1.The current status of international health communication research and its implications for China
Lingyan YANG ; Zihan YU ; Yueqiao ZHAO ; Zhenping LI ; Jianyi YAO ; Hao LI ; Yuhui ZHOU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):18-21
Objective To systematically review international research on health communication, and to provide valuable insights and reference for China's health communication research and practice. Methods This study included 693 articles published from January 2023 to April 2024 in two authoritative academic journals in the field of health communication, “Health Communication” and the “Journal of Health Communication”. A systematic review was conducted on the themes, theoretical foundations, research methods, and populations of international health communication research. Results The findings in this study revealed that international health communication research topics were diverse, with hotspots including social media, health information behavior, health misinformation, stigmatization, trust, and risk perception. The results showed that 34% of the articles were based on theoretical foundations, and 93.3% employed research methods, focusing on adolescents, parents, women, and other key populations. Conclusion Domestic health communication research can expand its perspective from “information transmission” to “social interaction”, innovate theories and methods from “single paradigm" to “multi-integration” and shift focus from a “mass perspective” to “targeted care” for the health of all populations. Domestic health communication practice can delve into the localization of social media health communication practices, the comprehensive management of health misinformation, and the critical application of new technologies.
2.Dynamic changes and time-dependent analysis of mortality risk factors in severe pneumonia patients
Wenkao ZHOU ; Lide SU ; Lingyan HUANG ; Ailin GUO ; Yimei PAN ; Zonghong LIU ; Yaben YAO
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(8):1071-1077
Objective:To analyze mortality risk factors in patients with severe pneumonia and investigate their varying influences across different time periods.Methods:A total of 134 patients with severe pneumonia admitted to the Emergency Department of Xiang’an Hospital, Xiamen University, between June 2019 and February 2020 were enrolled. All patients were treated in the EICU and followed up for four years. Based on outcomes, they were categorized into a death group ( n=77) and a survival group ( n=57). COX regression analysis was employed to identify mortality risk factors at different time points, while logistic regression analysis was used to assess risk factors influencing mortality during hospitalization, ICU stay, 1-month, and 1-year follow-up periods. Results:Mortality rates were 11.9% ( n=16) during ICU admission, 20.8% ( n=28) during hospitalization, 16.4% ( n=22) within 1 month, and 31.3% ( n=42) within 1 year. By the end of the follow-up, 57.4% ( n=77) of patients had died. Ten mortality risk factors were identified, with the number increasing over time. During ICU admission and hospitalization, significant risk factors included total bilirubin levels, APACHE-II score, invasive ventilation, ARDS, and vasopressor use in the ICU. One-month mortality risk additionally involved bacterial infection. One-year mortality risk further incorporated advanced age and chronic heart failure. By the end of follow-up, acute kidney injury (AKI) during ICU admission also emerged as a contributing factor, while higher body weight was identified as a protective factor. Conclusions:The number of mortality risk factors in severe pneumonia patients increases progressively over time. Early-stage factors during hospitalization and ICU admission exert a stronger impact on short-term mortality, whereas bacterial infection, advanced age, and chronic heart failure become increasingly significant in later stages. These findings highlight the dynamic nature of risk factors and underscore the importance of tailored monitoring and intervention strategies at different disease phases.
