1.Construction of a mixed valvular heart disease-related age-adjusted comorbidity index and its predictive value for patient prognosis.
Murong XIE ; Haiyan XU ; Bin ZHANG ; Yunqing YE ; Zhe LI ; Qingrong LIU ; Zhenyan ZHAO ; Junxing LYU ; Yongjian WU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(2):230-240
OBJECTIVES:
To create a mixed valvular heart disease (MVHD)-related age-adjusted comorbidity index (MVACI) model for predicting mortality risk of patients with MVHD.
METHODS:
A total of 4080 patients with moderate or severe MVHD in the China-VHD study were included. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality. A MVACI model prediction model was constructed based on the mortality risk factors identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Restricted cubic splines were used to assess the relationship between MVACI scores and 2-year all-cause mortality. The optimal threshold, determined by the maximum Youden index from receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, was used to stratify patients. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate 2-year all-cause mortality and compared using the Log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were employed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), evaluating the association between MVACI scores and mortality. Paired ROC curves were used to compare the discriminative ability of MVACI scores with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation Ⅱ(EuroSCORE Ⅱ) or the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) in predicting 2-year clinical outcomes, while calibration curves assessed the calibration of these models. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on etiology, treatment strategies, and disease severity.
RESULTS:
Multivariate analysis identified the following variables independently associated with 2-year all-cause mortality in patients: pulmonary hypertension, myocardiopathy, heart failure, low body weight (body mass index <18.5 kg/m2), anaemia, hypoalbuminemia, renal insufficiency, cancer, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and age. The score was independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality, and exhibited good discrimination (AUC=0.777, 95%CI: 0.755-0.799) and calibration (Brier score 0.062), with significantly better predictive performance than EuroSCORE Ⅱ or ACCI (both adjusted P<0.01). The internal validation showed that the MVACI model's predicted probability of 2-year all-cause mortality was generally consistent with the actual probability. The AUCs for predicting all-cause mortality risk were all above 0.750, and those for predicting adverse events were all above 0.630. The prognostic value of the score remained consistent in patients regardless of their etiology, therapeutic option, and disease severity.
CONCLUSIONS
The MVACI was constructed in this study based on age and comorbidities, and can be used for mortality risk prediction and risk stratification of MVHD patients. It is a simple algorithmic index and easy to use.
Humans
;
Prognosis
;
Comorbidity
;
Heart Valve Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Risk Factors
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Age Factors
;
Risk Assessment
;
Adult
;
ROC Curve
2.Effect of Juglone on Proliferation Inhibition and RIPK1/RIPK3/MLKL Expression in Acute Myeloid Leukemia Cells.
Chun-Yi LYU ; Xue-Wei YIN ; Zong-Hong LI ; Chen HAN ; Yan WANG ; Zhen-Zhen WANG ; Lyu-Ye LIU ; Rui-Rong XU
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(4):980-985
OBJECTIVE:
To study the effects and mechanisms of juglone on the proliferation and apoptosis of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) cells.
METHODS:
Juglone and AML targets were collected from public databases, and the intersecting target clusters were taken for functional enrichment analysis to explore the potential mechanism of juglone in the treatment of AML. Then wet experiments were performed to verify. AML cell lines including KG-1a, MV-411, THP-1 and MOLM-13 were treated with different concentrations of juglone for 24 h. MTT assay was used to detect cell viability and determine the IC50, and the most sensitive cell line was screened for subsequent experiments. Flow cytometry was used to detect the apoptosis of cells treated with different concentrations of juglone. Western blot was performed to check the expression of relevant proteins.
RESULTS:
Eleven targets were obtained as potential targets for juglone in the treatment of AML, and the top ten significantly enriched pathways were intrinsic pathway of apoptosis, programmed cell death, cytochrome c-mediated apoptotic response, apoptosis, apoptotic factor-mediated response, regulated necrosis, cytokine signaling in immune system, signaling by interleukins, oncogene induced senescence, and signal transduction. The cell viability of KG-1a, MV-411, THP-1 and MOLM-13 was decreased with increasing juglone concentration after 24 h of juglone treatment (r =-0.992, -0.886, -0.956, -0.910). Among them, MOLM-13 was the most sensitive to juglone. The results of flow cytometry showed that the apoptosis rate of MOLM-13 tended to significantly increase with the increasing concentration of juglone (r =0.99). At the same time point, p-RIPK1/RIPK1, p-RIPK3/RIPK3, and p-MLKL/MLK were decreased in each juglone concentration group compared with control group.
CONCLUSION
Juglone inhibits the viability of KG-1a, MV-411, THP-1 and MOLM-13 cells, and induces apoptosis of MOLM-13 cells, the mechanism of which may be related to the inhibition of RIPK1/RIPK3/MLKL signaling pathway.
Humans
;
Naphthoquinones/pharmacology*
;
Apoptosis/drug effects*
;
Cell Proliferation/drug effects*
;
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/pathology*
;
Cell Line, Tumor
;
Receptor-Interacting Protein Serine-Threonine Kinases/metabolism*
;
Protein Kinases/metabolism*
;
Signal Transduction
;
Cell Survival/drug effects*
3.Integrating Internet Search Data and Surveillance Data to Construct Influenza Epidemic Thresholds in Hubei Province: A Moving Epidemic Method Approach.
Cai Xia DANG ; Feng LIU ; Heng Liang LYU ; Zi Qian ZHAO ; Si Jin ZHU ; Yang WANG ; Yuan Yong XU ; Ye Qing TONG ; Hui CHEN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(9):1150-1154
4.Predictive value of changes in serum VIP and 5-HT levels for the outcome of spinal cord electrical stimulation in patients with postherpetic neuralgia
Yongqiang YE ; Shenghua LIU ; Bizheng TIAN ; Jianqiang HAO ; Jianwei LYU ; Fei XIE ; Hongbin LIU
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;46(9):1041-1045,1050
Objective To investigate the predictive value of serum vasoactive intestinal peptide(VIP)and 5-hydroxytryptamine(5-HT)levels on the outcome of spinal cord electrical stimulation(SCS)in patients with postherpetic neuralgia(PHN).Methods A total of 96 PHN patients who received SCS treatment in Ziy-ang Central Hospital from January 2022 to December 2023 were selected.According to the disease outcomes of all PHN patients after 6 months of treatment,a good group(n=71)and a poor group(n=25)were set up.The clinical data of the two groups were collected and the serum VIP and 5-HT levels were detected in all pa-tients before treatment.The predictive value of serum VIP and 5-HT on disease outcome after SCS treatment in PHN patients was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,and the influencing factors of disease outcome after SCS treatment in PHN patients was explored by multivariate Logistic steppe gression a-nalysis.Results The levels of serum VIP and 5-HT in poor group were higher than those in good group(P<0.05).The area under the curve(AUC)of serum VIP and 5-HT for predicting the disease outcome of PHN patients after SCS treatment were 0.829(95%CI:0.779-0.874)and 0.743(95%CI:0.693-0.793),respec-tively,and the AUC of combined prediction was 0.941(0.891-0.986).There were no significant differences in age,gender,body moss index,education,location of onset,hypertension and drinking history between the two groups(P>0.05).The time of initial hospital admission in the poor group was longer than that in the good group,skin rash area in the poor group was larger than that in the good group,and diabetes mellitus and smoking history in the poor group were higher than those in the good group(P<0.05).The time of admis-sion for initial treatment>3 d(OR=2.188,95%CI:1.383-3.461),skin rash area>10 cm2(OR=2.018,95%CI:1.283-3.173),diabetes mellitus(OR=2.264,95%CI:1.379-3.717),serum VIP level ≥41.78 ng/L(OR=3.022,95%CI:1.685-5.420),serum 5-HT level ≥99.27 ng/mL(OR=3.579,95%CI:1.885-6.793)were the influencing factors of disease outcome after SCS treatment in PHN patients(P<0.05).Con-clusion The elevated levels of serum VIP and 5-HT before treatment are associated with poor outcomes after SCS in patients with PHN,and could be used as potential markers to predict the outcomes of SCS in patients with PHN.
