1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.USP29 alleviates the progression of MASLD by stabilizing ACSL5 through K48 deubiquitination
Sha HU ; Zhouxiang WANG ; Kun ZHU ; Hongjie SHI ; Fang QIN ; Tuo ZHANG ; Song TIAN ; Yanxiao JI ; Jianqing ZHANG ; Juanjuan QIN ; Zhigang SHE ; Xiaojing ZHANG ; Peng ZHANG ; Hongliang LI
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(1):147-165
Background/Aims:
Metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a chronic liver disease characterized by hepatic steatosis. Ubiquitin-specific protease 29 (USP29) plays pivotal roles in hepatic ischemiareperfusion injury and hepatocellular carcinoma, but its role in MASLD remains unexplored. Therefore, the aim of this study was to reveal the effects and underlying mechanisms of USP29 in MASLD progression.
Methods:
USP29 expression was assessed in liver samples from MASLD patients and mice. The role and molecular mechanism of USP29 in MASLD were assessed in high-fat diet-fed and high-fat/high-cholesterol diet-fed mice and palmitic acid and oleic acid treated hepatocytes.
Results:
USP29 protein levels were significantly reduced in mice and humans with MASLD. Hepatic steatosis, inflammation and fibrosis were significantly exacerbated by USP29 deletion and relieved by USP29 overexpression. Mechanistically, USP29 significantly activated the expression of genes related to fatty acid β-oxidation (FAO) under metabolic stimulation, directly interacted with long-chain acyl-CoA synthase 5 (ACSL5) and repressed ACSL5 degradation by increasing ACSL5 K48-linked deubiquitination. Moreover, the effect of USP29 on hepatocyte lipid accumulation and MASLD was dependent on ACSL5.
Conclusions
USP29 functions as a novel negative regulator of MASLD by stabilizing ACSL5 to promote FAO. The activation of the USP29-ACSL5 axis may represent a potential therapeutic strategy for MASLD.
3.USP29 alleviates the progression of MASLD by stabilizing ACSL5 through K48 deubiquitination
Sha HU ; Zhouxiang WANG ; Kun ZHU ; Hongjie SHI ; Fang QIN ; Tuo ZHANG ; Song TIAN ; Yanxiao JI ; Jianqing ZHANG ; Juanjuan QIN ; Zhigang SHE ; Xiaojing ZHANG ; Peng ZHANG ; Hongliang LI
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(1):147-165
Background/Aims:
Metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a chronic liver disease characterized by hepatic steatosis. Ubiquitin-specific protease 29 (USP29) plays pivotal roles in hepatic ischemiareperfusion injury and hepatocellular carcinoma, but its role in MASLD remains unexplored. Therefore, the aim of this study was to reveal the effects and underlying mechanisms of USP29 in MASLD progression.
Methods:
USP29 expression was assessed in liver samples from MASLD patients and mice. The role and molecular mechanism of USP29 in MASLD were assessed in high-fat diet-fed and high-fat/high-cholesterol diet-fed mice and palmitic acid and oleic acid treated hepatocytes.
Results:
USP29 protein levels were significantly reduced in mice and humans with MASLD. Hepatic steatosis, inflammation and fibrosis were significantly exacerbated by USP29 deletion and relieved by USP29 overexpression. Mechanistically, USP29 significantly activated the expression of genes related to fatty acid β-oxidation (FAO) under metabolic stimulation, directly interacted with long-chain acyl-CoA synthase 5 (ACSL5) and repressed ACSL5 degradation by increasing ACSL5 K48-linked deubiquitination. Moreover, the effect of USP29 on hepatocyte lipid accumulation and MASLD was dependent on ACSL5.
Conclusions
USP29 functions as a novel negative regulator of MASLD by stabilizing ACSL5 to promote FAO. The activation of the USP29-ACSL5 axis may represent a potential therapeutic strategy for MASLD.
4.Effects of preservation conditions on the survival numbers of seven Brucella strains preserved in 30%glycerol brain heart infusion medium
Yu FAN ; Hongyan ZHAO ; Qingqing XU ; Kun LI ; Guozhong TIAN ; Hai JIANG ; Lanyu LI ; Dongri PIAO
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(9):945-951
This study was aimed at comparing the effects of storage conditions on the Brucella survival number in brain heart infu-sion medium,to provide experimental data support for the selection of storage conditions for Brucella strains.We created bacterial sus-pensions of seven strains of Brucella melitensis,Brucella abortus,and Brucella suis(denoted A,B,C,D,E,F,G)by using 30%glycerol brain heart infusion medium,then conducted stability testing.For accelerated stability tests,the bacterial solution was placed in a 37℃chamber for 1,2,3,or 4 weeks continuously,and the Brucella survival number at each time point was measured.For freeze-thaw stability testing,the bacterial solutions were frozen at-80℃,transferred to room temperature for 4 hours,and melted in one freeze-thaw cycle,and the Brucella survival number was measured for 2,4,6,and 8 freeze-thaw times.For long-term stability testing,the bacterial solutions were stored at-80℃,and the Brucella survival number was measured at various time points during the first,third,sixth,and twelfth months of storage.A line graph was plotted to demonstrate the changes in Brucella survival number at each time point in the three stability tests.IBM SPSS Statistics 22 software was used to assess statistically significant differences in Brucella survival number at each time point and the initial Brucella survival number.Accelerated stability tests showed that the Bru-cella survival number of the seven strains significantly decreased,and a statistically significant difference in Brucella survival number was observed after 1 week.In freeze-thaw stability tests,with increasing freeze-thaw times,the Brucella survival number of the seven strains showed a decreasing trend.Strains C and F showed statistically significant differences with respect to the initial Brucella sur-vival number after two times of freeze-thaw;strains A and D showed statistically significant differences with respect to the initial Bru-cella survival number after four times of freeze-thaw;strain G showed statistically significant differences with respect to the initial Bru-cella survival number after six times of freeze-thaw;and strain E showed statistically significant differences with respect to the initial Brucella survival number after eight times of freeze-thaw.The data for strain B showed abnormalities.In long-term stability testing,the Brucella survival number for strains C and F after storage for 1 month showed a statistically significant difference with respect to the initial bacterial solution.No statistically significant difference in Brucella survival number was observed for strains B and E after stor-age for 1,3,6,or 12 months.The data for strains A,D,and G showed abnormalities.The sterile 30%glycerol brain heart infusion medium maintained the Brucella survival number in an-80℃environment,and freezing and thawing multiple times should be avoided.Compared with the traditional freeze-drying method,this method is not only easy to perform but also avoids potential bio-safety hazards,and provides a reliable Brucella culture preservation scheme for researchers in related fields.
5.Typical failure treatment of large-aperture 16-slice spiral Siemens SOMATOM Sensation Open CT
Yu-kun ZHU ; Shi-dong CHENG ; Ming YANG ; Fei WENG ; Jing TIAN ; Chen LIANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(11):112-114
Three typical failures of large-aperture 16-slice spiral Siemens SOMATOM Sensation Open CT were introduced in terms of phenomenon,cause and treatment method.References were provided for medical engineers to treat similar failures.
6.Difference in liver toxicity between normal rats and Yin deficiency rats treated with psoralen and preliminary exploration of its mechanism
Tian-xian PEI ; Fu-zhen LI ; Meng-ying CHEN ; Xue-tong WANG ; Li-zhen QIU ; Heng-yu XI ; Kun ZHOU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(5):843-850
Aim To study the difference in hepatotox-icity of psoralen on normal rats and Yin-deficiency rats from the perspective of lipid metabolism,so as to help explain the mechanism of psoralen cautiously used in patients with Yin deficiency recorded in ancient books.Methods SD rats were randomly divided into the nor-mal control group(carboxymethyl cellulose-Na,CMC-Na),normal administration group(CMC-Na+psor-alen),Yin-deficiency control group(CMC-Na+thy-roxine)and Yin-deficiency administration group(CMC-Na+thyroxine+psoralen).The model of Yin-deficiency was established by thyroxine(1 mg·kg-1)for ten days,and then psoralen(200 mg·kg-1)was given for three days.The serum indexes related to liver injury were detected by automatic biochemical analy-zer,the morphological changes of liver tissue were ob-served using HE and oil red O staining,and the relative transcription levels of lipid metabolism related enzymes and mRNA of transporter and endoplasmic reticulum stress related factors were detected using Real-time PCR.Results After intragastric administration of psoralen for three days,compared with the normal group,the levels of serum alanine aminotransferase(ALT),aspartate transaminase(AST),total bile acid(TBA)and triglyeride(TG)in Yin deficiency group increased more significantly,while TC,ALB and TP de-creased more significantly,and liver HE and oil red O staining showed more obvious lipid degeneration.TG synthesis factors adrenocortical carcinoma(ACC),fatty acid synthase(FASN)and sterolregulatory element binding protein-1(SREBP-1)were down-regulated more significantly,TG transport factors mili-total pro-tein(MTP)and lipoprotein pipase(LPL)were down-regulated more evidently,fatty acid β-oxidation related factors carnitine palmitoyltransferase 1A(CPT1A),carnitine/organic cation transporter 2(OCTN2)and peroxisome proliferators-activated receptors-alpha(PPARα)were down-regulated more apparently,TC transporter adenosine triphosphate binding cassette transporter G8(ABCG8)and bile acid receptor farne-soid X receptor(FXR)were down-regulated more ob-viously,and endoplasmic reticulum stress factor activa-ting transcription factor 4(ATF4)was up-regulated more significantly.Conclusions Psoralen can cause more severe hepatotoxicity in Yin deficiency rats than that in normal administration group,and its mechanism may be related to the disorder of hepatic lipid metabo-lism,aggravation of hepatic cholestasis and steatosis,and activation of endoplasmic reticulum stress re-sponse.
7.Effects of Hedysarum polybotrys polysacchcaide on FXR-FGF19 signal pathway in diabetes rats
Lei ZHANG ; Sheng-fang WAN ; Ya-ling LI ; Qian-kun LIANG ; Yi-hong TIAN ; Xin-xin MA ; Qian GUO
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2025;41(1):76-80
Objective To study the effects of Hedysarum polysaccharides polysaccharide(HPS)on the farnesoid X receptor(FXR)-fibroblast growth factor-19(FGF19)signaling pathway of diabetes rats.Methods Twelve Wistar male rats were randomly selected as the normal group,and the other rats were fed with a single intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin(50 mg·kg-1 STZ)and a high sugar and high-fat diet to replicate the diabetes rat model.Model rats were randomly divided into model group,positive control group(given 400 mg·kg-1·d-1 suspension of Bifidobacterium quadruplex live bacterial tablets by gavage),experimental-H,-M,-L groups(given 200,100,and 50 mg·kg-1·d-1 doses of HPS suspension by gavage);normal group,and model group were given equal volume of purified water by gavage once a day for 8 consecutive weeks.Glucose(Glu)was detected by a blood glucose meter;and serum total glyceride(TG)and total cholesterol(TC)were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay reagent kit;the expressions of FXR、fibroblast growth factor receptors 4(FGFR4)relative mRNA expression level and protein were detected by real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction method and Western blot.Results The Glu concentrations in the normal group,model group,positive control group,and experimental-H groups were(7.66±0.61),(29.25±1.64),(23.31±3.02)and(19.31±5.13)mmol·L-1,respectively;the TG content were(957.00±113.73),(1 345.00±246.44),(958.00±96.53)and(964.00±130.22)μmol·L-1,respectively;the TC content were(161.65±4.53),(302.19±5.35),(236.09±5.14)and(165.58±2.58)μmol·L-1,respectively;the expression of FXR relative mRNA expression level were 1.00±0.06,0.48±0.02,0.67±0.04 and 0.92±0.04,respectively;the expression of FGFR4 relative mRNA expression level were 1.00±0.04,0.17±0.01,0.48±0.04 and 0.41±0.03;respectively.The above indexes of the model group were compared with the control group,and the above indexes of the control group and the experimental-H group were compared with the model group,and the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.01).Conclusion HPS improves blood sugar,lowers blood lipids,and protects liver and intestinal tissues,possibly by regulating the FXR-FGF19 signaling pathway in intestinal tissue,and regulating bile acid synthesis.
8.Research status on the therapeutic potential of paeoniflorin in renal fibrosis based on the PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway
Lin-zhen JIA ; Tian-tian HAN ; Li-bo WEN ; Kun ZHAO ; Ren-jun GAO ; Ying LÜ ; Xue LI
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2025;41(1):132-136
The phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B/mammalian target of rapamycin(PI3K/Akt/mTOR)signaling pathway plays a crucial role in the regulation of renal fibrosis by participating in inflammatory response,oxidative stress and autophagy.Paeoniflorin exhibits remarkable efficacy in treating myocardial and liver fibrosis.This article provides a comprehensive review on the research progress of paeoniflora in preventing and treating renal fibrosis through modulation of the PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway,offering novel insights for traditional Chinese medicine-based approaches to prevent and treat renal fibrosis.
9.Efficacy observation of pelvic floor autologous fascia integrated repair based on membrane anatomy for complete rectal prolapse
Zhibiao MEI ; Yongli CAO ; Bingbing LV ; Siyuan WANG ; Kun TIAN ; Qingli LIU ; Linzi MA ; Yunshuai WANG ; Dong WEI
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(12):1441-1447
Objective:To compare the clinical efficacy of laparoscopic pelvic floor autologous fascia integral repair based on membrane anatomy versus transperineal proctosigmoidectomy (Altemeier procedure) in the treatment of patients with complete rectal prolapse (CRP).Methods:This study employed a retrospective observational cohort design. Clinical data were collected from a total of 55 CRP patients who underwent surgical treatment between January 2018 and July 2023, including 25 patients from Luoyang Central Hospital, affiliated with Zhengzhou University, and 30 patients from the 989th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force & Military Anorectal Surgery Research Institute. All patients undergoing surgery met the following criteria: aged ≥ 18 years, rectal prolapse protruding outside the anus, prolapse length > 5 cm with inability to self-reduce, conforming to the diagnostic criteria for CRP, and being first-time treated patients. Twenty-seven patients who underwent the Altemeier procedure between January 2018 and March 2021 were assigned to the Altemeier group; 28 patients who underwent laparoscopic pelvic floor autologous fascia integral repair based on membrane anatomy between April 2021 and July 2023 were assigned to the integral repair group. The therapeutic efficacy differences between the two groups were analyzed and compared, including the CRP length (DCRP), Wexner Constipation Score, Wexner Fecal Incontinence Score, and Gastrointestinal Quality of Life Index (GIQLI) before surgery and at 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery, as well as postoperative complications and recurrence at 24 months after surgery.Results:There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in terms of gender distribution, age, preoperative body mass index (BMI), defecation frequency, DCRP, Wexner Constipation Score, Wexner Fecal Incontinence Score, and GIQLI (all P>0.05). All patients completed the surgery. The length of hospital stay and intraoperative blood loss in the integral repair group were significantly less than those in the Altemeier group (both P<0.01). At 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery, the DCRP, Wexner Constipation Score, Wexner Fecal Incontinence Score, and GIQLI in both groups significantly improved compared with the preoperative values (all P<0.001). At 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery, the CRP treatment effect, Wexner Constipation Score, Wexner Fecal Incontinence Score, and GIQLI in the integral repair group were significantly better than those in the Altemeier group (χ2=15.821, P<0.001; χ2=18.238, P<0.001; χ2 = 12.558, P=0.001; and χ2 =22.413, P<0.001, respectively). In the integral repair group, 4 patients (14.3%) developed grade I-III postoperative complications, including 2 cases of urinary retention, 1 case of anastomotic bleeding, and 1 case of anastomotic stenosis. In the Altemeier group, 11 patients (40.7%) developed grade I-III postoperative complications, including 4 cases of urinary retention, 3 cases of anastomotic bleeding, 1 case of anastomotic stenosis, 2 cases of intestinal fistula, and 1 case of fecal incontinence. The difference between the two groups was statistically significant (χ2=4.850, P=0.028). There was no recurrence of CRP in the integral repair group at 24 months after surgery, while 7 cases of CRP recurrence were observed in the Altemeier group at 24 months after surgery. The difference between the two groups was statistically significant (χ2=6.148, P=0.013). Conclusion:The autologous fascia repair technique based on membrane anatomy and the pelvic floor integral theory is superior to the transperineal Altemeier procedure in the treatment of CRP. Furthermore, it is an effective surgical method for CRP.
10.Association between preoperative cardiometabolic multimorbidity and postoperative delirium in elderly patients undergoing knee or hip replacement
Kun WANG ; Na TIAN ; Yuanlong WANG ; Wenjie KONG ; Yizhi LIANG ; Jiahan WANG ; Yanan LIN ; Chuan LI ; Hongyan GONG ; Xu LIN ; Bin WANG ; Yanlin BI
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2025;45(10):1275-1279
Objective:To evaluate the association between preoperative cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and postoperative delirium (POD) in elderly patients undergoing knee or hip replacement.Methods:Based on a perioperative neurocognitive dysfunction and biomarker lifestyle cohort, a nested case-control study was conducted using medical records of patients scheduled for elective knee or hip joint replacement at Qingdao Municipal Hospital from January 2022 to November 2023. Patients were divided into POD group ( n=124) and non-POD group ( n=414) based on whether POD occurred. The influencing factors were collected, and intergroup differences were analyzed. Logistic regression was used to identify the risk factors for POD, and sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the stability of the regression model. A mediation model was employed to examine whether cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers mediated the association between CMM and POD. Results:There were statistically significant differences in the rate of CMM, age, years of education, rate of hypertension, rate of diabetes mellitus, rate of coronary heart diseases, rate of stroke, Aβ 42 concentration, t-tau concentration, p-tau concentration, Aβ 42/t-tau ratio, and Aβ 42/p-tau ratio in CSF between POD group and non-POD group ( P<0.05). The results of logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative CMM was a risk factor for POD ( P<0.05). Mediation analysis revealed that the relationship between CMM and POD was partly mediated by Aβ 42 concentrations in CSF. Conclusions:Preoperative CMM is a risk factor for POD in elderly patients undergoing knee or hip replacement, and the CSF Aβ 42 concentration may play a partly mediating role in the association between preoperative CMM and POD.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail