1.Clinical profile and outcomes of patients with chronic kidney disease on chronic hemodialysis hospitalized for acute coronary syndrome in a tertiary public hospital in the Philippines.
Jerahmeel Aleson L. Mapili ; Cecileen Anne M. Tuazon ; Paul Anthony O. Alad ; John Christopher A. Pilapil ; Bianca M. Velando ; Azel Paolo T. Bondoc ; Lloyd Christopher S. Lim ; Marie Aisen Kathrina B. Cabujat-Bumanglag ; Vincent Anthony S. Tang ; Janice Jill K. Lao ; John C. Anonuevo
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(4):24-34
INTRODUCTION
Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are both prevalent globally. The diagnosis and management of ACS in ESRD is difficult because the interplay of cardiovascular and renal disease is complicated. The guidelines for ACS may not be applicable to the ESRD population because the trials from which these are drawn mostly excluded ESRD patients.
OBJECTIVETo determine the clinical profile and outcomes of CKD patients on dialysis admitted for ACS in the Philippine General Hospital (PGH).
METHODSWe did a retrospective cohort study and employed a retrospective review of electronic medical records among ESRD patients presenting with ACS in PGH from May 2021 to November 2023. The collected data was analyzed using univariate and bivariate statistics using PRISM software.
RESULTSA total of 48 patients with ESRD were admitted for ACS in this study – 8 with STEMI and 40 with NSTEMI. The mean age was 61 years old and 33 (68.8%) were male. Among those with STEMI, six (75%) presented with Kilip II or more. While among those with NSTEMI, 17 (42.5%) had a GRACE score >140 and 27 (67.5%) had an NSTEMI TIMI risk score >2. On average, the patients were on hemodialysis for 31 months prior to admission. The most common comorbidities were hypertension (91.7%) and heart failure (83.3%). On admission, 18 (37.5%) presented with SBP >160, 7 (14.6%) patients presented with shock, and 4 (8.3%) patients presented with cardiac arrest. 38 (79.2%) patients had anemia on admission. 21 (43.8%) patients had left ventricular hypertrophy on electrocardiogram while 34 (70.8%) patients had cardiomegaly on chest radiography. The average left ventricular ejection fraction on echocardiogram was 46% and 27 (90%) patients had segmental wall motion abnormalities. The most common angiographic finding was 3-vessel coronary artery disease seen in 50% of patients. Almost all patients received dualantiplatelet therapy, high dose statin, and beta-blocker. The mortality rate was high at 43.8% with cardiovascular causes being the most common cause of death.
CONCLUSIONThis study demonstrates the high mortality rate among patients with ESRD presenting with ACS. Our study portrays that patients with ESRD present with higher risk features including abnormalities in vital signs, laboratories, imaging, high prognostications score, and high in-hospital morbidity.
Human ; Kidney Failure, Chronic ; End-stage Renal Disease ; Acute Coronary Syndrome ; Myocardial Infarction
2.Quality of care among patients with acute heart failure at the emergency room and adherence of physicians at the University of the Philippines – Philippine General Hospital to the division of cardiovascular medicine – heart failure pathway:A retrospective cohort study.
Mark John D. Sabando ; Felix Eduardo R. Punzalan ; Frances Dominique V. Ho ; Tam Adrian P. Aya-ay ; Kevin Paul Da. Enriquez ; Marie Kirk A. Maramara ; Ronald Allan B. Roderos ; Lauren Kay M. Evangelista
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(2):22-32
OBJECTIVES
Clinical pathways (CPs) ensure adherence to heart failure (HF) management guidelines. To optimize quality care in a low resource setting, an evidence-based care pathway for the management of acute HF was implemented at the emergency department (ED) of the Philippine General Hospital (PGH), the designated national tertiary hospital and referral center. This study aimed to describe the characteristics of adults with acute HF admitted at the ED and evaluate the quality of care they received, measured using physician adherence to the hospital’s acute heart failure CP.
METHODSThis was a retrospective, descriptive cohort study. We reviewed the inpatient charts of all adult patients with acute HF admitted to the ED of the PGH and referred to the Division of Cardiovascular Medicine between December 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023. Quality of care was assessed based on adherence to quality indicators adapted from routine and conditional order sets detailed in the pathway. Descriptive statistics was utilized to describe patient characteristics, quality of care, and outcomes.
RESULTSTwo hundred thirty-six (236) patients were included, with a mean age of 51.8 years. Majority were male (53.4%); hypertension (61.4%) and ischemic heart disease (53.8%) were the most common comorbidities, and infection the most common precipitant of decompensation (60.6%). There were optimal adherence rates to routine orders, which included referrals to Internal Medicine and Cardiology, baseline vital signs monitoring, fluid intake and output monitoring, chest radiograph, complete blood count, blood urea nitrogen, sodium, potassium, prothrombin time, partial thromboplastin time, arterial blood gas, urinalysis, and N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide. Conditional orders, such as oxygen support, focused echocardiography, thyroid - stimulating hormone, and the use of vasopressors, diuretics, and venous thromboembolism prophylactic agents, were optimally performed when warranted. However, we noted suboptimal adherence to certain resource-intensive conditional orders, such as hourly monitoring of urine output (61.4%), hooking to cardiac monitor (53.8%), and performance of 12-lead ECG within 10 minutes (56.8%). Further, only 43.9% of patients were referred to the intensive care unit. Troponin I, calcium, magnesium, and albumin were ordered in excess.
CONCLUSIONOverall adherence rate of physicians to the hospital’s Acute Heart Failure Pathway was satisfactory. Work is needed to improve adherence to hourly urine output monitoring, consistent hooking to cardiac monitor, and timely performance of 12-lead ECG – an effort that begins with expanding in-hospital diagnostic equipment and human resource supply. We recommend continuous pathway implementation with periodic evaluation and stakeholder feedback to further improve quality of care.
Human ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged: 45-64 Yrs Old ; Adult ; Albumins ; Blood ; Blood Urea Nitrogen ; Calcium ; Cardiology ; Chart ; Charts ; Cohort Studies ; Critical Care ; Critical Pathways ; Diagnostic Equipment ; Disease ; Diuretics ; Echocardiography ; Electrocardiography ; Emergencies ; Emergency Service, Hospital ; Equipment And Supplies ; Evaluation Studies As Topic ; Feedback ; Heart ; Heart Diseases ; Heart Failure ; Hormones ; Hospitals ; Hospitals, General ; Humans ; Hypertension ; Indicators And Reagents ; Infection ; Infections ; Inpatients ; Intensive Care Units ; Internal Medicine ; Lead ; Magnesium ; Male ; Medicine ; Myocardial Ischemia ; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain ; Natriuretic Peptides ; Nitrogen ; Overall ; Oxygen ; Partial Thromboplastin Time ; Patients ; Peptides ; Philippines ; Physicians ; Potassium ; Prothrombin ; Prothrombin Time ; Quality Of Health Care ; Referral And Consultation ; Sodium ; Statistics ; Tertiary Care Centers ; Thorax ; Thromboembolism ; Thromboplastin ; Thyroid Gland ; Time ; Troponin ; Troponin I ; Universities ; Urea ; Urinalysis ; Urine ; Venous Thromboembolism ; Vital Signs ; Work ; Workforce
3.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
4.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
5.Risk scoring of African swine fever transmission in selected provinces of the Philippines
John Michael G. BERNARDO ; Aaron Paul R. SERDEÑA ; Gladys Maria V. PANGGA ; Saubel Ezrael A. SALAMAT ; Trisha Nicole AGULTO ; Cherry P. FERNANDEZ-COLORADO
Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;26(1):e2-
Objective:
Using semiquantitative risk scoring, this study estimated the probability of ASF transmission in 23 selected provinces.
Methods:
The factors influencing ASF spread were identified; 10 through a literature review and the positivity for ASF virus (ASFv) of meat samples from an ongoing surveillance study.Secondary data from each sampled province were collected, and the provinces were scored across these factors and classified into one of three risk categories.
Results:
Six out of 23 provinces were categorized as high-risk due to the high number of ASFv-positive meat samples, backyard pigs, and ASF occurrences. Conversely, four provinces were classified as low-risk due to consistently low scores across all indicators. The difference in the meat contamination level between low- and high-risk provinces emphasizes the importance of including this factor in the ASF spread assessment.
Conclusions
and Relevance: Risk estimation of ASF transmission must consider meat sample contamination. Active surveillance at local borders can monitor contamination and prevent ASFv sources from entering areas. This approach allows the government to allocate resources and prioritize higher-risk areas.
6.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
7.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
8.Risk scoring of African swine fever transmission in selected provinces of the Philippines
John Michael G. BERNARDO ; Aaron Paul R. SERDEÑA ; Gladys Maria V. PANGGA ; Saubel Ezrael A. SALAMAT ; Trisha Nicole AGULTO ; Cherry P. FERNANDEZ-COLORADO
Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;26(1):e2-
Objective:
Using semiquantitative risk scoring, this study estimated the probability of ASF transmission in 23 selected provinces.
Methods:
The factors influencing ASF spread were identified; 10 through a literature review and the positivity for ASF virus (ASFv) of meat samples from an ongoing surveillance study.Secondary data from each sampled province were collected, and the provinces were scored across these factors and classified into one of three risk categories.
Results:
Six out of 23 provinces were categorized as high-risk due to the high number of ASFv-positive meat samples, backyard pigs, and ASF occurrences. Conversely, four provinces were classified as low-risk due to consistently low scores across all indicators. The difference in the meat contamination level between low- and high-risk provinces emphasizes the importance of including this factor in the ASF spread assessment.
Conclusions
and Relevance: Risk estimation of ASF transmission must consider meat sample contamination. Active surveillance at local borders can monitor contamination and prevent ASFv sources from entering areas. This approach allows the government to allocate resources and prioritize higher-risk areas.
9.Triple primary malignancy (synchronous papillary and follicular thyroid carcinomas and diffuse B-Cell lymphoma of the submandibular Gland and Cervical Lymph Nodes) in a 70-year-old woman
Philippine Journal of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2025;40(Supplement):36-40
OBJECTIVES
To report a case of triple primary malignant neoplasms in a 70-year-old woman diagnosed with follicular and papillary thyroid carcinoma and diffuse B-cell lymphoma of the right submandibular gland and cervical lymph nodes.
METHODSDesign:Case Report
Setting:Tertiary Government Training Hospital
Patient: One
RESULTSA 70- year-old woman presented with a four-year history of gradually enlarging anterior neck mass, associated with a right submandibular mass and neck nodes for one year. The gradual progression of her symptoms made the patient think that it was a benign condition. This led to a delay in medical consultation. The patient underwent total thyroidectomy with functional neck dissection of the ipsilateral right neck. Histopathology revealed simultaneous follicular and papillary thyroid carcinoma, and diffuse B-cell lymphoma of the cervical lymph nodes. The patient was referred to medical oncology and nuclear medicine for further management.
CONCLUSIONOur patient was incidentally diagnosed with follicular and papillary thyroid carcinoma and diffuse B cell lymphoma of the cervical lymph nodes after surgery. Such triple primary malignant neoplasms in a single individual are rare, and as in our case, may only be diagnosed in hindsight.
Human ; Female ; Aged: 65-79 Yrs Old ; Carcinoma ; B-lymphocytes ; Adenocarcinoma, Follicular ; Neoplasms ; Submandibular Gland ; Lymph Nodes ; Lymphoma, B-cell ; Thyroid Gland ; Thyroid Cancer, Papillary ; Thyroidectomy
10.Risk scoring of African swine fever transmission in selected provinces of the Philippines
John Michael G. BERNARDO ; Aaron Paul R. SERDEÑA ; Gladys Maria V. PANGGA ; Saubel Ezrael A. SALAMAT ; Trisha Nicole AGULTO ; Cherry P. FERNANDEZ-COLORADO
Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;26(1):e2-
Objective:
Using semiquantitative risk scoring, this study estimated the probability of ASF transmission in 23 selected provinces.
Methods:
The factors influencing ASF spread were identified; 10 through a literature review and the positivity for ASF virus (ASFv) of meat samples from an ongoing surveillance study.Secondary data from each sampled province were collected, and the provinces were scored across these factors and classified into one of three risk categories.
Results:
Six out of 23 provinces were categorized as high-risk due to the high number of ASFv-positive meat samples, backyard pigs, and ASF occurrences. Conversely, four provinces were classified as low-risk due to consistently low scores across all indicators. The difference in the meat contamination level between low- and high-risk provinces emphasizes the importance of including this factor in the ASF spread assessment.
Conclusions
and Relevance: Risk estimation of ASF transmission must consider meat sample contamination. Active surveillance at local borders can monitor contamination and prevent ASFv sources from entering areas. This approach allows the government to allocate resources and prioritize higher-risk areas.


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