1.Safety analysis of plasminogen activators in intraocular application
Miao TANG ; Jinsong ZHANG ; Haisheng YU
International Eye Science 2026;26(4):646-650
Plasminogen activator is a kind of enzyme that plays a key role in the process of physiological hemostasis and thrombolysis. Its main function is to convert plasminogen into active plasmin, thereby initiating the dissolution of fibrin and maintaining blood mobility. This article discusses the safety of plasminogen activator in the intraocular application, elaborates on the types, structure, physiological function and mechanism of action of plasminogen activator in the eye. The analysis addresses the ocular tissue damage and systemic adverse reactions that may be caused by the application of plasminogen activator in the eye, and the risks and countermeasures combined with relevant research examples, aiming to provide reference for the safe application of plasminogen activator in clinical practice.
2.Mechanism Study of Yinchenhao Tang Regulating Fas/Caspase-8/Caspase-3 Signaling Pathway to Improve Cholestatic Liver Injury
Zhengwang ZHU ; Linlin WANG ; Jinghan ZHAO ; Linjing SHE ; Yinpei TANG ; Qingchun CAI ; Bing WANG ; Pingsheng ZHU ; Mingsan MIAO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(1):39-46
ObjectiveTo explore the mechanism of Yinchenhao Tang regulating the tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 6 (Fas)/cysteine protease-8 (Caspase-8)/cysteine protease-3 (Caspase-3) signaling pathway to inhibit hepatocyte apoptosis and improve cholestatic liver injury (CLI). MethodsAmong 48 Wistar rats,12 rats were randomly selected as the blank group,and the other rats were administered alpha-naphthalene isothiocyanate (ANIT) by gavage to induce a CLI model. The modeling rats were randomly divided into the model group, the ursodeoxycholic acid group(0.1 g·kg-1) and the Yinchenhao Tang group(9.23 g·kg-1),with 12 rats in each group. The rats in each group were given corresponding drugs by gavage for three consecutive days. The levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT),aspartate aminotransferase (AST),alkaline phosphatase (ALP),gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GT),total bilirubin (TBil) and total bile acid (TBA) in serum were detected. The levels of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) and interleukin-1β (IL-1β) in liver tissue were detected. The histopathological changes of the liver were observed by hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining. The protein and mRNA expressions of Fas,Caspase-8,Caspase-3,B-cell lymphoma-2 (Bcl-2) associated X protein (Bax) and Bcl-2 in liver tissue were detected by Western blot and real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR). ResultsCompared with those in the blank group,the levels of ALT,AST,ALP,γ-GT,TBA and TBil in serum of the model group were significantly increased (P<0.01). The levels and mRNA expressions of TNF-α and IL-1β in liver tissue were significantly increased (P<0.01). The arrangement of hepatocytes was disordered,and inflammatory cell infiltration and bile duct epithelial cell proliferation were observed. The protein and mRNA expressions of Fas,Caspase-8,Caspase-3 and Bax in liver tissue were significantly increased(P<0.05,P<0.01),while the protein and mRNA expressions of Bcl-2 were significantly decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01). Compared with those in the model group,the levels of ALP,γ-GT,TBA and TBil in the serum of rats in the ursodeoxycholic acid group were significantly decreased. The levels and mRNA expressions of TNF-α and IL-1β in liver tissue were significantly decreased(P<0.05,P<0.01). The protein and mRNA expressions of Fas,Caspase-8,Caspase-3 and Bax in liver tissue were significantly decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01),while the mRNA expression of Bcl-2 was significantly increased (P<0.05,). The levels of ALT,AST,γ-GT,TBA and TBil in the serum of rats in the Yinchenhao Tang group were significantly decreased (P<0.01). The levels and mRNA expressions of TNF-α and IL-1β in liver tissue were significantly decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01). The protein expression of Fas and Bax and the mRNA expression of Fas,Caspase-8,Caspase-3 and Bax in liver tissue were significantly decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01),while the protein and mRNA expression of Bcl-2 were significantly increased (P<0.05,P<0.01). Hepatocyte injury,inflammatory cell infiltration and proliferation of bile duct epithelial cells were reduced. ConclusionYinchenhao Tang can ameliorate CLI,and its mechanism may be related to inhibiting hepatocyte apoptosis mediated by the Fas/Caspase-8/Caspase-3 signaling pathway.
3.Mechanism of Yinchenhao Tang in Improving Cholestatic Liver Injury by Inhibiting TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB Signaling Pathway Through FXR
Zhengwang ZHU ; Yang YANG ; Jinghan ZHAO ; Linlin WANG ; Yinpei TANG ; Qingchun CAI ; Bing WANG ; Pingsheng ZHU ; Mingsan MIAO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(1):47-54
ObjectiveTo study the mechanism of Yinchenhao Tang on the improvement of cholestatic liver injury (CLI) by inhibiting toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4)/myeloid differentiation factor 88 (MyD88)/nuclear transcription factor-κB (NF-κB) pathway via regulating farnesol X receptor (FXR). MethodsA total of 40 Wistar male rats were randomly selected, with 10 as a blank group,and the remaining rats were subjected to the CLI model induced by alpha-naphthalene isothiocyanate (ANIT). After modeling,they were randomly divided into the model group, the ursodeoxycholic acid (0.1 g·kg-1) group and the Yinchenhao Tang (9.23 g·kg-1) group,with 10 animals in each group. Each administration group was given the corresponding drug by intragastric administration for three consecutive days. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT),aspartate aminotransferase (AST),alkaline phosphatase (ALP),γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GT),total bile acid (TBA),total bilirubin (TBil) and direct bilirubin (DBil) levels in serum were detected. Tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α),interleukin-1β (IL-1β),and interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels in liver tissue were detected. Real-time PCR was used to detect the mRNA expression of FXR,TLR4,MyD88,NF-κB,F4/80,TNF-α,IL-1β and IL-6 in liver tissue. Western blot was used to detect protein expression of FXR,TLR4,MyD88 and NF-κB in liver tissue. The histopathological changes of the liver were observed by hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining. ResultsCompared with those in the blank group,ALT,AST,ALP,γ-GT,TBA,TBil and DBil levels in serum of rats in the model group were significantly increased (P<0.01). The levels and mRNA expression of TNF-α,IL-1β and IL-6 in liver tissue were significantly increased (P<0.01),and the mRNA and protein expressions of FXR in liver tissue were decreased (P<0.01). The mRNA and protein expressions of TLR4,MyD88 and NF-κB and the mRNA expression of F4/80 were obviously increased (P<0.05,P<0.01). Hepatic histopathology showed inflammatory cell infiltration and proliferative changes of bile duct epithelial cells. Compared with those in the model group,ALT,ALP,γ-GT,TBA,TBil and DBil levels in serum of rats in the ursodeoxycholic acid group were obviously decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01),and the levels and mRNA expression of TNF-α,IL-1β and IL-6 in liver tissue were obviously decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01). The mRNA and protein expressions of TLR4,MyD88 and NF-κB and the mRNA expression of F4/80 in liver tissue were obviously decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01). ALT,AST,ALP,γ-GT,TBA,TBil and DBil levels in the serum of rats in the Yinchenhao Tang group were obviously decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01),and the levels and mRNA expression of TNF-α,IL-1β and IL-6 in liver tissue were obviously decreased (P<0.01). The mRNA and protein expressions of FXR in liver tissue were significantly increased,and the mRNA expressions of TLR4,MyD88,NF-κB,and F4/80, as well as the protein expressions of TLR4 and NF-κB were obviously decreased (P<0.05,P<0.01). The inflammatory cell infiltration of liver tissue and the proliferation of bile duct epithelial cells decreased. ConclusionYinchenhao Tang has an obvious protective effect on CLI,and its mechanism may be related to regulating FXR to inhibit TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB pathway-mediated inflammatory response.
4.Horticultural Therapy Combined with Intradermal Needling for Patients with Generalized Anxiety Disorder of Liver Depression Transforming into Fire Syndrome Under Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation and Psychological Therapy:Clinical Observation of 60 Cases
Wanyun ZHANG ; Jiayi YAN ; Qingyi QIU ; Yumei PENG ; Xiaoling ZHONG ; Jinwen ZHANG ; Rundong TANG ; Miao WU ; Dan HU ; Guang SU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(1):50-58
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical effectiveness of horticultural therapy involving the planting of Chinese medicinal herbs (mint and lily potted plants) combined with intradermal needling therapy for generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) of liver depression transforming into fire syndrome under transcranial magnetic stimulation and basic psychological therapy, and to explore the possible mechanisms of action. MethodsA total of 180 patients with GAD of liver depression transforming into fire syndrome were randomly divided into three groups, horticultural therapy group, intradermal needling group, and horticultural therapy+intradermal needling group, with 60 patients in each. All groups received basic treatment including basic psychological therapy and transcranial magnetic stimulation. The horticultural therapy group received horticultural therapy in addition to the basic treatment; the intradermal needling group received intradermal needling therapy once a week for 8 weeks in addition to the basic treatment; the horticultural therapy+intradermal needling group received both horticultural therapy and intradermal needling therapy, following the same procedures and duration. Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale (HAMA), Self-Rating Anxiety Scale (SAS), and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) scores were assessed at baseline and after 2, 4, 6, and 8 weeks of treatment. Serum levels of adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) and corticosterone (CORT) were measured before treatment and after 8 weeks of treatment. Motor-evoked potential (MEP) baseline levels were recorded before treatment, and MEP amplitude ratios were compared after 1 week and 8 weeks of treatment. Clinical effectiveness and safety were evaluated after 8 weeks of treatment. Pearson correlation analysis was used to examine the relationships between serum ACTH and CORT levels, MEP amplitude, and anxiety. ResultsIn the horticultural therapy group and intradermal needling group, HAMA, SAS and PSQI scores after 4, 6, and 8 weeks treatment were lower than baseline scores (P<0.05). In the horticultural therapy+intradermal needling group, these scores showed a significant decline starting after 2 weeks treatment and continuing through 8 weeks after treatment (P<0.05). The HAMA, SAS, and PSQI scores in the horticultural therapy+intradermal needling group were significantly lower than those in the other two groups after 2, 4, 6, and 8 weeks treatment (P<0.05). After 8 weeks of treatment, serum CORT and ACTH levels in the horticultural therapy+intradermal needling group were significantly lower than baseline levels (P<0.05) and were also lower than those in the horticultural therapy group and intradermal needling group at the same time point (P<0.01). When comparing the level after 8 weeks treatment to that after 1 week treatment, under PAS10 stimulation, the MEP amplitude ratio in the intradermal needling group decreased at 30 minutes, while in the horticultural therapy+intradermal needling group, the MEP amplitude ratio decreased at all time points (P<0.05 or P<0.001); under PAS25 stimulation, the MEP amplitude ratio in the horticultural therapy group increased at 20 minutes, and in the intradermal needle group at 10 minutes (P<0.05). In the horticultural therapy+intradermal needling group, the MEP amplitude ratio increased significantly at all time points after treatment (P<0.001). The cure rate in the horticultural therapy+intradermal needling group (74.14%, 43/58) was significantly higher than that in the horticultural therapy group (30.00%, 18/60) and the intradermal needling group (48.28%, 28/58, P<0.05). Correlation analysis revealed that serum ACTH and CORT levels were positively correlated with HAMA scores (r = 0.488, P<0.01; r = 0.428, P<0.01). Following PAS10 intervention, the MEP amplitude ratio was positively correlated with HAMA scores (r = 0.458, P<0.01), whereas after PAS25 intervention, the MEP amplitude ratio was negatively correlated with HAMA scores (r = -0.562, P<0.01). ConclusionHorticultural therapy combined with intradermal needling treatment, under transcranial magnetic stimulation and basic psychological therapy, demonstrates significant clinical effectiveness in patients with GAD of liver depression transforming into fire syndrome. Its mechanism of action may be related to the regulation of hyperactivation of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis and the reduction of cortical excitability.
