1.Research on the Current Situation of Medical Service Market Competition in China
Zhaoyang WANG ; Xinyue SUN ; Kai MENG
Chinese Hospital Management 2025;45(8):30-36
Objective By analying the concentration degree of China's medical service market from 2017 to 2021,to analyze the current situation of competition in China's medical service market,and put forward relevant policy rec-ommendations to provide reference for optimizing resource allocation in China's medical service market.Methods The competition of medical service market in each province(region and city)was calculated by Herfindahl-Hirschman In-dex(HHI)and visualized by Stata18 software.Results From 2017 to 2021,the annual growth rate of the number of beds and health technicians in most regions of China was higher than 2.5%,but the absolute number was significant-ly different.In most provinces(regions and cities),the HHI calculated by the number of beds and the number of health technicians ranged from 0.07 to 0.14,and the HHI showed an upward trend but a small change in the five years.Conclusion In recent years,the degree of competition in China's medical service market is generally high,but with the expansion of the supply of material resources and human resources in each province(region and city),the medical service market in most areas is developing towards a monopoly trend.
2.Analysis on the Willingness of Doctors in Beijing Public Hospitals to Open Clinics in Grassroots Communities and its lnfluencing Factors
Bo LÜ ; Xinyue SUN ; Xingmiao FENG ; Yu WANG ; Ziyan ZHAI ; Shuyu LIANG ; Kai MENG
Chinese Hospital Management 2025;45(4):35-40
Objective To analyze the willingness and influencing factors of doctors in Beijing public hospitals to set up clinics in the community,and to provide scientific basis for promoting quality health technicians to go down to the grassroots and realize hierarchical diagnosis and treatment.Methods Doctors from 6 specialized hospita ls and 3 general hospitals in Beijing were selected as subjects for questionnaire survey.By stratified sampling,a questionnaire survey was conducted on 518 doctors from 9 public hospitals in Beijing through stratified sampling method.Descriptive analysis,rank sum test and ordered logistic regression were used to explore doctors'willingness to open clinics and its influencing factors.Results In all survey respondents,212(40.93%)physicians were very or somewhat willing to open a clinic in the community,physicians with higher benefit perception,and greater willingness to publicize relevant policies were more willing to set up clinics.Conclusion Opening of clinics by doctors in public hospitals is affected by perceived benefits and willingness to advocate policies.It is suggested to further improve relevant systems and policies,reduce the risk of doctors opening clinics,and promote doctors in public hospitals to open clinics in communities,so as to realize the sinking of high-quality health human resources to the grassroots.
3.Diagnostic value of novel inflammatory markers related to routine blood tests in elderly patients with chronic cardiovascular disease complicated with frailty
Xing-Man FAN ; Yan-Yan LI ; Qiong-Yi HE ; Wei-Na LUO ; Xiao-Hua LAN ; Kai-Jie ZHANG ; Meng WANG ; Xiang-Ren KONG ; Hai-Tao ZHANG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(3):301-308
Objective To investigate the diagnostic value of 4 novel inflammatory markers related to routine blood tests,namely neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),red blood cell distribution width(RDW),hemoglobin-to-RDW ratio(HRR)and systemic immune-inflammation index(SII),in elderly patients with chronic cardiovascular disease(CVD)complicated with frailty.Methods Retrospectively analyze 110 patients with chronic stable CVD who were hospitalized in the cadre ward of cardiovascular medicine at the Air Force Characteristic Medical Center from January 2022 to June 2023.According to the assessment results of the Fried scale,they were divided into three groups:non-frailty group(Fried score=0,n=30),the pre-frailty group(Fried score 1 or 2,n=40)and frailty group(Fried score≥3,n=40).The differences in general information,the impairment rate of daily living activities,miniature nutritional assessment-short form(MNA-SF)scores,mini-mental state examination(MMSE)scores,and the indicators such as NLR,RDW,HRR,and SII among the three groups were compared.Spearman rank correlation was used to analyze the correlation between NLR,RDW,HRR,SII and frailty scores as well as each frailty indicator.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the independent risk factors for frailty in elderly patients with chronic CVD,and the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to assess the clinical diagnostic value of NLR and HRR in elderly patients with chronic CVD complicated with frailty.Results Compared with non-frailty group and pre-frailty group,patients in frailty group were older,with higher impaired rates of daily living activities,NLR,RDW,and SII,and lower MNA-SF scores,MMSE scores,and HRR,and differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).Spearman rank correlation analysis showed that the frailty score was positively correlated with NLR(rs=0.354,P<0.001),and RDW(rs=0.448,P<0.001),negatively correlated with HRR(rs=-0.232,P=0.024),and had no significant correlation with SII(rs=0.144,P=0.167).Further analysis of the correlation between the above novel inflammatory markers and the 5 components of frailty showed that NLR was positively correlated with fatigue(rs=0.228,P=0.017),slowed walking speed(rs=0.299,P<0.001),and low physical function(rs=0.319,P<0.001);RDW was positively correlated with decreased grip strength(rs=0.321,P<0.001),slowed walking speed(rs=0.422,P<0.001),and low physical function(rs=0.246,P=0.001);and HRR was negatively correlated with slowed walking speed(rs=-0.230,P=0.025),and low physical function(rs=-0.299,P=0.003).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that MNA-SF score(OR=0.577,95%CI 0.342-0.973)was an independent protective factor for pre-frailty in elderly patients with chronic CVD(P<0.05);NLR(OR=7.866,95%CI 1.101-56.185)was an independent risk factor for frailty,while HRR(OR=0.344,95%CI 0.120-0.983)and MNA-SF score(OR=0.292,95%CI 0.146-0.580)were independent protective factors for frailty in elderly CVD patients(P<0.05).The area under the ROC curve of NLR and HRR for diagnosing frailty in elderly patients with chronic CVD were 0.778 and 0.749,respectively.Conclusion NLR and HRR have high clinical diagnostic value for frailty in elderly patients with chronic CVD,and are expected to become effective inflammatory markers for screening elderly patients with chronic CVD complicated with frailty.
4.Anatomy of the localization and segmentation of the parapharyngeal segment of the internal carotid artery with an endoscopic transoral medial pterygomandibular fold approach
Lei WANG ; Kai XUE ; Huan-Kang ZHANG ; Quan LIU ; Xi-Cai SUN ; Hong-Meng YU
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2025;56(3):301-306
Objective To explore the anatomical landmarks and segmentation method for the intraoperative identification of the cervical segment of the internal carotid artery by studying cadaveric dissections with an endoscopic transoral medial pterygomandibular fold approach and to investigate its clinical significance.Methods The head specimens of five fresh frozen cadavers were dissected in the anatomical laboratory of the Surgical Treatment Technology Innovation Unit of Nasal Skull Base Tumor in Eye&ENT Hospital of Fudan University.The parapharyngeal space was dissected layer by layer through the endoscopic transoral medial pterygomandibular fold approach,and the location marks of parapharyngeal internal carotid artery(ppICA)and adjacent structures of ppICA were anatomically studied.The anatomical landmarks associated with ppICA were observed and characterized,and the ppICA was segmented anatomically according to its adjacent structures.Then,the length of each ppICA segment was measured.Results Muscle structures were essential anatomical landmarks for an endoscopic transoral pterygoid medial approach that identifies mandibular folds.The first layer of muscles included the superior pharyngeal constrictor,tensor veli palatini,and medial pterygoid muscles.The second layer includes the stylopharyngeus,styloglossus,longus capitis,and levator veli palatini muscles.The stylopharyngeal and levator veli palatini muscles were close to the ppICA and were reliable landmarks for locating the ppICA.Furthermore,the ppICA was divided into three segments according to their positional relationship with the ppICA.The first segment of ppICA(P1 ICA)was located between the greater horn plane of the hyoid bone and the intersection plane between the upper margin of stylopharyngeal muscle and ppICA.The second segment of ppICA(P2 ICA)was between the plane where the upper edge of the stylopharyngeal muscle intersected with the ppICA and the plane where the projection of inferior edge of the levator veli palatini muscle intersected with the ppICA.The third segment of ppICA(P3 ICA)was between the intersection of the lower margin projection of the levator veli palatini muscle and ppICA and the external orifice of the carotid canal.The P2 ICA was within an anatomical region bounded by the levator veli palatini muscle,longus capitis muscle,and stylopharyngeus muscle.This region was termed"ICA window"in this paper measured under the cadaver head specimen,the lengths of P1 ICA,P2 ICA,and P3 ICA were(36.5±7.3)mm,(15.5±1.6)mm,(7.4±1.7)mm respectively.Conclusion The muscular structure refers to the relatively constant anatomical reference landmarks within the endoscopic transoral medial pterygomandibular fold.The stylopharyngeus and levator veli palatini muscles are reliable landmarks for precisely locating and segmenting the ppICA,thus having essential clinical implications.
5.To construct a nomogram model for severe mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia coinfection with other pathogens in children
Wenbei XU ; Chenzi WANG ; Juan LONG ; Xiaohan LIU ; Lingjian MENG ; He ZHANG ; Xiaonan SUN ; Haiquan KANG ; Yiping MAO ; Yankai MENG ; Chunfeng HU ; Kai XU
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(5):828-832
Objective To construct a clinical-radiological nomo-gram model for severe mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia coinfec-tion with other pathogens(Co-SMPP)in children.Methods The clinical and radiological data of children with severe mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia(SMPP)who underwent nucleic acid testing or bronchoalveolar lavage(BAL)were analyzed retrospectively.The data analysis were performed by using SPSS 27.0 software.The group comparison between simple SMPP and Co-SMPP children was conducted by using t-tests,Mann-Whitney U tests,or chi-square tests.Nomogram analysis was performed by using R software and rms packages.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated by using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results A total of 194 SMPP children were included in the study,including 136 cases(70.1%)with simple SMPP,58 cases(29.9%)with Co-SMPP.The fibrinogen and albumin levels were lower in Co-SMPP children[(3.53±0.85)g/L,41.00(39.03,43.68)g/L]than in simple SMPP children[(3.79±0.80)g/L,42.80(41.00,44.40)g/L],with P values of 0.047 and 0.036,respec-tively.The probability of bronchial stenosis and grid shadow were higher in Co-SMPP children than in simple SMPP children,and there were significant differences between the two groups(P<0.001,P=0.010).The odds ratio of bronchial stenosis in predicting Co-SMPP children was 14.085.The clinical-radiological nomogram model had an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.840,with sensi-tivity and specificity of 0.756 and 0.848,respectively.Conclusion The nomogram model based on clinical-radiological features can effectively predict Co-SMPP.
6.Screening and validation of glucose metabolism genes in osteoarthritis
Kexin LIU ; Chao MA ; Kai LIU ; Maochen HAO ; Xingru WANG ; Lingting MENG ; Mei DONG ; Jianzhong WANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(20):4181-4189
BACKGROUND:Glucose metabolism plays a crucial role in maintaining the normal physiological function of the body.Glucose metabolism disorder can lead to a range of health problems.At present,the molecular mechanism of glucose metabolism and potential gene targets in osteoarthritis need to be further studied.OBJECTIVE:To analyze the genes related to glucose metabolism in osteoarthritis by bioinformatics methods,and to verify them by cell experiments in vitro,so as to provide new ideas for prevention and treatment of osteoarthritis from the perspective of glucose metabolism.METHODS:Differentially expressed genes and glucose metabolism related genes were screened out from GEO database and GeneCards database.The genes related to both osteoarthritis and glucose metabolism were obtained.Gene Ontology(GO)and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)enrichment analysis were used to screen the functions and pathways of these genes.To further investigate the interactions between these genes,a protein-protein interaction network was constructed and computational methods using Cytoscape software were utilized to identify key genes(Hub genes)for osteoarthritis glucose metabolism.In addition,CIBERSORT algorithm was used to analyze immune cell infiltration in GSE98918 data set.Finally,the expression of Hub gene was verified by cell experiment in vitro.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:A total of 134 osteoarthritis glucose metabolism-related genes were obtained.GO enrichment analysis showed that GO was mainly involved in the reaction of toxic substances,the positive regulation of inflammatory reaction,the reaction of lipopolysaccharide and so on.KEGG enrichment analysis showed that it was closely related to PI3K-Akt signaling pathway,interleukin-17 signaling pathway,and AGE-RAGE signaling pathway in diabetic complications.Macrophages,monocytes,resting natural killer cells,regulatory T cells,and CD8+T cells were the main infiltrating cells obtained by immune infiltration analysis.In vitro cell experiments showed that the expression of Hub genes SERPINF1,TAC1,GLUL,APOE,and TMEM176A in the experimental group was significantly different from that in the control group.The mRNA expression of HLA-DRA was not statistically significant.The results show that SERPINF1,TAC1,Glul,APOE,and TMEM176A may be the key genes of glucose metabolism in osteoarthritis,and may be potential new targets for the prevention and treatment of osteoarthritis.
7.Comparison of efficacy and safety of transurethral thulium fiber laser enucleation of prostate in patients with different prostate volumes
Chao ZUO ; Guoli WANG ; Kunlin YANG ; Xinyan CHE ; Yisen MENG ; Kai ZHANG
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2025;57(4):711-716
Objective:To evaluate the effectiveness and safety of thulium fiber laser enucleation of the prostate(ThuFLEP)in the treatment of oversized(>200 mL)prostate.Methods:Clinical data of 475 benign prostatic hyperplasia(BPH)patients operated by the same urologist at Peking University First Hospital from January 2022 to May 2024 were retrospectively analyzed,all of whom were treated with thu-lium fiber laser,and the patients were divided into three groups according to the total volume of the pros-tate(TPV):group A(TPV<100 mL),group B(100 mL≤TPV<200 mL),and group C(TPV ≥200 mL).The age of the patients in the three groups[(69.38±7.79)years,(69.64±8.69)years,(70.32±7.44)years],International Prostate Symptom Score(IPSS)[(22.7±1.9),(22.8±2.7),(25.8±3.7)],and the maximum urinary flow rate(Qmax)[(7.9±2.7)mL/s,(9.3±4.3)mL/s,(9.9±3.3)mL/s]were not statistically significant(P>0.05).The prostate volume in the three groups[(103.49±46.19)mL,(75.73±30.69)mL,(273.49±49.19)mL]and prostate specific antigen(PSA)[3.52(1.05,8.76)μg/L,6.78(1.61,7.45)μg/L,8.52(5.05,12.76)μg/L]were statistically significant(P<0.05).Results:All surgeries were successfully completed.The dif-ferences in enucleation time[30.0(21.2,44.5)min,41.6(31.2,52.5)min,45.1(35.2,50.0)min]and hospitalization time[(6.06±1.21)d,(6.15±1.50)d,(7.71±1.74)d]among the three groups were not statistically significant(P>0.05);and the differences in the postoperative in-dwelling catheter time[(4.0±1.4)d,(4.0±1.3)d,(6.6±1.1)d],operative time[61(42,89)min,82(62,105)min,115(96,142)min],enucleation efficiency[1.29(0.71,1.56)g/min,1.67(1.23,2.15)g/min,2.74(2.20,3.34)g/min],and hemoglobin drop values[12(7,19)g/L,17(11,24)g/L,27(19,35)g/L]were statistically different(P<0.05).Linear regression ana-lysis was used to show a strong positive linear correlation between enucleation efficiency and enucleation weight(r=0.880,P<0.001),and the enucleation efficiency increased with the increase of prostate volume.The differences in IPSS[(6.6±1.7),(6.2±1.4),(4.6±1.1)]and Qmax[(18.9±3.1)mL/s,(16.8±3.8)mL/s,(22.9±7.1)mL/s]were not statistically significant among the three groups(P>0.05),and the differences in IPSS and Qmax were statistically significant compared with those before surgery.The differences were statistically significant in preoperative comparisons,but the postoperative urinary flow rate of group C increased significantly more than the remaining two groups in terms of Qmax(P<0.05).The patients in the three groups were followed up for 3 months,and post-operative complications were categorized into Clavien-Dindo Ⅰ(urinary retention,persistent hematu-ria),Clavien-Dindo Ⅱ(glandular remnants,urinary tract infection,blood transfusion)and Clavien-Dindo Ⅲ(urethral stenosis,contracture of the bladder neck,and reoperation for hemorrhage)based on the Clavien-Dindo Complications System score,the incidence of Clavien-Dindo in the three groups was 5.2%(13 cases),6.7%(12 cases)and 12.1%(7 cases),respectively,with statistically significant differences(P<0.05);among them,there were statistically significant differences in urinary infection,blood transfusion and bleeding reoperation(P<0.05),and there was no statistically significant difference in the remaining complications(P>0.05).Conclusion:The risk of blood transfusion and re-hemostasis increases with larger prostate volume,the efficiency of enucleation increases with the increase of prostate vo-lume,and thulium fiber laser prostate enucleation is safe and effective in the treatment of large-volume BPH.
8.Experimental study on alternative method of local lymph node assay using bromodeoxyuridine with flow cytometry(LLNA:BrdU-FCM)for skin sensitization evaluation of cosmetics
Xiao-jun LYU ; Ju ZHANG ; Sen WU ; Xiao-ling XU ; Meng-ting SHI ; Jin-jing XU ; Wang-ping PAN ; Jia-te SHEN ; Kai-yong HE
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(4):793-799
Aim To establish and evaluate an alternative meth-od for detecting skin sensitization of cosmetics based on local lymph node assay using bromodeoxyuridine(BrdU)with flow cytometry(FCM).Methods(1)25%hexyl cinnamic alde-hyde(HCA)was chosen as a positive control with an acetone:olive oil(4∶1,V/V,AOO)mixture as a vehicle control for the experiment.The dorsal sides of both ears of mice were treated with test solutions on day 1,day 2,and day 3.Brdu solution was injected inter-peritoneally on day 5.On day 6,the bilateral ears and mandibular lymph nodes were excised,and the number of Brdu positive cells was measured by flow cytometry.The stim-ulation index(SI)was calculated to identify whether it was ≥3,in order to establish the method of LLNA:Brdu-FCM.(2)BrdU-FCM test was conducted using a blind method with the fif-teen reference substances listed in OECD TG429 whose skin sensitization potentials were known.The test substances were dissolved in AOO,N,N-dimethylformamide(DMF)or dimeth-yl sulfoxide(DMSO)at three different concentrations.Tests were performed the same as above.SI and EC2.7 were calculat-ed to evaluate whether the test substance was categorized as a skin sensitizer.The reliability and accuracy of the method were validated by comparing the classification of test substances with that in OECD TG429.Results The SI for 25%HCA was 3.9,showing positive in the skin sensitization test.It demonstrated that the LLNA:Brdu-FCM test method was properly implemen-ted.Nine test substances(2,4-dinitrochlorobenzene,4-pheny-lenediamine,cobalt chloride,2-mercaptobenzothiazole,hexyl-cinnamaldehyde,eugenol,phenyl benzoate,cinnamic alcohol,imidazolidinyl urea)were positive,and six test substances(methyl methacrylate,chlorobenzene,isopropanol,lactic acid,methyl salicylate,salicylic acid)were negative.The method was evaluated with sensitivity of 90%,specificity of 100%,positive prediction rate of 100%,negative prediction rate of 83%,false positive rate of 0%,false negative rate of 17%and accuracy of 93%.The LLNA:BrdU-FCM assay could correctly categorize the test substances that were skin sensitizers or non-sensitizers.Conclusion The LLNA:BrdU-FCM assay appears to be a relia-ble predictor of skin sensitization protential of chemicals,and it is expected to an alternative method for identifying skin sensitization as a supplementary in safety evaluation of cosmetic ingredient.
9.Bioinformatics screening of key genes for endoplasmic reticulum stress in osteoarthritis and experimental validation
Maochen HAO ; Chao MA ; Kai LIU ; Kexin LIU ; Lingting MENG ; Xingru WANG ; Jianzhong WANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(26):5632-5641
BACKGROUND:Endoplasmic reticulum stress is closely associated with the occurrence and progression of osteoarthritis,but the key genes and regulatory mechanisms remain unclear.OBJECTIVE:Utilizing bioinformatics to identify crucial endoplasmic reticulum stress-related genes in osteoarthritis,followed by experimental validation in cell models,aiming to offer new strategies for the prevention and treatment of osteoarthritis from the perspective of endoplasmic reticulum stress.METHODS:Osteoarthritis-related dataset GSE55235 was downloaded from the GEO database.Differential genes in synovial tissue of osteoarthritis were obtained through WGCNA machine learning algorithm and intersected with endoplasmic reticulum stress-related genes from the GeneCard database to acquire differential endoplasmic reticulum stress-related genes in osteoarthritis(ERSDEGs).These genes underwent GO and KEGG enrichment analysis,construction of a protein-protein interaction network,and validation of diagnostic efficiency in external datasets.Human primary synovioblast model of osteoarthritis was constructed.The control group was not treated,and the experimental group received 20 ng/mL lipopolysaccharide to simulate osteoarthritic synoviocyte modeling.Real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR was then performed to validate the expression level of each differential gene followed by immune infiltration analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:A total of 27 key endoplasmic reticulum stress-related genes in osteoarthritis were identified.GO enrichment analysis revealed that these genes were mainly enriched in collagen metabolism,chemokine,antigen binding,and immunoglobulin receptor binding processes.KEGG analysis indicated that they were mainly enriched in pathways such as rheumatoid arthritis and relaxin signaling pathways.The protein-protein interaction network was constructed,and the top five genes with the highest scores were identified using the Degree algorithm in Cytoscape software,including matrix metallopeptidase 1,tumor necrosis factor ligand superfamily member 11,matrix metallopeptidase 9,collagen type 1 alpha 1,and chemokine C-X-C motif ligand 12.Immune infiltration analysis showed that immune cells were mainly distributed in M2 macrophages,chemokine C-X-C motif ligand 12 showed a significant positive correlation with resting mast cells(r=0.70,P<0.001)and a significant negative correlation with resting memory CD4+T cells(r=-0.72,P<0.001).Matrix metallopeptidase 9 showed a significant positive correlation with MO macrophages(r=0.94,P<0.001).Collagen type 1 alpha 1 was significantly positively correlated with resting NK cells(r=0.77,P<0.001)and MO macrophages(r=0.76,P<0.001).Receiver operator characteristic curve analysis in external datasets GSE77298 and GSE1919 showed that the five key genes had good disease prediction value.In vitro cell experiments demonstrated significant differences in the expression levels of matrix metallopeptidase 1,tumor necrosis factor ligand superfamily member 11,matrix metallopeptidase 9,and chemokine C-X-C motif ligand 12 in the osteoarthritic cell model compared to the control group.These results showed that the key genes related to endoplasmic reticulum stress in osteoarthritis,including matrix metallopeptidase 1,tumor necrosis factor ligand superfamily member 11,matrix metallopeptidase 9,and chemokine C-X-C motif ligand 12,influence the occurrence and development of osteoarthritis through the links of collagen degradation and immune regulation,which are expected to provide new insights into the targeted treatment of osteoarthritis.
10.Historical trend analysis and future projection of osteoarthritis disease burden attributable to high body mass index in China
Ping ZHU ; Ju LI ; Zhongyuan ZHANG ; Jiajia WANG ; Yi′an TIAN ; Rui YUE ; Deqian MENG ; Kai WANG
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2025;29(8):662-667
Objective:This study aims to analyze historical trends and predict future trends of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to high BMI for osteoarthritis (OA) in China. OA is a common chronic degenerative joint disease, with high body mass index (BMI) being a significant risk factor. in China.Methods:Based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, we analyzed trends in high-BMI-attributable OA. The ASR of hogh-BMI-attributable OA DALYs increased from DALYs in China from 1990 to 2021. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict trends from 2022 to 2046. Age-standardized rates (ASR) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were calculated to assess trend changes of trends. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict trends from 2022 to 2046. Chi-square tests were used to compare differences in high BMI attribution proportions between regions and years.Results:From 1990 to 2021, China′s OA DALYs increased from 1.829 to 5.327 million, with the proportion attributable to high BMI rising from 13.47% to 21.86% ( χ2=60 527.25, P<0.001). The ASR of high-BMI-attributable to OA increased from 27.4 (-2.2, 81.5) per 100,000 to 53.0 (-4.7, 150.7) per 100 000, with an EAPC of 2.48% [95% (uncertainty interval, UI): 2.35, 2.62]. In 2021, females showed significantly higher ASR (69.2 per 100 000) than males (36.1 per 100 000). Knee OA (ASR: 50.5/100 000) demonstrated substantially higher burden than hip OA (ASR: 2.5/100 000). Age effect analysis showed DALYs peaked at ages 80~90; period effect indicated accelerated growth after 2005; cohort effect showed a U-shaped trend with the 1990 birth cohort having the highest relative risk (approximately 3.0). Projections indicated that up to 2046, total OA DALYs will reach approximately 2.39 million with an ASR of about 71, showing more significant growth among females (ASR reaching 100). Conclusion:High-BMI-attributable to OA DALYs in China shows a significant upward trend, and is expected to continue. This trend is more pronounced among females and elderly populations than males, highlighting the urgency of implementing preventive measures for high-risk groups, particularly in weight management.

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