1.Analysis and prediction of incidence and mortality trends of colorectal cancer in Jinhua City from 2016 to 2027
ZHOU Fan ; WANG Xiaohon ; CHEN Mengqian ; ZHANG Xiaolan ; XU Zelin
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(1):26-30
Objective:
To analyze the trends in incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province from 2016 to 2024, and to predict the incidence and mortality from 2025 to 2027, so as to provide the evidence for improving regional colorectal cancer prevention and control strategies.
Methods:
Data on incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in Jinhua City from 2016 to 2024 were collected through the Zhejiang Chronic Disease Surveillance Information Management System. The crude incidence and crude mortality were calculated, and standardized using the data from the Sixth National Population Census in 2010. Trends in incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer from 2016 to 2024 were analyzed using the average annual percent change (AAPC). A grey Markov model was constructed to predict the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer from 2025 to 2027.
Results:
From 2016 to 2024, the crude incidence and standardized incidence of colorectal cancer in Jinhua City were 46.90/100 000 and 30.69/100 000, respectively, showing upward trends (AAPC=4.594% and 2.051%, both P<0.05). The crude mortality and standardized mortality were 17.47/100 000 and 10.36/100 000, respectively, and the trends were not statistically significant (both P>0.05). The standardized incidence and standardized mortality of colorectal cancer in males were higher than those in females (35.38/100 000 vs. 25.68/100 000, 11.96/100 000 vs. 8.57/100 000, both P<0.05). The crude incidence and crude mortality of colorectal cancer in the ≥80 years age group were the highest, at 220.04/100 000 and 186.86/100 000, respectively. From 2016 to 2024, the standardized incidence of colorectal cancer in males and females showed upward trends (AAPC=5.069% and 3.965%, both P<0.05), while the trends in standardized mortality were not statistically significant (all P>0.05). The crude incidence in the 70-<80 years age group showed an upward trend (AAPC=1.320%, P<0.05), and the crude mortality in the 40-<50 years age group showed a downward trend (AAPC=-3.756%, P<0.05). Trends in other age groups were not statistically significant (all P>0.05). The prediction results of the grey Markov model showed that the predicted values of crude incidence and crude mortality of colorectal cancer in the whole population would increase from 58.20/100 000 and 20.04/100 000 in 2025 to 61.70/100 000 and 21.26/100 000 in 2027.
Conclusions
From 2016 to 2024, the incidence of colorectal cancer in Jinhua City showed upward trends, while the mortality trend was stable. Males and the elderly aged ≥80 years are high-risk populations for colorectal cancer incidence and mortality. It is predicted that both crude incidence and crude mortality will increase from 2025 to 2027.
2.Trends in pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality among the registered residents in Jinhua City of Zhejiang Province from 2016 to 2024
Xiaolan ZHANG ; Xiaohong WANG ; Fan ZHOU ; Mengqian CHEN ; Zelin XU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(5):339-343
ObjectiveTo analyze trends in the incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer among the registered residents in Jinhua City of Zhejiang Province from 2016 to 2024, and to predict incidence and mortality rates from 2025 to 2027, thereby providing a reference for refining prevention and control strategies. MethodsData on pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality among the registered residents in Jinhua City from 2016 to 2024 were collected. The Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) to analyze the temporal trends of pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality. Furthermore, a GM (1,1) model was constructed using Excel 2019 to predict incidence rates and mortality rates for the years 2025 to 2027. ResultsFrom 2016 to 2024, the crude incidence and crude mortality rates of pancreatic cancer among the registered residents in Jinhua City were 8.41/100 000 and 8.19/100 000, respectively, both showing upward trends (AAPC=3.55%, 95%CI: 1.69%-5.63%; AAPC=3.35%, 95%CI: 1.08%-5.93%), while the standardized incidence and mortality rates were 5.21/100 000 and 4.93/100 000, respectively, with no statistically significant trends (AAPC=1.12% and 0.52%, both P>0.05). The incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer were higher in men than in women. Both crude incidence and crude mortality rates rose steadily with increased age (both P<0.01). According to the GM (1,1) model, the crude mortality rate of pancreatic cancer among the registered residents in Jinhua City is projected to continue its upward trend from 2025 to 2027 (9.37/100 000, 9.60/100 000, and 9.83/100 000, respectively). ConclusionFrom 2016 to 2024, both the crude incidence and crude mortality rates of pancreatic cancer among registered residents in Jinhua City showed continuous upward trends, and the crude mortality rate is likely to continue rising from 2025 to 2027. Efforts to prevent and control pancreatic cancer should be strengthened, particularly among men and the very elderly.
