1.Burden and risk factors of stroke worldwide and in China: An analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Zhengbao ZHU ; Mengyao SHI ; Quan YU ; Jiawen FEI ; Beiping SONG ; Xiaoli QIN ; Lulu SUN ; Yonghong ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(20):2588-2595
BACKGROUND:
Stroke is the leading cause of death and long-term disability worldwide, including China. This study aimed to provide timely updates on stroke burden and stroke-related risk factors to help improve population-based prevention and control strategies.
METHODS:
Based on the Global Burden of Disease study 2021, incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rate were used to estimate stroke burden trend from 1990 to 2021.
RESULTS:
In 2021, China had 4.1 million incident stroke cases, 26.3 million prevalent stroke cases, 2.6 million stroke related deaths, and 53.2 million stroke related DALYs, compared to 11.9 million incident stroke cases, 93.8 million prevalent stroke cases, 7.3 million stroke related deaths, and 160.5 million stroke-related DALYs worldwide. In 2021, the top six risk factors contributing to stroke burden were high blood pressure, air pollution, tobacco consumption, dietary risk factors, high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and high fasting plasma glucose, both in China and worldwide. From 1990 to 2021, China had significant increases of incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate, and DALY rate for stroke, with estimates of 100.6 (95% uncertainty intervals [UI]: 87.2, 114.1)%, 102.9 (95% UI: 95.5, 110.9)%, 40.0 (95% UI: 14.9, 72.3)% and 15.7 (95% UI: -4.6, 41.2)%, respectively, while global incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate and DALY rate for total stroke showed relatively moderate increases or even decreases, with estimates of 15.0 (95% UI: 12.1,18.0)%, 25.8 (95% UI: 23.7, 28.0)%, -2.6 (95% UI: -10.6, 5.5)%, and -10.7 (95% UI: -17.7, -3.6)%, respectively.
CONCLUSION
Stroke remains a huge disease burden worldwide and in China, and compared to the worldwide China has a significantly higher burden of stroke.
Humans
;
Stroke/etiology*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Prevalence
;
Incidence
;
Female
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Male
2.Predicting Invasive Non-mucinous Lung Adenocarcinoma IASLC Grading: A Nomogram Based on Dual-energy CT Imaging and Conventional Features.
Kaibo ZHU ; Liangna DENG ; Yue HOU ; Lulu XIONG ; Caixia ZHU ; Haisheng WANG ; Junlin ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Lung Cancer 2025;28(8):585-596
BACKGROUND:
Lung adenocarcinoma is an important pathohistologic subtype of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Invasive non-mucinous pulmonary adenocarcinomas (INMA) tend to have a poor prognosis due to their significant heterogeneity and diverse histologic components. Establishing a histologic grading system for INMA is crucial for evaluating its malignancy. In 2021, the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) proposed that a new histological grading system could better stratify the prognosis of INMA patients. The aim of this study was to establish a visualized nomogram model to predict INMA IASLC grading preoperatively by means of dual-energy computed tomography (DECT), fractal dimension (FD), clinical features and conventional CT parameters.
METHODS:
A total of 112 patients with INMA who underwent preoperative DECT were retrospectively enrolled from March 2021 to January 2025. Patients were categorized into low-intermediate grade and high grade groups based on IASLC grading. The clinical characteristics and conventional CT parameters, including baseline features, biochemical markers, and serum tumor markers, were collected. DECT-derived parameters, including iodine concentration (IC), effective atomic number (eff-Z), and normalized IC (NIC), were collected and determined as NIC ratio (NICr) and fractal dimension (FD). Univariate analysis was employed to compare differences in conventional characteristics and DECT parameters between the two groups. Variables demonstrating statistical significance were subsequently incorporated into a multivariate Logistic regression analysis. A nomogram model integrating clinical data, conventional CT parameters, and DECT parameters was developed to identify independent predictors for IASLC grading of INMA. The discriminatory performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
RESULTS:
Multivariate analysis identified smoking history [odds ratio (OR)=2.848, P=0.041], lobulation sign (OR=2.163, P=0.004), air bronchogram (OR=7.833, P=0.005), eff-Z in arterial phase (OR=4.266, P<0.001), and IC in arterial phase (OR=1.290, P=0.012) as independent and significant predictors for IASLC grading of INMA. The nomogram model constructed based on these indicators demonstrated optimal predictive performance, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.804 (95%CI: 0.725-0.883), with specificity and sensitivity of 85.3% and 65.7%, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
The nomogram model based on clinical features, imaging features and spectral CT parameters have a large potential for application in the preoperative noninvasive assessment of INMA IASLC grading.
