1.Analysis of risk factors and development of a nomogram model for early recurrence following curative resection of resectable pancreatic cancer
Chengyu HU ; Jianyu YANG ; Yannan XU ; Yifan YIN ; Minwei YANG ; Xueliang FU ; Dejun LIU ; Yanmiao HUO ; Wei LIU ; Junfeng ZHANG ; Yongwei SUN ; Rong HUA
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology 2025;25(2):104-111
Objective:To identify independent risk factors for early recurrence following curative resection of resectable pancreatic cancer and establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:Clinical data from 405 patients with resectable pancreatic cancer treated at Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine from February 2010 to December 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were stratified into a training cohort (265 patients form February 2010 to December 2018) and a validation cohort (140 patients from January 2019 to December 2020) based on surgery dates. Optimal cutoff values for clinical variables were determined using X-tile software. Independent risk factors were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. Kaplan-Meier curves for recurrence-free survival (RFS) were generated across subgroups, and a nomogram was developed to predict early recurrence (within 1 year post-surgery). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tROC) curves was drawn and area under the curve (AUC) metrics were utilized to evaluate predictive accuracy, while model reliability was assessed by calibration curves. Individualized risk scores derived from the nomogram were stratified into high- and low-risk groups using X-tile-derived cutoff values. Survival differences between groups were analyzed via log-rank tests. The clinical application value was judged by decision curve analysis (DCA) compared to TNM staging. Results:In the training cohort, 139 patients (52.45%) experienced early recurrence, with a median RFS of 11.1 months [interquartile range ( IQR): 6.0-26.0]. The validation cohort reported 70 early recurrences (50.00%) and a median RFS of 11.8 months ( IQR: 4.9-21.4). Univariate analysis revealed significant associations between early recurrence and tumor diameter, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), systemic immune-inflammation index (SⅡ), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Multivariate analysis identified tumor diameter ≥3.75 cm ( HR=1.718, 95% CI 1.223-2.412, P=0.002), CA19-9≥218 U/ml ( HR=1.567, 95% CI 1.107-2.220, P=0.011), CA125≥20.98 U/ml ( HR=2.501, 95% CI 1.768-3.539, P<0.001), SⅡ≥388.28 ( HR=1.708, 95% CI 1.096-2.662, P=0.018), and PNI<53.18 ( HR=0.596, 95% CI 0.404-0.879, P=0.009) as independent risk factors for early recurrence. The nomogram achieved AUC values of 0.771 and 0.708 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration curves demonstrated strong agreement between predicted and observed survival probabilities. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed significantly lower 1-year RFS rates in high-risk versus low-risk groups for both cohorts (training: HR=3.65, 95% CI 2.45-5.44, P<0.001; validation: HR=2.37, 95% CI 1.39-4.06, P=0.001). DCA indicated superior net benefit of the nomogram over TNM staging across threshold probabilities of 0.2-0.9. Conclusions:The proposed nomogram effectively integrates clinical and serological biomarkers to preoperatively assess early recurrence risk in resectable pancreatic cancer patients, offering enhanced precision for clinical decision-making.