3.Exploration of the pathogenesis and treatment of pulmonary interstitial fibrosis secondary to systemic sclerosis based on the theory of sanjiao membranous channels
Yunlong SUN ; Xiaomei ZHANG ; Tianshu YANG ; Yanni LI ; Mengqian LI ; Yuxin LAI ; Xinlei TAN ; Liangduo JIANG
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;48(5):646-651
Systemic sclerosis is an autoimmune rheumatic disease that often leads to multisystem diseases,frequently resulting in pulmonary interstitial fibrosis.According to the theory of sanjiao(triple energizers)membranous channels,sanjiao connects the five zang-organs and six fu-viscera internally and the skin,muscles,and bones externally.It serves as a four-way membranous channel that connects internal organs and external structures,linking with the micromembranes of organs and blood vessels.The pathogenesis of pulmonary interstitial fibrosis secondary to systemic sclerosis involves external cold obstructing the skin and interstitial layers,impairing the defense qi and defense yang,which originate in the essence of the kidney.This leads to weak defensive qi and kidney deficiency,causing stagnation in sanjiao's energy flow and disruption of water and gasification and loss of fluid,resulting in accumulation of dampness,phlegm,and blood stasis.These obstructive factors spread along sanjiao's membranous channels,leading to multiorgan micromembrane involvement and systemic damage.The lungs,which are in direct contact with the external environment,are particularly susceptible to invasion by external pathogens.When combined with stagnation of dampness,phlegm,and blood in the lungs,this leads to secondary pulmonary fibrosis,resulting in lung dysfunction.Continuous stagnation of sanjiao exacerbates the overall condition of the patient,leading to a mixed cold-heat imbalance.Treatment focuses on"unblocking,transforming,and regulating"to restore sanjiao function,promote qi and fluid circulation,invigorate blood,and adjust the cold-heat imbalance,ultimately restoring the overall condition of the patient.
4.Exploration of the pathogenesis and treatment of pulmonary interstitial fibrosis secondary to systemic sclerosis based on the theory of sanjiao membranous channels
Yunlong SUN ; Xiaomei ZHANG ; Tianshu YANG ; Yanni LI ; Mengqian LI ; Yuxin LAI ; Xinlei TAN ; Liangduo JIANG
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;48(5):646-651
Systemic sclerosis is an autoimmune rheumatic disease that often leads to multisystem diseases,frequently resulting in pulmonary interstitial fibrosis.According to the theory of sanjiao(triple energizers)membranous channels,sanjiao connects the five zang-organs and six fu-viscera internally and the skin,muscles,and bones externally.It serves as a four-way membranous channel that connects internal organs and external structures,linking with the micromembranes of organs and blood vessels.The pathogenesis of pulmonary interstitial fibrosis secondary to systemic sclerosis involves external cold obstructing the skin and interstitial layers,impairing the defense qi and defense yang,which originate in the essence of the kidney.This leads to weak defensive qi and kidney deficiency,causing stagnation in sanjiao's energy flow and disruption of water and gasification and loss of fluid,resulting in accumulation of dampness,phlegm,and blood stasis.These obstructive factors spread along sanjiao's membranous channels,leading to multiorgan micromembrane involvement and systemic damage.The lungs,which are in direct contact with the external environment,are particularly susceptible to invasion by external pathogens.When combined with stagnation of dampness,phlegm,and blood in the lungs,this leads to secondary pulmonary fibrosis,resulting in lung dysfunction.Continuous stagnation of sanjiao exacerbates the overall condition of the patient,leading to a mixed cold-heat imbalance.Treatment focuses on"unblocking,transforming,and regulating"to restore sanjiao function,promote qi and fluid circulation,invigorate blood,and adjust the cold-heat imbalance,ultimately restoring the overall condition of the patient.
5.Randomized controlled clinical study of Yifei Sanjie Decoction in the treatment of multiple pulmonary nodules
Mengqian LI ; Xiaomei ZHANG ; Baozhong LI ; Yuxin LAI ; Yanni LI ; Tianshu YANG ; Xinlei TAN ; Yunlong SUN
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;48(11):1519-1530
Objective To observe the efficacy and safety of Yifei Sanjie Decoction in the treatment of multiple pulmonary nodules.Methods A prospective randomized controlled clinical study was conducted to select 189 patients with multiple pulmonary nodules who saught medical attention at the Pulmonary Nodule Diagnosis and Treatment Center of Dongfang Hospital,Beijing University of Chinese Medicine and the Department of Thoracic Surgery of Beijing Shijitan Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University from January 2023 to March 2025.According to the random number table method,126 cases were randomly divided into the trial group and 63 cases in the blank control group at a ratio of 2∶1.The trial group was treated with modified Yifei Sanjie Decoction,and the blank control group was only followed up without intervention.The course of treatment was 3 months.The patients in the two groups were reexamined with lung CT after 3 months.The efficacy was evaluated by the area reduction rate of the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in patients with multiple pulmonary nodules combined with the average diameter and malignant signs.According to the property of the major pulmonary nodules,we divided the patients into ground glass,solid,and mixed ground glass subgroups to evaluate the efficacy of different types of pulmonary nodules.We evaluated the change of malignant risk of pulmonary nodules according to the change of Mayo score.We evaluated the safety of the treatment medicine by blood routine,urine routine,and liver and kidney function.Results A total of 175 patients completed the study,117 in the trial group and 58 in the blank control group.The total effective rates of the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in the trial group were 41.03%and 42.74%,respectively,the total effective rate of nodule number change was 29.91%which were significantly higher than those in the blank control group(P<0.05).In the trial group,the total effective rates of the major pulmonary nodules in the ground glass(72 cases),solid(28 cases),and mixed ground glass(17 cases)subgroups were 40.28%,32.14%,and 58.82%,respectively,the total effective rates of the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules were 38.89%,42.86%,and 58.82%,respectively,which were significantly higher than those in corresponding subgroups of ground glass(37 cases),solid(14 cases),and mixed ground glass(7 cases)of the blank control(P<0.05).After treatment,the average diameter,area,and Mayo score of the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in the trial group were significantly lower than those in the blank control group and before treatment(P<0.05),the average diameter,area,and Mayo score of the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in the ground glass,solid,and mixed ground glass subgroups were lower than those in corresponding subgroups of the blank control group,and significantly lower than those before treatment(P<0.05).The number of nodules and malignant signs in the trial group were lower than before,while those in the blank control group were higher than before.There were no serious adverse events in the two groups during the study.Conclusion Yifei Sanjie Decoction can effectively treat the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in patients with multiple pulmonary nodules,reduce the average diameter and area of nodules,reduce the Mayo score,and reduce the malignant signs and number of nodules.In the ground glass,solid,and mixed ground glass groups,the curative effect is well,and the safety is high,it can be used for the clinical treatment of multiple pulmonary nodules.
6.Correlation between serum cystatin C and bone turnover markers in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and osteoporosis
Mengqian WANG ; Shaohong ZHANG ; Mengyue SUN ; Min CHEN ; Weimin WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(4):89-92
Objective To analyze the correlation between serum cystatin C (Cys-C) and bone turnover markers in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and osteoporosis. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the data of 320 elderly patients with T2DM admitted to Huai'an First People's Hospital from August 2021 to June 2024. Patients were divided into the osteoporosis group and the non-osteoporosis group according to whether they had osteoporosis. General information, bone turnover markers, and serum Cys-C levels were collected from all patients. The data were compared between the two groups to analyze the influencing factors of osteoporosis in elderly patients with T2DM and the correlation between serum Cys-C and bone turnover markers. Results The levels of total cholesterol and LDL-C in the osteoporosis group were higher than those in the non-osteoporosis group, and the bone mineral density was lower than that in the non-osteoporosis group (P<0.05). The levels of TPINP, β-CTX, and Cys-C in the osteoporosis group were higher than those in the non-osteoporosis group, and 25-OH-D3 level was lower than that in the non-osteoporosis group (P<0.05). Serum Cys-C was positively correlated with TPINP and β-CTX, and negatively correlated with 25-OH-D3 (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis found that total cholesterol, LDL-C, TPINP, β-CTX, 25-OH-D3, and Cys-C were factors influencing osteoporosis in elderly patients with T2DM (P<0.05). Conclusion Serum Cys-C levels in elderly patients with T2DM and osteoporosis are elevated. There is a significant correlation between Cys-C level and bone turnover markers.
7.Treatment of Recurrent Aphthous Ulcers from the Perspective of "Heart"
Mengfan REN ; Nailin ZHANG ; Ruohan WANG ; Mengqian SUN ; Pingping CHEN ; Hua CAO ; Qiquan LIU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(11):1174-1177
Based on the traditional Chinese medicine theory that "all pain, itching, and sores are related to the heart", this paper proposes treating recurrent aphthous ulcers from the perspective of the heart. It suggests that excessive heart fire and tissue erosion due to flaming fire in the heart meridian constitute the core pathogenesis of this condition. Hyperactive heart fire is identified as the key pathogenic factor, while heart yin deficiency, obstruction of the heart collaterals, and malnourishment of the heart spirit are considered significant contributing factors. Clinically, the treatment follows the principle of clearing heart fire as the main strategy, supplemented by nourishing yin, activating collaterals, and calming the spirit. The self-formulated Qingxin Yuchuang Formulation (清心愈疮方) serves as the base prescription, with flexible modifications incorporating the Yuyin Formulation (育阴方), Huoxue Formulation (活血方), and Yu'an Formulation (郁安方) to address specific syndromes involving heart yin deficiency, collateral blockage, and emotional disturbance.
8.Randomized controlled clinical study of Yifei Sanjie Decoction in the treatment of multiple pulmonary nodules
Mengqian LI ; Xiaomei ZHANG ; Baozhong LI ; Yuxin LAI ; Yanni LI ; Tianshu YANG ; Xinlei TAN ; Yunlong SUN
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;48(11):1519-1530
Objective To observe the efficacy and safety of Yifei Sanjie Decoction in the treatment of multiple pulmonary nodules.Methods A prospective randomized controlled clinical study was conducted to select 189 patients with multiple pulmonary nodules who saught medical attention at the Pulmonary Nodule Diagnosis and Treatment Center of Dongfang Hospital,Beijing University of Chinese Medicine and the Department of Thoracic Surgery of Beijing Shijitan Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University from January 2023 to March 2025.According to the random number table method,126 cases were randomly divided into the trial group and 63 cases in the blank control group at a ratio of 2∶1.The trial group was treated with modified Yifei Sanjie Decoction,and the blank control group was only followed up without intervention.The course of treatment was 3 months.The patients in the two groups were reexamined with lung CT after 3 months.The efficacy was evaluated by the area reduction rate of the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in patients with multiple pulmonary nodules combined with the average diameter and malignant signs.According to the property of the major pulmonary nodules,we divided the patients into ground glass,solid,and mixed ground glass subgroups to evaluate the efficacy of different types of pulmonary nodules.We evaluated the change of malignant risk of pulmonary nodules according to the change of Mayo score.We evaluated the safety of the treatment medicine by blood routine,urine routine,and liver and kidney function.Results A total of 175 patients completed the study,117 in the trial group and 58 in the blank control group.The total effective rates of the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in the trial group were 41.03%and 42.74%,respectively,the total effective rate of nodule number change was 29.91%which were significantly higher than those in the blank control group(P<0.05).In the trial group,the total effective rates of the major pulmonary nodules in the ground glass(72 cases),solid(28 cases),and mixed ground glass(17 cases)subgroups were 40.28%,32.14%,and 58.82%,respectively,the total effective rates of the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules were 38.89%,42.86%,and 58.82%,respectively,which were significantly higher than those in corresponding subgroups of ground glass(37 cases),solid(14 cases),and mixed ground glass(7 cases)of the blank control(P<0.05).After treatment,the average diameter,area,and Mayo score of the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in the trial group were significantly lower than those in the blank control group and before treatment(P<0.05),the average diameter,area,and Mayo score of the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in the ground glass,solid,and mixed ground glass subgroups were lower than those in corresponding subgroups of the blank control group,and significantly lower than those before treatment(P<0.05).The number of nodules and malignant signs in the trial group were lower than before,while those in the blank control group were higher than before.There were no serious adverse events in the two groups during the study.Conclusion Yifei Sanjie Decoction can effectively treat the major pulmonary nodules and the cumulative multiple pulmonary nodules in patients with multiple pulmonary nodules,reduce the average diameter and area of nodules,reduce the Mayo score,and reduce the malignant signs and number of nodules.In the ground glass,solid,and mixed ground glass groups,the curative effect is well,and the safety is high,it can be used for the clinical treatment of multiple pulmonary nodules.
9.A Novel Functional Method of Protector Screening for Zebrafish Lateral Line Hair Cells via the Acoustic Escape Response.
Ling ZHENG ; Qiaosen SHEN ; Tong ZHAO ; Qingsong LIU ; Zihao HUANG ; Feng ZHAO ; Mengqian ZHANG ; Yongdong SONG ; Daogong ZHANG ; Dong LIU ; Fangyi CHEN
Neuroscience Bulletin 2025;41(9):1537-1552
Zebrafish larvae are useful for identifying chemicals against lateral line (LL) hair cell (HC) damage and this type of chemical screen mainly focuses on searching for protectors against cell death. To expand the candidate pool of HC protectors, a self-built acoustic escape response (AER)-detecting system was developed to apply both low-frequency near-field sound transmission and AER image acquisition/processing modules. The device quickly confirmed the changed LL HC functions caused by most known ototoxins, protectors, and neural transmission modifiers, or knockdown of LL HC-expressing genes. With ten devices wired in tandem, five 'hit' chemicals were identified from 124 cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitors to partially restore cisplatin-damaged AER in less than a day. AS2863619, ribociclib, and SU9516 among the hits, protected the HCs in the mouse cochlea. Therefore, using free-swimming larval zebrafish, the self-made AER-detecting device can efficiently identify compounds that are protective against HC damage, including cell death and loss-of-function.
Animals
;
Zebrafish
;
Hair Cells, Auditory/physiology*
;
Lateral Line System/cytology*
;
Escape Reaction/physiology*
;
Larva
;
Mice
;
Cisplatin/toxicity*
;
Drug Evaluation, Preclinical/methods*
10.Trends in incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in Jinhua City from 2016 to 2024
CHEN Mengqian ; WANG Xiaohong ; ZHOU Fan ; ZHANG Xiaolan ; XU Zelin
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(10):1035-1038
Objective:
To analyze the trends in incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province from 2016 to 2024, so as to provide the evidence for the improvement of prostate cancer prevention and control measures.
Methods:
The incidence and mortality data of prostate cancer in Jinhua City from 2016 to 2024 were collected from the Chronic Disease Surveillance Information Management System of Zhejiang Province, and the crude incidence and mortality were calculated. The Chinese Sixth National Population Census in 2010 was used to calculate standardized incidence and mortality. The trends in incidence and mortality of prostate cancer were evaluated using average annual percent change (AAPC).
Results:
A total of 8 357 cases of prostate cancer were diagnosed in Jinhua City from 2016 to 2024. The crude incidence and standardized incidence were 37.36/100 000 and 21.17/100 000, respectively, showing upward trends (AAPC=16.275%, 12.511%, both P<0.05). There were 1 615 deaths of prostate cancer, and the crude mortality was 7.22/100 000, showing an upward trend (AAPC=5.451%, P<0.05). The standardized mortality was 3.49/105, and the trend showed no statistically significant (P>0.05). There were 28 cases of prostate cancer in individuals under 50 years old, accounting for 0.34%. The crude incidence and crude mortality of patients aged ≥50 years increased with age (both P<0.05). From 2016 to 2024, the crude incidence of prostate cancer in the 50-<60, 60-<70, 70-<80, and ≥80 age groups showed upward trends (AAPC=17.849%, 14.704%, 12.654% and 8.081%, all P<0.05), and the 50-<60 age group increased more quickly. There was no significant change in the crude mortality of prostate cancer among different age groups (all P>0.05).
Conclusion
From 2016 to 2024, the incidence of prostate cancer in Jinhua City showed an upward trend and had a trend of becoming younger, while the mortality remained relatively stable.


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