1.Cost-utility analysis of anlotinib combined with penpulimab in first-line treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma
Wenying YAN ; Na YANG ; Ranran ZHANG ; Xinyue TAO ; Shengnan GAO ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(3):344-349
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of anlotinib combined with penpulimab versus sorafenib as first- line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) from the perspective of China’s healthcare system. METHODS Based on data from the APOLLO study, a partitioned survival model was established with a 21-day model cycle to simulate patient survival status over 10 years under anlotinib combined with penpulimab regimen or sorafenib monotherapy. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) was used as the core evaluation parameter to assess the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of different treatment regimens. Using 3 times China’s per capita gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024 (287 247 yuan/QALY) as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold, cost-utility analysis was performed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the treatment regimens. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to validate the robustness of the baseline analysis conclusion. Scenario analysis was performed to consider the impact of anlotinib and penpulimab assistance programs on the results; the price reduction of penpulimab to ensure the cost-effectiveness of the combination regimen was examined under varying WTP thresholds (specifically, 1, 2, and 3 times China’s per capita GDP in 2024). RESULTS The baseline analysis revealed that the ICER of anlotinib combined with penpulimab regimen relative to the sorafenib regimen was 338 611.20 yuan/QALY, which exceeded the WTP threshold set in this study. Univariate sensitivity analysis indicated that the utility value of progression free survival and penpulimab price significantly influenced the baseline analysis results. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis validated the robustness of the baseline results. The results of scenario analysis indicated that when considering the assistance programs for anlotinib and penpulimab, the obtained ICER values were all below the WTP threshold set at 3 times China’s per capita GDP in 2024. When the price of penpulimab was reduced by 58%, 35%, and 13%, the ICER values were below the WTP threshold, which was 1, 2 and 3 times the per capita GDP of China in 2024, respectively. CONCLUSIONS From the perspective of China’s healthcare system, anlotinib combined with penpulimab regimen for first-line treatment of uHCC lacks cost-effectiveness compared to sorafenib regimen. However, this conclusion would be reversed if the anlotinib and penpulimab assistance programs are taken into account or if the price of penpulimab is reduced by more than 13% and above.
2.Comparison of clinical efficacy of evolocumab and probucol after PCI in patients with ultra-high-risk atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
Yi YUAN ; Na LI ; Haiying SUN ; Jing SUN ; Yongqiang MA ; Yan WU ; Guohong YANG ; Junxiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(5):645-649
OBJECTIVE To compare the efficacy and safety of evolocumab and probucol in patients with ultra-high-risk atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS A retrospective analysis was conducted on 156 ultra-high-risk ASCVD patients who underwent PCI in our institution between January 1, 2023 and December 31, 2024. According to the lipid-lowering regimen, the patients were categorized into evolocumab group ( n =86) and probucol group ( n =70). Changes in lipid parameters [total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprot ein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), triglycerides, lipoprotein (a), and lipid goal achievement rate ] , inflammatory markers [interleukin-6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) ] , and cardiac function indices (left ventricular ejection fraction, left ventricular end-systolic diameter, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) were compared between two groups at baseline and after 6 months of treatment. The incidence of adverse clinical events during treatment, including acute myocardial infarction, in-stent restenosis, acute heart failure, cerebral hemorrhage, and stroke, was also evaluated. RESULTS No statistically significant differences were observed between the two groups at baseline ( P >0.05). After 6 months of treatment, both groups demonstrated significant improvements in lipid profiles (except HDL-C) and inflammatory markers compared to those at baseline ( P <0.05). The evolocumab group exhibited greater reductions in TC, LDL-C, IL-6, and CRP, along with a higher lipid target achievement rate, compared with the probucol group ( P <0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the cardiac function-related indicators before and after treatment between the two groups, nor in the incidence of adverse events during the treatment ( P >0.05). CONCLUSIONS For ultra-high-risk ASCVD patients after PCI, both of the above treatment options are associated with improvements in blood lipid and inflammatory response, with good safety during short-term follow-up. Evolocumab shows superior efficacy in TC, LDL-C and inflammatory markers reduction and lipid target achievement, compared to probucol.