2.Analysis of risk factors and development of a nomogram model for early recurrence following curative resection of resectable pancreatic cancer
Chengyu HU ; Jianyu YANG ; Yannan XU ; Yifan YIN ; Minwei YANG ; Xueliang FU ; Dejun LIU ; Yanmiao HUO ; Wei LIU ; Junfeng ZHANG ; Yongwei SUN ; Rong HUA
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology 2025;25(2):104-111
Objective:To identify independent risk factors for early recurrence following curative resection of resectable pancreatic cancer and establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:Clinical data from 405 patients with resectable pancreatic cancer treated at Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine from February 2010 to December 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were stratified into a training cohort (265 patients form February 2010 to December 2018) and a validation cohort (140 patients from January 2019 to December 2020) based on surgery dates. Optimal cutoff values for clinical variables were determined using X-tile software. Independent risk factors were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. Kaplan-Meier curves for recurrence-free survival (RFS) were generated across subgroups, and a nomogram was developed to predict early recurrence (within 1 year post-surgery). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tROC) curves was drawn and area under the curve (AUC) metrics were utilized to evaluate predictive accuracy, while model reliability was assessed by calibration curves. Individualized risk scores derived from the nomogram were stratified into high- and low-risk groups using X-tile-derived cutoff values. Survival differences between groups were analyzed via log-rank tests. The clinical application value was judged by decision curve analysis (DCA) compared to TNM staging. Results:In the training cohort, 139 patients (52.45%) experienced early recurrence, with a median RFS of 11.1 months [interquartile range ( IQR): 6.0-26.0]. The validation cohort reported 70 early recurrences (50.00%) and a median RFS of 11.8 months ( IQR: 4.9-21.4). Univariate analysis revealed significant associations between early recurrence and tumor diameter, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), systemic immune-inflammation index (SⅡ), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Multivariate analysis identified tumor diameter ≥3.75 cm ( HR=1.718, 95% CI 1.223-2.412, P=0.002), CA19-9≥218 U/ml ( HR=1.567, 95% CI 1.107-2.220, P=0.011), CA125≥20.98 U/ml ( HR=2.501, 95% CI 1.768-3.539, P<0.001), SⅡ≥388.28 ( HR=1.708, 95% CI 1.096-2.662, P=0.018), and PNI<53.18 ( HR=0.596, 95% CI 0.404-0.879, P=0.009) as independent risk factors for early recurrence. The nomogram achieved AUC values of 0.771 and 0.708 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration curves demonstrated strong agreement between predicted and observed survival probabilities. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed significantly lower 1-year RFS rates in high-risk versus low-risk groups for both cohorts (training: HR=3.65, 95% CI 2.45-5.44, P<0.001; validation: HR=2.37, 95% CI 1.39-4.06, P=0.001). DCA indicated superior net benefit of the nomogram over TNM staging across threshold probabilities of 0.2-0.9. Conclusions:The proposed nomogram effectively integrates clinical and serological biomarkers to preoperatively assess early recurrence risk in resectable pancreatic cancer patients, offering enhanced precision for clinical decision-making.
3.The effect of perineural invasion on immune cell infiltration in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma by CIBERSORT
Dapeng XU ; Hongfei YAO ; Yichao LIN ; Yu XU ; Ding MA ; Minwei YANG ; Jianyu YANG ; Rong HUA ; Yongwei SUN ; Junfeng ZHANG
Tumor 2024;44(5):500-509
Objective:To analyze the effect of perineural invasion(PNI)on immune cell infiltration in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma(PDAC)by the CIBERSORT deconvolution algorithm.Methods:The pancreatic cancer patients from the dataset GSE102238 were re-evaluated for the severity of PNI.And then the high and low PNI subgroups were subjected to immune scoring and immune cell infiltration analysis using the ESTIMATE and CIBERSORT algorithms to find immune cell subgroups associated with PNI.Finally,the results were validated by tissue microarrays.Results:Twenty-five cases were selected from 50 pancreatic cancer specimens for PNI reassessment and then divided into two high and low groups.Compared to the low PNI group,specimens from patients in the high group showed significantly less CD8+T-cell infiltration(P<0.05)and significantly more resting memory CD4+T-cells and M0 macrophages(P<0.05).Significantly reduced CD8+T cells(P<0.01)and slightly increased CD4+T cells(P<0.05)were confirmed in the patients with the high PNI using tissue microarrays.Meanwhile,macrophages significantly increased in the high PNI group(P<0.001).Conclusion:High PNI in PDAC inhibits infiltration of CD8+T cells which promote the infiltration of macrophages.
