Objective:To analyze risk factors associated with false-positive results of quantitative fecal immunochemical testing (FIT), evaluate its performance for detecting advanced colorectal neoplasia across different subgroups, and explore the optimal positivity thresholds for each subgroup.Methods:Individuals who participated in the Zhejiang Colorectal Cancer Screening Program in 2020-2021, completed questionnaire-based risk assessment and quantitative FIT for initial screening, and undertook colonoscopy for confirmed diagnosis were included in this study. The information of individuals, including demographic characteristics, lifestyles, history of diseases, and family history of colorectal cancer (CRC), was collected by using questionnaires. The diagnostic outcomes of the individuals were obtained through colonoscopy and pathological examination. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify factors associated with false-positive FIT results. The optimal threshold of FIT was determined based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and 10-fold cross-validation. The effectiveness of FIT screening in different subgroups was compared using the unified threshold of 100 ng/ml or optimal positivity thresholds.Results:There were 25 874 individuals included in the analysis, with 14 694 (56.79%) having fecal hemoglobin concentrations ≥100 ng/ml. A total of 3 830 advanced adenoma cases (14.80%) and 362 CRC cases (1.40%) were identified. Age below 60 years old, females, underweight, smoking, drinking, use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, no family history of CRC, no history of intestinal disease, no history of hypertension, and physical inactivity were associated with an elevated risk of false-positive results in FIT ( P<0.05). Compared to the predetermined threshold of 100 ng/ml, the false positive rate (FPR) of quantitative FIT decreased from 52.3% to 37.3% in all individuals, and decreased by more than 20% in females, individuals with normal weight, smokers, and those without a history of intestinal disease when adopting the optimal threshold (all P<0.001). Conclusion:The risk of false-positive results in quantitative FIT varies across different subgroups. Adopting the optimal thresholds could improve the specificity and reduce the FPR of quantitative FIT for CRC screening.

Objective:To analyze the current status and trends of lung cancer incidence and mortality in China and selected global regions, providing evidence for lung cancer prevention strategies in China.Methods:We extracted data from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database. Age-standardized Incidence rate (ASIR) and Age-standardized Mortality rate (ASMR) were calculated using Segi's world standard population. Epidemiological patterns were analyzed by region, age, sex, and human development index (HDI). Simple linear regression and Spearman's rank correlation coefficient were used to examine associations between HDI and ASIR/ASMR.Results:In 2022, global lung cancer incidence and mortality reached 2.48 million and 1.82 million cases respectively, with age-standardized rates of 23.6 per 100 000 (ASIR) and 16.8 per 100 000 (ASMR). Gender disparities were prominent, with male ASIR and ASMR being 2.0-fold and 2.5-fold higher than females. Elderly populations showed 11.6-fold higher ASIR and 14.4-fold higher ASMR compared to working-age adults. HDI demonstrated strong positive correlations with both ASIR ( r=0.79, P＜0.001) and ASMR ( r=0.74, P＜0.001). China accounted for 1.06 million new cases and 0.73 million deaths, with ASIR (40.8 per 100 000) and ASMR (26.7 per 100 000) exceeding global averages by 1.7-fold and 1.6-fold respectively. Chinese males showed 1.7-fold higher ASIR and 2.7-fold higher ASMR than females. Trend analysis revealed persistently high male incidence in China whereas rapidly increasing female rates, narrowing gender disparities. Projections estimate 1.80 million incident cases and 1.41 million deaths by 2050, representing 69.3% and 92.0% increases from 2022 levels. Conclusions:Significant heterogeneity exists in lung cancer burden across demographics and development levels, with strong HDI correlations. China bears disproportionate disease burden, necessitating intensified prevention efforts. These findings underscore the urgency of targeted interventions in high-risk populations.

Objective:To investigate the association between different types of lung nodules and the risk of lung cancer in a population at high risk of lung cancer and to provide an epidemiologic basis for the comprehensive management of lung nodules.Methods:Using the free lung cancer screening program of low-dose CT (LDCT) in Wenling, Zhejiang Province, we collected baseline and imaging information of high-risk groups for lung cancer who underwent LDCT screening from April 2019 to October 2021 and patients with previous history of lung cancer, tuberculosis, pneumoconiosis, and silicosis were excluded. A total of 28 539 study subjects were included in the analysis, and the follow-up ended on 31 December 2023. Based on the characteristics of the detected pulmonary nodules, the study subjects were classified with no nodules, with solid nodules, with pure ground glass nodules, and with part solid nodules groups. The association between different characteristics of lung nodules and the risk of lung cancer development was analyzed using the Cox proportional hazard regression model with a new diagnosis of lung cancer during the follow-up period as the outcome.Results:The overall detection rate of lung nodules with a mean diameter of ≥3 mm was 76.5%, of which 53.7%, 18.2%, and 4.6% were detected in the solid nodule, pure ground glass nodule, and partially solid nodule groups, respectively. There were statistically significant differences between the different nodule groups in terms of age, gender, BMI, history of toxic exposure education level, smoking status, history of lung disease, and family history of lung cancer (all P<0.05). The median follow-up time of the study population was 3.4 years, and 485 new lung cancer cases were diagnosed during the follow-up period. After adjusting for covariates, the results of multifactorial Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis showed that the risk of lung cancer was higher in pure ground glass nodules and part solid nodules compared with solid nodules, with HR values (95% CI) of 1.89 (1.52-2.35) and 6.49 (5.18-8.14), respectively. The results of subgroup analysis showed that patients in the group of part solid nodules had the highest risk of lung cancer in all strata of the population, followed by patients with pure ground glass nodules. Patients in the solid nodule group who were older or had previous lung disease had a higher risk of lung cancer, and the risk of lung cancer in the part solid nodule group differed between genders. Conclusions:The proportion of lung nodules detected is high in the high-risk group of lung cancer, and among them, patients with pure ground glass and part solid nodules have a higher risk of developing lung cancer. Attention should be paid to the annual follow-up management for patients with solid nodules who are older or who have had lung diseases, as well as for female patients with part solid nodules.

Objective:To comprehensively evaluate the cost and cost-effectiveness of the colorectal cancer screening program for key populations in Zhejiang Province from 2020 to 2022, and provide reference for optimizing colorectal cancer screening strategies.Methods:Based on the colorectal cancer screening program for key populations in Zhejiang Province from 2020 to 2022, parameters such as initial screening positivity rates, colonoscopy compliance rates, and detection rates for colorectal-related lesions among residents aged 50-74 were obtained. Questionnaire surveys assessed program costs and direct medical costs associated with colorectal cancer-related lesions. From a health system perspective, the cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated using the Early Detection Cost Index (EDCI) and the cost per detected case, followed by sensitivity analysis.Results:A total of 5 881 364 screenings were completed from 2020 to 2022. The initial screening positive rate (positive for either questionnaire or fecal immunochemical testing ) was 16.83%, with a colonoscopy compliance rates of 33.96% ( n=336 150). Detection rates for non-advanced adenomas, advanced adenomas, and colorectal cancer were 24.83% ( n=83 453), 11.91% ( n=40 033), and 1.01% ( n=3 397), respectively. Initial screening positivity rates and detection rates increased with age, while colonoscopy compliance rates decreased with age. Cost analysis showed a total project investment of 378 730 457 yuan, with initial screening costing 146 633 103 yuan (38.72%) and diagnostic colonoscopy 232 097 354 yuan (61.28%). The average cost per initial screening and diagnostic colonoscopy was 24.93 and 690.46 yuan, respectively. Direct medical costs for non-advanced adenomas, advanced adenomas, and colorectal cancer at stages Ⅰ, Ⅱ, Ⅲ, and Ⅳ were 4 921, 8 380, 42 547, 62 156, 66 720, and 72 334 yuan, respectively. Cost-effectiveness analysis indicated that screening needed to detect one case of colorectal cancer required 1 731 people and cost 111 490 yuan; the cost per detected advanced adenoma was 9 460 yuan, and the EDCI was 0.09. Costs decreased with increasing age per detected colorectal lesion. Sensitivity analysis showed that increasing colonoscopy compliance could reduce the cost-effectiveness ratio. Conclusions:The colorectal cancer screening program for key populations in Zhejiang Province demonstrates cost-effectiveness. Improving colonoscopy compliance can enhance overall screening effectiveness and economic benefits.

Objective:To analyze the epidemiological patterns and temporal trends of gastric cancer incidence and mortality in China and globally, and to formulate evidence-based prevention strategies.Methods:Based on the GLOBOCAN 2022 database, we evaluated gastric cancer incidence and mortality patterns stratified by sex, age group, geographic region and human development index (HDI). Simple linear regression and Spearman's correlation analysis assessed associations between HDI and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) or age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR). Temporal trends from 2002 to 2020 were described in selected regions, and projections of global gastric cancer burden by 2050 were estimated.Results:In 2022, there were estimated 969 000 new gastric cases and 660 000 deaths worldwide. The burden was higher in men than in women, with incidence peaking at ages 65-69 and mortality at 70-74. ASIR was weakly correlated with HDI ( r=0.261, P＜0.001), while no significant association was found between HDI and ASMR ( r=-0.005, P=0.947). China accounted for 359 000 new cases and 260 000 deaths, representing 37.0% and 39.4% of the global totals, respectively. Both ASIR (13.7/10 5) and ASMR (9.4/10 5) in China exceeded the global averages (9.2/10 5 and 6.1/10 5, respectively). Although the overall global burden is decreasing, absolute case numbers are projected to increase by 84.1% (1.78 million cases) and deaths by 91.2% (1.26 million cases) by 2050. High-HDI regions will bear greater absolute burdens, whereas low-HDI regions face steeper relative increases. In China, new cases and deaths are projected to reach 607 000 and 504 000 by 2050, rising by 69.1% and 93.8%, respectively. Conclusions:Despite a declining global trend, the burden of gastric cancer remains substantial, with notable disparities across regions, sex and age groups. Targeted strategies are urgently needed, particularly in East Asia, among males, and older populations, to mitigate the future burden.

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of thyroid cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas in 2021 and trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]Based on cancer data from 22 registries across Zhejiang Province between 2000 and 2021,the crude incidence/mortality rates,age-standardized incidence/mortality rates of thyroid cancer by Chinese and world standard population(ASIRC/ASMRC,ASIRW/ASMRW),cumulative rate(0～74 years old)and truncated rate(35～64 years old)were analyzed.Joinpoint regression model was employed to calculate the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)with 95％confidence in-terval(CI)for analyzing trends of thyroid cancer incidence and mortality rates from 2000 to 2021.[Results]The crude incidence rate of thyroid cancer increased from 3.62/105 in 2000 to 79.66/105 in 2021,and ASIRC rose from 3.11/105 to 69.49/105(AAPC=15.55％,95％CI:14.65％～16.61％).The AAPC for ASIRC was slightly higher in female(15.54％,95％CI:14.71％～16.49％)than that in male(15.02％,95％CI:13.53％～16.82％).The increase was significantly more pronounced in rural areas(AAPC=23.34％,95％CI:21.48％～25.33％)compared to urban areas(AAPC=14.12％,95％CI:13.15％～15.43％).Among age groups,the age group of 15～44 years old showed the fastest increase in crude incidence rate(AAPC=20.37％,95％CI:18.46％～22.31％),followed by the age group of 45～64 years old(AAPC=18.41％,95％CI:16.65％～20.19％).Between 2000 and 2021,the crude mortality rate of thyroid cancer rose from 0.34/105 to 0.56/105(AAPC=5.52％,95％CI:3.45％～7.70％),the trend of ASMRC was relatively stable.[Conclusion]From 2000 to 2021,the incidence of thyroid cancer in Zhejiang Province increased markedly,especially among females and younger to middle-aged adults,while the age-standardized mortality rate remained stable.

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of lung cancer in Zhejiang cancer regi-stration areas in 2021 and trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]Using data from Zhejiang cancer registration areas from 2000 to 2021,the crude rate,age-standardized rate by Chinese standard population(ASRC)and the world standard population(ASRW),and composition ratio were calcu-lated to describe the incidence and mortality in 2021.Joinpoint regression was employed to ana-lyze temporal trends over the 22 years,calculating the annual percentage change(APC),average annual percentage change(AAPC),and their 95％confidence intervals(CI).[Results]The crude incidence rate of lung cancer in 2021 was 128.58/105,with an ASRC of 68.74/105,ac-counting for 24.22％of all cancers;the crude mortality rate was 51.55/105,with an ASRC of 21.58/105,constituting 27.98％of all cancer deaths.Both crude incidence rate(AAPC=5.73％,P＜0.001)and ASIRC(AAPC=4.14％,P＜0.001)of lung cancer showed significant increasing trends from 2000 to 2021.The crude mortality rate increased slowly(AAPC=1.76％,P＜0.001),while the ASMRC(AAPC=-0.40％,P=0.035)exhibited a modest decline.The increase in incidence was more pronounced in females than males,though no statistically significant difference was observed in mortality trends.The incidence rates in urban and rural areas showed similar growth trends;the crude mortality rate in rural areas was growing significantly faster than that in urban areas,and the decline in the ASRC was only statistically significant in urban areas.The incidence rate was in-creasing in all age groups.The mortality rate was declining among younger people(＜65 years old).The age group of 15～44 years old demonstrated a greater increase in incidence and a sharper decline in mortality than those aged 45 years old and above.[Conclusion]From 2000 to 2021,Zhejiang Province experienced a marked rise in lung cancer incidence with escalating disease burden.Despite severe population aging,ASRC of mortality declined steadily,reflecting effective prevention and control measures.

