1.Pregnancy probability prediction models based on 5 machine learning algorithms and comparison of their performance
Chao REN ; Huan YANG ; Niya ZHOU ; Qing CHEN ; Wenzheng ZHOU ; Tong WANG ; Xi LING ; Lei SUN ; Peng ZOU ; Zhuoyue LIANG ; Lin AO ; Jinyi LIU ; Jia CAO
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(12):1376-1387
Objective To construct 5 machine-learning models and compare their performance in predicting the associations between pre-pregnancy socio-psycho-behavioral exposures of both spouses and preconception outcomes.Methods Based on Chongqing Preconception Reproductive Health and Birth Outcome Cohort of volunteers recruited from Chongqing Health Center for Women and Children during January 2019 and March 2022,5 447 couples were recruited and surveyed through interviewer-interview for the demographic and social-psychological-behavioral data of both spouses(221 variables).According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria,4 097 couples were finally included,and randomly assigned into a training set(n=2 867 spouses)and a validation set(n=1 230 spouses)at a ratio of 7∶3.Feature analysis and collinear screening were applied to select the potential exposure factors.In consideration of difficulty to carry out semen parameters analysis in primary healthcare institutions,feature Set 1 including sperm parameters and feature Set 2 excluding semen parameters were constructed by including or excluding sperm quality simultaneously in the training set and the validation set.Five algorithms,that is,Logistic Regression,Naive Bayes,Random Forest,Gradient Boosting Machine,and Support Vector Machine,were used to construct preconception outcome prediction models,and the parameters of each model were optimized using random search combined with grid search.The predictive performance of each model was compared using precision,recall,F1 score,area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC),and calibration curve.The optimal model was then selected by comparing the changes in the predictive ability of the questionnaire data for fertility outcomes with or without semen parameters.Results There were 24 variables screened out in feature Set 1,and 16 variables in feature Set 2.In feature Set 1,the gradient boosting machine performed better,with a relatively higher AUC value(0.651)and better F1 score(0.61).The logistic regression model performed stably(AUC value=0.647)and was suitable as the reference model.The random forest(AUC value=0.641),Naive Bayes(AUC value=0.641),and support vector machine(AUC value=0.634)performed second-best.By utilizing the gradient boosting machine,comparable results were found between the predictions from feature sets with or without semen parameters,as in feature Set 1,the AUC value of its validation set was 0.651(95%CI:0.629~0.681),the prediction accuracy was 0.63,the recall rate was 0.65,and the average precision value F1 was 0.61;and in feature Set 2,the AUC value of its validation set was 0.649(95%CI:0.624~0.663),and both the calibration curves were close to the ideal curve.The prediction results indicated that in feature Set 1,the features highly negatively correlated with preconception outcomes were female age,male age,and no pregnancy within 1 year without contraception,while the features highly positively correlated with preconception outcomes were female pregnancy history,total sperm vitality,and use of contraceptive measures before enrollment.Conclusion Among the 5 machine-learning algorithms performed in this cohort data,the gradient boosting machine shows slightly better performance.There are 24 factors being associated with preconception outcomes in both spouses,and the performance of the simplified model excluding semen parameters is not significantly declined.It is feasible to use machine-learning methods to predict human preconception outcomes through social-psychological-behavioral questionnaires.