3.Predictive modle for violence risk in hospitalized schizophrenia patients based on support vector machine
Huan LIU ; Peifang SHI ; Kun ZHANG ; Li KANG ; Yan ZHANG ; Long NA ; Binhong WANG ; Meiqing HE
Sichuan Mental Health 2026;39(1):27-35
BackgroundThe violent aggressive behaviors of patients with schizophrenia usually have the characteristics of suddenness, unpredictability, high severity, and great difficulty in prevention. Early identification and accurate assessment of their risk of violent aggression have significant clinical significance. ObjectiveTo construct a predictive model for the violence risk in hospitalized patients with schizophrenia, to identify the key factors influencing the occurrence of violent behavior in these patients, so as to provide references for clinical precise quantitative assessment and early intervention. MethodsA total of 200 patients with schizophrenia who were hospitalized at Taiyuan Psychiatric Hospital from March 2022 to September 2024 and met the diagnostic criteria of the International Classification of Diseases, eleventh edition (ICD-11) were collected to form the modeling cohort. They were randomly divided into a training set (n=140) and a test set (n=60) at a ratio of 7∶3. Based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression algorithm, the feature variables were screened and dimension-reduced. The support vector machine (SVM) from machine learning was selected for model training and prediction. The discrimination efficacy of the model was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity, F1 value, and Brier value. ResultsLASSO regression screening identified 16 feature variables. Pearson correlation analysis revealed a positive correlation between prior violent behavior frequency and clinical psychiatric symptom scores (r=0.580, P<0.01), a positive correlation between hospitalization compliance and current disease status (r=0.550, P=0.003), and a positive correlation between educational level and family per capita monthly income (r=0.367, P<0.01). The SVM model achieved an AUC of 0.853, accuracy of 0.800, precision of 0.810, sensitivity of 0.895, specificity of 0.636, F1 value of 0.850, and Brier value of 0.168. ConclusionThe SVM model has a relatively high level of applicability and overall predictive performance in the assessment of violent risk in schizophrenia patients, which is helpful for the early identification of violent risks in such patients. [Funded by Specialized Research Project for Enhancing the Competence of Health Professionals in Taiyuan City (number, Y2023006)]
4.Sanren Runchang Formula Regulates Brain-gut Axis to Treat IBS-C: A Randomized Controlled Trial
Teng LI ; Xinrong FAN ; He YAN ; Zhuozhi GONG ; Mengxi YAO ; Na YANG ; Yuhan WANG ; Huikai HU ; Wei WEI ; Tao LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(2):154-161
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical efficacy of Sanren Runchang formula in treating constipation-predominant irritable bowel syndrome (IBS-C) by regulating the brain-gut axis and the effects of the formula on serum levels of 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT), vasoactive intestinal peptide (VIP), and substance P (SP). MethodsA randomized controlled design was adopted, and 72 IBS-C patients meeting Rome Ⅳ criteria were randomized into observation and control groups (36 cases).The observation group received Sanren Runchang formula granules twice daily, and the control group received lactulose oral solution daily for 4 weeks. IBS Symptom Severity Scale (IBS-SSS), IBS Quality of Life Scale (IBS-QOL), and Bristol Stool Form Scale (BSFS) were used to assess clinical symptoms, and bowel movement frequency was recorded. The Self-Rating Anxiety Scale (SAS) and Self-Rating Depression Scale (SDS) were employed to evaluate psychological status. ELISA was employed to measure the serum levels of 5-HT, VIP, and SP. ResultsThe total response rate in the observation group was 91.67% (33/36), which was higher than that (77.78%, 28/36) in the control group (χ2=4.50, P<0.05). After treatment, both groups showed increased defecation frequency and BSFS scores, decreased IBS-SSS total score, abdominal pain and bloating scores, IBS-QOL health anxiety, anxiety, food avoidance, and behavioral disorders scores, SAS and SDS scores, serum 5-HT and VIP levels, and increased SP levels (P<0.05, P<0.01). Moreover, the observation group showed more significant changes in the indicators above than the control group (P<0.05, P<0.01). The SP level showed no significant difference between the two groups. During the 4-week follow-up, the recurrence rate was 5.88% in the observation group and 31.25% in the control group. No adverse events occurred in observation group, and 2 cases of mild diarrhea occurred in the control group. ConclusionSanren Runchang formula demonstrated definitive efficacy in alleviating gastrointestinal symptoms and improving the psychological status and quality of life in IBS-C patients, with a low recurrence rate. The formula can regulate serum levels of neurotransmitters such as 5-HT and VIP, suggesting its potential regulatory effect on the brain-gut axis through modulating neurotransmitters and neuropeptides. However, its complete mechanism of action requires further investigation through detection of additional brain-gut axis-related biomarkers.
5.Predictive model for perioperative blood transfusion risk in patients with scarred uterus during pregnancy undergoing cesarean section
Yurong CHEN ; Yan XING ; Na WANG ; Xia QI ; Yining ZHANG ; Ying CUI
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(4):501-505
Objective: To investigate factors influencing perioperative blood transfusion in patients with scarred uterus during pregnancy undergoing cesarean section, construct and validate a transfusion risk prediction model, and provide evidence for preoperative assessment and blood management. Methods: Clinical data of 405 patients undergoing cesarean section for scarred uterus during pregnancy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2020 to December 2024 were retrospectively collected. The dataset was randomly divided into a training set (n=284) and a validation set (n=121) at a 7∶3 ratio. Within the training set, Firth-penalized logistic regression was employed for multivariate analysis to identify independent factors influencing perioperative blood transfusion and construct a predictive model. Model performance was evaluated in the validation set. Results: Multivariate Firth regression analysis showed that severe placenta previa (OR=75.566, 95%CI: 8.603-9979.174) and placenta accreta (OR=4.591, 95%CI: 1.120-19.416) were independent risk factors for perioperative blood transfusion, while preoperative red blood cell count (OR=0.189, 95%CI: 0.083-0.405) and fibrinogen levels (OR=0.588, 95%CI: 0.395-0.855) were protective factors. The predictive model constructed based on these four variables demonstrated good discriminatory performance, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.803 (95%CI: 0.740-0.867) and 0.753 (95%CI: 0.644-0.862) in the training and validation sets, respectively. Conclusion: For patients with scarred uterus during pregnancy undergoing cesarean section, severe placenta previa and placenta accreta significantly increase the risk of transfusion, while higher preoperative red blood cell count and fibrinogen levels exert a protective effect. The predictive model established in this study facilitates the identification of patients requiring transfusion, thereby enabling preoperative blood preparation and optimized blood management.
6.Current Status and Evaluation Considerations of Constructing Disease-syndrome Combination Models for Spleen Deficiency with Dampness Pattern in Ulcerative Colitis
Xuming HUANG ; Leichang ZHANG ; Na WU ; Guangbin SHANG ; Jie ZHANG ; Jiaqi CHEN ; Xiaojun YAN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(13):233-243
The disease-syndrome combination model of spleen deficiency with dampness pattern in ulcerative colitis(SDDP-UC) is an important experimental carrier for traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) research on the prevention and treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC), and the quality of model construction and evaluation directly influences the scientific rigor and translational value of related research conclusions. However, this field still lacks methodological synthesis and a standardized consensus. Based on a comprehensive review of existing literature, this paper summarized isomorphic cues between the spleen deficiency with dampness pattern and UC across four dimensions, including energy metabolism, immune homeostasis, mucosal barrier, and intestinal microecology. The cues were mainly involved in impaired mitochondrial energy supply and glucose metabolic reprogramming, a lowered pro-inflammatory threshold of innate immunity with insufficient adaptive immune regulation, disruption of epithelial barrier gating accompanied by compromised repair capacity, and attenuation of the luminal hypoxia barrier with accumulation of toxic metabolites. A mutually reinforcing process between local "form damage" and systemic "Qi depletion" was further interpreted from a holistic perspective. Regarding modeling strategies, existing studies predominantly use rats as the carrier, apply combined interventions such as improper diet, external damp exposure, and fatigue-related dysregulation to establish the spleen deficiency with dampness pattern background, and subsequently superimpose chemical stimulation to induce UC-like colonic damage, with a total modeling period generally spanning three to four weeks. In terms of the evaluation system, a multidimensional framework integrating syndrome assessment, histopathology, mechanistic indices, and pharmacodynamic counter-verification was outlined. On this basis, current methodological bottlenecks of models were systematically identified, including syndrome drift risk and compounded stress dilemma in temporal sequencing, syndrome confounding from etiological simulation, cross-sectional evaluation bias related to modeling duration, inadequate disease-syndrome linkage and control design within the evaluation system, and limited controls with overly single-track decision logic in formula-based syndrome verification. To address the above issues, a construction and evaluation strategy emphasizing streamlining of core etiological factors, multi-node dynamic monitoring, integration of core disease-syndrome indicator clusters, and establishment of a formula-based syndrome verification system was proposed, providing a reference for the standardized construction and scientific evaluation of the SDDP-UC model.
7.Drug resistance and virulence characteristics of carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae carrying the blaKPC-2 gene
Yongshi ZHAO ; Yan ZHANG ; Jian MAO ; Yingxuan CHEN ; Yaozhu YANG ; Qiuling HUANG ; Yan DU ; Na DU
Chinese Journal of Microbiology and Immunology 2025;45(8):671-679
Objective:To analyze the drug resistance and virulence characteristics of KPC-2-producing carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae(CRKP). Methods:A total of 26 non-repeating CRKP strains clinically isolated from a Class Ⅲ hospital in Kunming from August 2021 to March 2022 were collected. Mass spectrometry and the VITEK 2 Compact system were used to identify the bacteria and perform drug susceptibility tests. PCR was used to amplify the drug resistance and virulence genes carried by the strains. These CRKP strains were divided into a hypervirulent CRKP(CR-hvKP) group and a CR-non-hvKP group according to the characteristic virulence genes of hypervirulent Klebsiella pneumoniae. The virulence phenotypes of CRKP were investigated by wire drawing test, serum resistance test and siderophore qualitative and quantitative tests. The whole genomes of CRKP-67 (a CR-hvKP strain) and CRKP-94 (a CR-non-hvKP strain) were sequenced by the Illumina high-throughput sequencing platform, to further analyze the drug resistance genes, virulence genes, and virulence plasmidds carried by the strains. Results:The drug sensitivity results indicated that all 26 strains were resistant to carbapenem, cephalosporins, fluoroquinolones and β-lactam/β-lactam inhibitor complexes. The resistance rates to amicacin, cotrimoxazole and gentamicin were 61.54%(6/26), 57.69%(15/26) and 