1.Comparison of the effects of three time series models in predicting the trend of erythrocyte blood demand
Yajuan QIU ; Jianping ZHANG ; Jia LUO ; Peilin LI ; Mengzhuo LUO ; Qiongying LI ; Ge LIU ; Qing LEI ; Kai LIAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):257-262
[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.
2.Correlation between adult mosquito density and meteorological factors in Pudong New Area of Shanghai, China
Ge GE ; Yongting YUAN ; Lei FENG ; Hanzhao LIU ; Chen LIN ; Ruohua GU ; Juan GE ; Jun LIU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(2):105-108
ObjectiveTo learn the density and seasonal variation of adult mosquitoes in Pudong New Area of Shanghai, and to explore the influence of meteorological factors on the density of adult mosquitoes. MethodsFrom April to November in 2017‒2021, adult mosquito density in Pudong New Area was monitored every ten days a time by using CO2 trapping light method. Meteorological data were collected during the same time, and Pearson correlation analysis and multiple linear regression model were used to investigate the correlation between adult mosquito density and meteorological factors. ResultsThe seasonal variation of adult mosquito density showed a single-peak pattern, with the peak of 7.09 mosquitoes·(set·time)-1 in July. The adult mosquito density was positively correlated with the monthly average temperature, monthly maximum temperature, monthly minimum temperature, and monthly average relative humidity (r=0.813, 0.793, 0.820, 0.617, all P<0.05), but negatively correlated with monthly average air pressure (r=-0.738, P<0.05). The regression equation of the adult mosquito density and monthly minimum temperature in Pudong New Area of Shanghai was Y=0.066 X3-0.884, with a corrected R2 of 0.673, indicating a good model fitting. ConclusionThe overall seasonal variation of adult mosquito density in Pudong New Area showed a single-peak pattern. The density of adult mosquitoes was correlated with the monthly average temperature, monthly maximum temperature, monthly minimum temperature, monthly average relative humidity, and monthly average air pressure, and linearly correlated with monthly minimum temperature.
3.Isolated coronary arteritis secondary to Behçet’s disease: a case report
Yang ZHANG ; Lei XU ; Xinying HU ; Hao JIANG ; Feng ZHANG ; Junbo GE
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2025;32(2):300-305
A 36-year-old male patient presented with repeated myocardial infarction. Despite regular dual-antiplatelet therapy and intensive lipid-lowering therapy, he still experienced restenosis after coronary stent implantation. He then transferred to the Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University. According to the disease history, combined with coronary artery inflammation observed by PET/CT and effective anti-inflammatory treatment, he was finally diagnosed with Behçet’s disease (BD) combined with isolated coronary arteritis. BD has been included in the Chinese Second Catalog of Rare Diseases, and the disease that only involves the coronary arteries is even rarer, which makes it very easy to misdiagnose and underdiagnosis in clinical practice. Strengthening the understanding of the complex clinical phenotypes of various vasculitis, attaching importance to multidisciplinary consultation, and dynamically following up are of great value for the early diagnosis of this disease.
4.The bridging role of programmed cell death in association between periodontitis and rheumatoid arthritis
GE Ruiyang ; ZHOU Yingying ; MAO Haowei ; HAN Lei ; CUI Di ; YAN Fuhua
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2025;33(6):457-465
Periodontitis and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are chronic inflammatory diseases that share similar inflammatory mechanisms and characteristics. Programmed cell death (PCD) has recently garnered attention for its crucial role in regulating inflammation and maintaining tissue homeostasis, as well as for its potential to link these two diseases. The various forms of PCD--including apoptosis, pyroptosis, and necroptosis--are closely controlled by signaling pathways such as Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) /NF-κB and MAPK. These pathways determine cell fate and influence inflammatory responses, tissue destruction, and repair, and they both play important roles in the pathogenesis of RA and periodontitis. In periodontitis, periodontal pathogens such as Porphyromonas gingivalis (P. gingivalis) and its virulence factors, including lipopolysaccharide (LPS), induce pyroptosis and necroptosis in immune cells such as macrophages via the TLR4/NF-κB pathway, which leads to an excessive release of pro-inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin (IL)-1β and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α. Concurrently, these pathogens inhibit the normal apoptotic process of immune cells, such as neutrophils, prolonging their survival, exacerbating immune imbalance, and aggravating periodontal tissue destruction. Similarly, in RA synovial tissue, fibroblast-like synoviocytes (FLS) acquire apoptosis resistance through signaling pathways such as the Bcl-2 family, JAK/STAT, and NF-κB, allowing for the consistent proliferation and secretion of matrix metalloproteinases and pro-inflammatory cytokines. Meanwhile, the continuous activation of pyroptotic pathways in neutrophils and macrophages results in the sustained release of IL-1β, further exacerbating synovial inflammation and bone destruction. Notably, dysregulated PCD fosters inter-organ crosstalk through shared inflammatory mediators and metabolic networks. Damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs) and cytokines that originate from periodontal lesions can spread systemically, influencing cell death processes in synovial and immune cells, thereby aggravating joint inflammation and bone erosion. By contrast, systemic inflammation in RA can upregulate osteoclastic activity or interfere with the normal apoptosis of periodontal cells via TNF-α and IL-6, ultimately intensifying periodontal immune imbalance. This review highlights the pivotal bridging role of PCD in the pathogenesis of both periodontitis and RA, providing a reference for therapeutic strategies that target cell death pathways to manage and potentially mitigate these diseases.
5.Epidemiological survey on pubertal developmental characteristics of primary school students in Yangzhou City
DOU Chengyin, ZHANG Lei, GE Baojin, WANG Lei
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(7):1019-1022
Objective:
To investigate the timing of puberty onset among primary school students, so as to provide the reference data for early identification of children with suspected precocious puberty.
Methods:
A study was conducted from October 23 to November 7, 2023, involving 10 225 students(5 412 boys, 4 813 girls) from grade 1 to 6 of four campuses in Meiling Primary School in Yangzhou. Breast development in girls and external genitalia in boys was assessed via visual inspection and palpation, with pubertal stages classified using the Tanner staging method. Puberty onset timing was determined based on age/sex reference values from Chinese Han children s pubertal milestone indicators. Descriptive analysis was performed using SPSS 26.0.
Results:
The median age for testicular volume reaching 4 mL in boys was 10.49 years, while the median age for breast development onset in girls was 9.70 years. Among boys with testicular volume ≥4 mL, 16.6%( n =217) were identified as suspected early puberty cases; among girls with Tanner stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ, 123(9.4%) and 165(18.5%) showed earlier breast development than the reference range. Overall, 14.4% of students exhibited suspected precocious puberty.
Conclusion
The onset age of puberty for girls in primary schools of Yangzhou aligns with findings from other regions, while boys show earlier pubertal initiation.
6.Epidemiological characteristics of scrub typhus in Huai'an, Jiangsu Province in 2006 - 2024
Lei XU ; Zhizhen CUI ; Qiang GAO ; Hao JU ; Chuanyu WAN ; Ranfeng HANG ; Shiyao WU ; Ben CAI ; Zheng ZHANG ; Haiyan GE
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):39-42
Objective To describe and analyze the epidemiological characteristics of scrub typhus in Huai'an, Jiangsu Province from 2006 to 2024 and explore the long-term incidence trend and distribution of high-risk areas, and to formulate targeted prevention and control strategies. Methods The scrub typhus case report data of Huai'an from 2006 to 2024 in the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System were extracted for descriptive analysis. Results A total of 898 cases of scrub typhus were reported in Huai'an, with an average annual incidence rate of 0.96 per 100 000 from 2006 to 2024. There was a turning point in the incidence trend of scrub typhus in 2011. From 2006 to 2011, the annual percentage change (APC) was 47.09% (95% CI: 7.53 - 859.39), and the upward trend was statistically significant (P < 0.05). From 2012 to 2024, the APC was -2.12% (95% CI: -29.09 - 3.75), and the downward trend was not statistically significant. October and November were the high-incidence months, and the total concentration from 2006 to 2024 was 0.93, indicating that scrub typhus had strict seasonality. The circular distribution method estimated that the peak period of the epidemic was from October 11th to November 25th, and the peak day of incidence was November 3rd. Jinhu County was a high-incidence area. The ratio of male to female cases was 1.03. The age group with the highest reported incidence was 40 to < 80 years old. The occupation with the highest proportion was farmers, accounting for 78.03%. Conclusion From 2006 to 2024, scrub typhus in Huai'an shows a peak every 3 - 4 years. Middle-aged and elderly farmers are the key population at risk, and Jinhu County is a key area. In the future, targeted health education should be carried out to effectively control the prevalence of scrub typhus.
7.Comparison of diagnostic efficacy between two imaging methods for training injury of medial head of gastrocnemius muscle
Hai LUAN ; Lin LI ; Lei GE ; Hui LI ; Chunsheng WANG ; Litai ZHANG
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2024;26(2):166-169
Objective:To investigate the diagnostic efficacy between magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)and ultrasound for training injury of medial head of gastrocnemius muscle.Methods:Clinical data of 70 cases with lower limb training injury suspected to be in the medial head of gastrocnemius muscle from Jan 2013 to Jan 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.All patients were examined by ultrasound and MRI,and their sensitivity,specificity and accuracy according to the final clinical diagnosis was compared.Results:Of the 70 cases of training injury,48 cases were finally diagnosed as medial head injury of gastrocnemius muscle,and 22 cases had no gastrocnemius injury.And there were 19 cases of gastrocnemius tissue injury,28 cases of myofascial injury edema and tissue interstitial effusion,26 cases of tendon and tendon sheath injury,and 6 cases of tendon insertion enthesiopathy.The sensitivity of ultrasound and MRI in the diagnosis of training injury of medial head of gastrocnemius muscle were 85.4%(41/48),97.9%(47/48)and the accuracy was 84.3%(59/70),95.7%(67/70),respectively.The diagnostic accuracy and sensitivity of MRI were higher than those of ultrasound(P<0.05).There was no significant difference in specificity between the two methods(P>0.05).Conclusion:MRI has higher accuracy and sensitivity compared with ultrasound in the diagnosis training injury of medial head of gastrocnemius muscle,which has important diagnostic value.
8.Analysis of serum metabolomic characteristics of patients in the active stage of ulcerative colitis with syndrome of dampness-heat in large intestine
Changchang GE ; Yi LU ; Hong SHEN ; Lei ZHU
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;47(5):686-698
Objective To obtain the metabolomics characteristics of patients in the active stage of ulcerative colitis(UC)with syndrome of dampness-heat in large intestine through non-target metabolomics technology,and to provide a basis for promoting the theoretical system of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)syndrome differentiation of disease syndrome combination and micro-macro combinations.Methods Non-target metabolomics technology was used to detect the serum samples from 159 patients in the active stage of UC(81 cases with syndrome of dampness-heat in large intestine and 78 cases with syndrome of non-dampness-heat in large intestine)and 30 healthy volunteers.The orthogonal partial sample least squares discriminant analysis model was constructed to screen metabolites with significant changes among groups.The variable importance in projection≥1,P<0.05,and fold change(FC)>1.20 or FC<0.83 were used as the criteria for the screening of differential metabolites.The Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)was used to annotate differential metabolites,and MetaboAnalyst software was used for pathway analysis.Results Between patients in active stage of UC with syndrome of dampness-heat in large intestine and syndrome of non-dampness-heat in large intestine,a total of 99 differential metabolites were screened in the positive ion mode,of which 48 were upregulated and 51 were downregulated.In the negative ion mode,a total of 38 differential metabolites were screened,of which 19 were upregulated and 19 were downregulated.The KEGG enrichment analysis showed that there were 21 metabolic pathways,and the pathway analysis showed that there were mainly four metabolic pathways involved in tryptophan metabolism,sphingolipid metabolism,glycerophospholipid metabolism,and pyrimidine metabolism.Conclusion Patients in the active stage of UC with syndrome of dampness-heat in large intestine have abnormal metabolic pathways,which can provide a basis for TCM syndrome differentiation and treatment for UC with syndrome of dampness-heat in large intestine.
9.Ultrasound vector flow imaging combined with singular value decomposition filtering for depicting deep microvasculature flow velocity of liver
Huarong YE ; Yi TIAN ; Qi WANG ; Jing YU ; Bingsong LEI ; Haiman HU ; Ge ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2024;40(2):280-284
Objective To observe the value of ultrasound vector flow imaging(VFI)combined with singular value decomposition(SVD)filtering for depicting deep microvasculature flow velocity of liver.Methods Grayscale ultrasound,CDFI and contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS)were prospectively performed in a patient with suspected liver hemangioma.Images of CEUS were dealt with SVD filtering.Cross-correlation algorithm was used to obtain images of VFI based on grayscale ultrasound,original CEUS and SVD filtered CEUS,respectively,and the ability of the above images for depicting liver microvascular flow direction and velocity were compared.Results The signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)of liver grayscale ultrasound,original CEUS and SVD filtered CEUS images was 7.56,17.65 and 22.43 dB,respectively,while their contrast-to-issue ratio(CTR)was 1.12,7.56 and 16.34 dB,respectively.Compared with VFI based on grayscale ultrasound and original CEUS,VFI based on SVD filtered CEUS could display faster velocity and more uniform direction of blood flow.Before and after SVD filtering,liver microvascular flow velocity measured with VFI was 1.91(0.81,4.11)and 6.83(4.25,9.41)mm/s,respectively,which were significantly different(Z=-10.671,P<0.001).Conclusion Combined with SVD filtering could significantly improve the efficiency of VFI for depicting liver deep microvasculature flow velocity.
10.Effects and mechanism of ultra-high dose rate irradiation in reducing radiation damage to zebrafish embryos
Hui LUO ; Leijie MA ; Ronghu MAO ; Na LI ; Fumin XUE ; Xuenan WANG ; Hongchang LEI ; Shuai SONG ; Hong GE ; Chengliang YANG
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2024;44(3):174-180
Objective:To conduct a comparative analysis of the radiation damage to zebrafish embryos and the associated biological mechanism after ultra-high dose rate (FLASH) and conventional dose rate irradiation.Methods:Zebrafish embryos at 4 h post-fertilization were exposed to conventional and FLASH irradiation (9 MeV electron beam). The mortality and hatchability of zebrafish after radiation exposure were recorded. Larvae at 96 h post-irradiation underwent morphological scoring, testing of reactive oxygen species (ROS) levels, and analysis of changes in oxidative stress indicators.Results:Electron beam irradiation at doses of 2-12 Gy exerted subtle effects on the mortality and hatchability of zebrafish embryos. However, single high-dose irradiation (≥ 6 Gy) could lead to developmental malformation of larvae, with conventional irradiation showing the most significant effects ( t = 0.87-9.75, P < 0.05). In contrast, after FLASH irradiation (≥ 6 Gy), the ROS levels in zebrafish and its oxidative stress indicators including superoxide dismutase (SOD), catalase (CAT), and malondialdehyde (MDA) were significantly reduced ( t = 0.42-15.19, P < 0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in ROS levels in incubating solutions after conventional and FLASH irradiation ( P > 0.05). Conclusions:Compared to conventional irradiation, FLASH irradiation can reduce radiation damage to zebrafish embryos, and this is in a dose-dependent manner. The two irradiation modes lead to different oxidative stress levels in zebrafish, which might be a significant factor in the reduction of radiation damage with FLASH irradiation.


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