1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Mechanism of in Vitro and in vivo Models of Osteoporosis Regulation by Active Ingredients of Traditional Chinese Medicine: A Review
Ming YANG ; Jinji WANG ; Xuefeng ZHUANG ; Xiaolei FANG ; Zhijie ZHU ; Huiwei BAO ; Lijing LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(3):281-289
Osteoporosis is a common bone disease, whose incidence is still on the rise, posing great challenges to patients and society. This review mainly studies the pathogenesis of osteoporosis from the aspects of oxidative stress, inflammatory response, and glucolipotoxicity-induced injury and clarifies the efficacy and mechanism of some active ingredients of traditional Chinese medicine against osteoporosis through the integration of in vitro and in vivo experiments. The experimental results suggest that some active ingredients can improve bone resorption markers and maintain bone homeostasis by modulating inflammation, oxidative stress, etc. These active ingredients regulate osteoporosis through the receptor activator of nuclear transcription factor-κB (NF-κB) ligand (RANKL) pathway, osteoprotegerin (OPG) pathway, Wnt/β-catenin pathway, NF-κB pathway, mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway, adenosine monophosphate (AMP)-activated protein kinase (AMPK)/mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway, and oxidative stress pathway. This review provides ideas for the progress of the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis with the active ingredients of traditional Chinese medicine, aiming to provide new potential lead compounds and reference for the development of innovative drugs and clinical therapy for the treatment of osteoporosis.
3.Management of Cutaneous Immune-Related Adverse Events of Malignant Tumors Induced by Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors Based on Theory of "Fire and Original Qi are Restricted"
Shiliang SHAO ; Lijing JIAO ; Yichao WANG ; Decai WANG ; Qishan HUA ; Yabin GONG ; Ling XU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(16):1656-1661
Guided by the theory of "fire and original qi are restricted", it is believed that original qi depletion is the root of the cutaneous immune-related adverse events (cirAEs) related to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), and the yin fire exuberance is the branch. Among them, original qi depletion is the internal foundation of the disease, while the drug toxicity of ICIs harming original qi is the initiating factor, and exuberant yin fire is the key pathogenesis. In clinical practice, the general treatment principle advocates banking up original qi to consolidate the root and draining fire to raise yang. Buzhong Yiqi Decoction (补中益气汤) can be used to activate transportation of middle jiao (焦) and promote ascent and dispersion of clear yang, thereby restoring the balance of qi and fire, and medicinals such as Huangqin (Radix Scutellariae), Huanglian (Rhizoma Coptidis) and Huangbai (Cortex Phellodendri Chinensis) can be supplementetd to clear and drain yin fire. At the same time, considering the accompanying symptoms such as dampness-stasis and fluids depletion, the methods of removing dampness and dispelling stasis, supplementing blood and nourishing yin should be added flexibly. This approach can provide a new perspective and treatment strategy for reducing ICIs-related cirAEs in malignant tumors.
4.Treatment Strategies for Postoperative Complications of Lung Cancer from Protecting Healthy Qi and Treating Qi
Jiajun SONG ; Yichao WANG ; Xueqi TIAN ; Yi LIU ; Lijing JIAO ; Ling XU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(18):94-105
Pulmonary complications, the most common postoperative complications of lung cancer, not only affect the quality of life of the patients after surgery but also increase the prognostic risks of postoperative recurrence and metastasis, threatening the life safety. At present, a multidisciplinary model of diagnosis and rehabilitation with integrated traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) and Western medicine has been initially formed under the guidance of the concept of rapid rehabilitation post operation for lung cancer. However, the treatment that only aims at shortening hospital stay and reducing the incidence of postoperative complications does not pay enough attention to the postoperative functional rehabilitation of the lung and the impact of follow-up adjuvant therapy, which affects the completeness of rehabilitation. This paper classifies the typical postoperative symptoms and manifestations of lung cancer into five groups: Lung system, emotion, digestive tract, pain, and nerve. On this basis, this paper summarizes the three core pathogeneses of postoperative complications of lung cancer as failure of Qi to ascend and descend leading to insecurity of defensive exterior, vessel block leading to Qi stagnation and fluid retention, and lung Qi deficiency leading to spleen and kidney deficiency. Accordingly, this paper proposes the treatment principle of protecting healthy Qi and treating Qi with the core of descending-tonifying-ascending-dispersing Qi and puts forward three treatment methods. The first is replenishing Qi and consolidating exterior, and expelling phlegm and regulating lung. The second is replenishing Qi and promoting blood flow to resolve stasis and relieving pain. The third is replenishing Qi and tonifying lung, and invigorating spleen and tonifying kidney. Furthermore, this paper elaborates on the pathogenesis and treatment principles of four common postoperative complications: Lung infection, pleural effusion, atelectasis, and bronchopleural fistula. On the basis of Western medical treatment, the TCM treatment characteristics of treating symptoms in the acute phase and eradicating the root cause in the chronic phase should be played. While dispelling the pathogen, measures should be taken to protect the healthy Qi, including tonifying lung Qi, regulating spleen Qi, and replenishing kidney Qi. This study summarizes the pathogenesis and treatment strategy of common postoperative complications of lung cancer according to the principle of protecting healthy Qi and treating Qi, aiming to provide guidance for the future treatment of postoperative complications of lung cancer.
5.Current disease burden of cellulitis
Minglu GAO ; Jingwen HE ; Chenyue QIU ; Zhihang MIAO ; Lijing ZHU ; Qiong WU ; Ping FENG ; Guangyi WANG ; Guosheng WU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(5):13-17
Objective To analyze the trend of global cellulitis disease burden from 1990 to 2019, and to provide a theoretical basis for the prevention and control of cellulitis disease. Methods The Global Burden of Disease 2021 (GBD2021) data were collected, and data on the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) of cellulitis were analyzed for each country worldwide. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and age-standardized rate (ASR) were used to estimate the trend change of cellulitis from 1990 to 2021. Results The global burden of cellulitis increased significantly in 2021, with 55.96 million cases, 28.9 million deaths and 876.1 million DALYs, respectively. Incidence and mortality rates were generally higher in males than in females. The incidence and DALYs were higher in high SDI regions, with the highest burden observed in South Asia. In contrast, East Asia exhibited the lowest burden and demonstrated a declining trend. There were significant differences between countries, with India having the highest prevalence, the United States having the highest incidence, and Bahrain having the fastest growing rate.In 2021, China had the lowest age-standardised incidence of cellulitis in the world and the fastest declining age-standardised incidence and age-standardised DALYs. Conclusion The global disease burden of cellulitis is increasing from 1990-2021, and cellulitis remains an an important global public health problem. Targeted preventive meausres should be taken in areas with different economical levels. Men, middle-aged and elderly people, and newborns are the key groups in need of attention and health education.
6.Chain mediation of psychological resilience and coping styles between social support and psychological distress in elderly stroke patients
Xinying ZHANG ; Kunjuan JING ; Bei WANG ; Lijing BAI ; Yuejia ZHAO ; Qingchun ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(26):3579-3584
Objective:To investigate the chain mediating role of psychological resilience and coping styles between social support and psychological distress in elderly stroke patients.Methods:Using convenience sampling, 245 elderly stroke patients with their first episode, admitted to the Neurology Department of the Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University from June to July 2023, were recruited as study subjects. A questionnaire survey was conducted using a General Information Questionnaire, Distress Thermometer for Stroke Patients, Perceived Social Support Scale, Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale Short Form, and Medical Coping Modes Questionnaire. Pearson correlation analysis was used to examine the relationships between psychological distress, social support, psychological resilience, and coping styles in elderly stroke patients. Harman's single-factor test was employed to detect common method bias among variables. The PROCESS macro in SPSS software was utilized to test the chain mediation effects.Results:A total of 245 questionnaires were distributed, with 230 valid responses collected, yielding a response rate of 93.9%. Among the 230 elderly stroke patients, the incidence of psychological distress was 23.9% (55/230). Significant correlations were observed among psychological distress, social support, psychological resilience, and coping styles ( P<0.05). Social support influenced psychological distress through the mediation of psychological resilience and confrontational coping, with a total indirect effect of -0.098. The same relationship existed for social support through psychological resilience and avoidant coping, with a total indirect effect of -0.058. Additionally, social support influenced psychological distress through psychological resilience and submissive coping, with a total indirect effect of -0.113. Avoidant coping had a suppressing effect on the influence of social support on psychological distress. Conclusions:Elderly stroke patients experienced moderate to low levels of psychological distress. Psychological resilience and coping styles played a chain-mediating role between social support and psychological distress. Special attention should be given to elderly stroke patients with low levels of social support.
7.Synthesis and antifungal activity of albumen-derived nano-FeS against Nosema ceranae
Haodong WU ; Hao SUN ; Le CHEN ; Can HUANG ; Shang CHENG ; Lijing CAO ; Qinghua WANG
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2024;44(7):1418-1429
Based on the isolation and identification of Nosema ceranae(N.ceranae)in honeybees,this study optimized the synthesis method of nano-FeS derived from albumen and explored in vitro and in vivo antifungal effects against N.ceranae.Pathogens were isolated from infected honeybee colonies and identified as N.ceranae using morphological and molecular biology techniques.In vitro experiments were conducted to confirm the antifungal effects of nano-FeS against N.ceranae and elucidate the mechanism.In vivo experiments were carried out to validate the therapeutic effects of nano-FeS against N.ceranae infection.Nano-FeS was synthesized using the solvothermal method with an optimal scheme determined through orthogonal experiments,with an average par-ticle size of 75 nm.Flow cytometry and fluorescence staining experiments confirmed that nano-FeS induced apoptosis and necrosis in N.ceranae.After N.ceranae was exposed to nano-FeS,intracellu-lar iron accumulation,disruption of the glutathione and glutathione peroxidase antioxidant system,and subsequent ROS accumulation were observed,ultimately leading to lipid peroxidation of cell membranes.In vivo experiments demonstrated reduced mortality and decreased spore counts in the midgut of honeybees fed with nano-FeS.Transcriptome analysis and qPCR revealed the impact of nano-FeS on gene expression in the N.ceranae infected honeybee midgut.This study presented a promising alternative antifungal agent for N.ceranae infection in honeybees and elucidated the an-tifungal mechanism of nano-FeS related to ferroptosis.Additionally,the study found a positive cor-relation between the mass concentration of nano-FeS and its antifungal effectiveness against N.ceranae.
8.The profusion evaluation method for irregular small opacities associated with pneumoconiosis in chest CT
Qiang WANG ; Jing BAI ; Luyan GE ; Ningning ZHANG ; Lijing ZHANG ; Fei KANG ; Huitai DONG
China Occupational Medicine 2024;51(6):650-655
Objective To explore a method for assessing the irregular small opacities profusion associated with occupational pneumoconiosis in chest computed tomography (CT). Methods A total of 20 occupational pneumoconiosis patients whose primary manifestation was irregular small opacities on chest digital radiography (DR) were collected as the research subjects using a retrospective study method. Comparative analysis was performed between chest DR and five mm coronal multi-planar reconstruction (MPR) of chest CT images to identify the causes of irregular small opacities. An evaluation method for the profusion of associated images of irregular small opacities in chest CT was established using technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution-analytic hierarchy process (TOPSIS-AHP), and the results were compared against GBZ 70-2015 Diagnosis of Occupational Pneumoconiosis. Results The abnormal image distribution on the five mm coronal chest CT MPR images of the 20 patients was as follows: three cases of high-density small circular opacities, seven cases of low-density circular small opacities, six cases of diffuse low-density ground-glass opacities (GGO), four cases of reticular opacities, three cases of plate-like GGO, three cases of honeycomb opacities, and four cases of increasing lung texture. The CT values of abnormal images, from high to low were: honeycomb opacities > plate-like GGO > low-density circular small opacities > diffuse low-density GGO (all P<0.05). The consistency test results indicated that the evaluation method for the profusion of associated images of irregular small opacities in chest CT showed high level of agreement with the profusion determination criteria outlined in GBZ 70-2015 Diagnosis of Occupational Pneumoconiosis (Kappa=0.78). Conclusion Irregular small opacities observed on chest DR are formed by the superposition of multiple images of abnormal pulmonary fibrosis in patients with occupational pneumoconiosis. TOPSIS-AHP can be used to establish an evaluation method of the profusion of associated image of irregular small opacity in chest CT.
9.Feasibility of wavelet index in monitoring depth of sedation with propofol in pediatric patients
Tingting ZI ; Jianmin ZHANG ; Xiaoxia PENG ; Lijing LI ; Jie YU ; Muyang TIAN ; Xiaohuan CUI ; Fang WANG
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2024;44(8):1000-1005
Objective:To assess the feasibility of wavelet index (WLI) in monitoring the depth of sedation with propofol in pediatric patients.Methods:This was a prospective observational trial. One hundred and sixty-five pediatric patients, aged >1-12 yr, of American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification Ⅰ or Ⅱ, undergoing elective surgery requiring general anesthesia with endotracheal intubation or laryngeal mask airway from July to December 2016 in our hospital, were divided into 11 age groups ( n=15 each): >1-2 yr group, >2-3 yr group, >3-4 yr group, >4-5 yr group, >5-6 yr group, >6-7 yr group, >7-8 yr group, >8-9 yr group, >9-10 yr group, >10-11 yr group, and >11-12 yr group. General anesthesia was induced by injection of propofol 3 mg/kg for more than 30 s. WLI and BIS values were recorded immediately before administration and at 30, 40, 50, 60, 90, 120, 180 and 240 s after the end of administration. If there were differences among age groups, age groups with no statistically significant differences were combined and re-grouped. Pearson linear correlation analysis and Bland-Altman consistency analysis were performed. Results:A total of 149 pediatric patients were actually included. There were no significant differences in BIS values between 4 groups aged > 1-5 yr and between 7 groups aged > 5-12 yr ( P>0.05). Regrouping was performed based on the aforementioned results, 4 groups of children aged > 1-5 yr were divided into > 1-5 yr group ( n=60), and 7 groups of children aged > 5-12 yr were divided into > 5-12 yr group ( n=89). WLI values and BIS values were significantly decreased at each time point after administration compared with immediately before administration in group aged > 1-5 yr and in group aged >5-12 yr ( P<0.05). The BIS values were the lowest at 60 s after the end of the administration, and the WLI values were the lowest at 120 and 180 s after the end of the administration in two groups ( P<0.05). There were no statistically significant differences between WLI values and BIS values at 90 s and 240 s after the end of the administration ( P>0.05), and there was statistically significant difference at the other time points in group aged > 1-5 yr ( P<0.05). There was no significant difference between WLI values and BIS values at 180 s and 240 s after the end of the administration ( P>0.05), but there were significant differences at the other time points in group aged > 5-12 yr ( P<0.05). The Pearson correlation coefficients between WLI values and BIS values were 0.61 and 0.56 in group aged > 1-5 yr and group aged > 5-12 yr, respectively ( P<0.001). Bland-Altman agreement analysis: In group aged > 1-5 yr and group aged > 5-12 yr, the 95% agreement limits were -0.484-0.621 and -0.551-1.015, respectively, and there were 4.6% (23/504) and 5.1% (40/777) of the points outside the 95% agreement limits, respectively, and both limits exceeded the clinically acceptable range. Conclusions:WLI is feasible for monitoring the depth of sedation with propofol in pediatric patients aged > 1-12 yr, but the accuracy is lower than BIS.
10.Grey-scale ultrasound-based radiomics models for differentiating peripheral pulmonary adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma
Zezheng CHEN ; Lei HAO ; Lijing ZHU ; Jie ZHAO ; Xin ZHAO ; Bojuan WANG ; Jizheng TU ; Kai ZHANG ; Xinghua WANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2024;40(10):1529-1532
Objective To observe the efficacy of gray-scale ultrasound-based radiomics for differentiating peripheral pulmonary adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma.Methods Data of 88 patients with single peripheral lung adenocarcinoma and 58 patients with single peripheral lung squamous cell carcinoma proved pathologically with puncture biopsy and clearly visualized with lung ultrasound were retrospectively analyzed.The patients were divided into training set(n=103)and test set(n=43)at the ratio of 7:3.Based on gray-scale ultrasound of training set,radiomics features associated with differential diagnosis of peripheral lung adenocarcinoma and lung squamous cell carcinoma were extracted and screened.Using 4 different classifiers,including support vector machine(SVM),linear discriminant analysis(LDA),logistic regression(LR)and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator combined with logistic regression(LASSO-LR),4 corresponding radiomics models were obtained,and the relative best models were selected according to their performances under 10-fold cross validation.The receiver operating characteristic curves were drawn,the areas under the curve(AUC)were calculated to evaluate the differentiating efficacy of each model,and DeLong test was used for the comparison.The differentiating accuracy of models were obtained under the best cutoff value with the maximum Youden index.Results The AUC of SVM,LDA,LR and LASSO-LR radiomics models for differentiating peripheral lung adenocarcinoma and lung squamous carcinoma in test set was 0.864,0.867,0.880 and 0.844,respectively,and no significant difference was found among 4 models(all P>0.05).Under the best cutoff value of each model,the corresponding accuracy of SVM,LDA,LR and LASSO-LR radiomics models for differentiating peripheral lung adenocarcinoma and lung squamous cell carcinoma was 86.05%,83.72%,88.37%and 86.05%,respectively.Conclusion Radiomics models based on gray-scale ultrasound could be used to differentiate peripheral lung adenocarcinoma and lung squamous cell carcinoma.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail