1.Early Prediction of Mortality for Septic Patients Visiting Emergency Room Based on Explainable Machine Learning: A Real-World Multicenter Study
Sang Won PARK ; Na Young YEO ; Seonguk KANG ; Taejun HA ; Tae-Hoon KIM ; DooHee LEE ; Dowon KIM ; Seheon CHOI ; Minkyu KIM ; DongHoon LEE ; DoHyeon KIM ; Woo Jin KIM ; Seung-Joon LEE ; Yeon-Jeong HEO ; Da Hye MOON ; Seon-Sook HAN ; Yoon KIM ; Hyun-Soo CHOI ; Dong Kyu OH ; Su Yeon LEE ; MiHyeon PARK ; Chae-Man LIM ; Jeongwon HEO ; On behalf of the Korean Sepsis Alliance (KSA) Investigators
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2024;39(5):e53-
Background:
Worldwide, sepsis is the leading cause of death in hospitals. If mortality rates in patients with sepsis can be predicted early, medical resources can be allocated efficiently. We constructed machine learning (ML) models to predict the mortality of patients with sepsis in a hospital emergency department.
Methods:
This study prospectively collected nationwide data from an ongoing multicenter cohort of patients with sepsis identified in the emergency department. Patients were enrolled from 19 hospitals between September 2019 and December 2020. For acquired data from 3,657 survivors and 1,455 deaths, six ML models (logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, extreme gradient boosting [XGBoost], light gradient boosting machine, and categorical boosting [CatBoost]) were constructed using fivefold cross-validation to predict mortality. Through these models, 44 clinical variables measured on the day of admission were compared with six sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) components (PaO 2 /FIO 2 [PF], platelets (PLT), bilirubin, cardiovascular, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and creatinine).The confidence interval (CI) was obtained by performing 10,000 repeated measurements via random sampling of the test dataset. All results were explained and interpreted using Shapley’s additive explanations (SHAP).
Results:
Of the 5,112 participants, CatBoost exhibited the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.800 (95% CI, 0.756–0.840) using clinical variables. Using the SOFA components for the same patient, XGBoost exhibited the highest AUC of 0.678 (95% CI, 0.626–0.730). As interpreted by SHAP, albumin, lactate, blood urea nitrogen, and international normalization ratio were determined to significantly affect the results. Additionally, PF and PLTs in the SOFA component significantly influenced the prediction results.
Conclusion
Newly established ML-based models achieved good prediction of mortality in patients with sepsis. Using several clinical variables acquired at the baseline can provide more accurate results for early predictions than using SOFA components. Additionally, the impact of each variable was identified.
2.Erratum: Korean Practice Guidelines for Gastric Cancer 2022: An Evidencebased, Multidisciplinary Approach
Tae-Han KIM ; In-Ho KIM ; Seung Joo KANG ; Miyoung CHOI ; Baek-Hui KIM ; Bang Wool EOM ; Bum Jun KIM ; Byung-Hoon MIN ; Chang In CHOI ; Cheol Min SHIN ; Chung Hyun TAE ; Chung sik GONG ; Dong Jin KIM ; Arthur Eung-Hyuck CHO ; Eun Jeong GONG ; Geum Jong SONG ; Hyeon-Su IM ; Hye Seong AHN ; Hyun LIM ; Hyung-Don KIM ; Jae-Joon KIM ; Jeong Il YU ; Jeong Won LEE ; Ji Yeon PARK ; Jwa Hoon KIM ; Kyoung Doo SONG ; Minkyu JUNG ; Mi Ran JUNG ; Sang-Yong SON ; Shin-Hoo PARK ; Soo Jin KIM ; Sung Hak LEE ; Tae-Yong KIM ; Woo Kyun BAE ; Woong Sub KOOM ; Yeseob JEE ; Yoo Min KIM ; Yoonjin KWAK ; Young Suk PARK ; Hye Sook HAN ; Su Youn NAM ; Seong-Ho KONG
Journal of Gastric Cancer 2023;23(2):365-373
3.Korean Practice Guidelines for Gastric Cancer 2022: An Evidence-based, Multidisciplinary Approach
