1.Early warning of influenza epidemic based on CUSUM and EWMA models in Daxing District, Beijing
Hong LEI ; Qiuling LI ; Qi LIU ; Meichen LIU ; Enhuan DU ; Jinfeng TANG ; Zhiping LI ; Yadi GAN ; Lijie ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):13-17
Objective To explore the effectiveness of the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) for early warning of influenza epidemic using two datasets of reported influenza cases and influenza-like illness (ILI) cases. Methods Using the reported cases of influenza and ILI in Daxing District, Beijing, from week 23 of 2018 to week 22 of 2024 as data sets, the CUSUM and EWMA models were established, respectively. The positive rate of influenza etiology was used as the “gold standard”, and the Youden index was used as the evaluation index to compare the early warning effect of the two models under different data sets and different parameters. Results In CUSUM, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.751 and 0.635, respectively. In EWMA, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.544 and 0.464, respectively. The optimal EWMA and CUSUM models could both issue early warning signals in advance of the “gold standard”. Conclusion In the influenza epidemic early warning in Daxing District, Beijing, the CUSUM model established with the reported cases of influenza can achieve good early warning effects, but the model parameters need to be dynamically adjusted according to the local epidemic characteristics.
2.The clinical study of spectral entropy in predicting the prognosis of children with early sedation and mechanical ventilation
Chinese Pediatric Emergency Medicine 2025;32(9):668-673
Objective:To evaluate the validity of spectral entropy as a quantitative tool for assessing sedation depth in mechanically ventilated pediatric patients and to investigate its prognostic value in predicting clinical outcomes among children with pneumonia requiring early sedation.Methods:A total of 31 mechanically ventilated children admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit of Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University from December 2021 to December 2022 were enrolled.Patients were stratified into deep sedation (Ramsay score ≥5) and light sedation (Ramsay score ≤4) groups.For children with concurrent pneumonia,prognosis was evaluated using a modified PIRO (Predisposition,Insult,Response,Organ dysfunction) score,and patients were further classified into favorable-prognosis group and poor-prognosis group.Clinical characteristics,outcomes,and spectral entropy values were compared across groups.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess the prognostic predictive capacity of spectral entropy and Ramsay scores.Results:Spectral entropy exhibited a strong negative correlation with Ramsay scores ( r s2=-0.787, P < 0.001).The deep sedation group demonstrated significantly lower spectral entropy values compared to the light sedation group (34.0±1.0 vs.52.7±6.3, P<0.001).Among children with pneumonia,the favorable-prognosis group showed higher spectral entropy values than the poor-prognosis group (49.5±8.0 vs.42.1±10.4, P=0.047).Additionally,the hospitalization time of the poor-prognosis group was higher than that of the favorable-prognosis group [20.5(9.0,36.0)days vs.14.0(12.0,18.0)days],although the difference was not statistically significant ( P=0.191).Mechanical ventilation duration was significantly shorter in the favorable-prognosis group versus the poor-prognosis group [(151.7±41.2)hours vs.(414.9±264.1)hours, P=0.012] .Modified PIRO scores correlated positively with Ramsay scores ( r s2=0.367, P=0.042),and negatively with spectral entropy ( r s2=-0.363, P=0.045).ROC analysis revealed that Ramsay scores (AUC=0.329,sensitivity 50.0%,specificity 84.2%) and spectral entropy (AUC=0.715,sensitivity 100.0%,specificity 50.0%) provided statistically significant prognostic discrimination ( P<0.05),with optimal cutoff values of 4.5 and 34.6,respectively. Conclusion:Spectral entropy correlates robustly with Ramsay scores,demonstrating its utility as an objective,quantitative tool for monitoring sedation depth in mechanically ventilated children.Furthermore,spectral entropy shows potential as a direct and reliable electrophysiological biomarker for predicting clinical outcomes in pediatric pneumonia patients receiving early sedation.
3.Establishment and application of colloidal gold double-antibody sandwich assay for detection of Getah virus
Jiaxin TIAN ; Lijie CHANG ; Mingzhu ZHANG ; Jianhong LIU ; Xiangshu QIU ; Xinyu CAO ; Xiuxia HE ; Huijun LU
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(8):1672-1678
Getah virus(GETV)is an arbovirus capable of infecting humans and vertebrates such as horses and pigs via blood-sucking mosquitoes,which is extremely harmful to the livestock indus-try.Current monitoring methods are time-consuming,costly,and dependent on specialized instru-ments.These characteristics hinder rapid detection in clinical samples.Therefore,the development of a simple,rapid,specific,and sensitive method for detecting GETV antigen is crucial for the pre-vention and control of GETV.In this study,a GETV E1 monoclonal antibody strain SD17/09-E1-mAb was prepared by a prokaryotic expression system for GETV E1 protein expression,and a col-loidal gold double-antibody sandwich assay encapsulating two strains of GETV E1 monoclonal an-tibody wasestablished.The results showed that the prepared colloidal gold test strips had good sen-sitivity and did not cross-react with other common porcine virus-positive tissue samples;the test strips had a high compliance rate with the IFA assay for GETV,and could be stored at 37 ℃ for one month and at room temperature for at least three months.In this study,a colloidal gold anti-surveillance test strip for rapid detection of GETV was successfully prepared,which provides a powerful tool for GETV detection.
4.The clinical study of spectral entropy in predicting the prognosis of children with early sedation and mechanical ventilation
Chinese Pediatric Emergency Medicine 2025;32(9):668-673
Objective:To evaluate the validity of spectral entropy as a quantitative tool for assessing sedation depth in mechanically ventilated pediatric patients and to investigate its prognostic value in predicting clinical outcomes among children with pneumonia requiring early sedation.Methods:A total of 31 mechanically ventilated children admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit of Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University from December 2021 to December 2022 were enrolled.Patients were stratified into deep sedation (Ramsay score ≥5) and light sedation (Ramsay score ≤4) groups.For children with concurrent pneumonia,prognosis was evaluated using a modified PIRO (Predisposition,Insult,Response,Organ dysfunction) score,and patients were further classified into favorable-prognosis group and poor-prognosis group.Clinical characteristics,outcomes,and spectral entropy values were compared across groups.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess the prognostic predictive capacity of spectral entropy and Ramsay scores.Results:Spectral entropy exhibited a strong negative correlation with Ramsay scores ( r s2=-0.787, P < 0.001).The deep sedation group demonstrated significantly lower spectral entropy values compared to the light sedation group (34.0±1.0 vs.52.7±6.3, P<0.001).Among children with pneumonia,the favorable-prognosis group showed higher spectral entropy values than the poor-prognosis group (49.5±8.0 vs.42.1±10.4, P=0.047).Additionally,the hospitalization time of the poor-prognosis group was higher than that of the favorable-prognosis group [20.5(9.0,36.0)days vs.14.0(12.0,18.0)days],although the difference was not statistically significant ( P=0.191).Mechanical ventilation duration was significantly shorter in the favorable-prognosis group versus the poor-prognosis group [(151.7±41.2)hours vs.(414.9±264.1)hours, P=0.012] .Modified PIRO scores correlated positively with Ramsay scores ( r s2=0.367, P=0.042),and negatively with spectral entropy ( r s2=-0.363, P=0.045).ROC analysis revealed that Ramsay scores (AUC=0.329,sensitivity 50.0%,specificity 84.2%) and spectral entropy (AUC=0.715,sensitivity 100.0%,specificity 50.0%) provided statistically significant prognostic discrimination ( P<0.05),with optimal cutoff values of 4.5 and 34.6,respectively. Conclusion:Spectral entropy correlates robustly with Ramsay scores,demonstrating its utility as an objective,quantitative tool for monitoring sedation depth in mechanically ventilated children.Furthermore,spectral entropy shows potential as a direct and reliable electrophysiological biomarker for predicting clinical outcomes in pediatric pneumonia patients receiving early sedation.
5.Clinical value of endoclip papillaplasty for preventing recurrent choledocholithiasis after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (with video)
Bowei LIU ; Wei WANG ; Min XU ; Xiaoyu MAO ; Lijie YUAN ; Yuchen ZHANG ; Shengli NIU ; Xiuqi WANG ; Xiuling LI ; Luowei WANG ; Hui DING
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2025;42(7):532-538
Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy of endoclip papillaplasty (ECPP) for preventing recurrent choledocholithiasis after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 1 941 patients who underwent ERCP for choledocholithiasis in Henan Provincial People's Hospital from January 2019 to December 2023. A total of 250 patients who received ECPP were assigned to the ECPP group, while 251 matched controls were selected via 1∶1 year-stratified sampling into the control group. After follow-up, 209 ECPP cases and 190 controls were ultimately included in the analysis. Stone removal success rate, incidence of perioperative complications, and postoperative choledocholithiasis recurrence were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to determine the risk factors for choledocholithiasis recurrence after ERCP.Results:Both groups achieved 100.0% stone removal success rate. There was no significant difference in the incidence of intraoperative perforation [0.5% (1/209) VS 1.1% (2/190), χ2=0.01, P=0.934], postoperative hyperamylasemia [21.5% (45/209) VS 17.4% (33/190), χ2=1.10, P=0.295] or post-ERCP pancreatitis [3.8% (8/209) VS 8.1% (9/190), χ2=0.20, P=0.653] between the ECPP group and the control group. The ECPP group showed significantly lower bleeding rate [5.1% (11/209) VS 12.3% (23/190), χ2=5.98, P=0.014] and choledocholithiasis recurrence rate [10.5% (22/209) VS 18.9% (36/190), χ2=5.68, P=0.017] compared with the control group. The multivariate logistic regression identified dilated common bile duct diameter ( OR=1.881, 95% CI: 1.101-3.213, P=0.021) as an independent risk factor for choledocholithiasis recurrence, while being female ( OR=0.482, 95% CI: 0.266-0.875, P=0.016) and ECPP ( OR=0.497, 95% CI:0.278-0.887, P=0.018) were protective factors. Conclusion:ECPP effectively reduces choledocholithiasis recurrence rate and bleeding risk after ERCP. ECPP and being female serve as protective factors for choledocholithiasis recurrence, while dilated bile duct diameter is an independent risk factor.
6.Establishment and application of colloidal gold double-antibody sandwich assay for detection of Getah virus
Jiaxin TIAN ; Lijie CHANG ; Mingzhu ZHANG ; Jianhong LIU ; Xiangshu QIU ; Xinyu CAO ; Xiuxia HE ; Huijun LU
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(8):1672-1678
Getah virus(GETV)is an arbovirus capable of infecting humans and vertebrates such as horses and pigs via blood-sucking mosquitoes,which is extremely harmful to the livestock indus-try.Current monitoring methods are time-consuming,costly,and dependent on specialized instru-ments.These characteristics hinder rapid detection in clinical samples.Therefore,the development of a simple,rapid,specific,and sensitive method for detecting GETV antigen is crucial for the pre-vention and control of GETV.In this study,a GETV E1 monoclonal antibody strain SD17/09-E1-mAb was prepared by a prokaryotic expression system for GETV E1 protein expression,and a col-loidal gold double-antibody sandwich assay encapsulating two strains of GETV E1 monoclonal an-tibody wasestablished.The results showed that the prepared colloidal gold test strips had good sen-sitivity and did not cross-react with other common porcine virus-positive tissue samples;the test strips had a high compliance rate with the IFA assay for GETV,and could be stored at 37 ℃ for one month and at room temperature for at least three months.In this study,a colloidal gold anti-surveillance test strip for rapid detection of GETV was successfully prepared,which provides a powerful tool for GETV detection.
7.Competency of infectious disease epidemic response and influencing factors in task force members in county (district) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in China
Wenjing LI ; Jian CAI ; Mingzhai WANG ; Zhuo JIN ; Lijie ZHANG ; Yingxin PEI ; Huihui LIU ; Huilai MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(5):796-802
Objective:To understand the current status of epidemiological investigation task force construction and the performance of infectious disease epidemic response in county (district) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDCs) in China, analyze the influencing factors and provide scientific evidence to improve the construction of grassroot epidemiological investigation task force.Methods:A survey was conducted in epidemiological investigation staff in county (district) CDCs in 31 provinces (autonomous regions/municipalities) and Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps in China. A self-designed questionnaire was used to collect information based on the epidemiological dynamic data collection platform of China CDC. A descriptive epidemiological analysis was conducted, and multiple linear regression models were used to identify the factors associated with the performance of infectious disease epidemic response.Results:A total of 24 934 epidemiological investigation task force members from 2 897 county (district) CDCs were surveyed in the study. In the epidemiological investigation task force, women, those with bachelor's degree and public health workers accounted for 62.46%, 71.36%, and 49.05% respectively. Up to 91.72% of the task force members had participated in field epidemic response. The average score of awareness of epidemic investigation procedures was 60.00, while the average score of key skill proficiency in the investigation was 42.22. The epidemic response performance showed correlations with area, gender, age, education level, major, and field epidemiology training programs, those who had received longer training showed higher competency scores (all P<0.001). Conclusions:Progress has been made in the construction of epidemiological investigation task force in grass-root CDCs in China, but further improvements are needed, especially in the knowledge awareness and investigation skills of the task force. Field epidemiology training demonstrated substantial impact on the improvement of epidemic response performance, indicating that it is necessary to further strengthen the training in grassroot public health workers for the better response to infectious disease epidemics.
8.Effect Analysis of the Informatization of the Prescription Review Center and the Homogeneity of Pharmacist Service in Promoting the Rationality of Outpatient and Emergency Department Prescriptions
Congxin LI ; Xuejing LI ; Lijie GAO ; Jia CHEN ; Leilei DONG ; Xizhe LIU ; Ying PAN ; Suhui QIE
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(1):140-145
Objective To discusse the application effects of the informatization of the review center and the homogeneity of pharmacists on the rationality of emergency department prescriptions.Methods Based on the system rules of the rational drug use management system and manually set custom rules,the changes in pharmacist's review quality,efficiency homogeneity,and prescription rationality were compared before(February 2023 to July 2023)and after(August 2023 to January 2024)the construction of the review center,according to the informatization and process standardization management.Results After the establishment of the review center,analysis of variance showed that the approval rate of pharmacist's review significantly increased compared to before the establishment of the review center(P<0.05),while the average time consumption increased significantly(P<0.01).The average review time,average approval time,and average review return time have been extended from(4.50±0.58),(4.50±0.58),and(4.75±0.96)s to(11.67±1.03),(8.50±0.55)and(13.17±0.98)s,respectively.The trend chi-square test showed that the irrationality rate of emergency department prescriptions decreased monthly from 6.27%in August 2023 to 0.93%in January 2024(P<0.01).Correlation analysis between the number of intervention system rules since the establishment of the review center and the irrationality rate of emergency department prescriptions revealed a significant correlation(P=0.004 4).Conclusions By utilizing the platform of the review center,establishing dedicated review pharmacists and an information pharmacist team,and implementing informatization and standardized management processes,it can contribute to improving the quality and efficiency of prescription review,increasing the qualification rate of prescriptions,ensuring rational drug use,and enhancing the management level and medical quality of hospitals.
9.Sepsis-associated delirium and disorder of neuroendocrine immune regulation
Aixin LIU ; Congli SUN ; Xiaomin KANG ; Lijie LIU
Chinese Journal of Immunology 2025;41(2):467-471
Sepsis-associated delirium(SAD)is a common and severe central nervous system(CNS)complication in patients with sepsis,whose occurrence mechanism is unclear and there is no effective treatment at present.Neuroendocrine immune regulation disorder is closely related to occurrence and development of SAD.Immune mediators can deliver peripheral immune information to CNS by humoral transport or through afferent nerves.Immune mediators invading center can not only directly damage neurons,but also activate innate immune cells of brain,further aggravate neuroinflammation,and cause neurotransmitter imbalance,neurotoxic effects,resulting in neuronal dysfunction,even apoptosis and subsequent behavioral and cognitive symptoms.This paper aims to review mechanisms of neuro-endocrine-immune regulation in occurrence and development of SAD,and to find effective targets for prevention and treatment of sepsis and SAD.
10.Molecular epidemiological characterization of influenza A(H3N2) virus in Fengxian District, Shanghai, in the surveillance year of 2023
Hongwei ZHAO ; Lixin TAO ; Xiaohong XIE ; Yi HU ; Xue ZHAO ; Meihua LIU ; Qingyuan ZHANG ; Lijie LU ; Chen’an LIU ; Mei WU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(1):18-22
ObjectiveTo understand the epidemiological distribution and gene evolutionary variation of influenza A (H3N2) viruses in Fengxian District, Shanghai, in the surveillance year of 2023, and to provide a reference basis for influenza prevention and control. MethodsThe prevalence of influenza virus in Fengxian District in the 2023 influenza surveillance year (April 2023‒March 2024) was analyzed. The hemagglutinin (HA) gene, neuraminidase (NA) gene, and amino acid sequences of 75 strains of H3N2 influenza viruses were compared with the vaccine reference strain for similarity matching and phylogenetic evolutionary analysis, in addition to an analysis of gene characterization and variation. ResultsIn Fengxian District, there was a mixed epidemic of H3N2 and H1N1 in the spring of 2023, with H3N2 being the predominant subtype in the second half of the year, and Victoria B becoming the predominant subtype in the spring of 2024. A total of 75 influenza strains of H3N2 with HA and NA genes were distributed in the 3C.2a1b.2a.2a.2a.3a.1 and B.4 branches, with overall similarity to the reference strain of the 2024 vaccine higher than that of the reference strain of the 2022 and 2023 vaccine. Compared with the 2023 vaccine reference strain, three antigenic sites and one receptor binding site were changed in HA, with three glycosylation sites reduced and two glycosylation sites added; where as in NA seven antigenic sites and the 222nd resistance site changed with two glycosylation sites reduced. ConclusionThe risk of antigenic variation and drug resistance of H3N2 in this region is high, and it is necessary to strengthen the publicity and education on the 2024 influenza vaccine and long-term monitoring of influenza virus prevalence and variation levels.


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