1.Characteristics of psoriatic arthritis: a cross-sectional study based on a cohort of 530 patients
Jingya GAO ; Yiyi WANG ; Hongxiang HU ; Xiya PENG ; Min YANG ; Lingyan ZHANG ; Jing TANG ; Yue XIAO ; Dan HAO ; Xingli ZHOU ; Wei YAN ; Wei LI
Chinese Journal of Dermatology 2025;58(11):1053-1058
Objective:To investigate disease characteristics of patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) based on the PsA cohort in West China Hospital, so as to provide a reference for clinicians in its diagnosis, treatment, and evaluation strategy formulation.Methods:A cross-sectional study was carried out, and a descriptive analysis was conducted on clinical data from PsA patients who were treated at the Department of Dermatology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University between April 2, 2020, and January 21, 2025. Demographic characteristics, clinical manifestations, laboratory and imaging findings, and treatment modalities were analyzed.Results:A total of 530 PsA patients were included, of whom 332 (62.6%) were males and 198 (37.4%) were females, with ages of 44.1 ± 12.4 years. Skin lesions preceded joint symptoms in 452 patients (85.3%), with time intervals ( M [ Q1, Q3]) of 8.0 (3.0, 15.0) years. Overweight or obesity was observed in 319 patients (60.2%), and 188 (35.5%) had comorbid fatty liver. Peripheral joint involvement was common (485 cases, 91.5%), with the proximal interphalangeal joints being most frequently affected by tenderness (172 cases, 35.5%) and swelling (119 cases, 24.5%) ; the number of enthesitis cases identified by ultrasonography (116 cases, 23.9%) was significantly higher than that by clinical examination (82 cases, 15.5%) ; axial joint involvement was observed in 258 patients (48.7%), with the sacroiliac joints most commonly affected (201 cases, 77.9%). Regarding treatment, conventional systemic drugs were predominant in the treatment of psoriasis prior to the diagnosis of PsA; after the diagnosis of PsA, the number of patients receiving targeted therapies increased to 334 (63.0%), with interleukin-17 inhibitors being the most common (140 cases, 26.4%), followed by tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitors (106 cases, 20.0%) and Janus kinase inhibitors (39 cases, 7.4%) . Conclusions:PsA predominantly affects males over 40 years old and is characterized by preceding skin lesions, delayed diagnosis, and multiple comorbidities. High-frequency ultrasound has advantages in the early detection of peripheral enthesitis. Further attention is needed for managing comorbidities such as fatty liver and obesity-related metabolic conditions.
2.Comparison of the efficacy and construction of prediction model for relapse free survival in breast cancer based on diabetes mellitus type 2
Wenkao ZHOU ; Hesen HUANG ; Yimei PAN ; Lingyan HUANG ; Mingshan WANG ; Fangli ZHAO ; Ya WANG ; Huimin TANG
Journal of International Oncology 2025;52(5):295-303
Objective:To construct univariate and multivariate relapse free survival (RFS) prediction models for breast cancer patients with diabetes mellitus type 2 (T2DM) and to compare and select the model with higher predictive performance.Methods:A total of 912 breast cancer patients treated at the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University from January 2010 to December 2016 were included, of which 202 patients had T2DM and 710 patients did not. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was drawn based on whether patients had T2DM, and log-rank test was performed based on whether patients had T2DM. All patients were randomly divided into a training set ( n=640) and a validation set ( n=272) at a ratio of 7∶3. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional risk regression models were used to analyze RFS in breast cancer patients with the survival package. The "rms" package was employed to construct univariate and multivariate RFS prediction models for breast cancer patients with T2DM. Clinical decision curves and calibration curves were used to validate the models. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to compare and analyze the prediction performance of the two models. Results:There were no statistically significant differences between the training set and the validation set patients in terms of age, T2DM, surgical approach, axillary management methods, T stage, N stage, molecular sub-type, estrogen receptor (ER) 1, ER2, progesterone receptor (PR) , ER and PR consistency, Ki67, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) (all P>0.05) . There was a statistically significant difference in histological grade ( χ2=7.59, P=0.022) . Survival analysis showed that the 5-year RFS rate was 83.7% in patients with T2DM and 92.3% in patients without T2DM ( χ2=16.61, P<0.001) . Univariate analysis revealed that age ( HR=1.04, 95% CI: 1.03-1.06, P<0.001) , T2DM ( HR=2.31, 95% CI: 1.49-3.55, P<0.001) , surgical approach ( HR=2.39, 95% CI: 1.20-4.77, P=0.013) , axillary management methods ( HR=2.62, 95% CI: 1.72-3.98, P<0.001) , T stage (T 2: HR=2.13, 95% CI: 1.36-3.31, P<0.001; T 3: HR=6.90, 95% CI: 3.35-14.22, P<0.001) , N stage (N 2: HR=3.87, 95% CI: 2.12-7.07, P<0.001; N 3: HR=8.61, 95% CI: 4.71-15.75, P<0.001) , molecular sub-type (Luminal B: HR=2.74, 95% CI: 1.17-6.36, P=0.019; HER2 +: HR=3.64, 95% CI: 1.38-9.58, P=0.009; TNBC: HR=4.40, 95% CI: 1.71-11.34, P=0.002) , ER1 (>10%: HR=0.57, 95% CI: 0.37-0.90, P=0.016) , ER2 ( HR=0.57, 95% CI: 0.37-0.89, P=0.015) , and PR ( HR=0.56, 95% CI: 0.37-0.86, P=0.008) were all factors influencing RFS in breast cancer patients. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age ( HR=1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.06, P<0.001) , T2DM ( HR=1.82, 95% CI: 1.16-2.85, P=0.009) , T stage (T 2: HR=1.60, 95% CI: 1.01-2.54, P=0.046; T 3: HR=2.64, 95% CI: 1.22-5.72, P=0.014) , N stage (N 2: HR=3.72, 95% CI: 2.01-6.88, P<0.001; N 3: HR=5.34, 95% CI: 2.78-10.25, P<0.001) , and ER1 (>10%: HR=0.63, 95% CI: 0.39-0.99, P=0.046) were independent factors influencing RFS in breast cancer patients. Based on the 10 and 5 variables with P<0.05 in the univariate and multivariate analyses respectively, the nomograms of the univariate and multivariate prediction models were constructed to evaluate the influence of factors such as T2DM on the postoperative RFS of breast cancer patients. Clinical decision curves and calibration curves indicated that both models had high predictive value for RFS in breast cancer patients, and the predictive results were highly consistent with the actual observed results. ROC curve analysis showed that there was no statistically significant difference in the area under the curve (AUC) of the two models for predicting the RFS rates of breast cancer patients in the training set and validation set at 36, 60, and 84 months (all P>0.05) , indicating that the predictive efficacy of the two models was comparable. The multivariate model is more suitable for clinical application because it uses fewer variables. Conclusions:Breast cancer patients with T2DM have poorer prognosis. Age, T2DM, T stage, N stage, and ER1 are independent factors influencing postoperative RFS in breast cancer patients. The multi-factor prediction model of RFS in breast cancer patients based on T2DM is more suitable for clinical application due to its higher predictive efficacy and fewer variables.
3.Pathogenic Bacteriology and Antimicrobial Treatment of 161 Patients with Biliary Calculi Complicated by Acute Biliary Tract Infection
Dan LIN ; Lindan LIAO ; Zhiqiang LIU ; Kezhang HU ; Yan GAO ; Yujiao LUO ; Wenting CHEN ; Xiaofang XIE ; Bichuan SU ; Lingyan LUO ; Jing TANG
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(5):770-777
Objective To analyze the distribution and drug resistance patterns of pathogenic bacteria in bile and blood cultures obtained from patients with biliary stones accompanied by acute biliary tract infection,to evaluate the clinical appropriate-ness of antibiotic use based on drug sensitivity results,and to provide evidence for empirical antibiotic treatment in such patients.Methods The clinical data of 161 patients with biliary calculi complicated by acute biliary tract infection who were admitted to the First People's Hospital of Neijiang from 2017 to 2023 were retrospectively analyzed.The results of microbial culture,drug sensitivity analysis,and patient characteristics were assessed to evaluate the appropriateness of clinical antimicrobial therapy.Results Among the 161 patients with positive cultures,212 strains of pathogenic bacteria were detected.The predominant patho-gens were Escherichia coli,Klebsiella pneumoniae subspecies,and Enterococcus faecium.Age and underlying diseases significantly affected the distribution of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae subspecies.Within the gram-negative bacterial group,Esche-richia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae subspecies exhibited higher drug resistance to commonly used broad-spectrum penicillin,third-generation cephalosporin and quinolones but lower resistance rates to piperacillin and tazobactam;furthermore,elderly indi-viduals aged ≥65 years showed higher resistance rates to ceftriaxone than those under age 65 while people with drug exposure history had higher ceftazidime resistance rates that were statistically significant.In contrast to Enterococcus faecalis which displayed low antimicrobial resistance rates for most drugs tested in this study,Enterococcus faecium demonstrated high levels of antibiotic resistance;however,both Enterococcus faecalis and Enterococcus faecium exhibited zero-resistance rates against vancomycin and tigecycline although this may be attributed to their small sample size in our study cohort.Finally,we found that empirical anti-in-fective drugs,as well as target anti-infective drugs,were not prescribed rationally among these patients due mainly to inappropriate combinations of antibiotics or incorrect dosages.Conclusions The predominant pathogens in patients with acute biliary tract infection are gram-negative bacteria,Gram-positive bacteria,and fungi;however,the potential involvement of anaerobic bacteria should not be overlooked.Vancomycin exhibits sensitivity against gram-positive bacteria,yet the overall rationality of antibiotic usage remains suboptimal.Enhanced clinical testing for pathogenic microorganisms is imperative in the management of biliary stones accompanied by acute biliary tract infection.In contrast,clinical pharmacists should provide comprehensive training on anti-infective drugs to clinicians to facilitate their judicious selection of antibiotics based on drug sensitivity results and prevent the e-mergence of multidrug-resistant bacteria.
4.Construction and validation of a depression risk prediction model in middle-aged and elderly patients with diabetes
Lei YANG ; Yaping HAO ; Yuxiao TANG ; Juntao CHI ; Lingyan ZHAO ; Guiqin GU ; Liang WANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(29):3976-3983
Objective:To construct and validate a depression risk prediction model for middle-aged and elderly patients with diabetes.Methods:Data were extracted from the fifth wave (2020) of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). A total of 900 diabetic patients were identified, and after excluding those with missing data or invalid questionnaires, 769 patients were included in the analysis. Patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a 7∶3 ratio. Univariate analysis and logistic regression analysis were performed to screen the optimal predictors of depression in diabetic patients, and a nomogram model was developed. The predictive performance of the model was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ( AUC). Model calibration and accuracy were evaluated using bootstrap resampling, calibration plots, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The clinical utility was further assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curves (CIC) . Results:Among the 769 patients, 366 (47.59%) had depression. Logistic regression analysis showed that place of residence, pain, difficulty in toileting, difficulty in bathing, sleep duration, physical exercise, life satisfaction, and children's satisfaction were independent predictors of depression in diabetic patients. A nomogram was constructed based on these variables, yielding an AUC of 0.775. At the optimal cutoff value of 0.557, the model demonstrated a sensitivity of 59.1% and a specificity of 84.8%, indicating good discriminative ability. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed (χ 2=15.821, P=0.105), suggesting good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes. In the validation set, the AUC was 0.778, with Hosmer-Lemeshow (χ 2=8.557, P=0.575). DCA and CIC indicated favorable clinical applicability of the model. Conclusions:The depression risk prediction model constructed in this study demonstrated good predictive performance. It can assist clinicians in early identification of high-risk individuals with diabetes and provide a theoretical basis for targeted interventions.
5.Construction and validation of a depression risk prediction model in middle-aged and elderly patients with diabetes
Lei YANG ; Yaping HAO ; Yuxiao TANG ; Juntao CHI ; Lingyan ZHAO ; Guiqin GU ; Liang WANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(29):3976-3983
Objective:To construct and validate a depression risk prediction model for middle-aged and elderly patients with diabetes.Methods:Data were extracted from the fifth wave (2020) of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). A total of 900 diabetic patients were identified, and after excluding those with missing data or invalid questionnaires, 769 patients were included in the analysis. Patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a 7∶3 ratio. Univariate analysis and logistic regression analysis were performed to screen the optimal predictors of depression in diabetic patients, and a nomogram model was developed. The predictive performance of the model was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ( AUC). Model calibration and accuracy were evaluated using bootstrap resampling, calibration plots, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The clinical utility was further assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curves (CIC) . Results:Among the 769 patients, 366 (47.59%) had depression. Logistic regression analysis showed that place of residence, pain, difficulty in toileting, difficulty in bathing, sleep duration, physical exercise, life satisfaction, and children's satisfaction were independent predictors of depression in diabetic patients. A nomogram was constructed based on these variables, yielding an AUC of 0.775. At the optimal cutoff value of 0.557, the model demonstrated a sensitivity of 59.1% and a specificity of 84.8%, indicating good discriminative ability. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed (χ 2=15.821, P=0.105), suggesting good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes. In the validation set, the AUC was 0.778, with Hosmer-Lemeshow (χ 2=8.557, P=0.575). DCA and CIC indicated favorable clinical applicability of the model. Conclusions:The depression risk prediction model constructed in this study demonstrated good predictive performance. It can assist clinicians in early identification of high-risk individuals with diabetes and provide a theoretical basis for targeted interventions.
6.Characteristics of psoriatic arthritis: a cross-sectional study based on a cohort of 530 patients
Jingya GAO ; Yiyi WANG ; Hongxiang HU ; Xiya PENG ; Min YANG ; Lingyan ZHANG ; Jing TANG ; Yue XIAO ; Dan HAO ; Xingli ZHOU ; Wei YAN ; Wei LI
Chinese Journal of Dermatology 2025;58(11):1053-1058
Objective:To investigate disease characteristics of patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) based on the PsA cohort in West China Hospital, so as to provide a reference for clinicians in its diagnosis, treatment, and evaluation strategy formulation.Methods:A cross-sectional study was carried out, and a descriptive analysis was conducted on clinical data from PsA patients who were treated at the Department of Dermatology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University between April 2, 2020, and January 21, 2025. Demographic characteristics, clinical manifestations, laboratory and imaging findings, and treatment modalities were analyzed.Results:A total of 530 PsA patients were included, of whom 332 (62.6%) were males and 198 (37.4%) were females, with ages of 44.1 ± 12.4 years. Skin lesions preceded joint symptoms in 452 patients (85.3%), with time intervals ( M [ Q1, Q3]) of 8.0 (3.0, 15.0) years. Overweight or obesity was observed in 319 patients (60.2%), and 188 (35.5%) had comorbid fatty liver. Peripheral joint involvement was common (485 cases, 91.5%), with the proximal interphalangeal joints being most frequently affected by tenderness (172 cases, 35.5%) and swelling (119 cases, 24.5%) ; the number of enthesitis cases identified by ultrasonography (116 cases, 23.9%) was significantly higher than that by clinical examination (82 cases, 15.5%) ; axial joint involvement was observed in 258 patients (48.7%), with the sacroiliac joints most commonly affected (201 cases, 77.9%). Regarding treatment, conventional systemic drugs were predominant in the treatment of psoriasis prior to the diagnosis of PsA; after the diagnosis of PsA, the number of patients receiving targeted therapies increased to 334 (63.0%), with interleukin-17 inhibitors being the most common (140 cases, 26.4%), followed by tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitors (106 cases, 20.0%) and Janus kinase inhibitors (39 cases, 7.4%) . Conclusions:PsA predominantly affects males over 40 years old and is characterized by preceding skin lesions, delayed diagnosis, and multiple comorbidities. High-frequency ultrasound has advantages in the early detection of peripheral enthesitis. Further attention is needed for managing comorbidities such as fatty liver and obesity-related metabolic conditions.
