Objective: To compare the predictive performance of the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, the Prophet model, and the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model in forecasting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) , so as to provide a basis for optimizing the early warning system of this disease. Methods: Weekly incidence data of HFMD in Longgang District, Shenzhen City from 2014 to 2024 were collected. The HFMD incidence data from 2014-2019 and 2023 were used as the training set to construct SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS models, while the data from 2024 were used as the test set to compare and evaluate the predictive performance of the three models. The technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method was employed to calculate the C-value. This approach integrates multiple evaluation metrics, such as the mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), to comprehensively assess model performance. Results: A total of 150 111 cases of HFMD were reported in Longgang District from 2014 to 2024, with an average annual incidence of 400.72/105. The weekly incidence fluctuated between 0 and 63.78/105, exhibiting a bimodal seasonal pattern characterized by a primary peak from May to July and a secondary peak from September to October. In the training set, all three models demonstrated a good fit to the bimodal epidemic trend of HFMD, with the BSTS model achieving the best fit. The BSTS model yielded performance metrics as follows: MAE=0.124, MSE=0.050, RMSE=0.223, SMAPE=0.021, and a C-value of 1.000. In the test set, all three models, including SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS, performed well for short-term predictions (≤16 weeks), with the Prophet model showing relatively superior predictive performance. However, the prediction accuracy of all models declined as the forecast horizon extended. During the primary peak period (May-July), the Prophet model exhibited better predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model performed relatively better during the secondary peak period (September-October). Conclusions For the short-term forecasting of weekly HFMD incidence, the Prophet model outperformed both the SARIMA and BSTS models. During the primary peak period, the Prophet model demonstrated superior predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model exhibited better accuracy in forecasting the secondary peak period.

Autoimmune hepatitis （AIH） is a chronic inflammatory liver disease. The pathogenesis of AIH remains unclear， but it is mainly autoimmune injury caused by the breakdown of autoimmune tolerance due to the abnormal activation of the immune system， while the specific molecular mechanism remains unknown. Recent studies have shown that abnormal amino acid metabolism plays an important role in the development and progression of AIH. This article reviews the research advances in amino acid metabolic reprogramming in AIH， in order to provide a theoretical basis for amino acid metabolism as a new target for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of AIH.