3.Comparison of the efficacy and construction of prediction model for relapse free survival in breast cancer based on diabetes mellitus type 2
Wenkao ZHOU ; Hesen HUANG ; Yimei PAN ; Lingyan HUANG ; Mingshan WANG ; Fangli ZHAO ; Ya WANG ; Huimin TANG
Journal of International Oncology 2025;52(5):295-303
Objective:To construct univariate and multivariate relapse free survival (RFS) prediction models for breast cancer patients with diabetes mellitus type 2 (T2DM) and to compare and select the model with higher predictive performance.Methods:A total of 912 breast cancer patients treated at the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University from January 2010 to December 2016 were included, of which 202 patients had T2DM and 710 patients did not. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was drawn based on whether patients had T2DM, and log-rank test was performed based on whether patients had T2DM. All patients were randomly divided into a training set ( n=640) and a validation set ( n=272) at a ratio of 7∶3. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional risk regression models were used to analyze RFS in breast cancer patients with the survival package. The "rms" package was employed to construct univariate and multivariate RFS prediction models for breast cancer patients with T2DM. Clinical decision curves and calibration curves were used to validate the models. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to compare and analyze the prediction performance of the two models. Results:There were no statistically significant differences between the training set and the validation set patients in terms of age, T2DM, surgical approach, axillary management methods, T stage, N stage, molecular sub-type, estrogen receptor (ER) 1, ER2, progesterone receptor (PR) , ER and PR consistency, Ki67, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) (all P>0.05) . There was a statistically significant difference in histological grade ( χ2=7.59, P=0.022) . Survival analysis showed that the 5-year RFS rate was 83.7% in patients with T2DM and 92.3% in patients without T2DM ( χ2=16.61, P<0.001) . Univariate analysis revealed that age ( HR=1.04, 95% CI: 1.03-1.06, P<0.001) , T2DM ( HR=2.31, 95% CI: 1.49-3.55, P<0.001) , surgical approach ( HR=2.39, 95% CI: 1.20-4.77, P=0.013) , axillary management methods ( HR=2.62, 95% CI: 1.72-3.98, P<0.001) , T stage (T 2: HR=2.13, 95% CI: 1.36-3.31, P<0.001; T 3: HR=6.90, 95% CI: 3.35-14.22, P<0.001) , N stage (N 2: HR=3.87, 95% CI: 2.12-7.07, P<0.001; N 3: HR=8.61, 95% CI: 4.71-15.75, P<0.001) , molecular sub-type (Luminal B: HR=2.74, 95% CI: 1.17-6.36, P=0.019; HER2 +: HR=3.64, 95% CI: 1.38-9.58, P=0.009; TNBC: HR=4.40, 95% CI: 1.71-11.34, P=0.002) , ER1 (>10%: HR=0.57, 95% CI: 0.37-0.90, P=0.016) , ER2 ( HR=0.57, 95% CI: 0.37-0.89, P=0.015) , and PR ( HR=0.56, 95% CI: 0.37-0.86, P=0.008) were all factors influencing RFS in breast cancer patients. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age ( HR=1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.06, P<0.001) , T2DM ( HR=1.82, 95% CI: 1.16-2.85, P=0.009) , T stage (T 2: HR=1.60, 95% CI: 1.01-2.54, P=0.046; T 3: HR=2.64, 95% CI: 1.22-5.72, P=0.014) , N stage (N 2: HR=3.72, 95% CI: 2.01-6.88, P<0.001; N 3: HR=5.34, 95% CI: 2.78-10.25, P<0.001) , and ER1 (>10%: HR=0.63, 95% CI: 0.39-0.99, P=0.046) were independent factors influencing RFS in breast cancer patients. Based on the 10 and 5 variables with P<0.05 in the univariate and multivariate analyses respectively, the nomograms of the univariate and multivariate prediction models were constructed to evaluate the influence of factors such as T2DM on the postoperative RFS of breast cancer patients. Clinical decision curves and calibration curves indicated that both models had high predictive value for RFS in breast cancer patients, and the predictive results were highly consistent with the actual observed results. ROC curve analysis showed that there was no statistically significant difference in the area under the curve (AUC) of the two models for predicting the RFS rates of breast cancer patients in the training set and validation set at 36, 60, and 84 months (all P>0.05) , indicating that the predictive efficacy of the two models was comparable. The multivariate model is more suitable for clinical application because it uses fewer variables. Conclusions:Breast cancer patients with T2DM have poorer prognosis. Age, T2DM, T stage, N stage, and ER1 are independent factors influencing postoperative RFS in breast cancer patients. The multi-factor prediction model of RFS in breast cancer patients based on T2DM is more suitable for clinical application due to its higher predictive efficacy and fewer variables.
4.Association of serum GAD-Ab,C-peptide and UACR with white matter changes and cognitive function in elderly patients with end-stage diabetic nephropathy
Yu ZHOU ; Qi WANG ; Lingyan ZHANG
Journal of Navy Medicine 2025;46(11):1126-1132
Objective To analyze the association of serum anti-glutamic acid decarboxylase antibody(GAD-Ab),C-peptide,and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio(UACR)with the changes in white matter and cognitive function in elderly patients with end-stage diabetic nephropathy(ESDN).Methods A total of 128 elderly patients with ESDN admitted to Nantong Sixth People's Hospital from November 2023 to November 2024 were enrolled.According to the Fazekas classification,they were assigned to white matter lesion group(grades 1-3)or non-white matter lesion group(grade 0).The levels of GAD-Ab,C-peptide,and UACR were compared between the two groups.The correlations between white matter lesions and the levels of GAD-Ab,C-peptide,and UACR in elderly ESDN patients were investigated.According to the Mini-Mental State Examination(MMSE)score,the patients were assigned to non-cognitive dysfunction group(with an MMSE score of 27-30)or the cognitive dysfunction group(with an MMSE score of<27).The basic data of the two groups were compared.The factors influencing cognitive function in elderly ESDN patients were analyzed,and ROC curve was used to evaluate the correlation between influencing factors and the occurrence of cognitive dysfunction in elderly ESDN patients.Results Among 128 elderly patients with ESDN,81 had white matter lesions,accounting for 63.28%.The levels of GAD-Ab,C-peptide and UACR in the white matter lesion group were all higher than those in the non-white matter lesion group(P<0.05).The Pearson correlation analysis showed that the white matter lesions in ESDN patients were positively correlated with the levels of GAD-Ab,C-peptide and UACR(P<0.05).There were 42 patients with cognitive dysfunction,accounting for 32.81%.There were significant differences in the 24 h urine protein quantitation(Upro),C-peptide,GAD-Ab,UACR,GFR,procalcitonin and hs-CRP levels between the cognitive dysfunction group and the non-cognitive dysfunction group(P<0.05).Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that 24 h Upro(OR=1.006,95%CI:1.003 to 1.008),GAD-Ab(OR=34.923,95%CI:5.779 to 211.058),C-peptide(OR=2.891,95%CI:1.669 to 5.010),UACR(OR=1.066,95%CI:1.032 to 1.102),procalcitonin(OR=1.221,95%CI:1.103 to 1.352),and hs-CRP(OR=1.471,95%CI:1.232 to 1.757)were risk factors for cognitive dysfunction in elderly ESDN patients,while rGFR level(OR=0.967,95%CI:0.950 to 0.984)was a protective factor for cognitive dysfunction in elderly ESDN patients(P<0.05).ROC curve analysis showed that the sensitivities of GAD-Ab,C-peptide,and UACR in evaluating cognitive dysfunction in elderly ESDN patients were 68.30%,73.20%,and 65.90%,respectively.The specificities were 63.20%,64.40%,and 72.40%,respectively.Their combination had a relatively high value in predicting cognitive dysfunction in elderly ESDN patients(AUC=0.892).Conclusion GAD-Ab,C-peptide,and UACR are associated with white matter lesions in elderly ESDN patients,and the combination of the three indexes has a relatively high value in predicting cognitive dysfunction in elderly ESDN patients.
5.LocPro:A deep learning-based prediction of protein subcellular localization for promoting multi-directional pharmaceutical research
Yintao ZHANG ; Lingyan ZHENG ; Nanxin YOU ; Wei HU ; Wanghao JIANG ; Mingkun LU ; Hangwei XU ; Haibin DAI ; Tingting FU ; Ying ZHOU
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(8):1765-1773
Drug development encompasses multiple processes,wherein protein subcellular localization is essential.It promotes target identification,treatment development,and the design of drug delivery systems.In this research,a deep learning framework called LocPro is presented for predicting protein subcellular localization.Specifically,LocPro is unique in(a)combining protein representations from the pre-trained large language model(LLM)ESM2 and the expert-driven tool PROFEAT,(b)implementing a hybrid deep neural network architecture that integrates convolutional neural network(CNN),fully connected(FC)layer,and bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)blocks,and(c)developing a multi-label framework for predicting protein subcellular localization at multiple granularity levels.Additionally,a dataset was curated and divided using a homology-based strategy for training and validation.Compar-ative analyses show that LocPro outperforms existing methods in sequence-based multi-label protein subcellular localization prediction.The practical utility of this framework is further demonstrated through case studies on drug target subcellular localization.All in all,LocPro serves as a valuable complement to existing protein localization prediction tools.The web server is freely accessible at https://idrblab.org/LocPro/.
