1.Effect of Runmu Xiaoyao Powder on TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB Signaling Pathway in Mice with Dry Eye and Liver Depression-heat Syndrome
Xin PENG ; Xi LONG ; Yuan ZHONG ; Jun PENG ; Qinghua PENG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(13):112-122
ObjectiveThis paper aims to investigate the effect and mechanism of Runmu Xiaoyao powder on mice with dry eye and the syndrome of liver depression-heat syndrome based on the toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4)/myeloid differentiation primary response protein 88 (MyD88)/nuclear factor-κB (NF-κB) signaling pathway. MethodsSixty-six C57BL/6J female mice were randomly divided into a normal group, a model group, a sodium hyaluronate group, and high-, medium-, and low-dose Runmu Xiaoyao powder groups, with 11 mice per group. Except for those in the normal group, mice in the other groups were subjected to mouse models with dry eye and liver depression-heat syndrome by instilling a benzalkonium chloride solution and applying chronic pain stimulation in a dry environment. After modeling, mice in the high-, medium-, and low-dose Runmu Xiaoyao powder groups were administered intragastrically with 29.7, 14.85, 7.43 g·kg-1, respectively, twice a day for 14 consecutive days. The mice in the sodium hyaluronate group received 5 μL of sodium hyaluronate eye drops in each eye twice daily. The mice in the normal and model groups were administered intragastrically with an equal volume of deionized water. Measurements were taken of tear secretion in mice, irritability scores, corneal fluorescein staining, and histopathological changes in the cornea, lacrimal glands, meibomian glands, and liver tissue. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to detect the levels of interleukin-1β (IL-1β) and tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in serum. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) was used to detect the protein expression of IL-1β and TNF-α in corneal and lacrimal gland tissues. Real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction(Real-time PCR) and Western blot were employed to detect the mRNA and protein expressions of TLR4, MyD88, and NF-κB p65 in corneal, lacrimal gland, and meibomian gland tissues. ResultsCompared with those in the normal group, mice in the model group exhibited significantly reduced tear secretion, significantly higher irritability scores, and more pronounced corneal fluorescence staining, with marked pathological damage observed in the cornea, lacrimal glands, meibomian glands, and liver tissue. IL-1β and TNF-α levels in serum were significantly elevated. The protein expressions of IL-1β and TNF-α in corneal and lacrimal gland tissues, as well as the mRNA and protein expressions of TLR4, MyD88, and NF-κB p65 in corneal, lacrimal gland, and meibomian gland tissues, were all significantly increased (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the sodium hyaluronate group and Runmu Xiaoyao powder groups with different doses exhibited increased tear secretion to varying degrees, alleviated corneal fluorescence staining and histopathological damage, reduced IL-1β and TNF-α levels in serum, and downregulated protein expressions of IL-1β and TNF-α in corneal and lacrimal gland tissues, as well as the mRNA and protein expressions of TLR4, MyD88, and NF-κB p65 in corneal, lacrimal gland, and meibomian gland tissues. The high-dose Runmu Xiaoyao powder group demonstrated a more pronounced effect, with multiple indicators showing superior results compared to those in the sodium hyaluronate group (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionRunmu Xiaoyao powder down-regulates the TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling pathway activity in the cornea, lacrimal glands, and meibomian glands of model mice with dry eye and liver depression-heat syndrome, thereby suppressing inflammatory responses and mitigating ocular surface tissue damage. The therapeutic effect is dose-dependent, and the high-dose group exerts the most prominent effect.
