1.Trend of Death and Years of Life Lost Caused by Lung Cancer in Handan, 2017-2023.
Nianzhen FANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Yang YANG
Chinese Journal of Lung Cancer 2025;28(6):427-433
BACKGROUND:
Lung cancer ranks as the foremost cause of cancer-related deaths in China, significantly undermining population health and longevity. By analyzing the trends of death and years of life lost caused by lung cancer in Handan from 2017 to 2023, data support is provided for the formulation of prevention and treatment strategies.
METHODS:
Lung cancer death data in Handan during 2017-2023 were collected. Excel 2010, SPSS 26.0 and Joinpoint 4.9.0.0 were used to analyze the mortality rate of lung cancer, average annual percentage change (AAPC), cause eliminated life expectancy (CELE), potential gains in life expectancy (PGLEs), Fulfillment index, potential years of life lost (PYLL), potential years of life lost rate (PYLLR), and standardized potential years of life lost rate (SPYLLR).
RESULTS:
The standardized mortality rate of lung cancer in Handan from 2017 to 2023 showed a decreasing trend (AAPC=-7.10%, P<0.01). The CELE of lung cancer increased by 2.49 years (AAPC=0.48%, P<0.05). The life loss rate decreased by 21.43% (AAPC=-4.61%, P<0.05). The Fulfillment index by lung cancer increased with the growth of age from 2017 to 2023. The PYLL, PYLLR, standardized potential years of life lost (SPYLL) and SPYLLR of lung cancer during 2017 to 2023 were 134,219.75 person years, 2.03‰, 98,735.63 person years, and 1.49‰, respectively. The annual PYLLR and SPYLLR showed a decreasing trend (AAPC=-6.34%, -9.34%, respectively, P<0.01).
CONCLUSIONS
The standardized mortality rate of lung cancer in Handan from 2017 to 2023 showed a decreasing trend, and the impact of lung cancer on life expectancy decreased. The mortality rates of lung cancer showed significant differences among different ages and genders. It is necessary to take good measures to prevent and control lung cancer in males and higher age groups.
Lung Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Life Expectancy/trends*
;
Female
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Adult
;
Young Adult
2.Trends in mortality due to tracheal, bronchial, and lung cancer across the BRICS: An age-period-cohort analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990-2019.
Ruhai BAI ; Wanyue DONG ; Meng CHU ; Bian LIU ; Yan LI
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(23):2860-2867
BACKGROUND:
Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer (TBL) is a major cause of mortality and top contributor to productivity loss in large emerging economies such as the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa). We examined the time trends of TBL mortality across the BRICS to better understand the disease burden in these countries and inform public health and healthcare resource allocation.
METHODS:
TBL mortality-related data between 1990 and 2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 and analyzed using age-period-cohort models. Net drift (local drift) was used to describe the expected age-adjusted TBL mortality rate over time overall (each age group); the longitudinal age curve was used to reflect the age effect; the period rate ratios (RRs) were used to reflect the period effect; and the cohort RR was used to reflect the cohort effect.
RESULTS:
In 2019, there were 958.3 thousand TBL deaths across the BRICS, representing 46.9% of the global TBL deaths. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of TBL decreased in Russia, Brazil, and South Africa while increased in China and India, with the largest reduction reported in Russia (-29.6%) and the largest increase in China (+22.4%). India showed an overall increase (+15.7%) in TBL mortality but the mortality risk decreased among individuals born after 1990 (men) and 1995 (women). Although South Africa and Brazil experienced an overall decline in TBL mortality, their recent birth cohorts, such as Brazilian individuals born after 1985 (men) and 1980 (women), and South African men born after 1995, had an increasing TBL mortality risk. China has experienced an overall increase in TBL mortality, with the mortality risk rising among individuals born after 1995 for both men and women. Russia, which had the highest TBL mortality among the BRICS countries in 1990, has demonstrated significant improvement over the past three decades.
CONCLUSIONS
Over the past 30 years, the BRICS accounted for an increasing proportion of global TBL mortality. TBL mortality increased in older women in all the BRICS countries except Russia. Among the recent birth cohort, the risk of TBL mortality increased in Brazil, China, and South Africa. More effective efforts are needed in the BRICS to reduce the burden of TBL and help achieve the United Nation's Sustainable Development Goals.
Humans
;
Lung Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Male
;
Female
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Aged
;
India/epidemiology*
;
Adult
;
South Africa/epidemiology*
;
Cohort Studies
;
Russia/epidemiology*
;
Brazil/epidemiology*
;
Tracheal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Bronchial Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Adolescent
;
Young Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Child
3.Comparative analysis of cancer statistics in China and the United States in 2024.
Yujie WU ; Siyi HE ; Mengdi CAO ; Yi TENG ; Qianru LI ; Nuopei TAN ; Jiachen WANG ; Tingting ZUO ; Tianyi LI ; Yuanjie ZHENG ; Changfa XIA ; Wanqing CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(24):3093-3100
BACKGROUND:
Cancer patterns in China are becoming similar to those in the United States (US). Comparing the recent cancer profiles, trends, and determinants in China and the US can provide useful reference data.
METHODS:
This study used open-source data. We used GLOBOCAN 2022 cancer estimates and United Nations population estimates to calculate cancer cases and deaths in both countries during 2024. Data on cancer incidence and mortality trends were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program and National Centre for Health Statistics in the US and cancer registry reports of the National Cancer Center (NCC) of China. Data from the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) and a decomposition approach were used to estimate the contributions of four determinants to the change in cancer deaths.
RESULTS:
In 2024, there are an estimated 3,246,625 and 2,510,597 new cancer cases and 1,699,066 and 640,038 cancer deaths in China and the US, respectively. The highest estimated cancer cases are lung cancer in China and breast cancer in the US. The age-standardized incidence rates of lung and colorectal cancer in the US, and stomach, liver, and esophageal cancer in China have decreased, but the incidence rates of liver cancer in the US and colorectal cancer, prostate cancer in men, and cervical cancer in women in China have increased. Increases in the adult population size and population aging are main reasons for the increase in cancer deaths; case fatality rates are a main reason for the decrease in cancer deaths in both countries.
CONCLUSIONS
China has made progress in cancer control but lags the US. Considering the transformation in China's pattern of cancers epidemiology, it is imperative to develop stronger policies by adopting the cancer prevention and control strategies used in the US to address population aging and curb growing cancer trends.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
United States/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Female
;
Incidence
;
SEER Program
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Lung Neoplasms/mortality*
4.An age-period-cohort analysis of mortality rates for stomach, colorectal, liver, and lung cancer among prefectures in Japan, 1999-2018.
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2020;25(1):80-80
BACKGROUND:
Although change in the birth cohort effect on cancer mortality rates is known to be highly associated with the decreasing rates of age-standardized cancer mortality rates in Japan, the differences in the trends of cohort effect for representative cancer types among the prefectures remain unknown. This study aimed to investigate the differences in the decreasing rate of cohort effects among the prefectures for representative cancer types using age-period-cohort (APC) analysis.
METHODS:
Data on stomach, colorectal, liver, and lung cancer mortality for each prefecture and the population data from 1999 to 2018 were obtained from the Vital Statistics in Japan. Mortality data for individuals aged 50 to 79 years grouped in 5-year increments were used, and corresponding birth cohorts born 1920-1924 through 1964-1978 were used for analysis. We estimated the effects of age, period, and cohort on each type of mortality rate for each prefecture by sex. Then, we calculated the decreasing rates of cohort effects for each prefecture. We also calculated the mortality rate ratio of each prefecture compared with all of Japan for cohorts using the estimates.
RESULTS:
As a result of APC analysis, we found that the decreasing rates of period effects were small and that there was a little difference in the decreasing rates among prefectures for all types of cancer among both sexes. On the other hand, there was a large difference in the decreasing rates of cohort effects for stomach and liver cancer mortality rates among prefectures, particularly for men. For men, the decreasing rates of cohort effects in cohorts born between 1920-1924 and 1964-1978 varied among prefectures, ranging from 4.1 to 84.0% for stomach cancer and from 20.2 to 92.4% for liver cancers, respectively. On the other hand, the differences in the decreasing rates of cohort effects among prefectures for colorectal and lung cancer were relatively smaller.
CONCLUSIONS
The decreasing rates of cohort effects for stomach and liver cancer varied widely among prefectures. It is possible that this will influence cancer mortality rates in each prefecture in the future.
Aged
;
Cohort Studies
;
Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Japan/epidemiology*
;
Liver Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Lung Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Stomach Neoplasms/mortality*
6.Clinical Characteristics and Prognostic Factors of Lung Cancer in Korea: A Pilot Study of Data from the Korean Nationwide Lung Cancer Registry
Ho Cheol KIM ; Chi Young JUNG ; Deog Gon CHO ; Jae Hyun JEON ; Jeong Eun LEE ; Jin Seok AHN ; Seung Joon KIM ; Yeongdae KIM ; Young Chul KIM ; Jung Eun KIM ; Boram LEE ; Young Joo WON ; Chang Min CHOI
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2019;82(2):118-125
BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, and the incidence continues to rise. Although many prognostic factors have been identified, the clinical characteristics and outcomes in Korean lung cancer patients are not well defined. METHODS: Of the 23,254 new lung cancer cases registered at the Korea Central Cancer Registry in 2013, total 489 patients from 19 hospitals were abstracted by the Korean Central Cancer Registry. The clinical data retrospectively analyzed, patients were followed up until December 2015. RESULTS: The median age was 69 years (interquartile range, 60–74 years); 65.4% were male and 62.1% were ever-smokers. Cough was the most common initial symptom (33.5%); 13.1% of patients were asymptomatic. While squamous cell carcinoma was the most common subtype in male patients (37.2%), adenocarcinoma was the most frequent histological type in all patients (48.7%) and females (76.3%). The majority of patients received treatment (76.5%), which included surgery, radiation therapy, and chemotherapy. Older age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.037), lower body mass index (HR, 0.904), ever-smoker (HR, 2.003), small cell lung cancer (HR, 1.627), and distant metastasis (HR, 3.990) were independent predictors of mortality. Patients without symptoms (HR, 0.387) and without treatment (HR, 0.364) were associated with a favorable outcome in multivariate Cox analysis. CONCLUSION: Lung cancer in Korea occurs predominantly in elderly patients, with adenocarcinoma being the most frequent subtype. The prognosis was poorer in ever-smokers and older, malnourished, and untreated patients with advanced lung cancer.
Adenocarcinoma
;
Aged
;
Body Mass Index
;
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell
;
Cough
;
Drug Therapy
;
Epidemiology
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Korea
;
Lung Neoplasms
;
Lung
;
Male
;
Mortality
;
Neoplasm Metastasis
;
Pilot Projects
;
Prognosis
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Small Cell Lung Carcinoma
7.Epidemiological analysis on mortality of cancer in China, 2015.
Lan LAN ; Fei ZHAO ; Yue CAI ; Rui Xian WU ; Qun MENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(1):32-34
Objective: To understand the distribution of cancer deaths in China in 2015 and provide reference for the prevention and control of cancer. Methods: Based on the results of Global Burden of Disease 2015, the cancer death distributions in different age groups, sex groups, provinces or by different malignant tumor in Chinese were described. Results: The age-standardized mortality rate of cancer was 159.01/100 000 in China in 2015. The mortality rate was highest in age group ≥70 years (1 102.73/100 000), and lowest in age group 5-14 years (5.40/100 000). The mortality rate in males was 2.15 times higher than that in females. The first 5 provinces with high cancer mortality rate were Anhui, Qinghai, Sichuan, Guangxi and Henan. Lung cancer, liver cancer, stomach cancer, esophageal cancer and colorectal cancer ranked 1-5 in term of mortality rate. Conclusion: The cancer mortality differed with age, gender, area and different malignant tumors, suggesting the necessity to develop targeted prevention and control strategies.
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Age Distribution
;
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Asian People/statistics & numerical data*
;
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Colonic Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Liver Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Lung Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Mortality/ethnology*
;
Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Residence Characteristics
;
Sex Distribution
;
Stomach Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Young Adult
8.Lung Cancer Epidemiology in Korea.
Aesun SHIN ; Chang Mo OH ; Byung Woo KIM ; Hyeongtaek WOO ; Young Joo WON ; Jin Soo LEE
Cancer Research and Treatment 2017;49(3):616-626
PURPOSE: The current study was undertaken to examine the trends in the lung cancer incidence, mortality, and survival after a diagnosis in Korea. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Lung cancer incidence data according to the histologic type and mortality data were obtained from the Korea Central Cancer Registry and the Statistics Korea, respectively. The age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated, and the Joinpoint model and age-period-cohort analyses were used to describe the trends in the rates. The 5-year relative survival rates of lung cancer were also calculated. RESULTS: Although the number of new lung cancer cases increased between 1999 and 2012, the age-standardized incidence rate decreased by 0.9% per year in men, whereas the incidence in women increased by 1.7% per year over the same time. Until 2010, the most common histologic type in men was squamous cell carcinoma, then adenocarcinoma prevailed thereafter. Since 1999, the most frequent histological type in women was adenocarcinoma. The lung cancer mortality started to decrease in 2002, with a more apparent decline for the younger age groups in both men and women. Overall, the 5-year relative survival rates have improved significantly from 11.2% for men and 14.7% for women among patients diagnosed between 1993 and 1997 to 19.3% for men and 28.2% for women among patients diagnosed between 2008 and 2012, respectively. An improvement in survival rate was observed for all major histology groups. CONCLUSION: The epidemiology of lung cancer in Korea has changed over a short time span, with decreasing mortality and improving survival rates. Further study is warranted to determine the cause of these changes.