Tae-Han KIM ; In-Ho KIM ; Seung Joo KANG ; Miyoung CHOI ; Baek-Hui KIM ; Bang Wool EOM ; Bum Jun KIM ; Byung-Hoon MIN ; Chang In CHOI ; Cheol Min SHIN ; Chung Hyun TAE ; Chung sik GONG ; Dong Jin KIM ; Arthur Eung-Hyuck CHO ; Eun Jeong GONG ; Geum Jong SONG ; Hyeon-Su IM ; Hye Seong AHN ; Hyun LIM ; Hyung-Don KIM ; Jae-Joon KIM ; Jeong Il YU ; Jeong Won LEE ; Ji Yeon PARK ; Jwa Hoon KIM ; Kyoung Doo SONG ; Minkyu JUNG ; Mi Ran JUNG ; Sang-Yong SON ; Shin-Hoo PARK ; Soo Jin KIM ; Sung Hak LEE ; Tae-Yong KIM ; Woo Kyun BAE ; Woong Sub KOOM ; Yeseob JEE ; Yoo Min KIM ; Yoonjin KWAK ; Young Suk PARK ; Hye Sook HAN ; Su Youn NAM ; Seong-Ho KONG ;
Journal of Gastric Cancer 2023;23(1):3-106
Gastric cancer is one of the most common cancers in Korea and the world. Since 2004, this is the 4th gastric cancer guideline published in Korea which is the revised version of previous evidence-based approach in 2018. Current guideline is a collaborative work of the interdisciplinary working group including experts in the field of gastric surgery, gastroenterology, endoscopy, medical oncology, abdominal radiology, pathology, nuclear medicine, radiation oncology and guideline development methodology. Total of 33 key questions were updated or proposed after a collaborative review by the working group and 40 statements were developed according to the systematic review using the MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library and KoreaMed database. The level of evidence and the grading of recommendations were categorized according to the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation proposition. Evidence level, benefit, harm, and clinical applicability was considered as the significant factors for recommendation. The working group reviewed recommendations and discussed for consensus. In the earlier part, general consideration discusses screening, diagnosis and staging of endoscopy, pathology, radiology, and nuclear medicine. Flowchart is depicted with statements which is supported by meta-analysis and references. Since clinical trial and systematic review was not suitable for postoperative oncologic and nutritional follow-up, working group agreed to conduct a nationwide survey investigating the clinical practice of all tertiary or general hospitals in Korea. The purpose of this survey was to provide baseline information on follow up. Herein we present a multidisciplinary-evidence based gastric cancer guideline.
4.Primary Open Reduction and Plate Fixation in Open Comminuted Intra-Articular Distal Radius Fracture
Jun-Ku LEE ; Soonchul LEE ; Weon Min CHO ; Minkyu KIL ; Soo-Hong HAN
Journal of the Korean Fracture Society 2021;34(1):16-22
Purpose:
There are no standard surgical treatments for open distal radius fractures (DRFs), and the fracture fixator is chosen by the surgeon’s own experience. This study compared the outcomes of open reduction and volar locking plating (OR VLP) between closed and open AO-OTA type C3 DRFs.
Materials and Methods:
Patient data were retrospectively collected between January 2010 and December 2018. Only patients aged >18 years with AO-OTA C3 DRFs were included. After further exclusion, the patients with DRFs were divided into two groups: 13 patients with open DRFs in Group 1 and 203 patients with closed DRFs in Group 2. Data on the patient characteristics and treatment-related factors were further investigated. For the radiological evaluation, the radial height, volar height, and volar titling were measured based on the final plain radiography, and the union time was measured. The wristrange of motion (ROM), pain visual analogue scale score, and modified Mayo wrist score for function were measured at the final outpatient follow-up. Finally, the complications associated with OR VLP fixa-tion were investigated.
