1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Mechanism of Mitochondrial Dynamics in Chronic Heart Failure and Treatment from Perspective of Yin at Peace and Yang Being Compact
Chang SU ; Peng TIAN ; Kun LIAN ; Weijun LI ; Lichong MENG ; Zizheng WU ; Lin LI ; Zhixi HU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(22):236-246
Chronic heart failure is the terminal stage of various cardiovascular diseases, and its occurrence and progression are closely associated with impaired myocardial energy metabolism and mitochondrial dysfunction. Mitochondrial dynamics maintain cardiomyocyte energy homeostasis through fusion, fission, and quality control. Disruption of mitochondrial dynamics may lead to mitochondrial network fragmentation, insufficient adenosine triphosphate (ATP) production, enhanced oxidative stress, and activation of ferroptosis. The theory of Yin at peace and Yang being compact originates from the Chapter Discussion on Interrelationship between Life and Nature in the Plain Questions, and emphasizes that the dynamic balance between Yin and Yang is fundamental to normal life activities. According to this theory and mitochondrial dynamics, this paper explores the pathogenic connotations of Yang failing to remain compact and Yin failing to remain at peace in chronic heart failure. In traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), chronic heart failure is characterized by deficiency in origin and excess in manifestation. Deficiency of heart Qi and Yang is the root, often accompanied by Yang deficiency or Yin deficiency, while blood stasis, phlegm turbidity, and water retention constitute the manifestations. When Yang fails to remain compact, cardiac propulsion becomes weakened and Qi transformation is impaired. When Yin fails to remain at peace, Yin pathogens are generated and Yin essence is consumed. At the microscopic level, imbalance of mitochondrial dynamics is manifested as insufficient mitochondrial fusion, excessive fission, reduced energy production, excessive ROS generation, expansion of the labile iron pool, and accumulation of lipid peroxidation products, which contribute to Yin-Yang imbalance in chronic heart failure. Furthermore, by integrating formula-pattern correspondence and the approach of inferring patterns from formula effects, this paper summarizes the possible molecular phenotypes corresponding to different syndrome elements and syndrome patterns. It further proposes keeping Yang compact and keeping Yin at peace as therapeutic principle for chronic heart failure, aiming to restore energy metabolism homeostasis by regulating mitochondrial dynamics with TCM and to provide new perspectives and ideas for the treatment of chronic heart failure.
3.Preliminary exploration of the role of miR-429 in human synovial mesenchymal stem cell-derived exosomes in repairing osteoarthritis cartilage damage
Sun-Xin ZHOU ; Na HUO ; Hong-Kun LI ; Heng-Xin WANG ; Shuai-Chen LI ; Nuo XU ; Tian-Qi LI ; Xiang-Bo MENG ; Tong ZHANG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):882-889
Objective To explore the role of miR-429 in synovial mesenchymal stem cell-derived exosomes(SMSC-Exos)in repairing cartilage damage in temporomandibular joint osteoarthritis(TMJ OA)by extracting SMSC-Exos from human synovial tissue and screening differentially expressed microRNA(miRNA)through transcriptome sequencing.Methods Human synovial tissues were obtained from 6 patients who underwent surgery at the First Medical Center of the Chinese PLA General Hospital from June to December 2023,including 3 patients with osteoarthritis(OA group)and 3 control patients(control group),all of whom were male.SMSC-Exos were extracted from the synovial tissues for miRNA sequencing and differential expression analysis.Further,Gene Ontology(GO)and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)enrichment analyses were performed on the target genes of differentially expressed miRNA to identify key functional miRNA and construct miRNA-target gene regulatory networks and protein-protein interaction(PPI)networks of target genes.An in vitro model of rabbit condylar cartilage cell inflammatory microenvironment induced by interleukin-1β(IL-1β)was established,with the control group cultured in DMEM/F12 basic medium and the inflammation-induced group cultured in DMEM/F12 basic medium containing 10 ng/ml IL-1β.RT-qPCR was used to detect the effects of overexpressed target miRNA on the mRNA expression levels of cartilage phenotype factors such as type Ⅱ collagen α1 chain(Col2a1),aggrecan(Acan),as well as inflammatory factors including a disintegrin and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs 5(Adamts5)and cyclooxygenase-2(Cox-2).Results(1)SMSC-Exos were successfully isolated,cultured,and identified.(2)miRNA sequencing of SMSC-Exos from OA and control groups revealed 16 differentially expressed miRNAs(|log2FC|>2,P<0.05).Compared with control group,7 miRNAs were up-regulated and 9 were down-regulated in OA group.GO and KEGG analysis indicated that the target genes of miR-429 were mainly involved in development process,anatomical structure development,system development,cell development and differentiation,and were enriched in inflammation-related pathways such as mitogen-activated protein kinase(MAPK)and phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase-protein kinase B(PI3K-Akt).(3)Functional validation of miR-429 in the rabbit condylar cartilage cell inflammatory model showed that overexpression of miR-429 increased the mRNA expression levels of Col2a1 and Acan(P<0.05)and decreased the mRNA expression levels of Adamts5 and Cox-2(P<0.05)in the inflammation-induced group.Conclusions miRNA sequencing of SMSC-Exos isolated and identified from human synovial tissues reveals a specific miRNA expression profile in OA patients,with miR-429 significantly down-regulated.Functional validation demonstrates that overexpression of miR-429 has reparative and anti-inflammatory effects on condylar cartilage cells in an inflammatory microenvironment.
4.Clinical diagnosis and treatment analysis of primary pancreatic signet-ring cell carcinoma
Hongliang LIU ; Kun ZHANG ; Bin ZHOU ; Chuandong SUN ; Lantian TIAN ; Bingsong YAN
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(8):608-611
Objective:To investigate the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of primary pancreatic signet-ring cell carcinoma (SRCC).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data of 11 patients with pathologically confirmed SRCC treated at the Women and Children's Hospital Affiliated to Qingdao University and the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University between 2002 and 2024. The cohort included 10 male and 1 female patients, aged (65.6±9.2) years. Data on gender, age, clinical manifestations, biochemical markers, tumor biomarkers, surgical approaches, postoperative pathology, adjuvant the-rapy, and treatment outcomes were recorded. Postoperative survival was assessed via outpatient records and telephone follow-ups.Results:Among the 11 patients, all 10 male patients had a long-term smoking his-tory. Initial symptoms included epigastric pain (5 cases), jaundice (2 cases), postprandial upper abdominal discomfort (3 cases), and persistent hyperglycemia (1 case). Elevated total bilirubin with increased alanine transaminase and aspartate transaminase was observed in 4 cases, while 7 cases had normal liver function. Tumor biomarker profiles showed elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) alone in 2 cases, elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9(CA 19-9) alone in 6 cases, concurrent elevation of CEA and CA19-9 in 2 cases, and normal tumor markers in 1 case. Tumor locations included the pancreatic head (8 cases) and pancreatic body/tail (3 cases). All patients underwent radical resection without major perioperative complications. Immunohistochemistry revealed perineural invasion (+ ) in 10 cases and Ki-67 ≥ 50% in 9 cases. Six patients received postoperative adjuvant therapy. The median disease-free survival was 14 months, and the median overall survival was 18 months.Conclusion:SRCC lacks specific clinical manifestations and carries a poor prognosis. Radical surgical resection remains the cornerstone of treatment, while adjuvant therapy may improve survival outcomes.
5.Clinical effects of Huayu Ditan Linao Decoction combined with Suhexiang Pills on elderly patients with cerebral hemorrhage in convalescent stage
Xian-kun ZHU ; Tian-yu LI ; Kai-qin LI ; Ze-ling DONG ; Guang-xian MIAO ; Ying LIU ; Ping XU
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(7):2229-2233
AIM To explore the clinical effects of Huayu Ditan Linao Decoction combined with Suhexiang Pills on elderly patients with cerebral hemorrhage in convalescent stage.METHODS One hundred and ten patients were randomly assigned into control group(55 cases)for 1-month intervention of both conventional treatment and rehabilitation training,and observation group(55 cases)for 1-month intervention of Huayu Ditan Linao Decoction,Suhexiang Pills,conventional treatment and rehabilitation training.The changes in clinical effects,TCM syndrome score,NIHSS score,FMA score,BI index,cerebrovascular function indices(dynamic resistance,average flow velocity,peripheral resistance,average flow rate),serum inflammatory indices(IL-6,hs-CPR,TNF-α)and serum oxidative stress indices(SOD,MDA)were detected.RESULTS The observation group demonstrated higher total effective rate than the control group(P<0.05).After the treatment,the two groups displayed decreased TCM syndrome score,NIHSS score,dynamic resistance,peripheral resistance,serum inflammatory indices,MDA(P<0.05),and increased FMA score,BI index,average flow velocity,average flow rate,SOD(P<0.05),especially for the observation group(P<0.05).CONCLUSION For the elderly patients with cerebral hemorrhage in convalescent stage,Huayu Ditan Linao Decoction combined with Suhexiang Pills can enhance clinical effects,improve limb functions and nerve functions,regulate serum inflammatory and oxidative stress indice,and promote prognosis.
6.Acupuncture inhibites hippocampal inflammation in rats with cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury by regulating PPARβ/δ
Jia YUAN ; Yao WANG ; Xiaoyue LIU ; Litong CHEN ; Kun AI ; Haomei TIAN ; Canming XIE ; Chutao CHEN
Chinese Journal of Neuroanatomy 2025;41(4):486-492
Objective:To explore the role of the expression of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor β/δ(PPARβ/δ)in the anti-inflammatory mechanism of acupuncture(AC)against cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury(CIRI)in rat hippocampal tissue.Methods:A total of 60 SD rats were randomly divided into Sham group,CIRI group,CIRI+AC group and CIRI+AC+PPARβ/δsiRNA group.The CIRI rat model was prepared by the method of middle cerebral artery occlusion,and acupuncture treatment was used for intervention.The neurological function of rats was assessed by the modified neurological severity score(mNSS)method after 72 hours of intervention.The brain in-farction volume ratio was observed by 2,3,5-triphenyltetrazolium chloride(TTC)staining method.The pathological morphological changes of brain tissue were observed by hematoxylin-eosin(HE)staining.The expression levels of PPARβ/δ,IL-1β,and IL-10 mRNA in the hippocampal region were detected by RT-qPCR.Results:Compared with the Sham group,the mNSS scores and the brain infarction volume ratio in all modeling groups were significantly in-creased.Compared with the CIRI group,the mNSS scores and the brain infarction volume ratio in the CIRI+AC group were significantly reduced.The expression levels of PPARβ/δ and IL-10 in the hippocampus were significantly upregu-lated,while the expression level of IL-1β was significantly downregulated(P<0.01),with scattered inflammatory cell infiltration observed.Compared with the CIRI+AC group,there was no significant difference in the mNSS scores and the brain infarction volume ratio in the CIRI+AC+PPARβ/δsiRNA group.The expression level of PPARβ/δ in the hippocampus was significantly downregulated(P<0.01),while no significant difference was found in the expression level of IL-10 and IL-1β mRNA,with a small amount of inflammatory cell infiltration observed.Conclusion:Acupunc-ture ameliorates the recovery of neurological function and the ratio of cerebral infarction volume in rats with CIRI,and its mechanism may be associated with the upregulation of PPARβ/δ expression,thereby reducing inflammatory respon-ses and exerting neuroprotective effects.
7.The effects of acupuncture on the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p in rat hippocampus post ischemia-reperfusion injury
Litong CHEN ; Canming XIE ; Yao WANG ; Jia YUAN ; Xiaoyue LIU ; Haomei TIAN ; Chutao CHEN ; Kun AI
Chinese Journal of Neuroanatomy 2025;41(4):445-451
Objective:To investigate the effects of acupuncture intervention on the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p in the hippocampal region of rats with cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury(CIRI),and to explore the potential mechanism of acupuncture in treating CIRI.Methods:Forty-five Sprague-Dawley(SD)rats were divided into sham group,middle cerebral artery occlusion/reperfusion(MCAO/R)group,and acupuncture(MCAO/R+AC)group.The MCAO/R and MCAO/R+AC groups were subjected to the modified Longa suture method to establish the MCAO/R model.The MCAO/R+AC group received acupuncture at the"Dazhui","Renzhong",and"Baihui"acu-points.Neurological impairment was assessed via the modified neurological severity score(mNSS).while cerebral infarct volume was assessed through TTC staining.Histological alterations in brain tissue were examined via HE stai-ning,and the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p in the hippocampal area were determined using RT-qPCR.Results:The mNSS scores and cerebral infarct volume ratios in the model groups were markedly higher than those in the sham group(P<0.01),but these were significantly reduced in MCAO/R+AC group compared to the MCAO/R group(P<0.01).HE staining showed severe necrosis and inflammation in the MCAO/R group's hippocam-pus,while the MCAO/R+AC group had minimal necrosis and scattered inflammation.RT-qPCR results indicated that the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p was downregulated in the MCAO/R group,while MCAO/R+AC group upregulated the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p(P<0.05,P<0.01).Conclusion:Acupunc-ture can improve neurological deficits,reduce cerebral infarction volume,and alleviate inflammatory cell infiltration in CIRI rats by upregulating the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p,thereby exerting neuroprotective effects.
8.Comparison of osteogenic potential in STRO-1 positive and negative bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells
Wanlin ZHOU ; Bin HE ; Xiongcheng SHEN ; Kun HUANG ; Renyuan TIAN ; Ye YUAN ; Wenliang HUANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(36):7719-7727
BACKGROUND:With aging,the regenerative capacity and differentiation function of bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells progressively decline,reducing bone tissue repair efficacy.Thus,identifying bone marrow mesenchymal stem cell subpopulations with enhanced osteogenic potential is of significant importance for advancing bone tissue engineering.OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the osteogenic differentiation potential differences between STRO-1 positive and negative bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells under osteogenic induction conditions.METHODS:SD rat bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells were isolated and cultured.The expression of CD29,CD45,CD90,and STRO-1 was identified via flow cytometry and immunofluorescence.Immunomagnetic cell sorting was used to separate STRO-1 positive and negative bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells.The cells of two groups were subjected to osteogenic induction for 7 and 14 days.qRT-PCR and western blotting were performed to analyze differences in osteogenesis-related gene expression(Collagen I,Runt-related transcription factor 2,osteoprotegerin,and osteocalcin)and protein levels.Alizarin red staining and alkaline phosphatase staining were used to observe calcium nodule formation.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Flow cytometry showed high expression levels of CD29 and CD90 and low expression of CD45,with a positive STRO-1 expression rate of 12.8%.Immunofluorescence results were consistent with those of flow cytometry.After magnetic cell sorting,STRO-1 positive cells demonstrated a higher colony formation rate than STRO-1 negative cells.On day 14,STRO-1 positive cells showed significantly higher osteogenic differentiation potential than on day 7,with significantly elevated osteogenesis-related marker levels compared to STRO-1 negative cells(P<0.01).The findings indicate that STRO-1 positive bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells exhibit significant advantages in osteogenic potential,providing a theoretical basis for their selection as ideal seed cells in bone tissue engineering.In future applications,they may represent a promising therapeutic approach for bone defect repair.
9.Symptoms and quality of life benefits of successful percutaneous coronary intervention in left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease patients with diabetes
Bo-da ZHU ; Tian-tong YU ; Peng HAN ; Bo-hui ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Ping YUAN ; Gang WANG ; Yi YANG ; Hui-li ZHU ; Pan-pan SUN ; Tong-tong LI ; Shuai ZHAO ; Cheng-xiang LI ; Kun LIAN
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(2):93-100
Objective To investigate whether successful percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI)could improve symptoms and quality of life(QOL)in left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease patients with diabetes.Methods Patients with left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease who underwent PCI in the First Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Medical University from April 2018 to May 2021 were consecutively enrolled and subdivided into 2 groups:diabetes and no diabetes.Detailed baseline characteristics,symptoms,including dyspnea and angina,assessed with the Rose dyspnea scale(RDS),Seattle angina questionnaire(SAQ),the European quality of life-5 dimensions(EQ-5D)and 12-item short-form health survey(SF-12)questionnaire respectively,procedural details,and 1 month and 1 year follow-up data were collected.Results Among 440 left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease patients,disease was present in 176(40.00%),who had more hypertension,peripheral artery disease,and LCX lesion(all P<0.05).The incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)and all-cause mortality were similar between the two groups(both P>0.05)at 1 month follow-up,while all-cause mortality in diabetes patients was significantly higher than those without diabetes at 1 year follow-up(P=0.013).Low left ventricular ejection fraction was an independent risk factor for MACE and all-cause mortality at 1 month and 1 year follow-up after successful revascularization(all P<0.05).Most importantly,symptoms,including dyspnea and angina,and QOL were markedly improved regardless of diabetes both at 1 month and 1 year follow-up(all P<0.05).Diabetes patients showed improved dyspnea and QOL at similar degree to the non-diabetes patients(all P>0.05)and a more significantly relieved angina(P=0.013).Additionally,the number of chronic total occlusion(CTO)per patient was identified as an independent risk factor of dyspnea(OR 0.723,95%CI 0.525~0.997,P=0.048)and angina relief(OR 0.686,95%CI 0.473~0.995,P=0.047),and the contrast volume(OR 0.995,95%CI 0.992~0.999,P=0.008)as an independent risk factor of QOL improvement in diabetic patients.Conclusions Successful PCI is beneficial for relieving symptoms and improving quality of life in patients with diabetes who have left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease.
10.HAPLN1 secreted by synovial fibroblasts in rheumatoid arthritis promotes macrophage polarization towards the M1 phenotype.
Chenggen LUO ; Kun HUANG ; Xiaoli PAN ; Yong CHEN ; Yanjuan CHEN ; Yunting CHEN ; Mang HE ; Mei TIAN
Chinese Journal of Cellular and Molecular Immunology 2025;41(5):413-419
Objective To investigate the effects of hyaluronic acid and proteoglycan-linked protein 1 (HAPLN1) secreted by synovial fibroblasts (FLS) on the polarization of macrophages (Mϕ) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Methods Human monocytic leukemia cells (THP-1) were differentiated into Mϕ, which were subsequently exposed to recombinant HAPLN1 (rHAPLN1). RA-FLS were transfected separately with HAPLN1 overexpression plasmid (HAPLN1OE) or small interfering RNA targeting HAPLN1 (si-HAPLN1), and then co-cultured with Mϕ to establish a co-culture model. The viability of Mϕ was assessed using the CCK-8 assay, and the proportions of pro-inflammatory M1-type and anti-inflammatory M2-type Mϕ were analyzed by flow cytometry. Additionally, the expression levels of inflammatory markers, including interleukin 1β (IL-1β), tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), and inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), were quantified using quantitative real-time PCR and Western blot analysis. Results The viability of Mϕ was increased in the rHAPLN1 group compared to the control group. Furthermore, both the M1/Mϕ ratio and inflammatory factor levels were elevated in the rHAPLN1 and HAPLN1OE groups. In contrast, the si-HAPLN1 group exhibited a decrease in the M1/Mϕ ratio and inflammatory factor expression. Notably, the introduction of rHAPLN1 in rescue experiments further promoted Mϕ polarization towards the M1 phenotype. Conclusion HAPLN1, secreted by RA fibroblast-like synoviocytes (RA-FLS), enhances Mϕ polarization towards the M1 phenotype.
Humans
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Arthritis, Rheumatoid/genetics*
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Macrophages/immunology*
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Fibroblasts/metabolism*
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Phenotype
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Extracellular Matrix Proteins/genetics*
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Proteoglycans/genetics*
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Synovial Membrane/cytology*
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Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/genetics*
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Interleukin-1beta/genetics*
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Nitric Oxide Synthase Type II/genetics*
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Cell Differentiation
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Coculture Techniques
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THP-1 Cells


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