1.Study on the curcumin-loaded mesoporous silica nanoparticles modified by polydopamine
Xiaoning WANG ; Peipei REN ; Yangguang ZHAO ; Zhanrui ZHANG ; Mengru YAN
China Pharmacist 2024;27(4):580-587
Objective To prepare curcumin-loaded(CUR)mesoporous silica nanoparticles(MSN)modified by polydopamine(PDA),and study their pharmaceutical properties,drug release in vitro and antitumor activity in vitro.Methods Mesoporous silica nanoparticles were synthesized by template method and modified with PDA.The pharmaceutical properties of the nanoparticles were investigated.The responsive release of drug-loaded preparations at different pH was studied.The biocompatibility of the carrier and the inhibition rate of cell growth in vitro of the drug-loaded preparations were evaluated.The uptake of the drug-loaded preparations by tumor cells was examined.Results The particle size of MSN was uniform.After the PDA modification,the drug release rate of CUR@MSN-PDA was significantly dependent on pH.The results of biocompatibility experiments showed that,the cell survival rate was above 85%after co-cultured with MDA-MB-231 cells for 24 h.The results of in vitro tumor cell growth inhibition test showed that,the growth inhibition rate of CUR@MSN-PDA on tumor cells was significantly higher than that of CUR@MSN.The results of cell uptake showed that the fluorescent strength of CUR@MSN-PDA in the cell was significantly stronger than that of the CUR@MSN.Conclusion The nano-carrier constructed has significant pH response and enhanced anti-tumor activity,which can provide a theoretical basis for the drug delivery of CUR.
2.Establishment of a fluorescence quantitative PCR detection method for Strepto-coccus equi subspecies zooepidemicus and its application in retrospective detection of imported horses
Yutong HU ; Xuehui ZHOU ; Mengru ZHAO ; Xiang CHEN ; Xiaowei WU ; Zhiguo ZHAO ; Yan WANG ; Guangwei ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2024;44(8):1735-1742
In order to establish a rapid,specific and sensitive detection method for Streptococcus equi subspecies zooepidemicus(SEZ)and to understand the infection status of SEZ in horses ente-ring China,specific primers were designed and synthesized based on the conserved gene comB of standard strain SEZ(ATCC 43079)in this work.Then,the pMD19-T-comB recombinant plasmid was constructed and used as a standard positive template.After that,the fluorescence-based quantitative PCR(qPCR)detection method based on SYBR Green Ⅰ dye was established.Totally,477 equine entry serum samples from 6 countries,including Netherlands,Belgium,Japan,Germa-ny,Argentina and New Zealand,during 2018 to 2023,were randomly selected and detected for SEZ by the qPCR method.Results showed that the established qPCR method had specific amplification for only SEZ,which illustrated a good specificity.Sensitivity test of the method showed that the limited detection amount was 4.58 X101 copies/μL.And the repeatability test showed that the coef-ficient of variation of intra-batch repeatability was less than 0.5%,while the inter-batch repeat-ability was less than 3.0%,which indicated good repeatability and high stability.Retrospective a-nalysis showed that totally 11 of 477 positive samples were detected,with a relatively low positive rate of 2.31%(11/477).Among them,all the 40 samples from Netherlands in 2018 were negative(0/40).In the samples of 2019,one positive was detected from Belgium(1/20),while all other 36 samples which form Japan and Germany were negative.In the samples of 2021,three samples(3/34)from Japan and one sample(1/20)from Argentina were positive,and all the other 40 samples from the Netherlands were negative.In the samples of 2022,76 samples from Netherlands were all negative.While in the 2023,5(5/126)of 126 samples from Netherlands and one(1/88)of 88 from New Zealand were found positive with SEZ.To summarize,The SYBR Green Ⅰ qPCR method for the diagnosis of SEZ was successfully established,and it could provide necessary technical support for the rapid quarantine of China's entry-exit and port departments,as well as the epidemiological investigation of the disease.
3.The expression of CD24 antigen in multiple myeloma patients and its predictive value after induction therapy
Mengru LIU ; Bin CHU ; Yuan CHEN ; Mengzhen WANG ; Minqiu LU ; Shan GAO ; Lei SHI ; Qiuqing XIANG ; Lijuan FANG ; Qi YAN ; Na JI ; Kai SUN ; Li BAO
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2024;47(10):1178-1185
Objective:This study analyzed the expression of CD24 antigen on bone marrow plasma cells (BMPC) of patients with multiple myeloma (MM) and the predictive value of induction therapy.Methods:This clinical observational study utilized 258 MM patients samples treated at the Hematology Department of Beijing Jishuitan Hospital who met the inclusion criteria in the Department of Hematology, Capital Medical University, from August 12th, 2022 to February 1st, 2024. According to the different stages of the disease, patients were divided into three groups: 78 cases of Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma(NDMM) (42 males and 36 females, aged 62±11), 56 cases of the relapse refractory group (34 males and 22 females, aged 64±9), and 124 cases of the disease remission group (68 males and 56 females, aged 62±10). Multiparameter flow cytometry (MFC) was used to detect the expression level of CD24 antigen on BMPC and the relationship between CD24 and MM disease status. The clinical data and test results of 78 NDMM patients at initial diagnosis were retrospectively analyzed, including gender, age, MFC detection of the positive expression rate of antigens (CD19, CD20, CD24, CD27, CD56), the results of efficacy evaluation after induction therapy, ISS staging, R-ISS staging, blood hemoglobin, β2-microglobulin, human serum albumin, serum creatinine, lactate dehydrogenas, correction of calcium, BMPC ratio, and the results of FISH. The patients were divided into a deep remission group [including complete remission (CR) and very good partial remission (VGPR)] with 43 cases and a non-deep remission group (non CR and VGPR) with 17 cases according to the difference of antigen positive expression rate after induction therapy. The differences of antigen expression on BMPC between the two groups were compared. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze the relationship between the expression of each antigen and the efficacy after induction therapy in patients, and the results showed that CD24 was more correlated with the achievement of deep remission after induction therapy than other antigens. Therefore, taking the positive expression rate of CD24 in NDMM patients at the initial diagnosis and deep remission after induction therapy as the research objects, the predictive value of CD24 for NDMM patients reaching deep remission after induction therapy was analyzed by using receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and the optimal cutoff value was obtained. NDMM was divided into two groups according to the cut-off value, and the differences between the two groups in clinical baseline data and prognostic indicators were compared.Results:The positive rates of plasma cell CD24 expression in the NDMM group, the relapse refractory group and the disease remission group were 2.18 (95% CI 0.08-81.85)%, 3.81 (95% CI 0.10-64.56)%, 8.74 (95% CI 0.79-95.55)% respectively. Compared with the disease remission group, the NDMM and relapse refractory group was lower ( Z=-7.889, -5.282, respectively, P<0.001). Univariate analysis showed that there was a significant difference in the positive expression rate of CD24 at initial diagnosis between the deep remission group and the non-deep remission group ( Z=-3.265, P<0.001), while there was no significant difference in CD19 ( Z=-0.271, P=0.787), CD20 ( Z=-0.205, P=0.837), CD27 ( Z=-0.582, P=0.560), and CD56 ( Z=-0.328, P=0.743) between the two groups. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that compared with other antigens [CD19 ( OR=1.045, 95% CI 0.975-1.120, P=0.217), CD20 ( OR=1.000, 95% CI 0.971-1.030, P=0.976), CD27 ( OR=0.997, 95% CI 0.977-1.016, P=0.734), CD56 ( OR=1.006, 95% CI 0.990-1.006, P=0.449)], the expression of CD24 ( OR=0.423, 95% CI 0.990-1.006, P=0.449) on BMPC in NDMM patients was most closely related to the achievement of deep remission was achieved after induction therapy. The lower the proportion of CD24 at the initial diagnosis was, the lower the probability of achieving deep remission after induction therapy was. The area under the curve (AUC) of CD24 in predicting deep remission after induction therapy was 0.772 (95% CI 0.655-0.889, P=0.001), with a sensitivity of 60.50%, a specificity of 85.00%, and the optimal critical value was 2.21%. Compared with the group with plasma CD24 positive rate>2.21%, the group with plasma CD24 positive rate<2.21% had a higher proportion of male (39.47%vs 65.00%, χ2=5.092, P=0.024), ISS stagingⅢ (41.67% vs 58.33%, χ2=6.175, P=0.046), β2 microglobulin (3.19 mg/L vs 4.14 mg/L, Z=-2.257, P=0.024), and BMPC [(8.672±1.827)% vs (19.530±3.188)%, t=-2.963, P=0.004] detected by MFC, and the differences were statistically significant. Conclusions:The low positive rate of plasma cell CD24 is closely related to the higher tumor burden and the worse disease status of MM patients. In addition, the positive expression rate of CD24 is at initial diagnosis can predict the efficacy achieved after induction therapy, and the lower positive rate of CD24 is, the worse the efficacy achieved after induction therapy. At the same time, MFC detection of CD24 is convenient and efficient in the evaluation and prediction of MM.
4.Periconceptional maternal homocysteine and birth weight outcomes in offspring: a prospective cohort study
Yi ZHANG ; Xiaotian CHEN ; Qinyu YAO ; Hongyan CHEN ; Mengru LI ; Dingmei WANG ; Yalan DOU ; Yuanzhou PENG ; Xiaoyan GU ; Weili YAN ; Guoying HUANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(2):120-128
Objective:To quantify the associations between periconceptional maternal homocysteine (HCY) and offspring′s birth weight and risk of small for gestational age (SGA) infant.Methods:The 19 984 mother-child pairs in this prospective cohort study were recruited from the Shanghai preconception cohort; the infants were delivered from 1 st September 2016 to 11 th November 2022. A standardized questionnaire was used to collect the mothers′ demographic information, medical history, dietary supplement use, and maternal complications during pregnancy, and their serum samples were collected. Serum HCY, folate, and vitamin B 12 were measured using chemiluminescent microparticle immunoassay based on serum sample drawn at enrollment. Birth weight data were obtained from medical records. Multiple imputation methods were applied to handle missing data in key variables. Multivariable linear regression and Poisson regression models were used to analyze the relationship between maternal HCY concentration during the periconceptional period and the birth weight and SGA risk of the offspring. Results:A total of 9 452 pairs were enrolled preconceptionally and the remaining 10 532 pairs were enrolled in early pregnancy. The proportion of mothers whose pregnancy age was greater than 35 years was 9.2% (1 832/19 984), the proportion of primiparous women was 76.5% (15 283/19 984), the proportion of pre-pregnancy overweight and obesity was 14.0% (2 804/19 984), the proportion of using folic acid supplements before pregnancy was 21.4% (4 272/19 984), and the proportion of those who supplemented with folic acid during early pregnancy was 85.2% (8 976/10 532); gestational diabetes mellitus was in 6.2% (1 245/19 984), gestational hypertensive syndrome in 3.6% (711/19 984). The birth weight of the offspring was (3 297±468) g, and there were 1 962 SGA children (9.8%). The HCY concentration in the overall population in appropriate for gestational age during the periconceptional period was (7.9±3.2) μmol/L, with (8.3±3.7) μmol/L in the preconception subgroup and (7.3±2.4) μmol/L in the early pregnancy subgroup. After adjustment for the covariates of perinatal demographic information, adverse pregnancy outcomes, serum folate and vitamin B 12, increased maternal periconceptional HCY was significantly associated with lower offspring birth weight ( β=-2.30, 95% CI -4.43--0.16, P=0.035). Only the early pregnancy subgroup was significantly associated with lower offspring birth weight ( β=-7.39, 95% CI-11.50--3.21, P<0.001). No association was found between peripregnancy HCY and offspring SGA risk. However, elevated HCY in early pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of SGA in the offspring ( RR=1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.08, P=0.002). Periconceptional vitamin B 12 was a mediator of the association between HCY and offspring birth weight, accounting for 16.5%, 41.2% and 5.4% of its total effect in the overall periconceptional population, the pre-pregnancy subgroup and the early pregnancy subgroup, respectively. Conclusions:Maternal periconceptional HCY level is associated with lower birth weight in offspring, but not with the risk of SGA. Elevated maternal HCY in early pregnancy subgroup may be associated with increased risk of SGA in offspring.
5.A multicenter study of R-ISS staging combined with frailty biomarkers to predict the prognosis and early death in newly diagnosed elderly multiple myeloma patients
Yingjie ZHANG ; Hua XUE ; Mengyao LI ; Jianmei XU ; Xinyue LIANG ; Weiling XU ; Xiaoqi QIN ; Qiang GUO ; Shanshan YU ; Peiyu YANG ; Mengru TIAN ; Tingting YUE ; Mengxue ZHANG ; Yurong YAN ; Zhongli HU ; Nan ZHANG ; Jingxuan WANG ; Fengyan JIN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2023;42(10):1207-1212
Objective:To improve the prognosis stratification, especially early mortality(EM), of elderly patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma(NDMM).Methods:In this retrospective study, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were conducted to identify the independent prognostic factors associated with overall survival(OS)and the chi-square test and multivariate Logistic analysis were used to identify the prognostic factors associated with EM in 223 elderly patients(age≥65 years)with NDMM from three centers in the country.Results:Increased NT-pro-BNP(≥300 pg/ml), ECOG-PS≥2 and stage Ⅲ R-ISS were identified as three independent adverse prognostic factors of OS.The rates of EM3, EM6, EM12 and EM24 were 12.1%, 20.1%, 32.2% and 60%, respectively.The most common cause for EM6(particularly EM3)was disease-related complications resulting from ineligibility for treatment due to poor physical performance, severe organ dysfunction or treatment discontinuation due to treatment intolerance, while the most common cause for EM12(particularly EM24)was disease progression or relapse mainly as a result of inadequate treatment.R-ISS staging failed to predict EM, while decreased eGFR, ECOG-PS≥2, and increased NT-pro-BNP were able to estimate the risk of EM, with increased NT-pro-BNP as a common independent factor for EM12( P=0.03)and EM24( P=0.015). Conclusions:R-ISS staging, which primarily reflects MM biology, cannot predict EM.However, factors such as NT-pro-BNP, eGFR and ECOG-PS associated with frailty and impairment of organ functions can be used to estimate the risk of EM, among which NT-pro-BNP may be the most important independent factor for EM.Therefore, incorporation of these frailty-related biomarkers into R-ISS staging may be able to more precisely estimate the prognosis and particularly early death of elderly patients with NDMM.
6.Progress in research and application of risk assessment methods for imported malaria in China
Shuo YANG ; Hanyin YANG ; Shuning YAN ; Jiarui LIANG ; Mengru LI ; Bin ZHENG ; Zhigui XIA ; Shang XIA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(11):1820-1824
With the gradual resumption of international travel, cross-border population movement has become frequent again, risk assessment of imported malaria has important public health significance to maintain malaria elimination status in China. Currently, risk index system construction method, risk index method, mathematical model method, and infectivity-receptivity- vulnerability method are mainly used in imported malaria risk assessment in China. This paper summarizes the common evaluation methods in the risk assessment of imported malaria research in China to provide references for the further research.
7.Factor analysis of effective platelet-producing ability of fetal liver-derived cells
Mengru YU ; Guanheng YANG ; Guanghui LIU ; Yitao ZENG ; Yan XUE ; Qingwen MA ; Fanyi ZENG
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2022;61(6):664-672
Objective:To study the different factors affecting platelet production post transplantation of hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) isolated from different sources in order to explore novel options for treating platelet depletion following HSCs transplantation.Methods:HSCs and their downstream derivatives including myeloid and lymphoid cells (i.e., collective of mononuclear cells (MNCs)), were isolated from E14.5 fetal liver (FL) and bone marrow (BM) of 8-week-old mice by Ficoll separation technique. These cells were subsequently transplanted into the tibia bone marrow cavity of recipient mice post lethal myeloablative treatment in order to construct the FL-MNCs and BM-MNCs transplantation mouse model. Routine blood indices were examined in these recipient mice. The chimeric rate of donor cells in recipient peripheral blood cells were determined by flow cytometry. Different groups of cells involved in platelet reconstruction were analyzed. CD41 +megakaryocytes were sorted from fetal liver or bone marrow using magnetic beads, which were then induced to differentiate into platelets in an in vitro assay . Quantitative RT-PCR was used to detect the expression of platelet-related genes in CD41 +megakaryocytes from the two sources. Results:Both the FL-MNCs and the BM-MNCs transplantation groups resumed normal hematopoiesis at the 4th week after transplantation, and the blood cells of the recipient mice were largely replaced by the donor cells. Compared with the mice transplanted with BM-MNCs, the platelet level of mice transplanted with FL-MNCs recovered faster and were maintained at a higher level. At week 4, the PLT level of the FL-MNCs group was (1.45±0.37)×10 12/L, and of the BM-MNCs group was (1.22±0.24)×10 12/L, P<0.05. The FL-MNCs contain a higher proportion of hematopoietic stem cells (Lin -Sca-1 +c-Kit +)(7.60%±1.40%) compared to the BM-MNCs (1.10%±0.46%), P<0.01; the proportion of the megakaryocyte progenitor cells (Lin -Sca-1 -c-Kit +CD41 +CD150 +) and mature megakaryocyte cells (CD41 +CD42b +), also differ significantly between the FL-MNCs (3.05%±0.22%, 1.60%±0.06%, respectively) and the BM-MNCs (0.15%±0.02%, 0.87%±0.11%, respectively) groups, both P<0.01. In vitro functional studies showed that FL-MNCs-CD41 +megakaryocytes could produce proplatelet-like cells more quickly after induction, with proplatelet-like cells formation on day 3 and significant platelet-like particle formation on day 5, in contrast to bone marrow-derived BM-MNCs-CD41 +megakaryocytes that failed to form proplatelet-like cell on day 5. In addition, FL-MNCs-CD41 +cells expressed higher levels of platelet-related genes, Mpl (3.25-fold), Fog1 (3-fold), and Gata1 (1.5-fold) ( P<0.05). Conclusion:Compared with the BM-MNCs group, the FL-MNCs transplantation group appears to have a more efficient platelet implantation effect in the HSCs transplantation recipient in vivo , as well as a higher platelet differentiation rate in vitro. This might be related to a higher proportion of megakaryocytes and higher expression levels of genes such as Mpl, Fog1, and Gata1 that could be important for platelet formation in FL-MNCs-CD41 +cells. Further exploration of the specific functions of these genes and the characteristics of the different proportions of the donor cells will provide valuable clues for the future treatment of platelets reconstitution after HSCs transplantation clinically.
8.Vasorelaxant effects and mechanism of polyphenol compound LM 49 on isolated thoracic aorta of rats
Mengru ZHANG ; Yan GAO ; Caihong YANG ; Chengxiao ZHAO ; Xiu’e FENG ; Qingshan LI
China Pharmacy 2022;33(13):1588-1593
OBJECTIVE To study the vasorelaxant effects and mechanism of polyphenol compound 2,4′,5′-trihydroxy-5,2′- dibromo-diphenyl-methanone(LM49)on isolated aortic rings of rats. METHODS Thoracic aortic vascular rings of rats were collected. Using the diastolic rate as index , the effects of different concentrations of LM 49 on endothelium-intact and endothelium-denuded aortic rings pre-contracted by norepinephrine (NE,1×10-6 mol/L)or KCl (60 mmol/L)were investigated. After pre-culturing vascular rings by nitric oxide synthase inhibitor L-nitro-arginine methyl ester (L-NAME,0.1 mmol/L) and cyclooxygenase inhibitor indomethacin (1×10-5 mol/L),as well as pre-culturing vascular rings by 4 potassium channel blockers [BaCl 2(0.1 mmol/L),tetraethylammonium(TEA,5 mmol/L),4-aminopyridine(4-AP,0.1 mmol/L)and glibenclamide (1×10-5 mol/L)],the vasorelaxant effect of different concentrations of LM 49 on the vascular rings were investigated by using the same method. With the percentage of vasoconstriction as the index ,using KCl (60 mmol/L),NE(1×10-6 mol/L),calcium channel blocker verapamil (1×10-6 mol/L)and sarcoplasmic Δ 基金项目 重大新药创制国家科技重大专项 (No.2018ZX097- reticulum Ca 2 +-adenosine triphosphate (ATP) enzyme pump inhibitor thacarotene (TG,1×10-6 mol/L)to induce the release of calcium in vascular rings in the absence of calcium. CaCl was added cumulatively ,and the effect of LM 49 on the cxyw06,vasoconstriction caused by calcium influx induced by CaCl 2 was investigated. RESULTS 3×10-6,5×10-6,1×10-5 mol/L LM49 had a significant relaxation effect on NE and KCl precontracted vascular rings (P<0.01); whether the endothelium was removed or not had no significant effect on the vasodilation of LM 49(P>0.05). After L-NAME ,indomethacin, TEA and 4-AP was pre-incubated ,different concentrations of LM 49 had no significant effects on aortic rings precontracted by NE (P>0.05). Glibenclamide and BaCl 2 could inhibit the vasorelaxant effects of LM 49 on aortic rings precontracted by NE (P<0.01). In the absence of calcium ,LM49 could inhibit the contraction caused by calcium influx induced by accumulated CaCl 2 after pre-incubation with KCl ,NE,verapamil and TG (P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS LM49 evokes significant relaxation of isolated aortic vascular rings without endothelium dependence ;the mechanism of which is inducing ATP-sensitive potassium channel , inward rectifier potassium channel open and restraining extracellular Ca 2 + influx via voltage-gated calcium channel , receptor-operated calcium channel and store-operated calcium channel.
9.Natural compounds modulate the autophagy with potential implication of stroke.
Anil AHSAN ; Mengru LIU ; Yanrong ZHENG ; Wenping YAN ; Lin PAN ; Yue LI ; Shijia MA ; Xingxian ZHANG ; Ming CAO ; Zhanxun WU ; Weiwei HU ; Zhong CHEN ; Xiangnan ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2021;11(7):1708-1720
Stroke is considered a leading cause of mortality and neurological disability, which puts a huge burden on individuals and the community. To date, effective therapy for stroke has been limited by its complex pathological mechanisms. Autophagy refers to an intracellular degrading process with the involvement of lysosomes. Autophagy plays a critical role in maintaining the homeostasis and survival of cells by eliminating damaged or non-essential cellular constituents. Increasing evidence support that autophagy protects neuronal cells from ischemic injury. However, under certain circumstances, autophagy activation induces cell death and aggravates ischemic brain injury. Diverse naturally derived compounds have been found to modulate autophagy and exert neuroprotection against stroke. In the present work, we have reviewed recent advances in naturally derived compounds that regulate autophagy and discussed their potential application in stroke treatment.
10.A predictive model based on risk factors for early mortality in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma
Mengru TIAN ; Peiyu YANG ; Tingting YUE ; Mengyao LI ; Yingjie ZHANG ; Mengxue ZHANG ; Limo ZHANG ; Yurong YAN ; Zhongli HU ; Yazhe DU ; Yuying LI ; Fengyan JIN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2021;42(8):666-672
Objective:To investigate risk factors for early mortality (EM) in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) and to build an EM-predictive model.Methods:In a cohort of 275 patients with NDMM, risk factors for EM at 6, 12, and 24 months after diagnosis (EM6, EM12, and EM24, respectively) were determined to establish a model to predict EM.Results:The rates of EM6, EM12, and EM24 were 5.5% , 12.7% , and 30.2% , respectively. The most common cause for EM was disease progression/relapse, accounting for 60.0% , 77.1% , and 84.3% of EM6, EM12, and EM24, respectively. EM6 was associated with corrected serum calcium >2.75 mmol/L and platelet count <100×10 9/L, whereas risk factors for EM12 included age >75 years, ISS Ⅲ, R-ISS Ⅲ, corrected serum calcium >2.75 mmol/L, serum creatinine >177 μmol/L, platelet count <100×10 9/L, and bone marrow plasma cell ratio ≥ 60% . In addition to the risk factors for EM12, EM24 was also associated with male sex and 1q21 gain. By multivariate analysis, age >75 years, platelet count <100×10 9/L, and 1q21 gain were independent risk factors for EM24 but there were no independent risk factors significantly associated with EM6 and EM12. Using a scoring system including these three risk factors, a Cox model for EM24 was generated to distinguish patients with low (score<3) and high (score ≥ 3) risk. The sensitivity and specificity of the model were 20.7% and 99.2% , respectively. Further, an internal validation performed in a cohort of 183 patients with NDMM revealed that the probability of EM24 in high-risk patients was 26 times higher than that in low-risk patients. Moreover, this model was also able to predict overall survival. The median overall survival of patients with scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 were 59, 41, 22, 17.5, and 16 months, respectively. Conclusion:In the study cohort, the EM6, EM12, and EM24 rates were 5.5% , 12.7% , and 30.2% , respectively, and disease progression or relapse were main causes of EM. An EM24-predictive model built on three independent risk factors for EM24 (age>75 years, platelet count<100×10 9/L, and 1q21 gain) might predict EM risk and overall survival.

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