Objective: To create a prediction model for stroke risk among middle-aged and elderly populations, so as to provide a basis for early identification of high-risk population for stroke. Methods: From October to December 2023, residents aged ≥45 years in Chongchuan District, Nantong City, Jiangsu Province were selected using a multi-stage stratified random sampling method. The demographic information, life behavior, and chronic disease data were collected through a questionnaire survey. The standardized prevalence of stroke was calculated using data from the seventh National Population Census. The subjects were randomly divided into the training set and the internal validation set according to the ratio of 8∶2. The basic demographic information, life behavior, and chronic diseases of residents aged ≥45 years in Rugao City were collected from July to August 2023 as the external validation set. Predictive factors were selected using multivariable logistic regression model, and a nomogram for stroke among residents aged ≥45 years was established. The prediction effect was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test. Results: A total of 6 290 residents aged ≥45 years were included, including 2 975 males (47.30%) and 3 315 females (52.70%). The average age was (61.90±10.20) years. The prevalence of stroke was 3.80%, and the standardized prevalence was 3.36%. The multivariable logistic regression showed that age, smoking, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were predictors of stroke risk among residents aged ≥45 years, and the prediction model was ln[p/(1-p)]=-4.619+0.046×age+0.383×smoking+0.887×hypertension+0.678×hyperlipidemia. The AUC values of the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set were 0.748, 0.755, and 0.738, respectively. The consistency indexes were 0.748, 0.755, and 0.738, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test showed a good fitting effect (P>0.05). Conclusion The prediction model based on age, smoking, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia has good discrimination and calibration, and can be used to predict the risk of stroke among middle-aged and elderly populations aged ≥45 years.

Objective: To investigate trends in incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in Nantong City, Jiangsu Province from 2013 to 2022. Methods: Data on incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer from 2013 to 2022 in Nantong City were collected through the Nantong City cancer registry. The crude incidence, crude mortality, average age at onset, and average age at death of colorectal cancer were calculated. Chinese population-standardized incidence, Chinese population-standardized mortality, Chinese population-standardized average age at onset and Chinese population-standardized average age at death were calculated using the age structure of the standard population from the Fifth National Population Census in 2000. Trends in incidence and mortality of lung cancer from 2013 to 2022 were evaluated using average annual percent change (AAPC). Trends in the Chinese population-standardized average age at onset and Chinese population-standardized average age at death of lung cancer from 2013 to 2022 were evaluated using the linear regression model. Results: From 2013 to 2022, the crude incidence and Chinese population-standardized incidence of colorectal cancer in Nantong City increased from 33.63/105 and 16.05/105 to 53.82/105 and 19.62/105, respectively, showing upward trends (AAPC=5.665% and 2.467%, both P<0.05). The crude mortality increased from 15.99/105 in 2013 to 25.65/105 in 2022, also showing an upward trend (AAPC=5.514%, P<0.05), while no statistically significant trend was found in the Chinese population-standardized mortality (P>0.05). The Chinese population-standardized incidence of colorectal cancer showed upward trends in both males and females (AAPC=2.666% and 1.790%, both P<0.05). The Chinese population-standardized mortality showed an upward trend in males (AAPC=1.966%, P<0.05), but no statistically significant trend was found in females (P>0.05). The crude incidence of colorectal cancer in the groups aged 40-<50 years, 50-<60 years, 60-<70 years, 70-<80 years, and ≥80 years showed upward trends (AAPC=4.045%, 2.833%, 2.300%, 1.948%, and 1.775%, all P<0.05), and the crude mortality in the group aged ≥80 years showed an upward trend (AAPC=3.240%, P<0.05). The average age at onset of colorectal cancer increased at an annual average of 0.156 years (P<0.05), while the trend in the Chinese population-standardized average age at onset was not statistically significant (P>0.05). The average age at death and the Chinese population-standardized average age at death increased at an annual average of 0.325 and 0.153 years, respectively (both P<0.05). Conclusions From 2013 to 2022, both the crude incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in Nantong City showed upward trends. Males and individuals aged ≥40 years faced a higher risk of both incidence and mortality. It is recommended to implement comprehensive prevention and control measures targeting these high-risk populations to reduce the burden of colorectal cancer.

