1.Incidence trends and age-period-cohort analysis of lip and oral cancer in China, 1990-2021
Pin LYU ; Jingjie GUO ; Wei WU ; Chongtao XU ; Luning XUN
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2025;60(6):644-651
Objective:To analyze the incidence trend of lip and oral cancer in China from 1990 to 2021.Methods:The incidence data of lip and oral cancer in China from 1990 to 2021 were obtained through the Global Health Data Exchange (GHDx) database, including incidence rates by gender and age-standardized incidence rates. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the trend of lip and oral cancer incidence rate. Age-period-cohort (APC) model was adopted to estimate the effects of Age, Period and Cohort on the incidence of lip and oral cancer in China.Results:The crude and age-standardized incidence rates of lip and oral cancer in China from 1990 to 2021 showed an increasing trend, and the crude incidence rates of the whole population, male and female in the year 2021 increased by 216.8%, 266.7% and 130.4%, respectively, compared with 1990. The age effect, period effect and birth cohort effect of the incidence risk of lip and oral cancer in China were statistically significant (all P<0.05). People of older the age and the more recent the birth cohort, the higher the incidence risk. Conclusions:The incidence of lip and oral cancer is on the rise in China from 1990 to 2021. Age, period and birth cohort are all the factors affecting the incidence of lip and oral cancer.
2.Incidence trends and age-period-cohort analysis of lip and oral cancer in China, 1990-2021
Pin LYU ; Jingjie GUO ; Wei WU ; Chongtao XU ; Luning XUN
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2025;60(6):644-651
Objective:To analyze the incidence trend of lip and oral cancer in China from 1990 to 2021.Methods:The incidence data of lip and oral cancer in China from 1990 to 2021 were obtained through the Global Health Data Exchange (GHDx) database, including incidence rates by gender and age-standardized incidence rates. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the trend of lip and oral cancer incidence rate. Age-period-cohort (APC) model was adopted to estimate the effects of Age, Period and Cohort on the incidence of lip and oral cancer in China.Results:The crude and age-standardized incidence rates of lip and oral cancer in China from 1990 to 2021 showed an increasing trend, and the crude incidence rates of the whole population, male and female in the year 2021 increased by 216.8%, 266.7% and 130.4%, respectively, compared with 1990. The age effect, period effect and birth cohort effect of the incidence risk of lip and oral cancer in China were statistically significant (all P<0.05). People of older the age and the more recent the birth cohort, the higher the incidence risk. Conclusions:The incidence of lip and oral cancer is on the rise in China from 1990 to 2021. Age, period and birth cohort are all the factors affecting the incidence of lip and oral cancer.
3.Cancer survival analysis in Tianjin, 2010 to 2016
Chong WANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Luning XUN ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Wenlong ZHENG ; Dezheng WANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(4):319-325
Objective:Survival analysis of cancers' incidence data in Tianjin from 2010 to 2016 was conducted to provide the basis for formulating and evaluating regional health policies on cancer prevention and treatment.Methods:Registration data in Tianjin were used between January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2016 and patients were followed-up till 31 December, 2021. Life-table method was used to calculate the observed survival rate and Edered Ⅱ was used to calculate the relative survival rate. The data were stratified by year, gender, age group and cancer sites. Difference in survival curves between group was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method and Log rank test. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend change.Results:The 5-year relative survival rates of cancer were 41.92% to 53.65% from 2010 to 2016 for residents in Tianjin, with an increasing trend ( t=4.81 ,P=0.005), and the average was 48.56%. The survival rate of females was higher than that of males (57.71%vs. 39.20%), and the survival rate of urban residents was higher than that of rural residents (49.38% vs. 47.24%). The 5-year relative survival rates were 63.14%, 78.39%, 58.25% and 32.67% in 0-14, 15-44, 45-64 and 65 and above age groups, respectively. The median relative survival times of all cancer were 2.34 to 6.00 years from 2010 to 2016 in Tianjin, with an increasing trend ( t=3.86, P=0.012). The average of median relative survival times was 4.11 years. The median survival time of females was longer than that of males (11.99 years vs. 2.03 years), and the time of urban residents were longer than that of rural residents (4.60 years vs. 3.43 years). The median relative survival time were 12.07, 11.92 and 1.34 years in 15-44, 45-64 and 65 and above age groups, respectively. Conclusions:The cumulative survival rate of cancer increased significantly from 2010 to 2016 in Tianjin, indicating that the prevention and treatment effect of cancer is obvious. The focus should be on male, rural areas, higher age group, and targeted prevention and treatment measures should be taken to lung, esophagus, liver, gallbladder and pancreatic cancer.
4.Analysis on trends of mortality rate and disease burden of liver cancer in Tianjin, China from 1999 to 2021
Dezheng WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Chong WANG ; Luning XUN ; Wenlong ZHENG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(11):999-1008
Objective:To explore the trends and distribution of liver cancer between sexes, ages, and urban-rural areas in Tianjin, China from 1999 to 2021, and provide data for targeted prevention and control strategies of liver cancer in Tianjin.Methods:Liver cancer mortality data of Tianjin during 1999-2021 were from the Tianjin population based mortality surveillance system maintained by the Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and the population data of permanent Tianjin residents were from Tianjin Municipal Public Security Bureau. Liver cancer mortality, years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD), and disability adjusted life years (DALY) were calculated using the cause of death surveillance data collected by Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The distributions of these data among residents of different sexes, ages, and regions were analyzed. Segi's world standard population was used for standardization. Joinpoint regression was used for trend analysis on the mortality rate of liver cancer and the disease burden.Results:The liver cancer mortality rate in Tianjin decreased by 46.75% from 1999 to 2021, with distinct phased characteristics. From 1999 to 2010, the age-sex-standardized mortality rate (SMR) decreased from 12.62/100 000 to 11.64/100 000 with an annual percent change (APC) of -1.32% ( P=0.003). From 2010 to 2021, the SMR decreased from 11.64/100 000 to 6.72/100 000 (APC=-3.89%, P<0.001). The age-sex-standardized DALY rates(SDR) decreased by 50.63% from 1999 to 2021, also with distinct phased characteristics. From 1999 to 2010, the SDR decreased from 388.67/100 000 to 349.38/100 000 (APC=-1.35%, P=0.002). From 2010 to 2021, the SDR decreased from 349.38/100 000 to 191.88/100 000 (APC=-4.43%, P<0.001). The liver cancer mortality rate declined most rapidly in the age group under 45 years; the APC for those under 35 years was -5.07% ( P<0.001), and for those aged 35-44 years, the APC was 0.63% ( P=0.707) and -8.21% ( P<0.001) before and after 2007, respectively. Both SMR and SDR were significantly higher in males than in females ( P<0.01). Both SMR and SDR were significantly higher in urban areas than in rural areas from 1999 to 2007 ( P<0.05), but they became similar after 2008. Liver cancer DALY are predominantly YLL, accounting for 99%. The median age of liver cancer deaths in Tianjin during 1999-2021 was 64-68 years old, with males lower than females ( P<0.05), and rural areas lower than urban areas ( P<0.05), generally showing an increasing trend (1999-2014: APC=0.11%, P=0.047; 2014-2021: APC=0.51%, P=0.005). Conclusions:Liver cancer mortality rate and disease burden decreased from 1999 to 2021 in Tianjin, with an especially accelerated decline after 2010. Further efforts to reduce liver cancer mortality in Tianjin are needed, and special attention should be focused on the elderly, male, and rural residents.
