1.Characteristics and trends of pneumoconiosis incidence in Hebei Province from 1949 to 2024
Junqin ZHAO ; Guangyi BAI ; Zhenyu GONG ; Lixin YANG ; Junqing GAO ; Ye ZHAN
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(5):597-603
Background Pneumoconiosis remains a critical occupational disease in China. As a major industrial province, Hebei historically faced severe challenges regarding this condition. The 1986 national epidemiological survey ranked Hebei sixth in reported pneumoconiosis cases nationwide. Objective To analyze 76 years of pneumoconiosis data (1949–2024) in Hebei Province to provide evidence-based support for prevention and control strategies. Methods Occupational pneumoconiosis cases diagnosed in Hebei from 1949 to 2024 were included. Five-year intervals were used to analyze incidence composition, dust exposure duration, age at first diagnosis, and age at death. A hybrid model, integrating autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) with generalized regression neural network (GRNN), was employed to predict case numbers for the 2025−2030 period. Results A total of 36107 cases of pneumoconiosis were recorded (2.10% female) in Hebei from 1949 to 2024. Stages I, II, and III accounted for 77.35%, 16.45%, and 6.20%, respectively. Silicosis (55.60%), coal workers’ pneumoconiosis (27.24%), and pottery workers’ pneumoconiosis (8.88%) were the predominant types. Observed trends included a shortened dust exposure duration [silicosis: (12.78±7.063) years in 2020–2024] and an increasing age at first diagnosis [(54.01±7.499) years in 2020–2024]. The case-fatality rate was 14.84%, with a rising age at death [(82.26±9.632) years in 2015–2019]. Three incidence peaks (1963, 1984, and 2014) correlated with national policies and industrialization phases. The number of pneumoconiosis cases showed a decreasing trend from 2015 to 2024. Chengde and Tangshan were identified as current high-risk areas. The ARIMA-GRNN model projected annual cases between 416 and 429 during 2025–2030. Conclusion In the past decade,the number of pneumoconiosis cases in Hebei Province had shown a decreasing trend, it is projected to plateau with no significant decline over the next five years. Furthermore, challenges such as the proportion of silicosis remaining high and shortened dust exposure duration remain severe. It is recommended to focus on key regions like Chengde (ore mining) and Tangshan (ceramics industry). A comprehensive strategy integrating stricter regulation, technological controls, model innovation, and targeted interventions should be implemented to achieve a further substantial reduction in pneumoconiosis incidence.
2.Characteristics and trends of pneumoconiosis incidence in Hebei Province from 1949 to 2024
Junqin ZHAO ; Guangyi BAI ; Zhenyu GONG ; Lixin YANG ; Junqing GAO ; Ye ZHAN
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(5):597-603
Background Pneumoconiosis remains a critical occupational disease in China. As a major industrial province, Hebei historically faced severe challenges regarding this condition. The 1986 national epidemiological survey ranked Hebei sixth in reported pneumoconiosis cases nationwide. Objective To analyze 76 years of pneumoconiosis data (1949–2024) in Hebei Province to provide evidence-based support for prevention and control strategies. Methods Occupational pneumoconiosis cases diagnosed in Hebei from 1949 to 2024 were included. Five-year intervals were used to analyze incidence composition, dust exposure duration, age at first diagnosis, and age at death. A hybrid model, integrating autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) with generalized regression neural network (GRNN), was employed to predict case numbers for the 2025−2030 period. Results A total of 36107 cases of pneumoconiosis were recorded (2.10% female) in Hebei from 1949 to 2024. Stages I, II, and III accounted for 77.35%, 16.45%, and 6.20%, respectively. Silicosis (55.60%), coal workers’ pneumoconiosis (27.24%), and pottery workers’ pneumoconiosis (8.88%) were the predominant types. Observed trends included a shortened dust exposure duration [silicosis: (12.78±7.063) years in 2020–2024] and an increasing age at first diagnosis [(54.01±7.499) years in 2020–2024]. The case-fatality rate was 14.84%, with a rising age at death [(82.26±9.632) years in 2015–2019]. Three incidence peaks (1963, 1984, and 2014) correlated with national policies and industrialization phases. The number of pneumoconiosis cases showed a decreasing trend from 2015 to 2024. Chengde and Tangshan were identified as current high-risk areas. The ARIMA-GRNN model projected annual cases between 416 and 429 during 2025–2030. Conclusion In the past decade,the number of pneumoconiosis cases in Hebei Province had shown a decreasing trend, it is projected to plateau with no significant decline over the next five years. Furthermore, challenges such as the proportion of silicosis remaining high and shortened dust exposure duration remain severe. It is recommended to focus on key regions like Chengde (ore mining) and Tangshan (ceramics industry). A comprehensive strategy integrating stricter regulation, technological controls, model innovation, and targeted interventions should be implemented to achieve a further substantial reduction in pneumoconiosis incidence.
