1.Predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk in hip fracture patients using explainable machine learning models
Fengting LU ; Xiaoming LI ; Dekui LI ; Xianyuan XIE ; Jiazhong WANG ; Qing YU ; Gan HUANG ; Jun SHEN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(2):196-202
Objective: To investigate the factors influencing intraoperative blood transfusion in patients with hip fractures and to develop a machine learning (ML) model for predicting this risk. Methods: A total of 424 patients with hip fractures who underwent surgical treatment between November 2022 and March 2025 in our hospital were selected. Key feature variables of intraoperative blood transfusion risk were identified using the Boruta algorithm. Four different ML algorithms—support vector machine (SVM), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), mixed discriminant analysis (MDA), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)—were used to develop predictive models for intraoperative blood transfusion risk. The predictive performance of the four ML models were evaluated using accuracy, precision, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, precision-recall curves (PRC), precision-recall gain curves (PRGC), and F1 scores. Shapley additive interpretation (SHAP) was used to interpret the final model. Results: Among the 424 patients, 77(18.2%) received intraoperative blood transfusion. The Boruta algorithm identified albumin (ALB), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), types of anesthesia, types of fracture, and hemoglobin (Hb) as key feature variables for predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk. In model evaluation, the SVM model outperforms the other three models across multiple metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), recall, recall gain, accuracy, precision, F1 score, and the area under the precision-recall curve (PRC-AUC). The SVM model, interpreted and visualized based on SHAP values, effectively predicted intraoperative blood transfusion risk in patients with hip fracture. A visual online application was developed based on the SVM model (https://pbo-nomogram.shinyapps.io/blood/). Conclusion: Preoperative low ALB and Hb levels, prolonged APTT, general anesthesia, and intertrochanteric fractures are risk factors for intraoperative blood transfusion in hip fracture patients. The risk prediction model for intraoperative blood transfusion constructed based on the SVM algorithm has optimal performance, which provides new ideas and methods for the clinical early identification of hip fracture patients with high transfusion risk and the implementation of targeted interventions.
2.Effects of Cldn14 gene knockout on the formation of calcium oxalate stones in rats and its mechanism
Peiyue LUO ; Liying ZHENG ; Tao CHEN ; Jun ZOU ; Wei LI ; Qi CHEN ; Le CHENG ; Lifeng GAN ; Fangtao ZHANG ; Biao QIAN
Journal of Modern Urology 2025;30(2):168-173
Objective: To explore the effects of Cldn14 gene knockout on renal metabolism and stone formation in rats,so as to provide reference for research in the field of urinary calium metabolism and stone formation. Methods: Cldn14 gene knockout homozygous rats and wild-type rats of the same age were randomly divided into 4 groups:wild-type control (WC) group,wild-type ethylene glycol (WE) group,gene knockout control (KC) group and gene knockout ethylene glycol (KE) group,with 10 rats in each group.The WE and KE groups were induced with ethylene glycol + ammonium chloride to form kidney stones,while the WC and KC groups received normal saline gavage.After 4 weeks of standard maintenance feeding,the urine samples were collected to detect the venous blood.The kidneys were collected for HE,Pizzolatto's staining and transmission electron microscopy.The protein in renal tissues was extracted to detect the expressions of Claudin16 and Claudin19. Results: Crystal deposition was observed in the renal tubular lumen of the WE and the KE groups,and more crystals were detected in the KE group.The WE group had a large number of intracytoplasmic black crystalline inclusions observed in renal tubular epithelial cells under transmission electron microscope,followed by the KE and KC groups.Compared with WC and WE groups,KC and KE groups had significantly decreased serum calcium and magnesium levels but significantly increased urinary calcium level.In addition,the urinary calcium level was higher in the WE group than in the WC group and higher in the KE group than in the KC group.The KE group had lower level of Claudin16,but there was no significant difference in the level of Claudin19 among the 4 groups(P>0.05). Conclusion: Knockout of Cldn14 gene alone cannot effectively reduce urinary calcium excretion or reduce the risk of stone formation in rats,which may be related to the decrease of Claudin16 level.
3.Progress on treatment of posterior angle injury of medial meniscus of knee joint under arthroscopy.