4.The effect of perineural invasion on immune cell infiltration in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma by CIBERSORT
Dapeng XU ; Hongfei YAO ; Yichao LIN ; Yu XU ; Ding MA ; Minwei YANG ; Jianyu YANG ; Rong HUA ; Yongwei SUN ; Junfeng ZHANG
Tumor 2024;44(5):500-509
Objective:To analyze the effect of perineural invasion(PNI)on immune cell infiltration in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma(PDAC)by the CIBERSORT deconvolution algorithm.Methods:The pancreatic cancer patients from the dataset GSE102238 were re-evaluated for the severity of PNI.And then the high and low PNI subgroups were subjected to immune scoring and immune cell infiltration analysis using the ESTIMATE and CIBERSORT algorithms to find immune cell subgroups associated with PNI.Finally,the results were validated by tissue microarrays.Results:Twenty-five cases were selected from 50 pancreatic cancer specimens for PNI reassessment and then divided into two high and low groups.Compared to the low PNI group,specimens from patients in the high group showed significantly less CD8+T-cell infiltration(P<0.05)and significantly more resting memory CD4+T-cells and M0 macrophages(P<0.05).Significantly reduced CD8+T cells(P<0.01)and slightly increased CD4+T cells(P<0.05)were confirmed in the patients with the high PNI using tissue microarrays.Meanwhile,macrophages significantly increased in the high PNI group(P<0.001).Conclusion:High PNI in PDAC inhibits infiltration of CD8+T cells which promote the infiltration of macrophages.
5.Artificial femoral head replacement combined with intraoperative femoral calcar reconstruction to treat senile unstable intertrochanteric fractures
Xiaobing CHU ; Minwei JIN ; Yang YANG ; Rui DONG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2021;23(9):809-812
Objective:To evaluate collared and bipolar hemiarthroplasty combined with medial femoral calcar reconstruction in the treatment of senile patients with osteoporotic unstable intertrochanteric fracture.Methods:The data of 28 senile patients with unstable femoral intertrochanteric fracture were retrospectively analyzed who had been admitted to Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital to Zhejiang University of Chinese Medicine from March 2014 to February 2020. They were 8 males and 20 females, aged from 75 to 99 years (average, 81.5 years). All the fractures were low violence injuries due to falls. By the Evans-Jensen classification, there were 2 cases of type Ⅲ, 5 cases of type Ⅳ and 21 cases of type Ⅴ. All patients were osteoporotic, with a BMD T-score ranging from -4.5 to -2.0. Surgery was performed 2 to 6 days after injury (3.8 days on average). Corail collared femoral stems and bipolar ball heads produced by DePuy company were selected for implantation during surgery. Their fractures were reduced and fixated by titanium wire bundling system or bifilar winding wire bundles. The femoral calcar reconstruction was accomplished by inserting the beak-shaped distal part of the head-neck fracture fragment into the femoral medullary cavity together with the medial side of the stem just under the collar and impacting it to a tight position.Results:The average operation time for this group of patients was 62 min (from 50 to 85 min) and the average intraoperative blood loss 170 mL (from 110 to 320 mL). All the 28 patients were followed up for 10 to 71 months (average, 46 months). Their Harris hip scores averaged 92 points (from 89 to 96 points) at 6 months after operation. Two patients developed intermuscular venous thrombosis in the calf after operation. During follow-up, none of the patients had such complications as deep iliac femoral vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, incision infection, or deep prosthesis infection. At the last follow-up, their Harris hip scores averaged 88 points (from 82 to 96 points).Conclusion:For some senile patients with osteoporotic unstable intertrochanteric fracture, collared and bipolar hemiarthroplasty combined with medial femoral calcar reconstruction can achieve fine therapeutic efficacy.