Adenocarcinoma
;
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell
;
Diagnosis
;
Epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Korea*
;
Lung Neoplasms*
;
Lung*
;
Male
;
Mortality
;
Survival Rate
9.Study on smoking-attributed mortality by using all causes of death surveillance system in Tianjin.
Guohong JIANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Wei LI ; Dezheng WANG ; Zhongliang XU ; Guide SONG ; Ying ZHANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Wenlong ZHENG ; Xiaodan XUE ; Wenda SHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2016;37(3):381-383
OBJECTIVETo understand the smoking-attributed mortality by inclusion of smoking information into all causes of death surveillance.
METHODSSince 2010, the information about smoking status, smoking history and the number of cigarettes smoked daily had been added in death surveillance system. The measures of training, supervision, check, sampling survey and telephone verifying were taken to increase death reporting rate and reduce data missing rate and underreporting rate. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify risk factors for smoking-attributed mortality.
RESULTSDuring the study period (2010-2014), the annual death reporting rates ranged from 6.5‰ to 7.0‰. The reporting rates of smoking status, smoking history and the number of cigarettes smoked daily were 95.53%, 98.63% and 98.58%, respectively. Compared with the nonsmokers, the RR of males was 1.38 (1.33-1.43) for all causes of death and 3.07 (2.91-3.24) for lung cancer due to smoking, the RR of females was 1.46 (1.39-1.54) for all causes of death and 4.07 (3.81-4.35) for lung cancer due to smoking, respectively.
CONCLUSIONThe study of smoking attributed mortality can be developed with less investment by using the stable and effective all causes of death surveillance system in Tianjin.
Cause of Death ; China ; epidemiology ; Female ; Humans ; Logistic Models ; Lung Neoplasms ; etiology ; mortality ; Male ; Multivariate Analysis ; Population Surveillance ; methods ; Risk Factors ; Smoking ; adverse effects ; mortality
10.Disease burden of lung cancer in Jinchang cohort.
Shan ZHENG ; Hongquan PU ; Min DAI ; Yana BAI ; Haiyan LI ; Sheng CHANG ; Minzhen WANG ; Zhengfang WANG ; Jinbing ZHU ; Xiaowei REN ; Juansheng LI ; Ning CHENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2016;37(3):311-315
OBJECTIVETo understand the current status of lung cancer disease burden in Jinchang cohort.
METHODSIn this historical cohort study, the mortality data of the lung cancer from 2001 to 2013 and medical records of the lung cancer cases from 2001 to 2010 in Jinchang cohort were used, analyze mortality, direct economic burden, potential years of life lost (PYLL) and working PYLL (WPYLL) associated with lung cancer.
RESULTSA total of 434 lung cancer deaths occurred in Jinchang cohort from 2001 to 2013. The crude mortality rate of lung cancer was 78.06 per 100,000 from 2001 to 2013, with the increasing rate of 4.77%. The mortality rate of lung cancer in males and females were about 108.90 per 100,000 and 26.08 per 100,000 with the increasing rate of 4.24% and 6.91%, respectively. During the thirteen years, the PYLL and average PYLL (APYLL) of lung cancer were 3 721.71 person-years and 8.58 years. The APYLL of lung cancer in females (15.94 years) was higher than that in males (7.87 years). The WPYLL and the average WPYLL (AWPYLL) of lung cancer were 1161.00 person-years and 2.68 years, respectively. The AWPYLL of lung cancer was also higher in females than in males. The direct economic burden of lung cancer from 2001 to 2010 in Jinchang cohort was 6309.39 Yuan per case with no increased trend.
CONCLUSIONLung cancer is the main health problem in Jinchang cohort, causing heavy disease burden.
China ; epidemiology ; Cohort Studies ; Cost of Illness ; Female ; Humans ; Lung Neoplasms ; economics ; mortality ; Male

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