1.Efficacy and safety of single-, two-, and three-port video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery for spontaneous pneumothorax: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Weirun MIN ; Wei CAO ; Haochi LI ; Jinlong ZHANG ; Xinchun DONG ; Xindong LUO ; Shengliang HE ; Yunjiu GOU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(03):461-467
Objective To systematically evaluate the efficacy and safety of video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) with different numbers of ports in the treatment of spontaneous pneumothorax. Methods We conducted a comprehensive search of CNKI, PubMed, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, EMbase, Wanfang Data, and the Chinese Medical Journal Full-text Database for clinical controlled trials on VATS with different port numbers for spontaneous pneumothorax, from their inception to March 2023. Two researchers independently screened the literature and assessed its quality.The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used to assess the methodological quality of cohort and case-control studies, and the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool was used to evaluate randomized controlled trials (RCT). Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4.1 software. Results A total of 107 studies were included, comprising 35 RCT, 2 cohort studies, and 70 case-control studies. All cohort and case-control studies included in the analysis had NOS scores≥7. The meta-analysis revealed that compared to two-port VATS (2P-VATS) and three-port VATS (3P-VATS), single-port thoracoscopic surgery (SPTS) was associated with less intraoperative blood loss (SMD=–1.58, 95%CI: –1.93 to –1.22, P<0.001; and SMD=–1.59, 95%CI: –2.03 to –1.14, P<0.001, respectively), shorter postoperative hospital stay (SMD=–1.05, 95%CI: –1.29 to –0.82, P<0.001; and SMD=–1.08, 95%CI: –1.39 to –0.77, P<0.001), shorter duration of postoperative chest tube drainage (SMD=–0.75, 95%CI: –1.00 to –0.50, P<0.001; and SMD=–1.23, 95%CI: –1.72 to –0.75, P<0.001), fewer postoperative complications (OR=0.34, 95%CI: 0.26 to 0.45, P<0.001; and OR=0.47, 95%CI: 0.33 to 0.68, P<0.001), and lower pain scores at 24, 48, and 72 hours after surgery (P<0.05). The operative time for SPTS was shorter than that for 2P-VATS (SMD=–0.53, 95%CI: –0.90 to –0.16, P=0.005) but showed no significant difference compared to 3P-VATS (P=0.21). When comparing 2P-VATS with 3P-VATS, 2P-VATS demonstrated less intraoperative blood loss (SMD=–1.02, 95%CI: –1.81 to –0.22, P=0.01), shorter postoperative hospital stay (SMD=–0.59, 95%CI: –1.11 to –0.06, P=0.03), shorter duration of chest tube drainage (SMD=–0.46, 95%CI: –0.85 to –0.08, P=0.02), fewer postoperative complications (OR=0.36, 95%CI: 0.22 to 0.59, P<0.001), and lower pain scores at 24, 48, and 72 hours after surgery (P≤0.05). Conclusion Both SPTS and 2P-VATS are effective and safe surgical options for spontaneous pneumothorax, deserving further promotion and application in clinical practice. However, due to limitations in the quantity and quality of the included studies, more large-sample, high-quality research is needed to validate these findings.
2.Relationship between gender and efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors for esophageal cancer patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Jinlong ZHANG ; Haochi LI ; Zhaohao LIN ; Wei CAO ; Weirun MIN ; Xindong LUO ; Xinchun DONG ; Yunjiu GOU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(04):639-645
Objective To systematically evaluate the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in treating esophageal cancer patients of different genders. Methods Computer searches were conducted on PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases to collect randomized controlled trial (RCT) on ICIs treatment for esophageal cancer patients from the establishment of the databases to January 25, 2024. Two researchers independently screened the literature and extracted data according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The outcome indicators were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), and RevMan 5.4 software was used for meta-analysis. The modified Jadad scoring scale was used to evaluate the quality of the included literature. Results A total of 10 RCT involving 5364 esophageal cancer patients were included in this study, with 2684 patients in the trial group and 2680 patients in the control group. The Jadad scores of the included literature were all ≥6 points, indicating high-quality RCT. Meta-analysis results showed that female esophageal cancer patients receiving ICIs treatment [HR=0.72, 95%CI (0.59, 0.87), P<0.001] had a more significant median OS prolongation than male patients [HR=0.73, 95%CI (0.68, 0.78), P<0.001]; while male patients [HR=0.57, 95%CI (0.52, 0.64), P<0.001] had a more significant PFS prolongation than female patients [HR=0.72, 95%CI (0.55, 0.94), P=0.01]. Female patients treated with ICIs alone [HR=0.66, 95%CI (0.50, 0.87), P=0.003] had a more significant median OS prolongation than male patients [HR=0.79, 95%CI (0.72, 0.87), P<0.001]; while male patients receiving ICIs combined with chemotherapy [HR=0.67, 95%CI (0.61, 0.74), P<0.001] had a more significant median OS prolongation than female patients [HR=0.77, 95%CI (0.59, 1.01), P=0.06]. Conclusion Female patients receiving ICIs have a slight advantage in OS compared to male patients, while male patients have an advantage in PFS. Male patients receiving ICIs combined with chemotherapy have better survival benefits than female patients, while female patients using ICIs monotherapy have better survival benefits than male patients.
3.A Personalized Brain-computer Interface Paradigm and Decoding Method for The Objective Evaluation of Auditory Frequency Difference Limen
Sheng-Ye LI ; Xiao-Lin XIAO ; Shi-Hang YU ; Bei-Bei ZHANG ; Xing-Wei AN ; Min-Peng XU ; Dong MING
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(7):1927-1941
ObjectiveThe frequency difference limen (FDL) serves as a fundamental metric utilized for effectively quantifying the precise perceptual capabilities of the central auditory system. However, traditional measurement methods rely heavily on the active behavioral responses of subjects and are consequently highly susceptible to the negative influence of confounding subjective factors. Furthermore, existing research paradigms frequently employ uniform stimulus configurations that overlook critical individual perceptual differences. Based on brain-computer interface (BCI) technology, this comprehensive study aims to establish an objective and quantitative evaluation method for auditory frequency discrimination by systematically analyzing and decoding the specific neural responses elicited at the exact threshold state. MethodsWe designed a personalized rapid serial auditory presentation (RSAP) paradigm customized based on each individual’s precise FDL. A cohort of eleven healthy participants was recruited to evaluate the paradigm using pure-tone sequences at a baseline frequency of 4 000 Hz. This experimental paradigm simulates a realistic auditory perception environment through the continuous presentation of acoustic stimuli, thereby allowing for an in-depth investigation into the specific neural representations evoked by weak frequency deviations at the threshold state. Given that auditory stimulus-evoked response features exhibit complex and differentiated spatiotemporal distribution patterns across multiple frequency domains, this study further deeply integrates the cross-scale feature interaction module with the dynamic spatiotemporal attention allocation strategy, innovatively proposing the Multi-Scale Spatial-Temporal Dual Attention Network (MS-STAMNet). Specifically, the network constructs parallel processing branches with multiple receptive fields and introduces a dynamic adaptive weighting strategy to precisely localize core neural activity signals, further deeply integrating multi-scale information through cross-branch feature information interaction to achieve robust single-trial decoding of weak auditory evoked responses. ResultsThe comprehensive electrophysiological data analysis demonstrated that subtle auditory frequency deviation stimuli presented at the threshold level successfully elicited pronounced N2 and P3 event-related potential features, reflecting pre-attentive mismatch detection and subsequent cognitive evaluation, which were prominently distributed over the frontal, central, and temporal regions of the scalp. In the complex time-frequency domain, the extracted neural response characteristics exhibited distinct, statistically significant event-related synchronization within both the low-frequency δ and θ frequency bands, which was simultaneously accompanied by a widespread, prominent event-related desynchronization within the higher α band. A comparative analysis of model performance demonstrated that MS-STAMNet achieved an average unweighted average recall (UAR) of (69.67±6.12)% and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.761 8±0.07, significantly outperforming the established baseline models such as EEGNet and PLNet. Furthermore, a distinct dissociation phenomenon was verified between neural decoding and behavioral performance through regression analysis (R2=0.016, P=0.709), indicating that this model can effectively capture the implicit features of subtle frequency deviations, even when they fail to trigger explicit conscious responses. Additionally, attention weight visualization analysis further reveals the highly accurate focus of the network on key features concentrated over the bilateral temporal and fronto-parietal regions. ConclusionThis study systematically and comprehensively uncovers the multi-dimensional spatiotemporal evolutionary patterns of complex neural responses processing subtle acoustic variations under long-sequence threshold auditory stimulation. Concurrently, it verifies the efficacy and robustness of the proposed MS-STAMNet architecture in accurately deciphering weak, single-trial electroencephalogram signals amidst complex background noise. Ultimately, these neurophysiological and algorithmic findings lay a solid theoretical and methodological foundation for the objective and quantitative evaluation of individual auditory cognitive capabilities in clinical applications, transcending the fundamental limitations of traditional behavioral paradigms and providing robust technical support for future auditory research and related clinical assessments.
4.Efficacy and safety of single versus three-port thoracoscopic surgery for spontaneous pneumothorax: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis
Weirun MIN ; Zhaohao LIN ; Shengliang HE ; Jinlong ZHANG ; Wei CAO ; Haoch LI ; Xinchun DONG ; Yunjiu GOU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(09):1464-1473
Objective To systematically evaluate the efficacy and safety of single-port thoracoscopic surgery (SPTS) in the treatment of spontaneous pneumothorax. Methods Computer searches were conducted in PubMed, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Embase, CNKI, WanFang, and the Chinese Medical Association databases to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies on the comparison of efficacy and safety of SPTS and three-port thoracoscopic surgery (TPTS) for the treatment of spontaneous pneumothorax from their inception to March 2024. The Cochrane RCT bias risk assessment tool and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) were used to assess the quality of RCTs and cohort studies, respectively. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4.1. Results A total of 68 studies were included, comprising 23 RCTs and 45 cohort studies with a total of 5403 patients. The NOS scores of the cohort studies were 7-8 points. Meta-analysis results showed that compared with TPTS, SPTS had less intraoperative blood loss [SMD=−1.58, 95%CI (−1.93, −1.22), P<0.001], shorter postoperative hospital stay [SMD=−1.05, 95%CI (−1.29, −0.82), P<0.001], shorter postoperative drainage tube placement time [SMD=−0.75, 95%CI (−1.00, −0.50), P<0.001], fewer postoperative complications [OR=0.34, 95%CI (0.26, 0.45), P<0.001], fewer postoperative recurrences [OR=0.48, 95%CI (0.32, 0.72), P<0.001], and less pain at 24, 48, and 72 h postoperatively [SMD=−1.71, 95%CI (−2.13, −1.30), P<0.001; SMD=−1.70, 95%CI (−2.35, −1.06), P<0.001; SMD=−1.72, 95%CI (−2.16, −1.29), P<0.001]. Conclusion SPTS is safe and effective in the treatment of spontaneous pneumothorax with high clinical value and can be further promoted in clinical practice. Considering the limitations in the number and quality of included studies, researches with larger sample sizes and higher quality are needed to validate the above conclusions.
5.Guideline for Adult Weight Management in China
Weiqing WANG ; Qin WAN ; Jianhua MA ; Guang WANG ; Yufan WANG ; Guixia WANG ; Yongquan SHI ; Tingjun YE ; Xiaoguang SHI ; Jian KUANG ; Bo FENG ; Xiuyan FENG ; Guang NING ; Yiming MU ; Hongyu KUANG ; Xiaoping XING ; Chunli PIAO ; Xingbo CHENG ; Zhifeng CHENG ; Yufang BI ; Yan BI ; Wenshan LYU ; Dalong ZHU ; Cuiyan ZHU ; Wei ZHU ; Fei HUA ; Fei XIANG ; Shuang YAN ; Zilin SUN ; Yadong SUN ; Liqin SUN ; Luying SUN ; Li YAN ; Yanbing LI ; Hong LI ; Shu LI ; Ling LI ; Yiming LI ; Chenzhong LI ; Hua YANG ; Jinkui YANG ; Ling YANG ; Ying YANG ; Tao YANG ; Xiao YANG ; Xinhua XIAO ; Dan WU ; Jinsong KUANG ; Lanjie HE ; Wei GU ; Jie SHEN ; Yongfeng SONG ; Qiao ZHANG ; Hong ZHANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Junqing ZHANG ; Xianfeng ZHANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Yifei ZHANG ; Yingli LU ; Hong CHEN ; Li CHEN ; Bing CHEN ; Shihong CHEN ; Guiyan CHEN ; Haibing CHEN ; Lei CHEN ; Yanyan CHEN ; Genben CHEN ; Yikun ZHOU ; Xianghai ZHOU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Jiaqiang ZHOU ; Hongting ZHENG ; Zhongyan SHAN ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Dong ZHAO ; Ji HU ; Jiang HU ; Xinguo HOU ; Bimin SHI ; Tianpei HONG ; Mingxia YUAN ; Weibo XIA ; Xuejiang GU ; Yong XU ; Shuguang PANG ; Tianshu GAO ; Zuhua GAO ; Xiaohui GUO ; Hongyi CAO ; Mingfeng CAO ; Xiaopei CAO ; Jing MA ; Bin LU ; Zhen LIANG ; Jun LIANG ; Min LONG ; Yongde PENG ; Jin LU ; Hongyun LU ; Yan LU ; Chunping ZENG ; Binhong WEN ; Xueyong LOU ; Qingbo GUAN ; Lin LIAO ; Xin LIAO ; Ping XIONG ; Yaoming XUE
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(11):891-907
Body weight abnormalities, including overweight, obesity, and underweight, have become a dual public health challenge in Chinese adults: overweight and obesity lead to a variety of chronic complications, while underweight increases the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and organ dysfunction. To systematically address these issues, multidisciplinary experts in endocrinology, sports science, nutrition, and psychiatry from various regions have held multiple weight management seminars. Based on the latest epidemiological data and clinical evidence, they expanded the guideline to include assessment and intervention strategies for underweight, in addition to the core content of obesity management. This guideline outlines the etiological mechanisms, evaluation methods, and multidimensional management strategies for overweight and obesity, covering key areas such as diagnosis and assessment, medical nutrition therapy, exercise prescription, pharmacological intervention, and psychological support. It is intended to provide a scientific and standardized approach to weight management across the adult population, aiming to curb the rising prevalence of obesity, mitigate complications associated with abnormal body weight, and improve nutritional status and overall quality of life.
6.Research on the enhancement of the PRER efficacy for medical device under reforming supervision
Dong LI ; Min ZHAO ; Yao LI ; Qiping WANG ; Yan ZHAO
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(10):73-78
Objective:To investigate the implementation status of periodic risk evaluation reports(PRER)for medical devices in China,so as to provide references for adapting the development of vigilance system for medical device,and improving the PRER system.Methods:A questionnaire was self-designed,which was online distributed to registrants and filing persons for medical devices,domestic agent for imported medical devices,and the relevant persons of monitoring agencies for adverse events of medical device at all grades through monitoring agencies of each provincial grade in China,so as to understand the evaluation and suggestion of the relevant agencies of medical devices for the PRER work.Combined with review status and special inspection results of all monitoring agencies for PRER,and compared with guidelines of the European Union's Periodic Safety Update Reports(PSURs),the existing issues in the PRER for medical devices in China were analyzed at present.Results:A total of 4,377 valid questionnaires were returned,the respondents by 64.95%acknowledged that PRER can aid stakeholders to identify products'risks.Additionally,the respondents by 41.28%acknowledged that the medical devices of Class I and renewal registrations need be simplify in the PRER,and the respondents by 57.69%considered the frequency of writing and submitting reports should be adjusted.Conclusion:This article combined with the requirements of pilot work of vigilance for medical device,and recommended to strengthen risk analysis in PRER,and streamline reporting formats,and improve the top-level design of safety supervision after medical devices enter the market in China.These measures will promote the supervision and management system of China for medical device to integrate with international standards,and enhance the international competitiveness of the domestically medical device industry.
7.Research on the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children
Xinyi LIANG ; Jingnan CHEN ; Xuelian ZHOU ; Ruimin CHEN ; Jingsi LUO ; Rongxiu ZHENG ; Chunxiu GONG ; Chunlin WANG ; Zhe SU ; Mireguli MAIMAITI ; Yan LIANG ; Hui YAO ; Haiyan WEI ; Hongwei DU ; Shaoke CHEN ; Yu YANG ; Feihong LUO ; Pin LI ; Min ZHU ; Wei WU ; Ke HUANG ; Guanping DONG ; Junfen FU
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(6):612-619
Objective:To investigate the prevalence and risk factors of overweight and obesity among Chinese children aged 3-18 years from 11 provinces, antonomous regions, or municipalities.Methods:This national cross-sectional community health survey utilized a multistage stratified cluster-random sampling method to recruit 193 997 nationally representative participants from 11 provinces, autonomous regions, or municipalities between January 2017 and December 2019. All participants underwent physical examinations, and their caregivers completed questionnaires assessing participants′ dietary, lifestyle, familial, and perinatal information. Multilevel multinomial logistic regression models were employed to identify the potential risk factors.Results:The cohort comprised 193 997 children (102 178 boys, 91 819 girls),aged (10±4) years. Overall prevalence rates were 30 574(15.8%)overweight children and 17 217(8.9%) obesity children. Boys exhibited higher overweight and obesity rates than girls (17.0% (17 368/102 178) vs. 14.4% (13 206/102 178), 11.3% (11 553/91 819) vs. 6.2% (5 664/91 819), χ2=249.12,1 578.69,both P<0.001). The detection rates of obesity in Tanner stage 2 and 3 were the highest in boys and girls, with 13.4%(2 231/16 665) and 8.6%(880/10 221) respectively. Risk factors for obesity included parental overweight (paternal OR=2.34 and maternal OR=2.29), annual household income of 100 000-200 000 yuan (compared with<100 000 yuan, OR=1.04), higher paternal education (compared with below high school,high school and a college education OR=1.09,1.14), birth weight >4.0 kg (≤5 and>5 years old OR=1.74, 1.44,respectively), and western food consumption≥1 time/month (compared with<1, 1-2, 3-4,>4 times/month OR=1.36, 1.30, 1.67(≤5 years), 1.19, 1.16, 1.15 (>5 years), respectively) (all P<0.05). Conversely, coarse grain intake≥1 times/week (compared with<1 times/week, every day, 3-4, 1-2 times/week OR=0.74, 0.80, 0.71 (≤5 years), 0.75, 0.87, 0.90(>5 years), respectively, all P<0.05) was associated with reduced obesity risk. Conclusions:Obesity epidemiology in children demonstrates significant heterogeneity across age, gender, geographic regions, and pubertal stages. It is necessary to establish a personalized prevention and control strategy.
8.The predictive value of very low frequency power for the efficacy of vitamin D treatment in children with postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome
Tong DONG ; Jin WANG ; Weixia WU ; Yan WANG ; Shaomin NIU ; Xiaojuan YAN ; Li MIN ; Huitao MENG ; Xiangyu DONG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(10):1115-1120
Objective:To explore the predictive value of very low frequency (VLF) for the efficacy of vitamin D treatment in children with postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS).Methods:A retrospective case-control study was conducted. A total of 65 POTS children from the Department of Pediatrics of the Second Hospital of Lanzhou University from November 2023 to May 2024 were selected as the research subjects, while 102 healthy children from the same period were selected as the control group. The 25 (OH) D levels between POTS children and healthy children were compared. The frequency of eight main symptoms, including palpitations, headache, cold sweat, blurred vision, chest tightness, dizziness, fainting, and digestive discomfort in the POTS group were analyzed, the symptom scores of the orthostatic intolerance were calculated, and the parameters related to short-range heart rate variability (HRV) during the upright test, head-up tilt test (HUTT) were collected. The correlation between 25 (OH) D levels and symptom scores of orthostatic intolerance symptoms and HRV parameters in children with POTS were analyzed by Pearson correlation analysis. The total symptom scores of children with POTS were compared for 3 months before treatment and 2 months after treatment with vitamin D 800 U/d. The difference in score before and after treatment was ≥2 as responsive group, and the score difference before and after treatment was <2 as non-responsive group. The demographic characteristics including age, gender, height, weight, body mass index, as well as HRV parameters such as the standard deviation of nn intervals (SDNN), the standard deviation of the average NN intervals (SDANN), the root mean square of successive differences (rMSSD), low-frequency (LF), high-frequency (HF), very-low-frequency (VLF) were compared between the responsive group and non-responsive group. Multivariate Logistic regression was analyzed to screen independent influencing factors of vitamin D treatment efficacy for POTS. The marker molecules related to the efficacy of vitamin D treatment in children with POTS were analyzed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:A total of 167 children were included in this study. There were 65 children in the POTS group, 38 males and 27 females, with the age of (10.6±2.2) years. There were 102 healthy children in the control group, 53 males and 49 females, with the age of (11.2±1.8) years.There was no statistically significant difference in gender and age between the two groups (both P>0.05). The serum 25 (OH) D level in children in the POTS group was (37±18)nmol/L, lower than that in the control group (61±17)nmol/L ( P<0.05).Pearson correlation analysis showed that serum 25(OH)D was positively correlated with VLF, SDNN and HF ( r=0.43, 0.65, 0.36, respectively, all P<0.05). Among the POTS children, there were 48 cases in responsive group and 17 cases in non-responsive group. Univariate analysis revealed that responsive group exhibited significantly lower values in age, SDNN, SDANN, and VLF compared to the non-responsive group (all P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR=1.47, 95% CI 1.08-2.01), SDNN ( OR=1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.22) and VLF ( OR=1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.15) were independent influencing factors in the effect of vitamin D in POTS children (all P<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of VLF predicting response to vitamin D treatment for POTS was 0.72 (95% CI 0.58-0.85, P=0.008). When the cutoff value was 1 272 ms 2, the sensitivity and specificity were both 70%. Conclusion:VLF may help predict the efficacy of vitamin D treatment in children with POTS.
9.Research progress of autophagy and ferroptosis in diabetic kidney disease
Tai-Min ZHANG ; Xi-Zhe ZHANG ; Duo-Sen ZHANG ; Ya-Dong MA ; Tian LI
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(9):1186-1194
Diabetic kidney disease(DKD)is a microvascular complication of diabetes mellitus with a complex pathogenesis.Recent studies have revealed that autophagy and ferroptosis,as two forms of programmed cell death,exhibit dynamic interactions in DKD:autophagy maintains homeostasis by eliminating damaged organelles,while ferroptosis is driven by iron-dependent lipid peroxidation.Imbalance between the two exacerbates renal injury.This review systematically summarizes the signaling pathways and key regulatory factors related to autophagy and ferroptosis,as well as their interaction mechanisms[such as nuclear receptor coactivator 4(NCOA4)-mediated ferritinophagy,clock autophagy,and lipid autophagy].It further elaborates the molecular network by which these processes synergistically regulate DKD progression.Additionally,the potential of modern pharmaceuticals and active components of traditional Chinese medicine to improve kidney injury by targeting autophagy and ferroptosis is discussed,proposing that targeting their cross-talk pathways may provide novel therapeutic strategies for DKD,aiming to lay a theoretical foundation for the development of targeted intervention strategies and precision therapeutic regimens.
10.Construction of a postoperative mortality risk model for patients with acute aortic dissection based on XGBoost-SHAP method
Xin ZHANG ; Min FANG ; Yi CAO ; Ting-Ting LI ; Xian-Kong LIU ; Jia-Yi DANG ; Xue-Sen ZHAO ; Hong-Qin REN ; Jia-Ze GENG ; Kai-Wen WANG ; Tie-Sheng HAN ; Yong-Bo ZHAO ; Dong MA
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(10):1226-1234
Objective To develop a predictive model for postoperative mortality risk in patients with acute aortic dissection(AAD)using the Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with Shapley Additive Explanation(SHAP),and to establish a prediction website to serve as a diagnostic and therapeutic support platform for clinicians and patients.Methods A retrospective cohort study design was adopted.Data from 782 AAD patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2013 to December 2023 were collected,including basic information and initial serum biomarker test results.Patients were randomly divided into training and test sets at a 7:3 ratio.An external validation set consisting of 313 AAD patients admitted to the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023 was also established for further model validation.Variables were screened using LASSO regression,and an XGBoost machine learning model was constructed and interpreted using SHAP.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Using the Shiny package,the XGBoost model was deployed to shinyapps.io to create a prediction website for postoperative mortality risk in AAD patients.One patient was selected by simple random sampling from the test set and the external validation set respectively for the prediction example on the Shiny webpage.Results The XGBoost model demonstrated high predictive performance for postoperative mortality in AAD patients,with area under the ROC curve(AUC)values of 0.928(95%CI 0.901-0.956)in the training set,0.919(95%CI 0.891-0.949)in the test set,and 0.941(95%CI 0.915-0.967)in the external validation set.SHAP values indicated the following order of variable importance in the model(from highest to lowest):"lactate dehydrogenase""blood chlorine""multiple organ injury""carbon dioxide combining power""prothrombin time""α-hydroxybutyric acid""creatine kinase isoenzyme""Stanford classification""combined use of bedside blood purification""gender""acute kidney injury""gastrointestinal bleeding""brain injury"and"shock".A risk prediction website for adverse postoperative outcomes in AAD patients was developed using XGBoost-SHAP method(https://dun-dunxiaolu.shinyapps.io/document/)and validated with examples.One randomly selected patient from each of the test and external validation sets was applied:the predicted mortality risk value for patient 1(who died postoperatively)was 0.9539,and that for patient 2(who survived postoperatively)was 0.0206.Conclusions The XGBoost-SHAP model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting postoperative mortality risk for AAD patients.The online prediction tool established based on this model enhances the identification efficiency of high-risk postoperative mortality patients.

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