Objective To compare the performance of seasonal difference autoregressive moving average exogenous variable model (SARIMAX), backpropagation neural network (BPNN), long short-term memory network (LSTM), and various combination models in fitting and predicting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD), and to provide a reference for optimizing HFMD prediction and prevention and control decisions. Methods Taking the monthly HFMD incidence data in Changsha from 2010 to 2024 as the training set, and the monthly HFMD incidence data from January to August 2025 as the validation set, the single models, SARIMAX-BPNN, SARIMAX-LSTM and weight combination models were constructed respectively. The R², mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE) were used to evaluate the model fitting and prediction performance. Results Based solely on MAPE, the LSTM model showed the best fitting and prediction performance. A comprehensive analysis of multiple indicators including R², MAPE, MAE, and RMSE indicated that the combination models had superior prediction performance. Compared with the LSTM, RMSE predicted by equal weight combination, different weight combination and SARIMAX-BPNN decreased by 40.97%, 37.50%, and 25.00%, respectively, while MAPE increased by 124.84%, 96.90%, and 89.69%, respectively. The fitting effect was as follows: LSTM > unequal weight combination > equal weight combination > SARIMAX-LSTM > SARIMAX-BPNN > BPNN > SARIMAX. The prediction performance was as follows: SARIMAX-BPNN > unequal weight combination > equal weight combination > LSTM > SARIMAX-LSTM > BPNN > SARIMAX. Conclusion SARIMAX-BPNN combination or weighted combination of multiple different models are two more robust combination strategies for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease in Changsha.

OBJECTIVE: Peritoneal fibrosis (PF) is an adverse event that occurs during long-term peritoneal dialysis, significantly impairing treatment efficiency and adversely affecting patient outcomes. Astragaloside IV (AS-IV), a principal active component derived from Astragalus membranaceus (Fisch.) Bunge, has exhibited anti-inflammatory and antifibrotic effects in various settings. This study aims to investigate the potential therapeutic efficacy and mechanism of AS-IV in the treatment of PF. METHODS: The PF mouse model was established by intraperitoneal injection of 4.25% peritoneal dialysis fluid (100 mL/kg). The epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) of HMrSV5 cells was induced by the addition of 10 ng/mL transforming growth factor β (TGF-β). The differentially expressed genes in HMrSV5 cells treated with AS-IV were screened using transcriptome sequencing analysis. The potential targets of AS-IV were screened using network pharmacology and analyzed using molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulations. RESULTS: Administration of AS-IV at doses of 20, 40, or 80 mg/kg effectively mitigated the increase in peritoneal thickness and the development of fibrosis in mice with PF. The expression of the fibrosis marker α-smooth muscle actin in the peritoneum was significantly decreased in AS-IV-treated mice. The treatment of AS-IV (10, 20, and 40 μmol/L) significantly delayed the EMT of HMrSV5 cells induced by TGF-β, as demonstrated by the decreased number of 5-ethynyl-2'-deoxyuridine-positive cells, reduced migrated area, and decreased expression of fibrosis markers. A total of 460 differentially expressed genes were detected in AS-IV-treated HMrSV5 cells through transcriptome sequencing, with notable enrichment in the phosphatidylinositol-4,5-bisphosphate 3-kinase (PI3K)-AKT serine/threonine kinase 1 (AKT) signaling pathway. The reduced levels of phosphorylated PI3K (p-PI3K) and p-AKT were detected in HMrSV5 cells with AS-IV treatment. Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) was predicted as a direct target of AS-IV, exhibiting strong hydrogen bond interactions. The activation of the PI3K-AKT pathway by the compound 740Y-P, and the activation of the EGFR pathway by NSC 228155 each partially counteracted the inhibitory effect of AS-IV on the EMT of HMrSV5 cells. CONCLUSION AS-IV delayed the EMT process in peritoneal mesothelial cells and slowed the progression of PF, potentially serving as a therapeutic agent for the early prevention and treatment of PF. Please cite this article as: Huang Y, Chu CL, Qiu WH, Chen JY, Cao LX, Ji SY, Zhu B, Wang GK, Shen QQ. Astragaloside IV delayed the epithelial-mesenchymal transition in peritoneal fibrosis by inhibiting the activation of EGFR and PI3K-AKT pathways. J Integr Med. 2025; 23(6):694-705.
Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition/drug effects* ; Animals ; Saponins/pharmacology* ; Triterpenes/pharmacology* ; Mice ; Peritoneal Fibrosis/pathology* ; Proto-Oncogene Proteins c-akt/metabolism* ; ErbB Receptors/metabolism* ; Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinases/metabolism* ; Signal Transduction/drug effects* ; Male ; Humans ; Molecular Docking Simulation ; Cell Line ; Mice, Inbred C57BL

Objective To develop and validate a nomogram model that integrates systemic inflammatory markers to predict the likelihood of pelvic lymph node metastasis(PLNM)in prostate cancer patients prior to surgery.Methods This study retrospectively analyzed the clinical data and preoperative inflammatory markers—including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio(PLR),systemic immune-inflammation index(SII),and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio(MLR)—of patients diagnosed with prostate cancer.Univariate and multi-variate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify markers that were significantly associated with PLNM.Based on the results of the multivariate analysis,a nomogram was developed and its predictive accuracy was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC)and calibration plots.Results Among the 334 enrolled patients with prostate cancer,107 were identified with PLNM.Univariate analysis revealed statistically significant differences in free prostate-specific antigen(fPSA),Gleason score,NLR,PLR,MLR,and SII between the PLNM and non-pelvic lymph node metastasis(NPLNM)groups(P<0.05).Multivariate analysis confirmed that fPSA,Gleason score,and SII were independent predictors of PLNM(P<0.05).A nomogram incorporating these predic-tors exhibited strong discriminative ability,with an area under the ROC curve(AUC)of 0.79(95%CI:0.73～0.84).Calibration analysis further demonstrated good consistency between the predicted and observed probabilities of PLNM.Conclusions This study successfully developed a nomogram model based on systemic inflammatory markers for preoperative prediction of pelvic lymph node metastasis in prostate cancer.Owing to its user-friendly design and high predictive accuracy,this tool may serve as a valuable complementary method to conventional imaging techniques,thereby supporting personalized treatment decision-making.

Objective To analyze and compare the efficacy of DNA barcode,i.e.,Cytochrome b(Cytb)and 12S ribosomal RNA(12S rRNA)gene sequences,in the species identification of wildlife.Methods DNA extraction,quantification,PCR amplification of Cytb and 12S rRNA gene fragments,Sanger sequencing,and sequence alignment analysis were performed on ten wildlife samples.Results Both gene fragments were successfully amplified in six samples,while Cytb alone was successfully amplified in 1 sample,and 12S rRNA alone in 3 samples.Sequence analysis indicated that Cytb enabled species-level identification for 6 samples(Gallinula chloropus,Streptopelia orientalis,Phasianus colchicus,Falco naumanni,Myiopsitta monachus and Lynx lynx)and genus-level identification for 1 sample(Lepus).In contrast,12S rRNA achieved species-level identificaggion for 8 samples(Gallinula chloropus,Lepus sinensis,Phasianus colchicus,Myiopsitta monachus,Muntiacus reevesi,Macaca mulatta and Lynx lynx),representing seven species,and genus-level identification for 1 sample(Falco).However,by combining Cytb and 12S rRNA,all samples could be identified to the species level.Conclusion When applying DNA barcodes to wildlife identification,the Cytb and 12S rRNA gene regions analyzed here can effectively identify common species such as Gallinula chloropus and Streptopelia orientalis,but face difficulties in distinguishing closely related species within the same genus.Therefore,when conducting wildlife species identification,it is recommended to use two or more DNA barcode markers.

