Objective To systematically analyze the characteristics of the disease burden of hypertensive heart disease (HHD) in the elderly (≥60 years) globally and in China from 1990 to 2021, and to predict its future trends from 2022 to 2040, with the aim of providing data support for optimizing comprehensive prevention and control strategies for HHD. Methods Based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, the number of prevalent cases and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of HHD in the elderly were extracted for the world, China, and five regions categorized by sociodemographic index (SDI). Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the temporal trends of age-standardized prevalence rate and age-standardized DALYs rate of HHD in the elderly. A three-factor decomposition method was applied to evaluate the relative contributions of aging, population growth, and epidemiological changes to the variations in the elderly HHD burden. Additionally, a Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the elderly HHD burden from 2022 to 2040. Results In 2021, the number of prevalent elderly HHD cases reached 10 283 000 globally and 3 412 400 in China, representing increases of 179.20% and 159.20% respectively, compared with 1990. The DALYs of elderly HHD were 18 812 700 person-years globally and 4 731 400 person-years in China, rising by 76.08% and 29.45% respectively from 1990. Meanwhile, the growth rates of the number of prevalent cases and DALYs of elderly HHD varied across different SDI regions. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate of elderly HHD in China, as well as the age-standardized DALYs rate of elderly HHD both globally and in China, showed significant downward trends (all average annual percentage changes<0, all P<0.001). In 2021, the 70-74 years age group accounted for the highest proportion of prevalent cases and DALYs of elderly HHD, both globally and in China. Decomposition analysis revealed that population growth was the dominant factor driving the increase in the elderly HHD burden across all regions. The prediction model results indicated that the number of prevalent cases and DALYs of elderly HHD would continue to rise globally and in China from 2022 to 2040, with the growth rate of the elderly HHD burden in China between 2021 and 2040 expected to exceed the global average. Conclusion Over the past 32 years, although the age-standardized disease rates of elderly HHD have mainly shown a downward trend globally and in China, the absolute number of the disease burden has increased substantially. The projection model indicates a continued upward trajectory, with the growth rate in China higher than the global average. Therefore, there is an urgent need to implement precise prevention and control strategies to effectively mitigate the disease burden of elderly HHD.

Objective To investigate the diagnostic value of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay combined with bronchoalveolar lavage fluid tuberculosis Xpert detection in smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis. Methods From August 2015 to August 2016 ,68 cases of smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis ,admitted in the hospital ,were enrolled in the study.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and bronchoalveolar lavage fluid tuberculosis Xpert detection were used in the study.The results of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and tuberculosi sXpert detection were compared with sputum culture results ,and their diagnostic values for smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis were analyzed.Results The clinical manifestations of pulmonary tuberculosis were mainly nocturnal sweating ,fever ,cough and expectoration.The results of X-ray and CT examinations showed that the lesions were mostly patchy or in cloudy opacity.The diagnostic accuracy of the combined ex-amination for different types of pulmonary tuberculosis was significantly higher than single detection of en-zyme-linked immunosorbent assay or tuberculosis Xpert detection ,and the difference was statistically signifi-cant (P＜ 0.05).The sensitivity of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was 88.46%,the specificity was 69.05%,and the accuracy was 76.47%;the sensitivity of tuberculosis Xpert detection was 80.77%,the speci-ficity was 52.38%,and the accuracy was 63.23%;the sensitivity of the combined detection was 92.30%,the specificity was 78.57%,and the accuracy was 83.82%;the sensitivity ,the specificity and the accuracy of the combined detection for diagnosis of smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis were significantly increased ,and the difference was statistically significant (P＜0.05).Conclusion The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay combined with bronchoalveolar lavage fluid tuberculosis Xpert detection has important value in the diagnosis of smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis.It is a simple ,rapid and effective method of examination.