1.Sex and age distribution of global disease burden of calcific aortic valve disease.
Xiangning DENG ; Xinyu SUI ; Nan LI ; Jieli FENG ; Shaomin CHEN ; Xinye XU ; Yida TANG ; Yupeng WANG
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(1):21-27
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze sex and age distribution of global disease burden of calcific aortic valve disease (CAVD) from 1990 to 2021.
METHODS:
CAVD data during 1990-2021 were obtained from the IHME website for Global Burden of Disease (GBD). The prevalence, mortality, years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were analyzed by gender and age groups. Joinpoint regression was used to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC).
RESULTS:
In 2021, there were 13.32 million CAVD patients and 142 000 deaths caused by CAVD globally. Age-standardized prevalence was higher in males (193.2/105) than that in females (128.9/105). Patients in 65-<85 age group accounted for 64.0% of total cases, while those ≥85 years old accounted for 16.1%. From 1990 to 2021, prevalence increased in both sexes with an AAPC of 0.72% for males and 0.57% for females, respectively. Prevalence grew fastest from 2000 to 2010, slowed thereafter, and declined from 2015 to 2021. In <65 years old, the mortality of males was 2.4 times higher than that of females, while in ≥85 years old, mortality of females (117.3/105) exceeded that of males (99.1/105). YLD rates increased with age, and were higher in males for all age groups. DALY rates decreased overall but increased in ≥85 years old, with a greater increase in females.
CONCLUSIONS
There are significant gender and age disparities in global disease burden of CAVD, with the elderly, especially super-elderly females deserving particular attention. It is recommended to develop personalized intervention strategies for these populations.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Calcinosis/mortality*
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Prevalence
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Middle Aged
;
Aortic Valve/pathology*
;
Aortic Valve Stenosis/epidemiology*
;
Age Distribution
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Adult
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Disability-Adjusted Life Years
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Sex Distribution
;
Global Health
;
Aortic Valve Disease/epidemiology*
;
Sex Factors
2.Additional role of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol on the risk of osteoporosis in men with or without coronary heart disease: a real-world longitudinal study.
Jing ZENG ; Zi-Mo PAN ; Ting LI ; Ze-Yu CHEN ; Xiao-Yan CAI ; Mei-Liang GONG ; Xin-Li DENG ; Sheng-Shu WANG ; Nan LI ; Miao LIU ; Chun-Lin LI
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(2):219-228
BACKGROUND:
Early control of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is crucial for reducing the progress of cardiovascular disease. However, its additional role to the risk of primary osteoporosis in men with coronary heart disease was inconclusive. Our study aims to determine the association of LDL-C and its trajectories for osteoporosis risk in the middle-aged and aged men of China.
METHODS:
The retrospective cohort study of 1546 men aged 69.74 ± 11.30 years conducted in Beijing, China from 2015 to 2022. And the incidence of primary osteoporosis was annually recorded. LDL-C trajectories were further identified by latent class growth model using repeated measurements of LDL-C. The association of baseline LDL-C for osteoporosis was estimated using hazard ratio (HR) with 95% CI in Cox proportional hazard model, while mean level and trajectories of LDL-C for osteoporosis were evaluated using odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI in logistic regression model.
RESULTS:
During the median 6.2-year follow-up period, 70 men developed primary osteoporosis. The higher level of baseline LDL-C (HR = 1.539, 95% CI: 1.012-2.342) and mean LDL-C (OR = 2.190, 95% CI: 1.443-3.324) were associated with higher risk of osteoporosis in men with coronary heart disease after adjusted for covariates. Compared with those in the LDL-C trajectory of low-stable decrease, participants with medium-fluctuant trajectory, whose longitudinal LDL-C started with a medium LDL-C level and appeared an increase and then decrease, were negatively associated with osteoporosis risk (OR = 2.451, 95% CI: 1.152-5.216). And participants with initially high LDL-C level and then a rapid decrease demonstrated a tendency towards reduced risk (OR = 0.718, 95% CI: 0.212-2.437).
CONCLUSIONS
Elevated LDL-C level and its long-term fluctuation may increase the risk of primary osteoporosis in men. Early controlling a stable level of LDL-C is also essential for bone health.
3.Independent and Interactive Effects of Air Pollutants, Meteorological Factors, and Green Space on Tuberculosis Incidence in Shanghai.
Qi YE ; Jing CHEN ; Ya Ting JI ; Xiao Yu LU ; Jia le DENG ; Nan LI ; Wei WEI ; Ren Jie HOU ; Zhi Yuan LI ; Jian Bang XIANG ; Xu GAO ; Xin SHEN ; Chong Guang YANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(7):792-809
OBJECTIVE:
To assess the independent and combined effects of air pollutants, meteorological factors, and greenspace exposure on new tuberculosis (TB) cases.
METHODS:
TB case data from Shanghai (2013-2018) were obtained from the Shanghai Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Environmental data on air pollutants, meteorological variables, and greenspace exposure were obtained from the National Tibetan Plateau Data Center. We employed a distributed-lag nonlinear model to assess the effects of these environmental factors on TB cases.
RESULTS:
Increased TB risk was linked to PM 2.5, PM 10, and rainfall, whereas NO 2, SO 2, and air pressure were associated with a reduced risk. Specifically, the strongest cumulative effects occurred at various lags: PM 2.5 ( RR = 1.166, 95% CI: 1.026-1.325) at 0-19 weeks; PM 10 ( RR = 1.167, 95% CI: 1.028-1.324) at 0-18 weeks; NO 2 ( RR = 0.968, 95% CI: 0.938-0.999) at 0-1 weeks; SO 2 ( RR = 0.945, 95% CI: 0.894-0.999) at 0-2 weeks; air pressure ( RR = 0.604, 95% CI: 0.447-0.816) at 0-8 weeks; and rainfall ( RR = 1.404, 95% CI: 1.076-1.833) at 0-22 weeks. Green space exposure did not significantly impact TB cases. Additionally, low temperatures amplified the effect of PM 2.5 on TB.
CONCLUSION
Exposure to PM 2.5, PM 10, and rainfall increased the risk of TB, highlighting the need to address air pollutants for the prevention of TB in Shanghai.
China/epidemiology*
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Humans
;
Air Pollutants/analysis*
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Tuberculosis/epidemiology*
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Incidence
;
Meteorological Concepts
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Particulate Matter/adverse effects*
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Environmental Exposure
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Male
;
Female
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Adult
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Air Pollution
;
Middle Aged
4.Preparation of borneol-menthol eutectic mixture-loaded nanoemulsion gel of tetramethylpyrazine
Jing WEN ; Jun-song NIU ; Yu-zhen WU ; Jie DENG ; Nan LI
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(8):2522-2529
AIM To prepare the borneol-menthol eutectic mixture-loaded nanoemulsion gel of tetramethylpyrazine.METHODS The equilibrium solubilities of tetramethylpyrazine in different oil phases,emulsifiers and co-emulsifiers were determined,after which compatibility experiment was performed,and pseudo-ternary phase diagram was drawn.With Km value,oil phase proportion and water phase consumption as influencing factors,particle size,PDI and saturated drug loading as evaluation indices,the formulation was optimized by central composite design-response surface method.The drug-loaded nanoemulsion was dispersed into carbomer 940 gel matrix to prepare nanoemulsion gel,then the physicochemical properties,in vitro drug release and transdermal absorption properties were investigated.RESULTS The optimal formulation was determined to be 3.31∶6.16∶1.56∶88.97 for eutectic mixture-EL-40-1,2-propylene glycol-water ratio,the particle size,PDI and saturated drug loading were 37.85 nm,23.04 and 5.82 mg/g,respectively.The obtained white,semi-solid nanoemulsion gel demonstrated the average pH value and viscosity of 6.68±0.07 and(289.69±1.06)mPa·s,respectively,whose in vitro drug release accorded with Higuchi equation,and the accumulative permeability per unit area was(2 048.23±55.6)μg/cm2 within 24 h,which were 3.72 and 1.21 times higher than those of hydrogel and aqueous solution,respectively.CONCLUSION The borneol-menthol eutectic mixture-loaded nanoemulsion gel of tetramethylpyrazine meets preparation requirements,thus can achieve the effective transdermal delivery of raw medicine.
5.Construction and evaluation of a medium-and long-term prognosis model for severe community-acquired pneumonia based on MIMIC-Ⅳ database
Nan-Li DENG ; Ren-Huai LIU ; Xin CHAI ; Xi-Jing ZHANG ; Bin-Xiao SU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(4):400-408
Objective To explore the risk factors for medium-and long-term mortality in patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia(SCAP)based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅳ(MIMIC-Ⅳ),construct a prognostic model and evaluate its predictive efficacy.Methods In this retrospective cohort study,1943 SCAP patients from the U.S.MIMIC-Ⅳdatabase(2008-2019)were randomly divided into training(n=1363)and validation(n=580)sets(7:3 ratio).Primary and secondary endpoints were 1-year and 30-/90-day all-cause mortality,respectively.Prognostic factors were selected using LASSO regression and multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling,and a visual nomogram model was built.Model performance was assessed via C-index,receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curves,and calibration curves,and compared with the CURB-65 score.Risk stratification was validated using Kaplan-Meier analysis.Results The 30-day,90-day,and 1-year all-cause mortality rates for SCAP patients were 25.9%,34.5%,and 42.6%,respectively.Seven independent risk factors were identified:age(HR=1.037),heart rate(HR=1.007),red blood cell distribution width(RDW,HR=1.092),Acute Physiology Score Ⅲ(APS-Ⅲ,HR=1.013),cerebrovascular disease(HR=1.453),liver disease(HR=1.272),and malignancy(HR=2.007).Based on these factors,Cox regression model was constructed and nomogram was drawn,C-indices of training set and validation set were 0.710 and 0.688,respectively.For 1-year mortality prediction,the model achieved superior area under the ROC curve(AUC)values(training set:0.768;validation set:0.738)compared with CURB-65 score(training set:0.648;validation set:0.616).Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed significantly worse survival in high-risk group than low-risk group(P<0.0001).Conclusions Age,heart rate,RDW,APS-Ⅲ,cerebrovascular disease,liver disease,and malignant tumor were medium-and long-term mortality risk factors in SCAP patients.The prognostic model constructed based on these factors has high predictive power and provides an important clinical diagnosis and treatment reference.
6.Association Between Resting Heart Rate and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease and All-cause Death in Young and Middle-aged Adults
Lei LI ; Qi QI ; Xinyu WU ; Quanle HAN ; Jie DENG ; Xuechao ZHANG ; Zheng WU ; Nan WANG ; Shouling WU ; Kangbo LI
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(7):681-688
Objectives:To investigate the correlation between resting heart rate(RHR)and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease(ASCVD)and all-cause death in young and middle-aged people.Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted enrolling 72 642 young and middle-aged participants(aged<60 years),who participated in the medical examination of the Kailuan Study from June 2006 to October 2007.According to the quartile of the RHR level,the participants were divided into Q1 group(<67 beats/min,n=14 381),Q2 group(67-70 beats/min,n=15 815),Q3 group(71-75 beats/min,n=15 876),Q4 group(76-80 beats/min,n=13 933)and Q5 group(>80 beats/min,n=12 637).Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to analyze the effect of RHR on ASCVD and all-cause death.The dose-response relationship between RHR and the risk of ASCVD and all-cause death was investigated using a restricted cubic spline regression model.Results:During a mean follow-up of(10.0±4.85)years,2 898 patients(3.99%)developed ASCVD.Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors,the risk of RHR and ASCVD in group Q5 increased by 20%compared with group Q1(HR=1.20,95%CI:1.06-1.35,P<0.05).There was no significant risk in groups Q2 to Q4 compared to Q1 group(all P>0.05).In addition,the risk of ASCVD increased by 4%for every 10 beats/min increase in RHR(HR=1.04,95%CI:1.01-1.07,P=0.009).During the follow-up period of(10.2±4.82)years,all-cause death occurred in 2 175 participants(2.99%).The results showed that compared with Q1 group,the risk of all-cause death in Q3 to Q5 groups increased by 33%(HR=1.33,95%CI:1.15-1.54,P<0.001),33%(HR=1.33,95%CI:1.14-1.54,P<0.001),and 78%(HR=1.78,95%CI:1.54-2.05,P<0.001)respectively,and there was no statistical significance between group Q2 and group Q1.The risk of all-cause death increased by 15%for every 10 beats/min increase in RHR(HR=1.15,95%CI:1.11-1.19,P<0.001).Restricted cubic spline analysis showed that RHR was linearly correlated with risk of ASCVD(Poverall=0.022,Pnon-linear=0.617),and the risk of ASCVD increased significantly with RHR>72 beats/min.RHR was linearly associated with the risk of all-cause death(Poverall<0.001,Pnon-linear=0.212),and the risk of all-cause death was significantly increased with RHR>72 betas/min.Conclusions:Higher RHR is associated with an increased risk of ASCVD and all-cause mortality in young and middle-aged individuals.
7.Phase II study of radiotherapy combined with anlotinib in the treatment of inoperable non-small cell lung cancer
Haiyuan LI ; Yupei YUAN ; Tao ZHANG ; Lei DENG ; Wenyang LIU ; Wenqing WANG ; Xin WANG ; Jima LYU ; Zongmei ZHOU ; Qinfu FENG ; Zefen XIAO ; Nan BI ; Jianyang WANG
Chinese Journal of Radiation Oncology 2025;34(4):334-339
Objective:To analyze the safety and short-term efficacy of thoracic radiotherapy combined with anlotinib in the treatment of inoperable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).Methods:A prospective study was conducted on patients with unresectable locally advanced NSCLC who were intolerant to concurrent chemoradiotherapy and treated at the Department of Radiation Oncology, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, from October 2020 to September 2023. Anlotinib was administered orally concurrently with radiotherapy (days 1-14, 21 days per cycle, for 3 cycles). Adverse effects and short-term tumor recurrence were observed from the beginning of radiotherapy to the 3-month post-radiotherapy. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates from the date of initial treatment (induction therapy), and intergroup comparisons were performed using the log-rank test.Results:The median age was 62 years (range:42-76 years), with a male predominance ( n=36, 88%) of the included 41 patients. The incidence of grade 3-4 acute hematologic adverse events was 20% (8 cases); the incidence of grade 3 hemoptysis was 2% (1 case), with no grade 4 hemoptysis; the incidence of grade 3-4 radiation pneumonitis was 10% (4 cases). No grade 5 adverse events were observed in the entire cohort. With a median follow-up of 19.7 months (range: 7.1-50.1 months), 19 patients (46%) experienced recurrence, including 4 patients (10%) with local recurrence, 6 patients (15%) with regional lymph node recurrence, and 11 patients (27%) with distant metastases. The 1-year PFS rate was 78.3%. 8 patients (20%) died, including 3 patients died from COVID-19 infection during the follow-up period, 1 patient who died from hypostatic pneumonia due to prolonged bed rest after cerebral infarction, and 4 patients died from tumor-related causes. The 1-year OS rate was 78.0%. Conclusions:Thoracic radiotherapy combined with anlotinib demonstrates good safety, manageable adverse events, and favorable short-term efficacy in NSCNC patients intolerant to concurrent chemoradiotherapy.
8.Mechanism of action of Sterculiae Lychnophorae Semen against PM2.5-induced acute lung injury based on network pharmacology,molecular docking and experimental validation
Fan ZHANG ; Yi-fan DU ; Xiao-shu DENG ; Zu-feng ZHANG ; Xian-lei HAN ; Wei TIAN ; Xiu-mei LI ; Mian CHEN ; Fei LIU ; Nan WANG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(12):2362-2369
Aim To investigate the anti-acute lung injury(ALI)effect of Sterculiae Lychnophorae Semen(SLS)and its mechanism.Methods The main ac-tive components of SLS and their core targets and path-ways of action against ALI were obtained by network pharmacology methods.Subsequently,molecular doc-king technology and in vitro cellular experiments were applied for validation.Results A total of 19 core tar-gets were obtained,including HSP90AA1,CASP3,TNF,MAPK8 and MAPK14.The mechanisms may in-volve signaling pathways such as cancer,PI3K/Akt and MAPK.Molecular docking confirmed that the key targets of SLS formed a better binding activity with the relevant active ingredients.The in vitro results showed that SLS was able to protect the PM2.5-contaminated BEAS-2B cells,inhibit their NO,IL-1β and TNF-αlevels,and reduce the expression of p-p38 MAPK and p-JNK proteins.Conclusions The study successfully predicts the active ingredients,targets and signaling pathways of SLS against ALI,and in vitro experiments demonstrate that SLS might protect BEAS-2B cells from PM2.5 stimulus-induced inflammation and apoptosis by inhibiting the over-activation of p38 MAPK and JNK signaling pathways.
9.The relationship between multiple elements in urine and arsenic poisoning in populations exposed to drinking water arsenic in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region
Yuchen GUO ; Binggan WEI ; Fan ZHAO ; Xinye LI ; Rui WANG ; Shuhui YIN ; Nan WU ; Lingling HE ; Zhen DI ; Kaiwen LIU ; Wei SONG ; Hui WANG ; Zhongbing ZHANG ; Danyu DENG ; Zhiwei GUO
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(7):535-542
Objective:To study the relationship between the levels of multiple elements in urine and the risk of arsenic poisoning in populations exposed to drinking water arsenic in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region (Inner Mongolia).Methods:From April 2023 to January 2024, a case-control study method was used to select 128 individuals with a residence time of ≥10 years in drinking water arsenic exposed areas in Inner Mongolia as study subjects. Eighty-one individuals diagnosed with arsenic poisoning were selected as the case group, and 47 healthy individuals were selected as the control group for urine sample collection and questionnaire survey. Inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry was employed to determine the levels of 10 elements (chromium, manganese, cobalt, nickel, copper, zinc, arsenic, molybdenum, cadmium and lead) in urine. The levels of each element in urine were divided into four groups ( Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups) based on quartiles. The associations between the levels of various elements in urine and the risk of arsenic poisoning were studied using binary logistic regression model and restricted cubic spline (RCS). Results:The age of the control group and the case group [ M ( Q1, Q3)] were 61 (53, 69) and 61 (56, 67) years old, respectively. There were 19 and 43 males, and 28 and 38 females, respectively. There was no statistically significant differences in age and and gender composition between the two groups ( Z = - 0.39, P = 0.700; χ 2 = 1.91, P = 0.167). The levels of urinary copper and cadmium of the case group were higher than those of the control group, and the differences were statistically significant ( Z = - 2.66, - 2.16, P < 0.05). The results of univariate logistic regression analysis showed that urinary copper was an influencing factor for arsenic poisoning ( P = 0.017). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that after adjusting for covariates, urinary copper and arsenic were independent influencing factors of arsenic poisoning ( P < 0.05). Taking Q1 group as a reference, urinary copper in Q3 group [ OR (95% CI) = 8.23 (1.81, 37.39), P = 0.006] increased the risk of arsenic poisoning, while urinary arsenic in Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups [ OR (95% CI) = 0.24 (0.06, 0.92), 0.12 (0.03, 0.53), 0.15 (0.04, 0.63), P < 0.05] decreased the risk of arsenic poisoning. After adjusting for covariates, RCS did not show a dose-response relationship between urinary copper, urinary arsenic, and arsenic poisoning ( P > 0.05). Conclusion:Urinary arsenic and copper are associated with the risk of arsenic poisoning in the drinking water arsenic exposed areas of Inner Mongolia, copper exposure may contribute significantly to arsenic poisoning.
10.Full genome analysis of G4P23porcine rotavirus and its pathogenicity in suckling mice and piglets
Hui DENG ; Ran TAO ; Nan HAN ; Jianxin WANG ; Xuefan SU ; Chen WANG ; Xi CHENG ; Xianyu BIAN ; Jiapeng SONG ; Xuejiao ZHU ; Xuehan ZHANG ; Hongbo XIAO ; Jinzhu ZHOU ; Bin LI
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(9):902-909
To perform the phylogenetic characterization of an isolated porcine rotavirus(PoRV)and investigate its pathogenicity in suckling mice and piglets.A G4P[23]genotype PoRV strain JSJR2023 was successfully isolated from the diarrheic piglet feces through propagation in MA104 cells.The viral proliferation kinetics were analyzed using TCID50 assays,followed by complete genome sequencing through Sanger sequencing platforms.Comprehensive genotyping and phylogenetic reconstruction were conducted using MEGA7.0 with maximum likelihood algorithms.Pathogenicity was assessed in the following animal models:5-day-old C57BL/6 mice and 3-day-old piglets.Multidimensional evaluation included clinical monitoring(diarrhea scoring,growth parameters),virological detection,and histopathological analysis of intestinal tissues.The virus strain JSJR2023 could replicate efficiently in MA104 cells,achieving peak titers of 107.5 TCID50/mL.Whole genome genotype analysis showed that the strain belonged to G4-P[23]-I5-R1-C1-M1-A8-N1-T1-E1-H1.Phylogenetic analysis indicated that the VP3 and NSP4 genes of JSJR2023 strain were most closedrelated to human species rotaviruses,suggesting genetic reassortment between human and porcine RV strains.The animal experiments in suckling mice showed that the JSJR2023 strain infection caused diarrhea symptoms,intestinal edema and congestion,and shedding of intestinal villus epithelial cells.The pathogenicity experiments in piglets showed that compared with the control group,the challenged group of pig-lets had severe diarrhea symptoms,accompanied by reduced appetite and listlessness.Post-mortem examination revealed that the intes-tines were significantly thinner,congested,and filled with yellow watery contents.The challenged piglets showed typical pathological changes such as thinning of the intestinal wall and shortening and shedding of intestinal villi.In conclusion,this study successfully iso-lated a human-porcine recombinant G4P[23]PoRV strain and established the infection models in suckling mice and piglets,providing important tools for investigating the pathogenic mechanism of PoRV,evaluating vaccines and developing antiviral drug.

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