1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Analysis of hepatitis B infection characteristics in HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ blood donors in Taiyuan
Zhiye LI ; Baifeng SHAN ; Liuming ZHANG ; Yixuan LI ; Aichun CHU ; Weiyu YUAN ; Lixia DOU ; Qiang ZHANG ; Yuan BAI ; Yuan ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(3):373-378
Objective: To analyze characteristics of hepatitis B infection in HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ blood donors in Taiyuan, so as to provide evidence for adjusting blood screening strategies. Methods: Blood samples of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors were tested using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), chemiluminescence assay, nucleic acid qualitative test, and nucleic acid quantitative test. Data on HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors in Taiyuan region from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2024 were statistically analyzed to evaluate the detection rate, demographic characteristics, influencing factors of detection rate, nucleic acid quantitative results, and serological patterns of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors. Results: From January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2024, 991 565 donor samples underwent nucleic acid testing in Taiyuan. A total of 309 HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ samples were detected, resulting in an HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection rate of 3.12 per 10 000. The detection rate varied significantly across different years (P<0.05). Males had a significantly higher HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection rate than females, first-time donors had a higher rate than repeat donors, and whole blood donors had a higher rate than apheresis donors (P<0.05). The detection rate also differed significantly among age groups (P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that gender, age, donation frequency, and donation type were all influencing factors for HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection (all P<0.05). The predominant serological patterns among HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors were HBsAb+/HBcAb+ (43.69%, 135/309) or HBcAb+ alone (24.27%, 75/309). Viral load was detectable in 53.40% (165/309) of the HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors. Among these, 61.21% (101/165) donors had a viral load<20 IU/mL, and 94.55% (156/165) had a viral load<200 IU/mL. Donors with viral load<200 IU/mL primarily exhibited HBsAb+/HBcAb+ (41.67%, 65/156) or HBcAb+alone (36.54%, 57/156) serological patterns. Conclusion: The prevalence of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ is low among blood donors in Taiyuan. Higher detection rates were observed in the 46-55 years age group, males, first-time donors, and whole blood donors. HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors exhibit specific serological patterns and generally have low viral loads, indicating a potential residual transfusion risk. It is recommended to add HBcAb testing, together with high-sensitivity nucleic acid testing technologies and donor follow-up, to ensure blood safety and guide donor reentry.
3.Nonlinear association of nap duration with anxiety and depressive symptoms among junior high school students
ZHOU Xin,LI Yanqiu,OU Junqi,LIN Jing,FENG Lihui,LIN Ziqiang,GAO Yanhui,LI Lixia
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(4):558-562
Objective:
To explore the association between nap duration with anxiety and depressive symptoms among junior high school students, in order to provide evidence for mental health interventions for adolescents.
Methods:
From May to June 2022, a combination of convenience sampling and cluster sampling was used to select 2 491 students from 2 junior high schools in Haizhu District, Guangzhou City for questionnaire survey and physical examination. The questionnaire collected nap duration, night time sleep duration, bedtime, physical activity, and sedentary behavior. Anxiety and depressive symptoms were assessed using Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), respectively. Log-binomial regression model was used to analyze the association of nap duration with anxiety and depressive symptoms, as well as comorbidity among junior high school students, and a restricted cubic spline (RCS) Log-binomial regression model was employed to analyze the non linear relationship after adjusting for covariates.
Results:
The detection rates of anxiety symptoms, depressive symptoms and comorbidity among junior high school students were 13.29%,14.65%,9.19%. After adjusting for covariates such as age, gender and nighttime sleep duration, compared with a school day nap duration of <30 min/d, a nap duration of 30-<60 min/d was associated with a reduced risk of anxiety symptoms ( APR =0.68, 95% CI =0.49-0.98) and comorbidity ( APR =0.56, 95% CI =0.39-0.87)(both P < 0.05 ). Compared with no napping on weekends, a nap duration of 30-<60 min/d was associated with a reduced risk of anxiety symptoms ( APR =0.62, 95% CI =0.41-0.88), depressive symptoms ( APR =0.52, 95% CI =0.34-0.75) and comorbidity ( APR = 0.52 , 95% CI =0.30-0.83)(all P <0.05). RCS curves showed a nonlinear relationship between weekend nap duration and the prevalence of anxiety, depressive symptoms and comorbidity among junior high school students(all P non linear <0.05); weekend nap duration of <120 min was associated with a lower risk of anxiety and depressive symptoms, and weekend nap duration of >180 min was associated with an increased risk.
Conclusions
Appropriate nap duration can help reduce the risk of anxiety, depressive symptoms, and the comorbidity among junior high school students. Adolescents should be guided to reasonably arrange nap duration for promoting physical and mental health.
4.Variability of remnant cholesterol inflammation index exhibits a dose-response relationship with stroke risk:Evidence from the Chinese Kailuan cohort
Liuliu CAO ; Man LI ; Zhaohui WU ; Maolin ZHAO ; Baohua WANG ; Li ZHANG ; Peng LI ; Yongna YANG ; Weiguo ZHENG ; Haiyan ZHAO ; Shuohua CHEN ; Shouling WU ; Lixia SUN
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(22):2847-2857
Objective To investigate the association between the variability of remnant cholesterol inflammatory index(RCII),a novel composite biomarker,and the risk of stroke,in order to provide a theoretical basis for stroke prevention.Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted on 38 659 Kailuan individuals who took annual physical examinations in 2006,2008,and 2010.These subjects were grouped based on the quartiles of RCII variability,which was represented by standard deviation(SD)and average real variability(ARV),and were followed up every 2 years,with the occurrence of stroke(including ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes),death,or the end of follow-up on December 31,2022 as the endpoints.Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rate of endpoint events across different groups,and log-rank test was used to compare the difference of cumulative incidence of endpoint events in each group.Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was adopted to analyze the association between RCII variability and risk of stroke.Results Among the 38 659 participants,a total of 2 539 strokes occurred during a mean follow-up period of 11.22±2.26 years.After adjusting confounding factors,when the participants were grouped by the quartiles of RCII-SD,the hazard ratio(HR)for stroke was 1.034(95%CI:0.917~1.167,P=0.584),1.146(95%CI:1.018~1.290,P=0.025),and 1.209(95%CI:1.066~1.370,P=0.003),respectively in the Q2,Q3,and Q4 groups,when compared with the Q1 group(Ptrend<0.05).When they were grouped by the quartiles of RCII-ARV,the HR for stroke was 1.008(95%CI:0.894~1.136,P=0.901),1.109(95%CI:0.986~1.248,P=0.085),and 1.152(95%CI:1.018~1.303,P=0.025),respectively,in the Q2,Q3,and Q4 groups,when compared with the Q1 group.Furthermore,both sensitivity and stratified analyses yielded similar results.Conclusion RCII variability is significantly associated with stroke,and the risk of stroke is gradually increasing with increment of the variability.Countermeasures Relevant authorities can focus on reducing RCII variability as a central objective by establishing regular monitoring mechanism,strengthening lifestyle interventions,and standardizing dietary,exercise,and weight management in order to suppress the index fluctuations.The principle of stable lipid-lowering in medication and optimization of therapeutic regimens with stable efficacy should be emphasized to prevent the risk of additional vascular damage.
5.Analysis of trace elements in whole blood in children aged 0-12 years in Henan province
Ke ZHAO ; Dongyang LI ; Xiaoli TIAN ; Dongmei YOU ; Yuling ZHAO ; Lixia DING
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;46(9):1114-1120
Objective To investigate the the levels of magnesium,lead,iron,zinc,copper,manganese,calci-um in whole blood in children aged 0-12 years in Henan province,understand the health status of children and provide a basis for their nutrition and health management.Methods Data were collected from totally 135 385 children aged 0-12 years who underwent trace element testing at Zhengzhou Kingmed Clinical Labo-ratory Inc.from 2019 to 2023 were selected,and agilent inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer was used to detect seven elements(magnesium,lead,iron,zinc,copper,manganese,and calcium).The elemental detection method in the laboratory has been strictly methodologically verified,and has participated in the ex-ternal quality assessment organized by National Center for Clinical Laboratories.Grouping was conducted based on gender,age,season,region,and year to compare the deficiencies and lead exceedances of six elements(magnesium,iron,zinc,copper,manganese,calcium)under different conditions.Results In this study,the mean P-values of seven elements in different age groups,gender groups,year groups,and regional groups were all<0.001.Except for lead with a P-value of 0.002,all other elements in different season groups were<0.001.The P-values were all less than 0.05,indicating statistically significant differences.Among them,Mag-nesium,iron,and zinc in children's whole blood showed an increasing trend with age,while copper,manga-nese,and calcium showed a decreasing trend with age.The proportions of children aged 0-1 years with iron,zinc,and manganese deficiencies were the highest,at 24.70%,48.20%,and 0.65%,respectively.The highest proportion of copper and calcium deficiency was in the age range of 11-12 years old,accounting for 20.43%and 0.17%respectively.The highest proportion of lead exceeding the standard was 0.87%among children aged 0-1.Except for manganese and calcium levels,the levels of the other five elements were higher in boys than in girls.Magnesium and copper levels were highest in spring,iron,zinc,and calcium levels were highest in winter,and manganese and lead levels were highest in summer.Magnesium deficiency,calcium deficiency,and lead excess were showing a decreasing trend year by year.Among them,the lead levels of children in Sanme-nxia and Jiyuan were relatively high compared to other areas.Conclusion 0-2 years children are mainly char-acterized by calcium and zinc deficiency in Henan province.Attention should be paid to iron and zinc supple-mentation in infants and young children.At the same time,it should also be noted that the deficiency rate of copper increases with age,and attention should be paid to the supplementation of copper in children.
6.Exploration on the mechanism of Amomi Fructus in ameliorating ethanol-induced gastric ulcer in mice based on metabolomics and network pharmacology
Wanyu CAO ; Jiaxin LI ; Guang LI ; Xuan DING ; Jianglong CHEN ; Lixia ZHANG ; Ning ZHANG
International Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;47(4):501-509
Objective:To explore the mechanism of Amomi Fructus in ameliorating ethanol-induced gastric ulcer (GU) in mice using metabolomics, network pharmacology and molecular docking techniques.Methods:The mice were divided into the blank group, model group, aqueous extract of Amomi Fructus group, volatile oil of Amomi Fructus group, combined aqueous extract and volatile oil of Amomi Fructus group and omeprazole group according to the random number table method, with 10 mice in each group. The blank and model groups were gavaged with sodium carboxymethyl cellulose, the Amomi Fructusaqueous extract group was gavaged with 0.152 5 g/kg of Amomi Fructus aqueous extract, the Amomi Fructus volatile oil group was gavaged with 26 μl/kg of Amomi Fructus volatile oil, the Amomi Fructus aqueous extract and volatile oil combined group was gavaged with 0.152 5 g/kg+26 μl/kg of Amomi Fructus aqueous extract and volatile oil synergistic solution, and the omeprazole group was gavaged with 5.2 mg/kg of omeprazole, 1 time/day, which was administered continuously for 7 d. The gastric ulcer model was established by using ethanol 2 h after the last administration, and the pathological changes of gastric histology were observed by using HE staining; the main differential metabolites were detected by UPLC-Q-TOF-MS/MS non-targeted metabolomics technique, and the metabolic pathway enrichment analysis was carried out; the potential targets and key pathways of the anti-GU action of Amomi Fructus were predicted by network pharmacology; the "metabolite-response-enzyme-gene" network was established by combining the serum metabolomics and network pharmacology; and the key targets were verified by molecular docking technology.Results:HE staining showed that the gastric mucosa of mice in the model group was severely damaged, with cellular tissue damage and inflammatory cell infiltration, whereas the drug administration group showed some protective effects; the results of non-targeted metabolomics showed that 2 metabolites were up-regulated and 17 metabolites were down-regulated in sera of mice in the co-administration group of aqueous extract and volatile oil of Amomi Fructus compared with the control group, and the 19 metabolites were strongly correlated and well clustered, involving nicotinic acid and nicotinamide metabolism, citric acid cycle, glyoxylate and dicarboxylic acid metabolism, phenylalanine metabolism, alanine, aspartate and glutamate metabolism and other metabolic pathways; the results of network pharmacology showed that Amomi Fructus improved GU by affecting target proteins, such as STAT3, AKT1, SRC, and TLR4, which were closely linked to the signaling pathways of cancer pathway, human cytomegalovirus infection, and lipids and atherosclerosis; the joint analysis of network pharmacology and the combined analysis of network pharmacology and metabolomics identified the glycerophospholipid metabolic pathway as the main metabolic pathway in which Amomi Fructus may exert gastroprotective effects; the molecular docking results showed that the main active component of quercetin had a better binding ability to the key targets.Conclusion:Amomi Fructus exerts a protective effect on ethanol induced GU model by regulating the glycerophospholipid metabolism pathway, providing theoretical basis for further research on Amomi Fructus.
7.Analysis of Bone Health Status in Adult Hemophilia Patients
Ying LIU ; Ying GE ; Mingnan SHI ; Li ZHANG ; Chengjie YIN ; Lixia CHEN ; Weibo XIA
JOURNAL OF RARE DISEASES 2025;4(4):446-452
To investigate the bone health status and potential influencing factors of bone mineral density in adult patients with hemophilia, providing a reference for improving their bone health and for the prevention, treatment, and rehabilitation intervention of osteoporosis. This study is a retrospective analysis. Adult male patients with hemophilia A who visited the department of rehabilitation medicine at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from July 2022 to February 2024 were selected. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT) were used to assess the bone mineral density (BMD) of the patients. Anterolateral X-rays and Pettersson radiology scores were performed on the left ankle joint. Hemophilia Joint Health Score (HJHS) version 2.1 was used to calculate the HJHS score of the left ankle and evaluate the joint health status of the included patients. Serum bone metabolism indexes including total procollagen Ⅰ N-terminal propeptide (TP1NP) and C-terminal crosslinking β-isomerized carboxy-telopeptide of type Ⅰ collagen (β-CTX), and serum 25-(OH)D3 were detected. The patients' body composition parameters were measured, including the body mass index(BMI)and the skeletal muscle mass index (SMI). The correlation analysis of BMD detection values and its possible influencing factors was carried out. A total of 33 adult male patients with hemophilia A were selected, including 22 severe patients and 11 moderate patients, with an average age of 31.1±8.4 years. The hip BMD of the included patients was lower than the predicted value of age to varying degrees, and the minimum The hip BMD of adult hemophilia patients decreased.Joint dysfunction may be one of the factors associated with reduced bone density in patients with hemophilia. The increase in osteoclast activity may be accompanied by an increase in compensatory osteoblast activity.
8.Exploration of Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine in Prevention and Treatment of DKD Based on Mitochondrial Autophagy Mediated by PINK1/Parkin Signaling Pathway: A Review
Runsheng LIU ; Xiaodong ZHANG ; Zhaoqing LI ; Jing WANG ; Jinglu ZHANG ; Lixia JIN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(7):302-313
Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is one of the more common chronic kidney diseases,and its causes are complex. DKD is very easy to progress to end-stage renal disease,and the current therapeutic effect still needs to be improved. As an important excretive organ of the human body, the kidney has physiological functions such as discharging metabolic waste, regulating fluid balance, and maintaining the stability of the body's internal environment. These highly complex biochemical processes all depend on the energy support provided by mitochondria. Mitochondrial dysfunction is a key factor causing kidney injury, and the imbalance of mitochondrial homeostasis is an important link leading to mitochondrial dysfunction. The occurrence and development of DKD are often accompanied by the imbalance of mitochondrial homeostasis in renal cells. Mitochondrial autophagy, as a means of regulating mitochondrial homeostasis, is very important for the prevention and treatment of DKD. The PTEN-induced putative kinase 1 (PINK1)/Parkin pathway is one of the most classical pathways to regulate mitochondrial autophagy. Recent studies have found that some drugs can regulate the PINK1/Parkin signaling pathway to target mitochondrial homeostasis and exert renoprotective effects. In particular, traditional Chinese medicine has a significant effect on early and middle stage DKD by regulating PINK1/Parkin pathway-mediated mitochondrial autophagy. This article discussed the mechanism of PINK1/Parkin pathway in mitochondrial autophagy and DKD and reviewed the effect of PINK1/Parkin pathway-mediated mitochondrial autophagy on DKD. At the same time, it explored the therapeutic effect of traditional Chinese and western medicine on DKD mediated by PINK1/Parkin-mediated mitochondrial autophagy, aiming to broaden the ideas of traditional Chinese and western medicine for the prevention and treatment of DKD from the perspective of PINK1/Parkin regulating mitochondrial autophagy.