5.Impact of donor characteristics on prognosis for myelodysplastic syndromes after haplo-identical transplantation: a retrospective study
Hong WANG ; Xueqian LI ; Qingyuan WANG ; Jiaqian QI ; Huiying QIU ; Chengcheng FU ; Xiaowen TANG ; Miao MIAO ; Ying WANG ; Suning CHEN ; Changgeng RUAN ; Depei WU ; Yue HAN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2025;46(11):1026-1031
Objective:To evaluate the impact of donor characteristics on the prognosis of myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) patients undergoing haplo-identical transplantation (HIDT) .Methods:A retrospective analysis of 203 MDS patients who received HIDT was conducted to evaluate how donor factors influenced transplant outcomes.Results:In MDS patients undergoing haploidentical transplantation, donors over 50 years were associated with higher EBV reactivation (2-year cumulative incidence 42.9% vs 22.0% for <50 years old; P=0.010). Female donors were linked to increased severe chronic GVHD compared with male donors (2-year incidence 11.9% vs 4.0% ; P=0.017). Additionally, 2-year overall survival (OS) was slightly lower with female donors than male donors (56.6% vs 69.7% ), but the difference was not statistically significant ( P=0.073). Donor-recipient blood type did not affect post-transplant OS or cumulative relapse rates. Donor-recipient kinship analysis revealed that child donors, compared to haploidentical sibling or parent donors, had lower rates of grade Ⅱ–Ⅳ acute GVHD (27.2% vs 45.7% vs 53.5%, P=0.007) and 2-year EBV reactivation (13.9% vs 29.3% vs 38.9%, P=0.001). For donors under 20 years, donor gender did not significantly affect 2-year OS ( P=0.913), relapse-free survival ( P=0.716), or 100-day incidence of grade Ⅱ–Ⅳ acute GVHD ( P=0.359) . Conclusion:For MDS patients undergoing HIDT, donors over 50 should be avoided. Male and child donors are preferred, while donor gender does not significantly affect outcomes if the donor is under 20 years old.
6.Clinical analysis of older patients with hematologic malignancies treated by allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation
Xin KONG ; Baoquan SONG ; Xiaowen TANG ; Shengli XUE ; Miao MIAO ; Yue HAN ; Ying WANG ; Jian ZHANG ; Suning CHEN ; Aining SUN ; Zhihong LIN ; Jun CHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Huiying QIU ; Depei WU
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(10):1376-1382
Objective:To investigates the efficacy and safety of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation(allo-HSCT)in treating older patients(≥60 years old)with hematologic malignancies.Methods:We conducted a retrospective study involving 67 patients aged 60 years and above, diagnosed with malignant hematological diseases, who received allo-HSCT at the Clinical Research Centrer for Haematologic Diseases of the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University between June 2015 and March 2023.We collected pre-transplant data, including the patients' age, gender, pre-transplantation disease risk stratification, disease status, and the haematopoietic cell transplantation comorbidity index(HCT-CI). We retrospectively analyzed clinical data regarding treatment-related toxicity, infections, acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease(a/cGVHD), as well as recurrent and non-recurrent deaths, to estimate the overall survival(OS)rate and event-free survival (EFS)rate.Results:Sixty-seven patients were included in the study, comprising 55 males(82.1%)and 12 females(17.9%), with a median age of 63(61, 65) years .The cohort consisted of 42 cases of acute myeloid leukaemia, 22 cases of myelodysplastic syndromes, and 3 cases of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia.The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the 1-year OS and EFS rates were 62.9% and 59.2%, respectively, while the 2-year OS and EFS rates were 55.3% and 51.8%, respectively.The cumulative incidence of 1-year non-relapse mortality and relapse was 25.4% and 21.2%, respectively.A total of 13 patients developed grade Ⅱ-Ⅳ aGVHD, with a 1-year cumulative incidence of 22.0%, and 7 patients developed cGVHD requiring treatment.When stratified by age group, the OS rate was higher in patients aged 60~64 years compared to those aged ≥65 years; however, this difference was not statistically significant(Log-rank χ2=0.99, P=0.317). In contrast, when stratified by disease load, the OS rate was significantly higher in the complete remission(CR)group than in the non-CR group, with a statistically significant difference(Log-rank χ2=15.04, P<0.001). When stratified by donor type, the OS rate was higher in the human leukocyte antigens (HLA) allogeneic group compared to the haploinsufficiency group; however, the difference was not statistically significant(Log-rank χ2=2.71, P=0.100). Twenty-seven patients died at an average of 125 days (range 3-1 054 days) after HSCT.The causes of death included leukemia recurrence in 9 cases (33.3%), infection in 8 cases (29.6%), GVHD in 5 cases (18.5%), poor implantation in 3 cases (11.1%), multi-organ failure in 1 case (3.7%), and cerebrovascular accident in 1 case (3.7%). The results of multifactorial analysis indicated that a pre-transplant tumor load greater than 5% was an independent risk factor for OS after transplantation ( HR=4.59, 95% CI: 2.01-10.42, P<0.001)as well as for disease recurrence ( OR=13.11, 95% CI: 1.96-87.87, P=0.008). Additionally, the occurrence of infection was identified as an independent risk factor for non-recurrent death after transplantation( OR=3.95, 95% CI: 1.13 to 13.71, P=0.031). Conclusions:For patients aged 60 years or older with hematologic malignancies, HSCT can serve as a viable treatment option, particularly for those with refractory recurrence and high cytogenetic risk, as it has the potential to significantly enhance prognosis and increase both EFS and OS rates.
