1.Association between alcohol consumption and lumbar disc herniation
ZHANG Ronghua ; HU Jihong ; ZHAO Jirong ; JIN Limei ; CHEN Zhiwei ; SHAO Hong ; WANG Li ; ZHANG Zhidong ; LONG Kaichong
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(11):1129-1134
Objective:
To analyze the association between alcohol consumption and lumbar disc herniation (LDH), so as to provide a reference for the development of prevention and treatment strategies for LDH.
Methods:
From May to July 2022, permanent residents aged ≥18 years from eight counties (cities/districts) in Gansu Province were selected using a multistage stratified random sampling method. Data on basic characteristics, alcohol consumption in the past 30 days, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus were collected through questionnaire surveys. LDH was determined based on imaging findings, combined with disease history or clinical symptoms. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between alcohol consumption and LDH, with subgroup analyses conducted by gender, age, ethnicity, and altitude of residence. Propensity score matching (PSM) was utilized for sensitivity analysis.
Results:
A total of 4 545 individuals were surveyed. There were 2 026 (44.58%) males and 2 519 (55.42%) females. The mean age was (44.82±15.33) years. The study participants were predominantly of Han ethnicity, with 2 598 persons accounting for 57.17%. The altitude of residence was mainly above 3 500 m, with 1 941 persons accounting for 42.71%. There were 574 alcohol drinkers, accounting for 12.63%. LDH was detected in 1 035 cases, with a detection rate of 22.77%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for gender, age, physical activity, and hypertension, compared to non-drinking residents, alcohol-consuming residents exhibited a 27.6% reduction in the risk of LDH (OR=0.724, 95%CI: 0.544-0.963). No significant interaction effects on LDH risk were observed between alcohol consumption and gender, age, ethnicity, or altitude of residence (all Pfor interaction >0.05). The results of the sensitivity analysis indicated that compared to non-drinking residents, alcohol-consuming residents exhibited a 38.8% reduction in the risk of LDH (OR=0.612, 95%CI: 0.382-0.976).
Conclusion
Alcohol consumption was statistically associated with a lower risk of LDH.
2.A practice guideline for therapeutic drug monitoring of mycophenolic acid for solid organ transplants.
Shuang LIU ; Hongsheng CHEN ; Zaiwei SONG ; Qi GUO ; Xianglin ZHANG ; Bingyi SHI ; Suodi ZHAI ; Lingli ZHANG ; Liyan MIAO ; Liyan CUI ; Xiao CHEN ; Yalin DONG ; Weihong GE ; Xiaofei HOU ; Ling JIANG ; Long LIU ; Lihong LIU ; Maobai LIU ; Tao LIN ; Xiaoyang LU ; Lulin MA ; Changxi WANG ; Jianyong WU ; Wei WANG ; Zhuo WANG ; Ting XU ; Wujun XUE ; Bikui ZHANG ; Guanren ZHAO ; Jun ZHANG ; Limei ZHAO ; Qingchun ZHAO ; Xiaojian ZHANG ; Yi ZHANG ; Yu ZHANG ; Rongsheng ZHAO
Journal of Zhejiang University. Science. B 2025;26(9):897-914
Mycophenolic acid (MPA), the active moiety of both mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) and enteric-coated mycophenolate sodium (EC-MPS), serves as a primary immunosuppressant for maintaining solid organ transplants. Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) enhances treatment outcomes through tailored approaches. This study aimed to develop an evidence-based guideline for MPA TDM, facilitating its rational application in clinical settings. The guideline plan was drawn from the Institute of Medicine and World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. Using the Delphi method, clinical questions and outcome indicators were generated. Systematic reviews, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) evidence quality evaluations, expert opinions, and patient values guided evidence-based suggestions for the guideline. External reviews further refined the recommendations. The guideline for the TDM of MPA (IPGRP-2020CN099) consists of four sections and 16 recommendations encompassing target populations, monitoring strategies, dosage regimens, and influencing factors. High-risk populations, timing of TDM, area under the curve (AUC) versus trough concentration (C0), target concentration ranges, monitoring frequency, and analytical methods are addressed. Formulation-specific recommendations, initial dosage regimens, populations with unique considerations, pharmacokinetic-informed dosing, body weight factors, pharmacogenetics, and drug-drug interactions are covered. The evidence-based guideline offers a comprehensive recommendation for solid organ transplant recipients undergoing MPA therapy, promoting standardization of MPA TDM, and enhancing treatment efficacy and safety.
Mycophenolic Acid/administration & dosage*
;
Drug Monitoring/methods*
;
Humans
;
Organ Transplantation
;
Immunosuppressive Agents/administration & dosage*
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Delphi Technique
3.Evaluation of left atrial structural and functional changes in amateur ultra-marathon athletes by three-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography
Li CHEN ; Bo LI ; Cunxin YANG ; Limei LONG ; Hebin ZHANG ; Ying MA
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(2):122-128
Objective:To evaluate the structural and functional changes of the left atrium in amateur ultra-marathon runners using ultrasound three-dimensional speckle tracking imaging technology.Methods:From June 2023 to June 2024,90 amateur marathon athletes were retrospectively recruited,including 44 amateur ultra-marathon(running distance ≥50 km)athletes(Ultra-marathon,UM group)and 46 amateur classic marathon(running distance<50 km)athletes(Marathon,M group). Another 39 healthy volunteers who underwent physical examinations in Hangzhou Normal University Affiliated Hospital at the same time were selected as the control group. The distance,running age of amateur marathon runners were recorded. All subjects which underwent conventional echocardiography combined with three-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography(3D-STE)obtained left atrial volume and functional parameters,including two-dimensional ultrasound indicators such as left atrial anterior posterior diameter(LAd),left ventricular end-diastolic diameter(LVEDd),left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),early diastolic peak velocity at the mitral valve orifice(E),and early diastolic peak velocity at the lateral mitral annulus(e'),E/e',left atrial minimum,maximum,presystolic volumes(LAVmin,LAVmax,LAVpreA),left atrial maximum volume index(LAVImax),left atrial emptying volume(LAEV),overall left atrial ejection fraction,active and passive ejection fraction(LAEF,LAaEF,LApEF),left atrial expansion index(LAEI),left atrial reservoir period,conduit period,systolic long axis and circumferential strain(LASr,LAScd,LASct,LASr-c,LAScd-c,LASct-c). The differences in left atrial parameters among three groups were compared and the relevant factors affecting LAEF were analyzed.Results:There were statistically significant differences in LAd,LVEDd,LAVmin,LAVmax,LAVpreA,LAVImax,and LAEV among the three groups(all P<0.05),and there were statistically significant differences in pairwise comparisons between the groups(all P<0.05). Compared with the control group,LAEF,LApEF,LASr,LAScd,LASct,LASr-c,LAScd-c and LASct-c were significantly reduced in the M and UM groups(all P<0.05),while there were no statistically significant differences in these parameters between the UM and M groups(all P>0.05);There were no statistically significant differences in IVSd,LVEF,E/e',LAEI,and LAaEF among the 3 groups(all P>0.05).There were no statistically significant differences in IVSd,LVEF,E/e',LAaEF and LAEI among the 3 groups(all P>0.05). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that only weekly running volume was an independent predictor of decreased LAEF in amateur marathon runners. The repeatability test indicated good consistency within and between observers. Conclusions:Amateur marathon runners have varying degrees of damage to their left atrial reservoir function,conduit function,and contraction function,with amateur ultra-marathon runners showing more significant damages,3D-STE technology can evaluate the structural and functional changes in the left atrium in amateur ultra-marathon athletes,and assist clinical understanding of atrial adaptation in amateur ultra- marathon athletes.
4.Evaluation of left atrial structural and functional changes in amateur ultra-marathon athletes by three-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography
Li CHEN ; Bo LI ; Cunxin YANG ; Limei LONG ; Hebin ZHANG ; Ying MA
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(2):122-128
Objective:To evaluate the structural and functional changes of the left atrium in amateur ultra-marathon runners using ultrasound three-dimensional speckle tracking imaging technology.Methods:From June 2023 to June 2024,90 amateur marathon athletes were retrospectively recruited,including 44 amateur ultra-marathon(running distance ≥50 km)athletes(Ultra-marathon,UM group)and 46 amateur classic marathon(running distance<50 km)athletes(Marathon,M group). Another 39 healthy volunteers who underwent physical examinations in Hangzhou Normal University Affiliated Hospital at the same time were selected as the control group. The distance,running age of amateur marathon runners were recorded. All subjects which underwent conventional echocardiography combined with three-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography(3D-STE)obtained left atrial volume and functional parameters,including two-dimensional ultrasound indicators such as left atrial anterior posterior diameter(LAd),left ventricular end-diastolic diameter(LVEDd),left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),early diastolic peak velocity at the mitral valve orifice(E),and early diastolic peak velocity at the lateral mitral annulus(e'),E/e',left atrial minimum,maximum,presystolic volumes(LAVmin,LAVmax,LAVpreA),left atrial maximum volume index(LAVImax),left atrial emptying volume(LAEV),overall left atrial ejection fraction,active and passive ejection fraction(LAEF,LAaEF,LApEF),left atrial expansion index(LAEI),left atrial reservoir period,conduit period,systolic long axis and circumferential strain(LASr,LAScd,LASct,LASr-c,LAScd-c,LASct-c). The differences in left atrial parameters among three groups were compared and the relevant factors affecting LAEF were analyzed.Results:There were statistically significant differences in LAd,LVEDd,LAVmin,LAVmax,LAVpreA,LAVImax,and LAEV among the three groups(all P<0.05),and there were statistically significant differences in pairwise comparisons between the groups(all P<0.05). Compared with the control group,LAEF,LApEF,LASr,LAScd,LASct,LASr-c,LAScd-c and LASct-c were significantly reduced in the M and UM groups(all P<0.05),while there were no statistically significant differences in these parameters between the UM and M groups(all P>0.05);There were no statistically significant differences in IVSd,LVEF,E/e',LAEI,and LAaEF among the 3 groups(all P>0.05).There were no statistically significant differences in IVSd,LVEF,E/e',LAaEF and LAEI among the 3 groups(all P>0.05). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that only weekly running volume was an independent predictor of decreased LAEF in amateur marathon runners. The repeatability test indicated good consistency within and between observers. Conclusions:Amateur marathon runners have varying degrees of damage to their left atrial reservoir function,conduit function,and contraction function,with amateur ultra-marathon runners showing more significant damages,3D-STE technology can evaluate the structural and functional changes in the left atrium in amateur ultra-marathon athletes,and assist clinical understanding of atrial adaptation in amateur ultra- marathon athletes.
5.Serum levels of procalcitonin,interleukin-6 and interleukin-8 in patients with COVID-19 infection at admis-sion and their significance in patient prognosis
Sibo LONG ; Yan CHEN ; Xintong ZHANG ; Yanjun YIN ; Limei YANG ; Maike ZHENG ; Chaohong WANG ; Qing SUN ; Jun YAN ; Yiheng SHI ; Guangli SHI ; Yan ZHAO ; Guirong WANG
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2024;40(4):471-475
Objective To analyze the predictive value of serum levels of procalcitonin(PCT)and cytokines on the prognosis of patients with COVID-19 at admission.Methods From November 2022 to February 2023,patients diagnosed with COVID-19 who were admitted to Beijing Chest Hospital were enrolled.Chemiluminescence was used to detect serum PCT levels,and flow microsphere array was used to detect serum cytokines IL-1β,IL-2,IL-4,IL-5,IL-6,IL-8,IL-10,IL-12p70,IL-17A,IL-17F,IL-22,TNF-α,TNF-β,IFN-γ level.ICU admission,mechanical ventilation and in-hospital death were defined as poor prognosis.After excluding patients with bacterial infection,the relationship between serum PCT and cytokine levels at admission and the prognosis of COVID-19 patients was analyzed.After excluding patients with bacterial infection,the relationship between serum PCT and cytokine levels at admission and the prognosis of COVID-19 patients was analyzed.Results A total of 176 patients with complete data were included,including 134 in the PCT-normal group and 42 in the PCT-elevated group,with a median age of 71.50 years and 71.59%males.Patients in the PCT elevated-group had significantly higher rates of ICU admission(38.41%vs.13.11%,P<0.05),mechanical ventilation(76.92%vs.24.59%,P<0.001)and in-hospital mortality(38.46%vs.6.56%,P<0.001)were significantly higher than those in the PCT-normal group.Serum levels of cytokines IL-6(7.40 pg/mL vs.4.78 pg/mL,P = 0.033 4)and IL-8(10.97 pg/mL vs.5.92 pg/mL,P<0.001)were significantly higher in patients with poor prognosis than in those with good prognosis.The area under the curve for PCT,IL-6,and IL-8 to predict poor prognosis in COVID-19 patients was 0.687,0.660,and 0.746,respectively;sensitivity was 52.78%,55.17%,and 72.41%,respectively;and specificity was 81.58%,74.19%,and 74.19%,respectively,as calculated from the ROC curve.When PCT,IL-6 and IL-8 jointly predict the prognosis of COVID-19 patients,the area under the curve is 0.764,the sensitivity is 70.00%,and the specificity is 80.00%.Conclusion Serum PCT and cytokines IL-6 and IL-8 could be used as predictive markers for poor prognosis in patients with COVID-19.
6.Clinical value of serum vitamin A and basic fibroblast growth factor levels in predicting retinopathy of prematurity
Limei MO ; Yu XUE ; Chuiwan CHEN ; Xuejiao LONG ; Na SUN ; Guiyan YANG ; Chuihai CHEN
International Eye Science 2024;24(1):122-126
AIM: To investigate the clinical value of serum vitamin A(Vit A)and basic fibroblast growth factor(bFGF)levels predicting retinopathy of prematurity(ROP).METHODS: Prospective cohort studies. A total of 411 premature or low birth weight infants with gestational age less than 37 wk or birth weight less than 2 500 g who were delivered in Hainan Branch, Shanghai Children's Medical Center Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine from January 2020 to December 2022 were selected as subjects. The Vit A and bFGF levels in peripheral blood were detected at 7 d and 35 d after birth, respectively.RESULTS: A total of 392 premature infants or low birth weight infants completed clinical study, including 51 cases in stage 1-2 ROP group, 23 cases in stage 3-5 ROP group and 318 cases in the group without ROP. At 7 d postnatal, the serum Vit A(0.44±0.17 μmol/L)and bFGF(0.53±0.16 ng/L)levels in stage 1-2 ROP group were lower than those in the group without ROP(0.50±0.12 μmol/L and 0.63±0.15 ng/L; all P<0.05). The serum Vit A(0.34±0.18 μmol/L)and bFGF(0.44±0.18 ng/L)levels in stage 3-5 ROP group were lower than those in the group without ROP(P<0.05). The serum Vit A and bFGF levels in stage 3-5 ROP group were lower than those in stage 1-2 ROP group(P<0.05). At 35d postnatal, the serum Vit A(0.33±0.19 μmol/L)and bFGF(0.39±0.19 ng/L)levels in stage 3-5 ROP group were lower than those in stage 1-2 ROP group(0.43±0.16 μmol/L and 0.48±0.17 ng/L; all P<0.05). According to the ROC curve drawn by serum Vit A, the AUC value was 0.853, the maximum Youden index was 0.68, the best sensitivity was 73%, and the best specificity was 95%. According to the ROC curve drawn by serum bFGF, the AUC value was 0.828, the maximum Youden index was 0.58, the best sensitivity was 90%, and the best specificity was 68%. According to the ROC curve drawn by serum Vit A combined with bFGF, the AUC value was 0.917, the maximum Youden index was 0.70, the best sensitivity was 70%, and the best specificity was 100%.CONCLUSION: Serum Vit A and bFGF levels are sensitive and effective indicators for predicting ROP. If the serum Vit A or bFGF levels are lower in premature infants or low birth weight infants, it may indicate the higher probability of ROP and its pathological stages. In addition, the clinica value of serum Vit A combined with bFGF in the diagnosis of ROP is higher than that of Vit A or bFGF alone, and the misdiagnosis rate is reduced.