7.Pathogenic Bacteriology and Antimicrobial Treatment of 161 Patients with Biliary Calculi Complicated by Acute Biliary Tract Infection
Dan LIN ; Lindan LIAO ; Zhiqiang LIU ; Kezhang HU ; Yan GAO ; Yujiao LUO ; Wenting CHEN ; Xiaofang XIE ; Bichuan SU ; Lingyan LUO ; Jing TANG
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(5):770-777
Objective To analyze the distribution and drug resistance patterns of pathogenic bacteria in bile and blood cultures obtained from patients with biliary stones accompanied by acute biliary tract infection,to evaluate the clinical appropriate-ness of antibiotic use based on drug sensitivity results,and to provide evidence for empirical antibiotic treatment in such patients.Methods The clinical data of 161 patients with biliary calculi complicated by acute biliary tract infection who were admitted to the First People's Hospital of Neijiang from 2017 to 2023 were retrospectively analyzed.The results of microbial culture,drug sensitivity analysis,and patient characteristics were assessed to evaluate the appropriateness of clinical antimicrobial therapy.Results Among the 161 patients with positive cultures,212 strains of pathogenic bacteria were detected.The predominant patho-gens were Escherichia coli,Klebsiella pneumoniae subspecies,and Enterococcus faecium.Age and underlying diseases significantly affected the distribution of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae subspecies.Within the gram-negative bacterial group,Esche-richia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae subspecies exhibited higher drug resistance to commonly used broad-spectrum penicillin,third-generation cephalosporin and quinolones but lower resistance rates to piperacillin and tazobactam;furthermore,elderly indi-viduals aged ≥65 years showed higher resistance rates to ceftriaxone than those under age 65 while people with drug exposure history had higher ceftazidime resistance rates that were statistically significant.In contrast to Enterococcus faecalis which displayed low antimicrobial resistance rates for most drugs tested in this study,Enterococcus faecium demonstrated high levels of antibiotic resistance;however,both Enterococcus faecalis and Enterococcus faecium exhibited zero-resistance rates against vancomycin and tigecycline although this may be attributed to their small sample size in our study cohort.Finally,we found that empirical anti-in-fective drugs,as well as target anti-infective drugs,were not prescribed rationally among these patients due mainly to inappropriate combinations of antibiotics or incorrect dosages.Conclusions The predominant pathogens in patients with acute biliary tract infection are gram-negative bacteria,Gram-positive bacteria,and fungi;however,the potential involvement of anaerobic bacteria should not be overlooked.Vancomycin exhibits sensitivity against gram-positive bacteria,yet the overall rationality of antibiotic usage remains suboptimal.Enhanced clinical testing for pathogenic microorganisms is imperative in the management of biliary stones accompanied by acute biliary tract infection.In contrast,clinical pharmacists should provide comprehensive training on anti-infective drugs to clinicians to facilitate their judicious selection of antibiotics based on drug sensitivity results and prevent the e-mergence of multidrug-resistant bacteria.
8.Diagnostic value of procalcitonin in infections in patients with malignant hematologic diseases
Mei LIU ; Yishu TANG ; Yulian XIAO ; Lingyan YAN ; Linzhi XIE ; Xinyi LONG ; Yan YU ; Xin LI
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2024;49(5):721-729
Objective:The incidence of infections in patients with malignant hematologic diseases is extremely high and significantly affects their prognosis.Identifying early and precise biomarkers for infection is crucial for guiding the treatment of infections in these patients.Previous studies have shown that procalcitonin(PCT)can serve as an early diagnostic marker for bloodstream infections in patients with malignant hematologic diseases.This study aims to compare serum PCT levels in these patients with different pathogens,disease types,infection sites,and severity levels. Methods:Clinical data and laboratory results of infected patients with malignant hematologic diseases treated at the Department of Hematology,the Third Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from January 2018 to August 2023 were collected.General patient information was retrospectively analyzed.Serum PCT levels were compared among patients with different pathogens,types of malignant hematologic diseases,infection sites,and infection severity;Receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curves were used to determine the cut-off values and diagnostic value of serum PCT levels in diagnosing bloodstream infections versus local infections and severe infections versus non-severe infections.Mortality rates after 4-7 days of anti-infective treatment were compared among groups with rising,falling,and unchanged PCT levels. Results:A total of 526 patients with malignant hematologic diseases were included.The main pathogens were Gram-negative bacteria(272 cases,51.7%),followed by Gram-positive bacteria(120 cases,22.8%),fungi(65 cases,12.4%),viruses(23 cases,4.4%),and mixed pathogens(46 cases,8.7%).The main types of malignant hematologic diseases were acute myeloid leukemia(216 cases,41.1%),acute lymphoblastic leukemia(107 cases,20.3%),and lymphoma(93 cases,17.7%).Granulocyte deficiency was present in 68.3%(359 cases)of the patients during infection,with severe infection in 24.1%(127 cases).Significant differences in serum PCT levels were found among patients with different types of pathogens(P<0.001),with the highest levels in Gram-negative bacterial infections.Significant differences in serum PCT levels were also found among patients with different types of malignant hematologic diseases(P<0.05),with the highest levels in lymphoma patients.Serum PCT levels were significantly higher in systemic infections and severe infections compared to local infections and non-severe infections(both P<0.001).ROC curve analysis showed that the cut-off values for diagnosing bloodstream infections and severe infections were 0.22 and 0.28 ng/mL,with areas under the curve of 0.670 and 0.673,respectively.After 4-7 days of anti-infective treatment,the mortality rates of the PCT declining,PCT unchanged,and PCT rising groups were 11.9%,21.2%,and 35.7%,respectively,and pairwise comparisons were statistically significant(all P<0.05). Conclusion:PCT can be used as an auxiliary indicator for early identification of different pathogens,infection sites,and severity levels in patients with malignant hematologic diseases combined with infections.Dynamic monitoring of PCT levels after empirical antibiotic treatment provides important guidance for assessing patient's prognosis.
9.QL1604 plus paclitaxel-cisplatin/ carboplatin in patients with recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer:an open-label, single-arm, phase II trial
Cheng FANG ; Yun ZHOU ; Yanling FENG ; Liping HE ; Jinjin YU ; Yuzhi LI ; Mei FENG ; Mei PAN ; Lina ZHAO ; Dihong TANG ; Xiumin LI ; Buzhen TAN ; Ruifang AN ; Xiaohui ZHENG ; Meimei SI ; Baihui ZHANG ; Lingyan LI ; Xiaoyan KANG ; Qi ZHOU ; Jihong LIU
Journal of Gynecologic Oncology 2024;35(6):e77-
Objective:
QL1604 is a highly selective, humanized monoclonal antibody against programmed death protein 1. We assessed the efficacy and safety of QL1604 plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment in patients with advanced cervical cancer.
Methods:
This was a multicenter, open-label, single-arm, phase II study. Patients with advanced cervical cancer and not previously treated with systemic chemotherapy were enrolled to receive QL1604 plus paclitaxel and cisplatin/carboplatin on day 1 of each 21-day cycle for up to 6 cycles, followed by QL1604 maintenance treatment.
Results:
Forty-six patients were enrolled and the median follow-up duration was 16.5 months. An 84.8% of patients had recurrent disease and 13.0% had stage IVB disease. The objective response rate (ORR) per Response Evaluation Criteria in Advanced Solid Tumors (RECIST) v1.1 was 58.7% (27/46). The immune ORR per immune RECIST was 60.9% (28/46).The median duration of response was 9.6 months (95% confidence interval [CI]=5.5–not estimable). The median progression-free survival was 8.1 months (95% CI=5.7–14.0). Fortyfive (97.8%) patients experienced treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs). The most common grade≥3 TRAEs (>30%) were neutrophil count decrease (50.0%), anemia (32.6%), and white blood cell count decrease (30.4%).
Conclusion
QL1604 plus paclitaxel-cisplatin/carboplatin showed promising antitumor activity and manageable safety profile as first-line treatment in patients with advanced cervical cancer. Programmed cell death protein 1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy may be a potential treatment option for the patient population who have contraindications or can’t tolerate bevacizumab, which needs to be further verified in phase III confirmatory study.
10.An evidence-based predictive model for early recurrence risk after hepatocellular carcinoma surgery and external validation study
Wenkao ZHOU ; Fangli ZHAO ; Jiajia CHEN ; Lei CHEN ; Lingyan HUANG ; Yue WANG ; Huimin TANG
Cancer Research and Clinic 2024;36(11):835-842
Objective:To construct an evidence-based prediction model for early recurrence after surgery of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on Meta-analysis and to do external validation study.Methods:The literatures in Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, VIP, Chinese Science Citation Database (CSCD), Chinese Social Science Citation System (CCSCI), PubMed, Web of Science and IEEE databases between January 2019 and December 2023 were searched based on the subject words. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 9 literatures were included to screen the risk factors affecting the early recurrence of HCC. When the same risk factor was found in ≥5 included literatures, Meta-analysis was performed by using Review Manager 5.4.1 software. External validation data were collected from 401 patients with primary HCC who underwent surgery in Liaoning Cancer Hospital between March 2014 and March 2017. The patients were divided into early recurrence group (176 cases) and early non-recurrence group (225 cases) according to whether they relapsed 2 years after surgery. The OR values of all risk factors obtained in the Meta-analysis were converted into modeling, and postoperative early recurrence rate of HCC in the Meta-analysis was used to calculate β 0, and finally the logistic model was obtained. The OR value was incorporated into the logit (P) model, and the morbidity (P) of the external validation data was calculated. Taking the recurrence 2 years after surgery or not as the dependent variable and P as the independent variable, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to calculate the area under the curve (AUC). Results:A total of 8 risk factors for early HCC recurrence were screened out from 9 literatures (x 1: alpha-fetoprotein ≥ 400 ng/ml; x 2: tumor number ≥ 2; x 3: the longest tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm; x 4: Barcelona staging B-C; x 5: microvascular invasion; x 6: moderate to low differentiation; x 7: incomplete capsule; x 8: nonanatomic hepatectomy). The Meta-analysis included 1 757 HCC cases, with 960 postoperative early recurrences and an early recurrence rate of 45.36%, finally the β 0 value was -0.201. The predictive model for 2-year recurrence of HCC was constructed and calculated as logit (P) = -0.201+0.835x 1+0.905x 2+0.783x 3+1.008x 4+0.765x 5+0.831x 6+1.533x 7+0.940x 8. Analysis of variance by external validation data showed that the differences in ascites, alpha-fetoprotein, tumor number, tumor diameter, Barcelona staging, microvascular invasion, tumor differentiation degree, capsule invasion, resection type, and systemic inflammation index were statistically significant between early recurrence group and early non-recurrence group (all P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that AUC of postoperative early recurrence of HCC predicted by the model was 0.718, (95% CI: 0.689-0.753), the optimal cut-off value was 3.11, the Yoden index was 0.288, the sensitivity was 69.32%, and the specificity was 69.56%. Conclusions:The evidence-based prediction model constructed based on Meta-analysis for postoperative early recurrence of HCC has a high predictive value. However, further verification and optimization with big data is still needed.

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