9.Exploration of Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine in Prevention and Treatment of DKD Based on Mitochondrial Autophagy Mediated by PINK1/Parkin Signaling Pathway: A Review
Runsheng LIU ; Xiaodong ZHANG ; Zhaoqing LI ; Jing WANG ; Jinglu ZHANG ; Lixia JIN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(7):302-313
Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is one of the more common chronic kidney diseases,and its causes are complex. DKD is very easy to progress to end-stage renal disease,and the current therapeutic effect still needs to be improved. As an important excretive organ of the human body, the kidney has physiological functions such as discharging metabolic waste, regulating fluid balance, and maintaining the stability of the body's internal environment. These highly complex biochemical processes all depend on the energy support provided by mitochondria. Mitochondrial dysfunction is a key factor causing kidney injury, and the imbalance of mitochondrial homeostasis is an important link leading to mitochondrial dysfunction. The occurrence and development of DKD are often accompanied by the imbalance of mitochondrial homeostasis in renal cells. Mitochondrial autophagy, as a means of regulating mitochondrial homeostasis, is very important for the prevention and treatment of DKD. The PTEN-induced putative kinase 1 (PINK1)/Parkin pathway is one of the most classical pathways to regulate mitochondrial autophagy. Recent studies have found that some drugs can regulate the PINK1/Parkin signaling pathway to target mitochondrial homeostasis and exert renoprotective effects. In particular, traditional Chinese medicine has a significant effect on early and middle stage DKD by regulating PINK1/Parkin pathway-mediated mitochondrial autophagy. This article discussed the mechanism of PINK1/Parkin pathway in mitochondrial autophagy and DKD and reviewed the effect of PINK1/Parkin pathway-mediated mitochondrial autophagy on DKD. At the same time, it explored the therapeutic effect of traditional Chinese and western medicine on DKD mediated by PINK1/Parkin-mediated mitochondrial autophagy, aiming to broaden the ideas of traditional Chinese and western medicine for the prevention and treatment of DKD from the perspective of PINK1/Parkin regulating mitochondrial autophagy.
10.Association between moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity and sedentary behavior among primary and secondary school students and their parents
YAO Zifeng, YE Rongrong, CHEN Jiade, XU Peng, HUANG Yanhong, LI Lixia, LI Hongjuan, GAO Yanhui
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(1):68-72
Objective:
To explore the associations of moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) and sedentary behavior (SB) among primary and secondary school students and their parents, so as to provide a scientific basis for formulating targeted physical activity promotion strategies for children and adolescents.
Methods:
From 2021 to 2022, basic information and 24 h movement behaviors of 2 484 pairs of students and their parents were collected from five primary and secondary schools in Haizhu District, Guangzhou City, with a convenient sampling combining with cluster sampling method. Component regression models were constructed to analyze the relationship between parental MVPA, SB and primary and secondary school students MVPA and SB, and a component isochronous substitution model was used to explore the effects of mutual substitution between parental MVPA, residual components (time use components other than SB during the 24 h period), and SB on the behavioral activities of MVPA and SB in primary and secondary school students.
Results:
Parental MVPA and SB of students in grade 1 to 3 were positively correlated with both students MVPA and SB ( β=0.06, 0.12, P <0.01). The component isochronous substitution model showed that substituting 10 and 20 minutes of MVPA for SB by parents in grade 1 to 3 was associated with an increase in MVPA of students, and substituting 10 and 20 minutes of residual ingredients for SB was associated with a decrease in SB of students, with mean changes of 0.8 (95% CI =0.4-1.2) and 1.4 (95% CI =0.7-2.2) and -1.4 (95% CI =-1.7 to -1.1) and -2.9 (95% CI =-3.4 to -2.3)( P <0.05). No statistically significant associations were observed between parents of students in grades 4 to 6 and 7 to 9 and students physical activity and sedentary behaviour ( P >0.05).
Conclusions
Parents of students in grades 1 to 3 increases MVPA and decrease SB are beneficial to increase MVPA and decrease SB of students. Parents could promote physical activity among primary and secondary school students, and the intervention gateway should be advanced, with the low grades as the optimal intervention period.


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