7.Transition pattern of health status among middle-aged and elderly population in China based on the frailty index
Fei XU ; Xinlei MIAO ; Yangxuan HE ; Guimin TANG ; Qianqian WANG ; Meng LI ; Jiayi DENG ; Song LENG
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2025;19(10):823-829
Objective:To investigate transition pattern of health status among middle-aged and elderly population in China based on frailty index.Methods:In this retrospective cohort study, middle-aged and elderly people were selected from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) in 2011; and 1 434 subjects were followed up to 2015. The frailty index was calculated from the prevalence of chronic diseases, daily activity ability and blood biomarkers, and the frailty state was divided by quartiles of the frailty index. Markov models were constructed to determine the transition probabilities of different frailty states.Results:The mean age of the 1 434 subjects was (59.0±9.4) years and the mean frailty index was 0.11±0.05. In the healthy individuals, 63.0% remained healthy after a four-year follow-up; during the same follow-up period, 40.9% of the mildly frail individuals and 23.0% of the moderately frail individuals remained in their baseline frailty status. Increasing age leaded to a gradual increase in the probability of the population shifting to a severely frailty state. Women were more likely to shift to severe frailty status than men (0.029 vs 0.019, Z=3.03, P=0.002). Conclusion:Among middle-aged and elderly population in China, the transition of health states follows a pattern where higher frailty levels are associated with lower stability. Advanced age and female gender are identified as risk factors for progression to severe frailty.
8.Short-term efficacy of rituximab in children with calcineurin inhibitor resistant steroid resistant nephrotic syndrome
Sicheng YU ; Jialu LIU ; Jiaojiao LIU ; Xiaoyan FANG ; Jing CHEN ; Qianfan MIAO ; Xiaoshan TANG ; Zhiqing ZHANG ; Chunyan WANG ; Rufeng DAI ; Xinli HAN ; Yihui ZHAI ; Hong XU ; Qian SHEN
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(2):185-189
Objective:To investigate the short-term efficacy and safety of rituximab (RTX) in children with calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) resistant steroid resistant nephrotic syndrome (SRNS).Methods:A retrospective case analysis was conducted. Thirteen children with CNI resistant SRNS who were regularly treated with RTX (375 mg/m 2 per dose (maximum dose 500 mg), 1 dose per week, a total of 4 doses) in Department of Nephrology, Children′s Hospital of Fudan University from January 2016 to December 2023 were enrolled. The general data, disease related information, urinary protein/creatinine, serum albumin, blood creatinine before RTX treatment, immunosuppressants, adverse events, and monthly urinary protein/creatinine, serum albumin, and blood creatinine indexes within 6 months after RTX treatment were collected. The changes of urinary protein/creatinine, serum albumin and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) before and after RTX at 3 and 6 months were analyzed by using paired sample t test and Wilcoxon signed-rank test. Results:Among the 13 patients, 8 were male and 5 were female. The age of disease onset was 4.0 (2.9, 6.8) years and the age of RTX treatment was 9.8 (5.9, 13.6) years. There were 8 cases of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis, 3 cases of minimal change disease and 2 cases of mesangial proliferative glomerulonephritis. No clinically significant gene variation was detected in 12 cases and the other one did not receive gene test. Before RTX treatment, 11 cases were in chronic kidney disease stage G1, and 1 case each was in stage G2 and stage G3. Ten children completed 4 doses of RTX treatment, 1 patient completed 3 doses, and 2 patients completed 2 doses. Urinary protein/creatinine in 13 children at 3 and 6 months after RTX treatment was significantly lower than baseline (0.60 (0.13, 2.04), 0.49 (0.28, 1.10) vs. 1.44 (0.76, 4.11) mg/mg, Z=-2.34, -2.34, both P<0.05), and serum albumin was significantly higher than baseline ((35±8), (34±7) vs. (30±6) g/L, t=2.30, 2.60, both P<0.05). The eGFR at 6 months after RTX treatment was not significantly different from the baseline ((110±32) vs. (113±35) ml/(min·1.73 m 2), t=-0.76, P>0.05)). No serious adverse reactions occurred in this study. Conclusion:RTX could reduce urinary protein and increase serum albumin in short-term treatment in children with CNI resistant SRNS without significant side effects.
9.Role of peer attachment and cognitive fusion in relationship between negative life events and depressive symptoms
Xiaofan PENG ; Ting WANG ; Miao WU ; Tiangui TANG ; Lei TAN
Chinese Mental Health Journal 2025;39(10):895-901
Objective:To examine the roles played by peer attachment and cognitive fusion in the association between negative life events and depression,as well as the differences in these relationships of variables among pri-mary and secondary school students.Methods:A total of 2 767 students(1 950 elementary school students and 817 middle school students)were selected.The Adolescent Life Events Scale,the Experiences in Close Relationships-Relationship Structures Questionnaire,the Cognitive Fusion Questionnaire,and the Patient Health Questionnaire were used to measure negative life events,peer attachment,cognitive fusion,and depression,respectively.Results:Negative life events,peer attachment,cognitive fusion and depression were positively correlated with each other(r=0.36-0.75,Ps<0.001);the mediation effects of peer attachment and cognitive fusion and their chain mediation effects were 0.04,0.30,and 0.04,respectively,accounting for 6.7%,50%,and 6.7%of the total effect.There were significant differences in the chain mediation model between primary and secondary school students(△x2=47.12,△df=6,P<0.001),and significant gender differences in the chain mediation effect among primary school students(△x2=43.72,△df=6,P<0.001).Conclusion:Negative life events influence depression in primary and secondary school students both directly and indirectly through peer attachment and cognitive fusion.Negative life e-vents have greater impact on primary school students'(particularly girls)peer attachment.Peer attachment has grea-ter impact on secondary school students' cognitive fusion.Cognitive fusion has greater impact on primary school students' depression.Peer attachment has greater impact on primary school boys' depression.
10.A machine learning-based model for predicting the risk of diabetic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus
Tingting LI ; Peng SU ; Jinbo CHEN ; Xiaoyan HE ; Yi CAO ; Xin ZHANG ; Qingling TANG ; Xubin MIAO ; Xiaohua LIANG ; Dong MA
Chinese Journal of Diabetes 2025;33(4):241-247
Objective To compare and find an optimal model for predicting the risk of DKD occurrence in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM).Methods A total of 2005 patients with T2DM were enrolled in this study from The Second Hospital of Shijiazhuang City during December 2017 to December 2022.All the subjects were divided into a training set(n=1403)and a validation set(n=602)according to the ratio of 3∶1 by simple random sampling.With the occurrence of DKD as the outcome variablein the training set,important feature variables were screened by LASSO regression.Six different machine learning models were established according to the feature variables,thenthe optimal model was determined by comparison,and anonlinerisk predictor for DKD occurrence was constructed in patients with T2DM.Results Taking the occurrence of DKD as the outcome variable in the training set,the results of LASSO regression analysis showed that the optimal value of the model was 10-fold cross validation lambda.1se=0.01662473,and 15 characteristic variables with nonzero coefficient were screened out to be related to the occurrence of DKD.The data included sex,age,family history of DM,DM duration,LDL-C,HbA1c,WBC,PDW,Scr,urine α1-microglobulin,urine β2-microglobulin,urine microalbumin,hypertension,hypokalemia,and DR.In the training set and validation set,the prediction performance of XGBoost model was better than that of other models(AUC=0.872,0.893,95%CI 0.853~0.891,0.865~0.921),the sensitivity was 0.779,0.863,and the specificity was 0.721,0.758,respectively.The F1 scores were 0.774 and 0.787.DCA analysis showed that the XGBoost model had a greater net benefit and threshold probability.According to the XGBoost model,the online predictor of DKD risk in T2DM patients was laid out,and two patients were selected for application,the results showed that the predictive value of the model was 0.185 in non-DKD patients,and the predictive value was 0.510 in DKD patients.Conclusions The XGBoost model is the best model for predicting the occurrence of DKD in T2DM patients,and an online predictor was successfully built.

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