5.Clinical guidelines for the treatment of ankylosing spondylitis combined with lower cervical fracture in adults (version 2024)
Qingde WANG ; Yuan HE ; Bohua CHEN ; Tongwei CHU ; Jinpeng DU ; Jian DONG ; Haoyu FENG ; Shunwu FAN ; Shiqing FENG ; Yanzheng GAO ; Zhong GUAN ; Hua GUO ; Yong HAI ; Lijun HE ; Dianming JIANG ; Jianyuan JIANG ; Bin LIN ; Bin LIU ; Baoge LIU ; Chunde LI ; Fang LI ; Feng LI ; Guohua LYU ; Li LI ; Qi LIAO ; Weishi LI ; Xiaoguang LIU ; Hongjian LIU ; Yong LIU ; Zhongjun LIU ; Shibao LU ; Yong QIU ; Limin RONG ; Yong SHEN ; Huiyong SHEN ; Jun SHU ; Yueming SONG ; Tiansheng SUN ; Yan WANG ; Zhe WANG ; Zheng WANG ; Hong XIA ; Guoyong YIN ; Jinglong YAN ; Wen YUAN ; Zhaoming YE ; Jie ZHAO ; Jianguo ZHANG ; Yue ZHU ; Yingjie ZHOU ; Zhongmin ZHANG ; Wei MEI ; Dingjun HAO ; Baorong HE
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(2):97-106
Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) combined with lower cervical fracture is often categorized into unstable fracture, with a high incidence of neurological injury and a high rate of disability and morbidity. As factors such as shoulder occlusion may affect the accuracy of X-ray imaging diagnosis, it is often easily misdiagnosed at the primary diagnosis. Non-operative treatment has complications such as bone nonunion and the possibility of secondary neurological damage, while the timing, access and choice of surgical treatment are still controversial. Currently, there are no clinical practice guidelines for the treatment of AS combined with lower cervical fracture with or without dislocation. To this end, the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedics Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association organized experts to formulate Clinical guidelines for the treatment of ankylosing spondylitis combined with lower cervical fracture in adults ( version 2024) in accordance with the principles of evidence-based medicine, scientificity and practicality, in which 11 recommendations were put forward in terms of the diagnosis, imaging evaluation, typing and treatment, etc, to provide guidance for the diagnosis and treatment of AS combined with lower cervical fracture.
6.Application of optimized hippocampus-avoidance prophylactic cranial irradiation in limited-stage small cell lung cancer
Tianyou ZHAN ; Lei DENG ; Wenqing WANG ; Tao ZHANG ; Nan BI ; Jianyang WANG ; Xin WANG ; Wenyang LIU ; Yirui ZHAI ; Zefen XIAO ; Jima LYU ; Qinfu FENG ; Dongfu CHEN ; Ye-Xiong LI ; Zongmei ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Radiation Oncology 2024;33(3):205-211
Objective:To analyze the treatment efficacy, safety and dose parameters of optimized hippocampus-avoidance prophylactic cranial irradiation (HA-PCI) in limited-stage small cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) and explore the corresponding dosimetric parameters under the condition of narrowing the hippocampus avoidance region as hippocampus region plus 2 mm in three dimensions.Methods:Clinical data of patients with LS-SCLC receiving HA-PCI (hippocampus avoidance region defined as hippocampus region plus 2 mm in three dimensions) in Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from August 2014 to June 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Dose parameters of HA-PCI and adverse events were analyzed using descriptive statistics analysis. Changes of neurocognitive function, such as mini-mental state examination (MMSE) and Hopkins verbal learning test-revised (HVLT-R) scores, were evaluated by analysis of variance and Kruskal-Wallis H test. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and intracranial PFS (iPFS) were calculated using Kaplan-Meier method. The cumulative incidence of local-regional recurrence (LRR), extracranial distant metastases (EDM), and locoregional recurrence (LR) were investigated under competing risk analysis. Results:A total of 112 patients were included, the median follow-up time was 50 months (95% CI: 45.61-54.38). The median volume of hippocampus was 4.85 ml (range: 2.65-8.34 ml), with the average dose ≤9 Gy in 106 patients (94.6%), ≤8 Gy in 92 patients (82.1%). The median volume of hippocampus avoidance area was 15.00 ml (range: 8.61-28.06 ml), with the average dose ≤12 Gy in 109 patients (97.3%), ≤10 Gy in 101 patients (90.2%). The 2-year cumulative LRR, EDM, LR rates were 16.9%, 23.2% and 28.5%, respectively. The 5-year cumulative LRR, EDM, LR rates were 23.2%, 26.9% and 33.3%, respectively. The 2-year iPFS, PFS and OS rates were 66.1% (95% CI: 57.9%-75.4%), 53.6% (95% CI: 45.1%-63.7%) and 80.4% (95% CI: 73.3%-88.1%), respectively. The most common grade I-Ⅱ adverse events were nausea (33.9%) and dizziness (31.3%), and only 1 patient developed grade Ⅲ nausea and dizziness. MMSE ( n=57) and HVLT-R tests ( n=56) showed no significant decline. Conclusions:Optimized HA-PCI can achieve similar dose limitation with favorable efficacy and light toxicity. No significant decline is observed in short-term neurocognitive function in evaluable patients.
