1.Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for in-hospital death after successful resuscitation in patients with cardiac arrest
Yu LI ; Zhen CHEN ; Xin GUO ; Yifan LIANG ; Jueyan WANG ; Jinlei LI ; Xianting YANG ; Fen AI
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2025;29(11):26-32,41
Objective To construct and validate a risk prediction model for in-hospital death af-ter successful resuscitation in patients with cardiac arrest.Methods A retrospective study was con-ducted on 295 patients with cardiac arrest who successfully restored spontaneous circulation after car-diopulmonary resuscitation and were further treated in hospital.The patients were divided into training and validation sets using K-fold cross-validation and then grouped and compared based on whether in-hospital death occurred.A binary Logistic regression analysis was used to screen risk prediction fac-tors,and a nomogram prediction model was constructed.The model performance was evaluated and validated in the training and validation sets,respectively.Results The results of the multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that hospitalization duration(OR=1.180;95%CI,1.080 to 1.280;P<0.001),norepinephrine dose(OR=0.980;95%CI,0.970 to 0.990;P=0.002),ini-tial respiratory rate after resuscitation(OR=1.090;95%CI,1.030 to 1.150;P=0.004),and sinus rhythm recovery after resuscitation(OR=4.280;95%CI,1.670 to 10.980;P=0.003)were inde-pendent influencing factors for in-hospital death.A nomogram model was constructed based on these in-dependent influencing factors,and it was verified that the model had good discrimination,calibration,applicability,and rationality.Conclusion The influencing factors for in-hospital death after successful resuscitation in patients with cardiac arrest include hospitalization duration,norepinephrine dose,initial respiratory rate after resuscitation,and sinus rhythm recovery after resuscitation.The nomo-gram model constructed based on these factors can provide a reference for clinical decision-making.

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