6.Effect of Chaiqinchengqi decoction combined with esomeprazole on cytokines and intestinal mucosal barrier function in patients with severe acute pancreatitis
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2020;27(13):1564-1568
Objective:To investigate the effect of Chaiqinchengqi decoction combined with esomeprazole on cytokines and intestinal mucosal barrier function in patients with severe acute pancreatitis.Methods:From January 2018 to September 2019, 62 patients with severe acute pancreatitis who were treated in the Third People's Hospital of Zhuji were selected, and they were randomly divided into control group and combined group according to the random number table method, with 31 cases in each group.The control group was treated with esomeprazole, while the combined group was treated with Chaiqinchengqi decoction on the basis of the control group.The treatment course of the two groups was 14 days.The therapeutic effect and the recovery of gastrointestinal function of the two groups were compared.The changes of inflammatory factors and intestinal mucosal barrier function were observed before and after 14 days of treatment.Results:The total effective rate of the combined group was 93.55%(29/31), which was higher than that of the control group[67.74%(21/31)], the difference was statistically significant(χ 2=6.613, P<0.05). The recovery time of abdominal distention[(2.61±0.32)d], abdominal pain[(4.78±1.24)d] and bowel sounds[(1.96±0.37)d] in the combined group were shorter than those in the control group[(5.23±1.21)d, (8.63±1.49)d and (4.12±1.17)d], the differences were statistically significant( t=11.655, 11.058, 9.801, all P<0.05). The serum levels of TNF-α[(29.74±6.13)ng/L], IL-6[(35.46±8.71)ng/L] and CRP[(62.13±10.48)mg/L] in the combined group were lower than those in the control group[(49.65±8.76)ng/L, (59.73±6.63)ng/L and (98.74±15.36)mg/L], the differences were statistically significant( t=10.368, 12.345, 10.962, all P<0.05). The levels of DAO[(1.72±0.62)ng/L], D-lactate[(7.85±1.43)mg/L] and endotoxin[(2.13±0.46)Iu/L] in the combined group were lower than those in the control group[(3.20±0.56)ng/L, (11.27±3.10)mg/L and (4.25±0.51)Iu/L], the differences were statistically significant ( t=9.863, 5.578, 17.186, all P<0.05). Conclusion:Chaiqinchengqi decoction combined with esomeprazole is effective in the treatment of severe acute pancreatitis, which can reduce the cellular inflammatory response and improve the intestinal mucosal barrier function.
7.Analysis on the causes of unscheduled suspensions of knee and hip arthroplasty
Yang LI ; Zijian LI ; Ke ZHANG ; Hua TIAN ; Yanqing LIU ; Hong CAI ; Feng LI ; Minwei ZHAO
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2017;49(2):231-235
Objective:To analyze and summarize the causes of unscheduled suspension of knee and hip arthroplasty and to provide the method for optimizing the patient's pre-operative management and improving the efficiency of medical resources as well as the patient's satisfaction.Methods: The data for this report was retrospectively collected from September 2013 to August 2014 in our hospital,from cases of knee and hip arthroplasty that were suspended before the scheduled operation time.Acquisition data from the collected cases including the patients' gender,age and the surgical procedure.At the same time,the suspension reasons were recorded and analyzed.All the decisions of suspension was made by the surgeons and the anesthesiologists according to the abnormal result of preoperative examinations,after communicating with the patients and their families and obtaining their understandings.Results: In the collecting period,our department scheduled 1 146 cases of knee and hip arthroplasty,among which 1 003 were completed,143 suspended (12.5% suspension rate).Among the causes of suspension,the top four common causes were cardiovascular disease (44/143,31%),other infections (20/143,14%),bacteriuria (18/143,13%) and inappropriate surgical indication (16/143,11%).Other causes include surgeon's reason,Blood system abnormalities,high inflammatory index,deep vein thrombosis,other diseases uncontrolled,abnormal liver function and poor diabetes mellitus control,etc.For the rate of suspension,there was no significant difference between the patients with different genders (male: 15.0%,and female: 11.7%,P=0.149),or age (≤50 years: 13.0%;51-65 years: 11.6%;66-80 years 13.3%;>80 years 11.1%;P=0.864).However compared with knee arthroplasty,hip arthroplasty had a higher suspension rate (knee arthroplasry 11.1%,hip arthroplasry 16.1%,P=0.021).Conclusion: It is important to educate and manage the patients before their knee and hip arthroplasty.Through clear diagnosis,detailed medical history analysis careful physical examination,and targeted outpatient examinations and tests for which priority was focused on cardiovascular or other system diseases we could minimize the occurrence of operative suspension post hospitalization,therefore improving the efficiency of the use of medical resources.
8.Hydrogen can alleviate post-cardiac arrest myocardium injury in rabbits
Jingao WANG ; Jiyan LIN ; Minwei ZHANG ; Yujing HE ; Xiaowen PAN ; Chengbin YANG ; Dongmei CAI
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2017;29(10):911-915
Objective To investigate the effects of hydrogen (H2) on myocardium injury post-cardiac arrest (CA) in rabbits.Methods Sixty New Zealand rabbits were randomly divided into H2 treatment group (n = 30) and control group (n = 30) by random number table. The rabbit CA model was established by means of electrical stimulation of external membrane, both groups were mechanically ventilated. Cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) was performed after 6 minutes of nonintervention, and stopped after restoration of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Inhalation of 2% H2 gas was conferred to rabbits immediately at the end of CA modeling for 72 hours in H2 treatment group. Air was given to rabbits in control group instead. The survival rate of rabbits was analyzed. Heart rate, ventricular premature beat frequency, and the levels of blood samples cardiac troponin I (cTnI), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), and blood lactic acid (Lac) were collected before CA and after ROSC in all rabbits. Rabbits were sacrificed and microstructure injury was observed by electric microscope after ROSC 72 hours.Results There were 28 animals ROSC in both groups; the survival number in H2 treatment group was higher than that in control group at 72 hours after ROSC (number: 15 vs. 7,χ2 = 4.791,P = 0.029). In the early stage of ROSC, the heart rate of two groups slowed down, the number of premature ventricular increased, and then gradually recovered; the heart rate in H2 treatment group was returning to normal more quickly than that in control group at 48 hours after ROSC (bpm: 319±63 vs. 362±40,P < 0.05); the ventricular premature beat frequency was lower than that in control group at 72 hours after ROSC (times per minutes: 9.1±4.3 vs. 15.0±8.0,P < 0.05). The animals of two groups had different degrees of myocardial damage and cardiac insufficiency after ROSC, and restored with the extension of time. Compared with control group, the level of BNP in H2 treatment group was significant decreased at 24 hours after ROSC (ng/L: 385±98 vs. 488±174,P < 0.05), the levels of cTnI and Lac were significant decreased at 48 hours after ROSC [cTnI (μg/L:1.83±0.68 vs. 2.83±0.98, Lac (mmol/L): 5.5±1.6 vs. 7.9±2.6, bothP < 0.01], the LVEF was slightly higher than that at 72 hours after ROSC (0.690±0.040 vs. 0.650±0.041,P = 0.051). Compared with control group, less damage to myocardial ultra structure was found in H2 treatment group at 72 hours after ROSC.Conclusion Inhalation of H2 alleviates cardiac dysfunction and myocardial injury after CPR.
9.Experience and consideration about the visiting scholar system majoring in orthopedics of Peking University Health Science Center
Lu WANG ; Hua TIAN ; Yang LI ; Minwei ZHAO ; Feifei ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2017;16(7):741-745
The continuing education system at the Peking University Health Science Center for vis-iting scholars (Research program for young and middle-aged doctors) is a relatively advanced and compre-hensive medical continuing education system in China, among which, the tutorial system is a good method to guide the visiting scholars of continuing education. On this basis we conducted scholars learning effect questionnaire survey and combined with the feedback results, discussed the advantages and disadvantages of the current educational system of visiting scholars in China, and put forward some concrete suggestions on the development of the continuing education in China.