Objective: To explore the application and clinical efficacy of red blood cell therapeutic apheresis in erythropoietic protoporphyria (EPP) and hereditary hemochromatosis (HH). Methods: 1) The EPP patient was hospitalized twice for "abdominal pain, nausea, vomiting, and brown urine". One and two sessions of red blood cell exchange/therapeutic plasma exchange (RCE/TPE) were respectively performed during the two hospitalizations. During each session, one RCE with 6-8 units of leukoreduced RBCs and 3-4 TPE procedures with 1 800-2 000 mL of frozen plasma was conducted. Biochemical parameters were monitored before and after treatment. 2) The HH patient was hospitalized for “repeatedly elevated aminotransferases”. Erythrocytapheresis was performed once, removing 550 mL of red blood cells, and venous phlebotomy was conducted once every 2 months subsequently. Blood routine and ferritin levels were assessed before and after treatment. Results: 1) During the first hospitalization, the EPP patient was relieved of the abdominal pain and brown urine after therapeutic apheresis. The total bilirubin level decreased from 141.8 μmol/L on admission to 68.6 μmol/L at discharge, with a symptom remission duration of 10 months. During the second hospitalization, the EPP patient still had recurrent abdominal pain after therapeutic apheresis. He developed psychiatric symptoms and gastrointestinal bleeding subsequently, accompanied by elevated bilirubin levels. Liver function deteriorated and the patient went into the state of the end-stage liver disease (ESLD). 2) For the HH patient, the hemoglobin level prior to erythrocytapheresis and vein phlebotomy was 150-160 g/L, with the lowest value occurring two days after erythrocytapheresis, decreasing to 107 g/L. The ferritin level before erythrocytapheresis was 2 428.08 ng/mL and it declined gradually after theraphy, with the lowest value occurring two months after erythrocytapheresis, decreasing to 1 094 ng/mL. The ferritin level was 1 114 ng/mL two months following the first vein phlebotomy, however it increased to 1 472 ng/mL two months after the second vein phlebotomy. Conclusion: RCE/TPE may alleviate protoporphyrin liver disease and help patients with bridging liver transplantation before EPP developments to ESLD. For HH patients with significantly elevated ferritin levels, erythrocytapheresis reduces serum ferritin more quickly and maintains its level longer relative to phlebotomy.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the effect of acupuncture-moxibustion on idiopathic facial palsy (IFP) at acute phase and recovery phase. METHODS: According to whether received acupuncture-moxibustion at acute phase or not, 198 IFP patients were divided into an early-phase intervention group (118 cases) and a non-early-phase intervention group (80 cases). With the propensity score matching employed, 70 cases were included in each group. On the basis of the conventional treatment of western medicine, acupuncture-moxibustion was supplemented in the two groups. In the early-phase intervention group, acupuncture-moxibustion was delivered at the acute phase (duration of illness≤7 days); in the non-early-phase intervention group, acupuncture-moxibustion was operated at the recovery phase (duration of illness>7 days). At the acute phase, warm needling was performed at Yifeng (TE17), Xiaguan (ST7), Hegu (LI4) and Zusanli (ST36) on the affected side; and at the recovery phase, electroacupuncture was delivered at Cuanzhu (BL2), Sizhukong (TE23) and Yangbai (GB14), etc. on the affected side, with the disperse-dense wave and 2 Hz/100 Hz of frequency. The intervention was operated for 30 min each time, once every two days, three treatments weekly and for 4 weeks. Before treatment, 1 week and 4 weeks of treatment, the House-Brackmann (H-B) facial nerve function grade, the score of Sunnybrook facial nerve function, and the score of facial disability index (FDI) were compared between the two groups. The clinical effect in 1 and 4 weeks of treatment and safety were evaluated. RESULTS: In 1 and 4 weeks of treatment, the H-B grade was improved when compared with that before treatment in each group (P<0.05), and in 4 weeks of treatment, H-B grade in the early-phase intervention group was superior to that of the non-early-phase intervention group (P<0.05). In 1 and 4 weeks of treatment, Sunnybrook scores and the scores of physical function of FDI were elevated in comparison with those before treatment in the two groups (P<0.05); and in 4 weeks of treatment, the elevation of these two indexes in the early-phase intervention group was greater than that of the non-early-phase intervention group (P<0.05). In 4 weeks of treatment, the scores of social function in FDI were reduced when compared with those before treatment in the two groups (P<0.05). In 4 weeks of treatment, the total effective rate (97.1%, 68/70) in the early-phase intervention group was higher than that (87.1%, 61/70) of the non-early-phase intervention group (P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse events between the two groups (P>0.05). CONCLUSION Acupuncture-moxibustion therapy starting at the acute phase is more beneficial to the functional recovery of the impaired facial nerve than at the recovery phase in the IFP patients.
Humans ; Female ; Male ; Acupuncture Therapy ; Moxibustion ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Young Adult ; Acupuncture Points ; Treatment Outcome ; Facial Paralysis/therapy* ; Cohort Studies ; Aged ; Bell Palsy/therapy* ; Adolescent

Objective To analyze risk factors for sleep disorders in patients with chronic heart failure(CHF)and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods Using simple random sampling,306 hospital-ized CHF patients meeting inclusion criteria were enrolled from four Grade A tertiary hospitals in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region(two in Nanning,one each in Yulin and Guilin)between March 2023 and March 2024.LASSO regression analysis was initially employed for variable screening,followed by logistic regression to identify predictive variables for constructing the nomogram model.Model validation and performance evalua-tion were conducted using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration curves,and clinical decision curves,with internal validation performed through Bootstrap resampling(1 000 iterations).Results The incidence of sleep disorders among the 306 patients was 57.5%(176/306).Logistic regression analysis identified eight independent risk factors for sleep disorders in CHF patients(P＜0.05):age,education level,monthly house-hold income per capita,NYHA cardiac function classification,number of comorbidities,triglyceride levels,ano-rexia,and anxiety.The model demonstrated good discrimination for the AUC of 0.91(95%CI:0.77-0.88)and calibration consistency.Conclusion The prediction model established in this study shows good predictive performance,serving as a valuable reference for healthcare providers to early identify sleep disorders and im-plement preventive care strategies in patients with CHF.