3.Construction and performance evaluation of a prediction model for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in patients with traumatic brain injury
Tao MEI ; Zheyong JIA ; Lie CHEN ; Peng CAO ; Wei XIAO ; Weiqiang MAO ; Jianwu GONG ; Lixin XU
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(11):1048-1058
Objective:To construct a prediction model for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) and evaluate its predictive performance.Methods:A retrospective case control study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 1 120 TBI patients admitted to Changde Hospital Affiliated to Xiangya Medical College of Central South University from May 2019 to December 2024. The patients were divided into the training set ( n=784) and verification set ( n=336) at a ratio of 7∶3. Based on the Glasgow outcome scale-extended (GOS-E) at discharge, the training set was stratified into favorable prognosis group ( n=335, GOS-E 5-8 points) and poor prognosis group ( n=449, GOS-E 1-4 points). The two groups in the training set were compared in terms of general baseline indicators, TBI-related clinical indicators, and admission laboratory blood test results. Univariate analysis and Lasso regression analysis were employed to screen risk factors associated with postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors and construct a regression equation. The regression equation was presented using R language to create a visual nomogram for predicting postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients. In both the training set and verification set, the predictive performance of the model was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), plotting calibration curves, and performing decision curve analysis (DCA). Results:The results of the univariate analysis indicated that the age, Charlson complication index (CCI), time from trauma to admission, time from trauma to operation, cause of injury, abbreviated injury scale (AIS) (head and neck), injury severity score (ISS), admission Glasgow coma scale (GCS), admission pupil responsiveness, multiple craniocerebral injuries, subdural hematoma, intracerebral hematoma, intraventricular hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage, decompressive craniotomy, intraoperative blood loss, intraoperative blood transfusion, traumatic cerebral infarction, postoperative delayed bleeding, epilepsy seizures, as well as the following admission tested results including red blood cell count, white blood cell count, platelet count, neutrophil percentage, percentage of lymphocytes, albumin, total bilirubin, urea nitrogen, thrombin time (TT), prothrombin time (PT), international standardized ratio (INR), glutamic aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, creatinine, and blood glucose were statistically different between the two groups in the training set ( P<0.05). Lasso regression analysis suggested 14 risk factors of age, CCI, cause of injury, head and neck AIS, ISS, admission GCS, admission pupil responsiveness, multiple craniocerebral injuries, subdural hematoma, intracerebral hematoma, intraoperative blood loss, admission platelet count, admission albumin, admission blood glucose for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis. The results of the multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR=1.02, 95% CI 1.00, 1.03, P<0.01), CCI ( OR=1.46, 95% CI 1.02, 2.09, P<0.05), head and neck AIS ( OR=1.43, 95% CI 1.11, 1.85, P<0.01), ISS ( OR=2.16, 95% CI 1.39, 3.35, P<0.01), admission GCS ( OR=1.59, 95% CI 1.19, 2.13, P<0.01), intracerebral hematoma ( OR=4.41, 95% CI 2.15, 9.44, P<0.01), intraoperative blood loss ( OR=1.05, 95% CI 1.00, 1.09, P<0.05), admission platelet count ( OR=0.98, 95% CI 0.97, 0.99, P<0.01), admission blood glucose ( OR=1.08, 95% CI 1.02, 1.15, P<0.05) could be the main risk factors to construct a prediction model for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients. Meanwhile, a regression equation was constructed: Logit[ P/(1- P)]=-2.4+ 0.02×"age"+0.38×"CCI"+0.36×"head and neck AIS"+0.77×"ISS"+0.47×"admission GCS"+1.48×"intracerebral hematoma"+0.05×intraoperative blood loss-0.02×admission platelet count+0.08×admission blood glucose. In the training set, the predictive model for poor postoperative in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients achieved an AUC of 0.87 (95% CI 0.84, 0.89), with a Youden′s index of 0.57, sensitivity of 73.70%, and specificity of 83.00%. In the verification set, the model showed an AUC of 0.80 (95% CI 0.76, 0.85), with a Youden′s index of 0.63, sensitivity of 65.20%, and specificity of 77.90%. In the training set, the Brier score for the calibration curve was 0.14 (95% CI 0.13, 0.16). In the verification set, the Brier score for the calibration curve was 0.18 (95% CI 0.15, 0.20). The DCA diagram indicated that the nomogram prediction model provided high clinical net benefit for predicting postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients. Conclusion:The prediction model for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients, constructed based on age, CCI, head and neck AIS, ISS, admission GCS, intracerebral hematoma, intraoperative blood loss, admission platelet count, and admission blood glucose, exhibits good predictive performance.
4.Analysis of factors influencing postoperative pathological upgrading in prostate cancer with target biopsy Gleason score 3 + 3 and development of a predictive model
Rongjie SHI ; Lai DONG ; Zhiyi SHEN ; Kaiyu ZHANG ; Chenglong ZHANG ; Yamin WANG ; Ruizhe ZHAO ; Shangqian WANG ; Gong CHENG ; Lixin HUA
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(9):684-690
Objective:To explore the influencing factors for pathological upgrading in prostate cancer patients with a Gleason score of 3 + 3 undergoing targeted biopsy,and to establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 191 patients with localized prostate cancer diagnosed with a Gleason score of 3 + 3 through targeted biopsies at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2020 to June 2024. The age of the patients was 67(61,73)years,with prostate-specific antigen(PSA)level of 7.44(5.53,10.19)ng/ml,prostate volume of 35.64(26.59,48.97)ml,and PSA density(PSAD)of 0.20(0.14,0.31)ng/ml 2. Among them,61 cases(31.94%)had a Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System(PI-RADS)score of 3,104 cases(54.45%)had a score of 4,and 26 cases(13.61%)had a score of 5. The diameter of the main lesion was 10.75(7.86,14.00)mm. The lesions were located in the peripheral zone in 78 cases(40.84%),the transition zone in 99 cases(51.83%),and the anterior fibromuscular stroma in 14 cases(7.33%). The lesions were found at the apex in 56 cases(29.32%),in the body in 120 cases(62.83%),and at the base in 15 cases(7.85%). MRI revealed only one lesion with a PI-RADS score ≥ 3 in 131 cases,two suspected lesions in 43 cases,three suspected lesions in 12 cases,and four suspected lesions in 5 cases. Systematic biopsy was positive in 121 cases(63.4%)and negative in 70 cases(36.6%). The lesions were confined to the left lobe in 63 cases(32.98%),right lobe in 68 cases(35.60%),and involved both lobes in 60 cases(31.41%). The interval between biopsy and surgery was 9.0(7.0,14.0)days. Univariate analyses were performed using Mann-Whitney U tests or χ2 tests,and multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of pathological upgrading. A nomogram model was constructed based on these independent predictors. The model’s discriminative ability was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC),and internal validation of the model’s consistency was conducted using the bootstrap resampling method. Decision curve analysis(DCA)was performed to assess clinical utility. Results:Among the 191 cases,60(31.4%)had no pathological upgrading after surgery,while 131(68.6%)showed upgrading. Univariate analysis showed that the maximum diameter of the main lesion[9.0(6.0,13.2)mm vs. 11.0(8.4,14.0)mm],number of suspicious lesions on MRI[1.0(1.0,1.0)vs. 1.0(1.0,2.0)],number of positive systematic biopsy cores[1.0(0,2.0)vs. 1.0(0,3.0)],percentage of positive systematic biopsy cores[0.08(0,0.17)vs. 0.12(0,0.25)],number of positive targeted biopsy cores[2.0(1.0,3.0)vs. 3.0(1.0,4.0)],percentage of positive targeted biopsy cores[0.37(0.24,0.75)vs. 0.50(0.38,0.85)],level of the index lesion,location of the index lesion,and PI-RADS score were associated with pathological upgrading( P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PI-RADS score 4( OR = 5.88,95% CI 2.41 - 14.35),number of suspicious lesions on MRI( OR = 4.15,95% CI 1.88 - 9.17),location of the index lesion in the transition zone( OR = 6.86,95% CI 2.81 - 16.73),and percentage of positive targeted biopsy cores( OR = 4.37,95% CI 1.38 - 14.90)were independent risk factors for pathological upgrading( P < 0.05). The nomogram model constructed using these predictors had an AUC of 0.845. Internal validation using the Bootstrap method yielded an AUC value of 0.812,indicating high predictive accuracy of the model. The calibration curve indicated good calibration. Decision curve analysis showed that the threshold range for net benefit in the model was between 12% - 100%. Conclusions:The PI-RADS score 4,the number of lesions with PI-RADS ≥ 3,the location of the main lesion in the transition zone,and the percentage of positive needles in targeted biopsy are independent risk factors for pathological upgrading from Gleason score 3 + 3. The nomogram model constructed from these factors demonstrates good predictive performance and provides a reference for clinical decision-making.
5.Introduction to Implementation Science Theories, Models, and Frameworks
Lixin SUN ; Enying GONG ; Yishu LIU ; Dan WU ; Chunyuan LI ; Shiyu LU ; Maoyi TIAN ; Qian LONG ; Dong XU ; Lijing YAN
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(5):1332-1343
Implementation Science is an interdisciplinary field dedicated to systematically studying how to effectively translate evidence-based research findings into practical application and implementation. In the health-related context, it focuses on enhancing the efficiency and quality of healthcare services, thereby facilitating the transition from scientific evidence to real-world practice. This article elaborates on Theories, Models, and Frameworks (TMF) within health-related Implementation Science, clarifying their basic concepts and classifications, and discussing their roles in guiding implementation processes. Furthermore, it reviews and prospects current research from three aspects: the constituent elements of TMF, their practical applications, and future directions. Five representative frameworks are emphasized, including the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR), the Practical Robust Implementation and Sustainability Model (PRISM), the Exploration, Preparation, Implementation, Sustainment (EPIS)framework, the Behavior Change Wheel (BCW), and the Normalization Process Theory (NPT). Additionally, resources such as the Dissemination & Implementation Models Webtool and the T-CaST tool are introduced to assist researchers in selecting appropriate TMFs based on project-specific needs.
6.Construction and performance evaluation of a prediction model for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in patients with traumatic brain injury
Tao MEI ; Zheyong JIA ; Lie CHEN ; Peng CAO ; Wei XIAO ; Weiqiang MAO ; Jianwu GONG ; Lixin XU
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(11):1048-1058
Objective:To construct a prediction model for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) and evaluate its predictive performance.Methods:A retrospective case control study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 1 120 TBI patients admitted to Changde Hospital Affiliated to Xiangya Medical College of Central South University from May 2019 to December 2024. The patients were divided into the training set ( n=784) and verification set ( n=336) at a ratio of 7∶3. Based on the Glasgow outcome scale-extended (GOS-E) at discharge, the training set was stratified into favorable prognosis group ( n=335, GOS-E 5-8 points) and poor prognosis group ( n=449, GOS-E 1-4 points). The two groups in the training set were compared in terms of general baseline indicators, TBI-related clinical indicators, and admission laboratory blood test results. Univariate analysis and Lasso regression analysis were employed to screen risk factors associated with postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors and construct a regression equation. The regression equation was presented using R language to create a visual nomogram for predicting postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients. In both the training set and verification set, the predictive performance of the model was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), plotting calibration curves, and performing decision curve analysis (DCA). Results:The results of the univariate analysis indicated that the age, Charlson complication index (CCI), time from trauma to admission, time from trauma to operation, cause of injury, abbreviated injury scale (AIS) (head and neck), injury severity score (ISS), admission Glasgow coma scale (GCS), admission pupil responsiveness, multiple craniocerebral injuries, subdural hematoma, intracerebral hematoma, intraventricular hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage, decompressive craniotomy, intraoperative blood loss, intraoperative blood transfusion, traumatic cerebral infarction, postoperative delayed bleeding, epilepsy seizures, as well as the following admission tested results including red blood cell count, white blood cell count, platelet count, neutrophil percentage, percentage of lymphocytes, albumin, total bilirubin, urea nitrogen, thrombin time (TT), prothrombin time (PT), international standardized ratio (INR), glutamic aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, creatinine, and blood glucose were statistically different between the two groups in the training set ( P<0.05). Lasso regression analysis suggested 14 risk factors of age, CCI, cause of injury, head and neck AIS, ISS, admission GCS, admission pupil responsiveness, multiple craniocerebral injuries, subdural hematoma, intracerebral hematoma, intraoperative blood loss, admission platelet count, admission albumin, admission blood glucose for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis. The results of the multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR=1.02, 95% CI 1.00, 1.03, P<0.01), CCI ( OR=1.46, 95% CI 1.02, 2.09, P<0.05), head and neck AIS ( OR=1.43, 95% CI 1.11, 1.85, P<0.01), ISS ( OR=2.16, 95% CI 1.39, 3.35, P<0.01), admission GCS ( OR=1.59, 95% CI 1.19, 2.13, P<0.01), intracerebral hematoma ( OR=4.41, 95% CI 2.15, 9.44, P<0.01), intraoperative blood loss ( OR=1.05, 95% CI 1.00, 1.09, P<0.05), admission platelet count ( OR=0.98, 95% CI 0.97, 0.99, P<0.01), admission blood glucose ( OR=1.08, 95% CI 1.02, 1.15, P<0.05) could be the main risk factors to construct a prediction model for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients. Meanwhile, a regression equation was constructed: Logit[ P/(1- P)]=-2.4+ 0.02×"age"+0.38×"CCI"+0.36×"head and neck AIS"+0.77×"ISS"+0.47×"admission GCS"+1.48×"intracerebral hematoma"+0.05×intraoperative blood loss-0.02×admission platelet count+0.08×admission blood glucose. In the training set, the predictive model for poor postoperative in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients achieved an AUC of 0.87 (95% CI 0.84, 0.89), with a Youden′s index of 0.57, sensitivity of 73.70%, and specificity of 83.00%. In the verification set, the model showed an AUC of 0.80 (95% CI 0.76, 0.85), with a Youden′s index of 0.63, sensitivity of 65.20%, and specificity of 77.90%. In the training set, the Brier score for the calibration curve was 0.14 (95% CI 0.13, 0.16). In the verification set, the Brier score for the calibration curve was 0.18 (95% CI 0.15, 0.20). The DCA diagram indicated that the nomogram prediction model provided high clinical net benefit for predicting postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients. Conclusion:The prediction model for postoperative poor in-hospital prognosis in TBI patients, constructed based on age, CCI, head and neck AIS, ISS, admission GCS, intracerebral hematoma, intraoperative blood loss, admission platelet count, and admission blood glucose, exhibits good predictive performance.
7.Analysis of factors influencing postoperative pathological upgrading in prostate cancer with target biopsy Gleason score 3 + 3 and development of a predictive model
Rongjie SHI ; Lai DONG ; Zhiyi SHEN ; Kaiyu ZHANG ; Chenglong ZHANG ; Yamin WANG ; Ruizhe ZHAO ; Shangqian WANG ; Gong CHENG ; Lixin HUA
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(9):684-690
Objective:To explore the influencing factors for pathological upgrading in prostate cancer patients with a Gleason score of 3 + 3 undergoing targeted biopsy,and to establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 191 patients with localized prostate cancer diagnosed with a Gleason score of 3 + 3 through targeted biopsies at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2020 to June 2024. The age of the patients was 67(61,73)years,with prostate-specific antigen(PSA)level of 7.44(5.53,10.19)ng/ml,prostate volume of 35.64(26.59,48.97)ml,and PSA density(PSAD)of 0.20(0.14,0.31)ng/ml 2. Among them,61 cases(31.94%)had a Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System(PI-RADS)score of 3,104 cases(54.45%)had a score of 4,and 26 cases(13.61%)had a score of 5. The diameter of the main lesion was 10.75(7.86,14.00)mm. The lesions were located in the peripheral zone in 78 cases(40.84%),the transition zone in 99 cases(51.83%),and the anterior fibromuscular stroma in 14 cases(7.33%). The lesions were found at the apex in 56 cases(29.32%),in the body in 120 cases(62.83%),and at the base in 15 cases(7.85%). MRI revealed only one lesion with a PI-RADS score ≥ 3 in 131 cases,two suspected lesions in 43 cases,three suspected lesions in 12 cases,and four suspected lesions in 5 cases. Systematic biopsy was positive in 121 cases(63.4%)and negative in 70 cases(36.6%). The lesions were confined to the left lobe in 63 cases(32.98%),right lobe in 68 cases(35.60%),and involved both lobes in 60 cases(31.41%). The interval between biopsy and surgery was 9.0(7.0,14.0)days. Univariate analyses were performed using Mann-Whitney U tests or χ2 tests,and multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of pathological upgrading. A nomogram model was constructed based on these independent predictors. The model’s discriminative ability was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC),and internal validation of the model’s consistency was conducted using the bootstrap resampling method. Decision curve analysis(DCA)was performed to assess clinical utility. Results:Among the 191 cases,60(31.4%)had no pathological upgrading after surgery,while 131(68.6%)showed upgrading. Univariate analysis showed that the maximum diameter of the main lesion[9.0(6.0,13.2)mm vs. 11.0(8.4,14.0)mm],number of suspicious lesions on MRI[1.0(1.0,1.0)vs. 1.0(1.0,2.0)],number of positive systematic biopsy cores[1.0(0,2.0)vs. 1.0(0,3.0)],percentage of positive systematic biopsy cores[0.08(0,0.17)vs. 0.12(0,0.25)],number of positive targeted biopsy cores[2.0(1.0,3.0)vs. 3.0(1.0,4.0)],percentage of positive targeted biopsy cores[0.37(0.24,0.75)vs. 0.50(0.38,0.85)],level of the index lesion,location of the index lesion,and PI-RADS score were associated with pathological upgrading( P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PI-RADS score 4( OR = 5.88,95% CI 2.41 - 14.35),number of suspicious lesions on MRI( OR = 4.15,95% CI 1.88 - 9.17),location of the index lesion in the transition zone( OR = 6.86,95% CI 2.81 - 16.73),and percentage of positive targeted biopsy cores( OR = 4.37,95% CI 1.38 - 14.90)were independent risk factors for pathological upgrading( P < 0.05). The nomogram model constructed using these predictors had an AUC of 0.845. Internal validation using the Bootstrap method yielded an AUC value of 0.812,indicating high predictive accuracy of the model. The calibration curve indicated good calibration. Decision curve analysis showed that the threshold range for net benefit in the model was between 12% - 100%. Conclusions:The PI-RADS score 4,the number of lesions with PI-RADS ≥ 3,the location of the main lesion in the transition zone,and the percentage of positive needles in targeted biopsy are independent risk factors for pathological upgrading from Gleason score 3 + 3. The nomogram model constructed from these factors demonstrates good predictive performance and provides a reference for clinical decision-making.
8.The imaging appearances of stapical footplate fistula related to inner ear malformation
Linsheng WANG ; Lihong ZHANG ; Na HU ; Shanfeng LIU ; Jinye LI ; Ping WEI ; Lixin SUN ; Ruozhen GONG
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2024;59(8):803-811
Objective:To summarize the HRCT and MRI appearances of stapical footplate fistula related to inner ear malformation (SFF-Re-IEM).Methods:The HRCT and MRI materials of 48 cases (53 ears) SFF-Re-IEM were retrospectively analyzed. Among them, 25 SFF-Re-IEM ears were confirmed by surgery. Their CT and MRI findings including associated IEM type, internal auditory canal (IAC) malformation, tympanic fluid, its density and signal features, and accompanied labyrinthitis were recorded.Results:Among 48 cases (53 ears) with SFF-Re-IEM, 17 ears with incomplete partition type Ⅰ, accounting for 32.1%, 13 ears with common cavity for 24.5%, 13 ears with cochlear aplasia for 24.5%, 7 ears with cochlear dysplasia Ⅱ for 13.2%, and 3 ears with Mondini for 5.7%,were found respectively. 94.3% of them were associated with a defect or dysplasia in the found of the IAC. They were divided into 4 types according to the intact of the stapical footplate and accompanied CSF otorrhea: 22 ears were diagnosed as the stapical footplate leaking, of them, 2 ears might come from the stapical footplate bony defect, 6 ears were from the stapical footplate hernia. 1 ear belonged to the peristapical footplate leaking. 30 ears with the isolated the stapical footplate hernia were another found. The bony defect in 2 ears with the stapical footplate bony defect were not presented on CT and MRI.The focal bony defect of the affected stapical footplate of 36 ears with the stapical footplate hernia were demonstrated, which presented the hemispherical protruding into the tympana, the soft-tissue density on CT, and CSF-like signal on the MR heaved-T2WI images. Among 22 ears with the stapical footplate leaking, their imaging appearances varied from the different amount of the leaking CSF. Besides the focal bony defects of the affected stapical footplates, there were much more CSF-like density or signal in the ipsilateral tympanic cavity in 17 affected ears connecting with the vestibule through the defect area. In the CSF leaking ears with less CSF leaking in 5 ears, the CSF-like cysts like SFH were shown on the stapical footplate defect area, but their outer edges were irregular, and the CSF-like signal scattering in the tympanic cavity did not connect with the protruding cysts at the stapical area.Conclusion:The variable appearances of the SFF-Re-IEM ears based on the different subtypes are its characteristic HRCT and MRI appearances. This is helpful for the SFF-Re-IEM diagnosing to grasp its imaging features.
9.PSA value gray area (4-10 ng/ml) prostate biopsy study
Jinwei SHANG ; Lai DONG ; Rongjie SHI ; Ruizhe ZHAO ; Tian HAN ; Minjie PAN ; Bin YANG ; Yamin WANG ; Wei XIA ; Lixin HUA ; Gong CHENG
Chinese Journal of Urology 2024;45(5):386-390
Objective:To explore the strategy of prostate biopsy in patients with prostate specific antigen(PSA)gray zone based on prostate imaging reporting and data system (PI-RADS).Methods:The clinical data of 427 patients who underwent transperineal prostate biopsy in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2020 to December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. The median age was 66 (61, 72) years old. The median PSA was 6.62 (5.46, 8.19) ng/ml. The median PSA density (PSAD) was 0.15 (0.11, 0.21) ng/ml 2. The median prostate volume (PV) was 43.68 (31.12, 56.82) ml. PSA velocity (PSAV) data were available in 65 patients with negative MRI examination(PI-RADS <3), and the median PSAV was 1.40 (0.69, 2.89) ng/(ml· year). Among the patients with positive MRI(PI-RADS≥3), there were 174 patients with only 1 lesion and 83 patients with ≥2 lesions. A total of 170 patients with negative MRI underwent systematic biopsy, and 257 patients with positive MRI underwent systematic combined targeted biopsy. The PI-RADS score, regions of interest(ROI), PSAD, f/tPSA and PSAV were analyzed to explore the biopsy strategy for patients with PSA gray area based on bpMRI imaging. Results:Of the 427 patients included in the study, 194 were positive and 233 were negative. Among the patients with positive biopsy pathology, 140 cases were clinically significant prostate cancer (CsPCa). Among the MRI-negative patients, there were 33 cases with PSAV ≥1.4 ng/(ml·year), and 10 cases of prostate cancer and 6 cases of CsPCa were detected by systematic biopsy.In 32 cases with PSAV <1.4 ng/(ml·year), 3 cases of prostate cancer and 0 case of CsPCa were detected by systematic biopsy. The sensitivity of systematic biopsy for the diagnosis of prostate cancer and CsPCa in patients with PSAV≥1.4 ng/(ml·year) were 76.9% (10/13) and 100.0% (6/6) respectively, the specificity were 55.8% (29/52) and 54.2% (32/59) respectively, the negative predictive value were 90.6% (29/32) and 100.0% (32/32) respectively, and the positive predictive value were 30.3% (10/33) and 18.2% (6/33) respectively. In MRI-positive patients with PI-RADS 3, the prostate cancer detection rates of targeted biopsy combined with systematic biopsy, systematic biopsy and targeted biopsy were 41.7% (45/108), 32.4% (35/108) and 35.2% (38/108), respectively ( P=0.349). The detection rates of CsPCa were 27.8% (30/108), 21.3% (23/108) and 25.0% (27/108), respectively ( P=0.541). In patients with PI-RADS 4-5 and PSAD > 0.15 ng/ml 2, the detection rates of CsPCa in targeted biopsy combined with systematic biopsy, systematic biopsy and targeted biopsy were 67.8% (61/90), 58.9% (53/90) and 67.8% (61/90), respectively ( P=0.354). Conclusions:For MRI-negative patients, all CsPCa could be detected by perineal systematic biopsy when PSAV ≥1.4 ng/(ml·year), and active observation could be performed when PSAV <1.4 ng/(ml·year). For MRI-positive patients, targeted combined systemic biopsy was required when PI-RADS score was 3, and targeted biopsy only could be performed when PI-RADS score ≥4 and PSAD >0.15 ng/ml 2, otherwise targeted combined systemic biopsy was required.
10.Protective effects of swertiamarin against radiation-induced lung injury
Jinyu WANG ; Lixin GONG ; Zhe ZHAO ; Gan ZHANG ; Jingyi LI
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2024;44(6):472-481
Objective:To explore the protective effects and mechanism of swertiamarin against ionizing radiation-induced lung injury.Methods:The human bronchial epithelial cells (Beas-2B) and human embryonic lung fibroblasts (HELF) were divided into control group, irradiation group, and irradiation + swertiamarin group, and the effect of swertiamarin on lung cells was detected after X-ray irradiation. Cells exposed to radiation were subjected to detections of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) release, cell proliferation, and the levels of DNA damage, reactive oxygen species (ROS), lipid peroxides, and iron ions, as well as changes in the contents of ferroptosis-related protein SLC7A11 (xCT) and glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4). Moreover, to verify the protective effects of swertiamarin against radiation-induced lung injury in vivo, a mouse model of radiation-induced lung injury was developed. Specifically, C57BL/6J male mice were divided into three groups mentioned above, with five mice in each group. After chest irradiation with 15 Gy X-rays, the lung tissues and serum of the mice were collected at 30 days. The pathological changes in the lung tissues, the level of oxidative stress in these tissues, and changes in the levels of γ-H2AX, GPX4, and inflammatory factors were observed. Results:Compared to the radiation group, the radiation plus swertiamarin group (130 μmol/l) exhibited significant increases in the proliferation rate and clone proliferation rate of cells (Beas-2B: t = 5.50-5.92, P < 0.05; HELF: t = 3.79-5.51, P < 0.05), significant decreases in the LDH release rate, ROS content, lipid peroxide level, and iron ion content of cells (Beas-2B: t=3.00-16.99, P<0.05; HELF: t=4.10-10.97, P<0.05), a significant decrease in the level of DNA damage to cells (Beas-2B: t = 5.69-8.27, P < 0.05; HELF: t = 3.44-14.77, P < 0.05), and increased expression of xCT and GPX4 proteins in cells (Beas-2B: t = 2.90-3.27, P < 0.05; HELF: t = 3.01-7.07, P < 0.05). The in vivo experiments suggested that compared to radiation alone, additional pre-treatment using swertiamarin significantly increased the GSH and GPX4 contents in lung tissues of the mice ( t = 2.31-2.65, P < 0.05), decreased the MDA and γ-H2AX contents in the tissues ( t = 2.71-4.19, P < 0.05), and lowered the levels of IL-6 and IL-1β in the serum of the mice ( t = 3.16-4.56, P < 0.05). Conclusions:Swertiamarin has protective effects against ionizing radiation-induced lung injury by lowering the levels of DNA damage and oxidative stress. The result of this study will provide philosophies for the development of new protective agents against radiation-induced lung injury.

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