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas in 2021 and the trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]Data of prostate cancer incidence and mortality in Zhejiang cancer registration areas from 2000 to 2021 were collected.The crude incidence/mortality rates,age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese stan-dard population(ASIRC/ASMRC)and world standard population(ASIRW/ASMRW),cumulative rates(0～74 years old)were calculated.Joinpoint regression model was used to estimate the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)to assess trends.[Results]In 2021,6 683 new prostate cancer cases were reported in Zhejiang cancer registration areas,the crude incidence rate and ASIRC of prostate cancer were 61.21/105 and 26.78/105,respec-tively.The number of prostate cancer deaths was 1 036,the crude mortality rate and ASMRC were 9.49/105 and 3.28/105,respectively.From 2000 to 2021,a total of 30 876 new prostate cancer cases and 7 458 deaths were reported.The average crude incidence rate was 25.50/105,and the ASIRC was 13.35/105;the crude mortality rate and ASMRC rates were 6.16/105 and 2.82/105,respectively.The ASIRC was higher in urban areas(13.58/105)than that in rural areas(12.84/105),while the ASMRC was lower in urban areas(2.60/105)than that in rural areas(3.33/105).From 2000 to 2021,both the ASIRC and ASMRC showed significant upward trends in Zhejiang cancer registration areas with AAPC of 13.88％(95％CI:11.43％～16.08％,P＜0.001)and 4.35％(95％CI:2.21％～6.18％,P＜0.001),respectively.[Conclusion]Prostate cancer incidence in Zhejiang Province had risen rapidly in last two decades,with rural areas facing a heavier mortality burden.Special attention should be paid to the elderly male population in rural areas,and the three-level prevention strategy should be strengthened to reduce the disease burden.

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of gastric cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas in 2021,and trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]The data of gastric cancer were obtained from Zhejiang cancer registration areas.The crude incidence/mortality rates,age-specific rates,and age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese standard population(ASRC)and the world standard population(ASRW)were calculated.The temporal trends were ana-lyzed by calculating annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC).[Results]A total of 7 602 new cases and 4 178 deaths of gastric cancer were reported in 2021.The incidence and mortality rates of gastric cancer in men were significantly higher than those in women;the incidence rate in urban areas was significantly higher than that in rural areas,while the mortality was slightly lower than that in rural areas.From 2000 to 2021,the ASRC of inci-dence rate decreased from 16.80/105 to 16.08/105(without statistical significance):an upward trend was observed from 2000 to 2009,whereas a downward trend became apparent from 2009 to 2021.From 2000 to 2021 the ASRC of mortality rate decreased from 13.59/105 to 8.02/105 with an AAPC of-2.62％(P＜0.001).The decline rate of female mortality rate(AAPC=-2.68％,95％CI:-3.61％～-1.68％,P＜0.001)was slightly higher than that of male(AAPC=-2.44％,95％CI:-3.06％～-1.61％,P＜0.001).[Conclusion]In 2021,both the incidence and mortality rates of gastric can-cer in Zhejiang Province were lower than the national average in China,which ranked 6th and 4th among all types of cancer.From 2000 to 2021,the overall burden of gastric cancer in Zhejiang Province showed a downward trend.

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of female breast cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas in 2021 and the trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]The data of cancer inci-dence,mortality and population data reported by cancer registration areas in Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2021 were collected.The crude incidence/mortality rates,age-standardized rates ad-justed by Chinese standard population(ASIRC,ASMRC)and world standard population(ASIRW,ASMRW),cumulative rates(0～74 years old),truncated rates(35～64 years old),proportion of fe-male breast cancer and age-specific rate were calculated.The average annual percentage change(AAPC)of female breast cancer incidence and mortality rates in Zhejiang from 2000 to 2021 was calculated using Joinpoint software.[Results]In 2021,there were 7 262 new cases of female breast cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas,accounting for 12.70％of all new female can-cer cases.The crude incidence rate,ASIRC and ASIRW were 65.71/105,42.03/105 and 39.22/105,respectively.The cumulative incidence rate(0～74 years old)was 4.26％,and the truncated rate(35～64 years old)was 98.34/105.The ASIRC in urban and rural areas were 43.15/105 and 40.15/105,respectively.There were 992 deaths of female breast cancer,accounting for 6.97％of all female cancer deaths.The crude mortality rate,ASMRC and ASMRW were 8.98/105,4.62/105 and 4.47/105,respectively.The cumulative mortality rate(0～74 years old)was 0.48％,and the truncated rate(35～64 years old)was 8.89/105.The ASMRC in urban and rural areas were 4.79/105 and 4.34/105,respectively.The incidence rate of female breast cancer reached the peak at the age group of 60～64 years old,and the mortality rate reached the peak at the age group of 85 years old and above.From 2000 to 2021,the crude incidence rate,ASIRC and ASIRW of female breast cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas showed significant increasing trends(all P＜0.05).The crude mortality rate and ASMRW of female breast cancer also showed significant increasing trends(all P＜0.05).[Conclusion]The incidence rate of female breast cancer in Zhejiang Province was higher than the national average,while the mortality rate was lower than the national average in 2021.Both the incidence and mortality rates showed increasing trends from 2000 to 2021.Fur-thermore,distinct urban-rural disparities existed in both incidence and mortality characteristics.