Objective:To explore the effect of prognosis appearance of the combination of microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser on psychological stress response of patients with facial acne scar.Methods:A total of 100 patients with facial acne scar,who admitted to Chengdu Second People's Hospital from August 2020 to August 2020,were selected,and they were divided into study group and control group,with 50 cases in each group.Study group adopted combined treatment with microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser,and control group adopted microneedle array radiofrequency to conduct treatment.The curative effect after treatment was compared between two groups.The Vancouver scar scale(VSS)was adopted to score the scar condition of patients,and Hamilton anxiety(HAMA)rating scale,Hamilton depression(HAMD)of rating scale and self-esteem scale(SES)were adopted to evaluate the psychological stress response of patients,and the score of the comprehensive evaluation questionnaire of quality of life(GQOLI-74 score)was adopted to evaluate the difference of quality of life of patients between before and after treatment.Results:After treatment,the overall curative effect of study group was 92.00%,which was better than 72.00%of control group,and the difference was significant(x2=6.775,P<0.05).The VSS scores of study group after received treatment of 2,4 times were significantly lower than those before treatment,and were lower than those of control group,and the differences of those between two groups were significant(t=5.850,9.040,P<0.05),respectively.After treatment,the SES scores of two groups all rose,and the HAMD and HAMA scores of two groups all reduced,and the three scores of study group were all better than those of control group,and the differences of them between two groups were significant(t=3.456,3.909,6.063,P<0.05).Pearson correlation showed that the VSS score was negatively correlated with the SES score(r=-0.249,P<0.05),and was positively correlated with the HAMD score and the HAMA score(r=0.653,0.695,P<0.05),respectively.After treatment,the GQOLI-74 scores of each indicator(material and life,physical function,psychological function,and social function)of two groups rose all,and the GQOLI-74 scores of study group were all better than those of control group,and the differences of them between two groups were significant(t=4.324,7.497,3.870,4.534,P<0.05),respectively.Conclusion:The combination of microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser has better curative effect in treating facial acne scar,which can effectively promote prognosis appearance,and relieve psychological stress response,and improve the quality of life.

Objective: To explore the application and clinical efficacy of red blood cell therapeutic apheresis in erythropoietic protoporphyria (EPP) and hereditary hemochromatosis (HH). Methods: 1) The EPP patient was hospitalized twice for "abdominal pain, nausea, vomiting, and brown urine". One and two sessions of red blood cell exchange/therapeutic plasma exchange (RCE/TPE) were respectively performed during the two hospitalizations. During each session, one RCE with 6-8 units of leukoreduced RBCs and 3-4 TPE procedures with 1 800-2 000 mL of frozen plasma was conducted. Biochemical parameters were monitored before and after treatment. 2) The HH patient was hospitalized for “repeatedly elevated aminotransferases”. Erythrocytapheresis was performed once, removing 550 mL of red blood cells, and venous phlebotomy was conducted once every 2 months subsequently. Blood routine and ferritin levels were assessed before and after treatment. Results: 1) During the first hospitalization, the EPP patient was relieved of the abdominal pain and brown urine after therapeutic apheresis. The total bilirubin level decreased from 141.8 μmol/L on admission to 68.6 μmol/L at discharge, with a symptom remission duration of 10 months. During the second hospitalization, the EPP patient still had recurrent abdominal pain after therapeutic apheresis. He developed psychiatric symptoms and gastrointestinal bleeding subsequently, accompanied by elevated bilirubin levels. Liver function deteriorated and the patient went into the state of the end-stage liver disease (ESLD). 2) For the HH patient, the hemoglobin level prior to erythrocytapheresis and vein phlebotomy was 150-160 g/L, with the lowest value occurring two days after erythrocytapheresis, decreasing to 107 g/L. The ferritin level before erythrocytapheresis was 2 428.08 ng/mL and it declined gradually after theraphy, with the lowest value occurring two months after erythrocytapheresis, decreasing to 1 094 ng/mL. The ferritin level was 1 114 ng/mL two months following the first vein phlebotomy, however it increased to 1 472 ng/mL two months after the second vein phlebotomy. Conclusion: RCE/TPE may alleviate protoporphyrin liver disease and help patients with bridging liver transplantation before EPP developments to ESLD. For HH patients with significantly elevated ferritin levels, erythrocytapheresis reduces serum ferritin more quickly and maintains its level longer relative to phlebotomy.

The clinical data of a child with refractory systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (sJIA) who was admitted to the Children′s Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine in October 2023 were analyzed, and literature review was conducted.The patient was a 9-year-old boy, who was admitted due to recurrent fever, accompanied by rash and joint pain for more than 4 years.Four years ago, he was diagnosed with macrophage activation syndrome and sJIA.In the past 4 years, the condition recurred 3 times under treatment with glucocorticoids, Cyclosporine, and Methotrexate.He previously experienced allergic shock after 5 minutes of infusion of Tocilizumab.Due to Tocilizumab allergy, he was treated with Janus kinase inhibitors, but the disease still recurred.After informed consent was obtained from the guardian, 240 mg of Tocilizumab was administrated for desensitization once every 2 weeks and the process went smoothly.The patient has been followed up for more than 6 months and no allergic reactions had occurred.The condition was well controlled, and the Prednisone acetate tablet had been reduced to 2.5 mg orally once a day.At present, there are 10 patients undergoing desensitization treatment both domestically and internationally, including 2 males and 8 females, aged between 2.5 and 54.0 years.All of them have achieved a success in desensitization.Therefore, Tocilizumab desensitization therapy is of great significance for patients who are allergic to biologics in clinical practice.

Objective:To explore the effect of prognosis appearance of the combination of microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser on psychological stress response of patients with facial acne scar.Methods:A total of 100 patients with facial acne scar,who admitted to Chengdu Second People's Hospital from August 2020 to August 2020,were selected,and they were divided into study group and control group,with 50 cases in each group.Study group adopted combined treatment with microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser,and control group adopted microneedle array radiofrequency to conduct treatment.The curative effect after treatment was compared between two groups.The Vancouver scar scale(VSS)was adopted to score the scar condition of patients,and Hamilton anxiety(HAMA)rating scale,Hamilton depression(HAMD)of rating scale and self-esteem scale(SES)were adopted to evaluate the psychological stress response of patients,and the score of the comprehensive evaluation questionnaire of quality of life(GQOLI-74 score)was adopted to evaluate the difference of quality of life of patients between before and after treatment.Results:After treatment,the overall curative effect of study group was 92.00%,which was better than 72.00%of control group,and the difference was significant(x2=6.775,P<0.05).The VSS scores of study group after received treatment of 2,4 times were significantly lower than those before treatment,and were lower than those of control group,and the differences of those between two groups were significant(t=5.850,9.040,P<0.05),respectively.After treatment,the SES scores of two groups all rose,and the HAMD and HAMA scores of two groups all reduced,and the three scores of study group were all better than those of control group,and the differences of them between two groups were significant(t=3.456,3.909,6.063,P<0.05).Pearson correlation showed that the VSS score was negatively correlated with the SES score(r=-0.249,P<0.05),and was positively correlated with the HAMD score and the HAMA score(r=0.653,0.695,P<0.05),respectively.After treatment,the GQOLI-74 scores of each indicator(material and life,physical function,psychological function,and social function)of two groups rose all,and the GQOLI-74 scores of study group were all better than those of control group,and the differences of them between two groups were significant(t=4.324,7.497,3.870,4.534,P<0.05),respectively.Conclusion:The combination of microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser has better curative effect in treating facial acne scar,which can effectively promote prognosis appearance,and relieve psychological stress response,and improve the quality of life.

The proband was a 32-year-old female patient who sought medical attention for over 9 months of pregnancy, reduced fetal movement, and discomfort in the lower abdomen. The proband and her father had normal activated partial thromboplastin time and prothrombin time, decreased fibrinogen activity and antigen levels, and prolonged thrombin time, whereas the test results of her mother were normal. Ultrasonography showed intermuscular vein thrombosis in the left calf of the proband. Peripheral blood DNA was extracted from the proband and her parents, and Sanger sequencing was performed to detect the base sequences of the FGA, FGB, and FGG genes. The proband and her father had heterozygous missense mutations in exon 6 c.615A > C (p. Leu205Phe) and exon 8 c.1121A > C (p. Tyr374Ser) of the FGG gene. Bioinformatics analysis suggested that the two gene mutations may be the pathogenic mechanism of this congenital hypodysfibrinogenemia family.