73.08%(9/26), respectively. Regarding the drug resistance gene amplification results, the carrying rates of blaKPC-2, blaNDM-1, blaOXA-48, blaVIM, blaIMP, blaSME, blaSHV, blaCTX-M and blaTEM were 100.00%(26/26), 0, 0, 0, 0, 100.00%(26/26), 100.00%(26/26), 15.38% (4/26) and 73.08%(19/26), respectively. In the 26 strains, the carrying rates of toxic genes entB, entC, ureA, uge, wabG, ycf, irp1, irp2, mrkD, fimH and ybtS were 100.00%(26/26), while the carrying rates of virulence genes kfuB, iroN, aero, magA and alls were 0. The positive rate of string test was 66.7%(6/9) in the CR-hvKP group and 0 in the CR-non-hvKP group. The serum killing test showed a high sensitivity rate of 77.78%(7/9), a low sensitivity rate of 11.11%(1/9), and a serum resistance rate of 11.11%(1/9) in the CR-hvKP group. In the CR-non-hvKP group, the high sensitivity rate was 29.41%(5/17); the low sensitivity rate was 17.65%(3/17), and the serum resistance rate was 52.94%(9/17). There was no statistical significance between the two groups( P>0.05). The qualitative results of siderophore showed that all strains produced yellow chelating circles with slightly different color depth and size. The quantitative results of siderophore experiment showed that the average siderophore production level of CR-hvKP group was 40.74%, and that of CR-non-hvKP group was 28.21%. The level was higher in the CR-hvKP group than in the CR-non-hvKP group, and the difference was statistically significant( P<0.05). Whole-genome sequencing results showed that CRKP-67 was ST11 type and contained 3 plasmids. Among them, plasmid pCRKP-67-A carried a series of virulence genes, including iucABCD, iutA, rmpA, rmpA2, iroB and peg344, which were highly virulent characteristic genes. Plasmid pCRKP-67-B carried blaKPC-2, blaCTX-M, blaSHV, blaTEM and other drug-resistant genes. Plasmid pCRKP-67-C carried sul2, tetR, tetA and other drug-resistant genes. The CRKP-94 was of ST340 type and contained a drug-resistant plasmid carrying blaKPC-2, blaCTX-M, blaSHV, blaTEM and other drug-resistant genes. Conclusions:CRKP strains are highly resistant, and are only sensitive to a few antibiotics, and carry a variety of drug resistance genes. The main resistance mechanism to carbapenem antibiotics is the presence of the blaKPC-2 gene, which is located on the plasmids, which results in the spread of carbapenem resistance. The types and quantity of virulence genes carried by the CR-hvKP strain are more and greater respectively than those carried by the CR-non-hvKP strain. The co-existence of drug-resistant and virulence plasmids in CR-hvKP strains may lead to the co-transmission of high drug resistance and hypervirulence, which should be highly valued by relevant departments.
8.Sero-conversion rate of HIV antibody and influencing factors in cross-border couples in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province, 2017-2023
Qunbo ZHOU ; Xiaohan LI ; Lin LI ; Yuecheng YANG ; Lifen XIANG ; Renhai TANG ; Runhua YE ; Jibao WANG ; Yan HOU ; Ximei XIE ; Suoju XU ; Longqin WANG ; Ying LIU ; Yingying DING ; Na HE ; Song DUAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(3):455-461
Objective:To investigate the sero-conversion rate of HIV antibody and influencing factors in cross-border couples in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture(Dehong).Methods:A cohort design was used to recruit HIV-negative people in cross-border couples in Dehong in 2017. Follow-up was conducted in 2023, and questionnaire survey and HIV test were carried out to calculate the sero-conversion rate of HIV antibody. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyze the influence factors for HIV infections.Results:A total of 36 278 HIV-negative persons in cross-border couples were included in the 2017 baseline survey, of whom 22 438 (61.9%) were tested in follow-up in 2023. The sero-conversion rate between 2017 and 2023 was 0.51% (115/22 438). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that length of marriage <6 years, Jingpo ethnic group, education level of primary school or below, drug use, illegal marriage and HIV infected spouse were the risk factors of HIV infection in male spouses, and length of marriage <6 years, Jingpo ethnic group, illegal marriage and HIV infected spouse were the risk factors in female spouses.Conclusions:The sero-conversion rate of HIV antibody in cross-border couples in Dehong was relatively high. HIV infection was mainly caused by secondary transmission in the couples, and men might also be infected through drug use. It is necessary to strengthen the registration and management of cross-border couples, especially the couples with discordant HIV infection status, and the intervention in drug users to reduce the risk for secondary transmission of HIV in the cross-border couples.
9.Molecular mechanisms and synergistic strategies of combination therapy in breast cancer
Jiahao SI ; Jinglu SHI ; Zheng WEI ; Jin GE ; Jiajia WU ; Min YANG ; Zichu LI ; Weiwei LIN ; Yan ZHANG ; Xueqin WANG ; Na LI ; Shaobo DUAN
Immunological Journal 2025;41(9):667-678
Breast cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related mortality among women worldwide and has drawn extensive research attention.Owing to its molecular heterogeneity,drug resistance,and low therapeutic response,single-modality treatments often fail to achieve satisfactory efficacy or broad applicability.Combination therapy,designed based on the pathophysiological characteristics,related signaling pathways,and biomarkers of breast cancer,has emerged as a promising approach for improving therapeutic outcomes.With the advancement of research on combination strategies,the understanding of their molecular mechanisms—particularly key signaling pathways and biomarkers—has become increasingly important.However,comprehensive reviews addressing these molecular mechanisms and synergistic strategies remain scarce.This article summarizes recent advances in combination therapy for breast cancer,providing a comprehensive review of recent combination therapies for breast cancer and their underlying molecular mechanisms,and focusing on key signaling pathways involved in combination therapy and synergistic strategies,thereby providing theoretical insights and reference for researchers,graduate students,and clinicians engaged in the development of novel combination therapeutic strategies for breast cancer and related malignancies.
10.Experimental animal models for rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease
Qianqian YAN ; Lianhua HE ; Lili WANG ; Liting XU ; Aimin ZHOU ; Chunfang LIU ; Na LIN
Science of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;3(2):124-136
Background: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a systemic inflammatory disease primarily affecting the joints of the limbs. As the disease progresses, it can involve multiple organ systems. Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is the most common pulmonary manifestation of RA. Reported animal models of RA-ILD include adjuvant-induced arthritis (AA), collagen-induced arthritis (CIA), and transgenic mouse arthritis. However, the establishment criteria and evaluation methods for these models lack uniform standards, and they fail to fully replicate the clinicopathological characteristics of RA-ILD. This limitation significantly hinders research into the pathogenesis and development of therapeutic drugs for RA-ILD. Objective: The aim of the study was to review literature in China and abroad on RA-ILD animal models, analyze current research progress, identify existing issues, and propose research recommendations. Methods: Literature searches were conducted using the English keywords “rheumatoid arthritis, interstitial lung disease, model” and the Chinese keywords “(rheumatoid arthritis), (interstitial lung disease), (model)” or “(rheumatoid arthritis), (lung interstitial lesions), (model).” The search was performed in PubMed, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data, and VIP (China Science and Technology Journal Database) for articles published before November 2024. A total of 41 articles were included. Results and conclusions: The CIA model and the CIA model combined with bleomycin are commonly used due to their similarities to the histopathology and disease manifestations of human RA-ILD. Additionally, these models have appropriate cost and modeling duration, along with a high success rate, making them preferable choices. Transgenic animal models exhibit pathological features similar to the nonspecific interstitial pneumonia subtype of human RA-ILD and are useful for studying the genetic effects on RA-ILD. However, they have drawbacks such as high economic costs, long modeling durations, and a low success rate in some cases. The AA model is easy to establish, requires a short modeling period, and has low experimental costs. However, it lacks the chronic pathological development characteristic of human RA and exhibits a degree of self-limitation in lesion progression. Among other models, the comprehensive HLA-DQ8 transgenic mouse model can be used to study the combined effects of genetic and environmental factors on RA-ILD. The collagen autoantibody-induced arthritis model combined with bleomycin has a short modeling period, but it does not align well with the disease course of RA-ILD. These established animal models provide valuable insights into the pathogenesis of RA-ILD, the identification of novel biomarkers, and the development of new therapeutic approaches. Future research should focus on identifying an animal model that better replicates the physiological and pathological changes of clinical RA-ILD while being more convenient, cost-effective, and comprehensive in reflecting disease progression.

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