1.Establishment of a new predictive model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in liver cirrhosis based on clinical features
Wen GUO ; Xuyulin YANG ; Run GAO ; Yaxin CHEN ; Kun YIN ; Qian LI ; Manli CUI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):101-110
ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive, simple, and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB), and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy, they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count (RBC), cholinesterase (ChE), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), albumin (Alb), thrombin time (TT), portal vein trunk diameter, sequential therapy, and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a logistic model was established as logit(P)=-0.805-1.978×(RBC)+0.001×(ChE)-0.020×(ALP)-0.314×(Alb)+0.567×(TT)+0.428×(portal vein trunk diameter)-2.303×[sequential therapy (yes=1, no=0)]-2.368×[primary prevention (yes=1, no=0)]. The logistic model (AUC=0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.893—0.964, P<0.001) had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score (AUC=0.603, 95%CI: 0.520—0.687, P=0.003), Child-Pugh class (AUC=0.650, 95%CI: 0.578—0.722, P=0.001), and FIB-4 index (AUC=0.587, 95%CI: 0.503—0.671, P=0.045). The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607, a sensitivity of 0.817, and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy, implementation of primary prevention, an increase in RBC, and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding, while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.
2.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
3.China - Africa cooperation for tropical diseases control: current status and future priorities
Shenning LU ; Kun YANG ; Yingjun QIAN ; Duoquan WANG ; Shan LÜ ; Xiaonong ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(1):1-7
Tropical diseases, the transmission of which is affected by multiple natural and social factors, pose a great challenge to global public health, notably in African countries. During the past several decades, China and African countries have continuously collaborated for the control of neglected tropical diseases and malaria, which has become an important part of global South-to-South cooperation and global health governance. This article reviews the history of China-Africa cooperation for tropical diseases control, summarizes the experiences and achievements over the past decade, analyzes the current challenges in the coopera tion, and proposes future recommendations. The China-Africa cooperation has achieved significant progress in the control of tropical diseases, such as malaria, schistosomiasis, and filariasis, and established a China-Africa cooperation network for tropical diseases control. Through the "Three-Step" strategy of China-Africa cooperation, the effectiveness of China's integrated control strategies has been validated in Africa, and the application of China's tropical disease control technologies has been promoted in African disease-epidemic countries. Currently, China-Africa collaboration, however, still experiences multiple realistic challenges, such as insufficient resources, difficulty in technology transfer, and weak primary healthcare systems. In the future, both sides are recommended to further strengthen policy coordination, deepen technological cooperation, innovate cooperation models, aiming to continuously promote the high-quality development of China-Africa cooperation for tropical diseases control.
4.Characteristic analysis of nanogel composite system and its application strategies in visualization of diagnostic imaging and therapy
Qian ZHANG ; Fuxia WANG ; Wen WANG ; Kun ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(2):480-488
BACKGROUND:Nanogels can combine the properties of nanoparticles and hydrogels,which have multiple advantages and can play a great role in clinical translation.OJECTIVE:To summarize the self-and cross-linking properties of nanogels,the diagnostic and therapeutic integration strategies they played in a variety of imaging processes,in conjunction with their functional visualization and application properties.METHODS:By searching PubMed,Web of Science,CNKI,and Wanfang databases,English and Chinese search terms were"nanogel,nanohydrogel,imaging,magnetic resonance imaging,fluorescence imaging,ultrasound imaging,photoacoustic imaging,multimodal imaging,therapy,treatment."According to the inclusion criteria,78 articles were finally selected for review.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:The preparation process of nanogels is significantly affected by their multiple properties and cross-linking mechanisms.Optimization of these properties and mechanisms can help to improve their structural performance and accelerate the translation of their clinical applications.With the trend of integrated diagnosis and treatment,functional visualization of nanogels can effectively image tumors with the help of magnetic resonance imaging,fluorescence imaging,ultrasonography,photoacoustic imaging,and multimodal imaging,which can be of key value in the treatment strategies of various diseases.These findings not only pave the way for improving the preparation methods of nanogels,but also create a robust groundwork for hastening their clinical translation.
5.Characteristic analysis of nanogel composite system and its application strategies in visualization of diagnostic imaging and therapy
Qian ZHANG ; Fuxia WANG ; Wen WANG ; Kun ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(2):480-488
BACKGROUND:Nanogels can combine the properties of nanoparticles and hydrogels,which have multiple advantages and can play a great role in clinical translation.OJECTIVE:To summarize the self-and cross-linking properties of nanogels,the diagnostic and therapeutic integration strategies they played in a variety of imaging processes,in conjunction with their functional visualization and application properties.METHODS:By searching PubMed,Web of Science,CNKI,and Wanfang databases,English and Chinese search terms were"nanogel,nanohydrogel,imaging,magnetic resonance imaging,fluorescence imaging,ultrasound imaging,photoacoustic imaging,multimodal imaging,therapy,treatment."According to the inclusion criteria,78 articles were finally selected for review.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:The preparation process of nanogels is significantly affected by their multiple properties and cross-linking mechanisms.Optimization of these properties and mechanisms can help to improve their structural performance and accelerate the translation of their clinical applications.With the trend of integrated diagnosis and treatment,functional visualization of nanogels can effectively image tumors with the help of magnetic resonance imaging,fluorescence imaging,ultrasonography,photoacoustic imaging,and multimodal imaging,which can be of key value in the treatment strategies of various diseases.These findings not only pave the way for improving the preparation methods of nanogels,but also create a robust groundwork for hastening their clinical translation.
6.Clinical practice guidelines for intraoperative cell salvage in patients with malignant tumors
Changtai ZHU ; Ling LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Xinjian WAN ; Shiyao CHEN ; Jian PAN ; Yi ZHANG ; Xiang REN ; Kun HAN ; Feng ZOU ; Aiqing WEN ; Ruiming RONG ; Rong XIA ; Baohua QIAN ; Xin MA
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):149-167
Intraoperative cell salvage (IOCS) has been widely applied as an important blood conservation measure in surgical operations. However, there is currently a lack of clinical practice guidelines for the implementation of IOCS in patients with malignant tumors. This report aims to provide clinicians with recommendations on the use of IOCS in patients with malignant tumors based on the review and assessment of the existed evidence. Data were derived from databases such as PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library and Wanfang. The guideline development team formulated recommendations based on the quality of evidence, balance of benefits and harms, patient preferences, and health economic assessments. This study constructed seven major clinical questions. The main conclusions of this guideline are as follows: 1) Compared with no perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion (NPABT), perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion (PABT) leads to a more unfavorable prognosis in cancer patients (Recommended); 2) Compared with the transfusion of allogeneic blood or no transfusion, IOCS does not lead to a more unfavorable prognosis in cancer patients (Recommended); 3) The implementation of IOCS in cancer patients is economically feasible (Recommended); 4) Leukocyte depletion filters (LDF) should be used when implementing IOCS in cancer patients (Strongly Recommended); 5) Irradiation treatment of autologous blood to be reinfused can be used when implementing IOCS in cancer patients (Recommended); 6) A careful assessment of the condition of cancer patients (meeting indications and excluding contraindications) should be conducted before implementing IOCS (Strongly Recommended); 7) Informed consent from cancer patients should be obtained when implementing IOCS, with a thorough pre-assessment of the patient's condition and the likelihood of blood loss, adherence to standardized internally audited management procedures, meeting corresponding conditions, and obtaining corresponding qualifications (Recommended). In brief, current evidence indicates that IOCS can be implemented for some malignant tumor patients who need allogeneic blood transfusion after physician full evaluation, and LDF or irradiation should be used during the implementation process.
7.Diagnosis and treatment of 281 elderly patients with pulmonary ground-glass opacity: A retrospective study in a single center
Lei SU ; Yi ZHANG ; Yan GAO ; Bing WEI ; Tengteng WANG ; Yuanbo LI ; Kun QIAN ; Peilong ZHANG ; Leiming WANG ; Xiuqin WEI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(01):94-99
Objective To explore the diagnosis and treatment strategies for elderly patients with ground-glass opacity (GGO). Methods The imaging features and postoperative pathological findings of the elderly patients with pulmonary GGO receiving surgery in our hospital from 2017 to 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into an elderly patient group and a non-elderly patient group based on their age. Results Finally 575 patients were included in the study. There were 281 elderly patients, including 83 males and 198 females, with an average age of (67.0±5.3) years. There were 294 non-elderly patients, including 88 males and 206 females, with an average age of (49.1±7.3) years. Compared with the non-elderly patients, elderly GGO patients showed the following distinct clinical features: long observation time for lesions (P=0.001), high proportion of rough edges of GGO (P<0.001), significant pleural signs (P<0.001) and bronchial signs (P<0.001), and high proportion of type Ⅱ-Ⅳ GGO (P<0.001), lobectomy type (P=0.013), and invasive lesions reported in postoperative pathology (P<0.001). There was no statistical difference in the average hospital stay between the two groups (P=0.106). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that GGO diameter and GGO type were the main factors affecting the operation. Observation time, GGO diameter, GGO type and pleural signs were the main influencing factors for postoperative pathological infiltrative lesions. The cut-off value of GGO diameter in predicting infiltrating lesions was 10.5 mm in the elderly patients group. Conclusion The size and type of GGO are important factors in predicting invasive lesions and selecting surgical methods. Elderly patients with radiographic manifestations of type Ⅱ-Ⅳ GGO lesions with a diameter greater than 10.5 mm should be closely followed up.
8.Value of Ultrasonographic Features Combined With Immunohistochemistry in Predicting Axillary Lymph Node Metastasis in Middle-Aged Women With Breast Cancer.
Qian-Kun CHANG ; Wen-Ying WU ; Chun-Qiang BAI ; Zhi-Chao DING ; Wei-Fang WANG ; Ming-Han LIU
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(4):550-556
Objective To investigate the value of ultrasonographic features combined with immunohistochemistry in predicting axillary lymph node metastasis in middle-aged women with breast cancer.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 827 middle-aged female breast cancer patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Affiliated Hospital of Chengde Medical University from June 2017 to June 2023.Ultrasonographic and immunohistochemical information was collected,and the patients were randomly allocated into a training set(579 patients)and a validation set(248 patients).Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify ultrasonographic and immunohistochemical risk factors associated with axillary lymph node metastasis in these patients,and a nomogram model was developed.Receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves were established to evaluate the performance of the nomogram model,and clinical decision curves were built to assess the clinical value of the model.Results The maximum diameter,morphology,boundary,calcification,and expression of human epidermal growth facor receptor 2 and Ki-67 in breast cancer lesions were identified as risk factors for predicting axillary lymph node metastasis in middle-aged women.The areas under the curve of the nomogram model on the training and validation sets were 0.747(0.707-0.787)and 0.714(0.647-0.780),respectively.Calibration curves and clinical decision curves indicated good consistency and performance of the model.Conclusion The nomogram model constructed based on ultrasonographic features and immunohistochemistry of the primary breast cancer lesion demonstrates high value in predicting axillary lymph node metastasis in middle-aged women with breast cancer.
Humans
;
Female
;
Breast Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging*
;
Middle Aged
;
Lymphatic Metastasis/diagnostic imaging*
;
Axilla
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Nomograms
;
Ultrasonography
;
Immunohistochemistry
;
Lymph Nodes/diagnostic imaging*
;
Risk Factors
;
Ki-67 Antigen
9.Changes in choroidal thickness under the macular center pits after trabecular surgery for open-angle glaucoma and its relation to visual function
Qilin WU ; Kun QIAN ; Feng ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2025;41(5):364-372
Objective:To observe the changes of subfoveal choroidal thickness (SFCT) under the macular center recess after trabeculectomy in eyes with open-angle glaucoma (POAG), and to preliminarily analyze its relationship with visual function.Methods:A retrospective case-control study. 117 patients with POAG who were diagnosed by ophthalmologic examination and treated with trabeculectomy in Department of Ophthalmology of Shangluo Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2021 to December 2023 were included in the study. Among them, 63 cases were male; 54 cases were female. All of them underwent naked-eye visual acuity, best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA), refraction, optical coherence tomography (OCT) examination, and axial length measurement. SFCT was measured using enhanced deep imaging with an OCT instrument. Based on the visual function reduction at 1 month after surgery, the patients were categorized into a visual function unreduced group and a visual function reduced group of 67 and 50 cases, respectively. Visual function included binocular adjustment amplitude and sensitivity; visual quality included objective scattering index (OSI) and modulation transfer function (MTF). Changes in SFCT and visual function-related indexes were analyzed by repeated-measures analysis of variance; the risk associated with changes in SFCT and visual function-related indexes was evaluated by a binary logistic regression model; and the relationship between SFCT and post-surgical visual function loss was analyzed by a Joint model; the SFCT and post-surgical visual function reduction was analyzed by a Joint model; the dose-response relationship between SFCT and post-surgical visual function decompensation was analyzed by applying the restricted cubic spline (RCS). Decision curve (DCA) was used to predict visual hypoplasia.Results:Comparison of the percentage of patients with different ages, anterior chamber hemorrhage, and post-surgical anterior chamber inflammatory response in the unreduced visual function group and the reduced visual function group showed statistically significant differences ( P<0.05). The results of the main effect test showed that the differences between SFCT and visual function adjustment amplitude, sensitivity time effect, between-group effect, and interaction effect were statistically significant in both groups ( P<0.05). The results of the separate effects test showed that compared with the preoperative period, the SFCT, accommodation amplitude, and sensitivity of the affected eyes of the two groups were significantly increased at different times after surgery, and the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). The results of multivariate ANOVA showed that SFCT, accommodation amplitude, and sensitivity at different times before and after surgery were significantly lower in the group with reduced visual function than in the group without reduced visual function, and the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). The △naked-eye visual acuity, △BCVA, △OSI, and △MTF of the patients in the group with reduced visual function were significantly lower than those in the group without reduced visual function, and the differences were all statistically significant ( P<0.05). Correlation analysis showed that SFCT was positively correlated with △adjustment amplitude, △sensitivity, △naked-eye visual acuity, △BCVA, △OSI, and △MTF ( r=0.426, 0.419, 0.311, 0.315, 0.325, 0.285; P<0.05). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that △SFCT was positively correlated with △adjustment amplitude, △sensitivity, △naked-eye visual acuity, △BCVA, △OSI, and △MTF before and after adjusting for confounders ( P<0.05). The results of Joint modeling analysis showed that the risk of visual function decompensation was increased by 5% for every 1 μm increase in SFCT. The results of RCS analysis showed a nonlinear correlation between SFCT and surgical The RCS analysis showed that there was a nonlinear relationship between SFCT and post-surgical visual impairment for nonlinear test ( P<0.001); the threshold effect analysis showed that the fold point at which SFCT affected post-surgical visual impairment was 243.25 μm.The DCA analysis showed that SFCT predicted a significant increase in the net clinical benefit rate of post-surgical visual impairment for risk thresholds ranging from 0.00 to 0.84. Conclusions:After POAG trabeculectomy, SFCT of those with or without reduced visual function are significantly thickened compared to pre-surgery; the magnitude of visual function adjustment and sensitivity tended to increase significantly after surgery. Naked eye visual acuity, BCVA, OSI, and MTF all have a significant effect on postoperative visual function.
10.Effects of Hedysarum polybotrys polysacchcaide on FXR-FGF19 signal pathway in diabetes rats
Lei ZHANG ; Sheng-fang WAN ; Ya-ling LI ; Qian-kun LIANG ; Yi-hong TIAN ; Xin-xin MA ; Qian GUO
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2025;41(1):76-80
Objective To study the effects of Hedysarum polysaccharides polysaccharide(HPS)on the farnesoid X receptor(FXR)-fibroblast growth factor-19(FGF19)signaling pathway of diabetes rats.Methods Twelve Wistar male rats were randomly selected as the normal group,and the other rats were fed with a single intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin(50 mg·kg-1 STZ)and a high sugar and high-fat diet to replicate the diabetes rat model.Model rats were randomly divided into model group,positive control group(given 400 mg·kg-1·d-1 suspension of Bifidobacterium quadruplex live bacterial tablets by gavage),experimental-H,-M,-L groups(given 200,100,and 50 mg·kg-1·d-1 doses of HPS suspension by gavage);normal group,and model group were given equal volume of purified water by gavage once a day for 8 consecutive weeks.Glucose(Glu)was detected by a blood glucose meter;and serum total glyceride(TG)and total cholesterol(TC)were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay reagent kit;the expressions of FXR、fibroblast growth factor receptors 4(FGFR4)relative mRNA expression level and protein were detected by real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction method and Western blot.Results The Glu concentrations in the normal group,model group,positive control group,and experimental-H groups were(7.66±0.61),(29.25±1.64),(23.31±3.02)and(19.31±5.13)mmol·L-1,respectively;the TG content were(957.00±113.73),(1 345.00±246.44),(958.00±96.53)and(964.00±130.22)μmol·L-1,respectively;the TC content were(161.65±4.53),(302.19±5.35),(236.09±5.14)and(165.58±2.58)μmol·L-1,respectively;the expression of FXR relative mRNA expression level were 1.00±0.06,0.48±0.02,0.67±0.04 and 0.92±0.04,respectively;the expression of FGFR4 relative mRNA expression level were 1.00±0.04,0.17±0.01,0.48±0.04 and 0.41±0.03;respectively.The above indexes of the model group were compared with the control group,and the above indexes of the control group and the experimental-H group were compared with the model group,and the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.01).Conclusion HPS improves blood sugar,lowers blood lipids,and protects liver and intestinal tissues,possibly by regulating the FXR-FGF19 signaling pathway in intestinal tissue,and regulating bile acid synthesis.


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