2.The level of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue and its clinical significance in patients in the convalescence stage of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure
Zhekai CAI ; Long XU ; Wenli LIU ; Yingqun XIAO ; Qingmei ZHONG ; Wei ZHANG ; Min WU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(1):57-62
ObjectiveTo investigate the expression level of HBV cccDNA in patients in the convalescence stage of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) and its correlation with HBV markers and liver histopathological changes. MethodsA total of 30 patients in the convalescence stage of HBV-ACL who were hospitalized in The Ninth Hospital of Nanchang from January 2015 to October 2023 were enrolled as liver failure group, and 9 patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), matched for sex and age, were enrolled as control group. The content of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue was measured, and its correlation with clinical data and laboratory markers was analyzed. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and a one-way analysis of variance or the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison between multiple groups; the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. A Spearman correlation analysis was performed. ResultsThe liver failure group had a significantly lower content of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue than the control group (-0.92±0.70 log10 copies/cell vs -0.13±0.91 log10 copies/cell, t=2.761, P=0.009). In the liver failure group, there was no significant difference in the content of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue between the HBeAg-positive patients and the HBeAg-negative patients (P>0.05); there was no significant difference in the content of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue between the patients with different grades (G0-G2, G3, and G4) of liver inflammatory activity (P>0.05); there was no significant difference in the content of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue between the patients with different stages (S0-S2, S3, and S4) of liver fibrosis (P>0.05); there was no significant difference in the content of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue between the patients with negative HBV DNA and those with positive HBV DNA (P>0.05). For the liver failure group, the content of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue was positively correlated with the content of HBV DNA in liver tissue (r=0.426, P=0.043) and was not significantly correlated with the content of HBV DNA in serum (P>0.05). ConclusionThere is a significant reduction in the content of HBV cccDNA in liver tissue in the convalescence stage of HBV-ACLF. HBV cccDNA exists continuously and stably in liver tissue and can better reflect the persistent infection and replication of HBV than HBV DNA in serum and liver tissue.
3.Clinical value of plasma protein ARP2 in evaluating heatstroke prognosis based on proteomics
Qing-Bo ZENG ; Jing-Chun SONG ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Qing SONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Xing-Ping DENG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(9):1138-1145
Objective To investigate plasma protein expression changes in heatstroke patients using proteomics technology and to identify reliable prognostic biomarkers.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 20 heatstroke patients hospitalized at the 908th Hospital of the Chinese PLA Joint Logistics Support Force from July 2022 to February 2024.Patients were divided into survival(n=16)and death groups(n=4)based on 28-day outcomes.Fasting venous blood samples were collected from both groups for proteomic analysis.Liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry(LC-MS/MS)was used to identify and screen differentially expressed proteins.Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)and Gene Ontology(GO)enrichment analyses were performed.LASSO regression was applied to screen key prognostic biomarkers,and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was used to evaluate their predictive value.Results A total of 27 upregulated and 90 downregulated proteins were identified between the two groups.These proteins were primarily involved in biological processes such as immune responses,complement activation,and metabolic processes.LASSO regression analysis indicated that actin-related protein 2(ARP2),cysteine-rich scavenger receptor type 1 M130(CD163),and catalase(CAT)could serve as effective biomarkers for evaluating heatstroke prognosis.ROC curve analysis demonstrated that ARP2 had higher diagnostic efficacy(AUC=0.98,sensitivity=0.80,specificity=1.00)compared to CD163(AUC=0.94,sensitivity=0.76,specificity=1.00),CAT(AUC=0.96,sensitivity=0.67,specificity=1.00),and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score(AUC=0.79,sensitivity=0.44,specificity=1.00).Conclusion Elevated plasma ARP2 level has good clinical value for predicting poor prognosis in heatstroke patients.
4.Habitat radiomics model in predicting the early therapeutic efficacy of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy combined with targeted therapy or immunotherapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a multi-center retrospective study
Mingsong WU ; Zenglong QUE ; Guanhui LI ; Jie LONG ; Yuxin TANG ; Hao ZHONG ; Shujie LAI ; Qixian YAN ; Jun WANG ; Xiang LAN ; Liangzhi WEN
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2025;45(2):89-99
Objective:To develop habitat radiomics models to predict early treatment responses to the hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) combined with targeted therapy or immunotherapy in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, and to guide clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods:From October 2021 to Decemeber 2023, at Army Characteristic Medical Center of PLA (Chongqing Daping Hospital) and the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, 94 patients with advanced HCC who received HAIC combined with targeted therapy or immunotherapy were retrospectively enrolled. According to the treatment results, the patients were divided into response group and non-response group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed to analyze the clinical data of the patients. Based on contrast-enhanced CT images, tumor habitats were delineated and habitat features were extracted with k-means clustering, and the imaging features of arterial and venous phases were also extracted. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used for dimensionality reduction. Feature selection was performed using LASSO to reduce dimensions, and then the selected features were further refined through stepwise logistic regression analysis.Binary logistic regression models were conducted to develop the habitat radiomics model, arterial phase radiomics model (APRM), venous phase radiomics model (VPRM), clinical data model, as well as the combination of radiomics model and clinical data model to predict early treatment (after 2 treatment cycles) response. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were plotted, and model performance was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve. The models were validated through Bootstrap methods (1 000 times). DeLong test was used to compare AUC values.Results:The results of cluster analysis identified 3 characteristic habitats in HCC imaging: low-, medium-, and high-enhancement tumor habitats. The proportion of high-enhancement habitats was higher than that in the non-response group. A predictive model was established based on the proportions of these 3 habitats. Based on the proportion of low-, medium-, and high-enhancement habitats within the tumor, a habitat radiomics model was constructed. After LASSO selection and logistic regression analysis, 3 arterial phase and 3 venous phase radiomic features were selected to build the APRM and VPRM, respectively. Logistic regression analysis identified the following factors for the clinical data model: comorbidities ( OR=0.275, P=0.031), maximum tumor diameter ( OR=1.149, P=0.019), red blood cell count ( OR=0.463, P=0.022), alpha fetoprotein >400 μg/L ( OR=3.452, P=0.017), and tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy ( OR=3.072, P=0.048). Among the single predictive model′s comparison, the AUC of habitat radiomics model was 0.860 (95% confidence interval(95% CI): 0.789 to 0.932), while those of the APRM、VPRM and clinical data model were 0.850 (95% CI: 0.773 to 0.926), 0.855 (95% CI: 0.782 to 0.928), and 0.774 (95% CI: 0.681 to 0.867), respectively, and there were no statistically significant among these models (all P>0.05). Among the combination models, the AUC of the habitat rediomic-clinical data combination model was 0.881 (95% CI: 0.814 to 0.947); the AUC of arterial phase rediomic-clinical data combination model was 0.897 (95% CI: 0.833 to 0.961); and the AUC of venous phase rediomic-clinical data combination model was 0.888 (95% CI: 0.826 to 0.951), but there were no statistically significant among the 3 models (all P>0.05). The calibration curve showed that the habitat rediomic-clinical data combination model had the most accurate predictive probability. Internal validation showed that the AUC of habitat rediomic-clinical data combination model was 0.848 (95% CI: 0.772 to 0.922), and the predictive performance was better than that of the clinical-data model (0.733 (95% CI: 0.670 to 0.863)). Conclusion:The habitat radiomics model based on enhanced CT can effectively predict early treatment responses to the HAIC combined with targeted therapy or immunotherapy in advanced HCC patients, which provides theoretical basis for individualized treatment in advanced HCC.
5.Analysis of the efficacy and influencing factors of myofunctional therapy in the treatment of adult obstructive sleep apnea
Zhenzhang LU ; Si LONG ; Wenqian ZHONG ; Meihong ZHANG ; Xiaorong GONG ; Guohui NIE ; Jing TAO ; Beiping MIAO
Chinese Archives of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery 2025;32(4):239-243
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the efficacy of oral and facial muscle functional training in treating adult obstructive sleep apnea(OSA)and to identify clinical indicators influencing treatment outcomes.METHODS Through a prospective cohort study,patients diagnosed with OSA in the study unit were recruited to undergo a 3-month myofunctional therapy,including soft palate-related muscles,tongue muscles,buccal muscles,and labial muscles in multiple muscle groups,once a day,five times a week,with the use of offline clinic guidance,and the APP program video follow up training for effective training.Data were collected on multiple dimensions including physical signs,sleep breathing monitoring parameters,and airway measurements from imaging studies.Treatment efficacy was assessed by comparing subjective and objective sleep indicators before and after training.Patients were categorized into effective and ineffective groups based on treatment outcomes.Differences in baseline clinical indicators between these groups were analyzed using univariate and multivariate regression analyses.RESULTS The study finally included 58 people,51 males and 7 females,age(38.36±8.96)years,BMI(27.14±3.68)kg/m2,AHI of the enrolled patients was reduced from(31.27±22.28)times/h pre-training to(26.27±21.38)times/h post-training,the minimum oxygen saturation was increased from(78.43±10.07)%to(80.50±10.06)%,snoring index decreased from(62.80±75.20)times/h to(36.40±43.19)times/h,and ESS score decreased from 7.00±5.31 pre-training to 5.50±3.17.By comparing the effective and ineffective groups,it was found that there was a statistically significant difference in the tongue position and ESS scores between the two groups(both P<0.05),while no significant differences were found in gender,age,neck circumference,posterior soft palate area,uvula area,posterior tongue area,or posterior epiglottic area(all P>0.05).Univariate logistic regression analysis indicated that tongue position,AHI,and ESS scores were factors affecting the efficacy of oral and facial muscle function training.Multivariate regression analysis revealed that AHI was an independent prognostic factor for this training in OSA patients.CONCLUSION Oral and facial muscle function training can improve both subjective and objective sleep breathing indices in OSA patients.Tongue position,AHI,and ESS scores may serve as prognostic factors for OSA treatment,aiding in guiding subsequent individualized intervention therapies.
6.Synthesis and Application of Salicylhydrazone Probe for Highly Selective Detection of Al3+
Hao-Xue TAN ; Zhong-Long WANG ; Xiao-Qin YANG ; Xiao-Ping RAO ; Ping ZHAO ; Qian JIANG
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2025;53(2):214-223,中插3-中插12
In this work,four salicylhydrazone compounds(L1?L4)were designed and synthesized by using vanillin derivatives as raw material.The structures were confirmed by nuclear magnetic resonance(NMR)and high-resolution mass spectrometry(HRMS).The optical experiments showed that probe L1 and probe L3 could be used as aluminium ion(Al3+)fluorescence probes.The fluorescence color of probe L1 solution changed from colorless to blue after adding Al3+,and the limit of detection was 25.1 nmol/L.Compared with probe L1,the fluorescence color of probe L3 solution changed from colorless to green after complexing with Al3+,and the limit of detection was 17.3 nmol/L.Probe L1 and probe L3 showed the advantages of fast response speed,high selectivity and good anti-interference.The mechanism of Al3+recognition was further demonstrated by HRMS and 1H NMR.Cell imaging experiments showed that probe L1 and L3 had low cytotoxicity and had great application potential in detection of Al3+in vivo.
7.Recommendation for Forensic Identification Guidelines on Insulin Overdoes
Yu-Hao YUAN ; Zhong-Hao YU ; Jia-Xin ZHANG ; Long-Da MA ; Shu-Quan ZHAO ; Ning-Guo LIU ; Rong-Qi WU ; Biao ZHANG ; Xin-Biao LIAO ; Xin CHEN ; Guang-Long HE ; Yi-Wu ZHOU
Journal of Forensic Medicine 2025;41(2):168-175
Insulin is an important protein hormone that participates in multiple metabolic pathways.Biosynthetic insulin has been widely used in the treatment of type 1 and type 2 diabetes.Currently,the number of reported cases of insulin overdose both at home and abroad is gradually increasing,and insulin homicide is no longer a means of"committing murder without leaving a trace".At present,there are no systematic protocols for the identification of insulin overdose in the field of forensic medi-cine in China.This article introduces the causes,toxicological characteristics,forensic examination,labo-ratory testing methods and indicator reference of insulin overdose.Based on the identification practice and research results and referring to relevant studies on insulin overdose at home and abroad,this pa-per aims to provide recommendations and references for the formulation of forensic identification guide-lines for insulin overdose cases.
8.(Meta)transcriptomic Insights into the Role of Ticks in Poxvirus Evolution and Transmission: A Multicontinental Analysis.
Yu Xi WANG ; Jing Jing HU ; Jing Jing HOU ; Xiao Jie YUAN ; Wei Jie CHEN ; Yan Jiao LI ; Qi le GAO ; Yue PAN ; Shui Ping LU ; Qi CHEN ; Si Ru HU ; Zhong Jun SHAO ; Cheng Long XIONG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(9):1058-1070
OBJECTIVE:
Poxviruses are zoonotic pathogens that infect humans, mammals, vertebrates, and arthropods. However, the specific role of ticks in transmission and evolution of these viruses remains unclear.
METHODS:
Transcriptomic and metatranscriptomic raw data from 329 sampling pools of seven tick species across five continents were mined to assess the diversity and abundance of poxviruses. Chordopoxviral sequences were assembled and subjected to phylogenetic analysis to trace the origins of the unblasted fragments within these sequences.
RESULTS:
Fifty-eight poxvirus species, representing two subfamilies and 20 genera, were identified, with 212 poxviral sequences assembled. A substantial proportion of AT-rich fragments were detected in the assembled poxviral genomes. These genomic sequences contained fragments originating from rodents, archaea, and arthropods.
CONCLUSION
Our findings indicate that ticks play a significant role in the transmission and evolution of poxviruses. These viruses demonstrate the capacity to modulate virulence and adaptability through horizontal gene transfer, gene recombination, and gene mutations, thereby promoting co-existence and co-evolution with their hosts. This study advances understanding of the ecological dynamics of poxvirus transmission and evolution and highlights the potential role of ticks as vectors and vessels in these processes.
Animals
;
Poxviridae/physiology*
;
Ticks/virology*
;
Phylogeny
;
Transcriptome
;
Evolution, Molecular
;
Poxviridae Infections/virology*
;
Genome, Viral
9.Explainable machine learning model for predicting septic shock in critically sepsis patients based on coagulation indexes: A multicenter cohort study.
Qing-Bo ZENG ; En-Lan PENG ; Ye ZHOU ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):404-411
PURPOSE:
Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm.
RESULTS:
Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis.
CONCLUSION
The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans
;
Shock, Septic/blood*
;
Machine Learning
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
ROC Curve
;
Cohort Studies
;
Adult
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Algorithms
;
Blood Coagulation
;
Critical Illness
10.Predictive value of caliceal pelvic height-to-infundibular length ratio for stone-free rate in lower calyx stone treatment with flexible ureteroscopic lithotripsy
Shiwei HUANG ; Sheng ZHONG ; Guangming YIN ; Long WANG ; Zhiqiang JIANG ; Kai HUANG ; Jing TAN
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(8):600-606
Objective:This study aims to explore the predictive value of the ratio of caliceal pelvic height to infundibular length(CPH/IL)for the stone-free rate(SFR)in the treatment of lower calyx stones using flexible ureteroscopic lithotripsy(FURL)combined with a distally bendable negative pressure suction sheath.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data and anatomical parameters of 312 patients with lower calyx stones or combined lower calyx stones admitted to the Third Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from September 2022 to December 2023,all of whom were treated with FURL combined with a distally bendable negative pressure suction sheath. Stone clearance was defined as no residual stones or residual stones with a diameter of ≤3 mm without any symptoms. Patients were divided into the clearance group(265 cases,84.90%)and the non-clearance group(47 cases,15.10%). There were no significant differences in gender(male/female:173/92 cases vs. 29/18 cases),age[(44.69 ± 13.14)years vs.(42.60 ± 10.93)years],degree of hydronephrosis(no hydronephrosis/mild hydronephrosis/moderate to severe hydronephrosis:122/85/58 cases vs. 21/12/14 cases),side of lower calyx stones(left/right:157/108 cases vs. 31/16 cases),maximum diameter of stones(MDS)[(19.23 ± 6.41)mm vs.(17.77 ± 6.18)mm],and CT value of stones[(993.46 ± 249.12)Hu vs.(1013.43 ± 300.90)Hu]between the two groups( P > 0.05),indicating comparability between groups. There was no significant difference in the distance from the midpoint of the lower lip of the renal pelvis to the ureter at the lowest plane of the lower calyx(K-A line)between the clearance and non-clearance groups[(26.16 ± 5.18)mm vs.(25.70 ± 8.66)mm, P > 0.05]. However,significant differences were observed in the infundibulopelvic angle(IPA)[(53.97 ± 15.72)° vs.(37.43 ± 15.39)°],infundibular length(IL)[(27.26 ± 5.11)mm vs.(33.04 ± 7.38)mm],infundibular width(IW)[(8.27 ± 2.82)mm vs.(7.09 ± 3.20)mm],caliceal pelvic height(CPH)[(19.96 ± 4.63)mm vs.(30.32 ± 7.56)mm],ureter-lower calyx distance(ULD)[(23.00 ± 5.59)mm vs.(18.78 ± 6.31)mm],CPH/IL ratio[(0.73 ± 0.11)vs.(0.92 ± 0.09)],and curvature of the lower calyx of the renal pelvis[(0.06 ± 0.01)mm -1 vs.(0.08 ± 0.03)mm -1]between the two groups( P <0.05). Univariate and logistic multivariate regression analyses were used to identify the independent risk factors affecting the postoperative SFR of FURL-treated lower calyx stones and to assess the value of CPH/IL for SFR in the treatment of lower calyx stones using FURL combined with a distally bendable negative pressure suction sheath. A logistic multivariate regression model and a corresponding nomogram were constructed,and the predictive ability of the model for SFR was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve. The calibration curve and the Hosmer -Lemeshow test were used to assess the consistency and accuracy of the model. The clinical utility of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis(DCA). Results:Univariate analysis revealed that seven anatomical parameters differed significantly between the clearance and non-clearance groups(all P < 0.05):infundibulopelvic angle(IPA, OR = 0.27,95% CI 0.17-0.42, P < 0.01),infundibular length(IL, OR = 2.52,95% CI 1.83-3.47, P < 0.01),infundibular width(IW, OR = 0.64,95% CI 0.45-0.90, P = 0.011),caliceal pelvic height(CPH, OR = 5.78,95% CI 3.67-9.10, P < 0.01),ureter-lower calyx distance(ULD, OR = 0.43,95% CI 0.30-0.63, P < 0.01),CPH/IL ratio( OR = 13.62,95% CI 6.86-27.03, P < 0.01),and curvature of the lower calyx of the renal pelvis( O = 3.15,95% CI 2.08-4.78, P < 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression further identified CPH/IL( OR = 9.87,95% CI 4.92-19.79, P < 0.01),IPA( OR = 0.41,95% CI 0.23-0.71, P = 0.001),and ULD( OR = 0.50,95% CI 0.29-0.87, P = 0.014)as independent risk factors influencing the stone-free rate after flexible ureteroscopic lithotripsy combined with a distally bendable negative-pressure suction sheath. The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the univariate regression model showed that for IPA,the AUC was 0.788(95% CI 0.711-0.864);for IL,it was 0.731(95% CI 0.643-0.819);for ULD,it was 0.677(95% CI 0.586-0.767);for CPH,it was 0.867(95% CI 0.804-0.929);for IW,it was 0.628(95% CI 0.535-0.721);for CPH/IL,it was 0.906(95% CI 0.850-0.961)with an optimal cutoff value of 0.882,corresponding to a sensitivity of 83.02% and a specificity of 92.08%;and for curvature of the lower calyx of the renal pelvis,it was 0.744(95% CI 0.662-0.827). The AUC of the multivariate regression model was 0.929(95% CI 0.884-0.974)with an optimal cutoff value of 0.364,corresponding to a sensitivity of 82.98% and a specificity of 95.09%. Calibration curves demonstrated close agreement between the predicted and actual stone-free rates after FURL(C-index = 0.921). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated no significant discrepancy between predicted and observed probabilities( P = 0.135,>0.05). Decision-curve analysis further revealed that basing clinical decisions on the model ,s predicted probability yields a higher net clinical benefit than either withholding FURL for all patients or treating all patients regardless of risk,and it also outperforms strategies guided by any single independent predictor alone. Conclusions:IPA,IL,IW,CPH,ULD,CPH/IL ratio,and curvature of the lower calyx of the renal pelvis can all predict the postoperative SFR of FURL combined with a distally bendable negative pressure suction sheath for the treatment of lower calyx stones to varying degrees. Among them,CPH/IL has the highest predictive value. When CPH/IL >0.88,it may be difficult to use FURL to treat lower calyx stones.

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