1.Comparison of multiple machine learning models for predicting the survival of recipients after lung transplantation
Lingzhi SHI ; Yaling LIU ; Haoji YAN ; Zengwei YU ; Senlin HOU ; Mingzhao LIU ; Hang YANG ; Bo WU ; Dong TIAN ; Jingyu CHEN
Organ Transplantation 2025;16(2):264-271
Objective To compare the performance and efficacy of prognostic models constructed by different machine learning algorithms in predicting the survival period of lung transplantation (LTx) recipients. Methods Data from 483 recipients who underwent LTx were retrospectively collected. All recipients were divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3. The 24 collected variables were screened based on variable importance (VIMP). Prognostic models were constructed using random survival forest (RSF) and extreme gradient boosting tree (XGBoost). The performance of the models was evaluated using the integrated area under the curve (iAUC) and time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC). Results There were no significant statistical differences in the variables between the training set and the validation set. The top 15 variables ranked by VIMP were used for modeling and the length of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) was determined as the most important factor. Compared with the XGBoost model, the RSF model demonstrated better performance in predicting the survival period of recipients (iAUC 0.773 vs. 0.723). The RSF model also showed better performance in predicting the 6-month survival period (tAUC 6 months 0.884 vs. 0.809, P = 0.009) and 1-year survival period (tAUC 1 year 0.896 vs. 0.825, P = 0.013) of recipients. Based on the prediction cut-off values of the two algorithms, LTx recipients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. The survival analysis results of both models showed that the survival rate of recipients in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the low-risk group (P<0.001). Conclusions Compared with XGBoost, the machine learning prognostic model developed based on the RSF algorithm may preferably predict the survival period of LTx recipients.
2.Influencing factors of survival of patients with airway stenosis requiring clinical interventions after lung transplantation
Lingzhi SHI ; Heng HUANG ; Mingzhao LIU ; Hang YANG ; Bo WU ; Jin ZHAO ; Haoji YAN ; Yujie ZUO ; Xinyue ZHANG ; Linxi LIU ; Dong TIAN ; Jingyu CHEN
Organ Transplantation 2024;15(2):236-243
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of survival of patients with airway stenosis requiring clinical interventions after lung transplantation. Methods Clinical data of 66 patients with airway stenosis requiring clinical interventions after lung transplantation were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox’s regression models were adopted to analyze the influencing factors of survival of all patients with airway stenosis and those with early airway stenosis. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the overall survival and delineate the survival curve. Results For 66 patients with airway stenosis, the median airway stenosis-free time was 72 (52,102) d, 27% (18/66) for central airway stenosis and 73% (48/66) for distal airway stenosis. Postoperative mechanical ventilation time [hazard ratio (HR) 1.037, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.005-1.070, P=0.024] and type of surgery (HR 0.400, 95%CI 0.177-0.903, P=0.027) were correlated with the survival of patients with airway stenosis after lung transplantation. The longer the postoperative mechanical ventilation time, the higher the risk of mortality of the recipients. The overall survival of airway stenosis recipients undergoing bilateral lung transplantation was better than that of their counterparts after single lung transplantation. Subgroup analysis showed that grade 3 primary graft dysfunction (PGD) (HR 4.577, 95%CI 1.439-14.555, P=0.010) and immunosuppressive drugs (HR 0.079, 95%CI 0.022-0.287, P<0.001) were associated with the survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation. The overall survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation without grade 3 PGD was better compared with that of those with grade 3 PGD. The overall survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation treated with tacrolimus was superior to that of their counterparts treated with cyclosporine. Conclusions Long postoperative mechanical ventilation time, single lung transplantation, grade 3 PGD and use of cyclosporine may affect the survival of patients with airway stenosis after lung transplantation.
3.Application of 18F-AlF-P16-093 PET combined with multiparametric MRI in the diagnosis of primary prostate cancer lesions: a head-to-head comparative study based on needle biopsy pathology
Miao KE ; Jinhui LIU ; Shaonan ZHONG ; Jing ZHANG ; Mingzhao LI ; Di GU ; Ruiyue ZHAO ; Xinlu WANG
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2024;44(9):533-538
Objective:To evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of the novel prostate specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-targeted PET imaging agent 18F-AlF-P16-093 in combination with multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) for prostate cancer (PCa), and to explore its application in guiding transperineal puncture biopsy. Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical and pathological data of 36 patients diagnosed as PCa (age: 68-76 years) who underwent 18F-AlF-P16-093 PET/CT and mpMRI examinations at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University from August 2023 to March 2024. The entire prostate was divided into 12 regions based on biopsy localization. Imaging evaluations were performed using PET/CT and mpMRI at the lesion level, with biopsy pathology as the gold standard. The correlations between mpMRI scores, PET/CT scores and pathological diagnosis results were evaluated by Phi coefficient analysis. Diagnostic efficacy was assessed by ROC curve analysis. Logistic regression was used to determine the impact of bleeding on image interpretation. Results:18F-AlF-P16-093 PET/CT showed a moderate positive correlation with pathological diagnosis result ( Phi=0.415, P<0.001), which was superior to mpMRI ( Phi=0.338, P<0.001). The diagnostic efficacy of PET single-modality model was superior to mpMRI in all indicators. The combination of 18F-AlF-P16-093 PET/CT with mpMRI significantly improved diagnostic specificity and positive predictive value, with the diagnostic specificity of the PET+ T 2 weighted imaging (WI)+ diffusion WI (DWI) and PET+ T 2WI+ DWI+ apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) combinations exceeding 90%, and the positive predictive value exceeding 80%. Bleeding did not significantly affect the diagnosis of PCa by mpMRI and PET/CT (odds ratio ( OR): 0.463-0.785, all P>0.05). Conclusion:18F-AlF-P16-093 PET/CT is superior to mpMRI in the detection and diagnostic efficacy of PCa lesions, and the combination of 18F-AlF-P16-093 PET with mpMRI can further improve diagnostic specificity and positive predictive value, which is of guiding significance for targeted prostate biopsy.
4.Research progress on the influence of intrinsic capacity on falls in the elderly
Yao CUI ; Bo LIU ; Mingzhao QIN ; Jian ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2024;43(5):577-580
Falls are an adverse health outcome in older adults and are strongly associated with their intrinsic capacity.All five dimensions of intrinsic capacity(locomotion, vitality, cognition, sensory function, and psychosocial function)are associated with falls.This article provided a review of the concept, significance, and impact of each dimension of intrinsic capacity on falls, with the aim of providing relevant information for further research and clinical work.
5.Research progress on the development of hospitalization-associated disability in older adults
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2023;42(10):1265-1268
Hospitalization-associated disability(HAD)is defined as a new loss of the ability to complete one or more activities of daily living without assistance developed between hospital admission and discharge.It is commonly seen in hospitalized older adults.There are numerous risk factors for the development of HAD, including general health status, specific diseases, hospital-associated and post-discharge factors.HAD can increase the length of hospitalization and care burden after discharge.It also results in a higher risk for disability and death and increases healthcare costs.In clinical practice, early identification of individuals at high risk of developing HAD is necessary for proactive intervention.This article reviews the definition, epidemiology, risk factors, screening tools, treatment and intervention, in order to promote awareness and management skills of HAD among geriatric care professionals and thus to improve the prognosis of hospitalized elderly patients.
6.The timed up and go test for fall risk prediction in older adults: the latest advances
Rui YAN ; Jian ZHOU ; Bo LIU ; Mingzhao QIN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2022;41(6):743-747
Balance impairment significantly correlates with falls in the elderly.The timed up and go test(TUGT)is a common and simple assessment tool to evaluate balance and gait function and widely used to screen for the risk of falls in the elderly.In this review, we explore the following issues on TUGT: the development, the association with computerized dynamic posturography, and the validity and reference value for fall risk prediction.This may further improve the applicability and prediction accuracy of the screening tool for falls in the elderly.
7.Effects of narrative nursing in patients with retinal detachment undergoing surgery
Meihua YAN ; Yan SUI ; Mingzhao QIN ; Weiping LIU ; Qian WANG ; Hui YE
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2022;28(18):2514-2516
Objective:To explore the effect of narrative nursing in patients with retinal detachment undergoing surgery.Methods:From February 2020 to August 2021, 40 patients with retinal detachment who underwent surgical treatment in the Department of Geriatrics and Ophthalmology of Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University were selected as the research object by the convenient sampling method. According to the random number table method, the patients were divided into the observation group and the control group, 20 cases in each. The patients in the control group were given routine nursing, and the patients in the observation group received narrative nursing on this basis. Before and after the intervention, Self-Rating Anxiety Scale (SAS) , Self-Rating Depression Scale (SDS) , Memorial University of Newfoundland Scale of Happiness (MUNSH) , and Generic Quality of Life Inventory-74 (GQOLI-74) were used to investigate the two groups of patients. The hospitalization time and complications of the two groups of patients were recorded.Results:At discharge, the SAS and SDS scores of the observation group were lower than those of the control group, the GQOLI-74 and MUNSH scores of the observation group were higher than those of the control group, and the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.01) . The hospitalization time of the observation group was shorter than that of the control group, and the difference was statistically significant ( P<0.05) . There was no significant difference in the number of cases of postoperative intraocular hypertension between the two groups ( P>0.05) . Conclusions:Narrative nursing can effectively relieve anxiety and depression in patients with retinal detachment surgery, improve patients' well-being and quality of life, and shorten hospitalization time.
8.Diagnosis and treatment progress on airway anastomotic stenosis after lung transplantation
Mingzhao LIU ; Lingzhi SHI ; Hang YANG ; Dong WEI ; Li FAN ; Bo WU ; Jingyu CHEN
Organ Transplantation 2021;12(5):533-
Lung transplantation is the only effective treatment of most end-stage lung diseases. Airway anastomotic complications are the main obstacles affecting the postoperative survival and quality of life of lung transplant recipients. Airway anastomotic stenosis is the most common airway anastomotic complication after lung transplantation. In recent years, improvements in the recipient selection, organ preservation, surgical techniques, postoperative intensive care management, immunosuppression, antifungal and endoscopic treatment have decreased the incidence of airway anastomotic stenosis and improved the surgical efficacy of lung transplantation and the survival of the recipients. In this article, the pathogenesis, risk factors, diagnosis and treatment of airway anastomotic stenosis after lung transplantation were reviewed, aiming to provide novel ideas for clinical research, diagnosis and treatment of airway anastomotic stenosis following lung transplantation.
9.Experimental study on the role of IL-10 in improving donor lung function after ex vivo lung perfusion in rats of cardiac death
Yinglun CHEN ; Dong WEI ; Zitao WANG ; Xiucheng YANG ; Mingzhao LIU ; Zhenhang DAI ; Jingyu CHEN
Organ Transplantation 2021;12(4):421-
Objective To evaluate the effect of interleukin (IL)-10 on donor lung function after
10.Fall risk assessment and relative interventions in the elderly: A latest advances
Jian ZHOU ; Bo LIU ; Mingzhao QIN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2021;40(3):388-392
Fall is one of major causes of disability, reduced mobility, shortness of life span and increased medical costs in the elderly.There are multiple risk factors for falls in the elderly, but they can be preventable and controlled.This article reviews the evidences regarding the clinical effectiveness, practicalness and security of these fall risk assessment methods and measures of interventions by evidence-based medicine in the elderly and analyzes their research directions.

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