7.Evaluation value of RDW-SD,RPR and RLR on decompensation stage of cirrhosis in primary biliary cholangitis
Xiuxiang HUANG ; Mingsi HUO ; Xue LI ; Jinyan LIU ; Guangli LI ; Yingbin YE ; Guangbo LYU ; Dianjie DANG
Chongqing Medicine 2024;53(2):209-213
Objective To analyze the evaluation value of the standard deviation of erythrocyte volume distribution width(RDW-SD),erythrocyte volume distribution width standard deviation and platelet ratio(RPR)and erythrocyte volume distribution width standard deviation and lymphocyte ratio(RLR)in the de-compensation stage of cirrhosis in primary biliary cholangitis(PBC).Methods The blood routine indexes of 68 patients with PBC admitted and treated in this hospital from January 2019 to June 2021 were retrospective-ly analyzed and divided into the compensation stage(n=36)and decompensation stage(n=32)according to the diagnostic standard.2 mL venous blood was extracted from the patient on an empty stomach in the early morning.The red blood cell(RBC),mean corpuscular volume(MCV),hemoglobin(Hb),hematocrit(HCT),mean erythrocyte hemoglobin content(MCHC),RDW-SD,white blood cell(WBC),neutrophil absolute value(N#),lymphocyte absolute value(L#),platelet count(PLT),mean platelet volume(MPV),platelet volume distribution width(PDW),etc.were detected.The platelet to lymphocyte ratio(PLR),RPR and RLR were calculated.The influencing factors of decompensation stage of PBC cirrhosis were analyzed by binary logistic regression,and the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to analyze the diagnostic values of different indicators in the decompensation stage of PBC cirrhosis.Results There were statistically significant differences in age,RBC,Hb,HCT,RDW-SD,L #,PLT,RPR and RLR between the compensation group and decompensation group in PBC cirrhosis(P<0.05).The binary logistic regression analysis showed that the age[odds ratios(OR)=1.087,95%confidence intervals(CI):1.015-1.165,P<0.05],RDW-SD(OR=1.144,95%CI:1.030-1.270,P<0.05)and RLR(OR=1.041,95%CI:1.007-1.075,P<0.05)were the independent risk factors for progressing to the decompensation stage in the patients with PBC cirrhosis com-pensation stage.The ROC curve analysis showed that the areas under ROC curve(AUC)of RDW-SD,RPR and RLR for the diagnosis alone of decompensation stage of PBC cirrhosis were 0.726,0.778 and 0.798,re-spectively,and the differences were not statistically significant(P>0.05).Conclusion Combined with the age factor,regular monitoring of RDW-SD,RPR and RLR levels has a high predictive value for the develop-ment of PBC cirrhosis compensation stage to decompensation stage.
8.Prediction model related to 6-year risk of frailty in older adults aged 65 years or above in China
Jinhui ZHOU ; Li QI ; Jun WANG ; Sixin LIU ; Wenhui SHI ; Lihong YE ; Zhenwei ZHANG ; Zenghang ZHANG ; Xi MENG ; Jia CUI ; Chen CHEN ; Yuebin LYU ; Xiaoming SHI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(6):809-816
Objective:To develop a prediction tool for 6-year incident risk of frailty among Chinese older adults aged 65 years or above.Methods:Data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey from 2002 to 2018 was used, including 13 676 older adults aged 65 years or above who were free of frailty at baseline. Key predictors of frailty were identified via the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method, and were thereafter used to predict the incident frailty based on the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The model was internally validated by 2 000 Bootstrap resamples and evaluated for the performance of discrimination and calibration using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve, respectively. The net benefit of the developed prediction tool was evaluated by decision-curve analysis.Results:The M( Q1, Q3) age and follow-up time of the participants were 81.0 (71.0, 90.0) years and 6.0 (4.1, 9.2) years, respectively. A total of 4 126 older persons (30.2%) were recorded with frailty incidents during the follow-up, with the corresponding incidence density of 41.8/1 000 person-years. A total of 15 key predictors of frailty were selected by LASSO, namely, age, sex, race, education years, meat consumption, tea drinking, performing housework, raising domestic animals, playing cards or mahjong, and baseline status of visual function, activities of the daily living score, instrumental activities of the daily living score, hypertension, heart disease, and self-rated health. The prediction model was internally validated with an AUC of 0.802, with the max Youden's index of 0.467 at a risk threshold of 19.0%. The calibration curve showed high consistency between predicted probabilities and observed proportions of frailty events. The decision curve indicated that higher net benefits could be obtained via the prediction model than did strategies based on intervention in all or none participants for any risk threshold less than 59%, and the model-based net benefit was estimated to be 0.10 at a risk threshold of 19.0%. Conclusions:The herein developed 6-year incident risk prediction model of frailty, based on easily accessible questionnaires and physical examination variables, has good predictive performance. It has application potential in identifying populations at high risk of incident frailty.
9.Study of MMP-13 and TGF-β1 in synovial fluid and P-Smad3 in articular cartilage of patients with knee osteoarthritis of liver-kidney deficiency pattern and pattern of intermingled phlegm and blood stasis
Yuxuan LIU ; Xiangchun LIU ; Jian QI ; Jing CHEN ; Qinzhe LIU ; Qianshun WANG ; Tiancheng LYU ; Dian LAN ; Chao YE
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;47(8):1111-1118
Objective We aimed to compared matrix metalloproteinase-13 (MMP-13) and transforming growth factor-β1 (TGF-β1) in synovial fluid,the phosphorylation level of Smad3 in articular cartilage (P-Smad3),and their correlation with traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) patterns in patients with knee osteoarthritis (KOA) of liver-kidney deficiency pattern and pattern of intermingled phlegm and blood stasis.Methods Using a cross-sectional field investigation method,KOA patients hospitalized in the Orthopedics Department of Dongzhimen Hospital,Beijing University of Chinese Medicine from September 2019 to February 2023 were collected. A total of 112 KOA patients were included,among which 63 cases were diagnosed with liver-kidney deficiency pattern,and 49 cases were diagnosed with pattern of intermingled phlegm and blood stasis. The intensity of knee pain,function,and X-ray imaging result were quantified using the Visual Analogue Scale (VAS),Lysholm Knee Scoring Scale,and Kellgren-Lawrence (K-L) Grading Scale,respectively. The TCM pattern was identified and quantified using a TCM Pattern Scoring Scale. Immunohistochemistry was used to determine the phosphorylation characteristics of Smad3 in articular cartilage,and ELISA was used to measure the contents of MMP-13 and TGF-β1 in synovial fluid. The level characteristics and their correlation with the degree of syndrome were analyzed.Results (i) There was no statistically significant difference in VAS scores,Lysholm scores,and K-L grades between KOA patients with different TCM patterns. (ii) Compared with KOA patients with pattern of intermingled phlegm and blood stasis,patients with pattern of liver-kidney deficiency had higher levels of MMP-13 in synovial fluid and lower levels of TGF-β1 in synovial fluid (P<0.05). (iii) In KOA patients with liver-kidney deficiency pattern,there was a positive correlation between the level of MMP-13 in synovial fluid and the score of TCM pattern (r=0.292,P=0.020),while there was a negative correlation between the level of TGF-β1 in synovial fluid and the score of TCM pattern (r=-0.781,P<0.001). In KOA patients with pattern of intermingled phlegm and blood stasis,there was also a positive correlation between the level of MMP-13 in synovial fluid and the score of TCM pattern (r=0.936,P<0.001). (iv) The mean optical density value of P-Smad3 in articular cartilage was lower in KOA patients with liver-kidney deficiency pattern than in pattern of intermingled phlegm and blood stasis (P<0.05).Conclusion KOA patients with liver-kidney deficiency pattern or pattern of intermingled phlegm and blood stasis have different levels of TGF-β1 and MMP-13 in synovial fluid,as well as varying degrees of Smad3 phosphorylation in articular cartilage,which is consistent with the analysis of etiology and pathogenesis under different patterns. The levels of TGF-β1 and MMP-13 in synovial fluid of patients with liver-kidney deficiency pattern can reflect the severity of the pattern to a certain extent,and the mechanism may be related to the inhibition of the activation level of the TGF-β/Smad signaling pathway. This study enriches the research content of the material basis of TCM patterns.
10.The Impact of Generative Artificial Intelligence on the Development, Evaluation, and Application of Clinical Practice Guidelines
Xufei LUO ; Han LYU ; Zaiwei SONG ; Hui LIU ; Zhixiang WANG ; Haodong LI ; Ye WANG ; Di ZHU ; Lu ZHANG ; Yaolong CHEN
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2024;15(5):1173-1181
Generative artificial intelligence (GAI) refers to AI technology capable of generating new content such as text, images, or audio from training data. GAI tools not only demonstrate rapid and efficient potential in literature screening, data extraction, and literature appraisal in systematic reviews, but can also be used for guideline evaluation and dissemination, enhancing the readability and promotion efficiency of guidelines. However, the accuracy of content generated by GAI tools, the rationality of cited evidence, the level of evidence, and the reliability of data still need verification. Additionally, data privacy protection and ethical issues are challenges that need to be addressed. This article aims to overview the current status of GAI tools in the formulation, evaluation, dissemination, and implementation of guidelines, explore the feasibility and new models of GAI tools in the field of guidelines, and improve the efficiency and quality of guideline formulation to better serve guideline developers and users.

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