1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Bear Bile Powder Ameliorates LPS-Induced Acute Lung Injury by Inhibiting CD14 Pathway and Improving Intestinal Flora: Exploration of "Fei (Lung)-Dachang (Large Intestine) Interaction" Theory.
Long CHENG ; Hui-Ling TIAN ; Hong-Yuan LEI ; Ying-Zhou WANG ; Ma-Jing JIAO ; Yun-Hui LIANG ; Zhi-Zheng WU ; Xu-Kun DENG ; Yong-Shen REN
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(9):821-829
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the effect of bear bile powder (BBP) on acute lung injury (ALI) and the underlying mechanism.
METHODS:
The chemical constituents of BBP were analyzed by ultra-high-pressure liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (UPLC-MS). After 7 days of adaptive feeding, 50 mice were randomly divided into 5 groups by a random number table (n=10): normal control (NC), lipopolysaccharide (LPS), dexamethasone (Dex), low-, and high-dose BBP groups. The dosing cycle was 9 days. On the 12th and 14th days, 20 µL of Staphylococcus aureus solution (bacterial concentration of 1 × 10-7 CFU/mL) was given by nasal drip after 1 h of intragastric administration, and the mice in the NC group was given the same dose of phosphated buffered saline (PBS) solution. On the 16th day, after 1 h intragastric administration, 100 µL of LPS solution (1 mg/mL) was given by tracheal intubation, and the same dose of PBS solution was given to the NC group. Lung tissue was obtained to measure the myeloperoxidase (MPO) activity, the lung wet/dry weight ratio and expressions of CD14 and other related proteins. The lower lobe of the right lung was obtained for pathological examination. The concentrations of inflammatory cytokines including interleukin (IL)-6, tumour necrosis factor α (TNF-α ) and IL-1β in the bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) were detected by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay, and the number of neutrophils was counted. The colonic contents of the mice were analyzed by 16 sRNA technique and the contents of short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs) were measured by gas chromatograph-mass spectrometer (GC-MS).
RESULTS:
UPLC-MS revealed that the chemical components of BBP samples were mainly tauroursodeoxycholic acid and taurochenodeoxycholic acid sodium salt. BBP reduced the activity of MPO, concentrations of inflammatory cytokines, and inhibited the expression of CD14 protein, thus suppressing the activation of NF-κB pathway (P<0.05). The lung histopathological results indicated that BBP significantly reduced the degree of neutrophil infiltration, cell shedding, necrosis, and alveolar cavity depression. Moreover, BBP effectively regulated the composition of the intestinal microflora and increased the production of SCFAs, which contributed to its treatment effect (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
BBP alleviates lung injury in ALI mouse through inhibiting activation of NF-κB pathway and decreasing expression of CD14 protein. BBP may promote recovery of ALI by improving the structure of intestinal flora and enhancing metabolic function of intestinal flora.
Animals
;
Acute Lung Injury/pathology*
;
Lipopolysaccharides
;
Ursidae
;
Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects*
;
Bile/chemistry*
;
Lipopolysaccharide Receptors/metabolism*
;
Powders
;
Male
;
Lung/drug effects*
;
Mice
;
Peroxidase/metabolism*
;
Signal Transduction/drug effects*
;
Cytokines/metabolism*
3.A dual-targeting peptide-drug conjugate based on CXCR4 and FOLR1 inhibits triple-negative breast cancer.
Kun WANG ; Cong WANG ; Hange YANG ; Gong CHEN ; Ke WANG ; Peihong JI ; Xudong SUN ; Xuegong FAN ; Jie MA ; Zhencun CUI ; Xingkai WANG ; Hao TIAN ; Dengfu WU ; Lu WANG ; Zhimin WANG ; Jiangyan LIU ; Juan YI ; Kuan HU ; Hailong ZHANG ; Rui WANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(10):4995-5009
Triple-negative breast cancer is therapeutically challenging due to the low expression of tumor markers and 'cold' tumor immunosuppressive microenvironment. Here, we present a dual-targeting peptide-drug conjugate (PDC) for tumor inhibition. Our PDC efficiently and selectively delivers cytotoxic Monomethyl Auristatin E (MMAE) into tumor cells via C-X-C chemokine receptor type 4 (CXCR4) and folate receptor 1 (FOLR1) for synergistic inhibition of growth and metastasis. Our results show that the dual-targeting PDC has potent antitumor activity in cultured human cells and several murine transplanted tumor models without apparent toxicity. The combination of dual-targeting PDC and radiotherapy modulates the tumor immunosuppressive microenvironment by increasing CD8+ T cell infiltration and attenuating the proportion of myeloid-derived suppressor and regulatory T cells. Therefore, our dual-targeting PDC represents a promising new strategy for cancer therapy that rebalances the immune system and promotes tumor regression.
4.Clinical efficacy analysis of PACS preoperative planning in percutaneous vertebroplasty for the treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures in the elderly.
Chen CHEN ; Da-Wei LI ; Zhuang-Tian MA ; Kun-Chi HUA ; Yao LI ; Yan-Qing GAO ; Chun-Lie QIU
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(2):114-118
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the clinical effect of personalized puncture planning before surgery using Picture Archiving and Communication System (PACS) in the treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures in the elderly.
METHODS:
A total of 69 elderly patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures treated by percutaneous vertebroplasty from January 2020 20 to December 2021 with more than 1 year of follow-up were analyzed retrospectively. Thirty-four patients were individualized for preoperative planning with PACS software (observation group), including 8 males and 26 females, with a mean age of (73.30±7.96) years old;and 35 patients were treated with conventional treatment (control group), including 7 males and 28 females, with a mean age of (77.30±7.84) years old. The operation time, the amount of cement injection, cement leakage rate, bone watertight diffusion and refracture within 1 year between two groups were observed and compared. The Cobb's angle, low back pain visual analogue scale(VAS) and the modified Oswsetry disability indexes(ODI) before surgery and 1 day, 1 year after surgery were compared between two groups.
RESULTS:
Both groups successfully completed the operation without serious surgical complications, 2 refractures occurred in the control group. The operation time in the observation group was(41.9±11.9) min, which was less than that in the control group (52.7±13.6) min (P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the cement injection volume between two groups (P>0.05). Two cases of cement leakage in the observation group was less than 8 in the control group (P<0.05). The bone cement distribution index of two groups had significant difference(P<0.05). There were no significant differences between two groups in Cobb's angle of the injured vertebras and ODI before and 1 day after surgery(P>0.05), however, the comparative differences were statistically significant at 1 year after surgery(P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the VAS between two groups at each time period(P>0.05).
CONCLUSION
Using the PACS software to plan personalized puncture scheme can reduce the operation time, reduce the cement leakage rate, improve the diffusion of bone cement and longer maintain the postoperative form of vertebral body and the functional state of patients' lumbar back.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Vertebroplasty/methods*
;
Fractures, Compression/diagnostic imaging*
;
Spinal Fractures/diagnostic imaging*
;
Osteoporotic Fractures/diagnostic imaging*
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Radiology Information Systems
5.Comparison of clinical efficacy of transmetatarsal incision and lateral soft tissue release of medial incision combined with Scarf osteotomy in the treatment of moderate to severe hallux valgus.
Feng-Ping WEN ; Xing LIU ; Chong-Yang CHEN ; Shi-Kun TIAN
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(6):559-565
OBJECTIVE:
To compare clinical efficacy of intermetatarsal incision and lateral soft tissue release of medial incision combined with Scarf osteotomy in treating moderate to severe hallux valgus (HV).
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data of 42 patients with moderate to severe HV admitted from January 2022 to December 2022. According to different incisions, the patients were divided into medial incision group with 22 patients (22 feet) and intermetatarsal incision group with 20 patients (20 feet). In medial incision group, there were 3 males and 19 females, aged from 40 to 69 years old with an average of (55.0±11.4) years old;body mass index (BMI) ranged from 21 to 29 kg·m-2 with an average of (25.2±2.1) kg·m-2;the courses of disease ranged from 8 to 16 years with average of (12.0±2.2) years;11 patients with moderate deformity and 11 patients with severe deformity. In transplantar incision group, there were 3 males and 17 females, aged from 39 to 68 years old with an average of (53.0±7.5) years old;BMI ranged from 20 to 28 kg·m-2 with an average of (24.8±1.9) kg·m-2;the courses of disease ranged from 9 to 17 years with an average of (14.0±3.1) years;9 patients with moderate deformity and 11 patients with severe deformity. Hallux valgus angle (HVA) and the first-second intermetatarsal angle (IMA), American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS) forefoot scores and complications between two groups before operation and 12 months after operation were observed and compared.
RESULTS:
All patients were successfully completed the surgery and were followed up for 12 to 15 months with an average of (13.52±1.65) months. There were no statistically significant difference in HVA and IMA between two groups before operation and 12 months after operation (P>0.05). AOFAS forefoot scores of medial incision group before operation and 12 months after operation were (45.0±6.8) and (86.0±6.7) respectively, and those of transmetatarsal incision group were (46.0±7.4) and (83.0±7.5) respectively. Postoperative AOFAS forefoot scores between two groups at 12 months were statistically significant compared with those of before operation (P<0.01). According to AOFAS forefoot scores, 8 patients got excellent result, 14 good in medial incision group;while 6 excellent and 14 good in transplantar incision group. At 12 months, postoperative AOFAS forefoot score of functional score of in medial incision group(38.0±2.5), was better than that in transplantar incision group (34.0±2.2), and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). One patient in medial incision group occurred HV deformity, mild numbness occurred in 3 toes in transplantar incision group, and 3 patients were dissatisfied with scar. No complications such as infection, nonunion of bones or ischemic necrosis of metatarsal heads occurred in either group.
CONCLUSION
Both intermetatarsal incision and lateral soft tissue release of medial incision combined with Scarf osteotomy can effectively treat moderate to severe HV. The functional recovery after medial incision is better than that after intermetatarsal incision.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Hallux Valgus/physiopathology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Osteotomy/methods*
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Metatarsal Bones/surgery*
6.HAPLN1 secreted by synovial fibroblasts in rheumatoid arthritis promotes macrophage polarization towards the M1 phenotype.
Chenggen LUO ; Kun HUANG ; Xiaoli PAN ; Yong CHEN ; Yanjuan CHEN ; Yunting CHEN ; Mang HE ; Mei TIAN
Chinese Journal of Cellular and Molecular Immunology 2025;41(5):413-419
Objective To investigate the effects of hyaluronic acid and proteoglycan-linked protein 1 (HAPLN1) secreted by synovial fibroblasts (FLS) on the polarization of macrophages (Mϕ) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Methods Human monocytic leukemia cells (THP-1) were differentiated into Mϕ, which were subsequently exposed to recombinant HAPLN1 (rHAPLN1). RA-FLS were transfected separately with HAPLN1 overexpression plasmid (HAPLN1OE) or small interfering RNA targeting HAPLN1 (si-HAPLN1), and then co-cultured with Mϕ to establish a co-culture model. The viability of Mϕ was assessed using the CCK-8 assay, and the proportions of pro-inflammatory M1-type and anti-inflammatory M2-type Mϕ were analyzed by flow cytometry. Additionally, the expression levels of inflammatory markers, including interleukin 1β (IL-1β), tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), and inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), were quantified using quantitative real-time PCR and Western blot analysis. Results The viability of Mϕ was increased in the rHAPLN1 group compared to the control group. Furthermore, both the M1/Mϕ ratio and inflammatory factor levels were elevated in the rHAPLN1 and HAPLN1OE groups. In contrast, the si-HAPLN1 group exhibited a decrease in the M1/Mϕ ratio and inflammatory factor expression. Notably, the introduction of rHAPLN1 in rescue experiments further promoted Mϕ polarization towards the M1 phenotype. Conclusion HAPLN1, secreted by RA fibroblast-like synoviocytes (RA-FLS), enhances Mϕ polarization towards the M1 phenotype.
Humans
;
Arthritis, Rheumatoid/genetics*
;
Macrophages/immunology*
;
Fibroblasts/metabolism*
;
Phenotype
;
Extracellular Matrix Proteins/genetics*
;
Proteoglycans/genetics*
;
Synovial Membrane/cytology*
;
Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/genetics*
;
Interleukin-1beta/genetics*
;
Nitric Oxide Synthase Type II/genetics*
;
Cell Differentiation
;
Coculture Techniques
;
THP-1 Cells
7.Research progress on cardiovascular protective mechanism of resveratrol.
Qian WU ; Hui-Min LI ; Chun-Kun YANG ; Ying-Tian YANG ; Shi-Han WANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(12):3244-3251
Resveratrol(Res) is a kind of polyphenolic compound, possessing multiple biological activities such as antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, cardioprotective, and anticancer effects. In recent years, the cardiovascular protective mechanism of Res has become a research hotspot. Studies have shown that Res has a protective effect on the cardiovascular system through various pathways, such as inhibiting oxidative stress, regulating ferroptosis of cells, improving ischemia-reperfusion(I/R) injury, regulating lipid metabolism, suppressing inflammatory responses, and enhancing endothelial function. It can also alleviate cardiotoxicity caused by drugs and chemicals. In terms of oxidative stress, Res reduces the level of intracellular reactive oxygen species(ROS) by enhancing the expression of proteins such as silent information regulator 1(SIRT1) and regulating mitochondrial function, thereby alleviating myocardial cell damage. Regarding ferroptosis, Res inhibits the occurrence of ferroptosis by regulating the expression of proteins related to iron metabolism. Res can also improve I/R injury through mechanisms such as activating autophagy and the mitochondrial quality control network. In regard to improving endothelial function, Res protects the function of endothelial cells by regulating multiple signaling pathways, such as downregulating the PREP1-mediated pathway. Res can also regulate lipid metabolism and inhibit the progression of atherosclerosis. In terms of inflammatory responses, Res exerts anti-inflammatory effects through mechanisms such as inhibiting the nuclear factor-kappa B(NF-κB) signaling pathway. In addition, Res has an improving effect on cardiotoxicity caused by different drugs or environmental factors. However, the clinical application of Res still faces limitations such as poor pharmacokinetic properties. In the future, in-depth exploration is needed at multiple levels from basic research to clinical application to clarify the dose-response relationship and standardize the standards of medication regimens with the expectation of providing more effective strategies for the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular diseases.
Humans
;
Resveratrol/pharmacology*
;
Animals
;
Cardiotonic Agents/pharmacology*
;
Oxidative Stress/drug effects*
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/genetics*
;
Cardiovascular System/metabolism*
;
Signal Transduction/drug effects*
8.Two new taraxerane triterpenoids from mastic.
Zhi-Qiang ZHAO ; Xue-Rui AN ; Tian-Zhi LI ; Ting HE ; Hao-Kun HOU ; Wei LIU ; Tao YUAN
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(13):3723-3743
Three taraxerane nortriterpenoids were isolated from mastic by using various modern chromatographic separation techniques. They were identified as(5R,8R,9R,10S,11S,12R,13S,17R,18R)-28-norlupa-11,12-epoxy-14-taraxerene-3,16-dione(1),(5R,8R,9R,10S,11S,12R,13S,17S,18S)-17-hydroxy-28-norlupa-11,12-epoxy-14-taraxerene-3-one(2), and(5R,8R,9R,10R,11S,12R,13R,14S,17S,18S)-14,17-epoxy-28-norlupa-11,12-oxidotaraxerone(3) through the high-resolution electrospray ionization mass spectrometry(HR-ESI-MS), infrared(IR), ultraviolet(UV), nuclear magnetic resonance(NMR), and single-crystal X-ray diffraction techniques as well as comparison with literature data. Compounds 1-3 were C-28 nortriterpenoids and isolated from mastic for the first time, and compounds 1-2 were new ones. In the model for RAW264.7 cell anti-inflammation induced by lipopolysaccharide(LPS), compound 1 demonstrates an inhibitory effect on nitric oxide(NO) [IC_(50)=(13.38±0.68) μmol·L~(-1)], comparable to the activity of the positive control dexamethasone [IC_(50)=(14.59±1.49) μmol·L~(-1)]. Compounds 2 and 3 exhibit weaker inhibitory effects, with IC_(50) values of(24.17±2.56) and(22.25±2.84) μmol·L~(-1), respectively.
Animals
;
Mice
;
Triterpenes/isolation & purification*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/isolation & purification*
;
Mastic Resin/chemistry*
;
Nitric Oxide
;
Molecular Structure
;
Macrophages/immunology*
;
RAW 264.7 Cells
9.Application of Assessment Scales in Palliative Care for Glioma: A Systematic Review.
Zhi-Yuan XIAO ; Tian-Rui YANG ; Ya-Ning CAO ; Wen-Lin CHEN ; Jun-Lin LI ; Ting-Yu LIANG ; Ya-Ning WANG ; Yue-Kun WANG ; Xiao-Peng GUO ; Yi ZHANG ; Yu WANG ; Xiao-Hong NING ; Wen-Bin MA
Chinese Medical Sciences Journal 2025;40(3):211-218
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Patients with glioma experience a high symptom burden and have diverse palliative care needs. However, the assessment scales used in palliative care remain non-standardized and highly heterogeneous. To evaluate the application patterns of the current scales used in palliative care for glioma, we aim to identify gaps and assess the need for disease-specific scales in glioma palliative care. METHODS: We conducted a systematic search of five databases including PubMed, Web of Science, Medline, EMBASE, and CINAHL for quantitative studies that reported scale-based assessments in glioma palliative care. We extracted data on scale characteristics, domains, frequency, and psychometric properties. Quality assessments were performed using the Cochrane ROB 2.0 and ROBINS-I tools. RESULTS: Of the 3,405 records initially identified, 72 studies were included. These studies contained 75 distinct scales that were used 193 times. Mood (21.7%), quality of life (24.4%), and supportive care needs (5.2%) assessments were the most frequently assessed items, exceeding half of all scale applications. Among the various assessment dimensions, the Distress Thermometer (DT) was the most frequently used tool for assessing mood, while the Short Form-36 Health Survey Questionnaire (SF-36) was the most frequently used tool for assessing quality of life. The Mini Mental Status Examination (MMSE) was the most common tool for cognitive assessment. Performance status (5.2%) and social support (6.8%) were underrepresented. Only three brain tumor-specific scales were identified. Caregiver-focused scales were limited and predominantly burden-oriented. CONCLUSIONS: There are significant heterogeneity, domain imbalances, and validation gaps in the current use of assessment scales for patients with glioma receiving palliative care. The scale selected for use should be comprehensive and user-friendly.
Humans
;
Glioma/psychology*
;
Palliative Care/methods*
;
Quality of Life
;
Psychometrics
;
Brain Neoplasms/psychology*
10.Finite element analysis of impact of bone mass and volume in low-density zone beneath tibial plateau on cartilage and meniscus in knee joint.
Longfei HAN ; Wenyuan HOU ; Shun LU ; Zijun ZENG ; Kun LIN ; Mingli HAN ; Guifeng LUO ; Long TIAN ; Fan YANG ; Mincong HE ; Qiushi WEI
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2025;39(3):296-306
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the impact of bone mass and volume of low-density zones beneath the tibial plateau on the maximum von Mises stresses experienced by the cartilage and meniscus in the knee joint.
METHODS:
The study included one healthy adult volunteer, from whom CT scans were obtained, and one patient diagnosed with knee osteoarthrisis (KOA), for whom X-ray films were acquired. A static model of the knee joint featuring a low-density zone was established based on a normal knee model. In the finite element analysis, axial loads of 1 000 N and 1 800 N were applied to the weight-bearing region of the upper surface of the femoral head for model validation and subsequent finite element studies, respectively. The maximum von Mises stresses in the femoral cartilage, as well as the medial and lateral tibial cartilage and menisci, were observed, and the stress percentage of the medial and lateral components were concurrently analyzed. Additionally, HE staining, as well as alkaline magenta staining, were performed on the pathological specimens of patients with KOA in various low-density regions.
RESULTS:
The results of model validation indicated that the model was consistent with normal anatomical structures and correlated with previous calculations documented in the literature. Static analysis revealed that the maximum von Mises stress in the medial component of the normal knee was the lowest and increased with the advancement of the hypointensity zone. In contrast, the lateral component exhibited an opposing trend, with the maximum von Mises stress in the lateral component being the highest and decreasing as the hypointensity zone progressed. Additionally, the medial component experienced an increasing proportion of stress within the overall knee joint. HE staining demonstrated that the chondrocyte layer progressively deteriorated and may even disappear as the hypointensity zone expanded. Furthermore, alkaline magenta staining indicated that the severity of microfractures in the trabecular bone increased concurrently with the expansion of the hypointensity zone.
CONCLUSION
The presence of subtalar plateau low-density zone may aggravate joint degeneration. In clinical practice, it is necessary to pay attention to the changes in the subtalar plateau low-density zone and actively take effective measures to strengthen the bone status of the subtalar plateau low-density zone and restore the complete biomechanical function of the knee joint, in order to slow down or reverse the progression of osteoarthritis.
Humans
;
Finite Element Analysis
;
Knee Joint/physiology*
;
Tibia/anatomy & histology*
;
Cartilage, Articular/physiology*
;
Menisci, Tibial/physiopathology*
;
Tomography, X-Ray Computed
;
Osteoarthritis, Knee/diagnostic imaging*
;
Weight-Bearing
;
Bone Density
;
Adult
;
Stress, Mechanical
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Biomechanical Phenomena
;
Female


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