1.Comparison of multiple machine learning models for predicting the survival of recipients after lung transplantation
Lingzhi SHI ; Yaling LIU ; Haoji YAN ; Zengwei YU ; Senlin HOU ; Mingzhao LIU ; Hang YANG ; Bo WU ; Dong TIAN ; Jingyu CHEN
Organ Transplantation 2025;16(2):264-271
Objective To compare the performance and efficacy of prognostic models constructed by different machine learning algorithms in predicting the survival period of lung transplantation (LTx) recipients. Methods Data from 483 recipients who underwent LTx were retrospectively collected. All recipients were divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3. The 24 collected variables were screened based on variable importance (VIMP). Prognostic models were constructed using random survival forest (RSF) and extreme gradient boosting tree (XGBoost). The performance of the models was evaluated using the integrated area under the curve (iAUC) and time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC). Results There were no significant statistical differences in the variables between the training set and the validation set. The top 15 variables ranked by VIMP were used for modeling and the length of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) was determined as the most important factor. Compared with the XGBoost model, the RSF model demonstrated better performance in predicting the survival period of recipients (iAUC 0.773 vs. 0.723). The RSF model also showed better performance in predicting the 6-month survival period (tAUC 6 months 0.884 vs. 0.809, P = 0.009) and 1-year survival period (tAUC 1 year 0.896 vs. 0.825, P = 0.013) of recipients. Based on the prediction cut-off values of the two algorithms, LTx recipients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. The survival analysis results of both models showed that the survival rate of recipients in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the low-risk group (P<0.001). Conclusions Compared with XGBoost, the machine learning prognostic model developed based on the RSF algorithm may preferably predict the survival period of LTx recipients.
2.Influencing factors of survival of patients with airway stenosis requiring clinical interventions after lung transplantation
Lingzhi SHI ; Heng HUANG ; Mingzhao LIU ; Hang YANG ; Bo WU ; Jin ZHAO ; Haoji YAN ; Yujie ZUO ; Xinyue ZHANG ; Linxi LIU ; Dong TIAN ; Jingyu CHEN
Organ Transplantation 2024;15(2):236-243
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of survival of patients with airway stenosis requiring clinical interventions after lung transplantation. Methods Clinical data of 66 patients with airway stenosis requiring clinical interventions after lung transplantation were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox’s regression models were adopted to analyze the influencing factors of survival of all patients with airway stenosis and those with early airway stenosis. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the overall survival and delineate the survival curve. Results For 66 patients with airway stenosis, the median airway stenosis-free time was 72 (52,102) d, 27% (18/66) for central airway stenosis and 73% (48/66) for distal airway stenosis. Postoperative mechanical ventilation time [hazard ratio (HR) 1.037, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.005-1.070, P=0.024] and type of surgery (HR 0.400, 95%CI 0.177-0.903, P=0.027) were correlated with the survival of patients with airway stenosis after lung transplantation. The longer the postoperative mechanical ventilation time, the higher the risk of mortality of the recipients. The overall survival of airway stenosis recipients undergoing bilateral lung transplantation was better than that of their counterparts after single lung transplantation. Subgroup analysis showed that grade 3 primary graft dysfunction (PGD) (HR 4.577, 95%CI 1.439-14.555, P=0.010) and immunosuppressive drugs (HR 0.079, 95%CI 0.022-0.287, P<0.001) were associated with the survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation. The overall survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation without grade 3 PGD was better compared with that of those with grade 3 PGD. The overall survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation treated with tacrolimus was superior to that of their counterparts treated with cyclosporine. Conclusions Long postoperative mechanical ventilation time, single lung transplantation, grade 3 PGD and use of cyclosporine may affect the survival of patients with airway stenosis after lung transplantation.
3.Multidimensional value analysis of standardized and graded pharmaceutical services in hospitalized patients with chronic airway diseases
Yufei LIAN ; Xuejia QIU ; Jingnan YANG ; Lingzhi FANG ; Yupeng YANG ; Hongtao LIU ; Zhanjun DONG
China Pharmacy 2024;35(19):2404-2410
OBJECTIVE To provide reference for constructing scientific and reasonable pharmaceutical service mode for hospitalized patients with chronic airway diseases. METHODS From October 2023 to March 2024, 250 patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and acute exacerbation of asthma who were hospitalized in the respiratory department of Hebei General Hospital and received pharmaceutical care (PC) were randomly divided into control group (125 cases) and observation group (125 cases). The control group received general pharmaceutical services throughout their hospitalization, while the observation group received standardized and graded pharmaceutical services throughout their hospitalization. The differences in clinical value indicators, humanistic value indicators, and quality management indicators were compared among different PC service models. RESULTS Among clinical value evaluation indicators, the observation group had better achievement rate of disease treatment goals, correct use score of inhalation devices, the incidence of adverse drug reactions, and the number of drug-related problems solved than the control group (P<0.05). Among the humanistic evaluation indicators, compared with the control group, the observation group had better medication compliance scores, pharmacist intervention success rates, and patient satisfaction scores (P<0.05). Among quality management evaluation indicators, the proportion of drug costs, the proportion of intravenous medication, the use rate of antibiotics, the intensity of antibiotic use, and the number of pharmaceutical services in the observation group were significantly better than the control group (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS Standardized and graded pharmaceutical care services have improved the efficiency of pharmacists and service effectiveness, making it a new pharmaceutical service model worth promoting.
4.Latest research progress in airway stenosis after lung transplantation
Yujie ZUO ; Menggen LIU ; Jiaxin WAN ; Yuxuan CHEN ; Wenlong HU ; Junjie ZHANG ; Yuyang MAO ; Jing CHEN ; Ailing ZHONG ; Lingzhi SHI ; Bo WU ; Chunrong JU ; Dong TIAN
Organ Transplantation 2024;15(3):474-478
With the optimization of surgical technologies and postoperative management regimens, the number of lung transplantation has been significantly increased, which has become an important treatment for patients with end-stage lung disease. However, due to the impact of comprehensive factors, such as bronchial ischemia and immunosuppression, the incidence of airway stenosis after lung transplantation is relatively high, which severely affects postoperative survival and quality of life of lung transplant recipients. In recent years, with the improvement of perioperative management, organ preservation and surgical technologies, the incidence of airway stenosis after lung transplantation has been declined, but it remains at a high level. Early diagnosis and timely intervention play a significant role in enhancing clinical prognosis of patients with airway stenosis. In this article, the general conditions, diagnosis, treatment and prevention of airway stenosis after lung transplantation were reviewed, aiming to provide reference for comprehensive management of airway stenosis after lung transplantation and improving clinical prognosis of lung transplant recipients.
5.Overview of the outbreak of varicella in Zhejiang Province from 2019 to 2022 and analysis of associated factors for breakthrough cases
Xuan DENG ; Xinrui LIU ; Yang ZHOU ; Lingzhi SHEN ; Rui YAN ; Xuewen TANG ; Yao ZHU ; Xiaoping XU ; Hanqing HE
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(3):315-324
Objective:To evaluate the epidemiological characteristics and explore the associated factors of breakthrough cases (BC) from Public Health Emergency Events (PHEEs) of varicella in Zhejiang Province from 2019 to 2022.Methods:Data on cases were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention and the PHEEs Reporting Information Database of Varicella in Zhejiang Province. History records were matched through the Zhejiang Provincial Immunization Information System. Descriptive analysis and multiple logistic regression model with a bidirectional stepwise selection method were performed to explore associated factors for BC during 2019-2022.Results:A total of 144 276 varicella cases were reported from 2019 to 2022, with the annual reported incidence of 47.35-82.80 cases per 100 000 population. Among these cases, 109 172 were non-breakthrough cases (NBC, accounting for 75.67%), 34 517 were BC (23.92%), and the rest 587 cases had unclear vaccination history on varicella (0.41%). A total of 214 PHEEs of varicella were reported, of which 99.07% occurred in school settings. The proportion of PHEEs that occurred in high school increased significantly as time went on ( χ2trend=5.742, P=0.017). Multiple logistic regression model which focused on "BC vs. NBC (as the reference)" indicated that the year of onset ( OR=1.585, 95% CI:1.343-1.878), the month of onset (taking January as the reference, OR=2.311-15.652), city (taking Hangzhou as the reference, Jiaxing OR=2.370, Jinhua OR=2.197, Lishui OR=0.134), age ( OR=0.887, 95% CI: 0.826-0.944), PHEEs setting (taking "primary school and below" as the reference, "high school and above" OR=0.516, 95% CI: 0.305-0.897), and the number of rashes ( OR=0.569, 95% CI: 0.458-0.703) were associated factors. Multiple logistic regression model which focused on "two-dose BC vs. one-dose BC (as the reference)" showed that the age of initial vaccination ( OR=0.045, 95% CI: 0.014-0.107), the time interval from onset to the last dose ( OR=0.037, 95% CI: 0.011-0.087) and the age of onset ( OR=20.724, 95% CI: 8.383-72.485) were associated factors. Conclusion:During 2019-2022, the reported high-risk group of varicella in Zhejiang Province has shifted to adolescents and young adults. Although vaccination could not completely prevent the onset of VZV, it could relieve clinical symptoms and delay the age of onset.
6.Overview of the outbreak of varicella in Zhejiang Province from 2019 to 2022 and analysis of associated factors for breakthrough cases
Xuan DENG ; Xinrui LIU ; Yang ZHOU ; Lingzhi SHEN ; Rui YAN ; Xuewen TANG ; Yao ZHU ; Xiaoping XU ; Hanqing HE
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(3):315-324
Objective:To evaluate the epidemiological characteristics and explore the associated factors of breakthrough cases (BC) from Public Health Emergency Events (PHEEs) of varicella in Zhejiang Province from 2019 to 2022.Methods:Data on cases were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention and the PHEEs Reporting Information Database of Varicella in Zhejiang Province. History records were matched through the Zhejiang Provincial Immunization Information System. Descriptive analysis and multiple logistic regression model with a bidirectional stepwise selection method were performed to explore associated factors for BC during 2019-2022.Results:A total of 144 276 varicella cases were reported from 2019 to 2022, with the annual reported incidence of 47.35-82.80 cases per 100 000 population. Among these cases, 109 172 were non-breakthrough cases (NBC, accounting for 75.67%), 34 517 were BC (23.92%), and the rest 587 cases had unclear vaccination history on varicella (0.41%). A total of 214 PHEEs of varicella were reported, of which 99.07% occurred in school settings. The proportion of PHEEs that occurred in high school increased significantly as time went on ( χ2trend=5.742, P=0.017). Multiple logistic regression model which focused on "BC vs. NBC (as the reference)" indicated that the year of onset ( OR=1.585, 95% CI:1.343-1.878), the month of onset (taking January as the reference, OR=2.311-15.652), city (taking Hangzhou as the reference, Jiaxing OR=2.370, Jinhua OR=2.197, Lishui OR=0.134), age ( OR=0.887, 95% CI: 0.826-0.944), PHEEs setting (taking "primary school and below" as the reference, "high school and above" OR=0.516, 95% CI: 0.305-0.897), and the number of rashes ( OR=0.569, 95% CI: 0.458-0.703) were associated factors. Multiple logistic regression model which focused on "two-dose BC vs. one-dose BC (as the reference)" showed that the age of initial vaccination ( OR=0.045, 95% CI: 0.014-0.107), the time interval from onset to the last dose ( OR=0.037, 95% CI: 0.011-0.087) and the age of onset ( OR=20.724, 95% CI: 8.383-72.485) were associated factors. Conclusion:During 2019-2022, the reported high-risk group of varicella in Zhejiang Province has shifted to adolescents and young adults. Although vaccination could not completely prevent the onset of VZV, it could relieve clinical symptoms and delay the age of onset.
7.Levels of serum PRDX1 and PTEN and their relationship with liver function and disease activity in patients with autoimmune liver disease
Qing LI ; Luyan ZHOU ; Zhi TAN ; Lingzhi LIU
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2024;45(14):1682-1686
Objective To explore the relationship between the levels of peroxidoredoxin(PRDX)1 and chromosome 10 deletion phosphatase-tensin homologous gene(PTEN)and liver function and disease activity in patients with autoimmune liver disease.Methods A total of 83 patients with autoimmune liver disease ad-mitted to the hospital from January 2021 to December 2022 were selected as the study objects.According to the disease activity at admission,they were divided into active group(37 cases)and remission group(46 ca-ses).Clinical data and serum PRDX1 and PTEN levels of the two groups were analyzed.At the same time,Child-Pugh classification of liver function was performed,and the patients were grouped.A total of 100 health-y volunteers who underwent physical examination during the same period were selected as the control group.Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of disease activity in patients with autoimmune liver disease,and the evaluation value of serum PRDX1 and PTEN levels on disease activity in pa-tients with autoimmune liver disease after treatment was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and area under the curve(AUC).Results Compared with the grade A group,there were no significant differences in serum PRDX1 and PTEN levels in the grade B group(P>0.05),while serum PRDX1 level was increased and PTEN level was decreased in the grade C group(P<0.05).Compared with the grade B group,the serum PRDX1 level was increased and PTEN level was decreased in the grade C group(P<0.05).Com-pared with the control group,there were no significant differences in serum PRDX1 and PTEN levels in the re-mission group(P>0.05),while the serum PRDX1 level was increased and PTEN level was decreased in the active group(P<0.05).Compared with the remission group,the level of serum PRDX1 was increased and the level of PTEN was decreased in the active group(P<0.05).The AUC of serum PRDX1 and PTEN for evalu-ating the disease activity in autoimmune liver disease patients was 0.750 and 0.854,respectively,and the AUC of the combined detection of serum PRDX1 and PTEN was 0.916.The proportion of patients with hepatic dis-comfort and cirrhosis in the active stage group was higher than that in the remission stage group(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic stepwise regression analysis results showed that hepatic discomfort(OR=3.487,95%CI:1.534-7.927),cirrhosis(OR=4.289,95%CI:1.744-10.545),PRDX1 ≥5.22 ng/mL(OR=5.068,95%CI:1.951-13.164),PTEN≤0.31 pg/mL(OR=5.387,95%CI:2.099-13.829)were risk factors for disease activity of autoimmune liver disease(P<0.05).Conclusion The increase of serum PRDX1 level and the decrease of serum PTEN level are closely related to liver function and disease activity in patients with au-toimmune liver disease,and they have certain clinical evaluation value in patients with autoimmune liver dis-ease.
8.Study on the relationship between intra-abdominal pressure and respiratory function in children with severe pneumonia undergoing mechanical ventilation and its prognostic value
Lingzhi LIU ; Qunqun ZHANG ; Qi WANG ; Lidan CUI ; Chen CHEN ; Zhipeng JIN
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2024;39(12):931-935
Objective:To investigate the relationship between intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) and respiratory function in mechanically ventilated children with severe pneumonia and its prognostic value.Methods:A case-series study.Ninety-two children with severe pneumonia who were treated with mechanical ventilation in the Intensive Care Unit of Children′s Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University from May 2019 to May 2021 were taken as the study subjects.The IAP and respiratory function-related indexes of the children were monitored.Those with IAP ≥12 mmHg(1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) were divided into the study group, and those with IAP <12 mmHg were divided into the control group.The difference in respiratory function related indexes between the 2 groups was compared, and the relationship between IAP and respiratory function indexes was analyzed by Pearson correlation.The children were divided into a good prognosis group and a poor prognosis group according to their prognosis.The relevant clinical data of the children in the 2 groups were collected for univariate analysis, and multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors affecting the prognosis of children with mechanical ventilation for severe pneumonia.A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to analyze the predictive value of IAP on the prognosis of mechanically ventilated children with severe pneumonia.Results:The arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO 2) [(80.15±8.23) mmHg], arterial blood oxygen saturation (SaO 2) [(91.32±2.13)%], and oxygenation index (PaO 2/FiO 2) [(198.29±20.25) mmHg] in the study group were lower than those in the control group [(85.74±8.42) mmHg, (97.05±2.47)%, and (234.84±25.24) mmHg], while the respiratory rate (RR) [(56.23±2.16) breaths/min vs. (50.41±2.24) breaths/min], partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO 2) [(36.48±3.72) mmHg vs.(33.29±3.46) mmHg], fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO 2) [(40.42±4.25)% vs.(36.51±3.72)%], mean arterial pressure (MAP) [(55.98±5.69) mmHg vs.(52.79±5.43) mmHg], and positive end expiratory pressure (PEEP) [(5.03±0.52) cmH 2O vs.(4.52±0.47) cmH 2O, 1 cmH 2O=0.098 kPa] were higher than those in the control group, and the differences were all statistically significant (all P<0.05).The IAP of the children in the study group was (14.25±1.83) mmHg, and that in the control group was (10.38±1.14) mmHg.Pearson correlation analysis showed that IAP was negatively correlated with PaO 2, SaO 2, and PaO 2/FiO 2 ( r=-0.615, -0.587, and -0.647, all P<0.05), and was positively correlated with RR, PaCO 2, FiO 2, MAP, and PEEP ( r=0.618, 0.634, 0.579, 0.578, 0.593, all P<0.05).IAP [(14.76±1.58) mmHg], PaCO 2 [(39.95±4.21) mmHg], FiO 2 [(50.29±5.12)%], alanine aminotransferase[(42.08±4.15) U/L], and total bilirubin [(17.92±1.87) μmol/L] in the poor prognosis group were greater than those [(10.75±1.19) mmHg, (35.37±3.64) mmHg, (45.38±4.47)%, (39.87±4.06) U/L, and (17.09±1.75) μmol/L] in the good prognosis group, while PaO 2 [(65.42±7.86) mmHg vs.(76.42±7.51) mmHg], SaO 2 [(90.65±9.26)% vs.(96.21±2.19)%], and PaO 2/FiO 2 [(130.09±15.15) mmHg vs.(168.40±20.17) mmHg] were smaller than those in the good prognosis group, and the differences were statistically significant (all P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that IAP, PaO 2, PaCO 2, and SaO 2 were risk factors affecting the prognosis of mechanically ventilated children with severe pneumonia (all P<0.05).The optimal cut-off point of IAP for predicting a poor prognosis in mechanically ventilated children with severe pneumonia was 14.55 mmHg, and the area under the ROC curve was 0.873, with a sensitivity of 88.10% and a specificity of 76.00%. Conclusions:IAP has a certain relationship with the respiratory function of mechanically ventilated children with severe pneumonia, and has a good predictive value for the prognosis of the children.
9.Regularity of ventilator-associated pneumonia induced by three common pathogens.
Li LU ; Chunhui YANG ; Hangli ZHU ; Keyuan SUN ; Lingzhi LIU ; Shaoyan DUAN ; Jianguo TANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(5):482-486
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the incidence and infection regularity of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in patients undergoing tracheal intubation and to provide reference for the prevention and treatment of VAP infection in the future.
METHODS:
A retrospective study was conducted to collect the microbial data of airway secretion cultures from 72 patients with endotracheal intubation admitted to the emergency ward of Shanghai Fifth People's Hospital from May 2020 to February 2021, and the species of microorganisms and intubation time were statistically analyzed.
RESULTS:
Among 72 patients with endotracheal intubation, males were more than females (58.33% vs. 41.67%); Patients over 60 years old accounted for 90.28%; pneumonia was the main primary disease, accounting for 58.33%. Pathogenic tests showed that: (1) 72 patients were infected with Acinetobacter baumannii (AB), Klebsiella pneumoniae (KP), and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) 48 hours after intubation, 51.39% (37/72), 27.78% (20/72), and 26.39% (19/72), respectively. The infection rate of AB was significantly higher than that of KP and PA. Within 48 hours of intubation, the infection rates of AB, KP, and PA were 20.83% (15/72), 13.89% (10/72), and 4.17% (3/72), respectively. Of the 42 patients with primary pneumonia, 61.90% (26/42) were infected with one or more of the three pathogenic bacteria AB, KP, and PA 48 hours after intubation, indicating a change in the etiology of the pathogenic bacteria, with the main pathogenic bacteria transitioning from other pathogenic bacteria to AB, KP, and PA. (2) AB, KP, and PA were prone to cause late onset VAP (i.e., intubation ≥ 5 days). Respectively, among VAP patients infected with AB, late onset VAP accounted for 59.46% (22/37). Among patients infected with KP, 75.00% (15/20) had late onset VAP. Among patients infected with PA, late onset VAP accounted for 94.74% (18/19), indicating a higher proportion of late onset VAP caused by PA and KP. (3) Infection was closely related to intubation time, and the pipeline can be replaced according to the peak period of infection. AB and KP infections peaked within 4 days after intubation, reaching 57.69% (30/52) and 50.00% (15/30), respectively. It is recommended to replace the tubes or undergo sensitive antimicrobial therapy around 3-4 days after starting the machine. The proportion of PA infection after 7 days of intubation was 72.73% (16/22), and it was considered to replace the pipeline after 7 days. (4) Most of the three pathogenic bacteria, AB, KP, and PA were carbapenem resistant pathogens with multiple drug resistance. Except for PA, the infection rate of carbapenem resistant bacteria (CRAB, CRKP) was significantly higher than that of non-carbapenem resistant bacteria (AB, KP), accounting for 86.54% (45/52) and 66.67% (20/30) of the corresponding infection cases, respectively, while CRPA only accounts for 18.18% (4/22).
CONCLUSIONS
The main differences in VAP infection caused by AB, KP, and PA pathogens are infection time, infection probability, and carbapenem resistance. Targeted prevention and treatment measures can be implemented for patients with intubation.
Female
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Male
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Humans
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Middle Aged
;
Pneumonia, Ventilator-Associated
;
Retrospective Studies
;
China
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Intubation, Intratracheal
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Acinetobacter baumannii
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Klebsiella pneumoniae
10.Explanation and Elaboration of the ARRIVE Guidelines 2.0—Reporting Animal Research and In Vivo Experiments (Ⅱ)
Guoyuan CHEN ; Xiao LU ; Yu BAI ; Lingzhi YU ; Ying QIAO ; Jian WANG ; Jin LU ; Xiaoyu LIU ; Xuancheng LU ; Jing GAO ; Yao LI ; Wanyong PANG
Laboratory Animal and Comparative Medicine 2023;43(3):323-331
Improving the reproducibility of biomedical research results remains a major challenge. Transparent and accurate reporting of progress can help readers evaluate the reliability of research results and further explore an experiment by repeating or building upon its findings. The ARRIVE 2.0 guidelines, released in 2019 by the UK National Centre for the Replacement, Refinement, and Reduction of Animals in Research (NC3Rs), provide a checklist applicable to any in vivo animal research report. These guidelines aim to improve the standardization of experimental design, implementation, and reporting, as well as the reliability, repeatability, and clinical translatability of animal experimental results. The use of the ARRIVE 2.0 guidelines not only enriches the details of animal experimental research reports, ensuring that information on animal experimental results is fully evaluated and utilized, but also enables readers to understand the content expressed by the author accurately and clearly, promoting the transparency and integrity of the fundamental research review process. At present, the ARRIVE 2.0 guidelines have been widely adopted by international biomedical journals. This article is the second part of the Chinese translation of the complete interpretation of the ARRIVE 2.0 guidelines published in PLoS Biology in 2020 (original text can be found at

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