1.Comparison of the effects of three time series models in predicting the trend of erythrocyte blood demand
Yajuan QIU ; Jianping ZHANG ; Jia LUO ; Peilin LI ; Mengzhuo LUO ; Qiongying LI ; Ge LIU ; Qing LEI ; Kai LIAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):257-262
[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.
2.Effects of alcoholic extract of Gnaphalium affine on oxidative stress and intestinal flora in rats with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Da-Huai LIN ; Xiang-Li YE ; Guo-Hong YAN ; Kai-Ge WANG ; Yu-Qin ZHANG ; Huang LI
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(15):4110-4119
The efficacy mechanism of the alcoholic extract of Gnaphalium affine was investigated by observing its influence on oxidative stress and intestinal flora in rats modeled for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD). UPLC-MS was used to evaluate the quality of the alcoholic extract of G. affine, and 72 rats were randomly divided into six groups, with COPD models established in five groups by cigarette smoke combined with airway drip lipopolysaccharide, and the rats were given the positive drug of Danlong Oral Solution, as well as low-, medium-, and high-doses alcoholic extract of G. affine, respectively. After two weeks of continuous gastric gavage, the body weights and general morphology observations were performed; HE staining and Masson staining were used to verify the effects of the alcoholic extract of G. affine on alveolar inflammation and collagen deposition area in COPD rats; the oxidative stress indexes CAT and GSH in serum and SOD and MDA in lung tissue of the rats were measured, and the mRNA expression of HO-1, Nrf2, and NQO1 were determined by qRT-PCR. The protein expressions of HO-1, Nrf2, and NQO1 were determined by the Western blot method, and the mechanism by which the alcoholic extract of G. affine affected oxidative stress in COPD rats was explored. Finally, the influence of G. affine on the changes in intestinal flora caused by COPD was studied by 16S rRNA sequencing. The results showed that a total of 121 chemical components were identified by UPLC-MS, including 70 positive and 51 negative ion modes. In animal experiments, it was found that the alcoholic extracts of G. affine were able to reduce the percentage of collagen deposition, affect the oxidative stress indexes such as CAT, GSH, SOD, MDA, as well as the mRNA and protein expression of Nrf2, HO-1, and NQO1. The 16S rRNA sequencing results showed an increase in the level of Lactobacillales and a decrease in the level of Desulfovibrio and Desulfovibrionales, suggesting that the alcoholic extracts of G. affine could reverse the changes in intestinal flora caused by COPD. In conclusion, the alcoholic extracts of G. affine may exert anti-COPD effects by affecting the oxidative stress pathway and modulating the changes in intestinal flora.
Animals
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Oxidative Stress/drug effects*
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Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/genetics*
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Rats
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Male
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Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects*
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
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NF-E2-Related Factor 2/metabolism*
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Humans
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Lung/metabolism*
3.Clinical analysis of clavicle anatomical plate in the treatment of AllmanⅡC type of clavicle fracture.
Jian-Zhong GE ; Jin-Rui GU ; Peng XU ; Zhi-Ling ZHANG ; Kai WANG
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(7):711-715
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of clavicular anatomical plate in the treatment of clavicular Allmanic fracture.
METHODS:
Between January 2016 and December 2022, 27 patients with Allman ⅡC distal clavicle fractures were treated with clavicular anatomical plate. There were 19 males and 8 females, aged from 16 to 69 years old, with an average of (39.74±12.71) years old. There were 15 patients on the left side and 12 patients on the right side. There were 15 patients with single clavicle fracture and 12 patients complicated with other parts of the body or organ injury. The broken ends of the fractures were fixed with clavicular anatomical plate, including common compression clavicular anatomical plate in 19 patients and locking clavicular anatomical plate in 8 patients. The operation time and hospitalization days were recorded. Visual analogue scales (VAS) were utilized to assess subjective pain levels both preoperatively and 3 days postoperatively. Postoperatively, patients were monitored at intervals of 1 to 3 months until X-ray films confirmed fracture healing. In accordance with the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) shoulder rating system, evaluations were conducted on postoperative pain alleviation, functional recovery, range of motion in forward flexion, strength in forward flexion, and patient satisfaction.
RESULTS:
All patients were followed up for a period ranging from 12 to 18 months with an average of (14.70±1.61) months, and all clavicular fractures achieved successful union. The wounds of 24 patients healed in one stage, and 3 patients developed bleeding and exudation, they were cured after dressing change. There were no complications such as infection, plate and screw fracture, vascular and nerve injury. The operation time was(67.56±11.01) min. Significant differences were observed in pain relief, functional improvement, range of motion for forward flexion, strength of forward flexion, patient satisfaction, and overall scores at preoperative, 3 months postoperatively, 6 months postoperatively, and at the final follow-up(P<0.001).
CONCLUSION
The utilization of clavicular anatomical plates for the management of Allman typeⅡC fractures can provide early and stable fixation without compromising the acromioclavicular joint, thereby enabling patients to commence early mobilization and ensuring optimal fracture healing.
Humans
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Male
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Female
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Clavicle/surgery*
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Adult
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Bone Plates
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Middle Aged
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Fractures, Bone/physiopathology*
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Adolescent
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Aged
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Fracture Fixation, Internal/instrumentation*
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Young Adult
5.Cross-Sectional Analysis of the Relationship Between Bedtime Procrastination and Fear of Missing Out and the Effect of Exercise Intervention.
Jun-Ge PENG ; Meng-Ying ZHANG ; Jiang XIAO ; Kai-Xin LI ; Yue ZHAO ; Yan LI
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(2):175-181
Objective To explore the relationship between bedtime procrastination and fear of missing out and the intervention effect of aerobic exercise on bedtime procrastination,so as to provide a theoretical basis and practical reference for remedying bedtime procrastination.Methods Totally 988 students were selected through random sampling and then surveyed with the bedtime procrastination scale and the fear of missing out scale.Correlation and regression analyses were performed to explore the relationship between bedtime procrastination and fear of missing out.A total of 36 students were recruited from the 988 students to participate in the exercise intervention and they were assigned into an exercise group and a control group by the random number table method,with 18 students in each group.The exercise group performed aerobic exercise for 12 weeks,while the control group maintained daily activities.The participants' scores on the bedtime procrastination scale and the fear of missing out scale were recorded before and after the intervention and compared.Results The fear of missing out was positively correlated with bedtime procrastination among college students(r=0.214,P<0.001),and it was an important predictive factor for bedtime procrastination(β=0.241,P<0.001).After the intervention,the scores of bedtime procrastination scale decreased in the exercise group(t=2.277,P=0.036),while there was no significant difference in the scores of the control group before and after intervention(t=-0.787,P=0.442).Conclusions A high level of fear of missing out indicates severe bedtime procrastination.And 12-week exercise intervention could remedy bedtime procrastination.
Humans
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Fear
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Exercise
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Male
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Female
;
Procrastination
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Young Adult
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Cross-Sectional Studies
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Students/psychology*
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Adult
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Surveys and Questionnaires
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Adolescent
6.The role of cardiac resident macrophages in heart repair following myocardial infarction in mice
Daile JIA ; Jinghong ZHANG ; Qixin CHEN ; Kai HU ; Aijun SUN ; Junbo GE
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2024;31(4):603-611
Objective To explore the role and mechanism of cardiac resident macrophages in heart repair after myocardial infarction in mice.Methods Macrophage-specific Cre tool mice(CX3CR1CreER-YFP mice)with doubly transgenic mice(R26tdTomato/DTR mice)were hybridized to obtain cardiac resident macrophage-specific red fluorescent labels in mice.Sixty Cx3crlCreER-YFP:R26Td/DTR hybrid mice were randomly divided into 4 groups:Sham group,DT+Sham group,MI group,and DT+MI group,with 15 mice in each group.MI group and DT+MI group underwent myocardial infarction modeling by ligating the left anterior descending coronary artery.The DT+MI group mice were induced to deplete resident macrophages in the heart tissue using diphtheria toxin(DT)to establish a cardiac resident macrophage knockout model.On the 5th day after myocardial infarction modeling,heart tissue slices of mice were stained with H-E to observe inflammation infiltration and myocardial infarct size were calculated;on the 14th day of modeling,echocardiography was used to measure cardiac function-related parameters in mice,and mRNA expression levels of inflammatory cytokines were detected.Results Compared with the MI group,the DT+MI group mice showed a significant reduction in cardiac resident macrophages([53.75±4.62]vs[6.37±1.25],P<0.05).On the 14th day after myocardial infarction modeling,compared with the Ml group,the DT+MI group mice had significantly increased left ventricular end-diastolic diameter([5.11±0.22]mm vs[5.92±0.26]mm,P<0.05)and left ventricular end-systolic diameter([4.77±0.17]mm vs[5.38±0.16]mm,P<0.05),while the ejection fraction significantly decreased([27.76±1.20]%vs[17.61±0.94]%,P<0.05);in addition,the DT+MI group mice showed increased expression levels of inflammatory cytokines,increased inflammatory cell infiltration,and significantly larger myocardial infarct size.The protein expression levels of NF-KB/p-P65 in DT+MI group mice were significantly higher than those in the MI group([0.28±0.14]vs[1.09±0.12],P<0.05).Conclusions Cardiac resident macrophages play an important role in heart tissue repair after myocardial infarction by reducing inflammation cell infiltration and myocardial infarct size.
7.Determination of α-hydroxy acids in cosmetics by UHPLC-MS/MS
Ge RU ; Yong XU ; Jing HAN ; Kai ZHANG ; Xingsheng PENG ; Rong ZHENG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(4):399-408
ObjectiveTo establish a UHPLC-MS/MS quantitative method for the determination of glucuronic acid, tartaric acid, glycolic acid, malic acid, lactic acid, citric acid, DL-2-hydroxybutyric acid sodium, mandelic acid, benzilic acid, hydroxycaprylic acid, lactobionic acid, gluconic acid and N-acetylneuraminic acid in cosmetics. MethodsSamples were prepared by ultrasonic extraction, cleansed by precipitating reagent and followed by high-speed centrifugation of the extraction solution. The supernatant was filtered by 0.22 μm Millipore filter. The continued filtrate was taken for analysis. A reversed phase column, Poroshell 120 EC-C18 (2.7 μm, 4.6 mm×1 000 mm) was used with 0.1% formic acid buffer and acetonitrile as the mobile phase under the condition of gradient elution. The analytes were detected with electrospray ionization source in negative ion mode (ESI-) and multiple reactions monitoring (MRM), and quantified by external standard curve. ResultsThe method showed a good linearity of glucuronic acid, tartaric acid, malic acid, DL-2-hydroxybutyric acid sodium, benzilic acid, hydroxycaprylic acid and N-acetylneuraminic acid within the concentration range of 50.0‒2 000.0 μg·L-1 (r>0.995). The method showed a good linearity of glycolic acid, lactic acid, citric acid and mandelic acid within the concentration range of 100.0‒5 000.0 μg·L-1 (r>0.995). The method showed a good linearity of lactobionic acid and gluconic acid within the concentration range of 50.0‒5 000.0 μg·L-1 (r>0.995). The recoveries were in the range of 92.3%‒114.1%; the relative standard deviations (RSD) were in the range of 0.9%‒6.0% (n=3). The detection limits of glucuronic acid, tartaric acid, malic acid, citric acid, DL-2-hydroxybutyric acid sodium, mandelic acid, benzilic acid, hydroxycaprylic acid, lactobionic acid, gluconic acid and N-acetylneuraminic acid were 0.003% while the detection limits of glycolic acid, lactic acid and mandelic acid were 0.006%. In 10 batches of commercially available cosmetics, eight batches showed positive result. ConclusionThe UHPLC-MS/MS method is efficient, sensitive and accurate and is applicable to the determination of 13 α-hydroxy acidic components in cosmetics.
8.Regulation of exosomal miR-146a-5p expression on gray matter volume changes in patients with major depressive disorder
Jie SU ; Sha LIU ; Changzhou SHI ; Xuanxuan ZHANG ; Qingtong ZHENG ; Bo LI ; Yanjia DENG ; Xingtian WANG ; Ge WEN ; Kai LIU
Journal of Practical Radiology 2024;40(6):861-865
Objective To investigate the effect of exosomal miR-146a-5p expression on gray matter volume in patients with major depressive disorder(MDD).Methods A total of 113 MDD patients(MDD group)and 107 healthy controls(HC)(HC group)were selected.Peripheral blood was collected and exosomes were isolated to quantify miR-146a-5p expression.Brain high-resolution T1 WI images of MDD and HC were obtained via MR,and gray matter volume was computed via SPM12 software.The interaction effect of"Depression×miR-146a-5p expression"on gray matter volume was analyzed using SPM's Flexible factorial design,and the between-group difference was assessed by extracting the mean value,thus to analyze whether MDD-related gray matter volume abnormalities were dependent on miR-146a-5p expression.Results Exosomal miR-146a-5p expression was significantly elevated in MDD group compared to HC group.Voxel-based factorial analysis revealed a relationship between high miR-146a-5p expression in MDD group and reduced gray matter volume in the anterior and posterior cingulate cortices(independent voxel threshold P<0.001,AlphaSim corrected),and a significantly reduced gray matter volume as compared with HC group was detected in the two regions.Conclusion The exosomal miR-146a-5p is overexpressed in patients with MDD and may be associated with specific cortical atrophy in patients with MDD.
9.Prediction of Wind Turbine Lubricating Oil's Acid Value by Ordinary Least Square Method Based on Attenuated Total Reflectance-Fourier Transform Infrared Spectroscopy Through Higher-Order Derivative Combined with Angular Metric
Chun-Hui GE ; Yan-Jun LIU ; Meng-Shi CHEN ; Ce YANG ; Pei-Pei LIANG ; Zhi-Xiang YAO ; Kai ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2024;52(9):1254-1265,中插1-中插4
To address the key challenges in multivariate statistical modeling,a higher-order derivative approach combined with vector space angle multiplicative error correction was proposed for establishing an acid value prediction ordinary least squares(OLS)regression model based on attenuated total reflectance-Fourier transform infrared(ATR-FTIR)spectroscopy.By using acid values measured by potentiometric titration as reference,ATR-FTIR spectroscopy was utilized for direct calibration and prediction of acid values on 96 kinds of lubricating oil samples from a wind turbine.Firstly,the simulated hyperbolic(SH)method was employed to obtain accurate fourth derivative spectrum,resolving overlapping bands and enhancing spectral selectivity.Then,from the calibration set(48 samples),informative spectral regions were identified based on correlation coefficients.Next,the sample with the highest acid value was selected as the reference and1/(1+tan(θ/2))was used as the metric relation of the spectrum to suppress the multiplicity error caused by factors such as the change of effective optical path in ATR-FTIR spectroscopy.After pretreatment of the spectrum by the method of fourth-order derivative combined with angular quantity,the number of variables decreased from 1737 to 8,and the matrix condition number decreased from 1.85×1015 to 56.34,which effectively eliminated the collinearity issue for OLS regression.Direct OLS modeling on spectral preprocessed data achieved a determination coefficient of 0.981 for 47 validation samples,with a relative error range of-8.38%-8.22%,outperforming the commonly used partial least squares(PLS)method(Determination coefficient of 0.865,relative error of-27.82%-22.38%).It was proved that effective data preprocessing significantly improved the prediction accuracy of the model.Furthermore,when the number of calibration set was compressed to 25 and the number of validation set was expanded to 70,the model retained 8 variables with a condition number of 42.60,the determination coefficient of validation set was 0.972,and the relative error ranged from-10.80%to 12.31%.Comparing with the PLS method(Determination coefficient of 0.724,relative error of-34.26%-53.84%),the improvement was more obvious,which showed that the method could still have high prediction accuracy even with fewer modeling samples as well as robustness against multiplicative error interference.
10.Mechanism of circSKA3/miR-3163/ADAM9 gene axis regulating proliferation,migration,invasion and expressions of immune factors in ovarian cancer SKOV3 cells
Jian ZHANG ; Weiwei GE ; Donghua GU ; Kai GUO ; Xialiang LU
Chinese Journal of Immunology 2024;40(11):2304-2309
Objective:To explore mechanism of regulation of proliferation,migration,invasion and expressions of immune factors of ovarian cancer SKOV3 cells by circSKA3/miR-3163/disintegrin-metalloproteinase 9(ADAM9)gene axis.Methods:qRT-PCR was used to detect circSKA3 and miR-3163 expressions in ovarian cancer tissues and paracancerous tissues.Western blot was used to detect ADAM9 protein level in tissues.SKOV3 cells were selected for cell experiment in vitro,and divided into sh-NC group,sh-circSKA3 group,miR-NC group,miR-3163 group,sh-circSKA3+anti-miR-3163 group,sh-circSKA3+pcDNA-ADAM9 group.circSKA3 and miR-3163 expressions in SKOV3 cells were detected by qRT-PCR.CCK-8,scratch test and Transwell were used to detect cell proliferation activity,migration and invasion ability.ELISA was used to detect expressions of TNF-α,IL-6 and IL-10.Double luciferase report experiment verified targeting relationship between circSKA3 with miR-3163,miR-3163 and ADAM9.Western blot was used to detect levels of ADAM9,matrix metalloproteinase-2(MMP-2)and MMP-9 in SKOV3 cells.Results:Com-pared with paracancerous tissues,circ-SKA3 and ADAM9 expressions were increased,and miR-3163 expression was decreased in ovarian cancer tissues(P<0.05).Compared with sh-NC group/miR-NC group,sh-circSKA3 group/miR-3163 group showed decreased cell proliferative activity and healing rate,decreased number of invasive cells,MMP-2,MMP-9 proteins and TNF-α and IL-6 expres-sions were decreased,expression of IL-10 was increased(P<0.05).circSKA3 could targeting regulate expression of miR-3163,and miR-3163 could targeting bind to ADAM9(P<0.05).Compared with sh-circSKA3 group,cell proliferation activity and scratch healing rate in sh-circSKA3+anti-miR-3163 and sh-circSKA3+pcDNA-ADAM9 groups were increased,number of invasive cells was in-creased,MMP-2,MMP-9 protein and TNF-α,IL-6 expressions were increased,while expression of IL-10 was decreased(P<0.05).Conclusion:Silencing circSKA3 expression can reduce expression of ADAM9 by up-regulating miR-3163 expression,inhibit ovarian cancer cell proliferation,migration and invasion,and regulate immune factor expression.

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