1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Expert consensus on the positioning of the "Three-in-One" Registration and Evaluation Evidence System and the value of orientation of the "personal experience"
Qi WANG ; Yongyan WANG ; Wei XIAO ; Jinzhou TIAN ; Shilin CHEN ; Liguo ZHU ; Guangrong SUN ; Daning ZHANG ; Daihan ZHOU ; Guoqiang MEI ; Baofan SHEN ; Qingguo WANG ; Xixing WANG ; Zheng NAN ; Mingxiang HAN ; Yue GAO ; Xiaohe XIAO ; Xiaobo SUN ; Kaiwen HU ; Liqun JIA ; Li FENG ; Chengyu WU ; Xia DING
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;48(4):445-450
Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM), as a treasure of the Chinese nation, plays a significant role in maintaining public health. In 2019, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council proposed for the first time the establishment of a TCM registration and evaluation evidence system that integrates TCM theory, "personal experience" and clinical trials (referred to as the "Three-in-One" System) to promote the inheritance and innovation of TCM. Subsequently, the National Medical Products Administration issued several guiding principles to advance the improvement and implementation of this system. Owing to the complexity of its implementation, there are still differing understandings within the TCM industry regarding the positioning of the "Three-in-One" Registration and Evaluation Evidence System, as well as the connotation and value orientation of the "personal experience." To address this, Academician WANG Qi, President of the TCM Association, China International Exchange and Promotion Association for Medical and Healthcare and TCM master, led a group of academicians, TCM masters, TCM pharmacology experts and clinical TCM experts to convene a "Seminar on Promoting the Implementation of the ′Three-in-One′ Registration and Evaluation Evidence System for Chinese Medicinals." Through extensive discussions, an expert consensus was formed, clarifying the different roles of the TCM theory, "personal experience" and clinical trials within the system. It was further emphasized that the "personal experience" is the core of this system, and its data should be derived from clinical practice scenarios. In the future, the improvement of this system will require collaborative efforts across multiple fields to promote the high-quality development of the Chinese medicinal industry.
3.Construction Research on Comprehensive and Full-Cycle Patient Service Quality Evaluation Index System in Large Public Hospitals
Luzhu LAI ; Nan CUI ; Chen WANG ; Jiangfeng LI ; Xinzhi SHAN ; Yongjie ZHU ; Linlin FANG ; Ting BIAN ; Xianghua CHEN
Chinese Hospital Management 2025;45(1):60-64
Objective To construct a quality evaluation index system for non-medical technical services in public hospitals,aiming to provide a more scientific and feasible basis for evaluating patient service quality.Methods Based on literature research,the SERVQUAL theory was used to preliminarily formulate a comprehensive and full-cycle evaluation index for patient service quality.The final evaluation index system was determined through expert consultation,and the Analytic Hierarchy Process was used to determine the weights of the evaluation indices.Results The questionnaire response rates for the two rounds of expert consultation were both 100%.The authority coefficients of the experts were 0.82 and 0.80,respectively,indicating a high level of expert authority.The Kendall's W coefficient increased from 0.088 to 0.107 between the two rounds,and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.001),indicating good consistency of expert opinions.The consistency results of each judgment matrix were less than 0.1,passing the consistency test.The final evaluation index system consisted of six primary indicators (tangibility,reliability,responsiveness,assurance,empathy,and continuity) and 33 secondary indicators.Conclusion The selection of evaluation indicators revolves around the core service processes of outpatient,inpatient,and other hospital services,focusing on key elements at various critical junctures that influence patient experience.The evaluation indicators aim to guide hospitals to improve not only essential needs but also desired improvements in service quality,thus promoting the continuous enhancement of hospital services.
4.Correlation between vitamin D level and immune dysfunction in children with recurrent respiratory tract infection
Ying ZHU ; Nan NAN ; Tingting LI ; Liqiong WEI ; Lei HUANG
Chinese Journal of Immunology 2025;41(3):668-674,679
Objective:To investigate the characteristics of vitamin D levels in children in Gansu Province,and to analyze the correlation between vitamin D levels and immune disorders in children with recurrent respiratory tract infections(RRTIs).Methods:From January 2020 to December 2021,9 790 cases of children aged 0~6 years who received vitamin D detection in pediatric depart-ment of maternal and Child health care hospitals and tertiary general hospitals in 6 cities and prefectures of Gansu Province were retro-spectively selected,characteristics of vitamin D in 5 000 children were analyzed.Ninty children with RRTIs in 5 000 children were taken as study group,and 80 healthy children were taken as control group.Correlation between vitamin D levels and immune function indexes(IgA,IgG,IgM,complement C3 and complement C4)between the two groups was compared to analyze the diagnostic value of vitamin D for children RRTIs.Results:After analyzing vitamin D data of 5 000 children in Gansu Province,it was found that vita-min D deficiency rate,deficiency rate and adequate rate were 11.58%,41.38%and 47.04%respectively,and no vitamin D overdose or poisoning were found.Vitamin D level of children was affected by age and season.Vitamin D deficiency of children aged 3 to 4 years was more serious,and vitamin D level of children in winter was the lowest,and vitamin D level was related to the growth and develop-ment of children and disease.25(OH)D level and immune function indexes in study group were lower than those in control group(P<0.05).Level of 25(OH)D was related to the age,allergic history,passive tobacco exposure and susceptible season of RRTIs(P<0.05).Immune function indexes of children with adequate vitamin D were higher than children with insufficient and deficient vitamin D(P<0.05).Level of vitamin D in children with RRTIs was positively correlated with their immune function(P<0.05).Low birth weight,premature delivery,preference for food,daily amount of fruits and vegetables,outdoor activity time,calcium,iron,zinc,25(OH)D,IgA,IgG,IgM,complement C3 and C4 were all independent risk factors for RRTIs in children(P<0.05).Vitamin D had a high diagnostic value for RRTIs in children(P<0.05).Conclusion:Vitamin D level of children in Gansu Province is related to age and season.Lower vitamin D level in children's RRTIs is related to the immune disorders of children,which can be used for the diag-nosis of this disease.
5.Bone cement injection during percutaneous curved vertebroplasty in treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures in the upper 1/3 of the vertebral body
Tangbo LI ; Nan ZHANG ; Guobing HAO ; Kun LIU ; Lin QIAO ; Zexing ZHU ; Diyu SONG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(28):5977-5984
BACKGROUND:Percutaneous curved vertebroplasty has the advantages of minimal trauma and bone cement dispersion,but whether it is safe and effective for the treatment of compression fractures in the upper 1/3 of the vertebral body needs further study.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the clinical efficacy of percutaneous curved vertebroplasty in the treatment of the upper 1/3 compression fractures of the osteoporotic vertebrae.METHODS:Medical records of 66 patients with osteoporotic thoracolumbar upper 1/3 compression fracture admitted to Department of Orthopedics of PLA Rocket Force Characteristic Medical Center from January 2020 to June 2023 were retrospectively analyzed.Among them,32 cases were treated with percutaneous curved vertebroplasty(observation group)and 34 cases were treated with"noncoplanar bipedicular puncture"percutaneous vertebroplasty(control group).Pain visual analog scale score,Oswestry Disability Index,anterior edge height of injured vertebra,and Cobb angle of injured vertebra were compared and analyzed between the two groups before surgery,the first day after surgery,and the last follow-up.The operative time,bone cement leakage rate,bone cement injection volume,and bone cement dispersion score of the two groups were statistically analyzed.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The operations were successfully completed in both groups of patients,and no complications such as bone cement allergy,bone cement embolism,nerve damage,or epidural hematoma occurred.(2)Pain visual analog scale score,Oswestry disability index,anterior edge height,and Cobb angle of injured vertebra of the two groups at the first day after surgery and the last follow-up were all better than those before surgery,with statistically significant difference(P<0.05),but there was no statistical significance between the two groups(P>0.05).The Oswestry disability index of the two groups at the last follow-up was better than that on the first day after surgery(P<0.05).(3)The operation time and bone cement leakage rate of the observation group were lower than those of the control group,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).(4)There were no significant differences in bone cement injection volume and bone cement dispersion score between the two groups(P>0.05).(5)The results show that percutaneous curved vertebroplasty in the treatment of osteoporotic vertebrae compression fractures in the upper 1/3 of the vertebral body can effectively relieve pain,maintain vertebral height,and reduce operative time and bone cement leakage rate.