Shi-Xue LU ; Lei DING ; Qi CHEN ; You-Zhi XU ; Gan HUANG ; Jun LI
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(6):651-656
The injury of the posterior Angle of the medial meniscus of the knee joint is very common in clinic, and the arthroscopic treatment of the knee joint has been the first choice. However, there are many difficulties in arthroscopic treatment, such as narrow space in the medial posterior corner of the knee joint, insufficient space to deal with the injured meniscus, varion and lateral rotation under 30° flexion, release of the medial collateral ligament of the knee joint, and expansion of the knee joint cavity spinner, all of which could expose and expand the medial space of knee joint. Therefore, it is necessary to master and balance the use to avoid collateral injury. It is also necessary to determine the cause of meniscus injury during arthroscopic treatment, such as degenerative injury, simple meniscus repair and forming can hardly solve the pain of patients. Anterior cross injury is easy to cause instability of the knee joint, which is closely related to the injury of the posterior angle of the medial meniscus of the knee joint. In order to achieve the maximum therapeutic effect, physiological repair should be performed at the same time. There are various types of medial meniscus posterior angle injury, among which the Ramp injury, root fracture and laminae meniscus injury are greatly affected by joint degeneration, narrow knee space or knee stability, and all influencing factors should be fully considered in treatment.
Humans
;
Arthroscopy/methods*
;
Tibial Meniscus Injuries/surgery*
;
Knee Joint/surgery*
;
Menisci, Tibial/surgery*
;
Knee Injuries/surgery*
4.Complications among patients undergoing orthopedic surgery after infection with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron strain and a preliminary nomogram for predicting patient outcomes.
Liang ZHANG ; Wen-Long GOU ; Ke-Yu LUO ; Jun ZHU ; Yi-Bo GAN ; Xiang YIN ; Jun-Gang PU ; Huai-Jian JIN ; Xian-Qing ZHANG ; Wan-Fei WU ; Zi-Ming WANG ; Yao-Yao LIU ; Yang LI ; Peng LIU
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):445-453
PURPOSE:
The rate of complications among patients undergoing surgery has increased due to infection with SARS-CoV-2 and other variants of concern. However, Omicron has shown decreased pathogenicity, raising questions about the risk of postoperative complications among patients who are infected with this variant. This study aimed to investigate complications and related factors among patients with recent Omicron infection prior to undergoing orthopedic surgery.
METHODS:
A historical control study was conducted. Data were collected from all patients who underwent surgery during 2 distinct periods: (1) between Dec 12, 2022 and Jan 31, 2023 (COVID-19 positive group), (2) between Dec 12, 2021 and Jan 31, 2022 (COVID-19 negative control group). The patients were at least 18 years old. Patients who received conservative treatment after admission or had high-risk diseases or special circumstances (use of anticoagulants before surgery) were excluded from the study. The study outcomes were the total complication rate and related factors. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify related factors, and odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to assess the impact of COVID-19 infection on complications.
RESULTS:
In the analysis, a total of 847 patients who underwent surgery were included, with 275 of these patients testing positive for COVID-19 and 572 testing negative. The COVID-19-positive group had a significantly higher rate of total complications (11.27%) than the control group (4.90%, p < 0.001). After adjusting for relevant factors, the OR was 3.08 (95% CI: 1.45-6.53). Patients who were diagnosed with COVID-19 at 3-4 weeks (OR = 0.20 (95% CI: 0.06-0.59), p = 0.005), 5-6 weeks (OR = 0.16 (95% CI: 0.04-0.59), p = 0.010), or ≥7 weeks (OR = 0.26 (95% CI: 0.06-1.02), p = 0.069) prior to surgery had a lower risk of complications than those who were diagnosed at 0-2 weeks prior to surgery. Seven factors (age, indications for surgery, time of operation, time of COVID-19 diagnosis prior to surgery, C-reactive protein levels, alanine transaminase levels, and aspartate aminotransferase levels) were found to be associated with complications; thus, these factors were used to create a nomogram.
CONCLUSION
Omicron continues to be a significant factor in the incidence of postoperative complications among patients undergoing orthopedic surgery. By identifying the factors associated with these complications, we can determine the optimal surgical timing, provide more accurate prognostic information, and offer appropriate consultation for orthopedic surgery patients who have been infected with Omicron.
Humans
;
COVID-19/complications*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Postoperative Complications/epidemiology*
;
SARS-CoV-2
;
Orthopedic Procedures/adverse effects*
;
Aged
;
Nomograms
;
Adult
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
5.COCKROACH SURVEILLANCE IN LANZHOU FROM 2016 TO 2023
Ying ZHANG ; Jing ZUO ; Qing-Ming SHI ; Zi-Peng LI ; Wen-Juan BA ; Zhi-Qing LI ; Ai-Miao LIAO ; Jing-Jing YU ; Guo-Jing BAO ; Xing LI ; Jun GAN ; Xiao-Lei YE
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2025;32(2):119-122
Objective To investigate the population composition,seasonal dynamics,and infestation levels of cockroaches in Lanzhou,China,and to provide information for the scientific development of cockroach control strategies.Methods Monitoring was conducted at three locations using the sticky trap method.Habitats included farm product markets,catering establishments,hotels,hospitals,and residential areas.Results From 2016 to 2023,the average cockroach density was 0.77 insects per board,with an average infestation rate of 10.84%.Blattella germanica was the dominant species.Seasonal density of cockroaches showed an approximately unimodal distribution,peaking in September.The highest average density and infestation rates were observed in farm product markets.Conclusions Cockroach density and infestation levels in Lanzhou remained relatively low.A comprehensive prevention and control strategy focusing on environmental management in key areas should be implemented according to the seasonal fluctuations.