Objective To make an epidemiological investigation on traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)dampness syndrome manifestations in the population at risk of cerebrovascular diseases in Guangdong area.Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted to analyze the clinical data related to the risk of cerebrovascular diseases in 330 Guangdong permanent residents.The diagnosis of dampness syndrome,quantitative scoring of dampness syndrome and rating of the risk of stroke were performed for the investigation of the distribution pattern of dampness syndrome and its influencing factors.Results(1)A total of 306(92.73%)study subjects were diagnosed as dampness syndrome.The percentage of dampness syndrome in the risk group was 93.82%(258/275),which was slightly higher than that of the healthy group(48/55,87.27%),but the difference was not statistically significant(χ2 = 2.91,P = 0.112).The quantitative score of dampness syndrome in the risk group was higher than that of the healthy group,and the difference was statistically significance(Z =-2.24,P = 0.025).(2)Among the study subjects at risk of cerebrovascular disease,evaluation time(χ2 = 26.11,P = 0.001),stroke risk grading(χ2= 8.85,P = 0.031),and history of stroke or transient ischemic attack(TIA)(χ2 = 9.28,P = 0.015)were the factors influencing the grading of dampness syndrome in the population at risk of cerebrovascular disease.Conclusion Dampness syndrome is the common TCM syndrome in the population of Guangdong area.The manifestations of dampness syndrome are more obvious in the population with risk factors of cerebrovascular disease,especially in the population at high risk of stroke,and in the population with a history of stroke or TIA.The assessment and intervention of dampness syndrome should be taken into account for future project of stroke prevention in Guangdong.

Objective To explore the improving effects of motion sickness acclimatization training methods,namely sinusoidal vertical oscillation stimulation and sinusoidal vertical oscillation stimulation combined with visual virtual reality(VR)swell stimulation,on cognitive performance of individuals with extremely severe motion sickness.Methods A total of 90 individuals with extremely severe motion sickness screened by the Graybiel score during 6 h navigation were randomly divided into vertical group,vertical+VR group,and control group(n=30).The abilities of vigilance,memory,rapid calculation,information processing and visual manipulation were evaluated before and after the acclimatization training using a self-developed cognitive performance evaluation software.Results On the 1st day of training,the numbers of missed targets of the vertical group and vertical+VR group were increased in the vigilance test;the reaction time was prolonged in the short-term memory,rapid calculation,information processing and visual manipulation tasks;and the efficiency of rapid calculation was reduced.After acclimatization training,the numbers of missed targets were reduced to the baseline level in the vertical and vertical+VR groups,and the reaction time in the short-term memory,rapid calculation,information processing and visual manipulation tasks and the efficiency of rapid calculation were improved.Conclusion Motion sickness caused by vertical oscillation stimulation or vertical oscillation combined with visual VR swell stimulation can decrease vigilance,short-term memory,rapid calculation,information processing and visual manipulation abilities.Motion sickness acclimatization training can significantly improve the above cognitive abilities.

Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis(PM),and drug sensitivity of Streptococcus pneumoniae(SP)isolates in Chinese children.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical information,laboratory data,and microbiological data of 160 hospitalized children under 15 years old with PM from January 2019 to December 2020 in 33 tertiary hospitals across the country.Results Among the 160 children with PM,there were 103 males and 57 females.The age ranged from 15 days to 15 years,with 109 cases(68.1% )aged 3 months to under 3 years.SP strains were isolated from 95 cases(59.4% )in cerebrospinal fluid cultures and from 57 cases(35.6% )in blood cultures.The positive rates of SP detection by cerebrospinal fluid metagenomic next-generation sequencing and cerebrospinal fluid SP antigen testing were 40% (35/87)and 27% (21/78),respectively.Fifty-five cases(34.4% )had one or more risk factors for purulent meningitis,113 cases(70.6% )had one or more extra-cranial infectious foci,and 18 cases(11.3% )had underlying diseases.The most common clinical symptoms were fever(147 cases,91.9% ),followed by lethargy(98 cases,61.3% )and vomiting(61 cases,38.1% ).Sixty-nine cases(43.1% )experienced intracranial complications during hospitalization,with subdural effusion and/or empyema being the most common complication[43 cases(26.9% )],followed by hydrocephalus in 24 cases(15.0% ),brain abscess in 23 cases(14.4% ),and cerebral hemorrhage in 8 cases(5.0% ).Subdural effusion and/or empyema and hydrocephalus mainly occurred in children under 1 year old,with rates of 91% (39/43)and 83% (20/24),respectively.SP strains exhibited complete sensitivity to vancomycin(100% ,75/75),linezolid(100% ,56/56),and meropenem(100% ,6/6).High sensitivity rates were also observed for levofloxacin(81% ,22/27),moxifloxacin(82% ,14/17),rifampicin(96% ,25/26),and chloramphenicol(91% ,21/23).However,low sensitivity rates were found for penicillin(16% ,11/68)and clindamycin(6% ,1/17),and SP strains were completely resistant to erythromycin(100% ,31/31).The rates of discharge with cure and improvement were 22.5% (36/160)and 66.2% (106/160),respectively,while 18 cases(11.3% )had adverse outcomes.Conclusions Pediatric PM is more common in children aged 3 months to under 3 years.Intracranial complications are more frequently observed in children under 1 year old.Fever is the most common clinical manifestation of PM,and subdural effusion/emphysema and hydrocephalus are the most frequent complications.Non-culture detection methods for cerebrospinal fluid can improve pathogen detection rates.Adverse outcomes can be noted in more than 10% of PM cases.SP strains are high sensitivity to vancomycin,linezolid,meropenem,levofloxacin,moxifloxacin,rifampicin,and chloramphenicol.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):131-138]

Objective To investigate the incidence rate,clinical characteristics,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China.Methods Led by Shenzhen Children's Hospital,the Shenzhen Neonatal Data Collaboration Network organized 21 institutions to collect 36 cases of neonatal stroke from January 2020 to December 2022.The incidence,clinical characteristics,treatment,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen were analyzed.Results The incidence rate of neonatal stroke in 21 hospitals from 2020 to 2022 was 1/15 137,1/6 060,and 1/7 704,respectively.Ischemic stroke accounted for 75％(27/36);boys accounted for 64％(23/36).Among the 36 neonates,31(86％)had disease onset within 3 days after birth,and 19(53％)had convulsion as the initial presentation.Cerebral MRI showed that 22 neonates(61％)had left cerebral infarction and 13(36％)had basal ganglia infarction.Magnetic resonance angiography was performed for 12 neonates,among whom 9(75％)had involvement of the middle cerebral artery.Electroencephalography was performed for 29 neonates,with sharp waves in 21 neonates(72％)and seizures in 10 neonates(34％).Symptomatic/supportive treatment varied across different hospitals.Neonatal Behavioral Neurological Assessment was performed for 12 neonates(33％,12/36),with a mean score of(32±4)points.The prognosis of 27 neonates was followed up to around 12 months of age,with 44％(12/27)of the neonates having a good prognosis.Conclusions Ischemic stroke is the main type of neonatal stroke,often with convulsions as the initial presentation,involvement of the middle cerebral artery,sharp waves on electroencephalography,and a relatively low neurodevelopment score.Symptomatic/supportive treatment is the main treatment method,and some neonates tend to have a poor prognosis.

Objectives:We aimed to compare the impact of dissection and re-entry(DR)recanalizing pattern with non-DR on the in-hospital results and prognostic outcomes of patients treated successfully by percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI)of chronic total occlusion(CTO)and examine the benefit of DR in CTO PCI. Methods:A total of 815 consecutive patients with CTO meeting the inclusion criteria in the Department of Cardiology of the First Affiliated Hospital of PLA Air Force Military Medical University from January 2018 to December 2020 were enrolled and divided into DR group(n=239)and non-DR group(n=576)according to whether DR recanalizing pattern was used in the procedure.The clinical characteristics,coronary angiographic characteristics,procedure results,and complications were collected,and the prognostic outcomes within one year after the procedure were observed.Propensity score matching by the clinical and coronary angiographic characteristics was performed and results were compared with 208 matched patients in each group.The endpoints were the major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)consisting of all-cause death and myocardial infarction,clinically driven target vessel revascularization(TVR)one year after the procedure,and in-hospital outcomes. Results:The mean age of all patients was(60.9±10.9)years old,and 87.4%were male.As compared with the non-DR group,the proportion of blunt cap,ambiguous,calcification,angle＞45°,and diseased landing zone,as well as mean J-CTO score was higher in the DR group(all P＜0.05).The mean stent length and median procedure time were longer in the DR group,median guidewires and consumed contrast volume was also higher in the DR group(all P＜0.001).Incidence of in-hospital death,myocardial infarction,perforation,side branch loss,bleeding of BARC 3rd grade and above,and contrast-related impairment of renal function were similar between the two groups(all P＞0.05).However,peripheral vascular complications occurred more frequently in the DR group(P=0.007).One year after the procedure,the incidence of MACE(2.9%vs.2.4%,log-rank P=0.750)and clinically driven TVR(5.8%vs.3.9%,log-rank P=0.365)as well as all-cause death(2.9%vs.1.0%,log-rank P=0.154)and myocardial infarction(0.5%vs.1.9%,log-rank P=0.184)were similar between the two matched groups.Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed no significant association between DR and MACE(HR=1.129,95%CI:0.427-2.979,P=0.807)and TVR(HR=0.606,95%CI:0.213-1.722,P=0.347).LVEF≤40%(HR=2.775,95%CI:1.137-6.774,P=0.025)and elevated residual SYNTAX score(HR=1.089,95%CI:1.032-1.150,P=0.002)were risk factors for MACE,and diseased landing zone(HR=2.144,95%CI:1.019-4.513,P=0.045),rescued ADR(HR=3.479,95%CI:1.109-10.919,P=0.033),and prolonged procedure time(HR=1.007,95%CI:1.002-1.013,P=0.007)were risk factors for TVR. Conclusions:CTO lesion recanalized with PCI utilizing DR operation pattern was associated with more complex characteristics,more devices and time consumed,and longer stent length,while no significant association was observed between DR operation pattern and MACE and TVR one year after the procedure,as well as in-hospital complication..

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality trends,and survival of gallbladder cancer in Nantong City of Jiangsu Province from 2013 to 2017.[Methods]The gallbladder cancer incidence and mortality data from 2013 to 2017 were collected from Nantong cancer registries.The crude incidence/mortality rates,age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese and world standard population(ASIRC/ASMRC,ASIRW/ASMRW)were calculated by sex,age and regions(urban and rural).Joinpoint software was used to analyze the incidence and mortality trends of gallbladder cancer.The observed survival rate and relative survival rate were calculated by using life table method and Ederer Ⅱ method.[Results]From 2013 to 2017,the gallbladder cancer crude incidence and mortality rates were 6.36/105 and 4.91/105,ASIRC and ASMRC were 2.62/105 and 1.94/105,respectively.The crude incidence and mortality,and ASMRC showed an upwards trend(all P＜0.05).The ASIRC for men and women was 2.43/105 and 2.83/105,the ASMRC for men and women was 1.74/105 and 2.16/105,respectively.ASIRC and ASMRC in women were higher than those in men.The ASIRC in urban and rural areas was 2.40/105 and 2.69/105,and the ASMRC was 1.61/105 and 2.05/105,respectively.ASIRC and ASMRC in rural areas were higher than those in urban areas.The average age of onset was 70.33 years old and the average age of death was 71.86 years old.The 5-year observed survival rate was 12.90％,and the 5-year relative survival rate was 14.47％.Both the 5-year observed survival rate and relative survival rate showed an upwards trend(both P＜0.05).[Conclusion]The incidence and mortality rates of gall-bladder cancer in Nantong City are relatively high and the survival rate is generally low.It is sug-gested that targeted prevention and control measures of gallbladder cancer in Nantong City should be strengthened,particularly in rural areas and for middle-aged and elderly women.

[Purpose]To investigate the trends of incidence and age at onset of female breast can-cer in Jiangsu cancer registration areas from 2009 to 2019.[Methods]The continuous monitoring data of female breast cancer from 2009 to 2019 were collected from 16 cancer registries in Jiangsu Province.All datasets were checked and evaluated based on data quality control criteria and were included in the analysis.Crude rate(CR),age-standardized incidence rate by Chinese standard population(ASIRC),the average annual percentage change(AAPC),crude and adjusted mean age at onset were calculated.Incidence rates stratified by regions and age groups were calculated.Age-period-cohort model was used to analyze the changes of cancer incidence and age-adjusted mean ages.[Results]The incidence CR of female breast cancer was significantly increased from 24.39/105 in 2009 to 46.72/105 in 2019 with an AAPC in CR of 6.97％(95％CI:5.26％～8.70％)and AAPC in ASIRC of 4.67％(95％CI:3.00％～6.37％).The crude mean age and adjusted mean age at onset increased from 54.10 and 52.89 years old in 2009 to 56.23 and 53.36 years old in 2019,respectively.Crude mean age at onset increased significantly over time in all registry areas(β=0.21,P＜0.001),urban(β=0.1 8,P＜0.001)and rural(β=0.25,P＜0.001)areas,while adjusted mean age at onset remained stable in all registry areas(β=0.05,P=0.024)and rural areas(β=0.09,P=0.008).From 2009 to 2019,the incidence rate of female breast cancer of all age groups showed upward trends,with an average annual growth rate of 3.26％to 7.79％(all P＜0.05),and the incidence rate in rural areas increased faster than that in urban areas.The age composition of breast cancer onset and standardized age composition of onset in women over 60 years old showed an upward trend(all P＜0.05).[Conclusion]The incidence rate of female breast cancer in Jiangsu Province in-creased from 2009 to 2019,and the mean age of onset showed a backward trend.

Objective To analyze the burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) attributable to metabolic factors in Jiangsu Province from 1990 to 2019, and to provide evidence for the formation and implementation of intervention policies. Methods Using data from Jiangsu Province from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2019), mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were selected as indicators for analysis and standardized with the age structure of the world standard population. The effects of three metabolic factors including high systolic blood pressure (SBP), high fasting glycaemic index (FPG) and high body mass index (BMI) on the disease burden of CKD were analyzed, and the attributable disease burden by gender and age was compared. Results The rank of the three attributable risk factors was high SBP, high FPG, and high BMI. Standardized mortality rates attributable to high SBP, high FPG, and high BMI all showed an overall upward trend from 1990 to 2019, with annual average percent changes (AAPCs) of 0.3%, 0.0%, and 2.8%, respectively. Age-standardized DALYs attributed to high SBP and high BMI showed increasing trends, with the AAPCs of 0.5% and 3.1% (both P＜0.05), respectively. There was no statistical significance of high FPG (P > 0.05). Mortality and disease burden attributed to high SBP both showed upward trends with increasing age. Age-standardized mortality and age-standardized DALYs attributed to high FPG peaked at 45-49 and 50-54 age-group, respectively. Both age-standardized mortality and age-standardized DALYs attributed to high BMI peaked at ages 60-64 age-group. Conclusion The trends of mortality and DALYs attributed to the three risk factors can reflect the changes of population structure and lifestyle in Jiangsu Province in the past 30 years to a certain extent. Early screening of population at high risk of CKD and targeted provision of health policies can reduce the mortality and disease burden of CKD.