6.The association between early peripheral perfusion and acute kidney injury in patients admitted to the intensive care unit following major noncardiac surgery
Yujian CUI ; Yuke LI ; Sainan ZHU ; Shuangling LI ; Nan LI
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(2):195-201
Objective To investigate the association between early peripheral perfusion index (PPI) and acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) following major noncardiac surgery. Methods This retrospective cohort study was conducted at a single center. Adult patients consecutively enrolled were those admitted to the ICU after major noncardiac surgery. PPI measurements were collected within the first 6 hours post-surgery. The primary outcome assessed was the occurrence of AKI within 7 days after surgery. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was employed to adjust for confounding factors,while receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis determined the most predictive cutoff PPI. Results The study included a total of 444 patients who underwent noncardiac surgery. The incidences of postoperative AKI and severe AKI were 9.23% and 1.13%,respectively. Early postoperative PPI levels exhibited a skewed distribution,with a median value of 3.02 (2.02,4.24). After adjusting for various perioperative variables,PPI was found to be indepen-dently correlated with the occurrence of postoperative AKI (OR=0.734,95% CI:0.580~0.930,P=0.010),as indicated by an area under the ROC curve of 0.6802 (95% CI:0.6022~0.7582,P<0.001). Using a cutoff value of ≤ 2 .04 for PPI,the sensitivity and specificity for predicting postoperative AKI were determined to be approximately at 53.7% and 77.2% respectively. Further analysis revealed that patients with PPI ≤ 2.04 had a higher incidence of severe postoperative complications as well as prolonged mechanical ventilation duration and hospital stay. Conclusions A prompt reduction in postoperative PPI usage was found to be linked with the inci-dence of AKI occurring within 7 days following major noncardiac surgery.
7.Full genome analysis of G4P23porcine rotavirus and its pathogenicity in suckling mice and piglets
Hui DENG ; Ran TAO ; Nan HAN ; Jianxin WANG ; Xuefan SU ; Chen WANG ; Xi CHENG ; Xianyu BIAN ; Jiapeng SONG ; Xuejiao ZHU ; Xuehan ZHANG ; Hongbo XIAO ; Jinzhu ZHOU ; Bin LI
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(9):902-909
To perform the phylogenetic characterization of an isolated porcine rotavirus(PoRV)and investigate its pathogenicity in suckling mice and piglets.A G4P[23]genotype PoRV strain JSJR2023 was successfully isolated from the diarrheic piglet feces through propagation in MA104 cells.The viral proliferation kinetics were analyzed using TCID50 assays,followed by complete genome sequencing through Sanger sequencing platforms.Comprehensive genotyping and phylogenetic reconstruction were conducted using MEGA7.0 with maximum likelihood algorithms.Pathogenicity was assessed in the following animal models:5-day-old C57BL/6 mice and 3-day-old piglets.Multidimensional evaluation included clinical monitoring(diarrhea scoring,growth parameters),virological detection,and histopathological analysis of intestinal tissues.The virus strain JSJR2023 could replicate efficiently in MA104 cells,achieving peak titers of 107.5 TCID50/mL.Whole genome genotype analysis showed that the strain belonged to G4-P[23]-I5-R1-C1-M1-A8-N1-T1-E1-H1.Phylogenetic analysis indicated that the VP3 and NSP4 genes of JSJR2023 strain were most closedrelated to human species rotaviruses,suggesting genetic reassortment between human and porcine RV strains.The animal experiments in suckling mice showed that the JSJR2023 strain infection caused diarrhea symptoms,intestinal edema and congestion,and shedding of intestinal villus epithelial cells.The pathogenicity experiments in piglets showed that compared with the control group,the challenged group of pig-lets had severe diarrhea symptoms,accompanied by reduced appetite and listlessness.Post-mortem examination revealed that the intes-tines were significantly thinner,congested,and filled with yellow watery contents.The challenged piglets showed typical pathological changes such as thinning of the intestinal wall and shortening and shedding of intestinal villi.In conclusion,this study successfully iso-lated a human-porcine recombinant G4P[23]PoRV strain and established the infection models in suckling mice and piglets,providing important tools for investigating the pathogenic mechanism of PoRV,evaluating vaccines and developing antiviral drug.
8.DNA methylation age prediction model based on ovarian granulosa cells
Peng LIU ; Bowen ZHU ; Yuheng LI ; Liang WANG ; Nan LIU ; Ningxia SUN
Chinese Journal of Reproduction and Contraception 2025;45(5):442-447
Objective:To develop a novel ovarian biological age prediction model based on DNA methylation for ovarian aging assessment.Methods:A prospective cohort study method was used. From March 2024 to January 2025, we collected 96 ovarian granulosa cell samples of infertility patients due to fallopian tube factors or male factors from the Reproductive Medicine Center of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University. Then we analyzed DNA methylation patterns across five age-associated gene regions ( ELOVL2, miR29B2C, TRIM59, KLF14 and FHL2) in a discovery cohort comprising 63 human ovarian granulosa cell samples. Targeted bisulfite sequencing was performed through PCR amplification followed by next-generation DNA sequencing. Leveraging elastic net regression analysis, we developed a predictive model incorporating 29 methylation sites that demonstrated strong age correlation. The model was subsequently validated using an independent cohort comprising 33 human ovarian granulosa cell samples. Results:The DNA methylation age prediction model based on ovarian granulosa cells showed the following results in the discovery cohort as follows: median absolute error (MAE) was 2.534 ( R=0.742, P<0.001). In the independent validation cohort, MAE was 3.019 ( R=0.729, P<0.001). Conclusion:In this study, we utilized human ovarian granulosa cells as experimental samples to develop a novel DNA methylation-based model for predicting ovarian biological age. By integrating multiple methylation sites across five age-related gene regions, this model serves as a robust indicator of ovarian aging status.
9.Full genome analysis of G4P23porcine rotavirus and its pathogenicity in suckling mice and piglets
Hui DENG ; Ran TAO ; Nan HAN ; Jianxin WANG ; Xuefan SU ; Chen WANG ; Xi CHENG ; Xianyu BIAN ; Jiapeng SONG ; Xuejiao ZHU ; Xuehan ZHANG ; Hongbo XIAO ; Jinzhu ZHOU ; Bin LI
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(9):902-909
To perform the phylogenetic characterization of an isolated porcine rotavirus(PoRV)and investigate its pathogenicity in suckling mice and piglets.A G4P[23]genotype PoRV strain JSJR2023 was successfully isolated from the diarrheic piglet feces through propagation in MA104 cells.The viral proliferation kinetics were analyzed using TCID50 assays,followed by complete genome sequencing through Sanger sequencing platforms.Comprehensive genotyping and phylogenetic reconstruction were conducted using MEGA7.0 with maximum likelihood algorithms.Pathogenicity was assessed in the following animal models:5-day-old C57BL/6 mice and 3-day-old piglets.Multidimensional evaluation included clinical monitoring(diarrhea scoring,growth parameters),virological detection,and histopathological analysis of intestinal tissues.The virus strain JSJR2023 could replicate efficiently in MA104 cells,achieving peak titers of 107.5 TCID50/mL.Whole genome genotype analysis showed that the strain belonged to G4-P[23]-I5-R1-C1-M1-A8-N1-T1-E1-H1.Phylogenetic analysis indicated that the VP3 and NSP4 genes of JSJR2023 strain were most closedrelated to human species rotaviruses,suggesting genetic reassortment between human and porcine RV strains.The animal experiments in suckling mice showed that the JSJR2023 strain infection caused diarrhea symptoms,intestinal edema and congestion,and shedding of intestinal villus epithelial cells.The pathogenicity experiments in piglets showed that compared with the control group,the challenged group of pig-lets had severe diarrhea symptoms,accompanied by reduced appetite and listlessness.Post-mortem examination revealed that the intes-tines were significantly thinner,congested,and filled with yellow watery contents.The challenged piglets showed typical pathological changes such as thinning of the intestinal wall and shortening and shedding of intestinal villi.In conclusion,this study successfully iso-lated a human-porcine recombinant G4P[23]PoRV strain and established the infection models in suckling mice and piglets,providing important tools for investigating the pathogenic mechanism of PoRV,evaluating vaccines and developing antiviral drug.
10.Prevalence and influencing factors of chronic somatic comorbidities in patients with schizophrenia in Shanghai communities
Wei-bo ZHANG ; Jiang-nan LI ; Yan-li LIU ; Yi-zhou JIANG ; Yi ZHU ; Na WANG ; Jun CAI
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(4):484-491,499
Objective To investigate the prevalence of chronic somatic comorbidities in schizophrenic patients in Shanghai communities,and to explore the factors influencing comorbidities.Methods Based on Shanghai community-based severe mental disorders cohort,5 422 patients with schizophrenia(SCZ)were included in the study.12 common chronic somatic diseases,defined by patients'self-report,were selected to analyze the prevalence of comorbidity,and Logistic regression model was used to analyze the factors influencing the number of somatic comorbidities.Results The total prevalence of somatic comorbidity was 37.0%in 5 422 patients with SCZ,with the highest prevalence of hypertension(22.6%)and diabetes mellitus(13.1%)among 12 somatic diseases selected.Older age was the main factor associated with chronic somatic comorbidities in community schizophrenic patients.The risk of 1-2 comorbidities in patients aged≥60 years was 3.34(95%CI:2.74-4.07)times higher than those aged<45 years,while the risk of≥3 comorbidities was 3.27(95%CI:2.11-5.09)times higher,correspondingly.Female gender,marriage,smoking,and longer duration of illness were also risk factors for comorbidity.Women after menopause had higher risk of comorbidity than perimenopausal women.Conclusion Cardiovascular and metabolic diseases were common somatic comorbidities among schizophrenic patients in Shanghai communities.Older age,female gender,marriage,smoking,and longer duration of illness were risk factors for increasing number of comorbidities.


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