1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Microbial population distribution on outer surface and in contents of SPF chicken embryos for vaccine production
Chinese Journal of Biologicals 2025;38(09):1025-1028+1034
Objective To research the microbial population distribution on the outer surface and in the contents of SPF chicken embryos, so as to standardize the production of SPF chicken embryos, guide the selection of disinfectants for vaccine production, and improve the sterile guarantee level of vaccine production.Methods The cotton swab method was used to isolate the external surface microorganisms of three batches of SPF chicken embryos before and after treatment with 70%isopropanol. The microorganisms of SPF chicken embryo contents were isolated with tryptose soya agar(TSA) medium from the urine sac fluid of three batches of SPF chicken embryos that died after 3 d inoculation with attenuated yellow fever 17D strain. The colony was purified using the three-zone streaking method, and the microorganisms were identified using 16s rRNA/ITS sequencing.Results After disinfection with 70% isopropanol, the number of microorganisms detected on the outer surface of SPF chicken embryos significantly decreased(t = 2. 67, P = 0. 011). The microorganisms on the outer surface of SPF chicken embryos were mainly Bacillus, with Bacillus genus accounting for 52. 6% and other types of bacillus accounting for36. 8%. There were significant differences in the detection rates of microorganisms in the contents of three batches of SPF chicken embryos. Proteobacteria, Enterococcus and Escherichia were detected the most frequently in the contents of SPF chicken embryos, and their detection numbers were significantly higher than other microorganisms.Conclusion The dominant microorganisms on the outer surface of SPF chicken embryos are Bacillus, and the dominant microorganisms in the contents are Proteobacteria, Enterococcus and Escherichia. The microbial population distribution provides basis for the selection of disinfectants for vaccine production, suggesting that the control measures should be carried out at multiple stages such as SPF chicken embryos production, storage, transportation, and selection to improve the sterile assurance level of vaccine production.
3.Association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in ambient fine particulate matter with resident mortality: a case-crossover study
Sirong WANG ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Huijing LI ; Yi ZHENG ; Lu LUO ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Huoqiang XIE ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):6-11
Objective To quantitatively assess the association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with residents mortality. Methods A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted from 2020 to 2022 among 10606 non-accidental residents by using the Guangzhou Cause of Death Surveillance System in Conghua District, Guangzhou. Exposure levels of PAHs in PM2.5 and meteorological data during the study period were obtained from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Conghua District and the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0), respectively. Conditional Poisson regression model was used to estimate the exposure-response association between PAHs and the mortality risk. Results Fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene, and indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality. For every one interquartile range increase in exposure levels, the non-accidental mortality risks increased by 8.33% (95% CI: 1.80%, 15.27%), 4.67% (95% CI: 1.86%, 7.57%), 6.07% (95% CI: 2.08%, 10.21%), 4.62% (95% CI: 1.85%, 7.47%), and 4.70% (95% CI: 0.53%, 9.03%), respectively. The estimated non accidental deaths attributable to exposure to fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluorine, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were 5.91%, 6.08%, 6.51%, 6.46%, and 4.21%, respectively. Conclusions Short-term exposure to PAHs in PM2.5, including fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene, was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality among residents.
4.Potential utility of albumin-bilirubin and body mass index-based logistic model to predict survival outcome in non-small cell lung cancer with liver metastasis treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.
Lianxi SONG ; Qinqin XU ; Ting ZHONG ; Wenhuan GUO ; Shaoding LIN ; Wenjuan JIANG ; Zhan WANG ; Li DENG ; Zhe HUANG ; Haoyue QIN ; Huan YAN ; Xing ZHANG ; Fan TONG ; Ruiguang ZHANG ; Zhaoyi LIU ; Lin ZHANG ; Xiaorong DONG ; Ting LI ; Chao FANG ; Xue CHEN ; Jun DENG ; Jing WANG ; Nong YANG ; Liang ZENG ; Yongchang ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):478-480
5.Jasurolignoside from Ilex pubescens exerts a therapeutic effect on acute lung injury in vitro and in vivo by binding to TLR4.