6.Pulsed electromagnetic fields inhibit knee cartilage degeneration in aged rats
Linwei YIN ; Xiarong HUANG ; Guanghua SUN ; Jing LIU ; Peirui ZHONG ; Jinling WANG ; Jiaqian CHEN ; Xing WEN ; Shaoting GAN ; Wentao HU ; Mengmeng LI ; Jun ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(28):4522-4527
BACKGROUND:Pulsed electromagnetic fields,as an important physical therapy,are exactly effective in the treatment of osteoarthritis,but the mechanism has not been fully clarified. OBJECTIVE:To observe the effect of pulsed electromagnetic field on the degeneration of knee joint cartilage in aged rats. METHODS:Eight 6-month-old Sprague-Dawley rats were selected as the young group and were subjected to normal diet with no treatment.Sixteen 22-month-old Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into old group(n=8)and pulsed electromagnetic field group(n=8).The rats in the pulsed electromagnetic field group were subjected to a pulsed electromagnetic field intervention,once a day,5 days per week for continuous 8 weeks.The rats in the old group were given no treatment.All rats were anesthetized and executed after 8 weeks for the detection of relevant indexes. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Compared with the young group,serum type Ⅱ collagen C-terminal peptide level was increased in the old group(P<0.05);compared with the old group,serum type Ⅱ collagen C-terminal peptide level was decreased in the pulsed electromagnetic field group(P<0.05).Micro-CT showed that the bone volume fraction,bone mineral density,and number of bone trabeculae decreased(P<0.05)and the trabecular separation increased(P<0.05)in the tibia of rats in the aged group compared with the young group;and the bone volume fraction,bone density,and number of trabeculae increased(P<0.05)and the trabecular separation decreased(P<0.05)in the tibia of rats in the pulsed electromagnetic field group compared with the aged group.The tibial plateau Safranin O-fast green staining showed that the articular cartilage structure of rats in the aged group was disorganized,and the number of chondrocytes was obviously reduced,and the tidal line could not be distinguished.The above results were improved in the pulsed electromagnetic field group.RT-qPCR and western blot assay showed that the mRNA and protein expression levels of matrix metalloproteinase 1,matrix metalloproteinase 13,P53 and P21 in the articular cartilage and subchondral bone of rats were elevated in the aged group compared with the young group(P<0.05)and decreased in the pulsed electromagnetic field group compared with the old group(P<0.05).To conclude,pulsed electromagnetic fields may improve osteoarthritis in aged rats by inhibiting chondrocyte senescence,alleviating articular cartilage degradation and inhibiting subchondral bone osteoporosis through suppressing the expression of P53/P21.
7.Preventing Hospital Acquired Infection of Special Host in the Department of Critical Care Medicine--Organ Transplant Patients
Tao LI ; Tongnan YANG ; Bao LIU ; Kang GAN ; Ling LIU ; Jun DUAN
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2024;15(3):513-517
With the popularization of transplantation technology, an increasing number of end-stage organ failure patients are undergoing transplantation surgery, and most of these patients need further monitoring and treatment in the department of critical care medicine. Due to immune suppression in transplant patients, the risk of hospital acquired infection is significantly increased. Therefore, for these patients, it is necessary to implement more stringent bundled management measures for the prevention of ventilator-associated pneumonia, catheter-related bloodstream infections, catheter-related urinary tract infections, and surgical site infections. At the same time, stricter institutional and personnel management is needed. This article, taking into account the guideline recommendations and the experience of our center, focuses on the prevention of hospital acquired infection in organ transplant patients, in order to provide reference for clinical practice of critical care medicine.
8.Effects of melezitose on ulcerative colitis mice
Zhang-Hao CHEN ; Shuang GAO ; Jin-Fa LI ; Zhen GAN ; Jun-Min CHANG
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(14):2083-2087
Objective To investigate the mechanism of melezitose(MELE)on ulcerative colitis(UC)by structing a mouse model of ulcerative colitis(UC)induced by dextran sodium sulfate(DSS).Methods Forty-eight SPF grade male c57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into normal group(0.9%NaCl),model group(0.9%NaCl),control group(100 mg·kg-1 mesalazine)and experimental-L,-M,-H groups(20,40,80 mg·kg-1 melezitose solution).The UC model was induced by giving 3%DSS solution instead of drinking water,and the disease activity index(DAI)was evaluated.Serum levels of interleukin-1 β(IL-113),IL-6,IL-10 and tumor necrosis factor α(TNF-α)were detected by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay.The expression levels of major histocompatibility complex Ⅱ(MHC Ⅱ)and cluster of differentiation 4 receptors(CD4)protein were detected by Western blot.Results The levels of IL-1 β in serum in the experimental-M,-H groups,model group and normal group were(82.15±13.66),(75.56±11.07),(118.20±19.31)and(23.47±4.72)pg·mL-1;serum IL-6 levels were(71.54±16.48),(58.57±15.62),(140.60±5.76)and(30.33±4.15)pg·mL-1;serum IL-10 levels were(48.64±5.60),(52.65±7.99),(27.10±4.91)and(61.90±10.44)pg·mL-1;serum TNF-α levels were(70.33±8.51),(66.55±8.12),(90.88±4.90)and(34.18±4.15)pg·mL-1;the relative expression levels of MHC Ⅱ protein were 0.34±0.04,0.15±0.06,0.08±0.05 and 0.53±0.59;the relative expression levels of CD4 protein were 0.79±0.08,0.92±0.12,0.99±0.11 and 0.54±0.14,respectively.Compared with the model group,the above indexes in the experimental-M,-H groups showed statistically significant differences(P<0.05,P<0.01).Conclusion Melezitose could effectively improve the symptoms of UC mice;the mechanism may be through down-regulating MHC Ⅱ protein and up-regulating CD4 protein to activate T cell signal pathway to play an anti-inflammatory effect.
9.Research advances on the applications of functional magnetic resonance imaging for evaluating kidney transplant function
Wenxin LI ; Jun ZHANG ; Feng GAO ; Tian GAN
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation 2024;45(1):57-61
After kidney transplantation , timely detection of changes in transplanted kidney function may guide clinical managements and prevent or delay irreversible damage to transplanted kidney. Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) of transplanted kidney is a promising non-invasive technique of acquiring microstructural and microfunctional profiles of transplanted kidney. In recent years, various diffusion imaging modalities, arterial spin labeling (ASL) and blood oxygen level dependent-magnetic resonance imaging (BOLD-MRI) have gradually been applied for transplant kidneys. Transplant kidney function may be evaluated non-invasively from such microscopic perspectives as water molecule diffusion, blood flow perfusion and blood oxygen level. This review focused upon evaluating the renal function and identifying the causes of the renal function decline of transplanted kidney through various fMRI techniques and provide new rationales for clinical diagnosis.
10.Clinical study of constructing nomogram model based on multi-dimensional clinical indicators to predict prognosis of knee osteoarthritis
Xin WANG ; Cong-Jun YE ; Zhen-Zhong DENG ; Yan XUE ; Chen-Hui WEI ; Qing-Biao LI ; Yang-Ming LUO ; Jian-Zhong GAN
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(2):184-190
Objective To analyze the factors affecting the prognosis of patients with knee osteoarthritis,and to construct a nomogram prediction model in conjunction with multi-dimensional clinical indicators.Methods The clinical data of 234 pa-tients with knee osteoarthritis who were treated in our hospital from January 2015 to June 2021 were retrospectively analyzed,including 126 males and 108 females;age more than 60 years old for 135 cases,age less than 60 years old for 99 cases.Lysholm knee function score was used to evaluate the prognosis of the patients,and the patients were divided into good progno-sis group for 155 patients and poor prognosis group for 79 patients according to the prognosis.The clinical data of the subjects in the experimental cohort were analyzed by single factor and multiple factors.The patients were divided into experimental co-hort and verification cohort,the results of the multiple factor analysis were visualized to obtain a nomogram prediction model,the receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC),calibration curve and decision curve were used to evaluate the model's dis-crimination,accuracy and clinical benefit rate.Results The results of multivariate analysis showed that smoking,pre-treatment K-L grades of Ⅲto Ⅳ,and high levels of interleukin 6(IL-6)and matrix metallo proteinase-3(MMP-3)were risk factors for the prognosis of patients with knee osteoarthritis.ROC test results showed that the area under the curve of the nomogram model in the experimental cohort and validation cohort was 0.806[95%CI(0.742,0.866)]and 0.786[(95%CI(0.678,0.893)],re-spectively.The results of the calibration curve showed that the Brier values of the experimental cohort and verification cohort were 0.151 points and 0.134 points,respectively.When the threshold probability value in the decision curve was set to 31%,the clinical benefit rates of the experimental cohort and validation cohort were 51%and 56%,respectively.Conclusion The prognostic model of patients with knee osteoarthritis constructed based on multi-dimensional clinical data has both theoretical and practical significance,and can provide a reference for taking targeted measures to improve the prognosis of patients.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail