Objective To investigate the impact of holiday effects and prevention/control measures on the development characteristics and incidence trends of influenza in Hefei City using a Prophet-LSTM hybrid model, and to validate the applicability of the Prophet-LSTM model in influenza prediction by comparing the performance of different forecasting models. Methods Influenza incidence data from Hefei City (2016–2024) were collected to construct a Prophet-LSTM feature analysis and prediction model to analyze the impact of holiday effects and intervention measures on influenza incidence trends. Comparative models (ARIMA, GRU, and TimeGPT) were established and evaluated on the same test set. Results The data analysis revealed significantly increased influenza incidence during holidays (e.g., New Year's Day, Spring Festival, and National Day), while prevention and control measures led to declining trends. The Prophet-LSTM model demonstrated high consistency between the predicted and actual values, outperforming the comparative models with superior MAE (0.209), MSE (0.195), and IA (0.914), indicating higher prediction accuracy and trend-fitting capability. Conclusion The Prophet-LSTM model effectively captures spatiotemporal characteristics of influenza incidence, exhibits enhanced predictive performance when incorporating holiday effects and intervention measures, and demonstrates significant advantages and application value in influenza forecasting.

Objective To develop a multivariate modeling and prediction approach using the data of influenza incidence, meteorological factors and PM_2.5 variables in Hefei City, and to provide new insights into multivariate modeling and prediction methods. Methods PM_2.5 data were transformed into fractal dimension data and, along with meteorological data, were incorporated into a ConvLSTM model. The performance of this model was compared with traditional ARIMAX and multivariate LSTM models. Results The ARIMAX model's testing set Mean Absolute Error (MAE) was 95.75, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was 176.72, and Index of Agreement (IA) was 0.396642. The multivariate LSTM model's testing set MAE was 22.18, RMSE was 43.06, and IA was 0.974611. For the fractal dimension-based ConvLSTM model, the testing set MAE was 17.37, RMSE was 32.25, and IA was 0.988149. Conclusion The fractal dimension effectively captures the complexity and self-similarity of PM_2.5 concentration, providing the model with richer feature information. The fractal dimension-based ConvLSTM model significantly outperforms the traditional ARIMAX model and the multivariate LSTM model in prediction accuracy and can be used for predicting the number of influenza cases.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.apsb.2019.01.013.].

Malignant tumors have become the main threaten of human health, however, highly sensitive and specific diagnostic biomarkers and effective therapeutic targets are still lacking for most cancers currently. RNA methylation modification has been a cutting-edge hotspot in RNA research area in recent years. The dynamic changes of RNA methylation patterns and levels in tumor tissues, cells as well as patients′ peripheral blood are closely associated with tumor occurrence, development, and prognosis, and have the potential to serve as precise diagnostic markers and effective therapeutic targets for tumors. Even though several challenges such as RNA methylation detection methods, functional mechanism, and the development of therapeutic drugs based on RNA methylation modification are needed to solve, from lab to clinical practice, RNA methylation still display excellent diagnostic and prognosis performance, which can provide new strategies and evidence for precise diagnosis, treatment targets, and drug development of tumors.

Objective To explore the effect of melatonin(MT)-modified PEEK implant assisted by polydopamine(PDA)coating on osteointegration in osteoporotic rats.Methods MT was adhered to PEEK implants with PDA coating as carrier.The physicochemical properties of the materials were analyzed by SEM image,water contact angle,FTIR and protein adsorption experiment.OVX-rBMSCs were inoculated on the surface of PEEK sheet and cultured.The cytoskeleton was stained and cell adhesion morphology was observed.Cell proliferation activity was evaluated by CCK-8 assay;key enzyme activities for osteogenic differentiation were analyzed by ALP stai-ning,and expression levels of osteoblast-related genes COL-1,Runx2,OPN,OCN,BMP-2 and ALP were detected by quantitative real-time PCR.In addition,implants were implanted into the femur of osteoporotic rats and bone volume on the implant surface was de-tected and quantified by Micro-CT.Results MT was successfully loaded on PEEK;the cell adhesion was better,and the proliferation activity and osteogenic differentiation ability were significantly higher than those of control group(P＜0.01).In the rat osteoporosis mod-el,there was more new bone formation around the modified PEEK implant(P＜0.01).Conclusion MT-modified PEEK implants have excellent biocompatibility and improve osteointegration in an osteoporotic environment.

Objective:To detect the 3′-terminal 2′- O-methylation (2′Ome) modified microRNA-486-5p (miR-486-5p) levels in the serum of patients with coronary heart disease (CHD), and evaluate its clinical application value as a biomarker to assist the diagnosis of CHD. Methods:Seventy patients with CHD diagnosed at the Eastern Theater General Hospital from January 2021 to December 2022 and 60 age-and sex-matched healthy people undergoing health examination during the same period were selected for this retrospective case-control study. The Gensini score was calculated based on coronary angiography results, and patients in the coronary artery disease group was categorized into mild-to-moderate stenosis (40 cases) and severe stenosis subgroups (30 cases); Serum biochemical indexes, miR-486-5p and 2′Ome-miR-486-5p expression levels were compared between the CHD group and the healthy control group; correlation of biochemical indices, Gensini score and serum miR-486-5p and 2′Ome-miR-486-5p levels was assessed by using Spearman correlation analysis; and multifactorial logistic regression was used to analyze the impact of serum miR-486-5p and 2′Ome-miR-486-5p levels on CHD and the degree of coronary artery stenosis; evaluation of the diagnostic value of 2′Ome-miR-486-5p levels on the degree of coronary artery disease and coronary artery stenosis was achieved by using ROC curve.Results:Serum miR-486-5p and 2′Ome-miR-486-5p levels were significantly higher in CHD group than in the healthy control group [0.31 (0.17, 0.84) vs 0.21 (0.11, 0.49), Z=2.055, P<0.05; 2.30 (1.32, 5.40) vs 0.86 (0.55, 1.72), Z=5.840, P<0.05]; Serum 2′Ome-miR-486-5p expression levels were higher in both mild-moderate and severe stenosis subgroups than in healthy controls ( P<0.05), and serum 2′Ome-miR-486-5p levels were higher in the severe stenosis subgroup than in the mild-moderate stenosis subgroup [3.54(1.78, 5.44) vs 1.63(1.25, 4.07), Z=-2.053, P<0.05]. Both serum miR-486-5p and 2′Ome-miR-486-5p levels were positively correlated with the Gensini score ( r=0.277 and 0.479, respectively, P<0.05); multifactorial logistic regression analysis showed that serum 2′Ome-miR-486-5p level was an independent influence factor of the degree of coronary stenosis after adjustig for the effects of confounding factors such as age and sex ( OR=1.025, 95% CI 1.002-1.049, P<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve of serum 2′Ome-miR-486-5p levels for the diagnosis of CHD patients, mild to moderate and severe stenosis were 0.798, 0.752 and 0.859, with sensitivities of 91.4%, 92.5%, and 73.3%, and specificities of 56.7%, 51.7% and 81.7%, respectively, at the optimal cut-off (0.912, 0.863, 2.209). Conclusion:Serum 2′Ome-miR-486-5p level is increased in CHD patients and is an independent predictor of the severity of coronary artery stenosis, which can be used as a biomarker for the diagnosis of patients with CHD.

Objective:To detect the changes in the levels of miR-21-5p and miR-125a-5p modified with 3′-terminal 2′-O-methylation (3′t-2′Ome) in serum extracellular vesicles (EV) of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, and evaluate their value as auxiliary screening molecular markers for NSCLC patients.Method:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the data of 69 NSCLC patients diagnosed at the Eastern Theater Command General Hospital from May 1st to October 31st,2023, as well as 65 age and gender matched healthy controls during the same period. Two real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) techniques, namely stem-loop method and poly (A) tailed method, were used to detect the levels of 3′t-2′Ome-miR-21-5p and 3′t-2′-Ome miR-125a-5p in serum EV of NSCLC patients and controls.Analyze the correlation between the levels of two types of 3′t-2 ′Ome miRNAs and the differences in clinical stage, pathological classification, and other tumor indicators in patients. Receiver operating characteristic (receiveroperating curve, ROC) curves were used to analyze the efficacy of 3′t-2 ′Ome miR-21-5p and 3′t-2′ Ome miR-125a-5p in serum EV, as well as their combination, in diagnosing NSCLC.Result:Compared with the control group, the levels of 3′t-2′Ome-miR-21-5p in serum EV of NSCLC patients increased [(0.30±0.05) vs (0.35±0.09), t=3.32, P=0.001], while the levels of 3′t-2′Ome-miR-125a-5p decreased [(0.33±0.06 vs 0.25±0.06, t=7.45, P<0.001]. The differences were statistically significant. The expression levels of 2′Ome-miR-21-5p in EV were also significantly elevated in the NSCLC patients at 0-Ⅱ stage, adenocarcinoma patients, and squamous cell carcinoma patients, respectively. Notably, the levels of EV 3′t-2′Ome-miR-21-5p was also statistically significant between the adenocarcinoma patients and squamous cell carcinoma patients [(0.34±0.85) vs (0.40±0.12), P<0.05]. ROC curve analysis showed that the levels of 3′t-2 ′Ome miR-21-5p and 3′t-2′ Ome miR-125a-5p in serum EV, as well as their combined AUC for discriminating NSCLC patients, were 0.647(95% CI 0.550-0.743), 0.825(95% CI 0.756-0.894) and 0.860(95% CI 0.797-0.923), respectively. The sensitivity was 92.3%, 80.0%, 89.2%, and the specificity was 46.4%, 73.9%, and 78.3%, respectively. Conclusion:There are changes in the levels of 2 ′Ome miR-21-5p and 2′ Ome miR-125a-5p in the serum EV of NSCLC patients, and the combined detaction has the potential as an auxiliary screening molecular marker of NSCLC patients.

Objective:To explore the technical points and efficacy of gradual traction-unlocking closed reduction technique (GT-UCRT) for Tile C old pelvic fractures.Methods:From August 2012 to June 2021, 6 patients with Tile C old pelvic fracture were treated and followed up at Department of Orthopedics, The Fourth Medical Center, General Hospital of Chinese PLA. They were 4 males and 2 females with an age of (35.8±10.5) years. By Tile classification: 4 cases of type C1.2, 1 case of type C1.3, and 1 case of type C2; time from injury to surgery: 153.8 (64.3, 204.8) days. The 6 patients were treated with GT-UCRT. The time for gradual traction reduction, operation time, hospital stay, intraoperative blood loss and complications were recorded. The modified Matta score was used to evaluate the reduction quality of pelvic fractures, and the Majeed score was used to evaluate the pelvic function at the last follow-up.Results:The 6 patients were followed up for (40.3±22.9) months (from 12 to 72 months) after surgery. The time for gradual traction reduction was (26.7±4.6) days, operation time (119.2±4.6) minutes, hospital stay (11.5±2.9) days, and intraoperative blood loss (533.3±189.6) mL. By the modified Matta score, the pelvic reduction after surgery was rated as satisfactory in 5 cases and as unsatisfactory in 1 case. The length disparity between both lower limbs in the 6 patients was (6.9±1.6) cm before surgery and (1.0±0.4) cm immediately after surgery, showing a statistically significant difference ( t=11.135, P<0.001). One fracture healed 3 months after surgery and 5 fractures 6 months after surgery. The Majeed pelvic score at the last follow-up was (80.8±9.0) points for the 6 patients, yielding 2 excellent cases, 3 good cases and 1 fair case. Delayed wound healing was reported in 1 patient, calf intermuscular venous thrombosis in 2 cases, and emotional anxiety and sleep disorder in 1 patient. No new lumbosacral plexus injury was found in any patient. Conclusions:In the treatment of Tile C old pelvic fractures, since our self-designed GT-UCRT combines the advantages of Ilizarov technique and unlocking closed reduction technique, it can not only protect the lumbosacral plexus but also obtain satisfactory reduction of the fracture.

BACKGROUND: Although newly formed constructs of feasible pressure-preadjusted bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (BMSCs) and platelet-rich fibrin (PRF) showed biomechanical flexibility and superior capacity for cartilage regeneration, it is still not very clear how BMSCs and seed cells feel mechanical stimuli and convert them into biological signals, and the difference in signal transduction underlying mechanical and chemical cues is also unclear. METHODS: To determine whether mechanical stimulation (hydrostatic pressure) and chemical cues (platelet-rich fibrin, PRF) activate canonical or noncanonical Wnt signaling in BMSCs, BMSCs cocultured with PRF were subjected to hydrostatic pressure loading, and the activation of the Wnt signaling molecules and expression of cartilage-associated proteins and genes were determined by western blotting and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Inhibitors of canonical or noncanonical Wnt signaling, XVX-939 or L690,330, were adopted to investigate the role of Wnt signaling molecules in mechanically promoted chondrogenic differentiation of BMSCs. RESULTS: Hydrostatic pressure of 120 kPa activated both Wnt/b-catenin signaling and Wnt/Ca2+ signaling, with the the maximum promotion effect at 60 min. PRF exerted no synergistic effect on Wnt/b-catenin signaling activation. However, the growth factors released by PRF might reverse the promotion effects of pressure on Wnt/Ca2+ signaling. Real-time PCR and Western blotting results showed that pressure could activate the expression of Col-II, Sox9, and aggrecan in BMSCs cocultured with PRF. Blocking experiment found a positive role of Wnt/b-catenin signaling, and a negative role of Wnt/ Ca2+ signaling in chondrogenic differentiation of the BMSCs. Mutual inhibition exists between canonical and noncanonical Wnt signaling in BMSCs under pressure. CONCLUSION Wnt signaling participates in the pressure-promoted chondrogenesis of the BMSCs co-cultured with PRF, with canonical and noncanonical pathways playing distinct roles during the process.

OBJECTIVES: There is less clinical data on multiple myeloma (MM) in China, and the aim of this study was to collect and analyze the clinical data of newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients in Hunan Province during 1 year, to understand the real clinical features and treatment outcome for Hunan Province patients with MM, and to strengthen the understanding of the standardized diagnosis process and treatment plan of MM. METHODS: The clinical data of 529 patients with NDMM in 12 large-scale general hospitals in Hunan Province from January 1 to December 31, 2019 were collected and analyzed, including baseline data, treatment regimens, duration of treatment, and adverse reactions. The clinical characteristics, treatment, and safety of patients were analyzed by SPSS 21.0. RESULTS: Among the 529 NDMM patients, the age was 33-90 (median 64) years and the male-female ratio was 1.38꞉1. The clinical features ranged from high to low were as follows: Bone pain (77.7%), anemia (66.8%), renal insufficiency (40.6%), hypercalcemia (15.1%). Typing: IgG 46.5%, IgA 24.6%, IgD 2.6%, IgM 0.8%, light chain 15.7%, double clone 3.0%, no secretion 0.6%, absence 6.2%. Staging: Durie-Salmon stage I, II, and III were 4.5%, 10.6%, 77.3%, respectively, and 40 cases (7.6%) missed this data. International Staging System (ISS) stage I, II, and III were 10.4%, 24.4%, and 47.6%, respectively, and 93 cases (17.6%) were missing. Revised International Staging System (R-ISS) stage I, II, and III were 5.5%, 27.0%, 23.1%, respectively, and 235 cases (44.4%) missed this data. Among the 98 NDMM patients in the Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Durie-Salmon (DS) stage missing 2.0%, ISS stage missing 12.3%, and R-ISS stage missing 12.3%.Treatment: Among the 529 patients,475 received treatment, the rate of treatment was 89.8%; 67.4% of the patients were able to complete four courses of chemotherapy at induction phase, 90.3% of the patients received proteasome inhibitor based combination chemotherapy regimen more than once, 67.2% received immunomodulator based regimen more than once, and 59.8% of the patients received proteasome inhibitor and immunomodulator based combination chemotherapy regimen more than once. Curative: Overall response rate (ORR) and high quality response rate (HQR) of the 4-course group were better than those of the 2-course group (ORR: 85% vs 65%, P=0.006; HQR: 68.3% vs 24.0%, P<0.001). The HQR of the standard chemotherapy group was better than that of the non-standard chemotherapy group (65.1% vs 48.2%, P=0.035). Adverse reactions during treatment included hematologic toxicity (17.5%), peripheral neuropathy (24.8%), gastrointestinal adverse events (23.8%), pulmonary infection (25.9%), herpes zoster (4.6%), and venous thrombotic events (1.7%). CONCLUSIONS In 2019, the missed diagnosis rate of MM patients was high, the medium age of diagnosis was older, and the accuracy of patient diagnosis was not high. There is a great difference among medical centers, especially in the stage and risk stratified, nearly half of NDMM patients are not diagnosed with R-ISS stage; the lack of cytogenetic data needs to be supplemented by follow-up studies. A high proportion of patients with NDMM present with bone pain and anemia.Patients received treatment have higher use of chemotherapy regimens containing proteasome inhibitors and/or immunomodulators, but there is a significant gap among different medical centers, and standardized treatment needs to be strengthened. The safety during chemotherapy is controllable.
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use* ; Female ; Humans ; Immunologic Factors/therapeutic use* ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Multiple Myeloma/therapy* ; Neoplasm Staging ; Pain ; Prognosis ; Proteasome Inhibitors/therapeutic use*