Shan HAN ; Chi Teng VONG ; Jia HE ; Qinqin WANG ; Qiumei FAN ; Siyuan LI ; Jilang LI ; Min LIAO ; Shilin YANG ; Renyikun YUAN ; Hongwei GAO
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(9):1058-1068
Acute lung injury (ALI) is a severe disease caused by viral infection that triggers an uncontrolled inflammatory response. This study investigated the capacity of jasurolignoside (JO), a natural compound, to bind to Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) and treat ALI. The anti-inflammatory properties of JO were evaluated in vitro through Western blotting, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), immunofluorescence staining, and co-immunoprecipitation. The investigation utilized a lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced ALI animal model to examine the therapeutic efficacy and mechanism of JO in vivo. JO attenuated inflammatory symptoms in infected cells and tissues by modulating the NOD-like receptor family pyrin domain containing protein 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome and the nuclear factor κB (NF-κB)/mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway. Molecular docking simulations revealed JO binding to TLR4 active sites, confirmed by cellular thermal shift assay. Surface plasmon resonance (SPR) demonstrated direct interaction between JO and TLR4 with a Kd value of 35.1 μmol·L-1. Moreover, JO inhibited tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), and IL-6 secretion and reduced leukocyte, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and macrophage infiltration in ALI-affected mice. JO also enhanced lung function and reduced ALI-related mortality. Immunohistochemical staining demonstrated JO's ability to suppress TLR4 expression in ALI-affected mouse lung tissue. This study establishes that JO can bind to TLR4 and effectively treat ALI, indicating its potential as a therapeutic agent for clinical applications.
Toll-Like Receptor 4/chemistry*
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Animals
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Acute Lung Injury/chemically induced*
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Mice
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Humans
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Ilex/chemistry*
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Molecular Docking Simulation
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Male
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NF-kappa B/immunology*
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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NLR Family, Pyrin Domain-Containing 3 Protein/immunology*
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Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/genetics*
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Interleukin-1beta/genetics*
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RAW 264.7 Cells
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Disease Models, Animal
6.Association between short-term exposure to air pollution and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases in Conghua District, Guangzhou from 2015 to 2022
Lu LUO ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Yi ZHENG ; Sirong WANG ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(11):1307-1314
Background Exposure to air pollutants increases the risk of diseases in multiple systems, including respiratory and cardiovascular systems, yet its association with neurological diseases remains unclear. Objective To quantitatively evaluate the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases, identify potential susceptible populations, and quantify associated disease burden. Methods Daily 24-hour average concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO), daily maximum 8-hour average concentration of ozone (O3), daily meteorological data (24-hour average temperature, 24-hour average relative humidity), and data on daily outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases from two hospitals in Conghua District, Guangzhou, China, were collected from 2015 to 2022. A time-stratified case-crossover design was adopted, and a conditional Poisson regression model was constructed to analyze the association between air pollution exposure and neurological disease visits. Two-pollutant models and sensitivity analysis were used to validate model stability. Stratified analyses by season (cold season: from November to March; warm season: from April to October), sex (male, female), and age (≤45 years, 46–60 years, ≥61 years) were performed to identify vulnerable group. Additionally, the number and proportion of neurological disease visits attributable to short-term air pollutant exposure were calculated. Results A total of 72 673 outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were included during the study period. Most of the patients were middle-aged and elderly individuals (69.89% were over 45 years old) and females (60.25%). The results of single-pollutant models showed that for each interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure to PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, the risk of outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases increased by 7.54% (95%CI: 4.69%, 10.46%), 6.66% (95%CI: 3.92%, 9.46%), 16.72% (95%CI: 10.58%, 23.19%), 8.12% (95%CI: 4.82%, 11.53%), 5.60% (95%CI: 2.34%, 8.97%), and 6.11% (95%CI: 2.91%, 9.40%), respectively. The results of the two-pollutant model showed that the association between PM2.5 and SO2 exposure and outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were relatively stable. The stratified analyses showed that the effect of SO2 was stronger in the cold season. It was estimated that 8.32% (95%CI: 5.55%, 10.96%) and 6.65% (95%CI: 4.27%, 8.96%) of the outpatient and emergency department visits were attributable to short-term exposure to SO2 and PM2.5, respectively. Conclusion Exposure to PM2.5 and SO2 is associated with increased risks of outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases. SO2 shows stronger effects during the cold season, and exposure to air pollution contributes to up to 8.32% of neurological disease visits.
7.Evidence-based practice of perioperative patient-controlled analgesia management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment
Yongqi LIANG ; Yao LIU ; Jianbo ZHAO ; Wenxuan YU ; Fenfen LIN ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yunan LI
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2025;34(12):1376-1384
Objective To evaluate the application of evidence-based perioperative patient-controlled analgesia(PCA)management in patients with liver cancer receiving transcatheter arterial chemoembolization(TACE)treatment.Methods By using the application model of clinical evidence-based practice,the review indicators were formulated based on the best evidence.The baseline assessment was conducted,the barrier factors were analyzed,the best clinical decision was made,the implementation steps of PCA management,including training,monitoring,education,etc.were refined,and two rounds of clinical review were carried out.The knowledge-belief-practice level and the implementation of review indicators in 50 medical and nursing staff engaged in PCA management,as well as the changes in pain scores,the incidence of adverse reactions due to PCA management,and the patient's satisfaction in 159 patients after the application of evidence were compared with their corresponding values determined before the application of evidence.Results After implementing the evidence-based practice plan and applying the evidence,at multiple time points the pain scores and the incidences of adverse reactions were decreased significantly(P<0.05),the patient's satisfaction increased remarkably(P<0.01),the execution rate of medical and nursing staff for the review indicators were strikingly increased(P<0.01),and the knowledge-belief-practice level concerning PCA management was prominently improved(P<0.01).Conclusion The implementation of perioperative PCA management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment can help to reduce the perioperative pain level,improve the patient discomfort,increase the patient's satisfaction degree,and improve the ability of medical staff in performing PCA management and evidence-based practices.
8.Application of"rotation-correction loop technique"in the retrieval of complex inferior vena cava filters
Jie HU ; Maolin QIAO ; Qinqin TIAN ; Heng WANG ; Sheng YAN ; Wenbo ZHAO ; Yongbin SHI ; Peilu SHI ; Miao XING ; Haifeng LI ; Haijiang JIN ; Ping WANG ; Wenkai CHANG ; Yuwen WANG ; Honglin DONG
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2024;33(3):289-294
Objective To discuss the application of the"rotating guidewire and correcting the filter recovery hook direction technique"("rotation-correction loop technique"for short),a technique invented by the authors in clinical practice,in the retrieval of complex inferior vena cava filter(IVCF),and to discuss its technical skills and advantages.Methods The clinical data of 417 patients carrying an IVCF,who were admitted to the Department of Vascular Surgery of Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University of China to retrieve IVCF between January 2022 and December 2022,were retrospectively analyzed.Taking the time spent on the retrieval of IVCF and the intraoperative radiation dose as the evaluation indicators,the advantages and disadvantages of the standard filter retrieval technique,the"rotation-correction loop technique"and the other loop-assisted techniques were compared.Results Both the intraoperative radiation dose and the time spent on the retrieval of IVCF using"rotation-correction loop technique"were remarkably lower than those of other loop-assisted techniques(P<0.000 1).Conclusion For the retrieval of complex IVCF,especially for the IVCF which is heavily tilted and/or its recovered hook is attached to the vascular wall,the use of"rotation-correction loop technique"can shorten the time spent on the the retrieval of IVCF and reduce the intraoperative radiation dose.This technique carries high safety and practicability,the device is simple and it can be manipulated by single physician,which is conducive to clinical application and promotion.(J Intervent Radiol,2024,33:289-294)
9.MicroRNA-451 from Human Umbilical Cord-Derived Mesenchymal Stem Cell Exosomes Inhibits Alveolar Macrophage Autophagy via Tuberous Sclerosis Complex 1/Mammalian Target of Rapamycin Pathway to Attenuate Burn-Induced Acute Lung Injury in Rats
Jia ZHIGANG ; Li LIN ; Zhao PENG ; Fei GUO ; Li SHUANGRU ; Song QINQIN ; Liu GUANGPENG ; Liu JISONG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(9):1030-1043
Objective Our previous studies established that microRNA (miR)-451 from human umbilical cord mesenchymal stem cell-derived exosomes (hUC-MSC-Exos) alleviates acute lung injury (ALI). This study aims to elucidate the mechanisms by which miR-451 in hUC-MSC-Exos reduces ALI by modulating macrophage autophagy. Methods Exosomes were isolated from hUC-MSCs. Severe burn-induced ALI rat models were treated with hUC-MSC-Exos carrying the miR-451 inhibitor. Hematoxylin-eosin staining evaluated inflammatory injury. Enzyme-linked immunosorbnent assay measured lipopolysaccharide (LPS),tumor necrosis factor-α,and interleukin-1β levels. qRT-PCR detected miR-451 and tuberous sclerosis complex 1 (TSC1) expressions. The regulatory role of miR-451 on TSC1 was determined using a dual-luciferase reporter system. Western blotting determined TSC1 and proteins related to the mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway and autophagy. Immunofluorescence analysis was conducted to examine exosomes phagocytosis in alveolar macrophages and autophagy level. Results hUC-MSC-Exos with miR-451 inhibitor reduced burn-induced ALI and promoted macrophage autophagy. MiR-451 could be transferred from hUC-MSCs to alveolar macrophages via exosomes and directly targeted TSC1. Inhibiting miR-451 in hUC-MSC-Exos elevated TSC1 expression and inactivated the mTOR pathway in alveolar macrophages. Silencing TSC1 activated mTOR signaling and inhibited autophagy,while TSC1 knockdown reversed the autophagy from the miR-451 inhibitor-induced. Conclusion miR-451 from hUC-MSC exosomes improves ALI by suppressing alveolar macrophage autophagy through modulation of the TSC1/mTOR pathway,providing a potential therapeutic strategy for ALI.
10.Establishment of a method for rescuing coxsackievirus B3 by transfecting RNA
Mei LI ; Xinling WANG ; Qinqin SONG ; Miaomiao CHI ; Jun HAN ; Juan SONG
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2024;38(4):468-473
Objective:To establish a method via transfection of RNA to rescue coxsackievirus B3 B3 (CVB3).Methods:The efficiency of CVB3 genomic RNA extraction from three nucleic acid extraction reagents, Qiagen 57704, Qiagen 52904, and Trizol, and the transfection efficiency of viral RNA with two transfection reagents (Lipofectamine 2000 and Lipofectamine 3000) were compared. The efficiency of CVB3 rescue in Vero cells and HEK293T cells to determine the optimal conditions for rescuing CVB3.Results:The number of phagolysosomes for virus rescue by Qiagen 57704, Qiagen 52904, and Tizol kit extracted RNA was 13.33±1.53, 150±15.00, and 1.67±0.58, respectively, and there was a statistically significant difference in the efficiency of the three method of extracting CVB3 RNA to rescue the viral RNA ( F=268.920, P<0.001); The number of phage spots formed by Lipofectamine3000 and Lipofectamine2000 transfected RNA was 74.50±3.00 and 22.00±5.00, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant ( P<0.01); Qiagen 52904 reagent extracted CVB3 nucleic acid more efficiently than Qiagen 57704 and Trizol reagents; the transfection efficiency of transfection reagent Lipofectamine 3000 was 3 times more than than that of Lipofectamine 2000, and the efficiency of virus rescue of CVB3 in HEK293T cell culture was higher than that of HeLa and Vero cells, and the copy numbers of the three kinds of viruses rescuing the virus were 6.09×10 7±8.00×10 5, 5.18×10 3±6.17×10 2 and 0, the difference was statistically significant ( F=17 383.644, P<0.001), and it was also found that the efficiency of virus rescue could be improved by multiple elution when extracting RNA. Conclusions:In this study, we successfully established the method of transfecting RNA to rescue CVB3, which can effectively improve the efficiency of virus rescue by choosing Qiagen 52904 nucleic acid extraction kit, increasing the number of elution, using Lipofectamine 3000 transfection reagent, and transfection of HEK293T cells.


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