1.Comparison of the effects of three time series models in predicting the trend of erythrocyte blood demand
Yajuan QIU ; Jianping ZHANG ; Jia LUO ; Peilin LI ; Mengzhuo LUO ; Qiongying LI ; Ge LIU ; Qing LEI ; Kai LIAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):257-262
[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.
2.Correlation between adult mosquito density and meteorological factors in Pudong New Area of Shanghai, China
Ge GE ; Yongting YUAN ; Lei FENG ; Hanzhao LIU ; Chen LIN ; Ruohua GU ; Juan GE ; Jun LIU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(2):105-108
ObjectiveTo learn the density and seasonal variation of adult mosquitoes in Pudong New Area of Shanghai, and to explore the influence of meteorological factors on the density of adult mosquitoes. MethodsFrom April to November in 2017‒2021, adult mosquito density in Pudong New Area was monitored every ten days a time by using CO2 trapping light method. Meteorological data were collected during the same time, and Pearson correlation analysis and multiple linear regression model were used to investigate the correlation between adult mosquito density and meteorological factors. ResultsThe seasonal variation of adult mosquito density showed a single-peak pattern, with the peak of 7.09 mosquitoes·(set·time)-1 in July. The adult mosquito density was positively correlated with the monthly average temperature, monthly maximum temperature, monthly minimum temperature, and monthly average relative humidity (r=0.813, 0.793, 0.820, 0.617, all P<0.05), but negatively correlated with monthly average air pressure (r=-0.738, P<0.05). The regression equation of the adult mosquito density and monthly minimum temperature in Pudong New Area of Shanghai was Y=0.066 X3-0.884, with a corrected R2 of 0.673, indicating a good model fitting. ConclusionThe overall seasonal variation of adult mosquito density in Pudong New Area showed a single-peak pattern. The density of adult mosquitoes was correlated with the monthly average temperature, monthly maximum temperature, monthly minimum temperature, monthly average relative humidity, and monthly average air pressure, and linearly correlated with monthly minimum temperature.
3.Isolated coronary arteritis secondary to Behçet’s disease: a case report
Yang ZHANG ; Lei XU ; Xinying HU ; Hao JIANG ; Feng ZHANG ; Junbo GE
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2025;32(2):300-305
A 36-year-old male patient presented with repeated myocardial infarction. Despite regular dual-antiplatelet therapy and intensive lipid-lowering therapy, he still experienced restenosis after coronary stent implantation. He then transferred to the Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University. According to the disease history, combined with coronary artery inflammation observed by PET/CT and effective anti-inflammatory treatment, he was finally diagnosed with Behçet’s disease (BD) combined with isolated coronary arteritis. BD has been included in the Chinese Second Catalog of Rare Diseases, and the disease that only involves the coronary arteries is even rarer, which makes it very easy to misdiagnose and underdiagnosis in clinical practice. Strengthening the understanding of the complex clinical phenotypes of various vasculitis, attaching importance to multidisciplinary consultation, and dynamically following up are of great value for the early diagnosis of this disease.
4.The bridging role of programmed cell death in association between periodontitis and rheumatoid arthritis
GE Ruiyang ; ZHOU Yingying ; MAO Haowei ; HAN Lei ; CUI Di ; YAN Fuhua
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2025;33(6):457-465
Periodontitis and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are chronic inflammatory diseases that share similar inflammatory mechanisms and characteristics. Programmed cell death (PCD) has recently garnered attention for its crucial role in regulating inflammation and maintaining tissue homeostasis, as well as for its potential to link these two diseases. The various forms of PCD--including apoptosis, pyroptosis, and necroptosis--are closely controlled by signaling pathways such as Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) /NF-κB and MAPK. These pathways determine cell fate and influence inflammatory responses, tissue destruction, and repair, and they both play important roles in the pathogenesis of RA and periodontitis. In periodontitis, periodontal pathogens such as Porphyromonas gingivalis (P. gingivalis) and its virulence factors, including lipopolysaccharide (LPS), induce pyroptosis and necroptosis in immune cells such as macrophages via the TLR4/NF-κB pathway, which leads to an excessive release of pro-inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin (IL)-1β and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α. Concurrently, these pathogens inhibit the normal apoptotic process of immune cells, such as neutrophils, prolonging their survival, exacerbating immune imbalance, and aggravating periodontal tissue destruction. Similarly, in RA synovial tissue, fibroblast-like synoviocytes (FLS) acquire apoptosis resistance through signaling pathways such as the Bcl-2 family, JAK/STAT, and NF-κB, allowing for the consistent proliferation and secretion of matrix metalloproteinases and pro-inflammatory cytokines. Meanwhile, the continuous activation of pyroptotic pathways in neutrophils and macrophages results in the sustained release of IL-1β, further exacerbating synovial inflammation and bone destruction. Notably, dysregulated PCD fosters inter-organ crosstalk through shared inflammatory mediators and metabolic networks. Damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs) and cytokines that originate from periodontal lesions can spread systemically, influencing cell death processes in synovial and immune cells, thereby aggravating joint inflammation and bone erosion. By contrast, systemic inflammation in RA can upregulate osteoclastic activity or interfere with the normal apoptosis of periodontal cells via TNF-α and IL-6, ultimately intensifying periodontal immune imbalance. This review highlights the pivotal bridging role of PCD in the pathogenesis of both periodontitis and RA, providing a reference for therapeutic strategies that target cell death pathways to manage and potentially mitigate these diseases.
5.Epidemiological survey on pubertal developmental characteristics of primary school students in Yangzhou City
DOU Chengyin, ZHANG Lei, GE Baojin, WANG Lei
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(7):1019-1022
Objective:
To investigate the timing of puberty onset among primary school students, so as to provide the reference data for early identification of children with suspected precocious puberty.
Methods:
A study was conducted from October 23 to November 7, 2023, involving 10 225 students(5 412 boys, 4 813 girls) from grade 1 to 6 of four campuses in Meiling Primary School in Yangzhou. Breast development in girls and external genitalia in boys was assessed via visual inspection and palpation, with pubertal stages classified using the Tanner staging method. Puberty onset timing was determined based on age/sex reference values from Chinese Han children s pubertal milestone indicators. Descriptive analysis was performed using SPSS 26.0.
Results:
The median age for testicular volume reaching 4 mL in boys was 10.49 years, while the median age for breast development onset in girls was 9.70 years. Among boys with testicular volume ≥4 mL, 16.6%( n =217) were identified as suspected early puberty cases; among girls with Tanner stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ, 123(9.4%) and 165(18.5%) showed earlier breast development than the reference range. Overall, 14.4% of students exhibited suspected precocious puberty.
Conclusion
The onset age of puberty for girls in primary schools of Yangzhou aligns with findings from other regions, while boys show earlier pubertal initiation.
6.Prediction of the risk of developing endometrial polyp based on lipid metabolism , vaginal microecology combined with uterine volume line graph modeling
Ya Li ; Yun Zhang ; Lei Yang ; Nan Min ; Liling Ge ; Shiying Sun ; Bing Wei
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2025;60(8):1541-1547
Objective:
To explore the risk of endometrial polyp (EP) based on lipid metabolism and vaginal micro- ecology combined with uterine volume line drawing model.
Methods:
143 EP patients treated by hysteroscopic sur- gery were selected as the experimental group , and 113 healthy women were selected as the control group at the same time. The data were randomly divided into training set and validation set according to the ratio of 7 : 3. The clinical data of the two groups were collected and recorded , and t/χ2 test , LASSO regression and multifactorial lo- gistic regression analysis were used to screen the independent risk factors , construct the prediction model , and draw the column line graph. The performance of the model was evaluated by applying subject operating characteristic (ROC) curves , calibration curves , Hosmer-Lemeshow test and clinical decision-making (DCA) curves.
Results:
Multifactorial logistic regression analysis showed that total cholesterol ( TC) , low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) , vaginal microecological balance , and uterine volume were independent risk factors for the development of EP. ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC values of the training and validation sets of the column line graph model were 0. 935 and 0. 887 , respectively , and its sensitivity and specificity were 90. 21% , 83. 46% and 86. 29% , 80. 66% respectively , The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model fits well ( training set : χ2 = 2. 261 , P = 0. 840 ; validation set : χ2 = 4. 837 , P = 0. 441) and the calibration curves of the training and validation sets were close to the ideal curves , which indicated that the model had good prediction accuracy; the analysis of DCA curves of the training and validation sets both showed that the column-line graph model had a good clinical benefit rate in predicting EP.
Conclusion
TC , LDL-C , vaginal microecological balance and uterine volume are independent risk factors for EP , and the column-line diagram model constructed by the model has high clinical ben- efit , calibration and accuracy in predicting the risk of EP.
7.Analysis on the diagnostic efficacy of different VMIs of DECT imaging for coracoclavicular ligament injury
Chao LIU ; Qian LUO ; Renbin GE ; Qinqin YU ; Lei ZHANG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(2):31-36
Objective:To compare and analyze the parameters of image quality of virtual mono-energetic images(VMIs)and conventional computed tomography(CT)images of dual-energy CT(DECT)imaging for the coracoclavicular ligament,and to optimize the image quality of DECT imaging for coracoclavicular ligament.Methods:The DECT image data of shoulder joints of 50 patients who received DECT scan in the First People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University were retrospectively analyzed.450 VMIs at energy levels of 40 to 120 keV were obtained through the Syngo.via VB20 workstation,and these VMIs were divided into three groups:low energy level(40,50,60 keV),medium energy level(70,80,90 keV),and high energy level(100,110,120 keV).The contrast-to-noise ratio(CNR),the direction of coracoclavicular ligament's rows,and the displayed subjective quality scores of attachment points of VMIs were compared with those of conventional CT images.The results of MRI examination were used as the"gold standard"to assess the effectiveness of VMIs in diagnosing coracoclavicular ligament injuries of patients with acromioclavicular joint dislocation.The diagnostic efficacies of VMIs'the three groups and conventional images were assessed by using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results:The CNR values of diagonal ligament and conical ligament at 40 keV of low energy level group of VMIs for coracoclavicular ligament were respectively 14.09±3.27 and 13.9±3.06,and those of medium energy level group were respectively 11.89±4.01 and 12.17±4.08,and those of high energy level were respectively 9.69±4.25 and 9.78±4.33.The CNR value of low energy level group was significantly higher than that of medium and high energy level groups,and the differences were statistically significant(t=21.1,16.3,P<0.05),respectively.The results of ROC curve analysis indicated that the sensitivity,specificity and area under curve(AUC)value of the low energy level group were relatively higher in diagnosing coracoclavicular ligament injury,which were respectively 90.05%,91.95%and 0.965.There was high consistence in assessing coracoclavicular ligament injury between DECT's VMIs and MRI examination(Kappa=0.896).Conclusion:DECT's VMIs can better display the rows and attachment points of diagonal ligament and conical ligament,and the VMIs quality at low energy level(40 to 70 keV)is the best,which has better diagnostic efficacy in diagnosing coracoclavicular ligament injury.
8.Singular value decomposition combined with block-matching and three-dimensional filtering for improving imaging quality of contrast-enhanced ultrasound
Huarong YE ; Chen LIU ; Haiman HU ; Yumeng LEI ; Qi WANG ; Ge ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2025;41(10):1720-1724
Objective To observe the value of singular value decomposition(SVD)combined with block-matching and three-dimensional(BM3D)filtering for improving imaging quality of contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS).Methods Three subject who would undergo liver,kidney and ovarian CEUS examination respectively were prospectively enrolled,and 250 images unaffected by respiratory movements were acquired in each one.SVD filtering was performed alone and combined with BM3D filtering,and contrast-to-tissue ratio(CTR),contrast-to-noise ratio(CNR)and signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)of the obtained CEUS images were calculated and compared.Results Compared with original CEUS images,CTR,CNR and SNR of SVD alone filtered CEUS images improved,which all further improved after combining with BM3D filtering.Conclusion SVD combined with BM3D filtering could significantly suppress the background tissue signals and remove noise,improving imaging quality of CEUS.
9.Surgical treatment strategy of thyroid cancer complicated with primary hyperparathyroidism
Anran DU ; Lei AN ; Changsheng TENG ; Zhicheng GE ; Zhongtao ZHANG ; Guoqian DING
China Modern Doctor 2025;63(22):31-35
Objective To explore the surgical treatment strategy for patients with thyroid cancer complicated with primary hyperparathyroidism(PHPT).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the case data of thyroid cancer patients who underwent surgical treatment at Beijing Friendship Hospital,Capital Medical University from January 2016 to January 2022.Among them,22 patients with PHPT were included in study group,and 44 patients were randomly selected from thyroid cancer patients during the same period at a ratio of 1∶2 and included in control group.The operation time,intraoperative blood loss,hospital stay and occurrence of complications of two groups of patients were compared.Results The operation time of patients in study group was significantly longer than that in control group(P<0.01).There was no statistically significant difference in intraoperative blood loss and hospital stay between two groups of patients(P>0.05).There were 5 cases of temporary hypocalcemia in study group,12 cases of temporary hypocalcemia and 1 case of incision infection in control group.There was no statistically significant difference in incidence of postoperative complications between two groups of patients(P>0.05).Conclusion Thyroid cancer complicated with PHPT increases the complexity of treatment.Through adequate preoperative diagnosis and reasonable surgical treatment strategies,the risks of secondary surgery and postoperative complications can be effectively reduced,and the prognosis of patients can be improved.
10.Reflection and recommendation on the current status of acupuncture direction selection and reporting.
Hongbo JIA ; Yibing LI ; Kangchen LEI ; Wenyi GE ; Wei LIU ; Songjiao LI ; Shuwen SHI ; Yutong DONG ; Congcong MA ; Li LI ; Jian LIU ; Xiaonong FAN
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2025;45(8):1187-1194
The randomized controlled trials (RCTs) regarding acupuncture direction published from January 1st, 2013, to November 7th, 2023 were searched in China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang Data Knowledge Service Platform, and VIP Chinese Journal Database. As a result, 21 RCTs were included. The problems identified included conceptual misunderstandings regarding acupuncture direction, incomplete selection strategies, confounding research factors, and inaccuracies in reporting. Based on the findings, four strategic approaches for enhancing therapeutic efficacy through acupuncture direction were summarized: aligning needle direction with the meridian pathway, directing the needle toward the lesion site, orienting the needle toward adjacent acupoints, and targeting special anatomical structures. Two additional strategies were proposed for optimizing the procedure: simplifying acupuncture operations and directing the needle toward safe anatomical sites. Recommendations were made to improve the rationality of research factor settings and the completeness of acupuncture operation reporting. Furthermore, three methods for reporting acupuncture direction were discussed: reporting the tip-pointed position, reporting the insertion angle and orientation, and reporting azimuth and polar angles, aiming to promote greater standardization and completeness in acupuncture practice and reporting.
Acupuncture Therapy/standards*
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Humans
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Acupuncture Points
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Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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Meridians


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