Objective To establish a stable,reliable,and clinically relevant porcine model of endotoxin-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome(ARDS).Methods Ten 8-month-old male Bama minipigs were deeply sedated,followed by invasive mechanical ventilation and electrocardiographic monitoring.Lipopolysaccharide(LPS)was intravenously pumped at 600 μg/(kg·h)for 3 hours,then maintained at 15 μg/(kg·h)thereafter.Dynamic monitoring was performed at five time points after LPS injection(LPS 0,1,3,5,and 8 h),including arterial blood gas analysis and chest computed tomography(CT)scans.Pathological examination of lung tissues obtained via bronchoscopic biopsy(HE staining and transmission electron microscopy)was conducted.These indicators were comprehensively used to evaluate the success of the animal model.Results At 5 hours after LPS administration,8 minipigs developed symptoms such as skin cyanosis,elevated body temperature,and respiratory distress.The oxygenation index decreased to<300 mmHg.Chest CT scans showed diffuse pulmonary infiltrates.Histopathology revealed alveolar edema and hyaline membrane formation.Transmission electron microscopy demonstrated disruption of pulmonary blood-air barrier,depletion of lamellar bodies in type Ⅱ pneumocytes,inflammatory cell infiltration,and exudation of plasma proteins and fibrin.Compared with LPS 0 h,at LPS 8 h,the oxygenation index and arterial blood pH were significantly decreased(P<0.001),while blood lactic acid and serum potassium were significantly increased(P<0.05);serum calcium and base excess were significantly decreased(P<0.05),and the lung injury score based on HE-stained lung sections was significantly increased(P<0.01).Conclusion The porcine ARDS model established by continuous LPS injection can dynamically simulate the pathophysiological characteristics and typical pathological manifestations of clinical septic ARDS,making it an effective tool to study the pathogenesis,prevention,and treatment strategies of septic ARDS.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effects of methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) rs1801133 and γ-glutamyl hydrolase (GGH) rs11545078 gene polymorphisms on plasma concentrations and toxicity following high-dose methotrexate (MTX) therapy in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). METHODS: Children with ALL treated at the Xuzhou Children's Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from January 2021 to April 2024 were selected for this study. Genotypes of MTHFR rs1801133 and GGH rs11545078 were determined using multiplex polymerase chain reaction. MTX plasma concentrations were measured by enzyme-multiplied immunoassay technique, and toxicity was graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0. The relationships between MTHFR rs1801133 and GGH rs11545078 genotypes and both MTX plasma concentrations and associated toxicities were analyzed. RESULTS: In the low-risk ALL group, the MTHFR rs1801133 genotype was associated with increased MTX plasma concentrations at 72 hours (P<0.05). In the intermediate- to high-risk group, the MTHFR rs1801133 genotype was associated with increased MTX plasma concentrations at 48 hours (P<0.05), and the GGH rs11545078 genotype was associated with increased MTX plasma concentrations at 48 hours (P<0.05). In the intermediate- to high-risk group, the MTHFR rs1801133 genotype was associated with the occurrence of reduced hemoglobin (P<0.05), and the GGH rs11545078 genotype was associated with the occurrence of thrombocytopenia (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS Detection of MTHFR rs1801133 and GGH rs11545078 genotypes can be used to predict increased MTX plasma concentrations and the occurrence of toxic reactions in high-dose MTX treatment of ALL, enabling timely interventions to enhance safety.