7.Analysis of the relationship between social activities and depressive symptoms in the elderly based on a cross-lagged model
Yating HOU ; Limei JIANG ; Zhenjie SUN ; Junwei SUN ; Fuxin YAO ; Fude YANG ; Binhong WANG ; Long NA
Chinese Journal of Psychiatry 2024;57(10):646-652
Objective:To explore the causal relationship between social activity and depressive symptoms in the elderly, and to provide a reference for preventing and interventing depressive symptoms in the elderly.Methods:Data were sourced from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) program, involving 3 164 elderly individuals aged≥60 years with data collected in two measurements, in 2015 (T1) and 2018 (T2). The sample included 1 240 males and 1 924 females aged (71±7) years. Social activities were assessed by constructing a social activity index from the 11 social activities included in the CHARLS questionnaire and the frequency of their activities. The depressive symptoms were assessed using the short version of the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (the 10-item Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale, CESD-10). A mixed-design ANOVA was used to explore the trends in social activity and depressive symptoms over time and across genders in the elderly adults. Pearson correlation analysis was used to investigate whether social activity and depressive symptoms in the elderly met the criteria for simultaneous and sequential correlations, followed by a cross-lagged model to analyze the causal temporal or mutual prediction between social activeness and depressive symptoms over a 3-year intervals.Results:The social activity of elderly men at T2 was significantly lower than at T1 ( F=21.00, P<0.001), while no significant difference observed in elderly women ( F=0.31, P<0.001). At both T1 and T2, elderly men scored higher in social activity than elderly women [T1: 2.93±2.98 vs 2.55±2.65,T2: 2.28±2.49 vs 2.24±2.43); F=43.60, 11.24, both P<0.01]. Depressive symptoms at T2 were higher than at T1 for both elderly men and elderly women ((male: 1.90±6.10 vs 21.52±6.08, female: 23.84±6.54 vs 23.07±6.44); F=5.20, 32.77, both P<0.05). Elderly men scored lower than elderly women on depression symptoms at both T1 and T2 (T1: F=45.74, P<0.001; T2: F=69.96, P<0.001). Pearson correlation analysis showed a negative correlation between social activity and depressive symptoms at both measurement points (T1: r=-0.329, P<0.01; T2: r=-0.343, P<0.01), and a positive correlation across T1 and T2 ( r=0.391, 0.573; both P<0.01), meeting the criteria for simultaneous and sequential correlations, and supporting the basic assumptions of cross-lagged design. Cross-lagged analysis revealed that T1 social activity negatively predicted T2 depressive symptoms (β=-0.128, P<0.001), and T1 depressive symptoms negatively predicted T2 social activity (β=-0.202, P<0.001). Conclusion:There is a bidirectional predictive relationship between social activity and depression symptoms in the elderly. Depression symptoms lead to a decrease in social activity, and a decrease in social activity predicts an exacerbation of depression in the elderly.
8.Relation between dysfunctional attitude and depressive symptoms in adolescents: the acting path of negative automatic thoughts and positive coping style
Yating HOU ; Danfeng YAN ; Limei JIANG ; Zhenjie SUN ; Long NA
Sichuan Mental Health 2024;37(2):125-130
BackgroundThe prevalence of depressive disorder in adolescents is on the rise. There have been studies on the pairwise relations between dysfunctional attitude, negative automatic thoughts, positive coping style and depressive symptoms in the past. However, the impact of the intrinsic relations among dysfunctional attitude, negative automatic thoughts and positive coping style on depressive symptoms is still unclear. ObjectiveTo explore the influence of dysfunctional attitude on adolescent depressive symptoms and examine the action path of negative automatic thoughts and positive coping style on it, in order to provide references for intervention for adolescent patients with depressisve disorder. MethodsThis study involved 162 adolescent patients with depressive disorder, who met the diagnostic criteria for depressive episodes in the International Classification of Diseases, 10th edition (ICD-10) and received treatment in Taiyuan Psychiatric Hospital from October 1, 2022 to October 31, 2023. These patients were evaluated using Self-rating Depression Scale (SDS), Dysfunction Attitude Scale (DAS), Positive Coping Style Subscale in Simplified Coping Style Questionnaire(SCSQ) and Automatic Thoughts Questionnaire (ATQ). Pearson correlation analysis was adopted to examine the correlation among scores of scales above. Model 6 in Process 3.4.1 was adopted to test the acting path of negative automatic thoughts and positive coping style between dysfunctional attitude and adolescent depression symptoms. ResultsA total of 148 adolescent patients with depressive disorder completed an effective questionnaire survey, with a response rate of 91.36%. The direct effect value of dysfunctional attitude on depressive symptoms was 0.423 and the effect size was 63.32%. Negative automatic thoughts and positive coping style affected as acting path between dysfunctional attitude and depressive symptoms, with effect values of 0.156 (accounting for 23.35% of the total effect) and 0.045 (accounting for 6.74% of the total effect) respectively. Meanwhile, negative automatic thoughts and positive coping style affected as a chain reaction pathway between dysfunctional attitude and depressive symptoms, with an effect value of 0.044, accounting for 6.59% of the total effect. ConclusionDysfunctional attitude can not only directly affect the depressive symptoms of adolescent patients with depressive disorder, but also affect the depressive symptoms of adolescent patients with depressive disorder through the independent path or chain path of negative automatic thoughts and positive coping style.
9.Clinical and genetic analysis of a patient with Neuronal intranuclear inclusion body disease characterized by cortical enhancement in the posterior brain region
Jibao WU ; Fengzhen HUANG ; Limei CAO ; Yi ZHANG ; Xiaojun LIU ; Jiangtao LONG ; Jiping YI ; Xiaoxi YAO
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2024;41(8):953-956
Objective:To explore the clinical, imaging, and genetic characteristics of an adult patient with sporadic Neuronal intranuclear inclusion disease (NIID).Methods:A patient who had visited the First People′s Hospital of Chenzhou on August 6, 2023 was selected as the study subject. Results of clinical examination, neuroimaging, and genetic testing were retrospectively analyzed along with a literature review. The number of GGC trinucleotide repeats in the 5′-untranslated region of the NOTCH2NLC gene was determined by GC-PCR. Results:The patient had presented with episodic encephalopathy, with enhanced magnetic resonance imaging showing enhancement features of the posterior cerebral cortex during the period of acute episode. Genetic testing revealed an increased number of GGC repeats ( n = 97) in the 5′- untranslated region of the NOTCH2NLC gene, which confirmed the diagnosis of NIID. Conclusion:Clinical attention should be paid to the enhanced MRI findings of patients with adult-onset NIID, for whom posterior cortical enhancement may be characteristic manifestation during the acute phase of encephalopathy-like episode.
10.Analysis of the relationship between social activities and depressive symptoms in the elderly based on a cross-lagged model
Yating HOU ; Limei JIANG ; Zhenjie SUN ; Junwei SUN ; Fuxin YAO ; Fude YANG ; Binhong WANG ; Long NA
Chinese Journal of Psychiatry 2024;57(10):646-652
Objective:To explore the causal relationship between social activity and depressive symptoms in the elderly, and to provide a reference for preventing and interventing depressive symptoms in the elderly.Methods:Data were sourced from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) program, involving 3 164 elderly individuals aged≥60 years with data collected in two measurements, in 2015 (T1) and 2018 (T2). The sample included 1 240 males and 1 924 females aged (71±7) years. Social activities were assessed by constructing a social activity index from the 11 social activities included in the CHARLS questionnaire and the frequency of their activities. The depressive symptoms were assessed using the short version of the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (the 10-item Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale, CESD-10). A mixed-design ANOVA was used to explore the trends in social activity and depressive symptoms over time and across genders in the elderly adults. Pearson correlation analysis was used to investigate whether social activity and depressive symptoms in the elderly met the criteria for simultaneous and sequential correlations, followed by a cross-lagged model to analyze the causal temporal or mutual prediction between social activeness and depressive symptoms over a 3-year intervals.Results:The social activity of elderly men at T2 was significantly lower than at T1 ( F=21.00, P<0.001), while no significant difference observed in elderly women ( F=0.31, P<0.001). At both T1 and T2, elderly men scored higher in social activity than elderly women [T1: 2.93±2.98 vs 2.55±2.65,T2: 2.28±2.49 vs 2.24±2.43); F=43.60, 11.24, both P<0.01]. Depressive symptoms at T2 were higher than at T1 for both elderly men and elderly women ((male: 1.90±6.10 vs 21.52±6.08, female: 23.84±6.54 vs 23.07±6.44); F=5.20, 32.77, both P<0.05). Elderly men scored lower than elderly women on depression symptoms at both T1 and T2 (T1: F=45.74, P<0.001; T2: F=69.96, P<0.001). Pearson correlation analysis showed a negative correlation between social activity and depressive symptoms at both measurement points (T1: r=-0.329, P<0.01; T2: r=-0.343, P<0.01), and a positive correlation across T1 and T2 ( r=0.391, 0.573; both P<0.01), meeting the criteria for simultaneous and sequential correlations, and supporting the basic assumptions of cross-lagged design. Cross-lagged analysis revealed that T1 social activity negatively predicted T2 depressive symptoms (β=-0.128, P<0.001), and T1 depressive symptoms negatively predicted T2 social activity (β=-0.202, P<0.001). Conclusion:There is a bidirectional predictive relationship between social activity and depression symptoms in the elderly. Depression symptoms lead to a decrease in social activity, and a decrease in social activity predicts an exacerbation of depression in the elderly.


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