Results:
In the demographic comparison, the patients with open fractures were older (mean age, 62years) than those with closed fractures (mean age, 57 years), without a statistically significant differ-ence. The patients with open DRFs had longer antibiotic therapy and hospital stay durations. Although they presented a higher radial inclination, with statistical significance, the clinical implication was low with a mean difference of 3°. No significant differences were observed for the remaining radiologicalparameters, wrist ROM, and functional scores. An open DRF did not increase the complication rates,including deep infection.
Conclusion
Depending on the expertise of the operating surgeon, the primary OR VLP fixation in open intra-articular comminuted DRF did not increase the incidence of deep infections and yielded similar outcomes to a closed intra-articular comminuted DRF.
5.Associated Factors for Asthma Severity in Korean Children: A Korean Childhood Asthma Study
Eun LEE ; Dae Jin SONG ; Woo Kyung KIM ; Dong In SUH ; Hey Sung BAEK ; Meeyong SHIN ; Young YOO ; Jin Tack KIM ; Ji Won KWON ; Gwang Cheon JANG ; Dae Hyun LIM ; Hyeon Jong YANG ; Hwan Soo KIM ; Ju Hee SEO ; Sung Il WOO ; Hyung Young KIM ; Youn Ho SHIN ; Ju Suk LEE ; Jisun YOON ; Sungsu JUNG ; Minkyu HAN ; Eunjin EOM ; Jinho YU
Allergy, Asthma & Immunology Research 2020;12(1):86-98
PURPOSE: Childhood asthma has a considerable social impact and economic burden, especially in severe asthma. This study aimed to identify the proportion of childhood asthma severity and to evaluate associated factors for greater asthma severity. METHODS: This study was performed on 667 children aged 5–15 years with asthma from the nationwide 19 hospitals in the Korean childhood Asthma Study (KAS). Asthma was classified as mild intermittent, mild persistent, and moderate/severe persistent groups according to the National Asthma Education and Prevention Program recommendations. Multinomial logistic regression models were used to identify the associated factors for greater asthma severity. RESULTS: Mild persistent asthma was most prevalent (39.0%), followed by mild intermittent (37.6%), moderate persistent (22.8%), and severe persistent asthma (0.6%). Onset later than 6 years of age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.69 for mild persistent asthma; aOR, 1.92 for moderate/severe persistent asthma) tended to increase asthma severity. Exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (aOR, 1.53 for mild persistent asthma; aOR, 1.85 for moderate/severe persistent asthma), and current dog ownership with sensitization to dog dander (aOR, 5.86 for mild persistent asthma; aOR, 6.90 for moderate/severe persistent asthma) showed increasing trends with greater asthma severity. Lower maternal education levels (aOR, 2.32) and no usage of an air purifier in exposure to high levels of outdoor air pollution (aOR, 1.76) were associated with moderate/severe persistent asthma. CONCLUSIONS: Modification of identified environmental factors associated with greater asthma severity might help better control childhood asthma, thereby reducing the disease burden due to childhood asthma.
Air Filters
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Air Pollution
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Animals
;
Asthma
;
Child
;
Dander
;
Dogs
;
Education
;
Environmental Exposure
;
Humans
;
Logistic Models
;
Odds Ratio
;
Ownership
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Risk Factors
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Smoke
;
Social Change
;
Tobacco
6.High-Flow Nasal Cannula Oxygen Therapy Can Be Effective for Patients in Acute Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure with Hypercapnia: a Retrospective, Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Study
SooHyun BAE ; Minkyu HAN ; Changyoung KIM ; Hyeji LEE ; Jong Joon AHN ; Jin Hyoung KIM ; Byung Ju KANG
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2020;35(10):67-
BACKGROUND: Usually, high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy is indicated for de novo acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF). Although only a few researches have examined the effectiveness of HFNC therapy for respiratory failure with hypercapnia, this therapy is often performed under such conditions for various reasons. We investigated the effectiveness of HFNC therapy for AHRF patients with hypercapnia compared to those without hypercapnia.METHODS: All consecutive patients receiving HFNC therapy between January 2012 and June 2018 at a university hospital were enrolled and classified into nonhypercapnic and hypercapnic groups. We compared the outcomes of both groups and adjusted the outcomes with propensity score matching.RESULTS: A total of 862 patients were enrolled, of which 202 were included in the hypercapnic group. HFNC weaning success rates were higher, and intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital mortality was lower in the hypercapnic group than in the nonhypercapnic group (all P < 0.05). However, no statistical differences in HFNC weaning success (adjusted P = 0.623, matched P = 0.593), ICU mortality (adjusted P = 0.463, matched P = 0.195), and hospital mortality (adjusted P = 0.602, matched P = 0.579) were noted from the propensity-adjusted and propensity-matched analyses. Additionally, in the propensity score-matched subgroup analysis (according to chronic lung diseases and causes of HFNC application), there was also no significant difference in outcomes between the two groups.CONCLUSION: In AHRF with underlying conditions, HFNC therapy might be helpful for patients with hypercapnia. Large prospective and randomized controlled trials are required for firm conclusions.
7.Sarcopenia is associated with severe erectile dysfunction in older adults: a population-based cohort study
Hyungchul PARK ; Il-Young JANG ; Minkyu HAN ; Heayon LEE ; Hee-Won JUNG ; Eunju LEE ; Dae Hyun KIM
The Korean Journal of Internal Medicine 2020;35(5):1245-1253
Background/Aims:
Sarcopenia and erectile dysfunction (ED) are associated withpoor health and quality of life in older men. We investigate the association betweensarcopenia and severe ED in community-dwelling older men.
Methods:
We prospectively assessed sarcopenia and ED in 519, community-dwelling, older men (mean age, 74.0) in Pyeongchang, Korea, in 2016 to 2017. Sarcopenia was based on muscle mass, grip strength, and gait speed according to the Asian Working Group consensus algorithm. Severe ED was defined as 5-item International Index of Erectile Function questionnaire score under 8. Logistic regressions were used to study associations between incident severe ED and sarcopenia, after adjusting age, cardiovascular risk factors, depression, and polypharmacy.
Results:
The prevalence of severe ED was 52.4% and that of sarcopenia was 31.6%.At baseline, the prevalence of severe ED was higher in men with sarcopenia than in those without (73.2% vs. 42.8%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18 to 3.03; p = 0.008). Slow gait speed (aOR, 2.80; 95% CI, 1.18 to 6.62;p = 0.019) and decreased muscle mass (aOR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.11 to 5.81; p = 0.027) were associated with the incidence of severe ED, while decreased grip strength (aOR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.30 to 1.91;p = 0.564) was not.
Conclusions
Sarcopenia was associated with severe ED. Slow gait speed, and decreased muscle mass was independently associated with incident severe ED at 1 year. Further research is warranted to examine whether an intervention targeting these components can prevent severe ED.
8.Clinical Implications of Preoperative Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation with Respect to Postoperative Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Non-Cardiac Surgery
Min Soo CHO ; Cheol Hyun LEE ; Jun KIM ; Jung Min AHN ; Minkyu HAN ; Gi Byoung NAM ; Kee Joon CHOI ; You Ho KIM
Korean Circulation Journal 2020;50(2):148-159
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a higher long-term risk of major cardiovascular events. However, its clinical implications with respect to peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery is unclear. We tried to examine the association between pre-operative AF and peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes.
METHODS:
We retrospectively analyzed data from 26,501 consecutive patients who underwent comprehensive preoperative cardiac evaluations for risk stratification prior to receiving non-cardiac surgery at our center. Preoperative AF was diagnosed in 1,098 patients (4.1%), and their cardiovascular outcomes were compared with those of patients without AF. The primary outcome was the rate of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) during immediate post-surgery period (<30 days).
RESULTS:
Patients with AF were older and had higher proportion of male sex, higher rate of extra-cardiac comorbidities, higher CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, and higher revised cardiac risk index (RCRI) compared with those without AF. The rate of MACCE was significantly higher in AF patients compared to non-AF patients (4.6% vs. 1.2%, p<0.001). Preoperative AF was associated with higher risk of MACCE, even after multivariable adjustment (odds ratio, 2.97; 95% confidence interval, 2.13–4.07, p<0.001). The relative contribution of AF to MACCE was larger in patients with lower RCRI (p for interaction=0.010). The discriminating performance of RCRI was significantly enhanced by addition of AF.
CONCLUSIONS
In patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery, preoperative AF was associated with a higher risk of peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes.
9.Clinical Implications of Preoperative Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation with Respect to Postoperative Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Non-Cardiac Surgery
Min Soo CHO ; Cheol Hyun LEE ; Jun KIM ; Jung Min AHN ; Minkyu HAN ; Gi Byoung NAM ; Kee Joon CHOI ; You Ho KIM
Korean Circulation Journal 2020;50(2):148-159
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a higher long-term risk of major cardiovascular events. However, its clinical implications with respect to peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery is unclear. We tried to examine the association between pre-operative AF and peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes.METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data from 26,501 consecutive patients who underwent comprehensive preoperative cardiac evaluations for risk stratification prior to receiving non-cardiac surgery at our center. Preoperative AF was diagnosed in 1,098 patients (4.1%), and their cardiovascular outcomes were compared with those of patients without AF. The primary outcome was the rate of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) during immediate post-surgery period (<30 days).RESULTS: Patients with AF were older and had higher proportion of male sex, higher rate of extra-cardiac comorbidities, higher CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, and higher revised cardiac risk index (RCRI) compared with those without AF. The rate of MACCE was significantly higher in AF patients compared to non-AF patients (4.6% vs. 1.2%, p<0.001). Preoperative AF was associated with higher risk of MACCE, even after multivariable adjustment (odds ratio, 2.97; 95% confidence interval, 2.13–4.07, p<0.001). The relative contribution of AF to MACCE was larger in patients with lower RCRI (p for interaction=0.010). The discriminating performance of RCRI was significantly enhanced by addition of AF.CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery, preoperative AF was associated with a higher risk of peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes.
Atrial Fibrillation
;
Comorbidity
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Assessment
;
Stroke
10.High-Flow Nasal Cannula Oxygen Therapy Can Be Effective for Patients in Acute Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure with Hypercapnia: a Retrospective, Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Study
SooHyun BAE ; Minkyu HAN ; Changyoung KIM ; Hyeji LEE ; Jong Joon AHN ; Jin Hyoung KIM ; Byung Ju KANG
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2020;35(10):e67-
BACKGROUND:
Usually, high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy is indicated for de novo acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF). Although only a few researches have examined the effectiveness of HFNC therapy for respiratory failure with hypercapnia, this therapy is often performed under such conditions for various reasons. We investigated the effectiveness of HFNC therapy for AHRF patients with hypercapnia compared to those without hypercapnia.
METHODS:
All consecutive patients receiving HFNC therapy between January 2012 and June 2018 at a university hospital were enrolled and classified into nonhypercapnic and hypercapnic groups. We compared the outcomes of both groups and adjusted the outcomes with propensity score matching.
RESULTS:
A total of 862 patients were enrolled, of which 202 were included in the hypercapnic group. HFNC weaning success rates were higher, and intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital mortality was lower in the hypercapnic group than in the nonhypercapnic group (all P < 0.05). However, no statistical differences in HFNC weaning success (adjusted P = 0.623, matched P = 0.593), ICU mortality (adjusted P = 0.463, matched P = 0.195), and hospital mortality (adjusted P = 0.602, matched P = 0.579) were noted from the propensity-adjusted and propensity-matched analyses. Additionally, in the propensity score-matched subgroup analysis (according to chronic lung diseases and causes of HFNC application), there was also no significant difference in outcomes between the two groups.
CONCLUSION
In AHRF with underlying conditions, HFNC therapy might be helpful for patients with hypercapnia. Large prospective and randomized controlled trials are required for firm conclusions.

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