6.Study on mechanisms of abnormal mitosis and apoptosis induced by targeted inhibition of Polo-like kinase 1 in cervical cancer cells
Li ZHOU ; Fanjie MENG ; Sining XING ; Shuo LIU ; Lingyan SUN ; Huiying YU
Cancer Research and Clinic 2025;37(10):721-726
Objective:To investigate the effects and possible mechanisms of targeted inhibition of Polo-like kinase 1 (PLK1) on the proliferation, mitosis and apoptosis of cervical cancer cells.Methods:Logarithmically growing human cervical cancer cell lines HeLa and C-33A were selected, and cells treated with 10 and 20 nmol/L PLK1 inhibitor GSK461364 were used as different concentrations of GSK461364 groups, while cells not treated with GSK461364 were used as the control group. CCK-8 method was used to detect cell proliferation ability (represented by absorbance values at wavelength 450 nm), flow cytometry was used to detect chromosome ploidy (propidium iodide staining), mitochondrial membrane potential detected by flow cytometry was used to evaluate cell apoptosis status (JC-1 fluorescent probe, the cells where the JC-1 monomers emitting green fluorescence were located were apoptotic cells), and Western blotting was used to detect the expression levels of cell cycle and apoptosis-related proteins.Results:The results of CCK-8 method showed that the proliferation ability of HeLa cells was lower than that of the control group after 24 hours of treatment with 10 and 20 nmol/L GSK461364 and continued culture for 24, 48 and 72 hours without GSK461364. The proliferation ability of C-33A cells was lower than that of the control group after 24 hours of treatment with 10 and 20 nmol/L GSK461364 and continued culture for 48 and 72 hours without GSK461364, and the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). The results of flow cytometry analysis showed that after 24 hours of treatment with GSK461364 and continued culture for 72 hours without GSK461364, the proportions of polyploid cell subpopulations in HeLa cells of the 10 and 20 nmol/L GSK461364 groups and the control group were (13.89±3.73)%, (12.30±5.49)% and (9.86±1.15)%, respectively, with no statistically significant difference ( F = 0.82, P > 0.05); the proportions of polyploid cell subpopulations in C-33A cells of the 10 and 20 nmol/L GSK461364 groups and the control group were (8.45±2.20)%, (11.06±2.53)% and (5.42±1.36)%, respectively, with statistically significant difference ( F = 5.46, P = 0.045). Among them, the proportion of polyploid cell subpopulations in the 20 nmol/L GSK461364 group was higher than that in the control group, with statistically significant differences ( t = 3.40, P = 0.027). The results of flow cytometry detection of mitochondrial membrane potential showed that after 24 hours of treatment with GSK461364 and continued culture for 72 hours without GSK461364, the proportions of apoptotic cells in HeLa cells of the control group, 10 nmol/L GSK461364 group and 20 nmol/L GSK461364 group were (3.96±2.28)%, (24.38±4.89)%, and (46.24±4.38)%, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant ( F = 83.18, P < 0.000 1), the proportion of apoptotic cells in the 10 and 20 nmol/L GSK461364 groups was higher than that in the control group, and the difference was statistically significant (both P < 0.01), and the proportion of apoptotic cells in the 20 nmol/L group was higher than that in the 10 nmol/L group ( t = 5.76, P = 0.005); the proportions of apoptotic cells in C-33A cells of the control group, 10 nmol/L GSK461364 group and 20 nmol/L GSK461364 group were (1.81±1.59)%, (5.22±1.57)% and (15.87±5.81)%, respectively, with statistically significant differences ( F = 12.49, P = 0.007), and the proportion of apoptotic cells in the 20 nmol/L group was higher than that in the 10 nmol/L group and the control group (both P < 0.05). The results of Western blotting analysis showed that after 24 hours of treatment with GSK461364 and continued culture for 72 hours without GSK461364, the relative expression levels of cleaved Caspase-9 and cleaved polyadenosine diphosphate-ribose polymerase in HeLa and C-33A cells treated with 10 and 20 nmol/L GSK461364 were higher than those in the control group, and the relative expression levels of cdc25c and phosphorylated cdc25c (Ser216) were lower than those in the control group, and the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Conclusions:Targeted inhibition of PLK1 can inhibit the proliferation activity of cervical cancer cells in vitro, induce cell mitotic cycle arrest, and promote cell apoptosis; these may be achieved by regulating cell cycle and apoptosis-related proteins.
7.Characteristics of psoriatic arthritis: a cross-sectional study based on a cohort of 530 patients
Jingya GAO ; Yiyi WANG ; Hongxiang HU ; Xiya PENG ; Min YANG ; Lingyan ZHANG ; Jing TANG ; Yue XIAO ; Dan HAO ; Xingli ZHOU ; Wei YAN ; Wei LI
Chinese Journal of Dermatology 2025;58(11):1053-1058
Objective:To investigate disease characteristics of patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) based on the PsA cohort in West China Hospital, so as to provide a reference for clinicians in its diagnosis, treatment, and evaluation strategy formulation.Methods:A cross-sectional study was carried out, and a descriptive analysis was conducted on clinical data from PsA patients who were treated at the Department of Dermatology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University between April 2, 2020, and January 21, 2025. Demographic characteristics, clinical manifestations, laboratory and imaging findings, and treatment modalities were analyzed.Results:A total of 530 PsA patients were included, of whom 332 (62.6%) were males and 198 (37.4%) were females, with ages of 44.1 ± 12.4 years. Skin lesions preceded joint symptoms in 452 patients (85.3%), with time intervals ( M [ Q1, Q3]) of 8.0 (3.0, 15.0) years. Overweight or obesity was observed in 319 patients (60.2%), and 188 (35.5%) had comorbid fatty liver. Peripheral joint involvement was common (485 cases, 91.5%), with the proximal interphalangeal joints being most frequently affected by tenderness (172 cases, 35.5%) and swelling (119 cases, 24.5%) ; the number of enthesitis cases identified by ultrasonography (116 cases, 23.9%) was significantly higher than that by clinical examination (82 cases, 15.5%) ; axial joint involvement was observed in 258 patients (48.7%), with the sacroiliac joints most commonly affected (201 cases, 77.9%). Regarding treatment, conventional systemic drugs were predominant in the treatment of psoriasis prior to the diagnosis of PsA; after the diagnosis of PsA, the number of patients receiving targeted therapies increased to 334 (63.0%), with interleukin-17 inhibitors being the most common (140 cases, 26.4%), followed by tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitors (106 cases, 20.0%) and Janus kinase inhibitors (39 cases, 7.4%) . Conclusions:PsA predominantly affects males over 40 years old and is characterized by preceding skin lesions, delayed diagnosis, and multiple comorbidities. High-frequency ultrasound has advantages in the early detection of peripheral enthesitis. Further attention is needed for managing comorbidities such as fatty liver and obesity-related metabolic conditions.
8.Development of a questionnaire for residents to evaluate the quality of general practice teaching clinics
Jiali WANG ; Congling ZHANG ; Jie LIU ; Guifen ZHANG ; Ruoxia ZHANG ; Xinmei ZHOU ; Weifang MO ; Lingyan WU ; Yuling TONG ; Yi GUO ; Zhijie XU
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2025;24(11):1505-1511
Objective:To develop a scientific and practical questionnaire for general practice residents, and to conduct multidimensional and comprehensive evaluation of the quality of general practice teaching clinics.Methods:A preliminary draft of the questionnaire items was formulated based on a literature review and in-depth interviews. The Delphi method was employed to conduct two rounds of consultation with 14 experts. Following revisions, a convenience sampling method was used to invite general practice residents from three standardized residency training bases to test the reliability and validity of the questionnaire.Results:The questionnaire consisted of 23 items, covering the three dimensions of preparation, implementation process, and comprehensive evaluation of the teaching clinics. The response rates for the two rounds of the expert consultation were both 100.00%, with expert authority coefficients of 0.89 and 0.90, respectively. The overall Cronbach's α coefficient of the questionnaire was 0.93, and the correlation coefficients between each item score and the total score were all >0.30. Structural validity analysis revealed that three common factors were extracted from the questionnaire, with a cumulative variance contribution rate of 77.89%. Conclusions:The General Practice Teaching Clinic Quality Evaluation Questionnaire for Residents developed in this study demonstrates high reliability and validity. The questionnaire provides a scientific basis for the standardized assessment of teaching quality in general practice clinics. By incorporating resident feedback on the teaching process, the questionnaire promotes the development of a teaching clinic quality improvement mechanism focused on residents and plays a significant role in enhancing the teaching capabilities of supervising physicians in clinics.
9.LocPro: A deep learning-based prediction of protein subcellular localization for promoting multi-directional pharmaceutical research.
Yintao ZHANG ; Lingyan ZHENG ; Nanxin YOU ; Wei HU ; Wanghao JIANG ; Mingkun LU ; Hangwei XU ; Haibin DAI ; Tingting FU ; Ying ZHOU
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(8):101255-101255
Drug development encompasses multiple processes, wherein protein subcellular localization is essential. It promotes target identification, treatment development, and the design of drug delivery systems. In this research, a deep learning framework called LocPro is presented for predicting protein subcellular localization. Specifically, LocPro is unique in (a) combining protein representations from the pre-trained large language model (LLM) ESM2 and the expert-driven tool PROFEAT, (b) implementing a hybrid deep neural network architecture that integrates convolutional neural network (CNN), fully connected (FC) layer, and bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) blocks, and (c) developing a multi-label framework for predicting protein subcellular localization at multiple granularity levels. Additionally, a dataset was curated and divided using a homology-based strategy for training and validation. Comparative analyses show that LocPro outperforms existing methods in sequence-based multi-label protein subcellular localization prediction. The practical utility of this framework is further demonstrated through case studies on drug target subcellular localization. All in all, LocPro serves as a valuable complement to existing protein localization prediction tools. The web server is freely accessible at https://idrblab.org/LocPro/.
10.Construction and external validation of a machine learning-based prediction model for epilepsy one year after acute stroke.
Wenkao ZHOU ; Fangli ZHAO ; Xingqiang QIU ; Yujuan YANG ; Tingting WANG ; Lingyan HUANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(5):445-451
OBJECTIVE:
To identify the optimal machine learning algorithm for predicting post-stroke epilepsy (PSE) within one year following acute stroke, establish a nomogram model based on this algorithm, and perform external validation to achieve accurate prediction of secondary epilepsy.
METHODS:
A total of 870 acute stroke patients admitted to the emergency department of Xiang'an Hospital of Xiamen University from June 2019 to June 2023 were enrolled for model development (model group). An external validation cohort of 435 acute stroke patients admitted to the Fifth Hospital of Xiamen during the same period was used to validate the machine learning algorithms and nomogram model. Patients were classified into control and epilepsy groups based on the development of PSE within one year. Clinical and laboratory data, including baseline characteristics, stroke location, vascular status, complications, hematologic parameters, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, were collected for analysis. Nine machine learning algorithms such as logistic regression, CN2 rule induction, K-nearest neighbors, adaptive boosting, random forest, gradient boosting, support vector machine, naive Bayes, and neural network were applied to evaluate predictive performance. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to identify the optimal algorithm. Logistic regression was used to screen risk factors for PSE, and the top 10 predictors were selected to construct the nomogram model. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using the ROC curve in both the model and validation groups.
RESULTS:
Among the 870 patients in the model group, 29 developed PSE within one year. Among the nine algorithms tested, logistic regression demonstrated the best performance and generalizability, with an AUC of 0.923. Univariate logistic regression identified several risk factors for PSE, including platelet count, white blood cell count, red blood cell count, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), C-reactive protein (CRP), triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), thrombin time, D-dimer, fibrinogen, creatine kinase (CK), creatine kinase-MB (CK-MB), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), serum sodium, lactic acid, anion gap, NIHSS score, brain herniation, periventricular stroke, and carotid artery plaque. Further multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that white blood cell count, HDL, fibrinogen, lactic acid and brain herniation were independent risk factors [odds ratio (OR) were 1.837, 198.039, 47.025, 11.559, 70.722, respectively, all P < 0.05]. In the external validation group, univariate logistic regression analysis showed that platelet count, white blood cell count, CRP, triacylglycerol, APTT, D-dimer, fibrinogen, CK, CK-MB, LDH, NIHSS score, and cerebral herniation were risk factors for PSE one year after acute stroke. Further multiple logistic regression analysis showed that APTT and cerebral herniation were independent predictors (OR were 0.587 and 116.193, respectively, both P < 0.05). The nomogram model, constructed using 10 key variables-brain herniation, periventricular stroke, carotid artery plaque, white blood cell count, triglycerides, thrombin time, D-dimer, serum sodium, lactic acid, and NIHSS score-achieved an AUC of 0.908 in the model group and 0.864 in the external validation group.
CONCLUSIONS
The logistic regression-based prediction model for epilepsy one year after acute stroke, developed using machine learning algorithms, showed optimal predictive performance. The nomogram model based on the logistic regression-derived predictors showed strong discriminative power and was successfully validated externally, suggesting favorable clinical applicability and generalizability.
Humans
;
Machine Learning
;
Stroke/complications*
;
Nomograms
;
Epilepsy/etiology*
;
Algorithms
;
Male
;
Female
;
Logistic Models
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Bayes Theorem


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail