1.Trend analysis of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence among the elderly in Shanghai, 2014‒2023
Yu HUANG ; Lixin RAO ; Biao XU ; Qi ZHAO ; Xin SHEN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):227-233
ObjectiveTo describe the epidemiological characteristics and trend of pulmonary tuberculosis among the elderly in Shanghai from 2014 to 2023, to estimate the incidence between 2024‒2025, so as to provide references for optimizing the prevention and control strategies of pulmonary tuberculosis for elderly in Shanghai. MethodsData of pulmonary tuberculosis patients aged ≥60 years in Shanghai registered in the Tuberculosis Registration and Management System of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention from 2014 to 2023 was derived to describe the demographic characteristics of the elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis, and to calculate the reported incidence rate and annual percentage change (APC) of pulmonary tuberculosis. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was constructed using monthly reported incidence data from January 2014 to June 2023, and data from July to December in 2023 were used to validate the model and predict the reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis among elderly in 2024 and 2025. ResultsA total of 19 208 elderly pulmonary tuberculosis patients were registered and reported in Shanghai from 2014 to 2023, with an average annual reported incidence rate of 35.04/100 000. The reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in elderly showed an overall decreasing trend, APC=-3.34% (t=-3.360,P=0.010). While, the proportion of elderly pulmonary tuberculosis patients showed a yearly increasing trend among the total registered and reported cases, APC=5.65% (t=10.820, P<0.001). The difference in the average annual reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in elderly was statistically significant in different regions (χ2=31.762, P=0.007), with the central urban areas(33.23/100 000) being lower than that in suburban areas (36.46/100 000), and the annual decreasing rate was faster in central urban area, APC=-4.88% (t=-4.838, P<0.001) and -2.76% (t=-2.811, P=0.023), respectively. The incidence rate was significantly higher in males than that in females (χ2=514.395, P<0.001). Additionally, the difference in reported incidence rate was statistically significant among different age groups(χ2=119.751,P<0.001), among which patients aged ≥80 years had the highest average annual incidence rate (59.69/100 000), and those aged ≤60 years had the lowest average annual incidence rate (28.57/100 000). Compared with the non-residential permanent elderly population (47.68/100 000), the average annual incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis among the elderly with household registration in Shanghai was lower (33.82/100 000) (χ2=24.295, P<0.001). The ARIMA (0,0,1) (0,1,1) 12 model was used to predict the incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis among the elderly in Shanghai in 2024 and 2025, and which was predicted to be 37.41/100 000 and 35.92/100 000, respectively. ConclusionThe reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis among the elderly in Shanghai showed an overall yearly downward trend from 2014 to 2023, but its proportion in the total number of reported pulmonary tuberculosis cases increased year by year. Prevention and control efforts should still not be slackened and emphasis should be placed on male, suburban and non-residential permanent elderly populations.
2.Inflammatory disorders that affect the cerebral small vessels.
Fei HAN ; Siyuan FAN ; Bo HOU ; Lixin ZHOU ; Ming YAO ; Min SHEN ; Yicheng ZHU ; Joanna M WARDLAW ; Jun NI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(11):1301-1312
This comprehensive review synthesizes the latest advancements in understanding inflammatory disorders affecting cerebral small vessels, a distinct yet understudied category within cerebral small vessel diseases (SVD). Unlike classical SVD, these inflammatory conditions exhibit unique clinical presentations, imaging patterns, and pathophysiological mechanisms, posing significant diagnostic and therapeutic challenges. Highlighting their heterogeneity, this review spans primary angiitis of the central nervous system, cerebral amyloid angiopathy-related inflammation, systemic vasculitis, secondary vasculitis, and vasculitis in autoinflammatory diseases. Key discussions focus on emerging insights into immune-mediated processes, neuroimaging characteristics, and histopathological distinctions. Furthermore, this review underscores the importance of standardized diagnostic frameworks, individualized immunomodulation approaches, and novel targeted therapies to address unmet clinical demands.
Humans
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Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases/pathology*
;
Inflammation/pathology*
;
Cerebral Amyloid Angiopathy/pathology*
;
Vasculitis, Central Nervous System/pathology*
;
Vasculitis/pathology*
3.Gallstones, cholecystectomy, and cancer risk: an observational and Mendelian randomization study.
Yuanyue ZHU ; Linhui SHEN ; Yanan HUO ; Qin WAN ; Yingfen QIN ; Ruying HU ; Lixin SHI ; Qing SU ; Xuefeng YU ; Li YAN ; Guijun QIN ; Xulei TANG ; Gang CHEN ; Yu XU ; Tiange WANG ; Zhiyun ZHAO ; Zhengnan GAO ; Guixia WANG ; Feixia SHEN ; Xuejiang GU ; Zuojie LUO ; Li CHEN ; Qiang LI ; Zhen YE ; Yinfei ZHANG ; Chao LIU ; Youmin WANG ; Shengli WU ; Tao YANG ; Huacong DENG ; Lulu CHEN ; Tianshu ZENG ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Yiming MU ; Weiqing WANG ; Guang NING ; Jieli LU ; Min XU ; Yufang BI ; Weiguo HU
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(1):79-89
This study aimed to comprehensively examine the association of gallstones, cholecystectomy, and cancer risk. Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to estimate the observational associations of gallstones and cholecystectomy with cancer risk, using data from a nationwide cohort involving 239 799 participants. General and gender-specific two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was further conducted to assess the causalities of the observed associations. Observationally, a history of gallstones without cholecystectomy was associated with a high risk of stomach cancer (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)=2.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.50-4.28), liver and bile duct cancer (aOR=2.46, 95% CI 1.17-5.16), kidney cancer (aOR=2.04, 95% CI 1.05-3.94), and bladder cancer (aOR=2.23, 95% CI 1.01-5.13) in the general population, as well as cervical cancer (aOR=1.69, 95% CI 1.12-2.56) in women. Moreover, cholecystectomy was associated with high odds of stomach cancer (aOR=2.41, 95% CI 1.29-4.49), colorectal cancer (aOR=1.83, 95% CI 1.18-2.85), and cancer of liver and bile duct (aOR=2.58, 95% CI 1.11-6.02). MR analysis only supported the causal effect of gallstones on stomach, liver and bile duct, kidney, and bladder cancer. This study added evidence to the causal effect of gallstones on stomach, liver and bile duct, kidney, and bladder cancer, highlighting the importance of cancer screening in individuals with gallstones.
Humans
;
Mendelian Randomization Analysis
;
Gallstones/complications*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Cholecystectomy/statistics & numerical data*
;
Middle Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Neoplasms/etiology*
;
Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology*
4.Advances of ultrasound in diagnosis of cystic renal mass
Lixin JIANG ; Lianfang DU ; Li SHEN ; Xuemei WANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2025;41(8):1350-1353
Cystic renal mass(CRM)is common in clinic,covering a variety of diseases,and the differentiation of benign and malignant CRM is crucial for treatment decisions.Imaging technologies had their own advantages for diagnosis of CRM,while new grading systems and diagnostic methods kept emerged.The definition of CRM,the application and diagnostic progresses of imaging,especially ultrasound for CRM,and the characteristics and shortcomings of existing diagnostic methods were reviewed in this article,aiming to provide reference for accurate diagnosis and treatment of CRM.
5.Analysis of factors influencing postoperative pathological upgrading in prostate cancer with target biopsy Gleason score 3 + 3 and development of a predictive model
Rongjie SHI ; Lai DONG ; Zhiyi SHEN ; Kaiyu ZHANG ; Chenglong ZHANG ; Yamin WANG ; Ruizhe ZHAO ; Shangqian WANG ; Gong CHENG ; Lixin HUA
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(9):684-690
Objective:To explore the influencing factors for pathological upgrading in prostate cancer patients with a Gleason score of 3 + 3 undergoing targeted biopsy,and to establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 191 patients with localized prostate cancer diagnosed with a Gleason score of 3 + 3 through targeted biopsies at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2020 to June 2024. The age of the patients was 67(61,73)years,with prostate-specific antigen(PSA)level of 7.44(5.53,10.19)ng/ml,prostate volume of 35.64(26.59,48.97)ml,and PSA density(PSAD)of 0.20(0.14,0.31)ng/ml 2. Among them,61 cases(31.94%)had a Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System(PI-RADS)score of 3,104 cases(54.45%)had a score of 4,and 26 cases(13.61%)had a score of 5. The diameter of the main lesion was 10.75(7.86,14.00)mm. The lesions were located in the peripheral zone in 78 cases(40.84%),the transition zone in 99 cases(51.83%),and the anterior fibromuscular stroma in 14 cases(7.33%). The lesions were found at the apex in 56 cases(29.32%),in the body in 120 cases(62.83%),and at the base in 15 cases(7.85%). MRI revealed only one lesion with a PI-RADS score ≥ 3 in 131 cases,two suspected lesions in 43 cases,three suspected lesions in 12 cases,and four suspected lesions in 5 cases. Systematic biopsy was positive in 121 cases(63.4%)and negative in 70 cases(36.6%). The lesions were confined to the left lobe in 63 cases(32.98%),right lobe in 68 cases(35.60%),and involved both lobes in 60 cases(31.41%). The interval between biopsy and surgery was 9.0(7.0,14.0)days. Univariate analyses were performed using Mann-Whitney U tests or χ2 tests,and multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of pathological upgrading. A nomogram model was constructed based on these independent predictors. The model’s discriminative ability was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC),and internal validation of the model’s consistency was conducted using the bootstrap resampling method. Decision curve analysis(DCA)was performed to assess clinical utility. Results:Among the 191 cases,60(31.4%)had no pathological upgrading after surgery,while 131(68.6%)showed upgrading. Univariate analysis showed that the maximum diameter of the main lesion[9.0(6.0,13.2)mm vs. 11.0(8.4,14.0)mm],number of suspicious lesions on MRI[1.0(1.0,1.0)vs. 1.0(1.0,2.0)],number of positive systematic biopsy cores[1.0(0,2.0)vs. 1.0(0,3.0)],percentage of positive systematic biopsy cores[0.08(0,0.17)vs. 0.12(0,0.25)],number of positive targeted biopsy cores[2.0(1.0,3.0)vs. 3.0(1.0,4.0)],percentage of positive targeted biopsy cores[0.37(0.24,0.75)vs. 0.50(0.38,0.85)],level of the index lesion,location of the index lesion,and PI-RADS score were associated with pathological upgrading( P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PI-RADS score 4( OR = 5.88,95% CI 2.41 - 14.35),number of suspicious lesions on MRI( OR = 4.15,95% CI 1.88 - 9.17),location of the index lesion in the transition zone( OR = 6.86,95% CI 2.81 - 16.73),and percentage of positive targeted biopsy cores( OR = 4.37,95% CI 1.38 - 14.90)were independent risk factors for pathological upgrading( P < 0.05). The nomogram model constructed using these predictors had an AUC of 0.845. Internal validation using the Bootstrap method yielded an AUC value of 0.812,indicating high predictive accuracy of the model. The calibration curve indicated good calibration. Decision curve analysis showed that the threshold range for net benefit in the model was between 12% - 100%. Conclusions:The PI-RADS score 4,the number of lesions with PI-RADS ≥ 3,the location of the main lesion in the transition zone,and the percentage of positive needles in targeted biopsy are independent risk factors for pathological upgrading from Gleason score 3 + 3. The nomogram model constructed from these factors demonstrates good predictive performance and provides a reference for clinical decision-making.
6.Near Peer Learning in Neurology Residency Training on Electromyography
Ying TAN ; Yuehui HONG ; Jia LI ; Dongchao SHEN ; Jiayu SHI ; Hexiang YIN ; Lixin ZHOU ; Jun NI ; Yicheng ZHU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(1):263-268
Objective To explore the effectiveness of"near peer learning"(NPL)in the electromyo-graphy(EMG)teaching module for neurology residents.Methods The Department of Neurology,Peking Union Medical College Hospital implemented an NPL instructional design for a course on EMG for residents from November 2020 to March 2024.This teaching session was held annually,in which senior residents in-structed juniors who were 1 or 2 years earlier in their training.The residents participated in the pre-course/post-course tests and completed a feedback survey at the end of the session.This evaluation method was used to un-derstand the effectiveness of the NPL intervention in EMG teaching.Results Over four years,a total of 83 residents participated.Among them,there were 24 postdoctoral students,52 postgraduates and 7 junior resi-dents.The results showed that the post-course test scores were significantly improved compared with pre-course test scores(74.33±2.43 vs.70.11±2.49,P=0.005),with the most remarkable improvements seen for"tu-tees"(73.84±20.53 vs.70.29±21.46,P=0.020),postgraduates(74.04±22.51 vs.68.97±21.40,P=0.009),first-year residents(70.19±4.02 vs.63.59±3.59,P=0.040)and first-time participating resi-dents(65.23±3.24 vs.60.97±3.21,P=0.030).The post-program feedback showed that both tutors and tu-tees thought highly of NPL,believing that it enabled them to gain knowledge and helped them to improve teaching skills.Conclusions The NPL intervention is suitable for the teaching of EMG,because of its contri-bution to knowledge acquisition and basic clinical skills improvement.The NPL is worth replicating in other teaching and learning programs.
7.Advances of ultrasound in diagnosis of cystic renal mass
Lixin JIANG ; Lianfang DU ; Li SHEN ; Xuemei WANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2025;41(8):1350-1353
Cystic renal mass(CRM)is common in clinic,covering a variety of diseases,and the differentiation of benign and malignant CRM is crucial for treatment decisions.Imaging technologies had their own advantages for diagnosis of CRM,while new grading systems and diagnostic methods kept emerged.The definition of CRM,the application and diagnostic progresses of imaging,especially ultrasound for CRM,and the characteristics and shortcomings of existing diagnostic methods were reviewed in this article,aiming to provide reference for accurate diagnosis and treatment of CRM.
8.Analysis of factors influencing postoperative pathological upgrading in prostate cancer with target biopsy Gleason score 3 + 3 and development of a predictive model
Rongjie SHI ; Lai DONG ; Zhiyi SHEN ; Kaiyu ZHANG ; Chenglong ZHANG ; Yamin WANG ; Ruizhe ZHAO ; Shangqian WANG ; Gong CHENG ; Lixin HUA
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(9):684-690
Objective:To explore the influencing factors for pathological upgrading in prostate cancer patients with a Gleason score of 3 + 3 undergoing targeted biopsy,and to establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 191 patients with localized prostate cancer diagnosed with a Gleason score of 3 + 3 through targeted biopsies at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2020 to June 2024. The age of the patients was 67(61,73)years,with prostate-specific antigen(PSA)level of 7.44(5.53,10.19)ng/ml,prostate volume of 35.64(26.59,48.97)ml,and PSA density(PSAD)of 0.20(0.14,0.31)ng/ml 2. Among them,61 cases(31.94%)had a Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System(PI-RADS)score of 3,104 cases(54.45%)had a score of 4,and 26 cases(13.61%)had a score of 5. The diameter of the main lesion was 10.75(7.86,14.00)mm. The lesions were located in the peripheral zone in 78 cases(40.84%),the transition zone in 99 cases(51.83%),and the anterior fibromuscular stroma in 14 cases(7.33%). The lesions were found at the apex in 56 cases(29.32%),in the body in 120 cases(62.83%),and at the base in 15 cases(7.85%). MRI revealed only one lesion with a PI-RADS score ≥ 3 in 131 cases,two suspected lesions in 43 cases,three suspected lesions in 12 cases,and four suspected lesions in 5 cases. Systematic biopsy was positive in 121 cases(63.4%)and negative in 70 cases(36.6%). The lesions were confined to the left lobe in 63 cases(32.98%),right lobe in 68 cases(35.60%),and involved both lobes in 60 cases(31.41%). The interval between biopsy and surgery was 9.0(7.0,14.0)days. Univariate analyses were performed using Mann-Whitney U tests or χ2 tests,and multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of pathological upgrading. A nomogram model was constructed based on these independent predictors. The model’s discriminative ability was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC),and internal validation of the model’s consistency was conducted using the bootstrap resampling method. Decision curve analysis(DCA)was performed to assess clinical utility. Results:Among the 191 cases,60(31.4%)had no pathological upgrading after surgery,while 131(68.6%)showed upgrading. Univariate analysis showed that the maximum diameter of the main lesion[9.0(6.0,13.2)mm vs. 11.0(8.4,14.0)mm],number of suspicious lesions on MRI[1.0(1.0,1.0)vs. 1.0(1.0,2.0)],number of positive systematic biopsy cores[1.0(0,2.0)vs. 1.0(0,3.0)],percentage of positive systematic biopsy cores[0.08(0,0.17)vs. 0.12(0,0.25)],number of positive targeted biopsy cores[2.0(1.0,3.0)vs. 3.0(1.0,4.0)],percentage of positive targeted biopsy cores[0.37(0.24,0.75)vs. 0.50(0.38,0.85)],level of the index lesion,location of the index lesion,and PI-RADS score were associated with pathological upgrading( P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PI-RADS score 4( OR = 5.88,95% CI 2.41 - 14.35),number of suspicious lesions on MRI( OR = 4.15,95% CI 1.88 - 9.17),location of the index lesion in the transition zone( OR = 6.86,95% CI 2.81 - 16.73),and percentage of positive targeted biopsy cores( OR = 4.37,95% CI 1.38 - 14.90)were independent risk factors for pathological upgrading( P < 0.05). The nomogram model constructed using these predictors had an AUC of 0.845. Internal validation using the Bootstrap method yielded an AUC value of 0.812,indicating high predictive accuracy of the model. The calibration curve indicated good calibration. Decision curve analysis showed that the threshold range for net benefit in the model was between 12% - 100%. Conclusions:The PI-RADS score 4,the number of lesions with PI-RADS ≥ 3,the location of the main lesion in the transition zone,and the percentage of positive needles in targeted biopsy are independent risk factors for pathological upgrading from Gleason score 3 + 3. The nomogram model constructed from these factors demonstrates good predictive performance and provides a reference for clinical decision-making.
9.Construction and validation of a fatigue risk nomogram model in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Yunxin RU ; Lixin LAI ; Facun LIANG ; Weihong YANG ; Quanying ZHANG ; Guodi SHEN ; Xue LI
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2024;59(13):1584-1591
Objective To develop and validate a fatigue risk nomogram model in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease(COPD)patients.Methods A prospective study design was adopted,and 430 COPD patients recruited from a tertiary A hospital in Huzhou City from January to December 2022 were conveniently selected for model construction,and 129 patients were recruited from the same hospital from January to June 2023 for external validation of the model.The general information questionnaire,Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index,2-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale,2-item Patient Health Questionnaire,modified British Medical Research Council Dyspnea Index,International Physical Activity Questionnaire,and Fatigue Severity Scale were used for questionnaire survey.The risk prediction model and nomograms model were constructed using Logistic regression analysis and R 4.3.2 software,and the area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to test the prediction effect of the model.Results Univariate and binary logistic regression analysis results showed that age(OR=1.095),gender(OR=2.077),dyspnea(OR=3.309),sleep quality(OR=1.979),anemia(OR=3.289),the number of acute exacerbation(OR=2.991)were independent influencing factors for fatigue in COPD patients.The internal evaluation and external validation results of the model showed that the areas under the curve are 0.912 and 0.844 respectively,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test P values were 0.806 and 0.526 respectively.The average absolute errors were 0.013 and 0.019 respectively.Conclusion The COPD fatigue risk prediction model constructed in this study has good prediction effect.The visual nomogram is intuitive,convenient and easy to operate.It can provide a tool for early screening of fatigue in COPD patients.
10.Progress in the application of absolute ethanol in interventional embolization treatment of peripheral arteriovenous malformations
Qianyun HAN ; Yuchen SHEN ; Deming WANG ; Lixin SU ; Xiao LI ; Xindong FAN
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2024;33(11):1244-1252
Arteriovenous malformations(AVMs)are a kind of high-flow vascular malformation.AVMs can be classified in many ways,including histo-embryological classification,hemodynamic classification,etc.At present,the two mainstream classification systems used to guide the embolization treatment of peripheral AVMs are proposed by Cho and Yakes respectively based on the angiographic morphology of the lesions.Interventional embolization is the first-line treatment for AVMs.Among the many embolization agents,absolute ethanol is a permanent liquid embolization agent.Absolute ethanol can directly destroy the vascular endothelial cells to achieve a good curative efficacy,therefore,it has been wildly used in the treatment of peripheral AVMs.Yakes classification combines the angiographic classification with absolute ethanol embolization therapy.During absolute ethanol treatment,close attention should be paid to the occurrence of complications such as elevated pulmonary artery pressure.Although there are challenges remaining in the treatment of AVMs,the rapid development of molecular genetics has made targeted drug adjunctive treatment for AVMs possible.Perhaps,the novel therapeutic mode of combination use of traditional therapy targeted drug may be able to make a breakthrough in the treatment of AVMs.

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