2.Transgenerational effects and transmission mechanisms of paternal PM2.5 exposure on growth and development in offspring
Zhonghao ZHANG ; Jiankang WANG ; Mengchao HE ; Lei SUN ; Qing CHEN ; Jinyi LIU ; Jia CAO
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(15):1741-1749
Objective To investigate the transgenerational effects of paternal PM2.5 exposure on offspring growth and development,and to preliminarily elucidate the role of sperm DNA methylation modifications in mediating these effects.Methods Eight-week-old male C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into filtered air(FA),unfiltered air(UA),and concentrated PM2.5(CAP)groups,with 10 animals in each group.The exposure was conducted from November 2019 to April 2020,and then,these male mice were mated with unexposed females to generate F1 offspring,which were bred successively to produce F2 and F3 generations.All the offspring were living in PM2.5-free environment.The birth body weight,birth number,and sex ratio of the offspring were recorded,body weight growth was monitored,and organ coefficients of the heart,liver,lung,and brain were calculated.Whole-genome methylation sequencing was performed on the sperm DNA of the CAP group,FA group,and their F1 generation offspring to screen for differentially methylated regions,and the genes and pathways associated with these regions were analyzed.Results When compared with the F1~F3 offspring of the FA group,the CAP group had significantly reduced birth body weight in the F1 generation(P<0.05),no statistical differences were observed in the birth body weight in the F2 and F3 generations(P>0.05),or either in the sex ratio and birth number among the F1,F2 and F3 generations.Compared with the FA group offspring,the F1~F3 offspring of CAP group exhibited delayed body weight gain,especially in the males(P<0.05),the CAP-F1 male generation had obviously elevated liver organ coefficient(P<0.01),but no statistical changes were observed in the heart,lung,or brain coefficients among the F1~F3 generations.Between the FA group and the CAP group,37 997 differentially methylated regions were detected,with a reduction of approximately 50%in the number of differentially methylated regions in the F1 generation.Differentially methylated genes in F0 and F1 sperm were potentially related to developmental processes,including imprinting genes(Gnas,Igf2)and metabolic genes(Ppard,Rps6kb1).Conclusion Paternal exposure to PM2.5 leads to reduced birth weight and intergenerational growth retardation in offspring.Its impact on phenotypic effects is gradually weakened during intergenerational transmission.Changes in the methylation of development-related genes in sperm may be one of the mechanisms mediating this intergenerational effect.
3.Neuroimaging advances in the regression of white matter hyperintensity of presumed vascular origin
Jinyi CAO ; Weiyi ZHONG ; Yunqing YING ; Xin CHENG
Chinese Journal of Neurology 2024;57(8):907-914
As one of the imaging features of cerebral small vessel disease, white matter hyperintensity (WMH) of presumed vascular origin is quite common in the elderly. The burden of WMH is thought to progress slowly over time and is significantly associated with cognitive decline. However, the pathogenesis of WMH remains unclear and there is no effective treatment available. Recent studies have reported that some WMH lesions can regress during follow-up, along with progression and regression occurring alternately, suggesting that longitudinal changes in WMH are not unidirectional. This article presents a systematic review of current neuroimaging studies on WMH regression to enhance the understanding of dynamic changes in WMH and to provide new theoretical evidence for WMH intervention.
4.Effects of chronic psychological stress on testicular cell senescence in rats and role of glucocorticoid receptor in the process
Binwei YANG ; Lei SUN ; Xi LING ; Qing CHEN ; Tong WANG ; Huan YANG ; Jinyi LIU ; Jia CAO ; Lin AO ; Peng ZOU
Journal of Army Medical University 2024;46(24):2698-2706
Objective To investigate the effect of chronic psychological stress on testicular cell senescence in rats and the role of glucocorticoid receptor(GR)in the process.Methods Thirty-two male SD rats(4~6 weeks old,weighing 120~140 g)were randomly assigned into dimethyl sulfoxide(DMSO)group,mifepristone(RU486)group,chronic unpredictable mild stress(CUMS)group,and CUMS+RU486 group.DMSO of 0.5 ml/(kg·d)was injected subcutaneously into the rats of DMSO group.After the rats of the CUMS group were exposed to CUMS,mifepristone of 1 mg/(kg·d)was given to the rats of the RU486 group and CUMS+RU486 group.All the above 4 groups were inflicted for 42 consecutive days.After modeling,the psychological stress status of rats was evaluated with animal behavioral experiments.Computer-aided sperm analysis(CASA)system was used to detect sperm density.ELISA was employed to measure the serum levels of corticosterone(CORT),sex hormones and inflammation factors.The contents of malondialdehyde(MDA),H2O2,NAD+/NADH and ATP in the testicular tissues were tested with corresponding reagent kits.Western blotting was utilized to detect protein levels of[3-gal,p16,and GR in testicular tissue,and transmission electron microscopy was used to observe mitochondrial structure of spermatogenic cells.Results Compared with the DMSO group,the sperm density,serum levels of testosterone(T),luteinizing hormone(LH)and follicle stimulating hormone(FSH)were decreased while those of CORT and estradiol(E2)were increased in the CUMS group(all P<0.001).Serum pro-inflammatory factors IL-6 and TNF-α concentrations were increased while anti-inflammatory factor IL-10 concentration was decreased in the CUMS group than the DMSO group(all P<0.05).And,ATP content and NAD+/NADH ratio were decreased while MDA and H2O2 levels were elevated in testicular tissues in the CUMS group(all P<0.05).Moreover,the protein levels of testicular cell aging markers β-gal,p16 and GR were significantly enhanced in the CUMS group(all P<0.01),accompanied by swelling and vacuolization of mitochondrial structures in spermatogenic cells.RU486 treatment effectively improved sperm density and increased CORT level and down-regulated the testicularβ-gal,p16 and GR protein level(all P<0.05).Conclusion Chronic psychological stress induces testicular damage in rats,presenting declines in sperm density and CORT level,which is possibly associated with GR-mediated cell senescence.