10.Ventilator bundle guided by context of JCI settings can effectively reduce the morbidity of ventilator-associated pneumonia
Lili ZHAO ; Lili LIU ; Jing CHEN ; Caili YANG ; Jianjian NIE ; Minwei ZHANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2017;29(7):624-628
Objective To observe the impact of improving the compliance of ventilator bundle on morbidity of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients undergoing mechanical ventilation (MV) guided by context of Joint Commission International (JCI) settings, and to study the oral care efficacy of suction tube sponge brush. Methods A prospective study was conducted. The patients who needed MV admitted to Department of Critical Care Medicine of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University from January 2013 to December 2016 were enrolled. In the context of JCI settings, necessary measurements were taken to enhance the compliance of ventilator bundle each year. In 2013, the preventive measures were set up and the education was strengthened. In 2014,the compliance of hand hygiene and bedside elevation was strengthened. In 2015, a control study was conducted to evaluate the effect between the traditional cotton dipped in chlorhexidine and the suction tube sponge brush rinsed with chlorhexidine on oral health impact parameters. The suction tube sponge brush rinsed with chlorhexidine oral care was introduced to improve compliance. In 2016, electronic bundle checklist for daily self-audits was conducted. The annually morbidity of VAP through the software of hospital and ICU was collected and calculated. The annual incidence of VAP was indicated by the VAP cases per 1000 MV days. Based on the VAP incidence rate in 2013 as 1, the VAP incidence-rate ratio (IRR) of each year was calculated. Results During the study period, a total of 2733 patients admitted to the ICU, including 1403 patients undergoing MV. Ninety-four of the 1403 patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), aspiration pneumonia, back elevation ban, incomplete information, and withdrew from the study were excluded. 1399 patients undergoing MV were enrolled in the final analysis, with total MV days of 11012 days, and 94 patients occurred VAP. The annual incidence of VAP was progressively declined from 2013 to 2016, and the VAP cases per 1000 MV days were 17.0, 10.0, 5.9, 3.5 cases, respectively. Based on the VAP incidence rate in 2013, the IRR of VAP from 2014 to 2016 was also progressively declined, which was 0.59 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) = 0.35-0.98], 0.35 (95%CI = 0.18-0.64), and 0.21 (95%CI = 0.09-0.41), with statistical significance (all P < 0.05). In 2013, ICU patients had the lowest rates of bedside elevation and hand hygiene compliance, which were 28.57% and 54.29%, respectively. Compared with 2013, by the implementation of two quality control circle (QCC) projects for bedside elevation and hand hygiene, the rates of bedside elevation and hand hygiene compliance were improved significantly in 2014, which were 82.35%, 91.18%, respectively (both P < 0.05). In 2015, the compliance of chlorhexidine oral care which was the worst performed in 2014 had been improved by the method of QCC, and the rate of the compliance was significantly higher than that in 2013 (87.10% vs. 62.86%, P < 0.05). Compared with 2013, bundle compliance was significantly increased in 2016, except for the sterile operation of the suction tube [daily wake and weaning: 95.00% vs. 71.43%, bedside elevation for over 30°: 92.50% vs. 28.57%, hand hygiene: 97.50% vs. 54.29%, chlorhexidine mouth care once per 6-8 hours:95.00% vs. 62.86%, turned back and posture drainage: 97.50% vs. 80.00%], the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). The incidences of bad breath, dirt residue and plaque were significantly lower in the group of oral care by using suction tube sponge brush with chlorhexidine (30 cases) compared with the group of traditional cotton pad with chlorhexidine (30 cases; bad breath: 10.0% vs. 40.0% %, dirt residue: 16.7% vs. 70.0%, plaque: 3.3% vs. 30.0%, all P < 0.05). There was no significant difference in the incidence of oral ulcers between the oral brush group and the traditional group (10.0% vs. 30.0%, P > 0.05). Conclusion Ventilator bundle can effectively reduce the morbidity of VAP in the context of JCI settings, and the oral care by using suction tube sponge brush and chlorhexidine can effectively improve oral hygiene.

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