Humans
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Nomograms
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods*
;
Lung Neoplasms/pathology*
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Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Adenocarcinoma of Lung/pathology*
;
Neoplasm Grading
;
Adult
3.Expert consensus on early orthodontic treatment of class III malocclusion.
Xin ZHOU ; Si CHEN ; Chenchen ZHOU ; Zuolin JIN ; Hong HE ; Yuxing BAI ; Weiran LI ; Jun WANG ; Min HU ; Yang CAO ; Yuehua LIU ; Bin YAN ; Jiejun SHI ; Jie GUO ; Zhihua LI ; Wensheng MA ; Yi LIU ; Huang LI ; Yanqin LU ; Liling REN ; Rui ZOU ; Linyu XU ; Jiangtian HU ; Xiuping WU ; Shuxia CUI ; Lulu XU ; Xudong WANG ; Songsong ZHU ; Li HU ; Qingming TANG ; Jinlin SONG ; Bing FANG ; Lili CHEN
International Journal of Oral Science 2025;17(1):20-20
The prevalence of Class III malocclusion varies among different countries and regions. The populations from Southeast Asian countries (Chinese and Malaysian) showed the highest prevalence rate of 15.8%, which can seriously affect oral function, facial appearance, and mental health. As anterior crossbite tends to worsen with growth, early orthodontic treatment can harness growth potential to normalize maxillofacial development or reduce skeletal malformation severity, thereby reducing the difficulty and shortening the treatment cycle of later-stage treatment. This is beneficial for the physical and mental growth of children. Therefore, early orthodontic treatment for Class III malocclusion is particularly important. Determining the optimal timing for early orthodontic treatment requires a comprehensive assessment of clinical manifestations, dental age, and skeletal age, and can lead to better results with less effort. Currently, standardized treatment guidelines for early orthodontic treatment of Class III malocclusion are lacking. This review provides a comprehensive summary of the etiology, clinical manifestations, classification, and early orthodontic techniques for Class III malocclusion, along with systematic discussions on selecting early treatment plans. The purpose of this expert consensus is to standardize clinical practices and improve the treatment outcomes of Class III malocclusion through early orthodontic treatment.
Humans
;
Malocclusion, Angle Class III/classification*
;
Orthodontics, Corrective/methods*
;
Consensus
;
Child
4.The p15 protein is a promising immunogen for developing protective immunity against African swine fever virus.
Qi YU ; Wangjun FU ; Zhenjiang ZHANG ; Dening LIANG ; Lulu WANG ; Yuanmao ZHU ; Encheng SUN ; Fang LI ; Zhigao BU ; Yutao CHEN ; Xiangxi WANG ; Dongming ZHAO
Protein & Cell 2025;16(10):911-915
5.Gallstones, cholecystectomy, and cancer risk: an observational and Mendelian randomization study.
Yuanyue ZHU ; Linhui SHEN ; Yanan HUO ; Qin WAN ; Yingfen QIN ; Ruying HU ; Lixin SHI ; Qing SU ; Xuefeng YU ; Li YAN ; Guijun QIN ; Xulei TANG ; Gang CHEN ; Yu XU ; Tiange WANG ; Zhiyun ZHAO ; Zhengnan GAO ; Guixia WANG ; Feixia SHEN ; Xuejiang GU ; Zuojie LUO ; Li CHEN ; Qiang LI ; Zhen YE ; Yinfei ZHANG ; Chao LIU ; Youmin WANG ; Shengli WU ; Tao YANG ; Huacong DENG ; Lulu CHEN ; Tianshu ZENG ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Yiming MU ; Weiqing WANG ; Guang NING ; Jieli LU ; Min XU ; Yufang BI ; Weiguo HU
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(1):79-89
This study aimed to comprehensively examine the association of gallstones, cholecystectomy, and cancer risk. Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to estimate the observational associations of gallstones and cholecystectomy with cancer risk, using data from a nationwide cohort involving 239 799 participants. General and gender-specific two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was further conducted to assess the causalities of the observed associations. Observationally, a history of gallstones without cholecystectomy was associated with a high risk of stomach cancer (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)=2.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.50-4.28), liver and bile duct cancer (aOR=2.46, 95% CI 1.17-5.16), kidney cancer (aOR=2.04, 95% CI 1.05-3.94), and bladder cancer (aOR=2.23, 95% CI 1.01-5.13) in the general population, as well as cervical cancer (aOR=1.69, 95% CI 1.12-2.56) in women. Moreover, cholecystectomy was associated with high odds of stomach cancer (aOR=2.41, 95% CI 1.29-4.49), colorectal cancer (aOR=1.83, 95% CI 1.18-2.85), and cancer of liver and bile duct (aOR=2.58, 95% CI 1.11-6.02). MR analysis only supported the causal effect of gallstones on stomach, liver and bile duct, kidney, and bladder cancer. This study added evidence to the causal effect of gallstones on stomach, liver and bile duct, kidney, and bladder cancer, highlighting the importance of cancer screening in individuals with gallstones.
Humans
;
Mendelian Randomization Analysis
;
Gallstones/complications*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Cholecystectomy/statistics & numerical data*
;
Middle Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Neoplasms/etiology*
;
Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology*
6.Trends and age-period-cohort analysis of leukemia incidence in Qidong from 1972 to 2021
Jian ZHU ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Lulu DING ; Yuanyou XU ; Yongfeng YAN ; Jianguo CHEN ; Hong CAI
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(10):961-967
Objective:To describe the epidemiological characteristics and trends of leukemia incidence in Qidong between 1972 and 2021, and provide guidelines for prevention and control measures and strategies.Methods:The cancer registry data was collected and analyzed on leukemia incidence during 1972—2021 in Qidong by sex, age and time. Crude incidence rate (CR), China age-standardized rate (ASRC), world age-standardized rate (ASRW), and average annual change percentage (AAPC) was calculated by Joinpoint software. Age-period-cohort (APC) model was used to analyze the influence of age, period and birth cohort on the changes in the incidence trend of leukemia patients.Results:From 1972 to 2021, there were 2 948 patients with leukemia in Qidong, accounting for 2.00% of all cancer new cases, CR of leukemia was 5.26/10 5, ASRC was 4.34/10 5, ASRW was 4.35/10 5. The truncated incidence of 35—64 years old was 5.29/10 5, the cumulative incidence rate between the ages of 0 and 74 years old was 0.40%, the cumulative risk was 0.40%. There were 1 608 male patients, the CR, ASRC, and the ASRW were 5.81/10 5, 4.88/10 5 and 4.85/10 5. The number of female patients were 1 340, and the CR, ASRC, and the ASRW were 4.71/10 5, 3.86/10 5 and 3.91/10 5, respectively. Temporal trends indicated significant upward trends in ASRC among both gender, males and females with AAPC values of 1.41% ( P<0.001), 1.15% ( P<0.001), and 1.73% ( P<0.001), respectively. The results of the APC model showed that the average net drift value of leukemia incidence in all age groups was 1.57% (95% CI, 1.24%-1.89%), and the highest value of local drift was 3.20% (95% CI, 1.63%-4.78%) in the 80~ years old group. The incidence of leukemia increased with age. With the passage of time, the risk of leukemia incidence increased gradually compared with the rate ratio of leukemia incidence (risk ratio [ RR], 1.00) in 1992—1996, the RR of leukemia incidence increased from 0.70 during 1972—1976 to 1.57 during 2017—2021. The later the cohort was born, the greater the risk of leukemia incidence compared with the relative risk of leukemia incidence ( RR, 1.00) in 1952—1956 cohort, the RR of leukemia incidence increased from 0.24 in the 1892—1896 cohort to 2.73 in the 2017—2021 cohort. Conclusions:The incidence of the leukemia has presented a rising trend in the past fifty years. Leukemia incidence increased with age, and the period and cohort effects on the risk of incidence increase. Further research is needed to investigate the risk factors related to leukemia.
7.Virus spectrum and epidemic characteristics of hospitalized children with acute respiratory tract infections in Guilin area, 2021 to 2022
Renhe ZHU ; Hu LONG ; Rundong CAO ; Lulu WANG ; Juan SONG ; Qinqin SONG ; Guoyong MEI ; Zhiqiang XIA ; Jun HAN ; Chen GAO
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2024;38(1):43-48
Objective:To understand the composition of respiratory virus spectrum in hospitalized children with acute respiratory infections in Guilin City from 2021 to 2022, and to explore the epidemic characteristics of different respiratory viruses.Methods:Information of a total of 638 hospitalized children with acute respiratory infections (ARI) syndrome under the age of 14 years in Guilin city, Guangxi from September 2021 to October 2022 was collected as research data. The collected pharyngeal swabs from pediatric patients were subjected to real-time fluorescence reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction for nucleic acid testing, screening for 15 common respiratory viruses, and analyzing the virus spectrum characteristics of hospitalized pediatric patients with acute respiratory infections.Results:Among the 638 specimens, 365 were tested positive for at least one virus, with a positive rate of 57.21% (365/638). The detection rate for two or more viruses was 12.85% (82/638). There were 12 types of viruses detected, and the difference in virus detection rates among different seasons was statistically significant (P<0.002). The virus positive detection rate of samples from different age groups was the highest in the 0-2-year old group (40.66%), followed by the 3-5-year old group (34.80%) and the 6-year and older group (24.54%).Conclusions:During the period from September 2021 to October 2022, all 12 respiratory viruses were prevalent in Guilin area, with obvious summer peak as characteristics. It is suggested that corresponding prevention and control measures should be focused on pathogens that may cause acute respiratory infections in children during the local summer to prevent and control the spread and prevalence of respiratory infections.
8.Trends of heart disease death and prediction of life expectancy without cause of death in Qidong City in 1990-2019
Lulu DING ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Yuanyou XYU ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Jian ZHU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2024;35(2):30-33
Objective To analyze the trend of heart disease death and the life expectancy without cause of death in Qidong City, Jiangsu Province from 1990 to 2019, and to provide reference for the prevention and control of heart disease. Methods Data on heart disease deaths among residents in Qidong City from 1990 to 2019 were collected through the Qidong City Death Registration and Monitoring System. The crude mortality rate (CR) and Chinese age-standardized mortality rate (CASR), potential years of life loss (PYLL), average years of life loss (AYLL), potential life loss years rate (PYLLR), life expectancy, and life expectancy without cause of death were calculated, and the annual percentage change (APC) was used to analyze the trend of heart disease death. Using SAS9.2 software, the death trend prediction was conducted by the ARIMA model in time series analysis. Results From 1990 to 2019, 27,762 residents died of heart disease in Qidong City, with a CR of 81.20/100 000 and an APC of 3.734%. There were 12 358 deaths of heart disease in men, with a CR of 73.24/100 000 and an APC of 3.86%, while there were 15 404 deaths of heart disease in women, with a CR of 88.95/100 000 and an APC of 3.63%. CR showed an upward trend (all P < 0.001). The PYLL for heart disease was 66 192.00 person-years, the AYLL was 13.23 person-years, and the PYLLR was 2.16‰. The life expectancy loss from heart disease was gradually increasing: 0.89 years in 1990 to 1.85 years in 2019, with an APC of 0.405% (P<0.001, a statistically significant trend). The prediction results showed that in 2029, the life expectancy after heart disease would reach 88.17 years. Conclusion From 1990 to 2019, the crude mortality rate of heart disease in Qidong City has showed an increasing trend, leading to an increasing loss of life due to heart disease year by year. The mortality rate and life loss of heart disease in women are higher than those in men. Targeted intervention measures should be further adopted to reduce the mortality rate of heart disease among residents in Qidong.