5.Strategies for improving the scientific research ability of trainees in standardized residency training of dermatology
Jinyi CHEN ; Yang TAN ; Lingfei LI ; Kedai SUN ; Jingfang CAO ; Ling CHEN ; Xia LEI
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2022;21(7):890-893
In this paper, combined with the characteristics of rotational learning of dermatologists, we have taken various measures such as improving the scientific research training system, strengthening the awareness of scientific research, optimizing the teaching mode, adding new assessment mechanism, hand-in-hand teaching and other measures to realize the close combination of clinical and scientific research, and lay a solid foundation for the cultivation of high-quality innovative talents in dermatology.
6.Preconception reproductive health and birth outcome cohort in Chongqing: the cohort profile
Qing CHEN ; Wenzheng ZHOU ; Niya ZHOU ; Huan YANG ; Yimeng WANG ; Haiyan ZHANG ; Qiuhong LI ; Nianrong WANG ; Hongyan CHEN ; Lin AO ; Jinyi LIU ; Ziyuan ZHOU ; Hua ZHANG ; Wei ZHOU ; Hongbo QI ; Jia CAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(7):1134-1139
Birth cohort is an important platform to study the effect of early-life exposure on health outcome, but large cohorts to investigate the effect of preconception exposure, especially paternal exposure, on reproductive health and birth outcome are limited. The Preconception Reproductive Health and Birth Outcome Cohort (PREBIC) is a prospective birth cohort study which pays equal attention to the contribution of environmental, psychological, behavioral as well as other factors to reproductive health and adverse birth outcomes in both men and women in Chongqing, China. PREBIC started in 2019 and plans to recruit 20 800 reproductive-age couples with child-bearing willingness. Followed up was conducted to understand the conception status of the women within two years. Women in pregnancy would be visited at first, second, third trimesters and after delivery. The offspring would be monitored until 2 years old to understand the incidences of preterm birth, low birth weight, birth defects, neurodevelopmental disorders and other outcomes. Related information and biospecimen collections (including semen, peripheral blood, urine, placenta, umbilical cord, cord blood and oral swab) were scheduled in each period. By January 2022, PREBIC had recruited 8 698 participants from all 38 districts in Chongqing. The goal of PREBIC is to establish one of the largest prospective preconception birth cohorts covering both men and women, which might provide a unique insight to understand the effects of the full reproductive cycle on reproductive health and adverse outcomes, with especial emphasis on preconception exposures.
7.Association between perceived built environment attributes and adults’ leisure-time physical activity in four cities of China
Yinjuan DUAN ; Songchun YANG ; Yuting HAN ; Junning FAN ; Shaojie WANG ; Xianping WU ; Min YU ; Jinyi ZHOU ; Xiaocao TIAN ; Xinyin XU ; Mingbin LIANG ; Yujie HUA ; Lu CHEN ; Canqing YU ; Wenjing GAO ; Weihua CAO ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(8):1280-1285
Objective:To explore the associations between perceived built environment attributes and adults’ leisure-time physical activity in four cities of China.Methods:Multistage cluster random sampling method was used to select adults aged 25 to 64 in Hangzhou, Suzhou, Chengdu, and Qingdao. Data were collected from June 2017 to July 2018. The perception of the urban built environment was assessed by the neighborhood environment walkability scale-abbreviated (NEWS-A), and the physical activity was assessed by the International Physical Activity Questionnaire. Generalized linear mixed models were used to explore the relationship between the perceived built environment and leisure-time physical activities.Results:A total of 3 789 participants were included in the analysis. After adjusting for potential confounders, better access to public services ( OR=1.34, 95% CI: 1.02-1.75) and higher aesthetic quality ( OR=1.37, 95% CI: 1.09-1.73) were positively associated with the possibility of engaging in leisure-time physical activity in the past week. Similarly, these two attributes were positively associated with leisure-time walking. Higher scores on the perception of street connectivity were positively associated with leisure-time walking [ exp( β)=1.09, 95% CI: 1.00-1.19]. Higher residential density [ exp( β)=1.000 4, 95% CI:1.000 0-1.000 8], better access to physical activity destinations[ exp( β)=1.09, 95% CI: 1.00-1.19], and better aesthetics [ exp( β)=1.11, 95% CI:1.00-1.22] were associated with higher leisure-time physical activity. Similarly, these three attributes were positively associated with the possibility of meeting the WHO recommendations. Conclusion:Changing some urban built environment attributes may increase leisure-time physical activity.
8.Study on Improvement of the Quality Standard for Bidouyan Granule
Hong ZHOU ; Zhifu YANG ; Xiaopeng SHI ; Aidong WEN ; Jinyi CAO
China Pharmacist 2018;21(1):162-164
Objective:To establish the quality standard for Bidouyan granule .Methods: Scutellariae radix and Magnoloae flos were identified by TLC.The content of baicalin was determined by HPLC with a Kromasi 1 C18 column (250 mm ×4.6 mm,5 μm). The mobile phase consisted of methanol-water-phosphoric acid (45:55:0.2) at a flow rate of 1.0 ml· min-1, and the injection volume was 10μl.The detection wavelength was 280 nm and the column temperature was 30℃.Results:The spots in TLC were clear without any interference.The linear range of baicalin was 10.06 μg· ml-1-100.60 μg· ml-1 (r =1.0000).The average recovery was 96.3%,and RSD was 0.7%(n=6).Conclusion:The method is simple and specific with good repeatability , which can be used for the quality control of Bidouyan granule .
9.Improvement of Quality Standard forAidi B Capsules
Chao ZHAO ; Yan LI ; Xiaodan BAI ; Zhifu YANG ; Aidong WEN ; Jinyi CAO
China Pharmacist 2018;21(2):351-353
Objective:To establish the quality standard for Aidi B capsules.Methods:Astragalus membranaceus,Fallopia multi-flora and Gastrodiae elata were identified by TLC qualitatively.The content of gastrodin was determined by HPLC.The chromatographic separation was carried out on an Eclipse Plus C18column (250 mm ×4.6 mm,5 μm). The mobile phase consisted of acetonitrile-0.05% phosphoric acid solution (2:98) at a flow rate of 1.0 ml·min-1.The detection wavelength and the column temperature was 220 nm and 25℃,respectively.Results:The spots in TLC were clear without any interference.The linear range of gastrodin was 8.532-208.8 μg·ml-1(r=1.000 0),and the average recovery was 100.30%(RSD=0.37%,n=6).Conclusion:The method is simple with good repeatability,which can be used for the quality control of Aidi B capsules.
10.Quality Standard Improvement for Shenzhi Xiaoping Capsules
Wei ZHANG ; Ruili LI ; Jinyi CAO ; Qun DU ; Yan ZHANG ; Zhifu YANG ; Aidong WEN ; Minna YAO
China Pharmacist 2018;21(10):1888-1891
Objective: To establish the quality standard for Shenzhi Xiaoping capsules. Methods: The characteristics of Astragali Radix were identified by microscopy. TLC was adopted to identify Astragali Radix, Fructus Aurantii and Glycyrrhiza uralensis. The con-tent of ginsenoside Rb1in Panax ginseng was determined by HPLC. Results: The microscopic characteristics were obvious. The TLC spots were clear with highly specific identification and good separation. The linear range of ginsenoside Rb1was 47. 06-376. 5 μg· ml-1(r=0. 999 9), and the average recovery was 102. 7% with the RSD of 1. 1% (n=6). Conclusion: The method is simple and specific, which can be used for the quality control of Shenzhi Xiaoping capsules.

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