Humans ; Methotrexate/toxicity* ; Methylenetetrahydrofolate Reductase (NADPH2)/genetics* ; Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/blood* ; Male ; Female ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; gamma-Glutamyl Hydrolase/genetics* ; Antimetabolites, Antineoplastic/adverse effects* ; Infant ; Polymorphism, Genetic ; Adolescent ; Genotype ; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

OBJECTIVE: To study the efficacy and prognosis of patients with myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms (MDS/MPN) treated with hypomethylating agents (HMA), and to analyze the factors that may affect their efficacy and prognosis, in order to provide a clinical basis for the choice of treatment options for patients with MDS/MPN. METHODS: 35 patients with newly diagnosed MDS/MPN who received hypomethylating therapy from January 2018 to April 2024 in the Department of Hematology of Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University were included. The patients were divided into decitabine group (15 cases) and azacitidine group (20 cases) according to the treatment regimen. The efficacy, median overall survival (OS), and median progression-free survival (PFS) of the patients after HMA treatment were evaluated. The differences in efficacy and survival between the two groups were compared, and factors affecting efficacy and prognosis of MDS/MPN patients were analyzed. RESULTS: The overall response rate (ORR) of the 35 MDS/MPN patients treated with HMA was 51.4%. The ORR was 73.3% in decitabine group and 35.0% in azacitidine group, with a statistically significant difference (P =0.041). Survival analysis showed that the median OS was 12 months and the median PFS was 10 months in the entire cohort of the patients. There was no difference in median OS between decitabine group and azacitidine group. The median PFS in decitabine group was 12 months, higher than that in azacitidine group (7 months), but the difference was not statistically significant (P =0.505). Multivariate analysis showed that the treatment regimen and platelet count were independent influencing factors for the efficacy of HAM treatment; The course and therapeutic efficacy of HMA treatment were independent influencing factors for OS in MDS/MPN patients. The main adverse reactions of HMA treatment were myelosuppression and pulmonary infection. Gastrointestinal reactions were more likely to occur in the azacitidine group than in the decitabine group, and the difference was statistically significant (P =0.027). CONCLUSION HMA treatment is effective and well-tolerated in some MDS/MPN patients. Decitabine shows superior efficacy compared with azacitidine and is less likely to cause gastrointestinal reactions. Patients who received ≥4 courses of HMAs and responded to hypomethylating therapy had longer OS.
Humans ; Prognosis ; Decitabine/therapeutic use* ; Azacitidine/therapeutic use* ; Male ; Female ; Myelodysplastic Syndromes/drug therapy* ; Middle Aged ; Myelodysplastic-Myeloproliferative Diseases/drug therapy* ; Antimetabolites, Antineoplastic/therapeutic use* ; Treatment Outcome ; Aged ; Myeloproliferative Disorders/drug therapy* ; Adult ; DNA Methylation

Objective To establish a cell bank of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ECC)-derived organoids and investigate the key factors influencing the organoids generation. Methods The tumor samples from patients with portal cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) and distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA) were used to isolate cells, and these cells were cultured using three-dimensional (3D) technique to establish ECC organoids. Histological characteristics of the organoids were evaluated and identified through hematoxylin-eosin (HE) and immunohistochemistry stainings. The success rates of organoids generation from different tumor types were compared. And clinical characteristics of patients between successful and failure culture groups were compared. Results The success rates of organoids establishment from pCCA and dCCA were all low, with 42.4% (14/33), 51.9% (14/27), respectively. The tumor was larger in successful group than that in failure group (P＜0.001); there was no statistical difference in tumor differentiation status, microvascular invasion, and perineural invasion between the two groups. Conclusions The successful rate of ECC-derived organoids establishment is low, and larger tumor has higher successful culture rate.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the clinical effect of personalized puncture planning before surgery using Picture Archiving and Communication System (PACS) in the treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures in the elderly. METHODS: A total of 69 elderly patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures treated by percutaneous vertebroplasty from January 2020 20 to December 2021 with more than 1 year of follow-up were analyzed retrospectively. Thirty-four patients were individualized for preoperative planning with PACS software (observation group), including 8 males and 26 females, with a mean age of (73.30±7.96) years old;and 35 patients were treated with conventional treatment (control group), including 7 males and 28 females, with a mean age of (77.30±7.84) years old. The operation time, the amount of cement injection, cement leakage rate, bone watertight diffusion and refracture within 1 year between two groups were observed and compared. The Cobb's angle, low back pain visual analogue scale(VAS) and the modified Oswsetry disability indexes(ODI) before surgery and 1 day, 1 year after surgery were compared between two groups. RESULTS: Both groups successfully completed the operation without serious surgical complications, 2 refractures occurred in the control group. The operation time in the observation group was(41.9±11.9) min, which was less than that in the control group (52.7±13.6) min (P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the cement injection volume between two groups (P>0.05). Two cases of cement leakage in the observation group was less than 8 in the control group (P<0.05). The bone cement distribution index of two groups had significant difference(P<0.05). There were no significant differences between two groups in Cobb's angle of the injured vertebras and ODI before and 1 day after surgery(P>0.05), however, the comparative differences were statistically significant at 1 year after surgery(P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the VAS between two groups at each time period(P>0.05). CONCLUSION Using the PACS software to plan personalized puncture scheme can reduce the operation time, reduce the cement leakage rate, improve the diffusion of bone cement and longer maintain the postoperative form of vertebral body and the functional state of patients' lumbar back.
Humans ; Male ; Female ; Aged ; Vertebroplasty/methods* ; Fractures, Compression/diagnostic imaging* ; Spinal Fractures/diagnostic imaging* ; Osteoporotic Fractures/diagnostic imaging* ; Aged, 80 and over ; Retrospective Studies ; Radiology Information Systems

OBJECTIVE: To explore the effect of nano-hydroxyapatite/collagen composite (nHAC) on bone graft fusion after anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF) in patients with cervical spondylosis and low bone mass. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 47 patients with low bone mass who underwent ACDF from 2017 to 2021. They were divided into the nHAC group and the allogeneic bone group according to different bone graft materials. The nHAC group included 26 cases, with 8 males and 18 females;aged 50 to 78 years old with an average of (62.81±7.79) years old;the CT value of C₂-C₇ vertebrae was (264.16±36.33) HU. The allogeneic bone group included 21 cases, with 9 males and 12 females;aged 54 to 75 years old with an average of (65.95±6.58) years old;the CT value of C₂-C₇ vertebrae was (272.39±40.44) HU. The visual analogue scale (VAS), neck disability index (NDI), and Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) spinal cord function score were compared before surgery, 1 week after surgery, and at the last follow-up to evaluate the clinical efficacy. Imaging assessment included C₂-C₇ Cobb angle, surgical segment height, intervertebral fusion, and whether the cage subsidence occurred at 1 week after surgery and the last follow-up. RESULTS: The follow-up duration ranged from 26 to 39 months with an average of (33.27±3.34) months in the nHAC group and 26 to 41 months with an average of (31.86±3.57) months in the allogeneic bone group. At 1 week after surgery and the last follow-up, the VAS, NDI scores, and JOA scores in both groups were significantly improved compared with those before surgery, with statistically significant differences (P<0.05). At 1 week after surgery, the C₂-C₇ Cobb angles in the nHAC group and the allogeneic bone group were (14.26±10.32)° and (14.28±8.20)° respectively, which were significantly different from those before surgery (P<0.05). At the last follow-up, the C₂-C₇ Cobb angles in both groups were smaller than those at 1 week after surgery, with statistically significant differences (P<0.05). At 1 week after surgery, the height of the surgical segment in the nHAC group was (31.65±2.55) mm, and that in the allogeneic bone group was (33.63±3.26) mm, which were significantly different from those before surgery (P<0.05). At the last follow-up, the height of the surgical segment in both groups decreased compared with that at 1 week after surgery, with statistically significant differences (P<0.05). At the last follow-up, 39 surgical segments were fused and 6 cages subsided in the nHAC group;40 surgical segments were fused and 7 cages subsided in the allogeneic bone group;there was no statistically significant difference between the two groups (P>0.05). Compared with the CT value of vertebrae without cage subsidence, the CT value of vertebrae with cage subsidence in both groups was significantly lower, with a statistically significant difference (P<0.05). CONCLUSION The application of nHAC in ACDF for patients with low bone mass can achieve effective fusion of the surgical segment. There is no significant difference in improving clinical efficacy, intervertebral fusion, and cage subsidence compared with the allogeneic bone group. With the extension of follow-up time, the C₂-C₇ Cobb angle decreases, the height of the surgical segment is lost, and the cage subsides in both the nHAC group and the allogeneic bone group, which may be related to low bone mass. Low bone mass may be one of the risk factors for cervical spine sequence changes, surgical segment height loss, and cage subsidence after ACDF.
Humans ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Spondylosis/physiopathology* ; Spinal Fusion/methods* ; Cervical Vertebrae/surgery* ; Aged ; Diskectomy ; Durapatite ; Retrospective Studies ; Collagen/chemistry*