Objective To develop and validate an early venous thromboembolism(VTE)risk assessment scale for emergency observation patients.Methods ① Based on the characteristics of emergency observation patients,the Delphi expert consultation method and literature review were used to determine scale items and construct a scoring system.②The newly developed VTE scale and its scoring system were analyzed for reliability and validity.③Primary application:collect non acute traumatic observation and rescue patients admitted to Zhejiang Hospital from June 2022 to June 2023 as the research subjects.Patients were divided into survival and non-survival groups based on 28-day outcomes.Differences in VTE scores between the two groups using the new scale,Caprini,and Padua models were compared.The optimal cut-off point was determined using the receiver operator characteristic curve(ROC curve),according to the optimal cut-off value of the new scale score,patients were divided into two groups,and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyze the 28-day cumulative survival of the two groups of patients.Results ①The preliminary version of the early VTE risk assessment scale for emergency observation patients was developed,comprising 8 items:age,pre examination triage level,underlying diseases,D-dimer levels,activities of daily living(ADL)assessment,coagulation-related indicators,anticoagulants and(or)antiplatelet drugs use,and unhealthy habits.② A total of 121 emergency observation patients were included in the analysis.The test-retest reliability correlation coefficient(R)of the new scale was 0.945(>0.850),split-half reliability was 0.741(>0.700),and Cronbach'sαcoefficient was>0.700.KMO value was 0.715(>0.700),and Bartlett's sphericity test yieldedχ2=167.079,P<0.001,confirming the suitability of the scale for factor analysis.Three factors were identified:basic information,initial assessment,and blood test indicators.Pearson correlation analysis showed the correlation coefficients between the new scale and the Caprini and Padua scores were 0.842 and 0.307,respectively,both P<0.01.③Area under the curve(AUC)of the new scale was 0.566,95%confidence interval(95%CI)was 0.444-0.688,with an optimal diagnostic cut-off value of 13.5 points based on the maximum Youden index.The results of the Kaplan-Meier regression indicated that survival analysis using the 13.5-point cut-off revealed that patients with scores≥13.5 had significantly lower 28-day survival rates than those with scores<13.5(Log-Rank test:χ2=5.609,P=0.018).④The survival group had significantly lower scores than the non-survival group across all scales(new score:10.06±2.84 vs.12.69±3.06,Caprini model:7.22±2.48 vs.9.41±2.64,Padua model:2.91±1.97 vs.4.59±1.07,all P<0.05).Conclusion The early VTE risk assessment scale for emergency observation patients was successfully developed,demonstrating good reliability and validity through statistical analysis.The new scale effectively predicts disease severity and prognosis in emergency observation patients.

Objective To develop and validate an early venous thromboembolism(VTE)risk assessment scale for emergency observation patients.Methods ① Based on the characteristics of emergency observation patients,the Delphi expert consultation method and literature review were used to determine scale items and construct a scoring system.②The newly developed VTE scale and its scoring system were analyzed for reliability and validity.③Primary application:collect non acute traumatic observation and rescue patients admitted to Zhejiang Hospital from June 2022 to June 2023 as the research subjects.Patients were divided into survival and non-survival groups based on 28-day outcomes.Differences in VTE scores between the two groups using the new scale,Caprini,and Padua models were compared.The optimal cut-off point was determined using the receiver operator characteristic curve(ROC curve),according to the optimal cut-off value of the new scale score,patients were divided into two groups,and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyze the 28-day cumulative survival of the two groups of patients.Results ①The preliminary version of the early VTE risk assessment scale for emergency observation patients was developed,comprising 8 items:age,pre examination triage level,underlying diseases,D-dimer levels,activities of daily living(ADL)assessment,coagulation-related indicators,anticoagulants and(or)antiplatelet drugs use,and unhealthy habits.② A total of 121 emergency observation patients were included in the analysis.The test-retest reliability correlation coefficient(R)of the new scale was 0.945(>0.850),split-half reliability was 0.741(>0.700),and Cronbach'sαcoefficient was>0.700.KMO value was 0.715(>0.700),and Bartlett's sphericity test yieldedχ2=167.079,P<0.001,confirming the suitability of the scale for factor analysis.Three factors were identified:basic information,initial assessment,and blood test indicators.Pearson correlation analysis showed the correlation coefficients between the new scale and the Caprini and Padua scores were 0.842 and 0.307,respectively,both P<0.01.③Area under the curve(AUC)of the new scale was 0.566,95%confidence interval(95%CI)was 0.444-0.688,with an optimal diagnostic cut-off value of 13.5 points based on the maximum Youden index.The results of the Kaplan-Meier regression indicated that survival analysis using the 13.5-point cut-off revealed that patients with scores≥13.5 had significantly lower 28-day survival rates than those with scores<13.5(Log-Rank test:χ2=5.609,P=0.018).④The survival group had significantly lower scores than the non-survival group across all scales(new score:10.06±2.84 vs.12.69±3.06,Caprini model:7.22±2.48 vs.9.41±2.64,Padua model:2.91±1.97 vs.4.59±1.07,all P<0.05).Conclusion The early VTE risk assessment scale for emergency observation patients was successfully developed,demonstrating good reliability and validity through statistical analysis.The new scale effectively predicts disease severity and prognosis in emergency observation patients.