9.Status of hepatitis E virus infection in unpaid blood donors in Wenzhou of Zhejiang Province
Shufeng CAI ; Zimiao ZHU ; Yanfei LIU ; Weirui XU ; Shiyao ZHU ; Lulu YE
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2024;31(6):863-868
Objective:To investigate the status of hepatitis E virus infection in unpaid blood donors in Wenzhou.Methods:A total of 5 241 blood samples were selected from donors who successfully donated blood between October 2022 and March 2023. These samples were tested for hepatitis E virus (HEV) through HEV-IgG antibodies, HEV-IgM antibodies, and nucleic acid tests (HEV RNA). Samples that tested positive for HEV RNA underwent quantitative detection and sequencing. Data regarding the blood donors were collected, the positive rates of each test result were recorded, and the HEV infection status among different populations was analyzed.Results:The positive rate of the HEV-IgG antibody test was 23.60% (1 237/5 241), while the positive rate of the HEV-IgM antibody test was 0.29% (15/5 241). The positive rate of the HEV RNA test was 0.08% (4/5 241). The positive rate of the HEV-IgG test increased with age ( χ2 = 379.493, P < 0.05), and males had a higher positive rate than females ( χ2 = 5.12, P < 0.05). Both the positive rates of HEV-IgG and HEV-IgM tests increased as the number of blood donations increased ( χ2 = 40.87, 8.30, both P < 0.05). Furthermore, the positive rates were significantly higher in 2023 than in 2022 ( χ2 = 51.03, 13.35, both P < 0.05), and they were also significantly higher in spring than in winter ( χ2 = 51.03, 13.35, both P < 0.05). Only one HEV RNA-positive blood donor tested positive for both HEV-IgG and HEV-IgM antibodies, while the remaining three donors tested negative. Only one case was genotyped, and it belonged to genotype Ⅳ. Conclusion:The incidence of HEV infection among unpaid blood donors in Wenzhou of Zhejiang Province is relatively high, with the prevalent HEV genotype being type Ⅳ. Characteristics such as sex, age, and the number of blood donations can be utilized as auxiliary screening reference indicators.
10.Model informed precision medicine of Chinese herbal medicines formulas-A multi-scale mechanistic intelligent model
Qian YUANYUAN ; Wang XITING ; Cai LULU ; Han JIANGXUE ; Huang ZHU ; Lou YAHUI ; Zhang BINGYUE ; Wang YANJIE ; Sun XIAONING ; Zhang YAN ; Zhu AISONG
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2024;14(4):585-600
Recent trends suggest that Chinese herbal medicine formulas(CHM formulas)are promising treatments for complex diseases.To characterize the precise syndromes,precise diseases and precise targets of the precise targets between complex diseases and CHM formulas,we developed an artificial intelligence-based quantitative predictive algorithm(DeepTCM).DeepTCM has gone through multilevel model cali-bration and validation against a comprehensive set of herb and disease data so that it accurately captures the complex cellular signaling,molecular and theoretical levels of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM).As an example,our model simulated the optimal CHM formulas for the treatment of coronary heart disease(CHD)with depression,and through model sensitivity analysis,we calculated the balanced scoring of the formulas.Furthermore,we constructed a biological knowledge graph representing interactions by associating herb-target and gene-disease interactions.Finally,we experimentally confirmed the thera-peutic effect and pharmacological mechanism of a novel model-predicted intervention in humans and mice.This novel multiscale model opened up a new avenue to combine"disease syndrome"and"macro micro"system modeling to facilitate translational research in CHM formulas.


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