5.Cancer survival analysis in Tianjin, 2010 to 2016
Chong WANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Luning XUN ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Wenlong ZHENG ; Dezheng WANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(4):319-325
Objective:Survival analysis of cancers' incidence data in Tianjin from 2010 to 2016 was conducted to provide the basis for formulating and evaluating regional health policies on cancer prevention and treatment.Methods:Registration data in Tianjin were used between January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2016 and patients were followed-up till 31 December, 2021. Life-table method was used to calculate the observed survival rate and Edered Ⅱ was used to calculate the relative survival rate. The data were stratified by year, gender, age group and cancer sites. Difference in survival curves between group was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method and Log rank test. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend change.Results:The 5-year relative survival rates of cancer were 41.92% to 53.65% from 2010 to 2016 for residents in Tianjin, with an increasing trend ( t=4.81 ,P=0.005), and the average was 48.56%. The survival rate of females was higher than that of males (57.71%vs. 39.20%), and the survival rate of urban residents was higher than that of rural residents (49.38% vs. 47.24%). The 5-year relative survival rates were 63.14%, 78.39%, 58.25% and 32.67% in 0-14, 15-44, 45-64 and 65 and above age groups, respectively. The median relative survival times of all cancer were 2.34 to 6.00 years from 2010 to 2016 in Tianjin, with an increasing trend ( t=3.86, P=0.012). The average of median relative survival times was 4.11 years. The median survival time of females was longer than that of males (11.99 years vs. 2.03 years), and the time of urban residents were longer than that of rural residents (4.60 years vs. 3.43 years). The median relative survival time were 12.07, 11.92 and 1.34 years in 15-44, 45-64 and 65 and above age groups, respectively. Conclusions:The cumulative survival rate of cancer increased significantly from 2010 to 2016 in Tianjin, indicating that the prevention and treatment effect of cancer is obvious. The focus should be on male, rural areas, higher age group, and targeted prevention and treatment measures should be taken to lung, esophagus, liver, gallbladder and pancreatic cancer.
6.Analysis on trends of mortality rate and disease burden of liver cancer in Tianjin, China from 1999 to 2021
Dezheng WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Chong WANG ; Luning XUN ; Wenlong ZHENG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(11):999-1008
Objective:To explore the trends and distribution of liver cancer between sexes, ages, and urban-rural areas in Tianjin, China from 1999 to 2021, and provide data for targeted prevention and control strategies of liver cancer in Tianjin.Methods:Liver cancer mortality data of Tianjin during 1999-2021 were from the Tianjin population based mortality surveillance system maintained by the Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and the population data of permanent Tianjin residents were from Tianjin Municipal Public Security Bureau. Liver cancer mortality, years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD), and disability adjusted life years (DALY) were calculated using the cause of death surveillance data collected by Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The distributions of these data among residents of different sexes, ages, and regions were analyzed. Segi's world standard population was used for standardization. Joinpoint regression was used for trend analysis on the mortality rate of liver cancer and the disease burden.Results:The liver cancer mortality rate in Tianjin decreased by 46.75% from 1999 to 2021, with distinct phased characteristics. From 1999 to 2010, the age-sex-standardized mortality rate (SMR) decreased from 12.62/100 000 to 11.64/100 000 with an annual percent change (APC) of -1.32% ( P=0.003). From 2010 to 2021, the SMR decreased from 11.64/100 000 to 6.72/100 000 (APC=-3.89%, P<0.001). The age-sex-standardized DALY rates(SDR) decreased by 50.63% from 1999 to 2021, also with distinct phased characteristics. From 1999 to 2010, the SDR decreased from 388.67/100 000 to 349.38/100 000 (APC=-1.35%, P=0.002). From 2010 to 2021, the SDR decreased from 349.38/100 000 to 191.88/100 000 (APC=-4.43%, P<0.001). The liver cancer mortality rate declined most rapidly in the age group under 45 years; the APC for those under 35 years was -5.07% ( P<0.001), and for those aged 35-44 years, the APC was 0.63% ( P=0.707) and -8.21% ( P<0.001) before and after 2007, respectively. Both SMR and SDR were significantly higher in males than in females ( P<0.01). Both SMR and SDR were significantly higher in urban areas than in rural areas from 1999 to 2007 ( P<0.05), but they became similar after 2008. Liver cancer DALY are predominantly YLL, accounting for 99%. The median age of liver cancer deaths in Tianjin during 1999-2021 was 64-68 years old, with males lower than females ( P<0.05), and rural areas lower than urban areas ( P<0.05), generally showing an increasing trend (1999-2014: APC=0.11%, P=0.047; 2014-2021: APC=0.51%, P=0.005). Conclusions:Liver cancer mortality rate and disease burden decreased from 1999 to 2021 in Tianjin, with an especially accelerated decline after 2010. Further efforts to reduce liver cancer mortality in Tianjin are needed, and special attention should be focused on the elderly, male, and rural residents.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail