overweight/mortality*
7.Degradation dynamics and residue determination of pyriclobenzuron in rice and paddy environments
Huanqi WU ; Junmin WANG ; Kongtan YANG ; Xumi WANG ; Nan FANG ; Liping DUAN ; Changpeng ZHANG ; Xiangyun WANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(2):201-208
Objective To establish a method for determination of pyriclobenzuron (PBU) residues in rice and paddy environments, and to determine the residual amounts and observe the degradation dynamics of PBU. Methods In July 2022, the paddies of Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences were selected as experimental fields, and were divided into the blank control group (no pesticide application), the 1-fold-concentration pesticide group (1 kg/667 m2), and the 5-fold-concentration pesticide group (5 kg/667 m2), with a 100 m2 area in each group. At the early tillering stage of rice, 20% suspension of PBU sulfate was sprayed once in the 1-fold-concentration and 5-fold-concentration pesticide groups, and rice plants, paddy water and soil samples were collected 2 h, and 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 14, 21, 28, 35, 49 d and 63 d following spraying PBU, while rice straw, field soil, brown rice and rice husk samples were collected 98 d following spraying. PBU was extracted and purified in samples using a quick, easy, cheap, effective, rugged, and safe (QuEChERS) pretreatment technique, and the PBU contents were determined in samples using ultrahigh performance liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry (UPLC-MS/MS). The solvent standard working solution and matrix standard working solution were prepared. A linear regression equation was fitted between PBU concentration (x-axis) and peak area (y-axis), and the ratio of the slope (k) of the matrix standard curve to the slope (K) of the solvent standard curve was calculated to evaluate the matrix effect of PBU in samples. According to the Guidelines for Pesticide Residue Testing in Crops (NY/T 788—2018), the addition levels of PBU were set at 0.005, 0.050, 5.000, 1 000.000 mg/kg in rice plants, 0.005, 0.050, 2.000, 10.000 mg/kg in paddy water, 0.005, 0.050, 2.000 mg/kg in soil, and 0.005, 0.050, 5.000 mg/kg in brown rice and rice husks. The recovery and relative standard deviation (RSD) of PBU addition were calculated to evaluate the effectiveness of UPLC-MS/MS for determination of PBU contents. The first-order kinetic equation of PBU concentration was fitted in samples at different sampling time points to analyze the trends in PBU degradation in rice plants, paddy water, and soil, and the half-life of PBU was calculated in different samples. Results There was a good linear relationship between the mass concentration and peak area of PBU at concentrations of 0.000 1 to 0.020 0 mg/kg under solvent and matrix conditions (R2 = 0.985 8 to 0.999 7, t = -0.47 to 1.62, all P values < 0.01). The matrix effects of PBU were 70.26%, 65.42% and 65.12% in rice plants, brown rice and rice husks, indicating a matrix-inhibitory effect, and the matrix effect was 87.06% in soils, indicating a weak matrix effect. The recovery of PBU addition was 77.61% to 100.12% in different samples, with RSD of 1.43% to 6.74%, and a limit of quantification (LOQ) of 0.005 mg/kg, and the addition recovery and RSD met the requirements of the Guidelines for Pesticide Residue Testing in Crops (NY/T 788—2018), validating the effectiveness of UPLC-MS/MS assay. Following spraying PBU at a dose of 1 kg/667 m2, the half-life of PBU was 6.24 d in rice plants and 3.43 d in paddy water samples, respectively. The final residues of PBU were lower than the LOQ of 0.005 mg/kg in brown rice and rice husk samples 98 d following spraying PBU. Following spraying PBU at a dose of 5 kg/667 m2, the half-life of PBU was 15.75 d in rice plants and 7.62 d in paddy water samples, respectively. The final residue of PBU was lower than the LOQ of 0.005 mg/kg in brown rice 98 d following spraying PBU, and the final residue of PBU was 0.049 mg/kg in rice husks. Conclusions A simple, and highly accurate and precise UPLC-MS/MS assay has been developed for determination of PBU residues in rice plants and paddy environments through extraction and purification of PBU from matrix samples using QuEChERS pretreatment. After spraying PBU in paddies, the concentration of PBU gradually decreases in rice plants and paddy water over time, and the final residual concentration is low.
8.Systemic lupus erythematosus related thrombotic microangiopathy: A retrospective study based on Chinese SLE Treatment and Research Group (CSTAR) registry.
Yupei ZHANG ; Nan JIANG ; Zhen CHEN ; Xinwang DUAN ; Xiaofei SHI ; Hongbin LI ; Zhenyu JIANG ; Yuhua WANG ; Yanhong WANG ; Jiuliang ZHAO ; Qian WANG ; Xinping TIAN ; Mengtao LI ; Xiaofeng ZENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(5):613-615
9.Associations between statins and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events among peritoneal dialysis patients: A multi-center large-scale cohort study.
Shuang GAO ; Lei NAN ; Xinqiu LI ; Shaomei LI ; Huaying PEI ; Jinghong ZHAO ; Ying ZHANG ; Zibo XIONG ; Yumei LIAO ; Ying LI ; Qiongzhen LIN ; Wenbo HU ; Yulin LI ; Liping DUAN ; Zhaoxia ZHENG ; Gang FU ; Shanshan GUO ; Beiru ZHANG ; Rui YU ; Fuyun SUN ; Xiaoying MA ; Li HAO ; Guiling LIU ; Zhanzheng ZHAO ; Jing XIAO ; Yulan SHEN ; Yong ZHANG ; Xuanyi DU ; Tianrong JI ; Yingli YUE ; Shanshan CHEN ; Zhigang MA ; Yingping LI ; Li ZUO ; Huiping ZHAO ; Xianchao ZHANG ; Xuejian WANG ; Yirong LIU ; Xinying GAO ; Xiaoli CHEN ; Hongyi LI ; Shutong DU ; Cui ZHAO ; Zhonggao XU ; Li ZHANG ; Hongyu CHEN ; Li LI ; Lihua WANG ; Yan YAN ; Yingchun MA ; Yuanyuan WEI ; Jingwei ZHOU ; Yan LI ; Caili WANG ; Jie DONG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(21):2856-2858
10.Metagenomic Next-Generation Sequencing-Assisted Diagnosis of Japanese Spotted Fever: Report of One Case.
Yong-Chun RUAN ; Yi-Qing ZHOU ; Hai-Wang ZHANG ; Jie ZHOU ; Jin-Nan DUAN ; Xiao-Jing ZHANG ; L I MING-HUI
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(1):146-149
Japanese spotted fever(JSF)is an infectious disease caused by Rickettsia japonica,with nonspecific clinical symptoms and a high risk of misdiagnosis.We reported a case of JSF,in which Rickettsia japonica was detected in blood cells by metagenomic next-generation sequencing.The patient recovered after treatment with doxycycline.This report provides a reference for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of JSF.
Humans
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High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing
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Metagenomics
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Rickettsia/isolation & purification*
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Spotted Fever Group Rickettsiosis/microbiology*

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