1.Influencing factors for the willingness to receive pneumococcal vaccine among middle-aged and elderly population in Zhejiang Province
XU Yanping ; YAN Xiaotong ; YAO Dingming ; XU Yue ; ZHANG Xuehai ; SUN Jie ; XU Jinhang
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(9):881-885
Objective:
To investigate the willingness to receive the pneumococcal vaccine and its influencing factors among middle-aged and elderly population in Zhejiang Province, so as to provide a basis for increasing the vaccination rate of pueumococcal among middle-aged and elderly population.
Methods:
From March to May 2024, a multi-stage random sampling method was employed to recruit residents aged ≥50 years from 35 counties (cities or districts) in Zhejiang Province. Data on basic information, knowledge of pneumonia, pneumococcal vaccine, and willingness to receive pneumococcal vaccine were collected through questionnaire surveys. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze influencing factors for the willingness to receive pneumococcal vaccine among middle-aged and elderly population.
Results:
A total of 10 500 middle-aged and elderly population were surveyed. Among them, there were 5 202 males, accounting for 49.54%, and 5 298 females, accounting for 50.46%. The mean age was (65.11±9.05) years. Of the participants, 7 732 individuals were aware of pneumonia, accounting for 73.64%. A total of 1 724 individuals had received pneumococcal vaccine, corresponding to a vaccination rate of 16.42%. Furthermore, 5 138 participants expressed willingness to receive pneumococcal vaccine, with a willingness rate of 48.93%. The multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that middle-aged and elderly population aged ≥60 years (60-<70 years, OR=1.577, 95%CI: 1.433-1.736; ≥70 years, OR=2.110, 95%CI: 1.918-2.321), those with a history of chronic diseases (OR=1.250, 95%CI: 1.154-1.353), those who were recommended to receive the pneumonia vaccine by doctors (OR=4.896, 95%CI: 4.507-5.318), those who were aware of pneumonia (OR=1.460, 95%CI: 1.338-1.594), those who were aware that the elderly are prone to pneumonia (OR=1.490, 95%CI: 1.375-1.614), those who were aware of the causes of pneumonia (OR=1.559, 95%CI: 1.434-1.694), those who were aware that vaccination can prevent pneumonia (OR=2.196, 95%CI: 2.031-2.375), and those who were aware of the immunization schedule for pneumonia vaccine (OR=1.897, 95%CI: 1.683-2.124) had a higher willingness to receive pneumonia vaccine.
Conclusions
The willingness of middle-aged and elderly population in Zhejiang Province to receive pneumonia vaccine is related to age, history of chronic diseases, awareness of pneumonia, and awareness of pneumonia vaccine. It is recommended to strengthen health education on pneumonia and pneumonia vaccine for middle-aged and elderly population, in order to increase the willingness to receive the vaccine and vaccination rate.
2.Risk factors predicting postoperative permanent hypoparathyroidism in patients undergoing total thyroidectomy for thyroid cancer
Tianhao ZHANG ; Zhiwei HAO ; Jie AN ; Jin LI ; Jinhang LI ; Zhanwu JIANG
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2025;40(10):784-788
Objective:To investigate risk factors for permanent hypoparathyroidism (PHPP) after total thyroidectomy in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC).Methods:The clinical data of 316 DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy at our hospital from Jan 2020 to Jan 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into normal parathyroid function group (284 cases) and hypoparathyroidism group (32 cases) according to whether parathyroid function was decreased. The clinical examination, intraoperative conditions and postoperative pathological data of the two groups were statistically analyzed.Results:Logistic regression analysis showed that: serum calcium on the first postoperative day ( OR=0.163, P<0.05), parathyroid hormon (PTH) on the first postoperative day ( OR=0.958, P<0.05), bilateral lymph node dissection ( OR=3.138, P<0.05), accidental resection of parathyroid (PG) ( OR=2.614, P<0.05), posterior capsule tumor invasion ( OR=3.336, P<0.05) and multiple cancer foci ( OR=2.664, P<0.05) were independent risk factors for PHPP after total thyroidectomy. Conclusion:Postoperative day 1 serum calcium, postoperative day 1 PTH, bilateral lymph node dissection, accidental resection of PG, posterior capsule invasion and multiple cancer foci are independent risk factors for PHPP after total thyroidectomy.
3.Construction and validation of the prediction model for the metastasis risk of right-sided LN-prRLN in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma at cN 0 stage
Tianhao ZHANG ; Zhiwei HAO ; Jie AN ; Jin LI ; Jinhang LI ; Zhanwu JIANG
Cancer Research and Clinic 2025;37(8):577-583
Objective:To investigate the factors influencing the metastasis of right-sided lymph nodes posterior to right recurrent laryngeal nerve (LN-prRLN) in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) at cN 0 stage, to construct a nomogram prediction model for metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN in patients with PTMC at cN 0 stage and to provide the decision reference for the dissection of right-sided LN-prRLN. Methods:A retrospective case-controlled study was conducted. The clinical data of patients receiving right-sided LN-prRLN dissection in Baoding No.1 Central Hospital between January 2023 and June 2024 were collected. All patients were divided into the metastatic group and the normal group according to whether metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN would happen after the postoperative pathological examination. The differences in the clinicopathological characteristics between the 2 groups were compared, and multivariate logistic regression model was used to screen out the independent risk factors influencing right-sided LN-prRLN. A nomogram prediction model for metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN based on independent risk factors was built; taking the postoperative pathological examination results as the gold standard, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the efficacy of the model in determining the metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN. Bootstrap internal validation method was used for random sampling to calculate the consistency index (CI) of the model. The calibration curves and clinical decision curves were drawn to respectively verify the calibration degree of the model and the clinical application ability of the model.Results:All 235 patients included 57 males (24.3%) and 178 females (75.7%). The age was (39±13) years old and 47 cases (20.0%) out of 235 patients had the metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN. The proportion of patients characterized by male, right-sided tumors, tumor diameter > 0.5 cm, extrathyroidal invasion, metastasis of right-sided lymph nodes anterior to right recurrent laryngeal nerve (LN-arRLN) in the metastatic group was higher than that in the normal group, and the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that male ( OR = 3.705, 95% CI: 1.133-12.116, P = 0.030), right-sided tumors ( OR = 5.610, 95% CI: 1.811-17.381, P = 0.003), the increased tumor diameter ( OR = 3.504, 95% CI: 1.169-10.507, P = 0.025), extrathyroidal invasion ( OR = 2.812, 95% CI: 1.026-7.708, P = 0.044) and right-sided LN-arRLN metastasis ( OR = 10.522, 95% CI: 3.237-34.199, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors of the metastasis of LN-prRLN in PTMC patients at cN 0 stage; based on the above independent risk factors, a nomogram prediction model was established. The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve of the nomogram prediction model for determining the metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN in PTMC patients at cN 0 stage was 0.864 (95% CI: 0.794-0.935), Youden index was 0.735, the optimal cut-off value was 4.562, the corresponding sensitivity was 87.0%, and the corresponding specificity was 86.5%, which indicated a high predictive value of the nomogram model. Bootstrap test internal validation showed that the CI was 0.810 (95% CI: 0.763-0.917). Calibration curves showed that bias-corrected line was close to the ideal line, indicating a good consistency ( P = 0.347). Decision curve showed a good clinical efficacy. Conclusions:Male, right-sided tumors, the increased tumor diameter, extrathyroidal invasion and right-sided LN-arRLN metastasis are independent risk factors for right-sided LN-prRLN metastases in patients with PTMC at cN 0 stage. The nomogram prediction model based on the above factors has a good predictive performance, which is helpful for surgeons to make clinical decisions.
4.Analysis of influenza vaccination intention and influencing factors among urban and rural residents aged ≥50 in Zhejiang Province, in 2024
Yusui ZHAO ; Jinhang XU ; Yue XU ; Xiaotong YAN ; Dingming YAO ; Heni CHEN ; Xiujing HU ; Xuehai ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2025;19(1):36-42
Objective:To analyze the intention to receive influenza vaccination and its associated factors among urban and rural residents aged≥50 in Zhejiang Province, China, in 2024.Methods:This cross-sectional study was conducted between March and May 2024 through a multi-stage intercept survey in 35 counties (cities, districts) selected from a total of 90 in Zhejiang Province, involving 175 communities/villages. The survey targeted residents visiting local hospitals and community health service centers/community health clinics. The questionnaire included basic demographic information, knowledge related to influenza prevention and treatment, chronic disease status, history of influenza vaccination, and intention to vaccinate. Urban and rural residents were classified based on their registered residence, according to the "Rules for Compilation of Statistical Regional Code and Urban-Rural Division Code" issued by the National Bureau of Statistics. Chi-square tests, ANOVA, and multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyze the factors influencing the intention to receive the influenza vaccine.Results:A total of 10 500 participants were surveyed, comprising 4 885 rural residents (46.52%) and 5 615 urban residents (53.48%). Of these, 3 430 rural residents (70.21%) and 3 718 urban residents (66.22%) expressed intention to receive the influenza vaccine. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that for rural residents aged≥50, younger age groups (50-59 years: OR=1.747, 95% CI: 1.290-2.366; 60-69 years: OR=1.838, 95% CI: 1.401-2.411), history of influenza vaccination ( OR=6.721, 95% CI: 5.152-8.767), doctor′s recommendation for vaccination ( OR=3.788, 95% CI: 3.078-4.662), and higher scores on knowledge related to influenza prevention and treatment ( OR=1.090, 95% CI: 1.054-1.128) were significant promoting factors for vaccination intent. For urban residents aged≥50, belonging to the 60-69 age group ( OR=1.264, 95% CI: 1.023-1.563), history of influenza vaccination ( OR=5.392, 95% CI: 4.309-6.748), doctor′s recommendation for vaccination ( OR=5.307, 95% CI: 4.420-6.371), and higher scores on knowledge related to influenza prevention and treatment ( OR=1.051, 95% CI: 1.021-1.082) were significant promoting factors for vaccination intent. Conclusions:The intention to receive the influenza vaccination is notably high among residents aged≥50 in both urban and rural areas of Zhejiang Province, yet there remains potential for improvement. Age, history of influenza vaccination, doctor recommendation, and knowledge related to influenza prevention and treatment are significant factors influencing the intention to receive the influenza vaccination.
5.Pneumococcal vaccination rate and influencing factors among residents aged≥50 in Zhejiang Province
Xiaotong YAN ; Yue XU ; Xuehai ZHANG ; Yusui ZHAO ; Dingming YAO ; Qiaohong LÜ ; Heni CHEN ; Jinhang XU
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2025;19(7):543-549
Objective:To analyze the pneumococcal vaccination rate and the influencing factors among residents aged≥50 in Zhejiang Province.Methods:This cross-sectional study was conducted between March and May 2024. A multi-stage intercept survey was used to intercept and survey 10 500 residents who visited or underwent physical examinations at 175 community health service centers/clinics in 35 counties (cities, districts) of Zhejiang Province. The questionnaire included basic demographic characteristics, history of pneumonia, chronic disease conditions, pneumococcal vaccination status, doctor recommendation, reasons for vaccination/non-vaccination, and channels for obtaining pneumococcal vaccine information. Participants were grouped based on demographic characteristics, chronic diseases conditions, history of pneumonia and doctor recommendations. The chi-square test was used to assess differences in vaccination rates among demographic groups while binary logistic regression models were used to identify factors affecting the vaccination rate.Results:Among the 10 500 surveyed participants, 1 724 (16.42%) had received pneumococcal vaccination. Binary logistic regression analysis revealed significantly higher vaccination rates among those who received a doctor recommendation compared to those without (26.25% vs 7.59%; OR=4.414, 95% CI: 3.851-5.059). Participants benefiting from the free vaccination policy showed higher vaccination rates than those who didn′t (47.59% vs 5.18%; OR=12.527, 95% CI: 10.723-14.634). The top three reasons for getting vaccinated against pneumonia were the free vaccination policy (65.43%), community promotion (52.15%), and family recommendations (42.34%). The top three sources through which respondents learned about the pneumococcal vaccine were television (64.64%), doctors (59.81%) and family members (50.92%). Conclusion:The pneumococcal vaccination rate among residents aged≥50 years in Zhejiang Province is relatively high but still needs further improvement, with vaccination rates closely associated with factors such as free vaccination policy and doctor recommendation.
6.Analysis of influenza vaccination intention and influencing factors among urban and rural residents aged ≥50 in Zhejiang Province, in 2024
Yusui ZHAO ; Jinhang XU ; Yue XU ; Xiaotong YAN ; Dingming YAO ; Heni CHEN ; Xiujing HU ; Xuehai ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2025;19(1):36-42
Objective:To analyze the intention to receive influenza vaccination and its associated factors among urban and rural residents aged≥50 in Zhejiang Province, China, in 2024.Methods:This cross-sectional study was conducted between March and May 2024 through a multi-stage intercept survey in 35 counties (cities, districts) selected from a total of 90 in Zhejiang Province, involving 175 communities/villages. The survey targeted residents visiting local hospitals and community health service centers/community health clinics. The questionnaire included basic demographic information, knowledge related to influenza prevention and treatment, chronic disease status, history of influenza vaccination, and intention to vaccinate. Urban and rural residents were classified based on their registered residence, according to the "Rules for Compilation of Statistical Regional Code and Urban-Rural Division Code" issued by the National Bureau of Statistics. Chi-square tests, ANOVA, and multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyze the factors influencing the intention to receive the influenza vaccine.Results:A total of 10 500 participants were surveyed, comprising 4 885 rural residents (46.52%) and 5 615 urban residents (53.48%). Of these, 3 430 rural residents (70.21%) and 3 718 urban residents (66.22%) expressed intention to receive the influenza vaccine. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that for rural residents aged≥50, younger age groups (50-59 years: OR=1.747, 95% CI: 1.290-2.366; 60-69 years: OR=1.838, 95% CI: 1.401-2.411), history of influenza vaccination ( OR=6.721, 95% CI: 5.152-8.767), doctor′s recommendation for vaccination ( OR=3.788, 95% CI: 3.078-4.662), and higher scores on knowledge related to influenza prevention and treatment ( OR=1.090, 95% CI: 1.054-1.128) were significant promoting factors for vaccination intent. For urban residents aged≥50, belonging to the 60-69 age group ( OR=1.264, 95% CI: 1.023-1.563), history of influenza vaccination ( OR=5.392, 95% CI: 4.309-6.748), doctor′s recommendation for vaccination ( OR=5.307, 95% CI: 4.420-6.371), and higher scores on knowledge related to influenza prevention and treatment ( OR=1.051, 95% CI: 1.021-1.082) were significant promoting factors for vaccination intent. Conclusions:The intention to receive the influenza vaccination is notably high among residents aged≥50 in both urban and rural areas of Zhejiang Province, yet there remains potential for improvement. Age, history of influenza vaccination, doctor recommendation, and knowledge related to influenza prevention and treatment are significant factors influencing the intention to receive the influenza vaccination.
7.Pneumococcal vaccination rate and influencing factors among residents aged≥50 in Zhejiang Province
Xiaotong YAN ; Yue XU ; Xuehai ZHANG ; Yusui ZHAO ; Dingming YAO ; Qiaohong LÜ ; Heni CHEN ; Jinhang XU
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2025;19(7):543-549
Objective:To analyze the pneumococcal vaccination rate and the influencing factors among residents aged≥50 in Zhejiang Province.Methods:This cross-sectional study was conducted between March and May 2024. A multi-stage intercept survey was used to intercept and survey 10 500 residents who visited or underwent physical examinations at 175 community health service centers/clinics in 35 counties (cities, districts) of Zhejiang Province. The questionnaire included basic demographic characteristics, history of pneumonia, chronic disease conditions, pneumococcal vaccination status, doctor recommendation, reasons for vaccination/non-vaccination, and channels for obtaining pneumococcal vaccine information. Participants were grouped based on demographic characteristics, chronic diseases conditions, history of pneumonia and doctor recommendations. The chi-square test was used to assess differences in vaccination rates among demographic groups while binary logistic regression models were used to identify factors affecting the vaccination rate.Results:Among the 10 500 surveyed participants, 1 724 (16.42%) had received pneumococcal vaccination. Binary logistic regression analysis revealed significantly higher vaccination rates among those who received a doctor recommendation compared to those without (26.25% vs 7.59%; OR=4.414, 95% CI: 3.851-5.059). Participants benefiting from the free vaccination policy showed higher vaccination rates than those who didn′t (47.59% vs 5.18%; OR=12.527, 95% CI: 10.723-14.634). The top three reasons for getting vaccinated against pneumonia were the free vaccination policy (65.43%), community promotion (52.15%), and family recommendations (42.34%). The top three sources through which respondents learned about the pneumococcal vaccine were television (64.64%), doctors (59.81%) and family members (50.92%). Conclusion:The pneumococcal vaccination rate among residents aged≥50 years in Zhejiang Province is relatively high but still needs further improvement, with vaccination rates closely associated with factors such as free vaccination policy and doctor recommendation.
8.Risk factors predicting postoperative permanent hypoparathyroidism in patients undergoing total thyroidectomy for thyroid cancer
Tianhao ZHANG ; Zhiwei HAO ; Jie AN ; Jin LI ; Jinhang LI ; Zhanwu JIANG
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2025;40(10):784-788
Objective:To investigate risk factors for permanent hypoparathyroidism (PHPP) after total thyroidectomy in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC).Methods:The clinical data of 316 DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy at our hospital from Jan 2020 to Jan 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into normal parathyroid function group (284 cases) and hypoparathyroidism group (32 cases) according to whether parathyroid function was decreased. The clinical examination, intraoperative conditions and postoperative pathological data of the two groups were statistically analyzed.Results:Logistic regression analysis showed that: serum calcium on the first postoperative day ( OR=0.163, P<0.05), parathyroid hormon (PTH) on the first postoperative day ( OR=0.958, P<0.05), bilateral lymph node dissection ( OR=3.138, P<0.05), accidental resection of parathyroid (PG) ( OR=2.614, P<0.05), posterior capsule tumor invasion ( OR=3.336, P<0.05) and multiple cancer foci ( OR=2.664, P<0.05) were independent risk factors for PHPP after total thyroidectomy. Conclusion:Postoperative day 1 serum calcium, postoperative day 1 PTH, bilateral lymph node dissection, accidental resection of PG, posterior capsule invasion and multiple cancer foci are independent risk factors for PHPP after total thyroidectomy.
9.Construction and validation of the prediction model for the metastasis risk of right-sided LN-prRLN in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma at cN 0 stage
Tianhao ZHANG ; Zhiwei HAO ; Jie AN ; Jin LI ; Jinhang LI ; Zhanwu JIANG
Cancer Research and Clinic 2025;37(8):577-583
Objective:To investigate the factors influencing the metastasis of right-sided lymph nodes posterior to right recurrent laryngeal nerve (LN-prRLN) in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) at cN 0 stage, to construct a nomogram prediction model for metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN in patients with PTMC at cN 0 stage and to provide the decision reference for the dissection of right-sided LN-prRLN. Methods:A retrospective case-controlled study was conducted. The clinical data of patients receiving right-sided LN-prRLN dissection in Baoding No.1 Central Hospital between January 2023 and June 2024 were collected. All patients were divided into the metastatic group and the normal group according to whether metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN would happen after the postoperative pathological examination. The differences in the clinicopathological characteristics between the 2 groups were compared, and multivariate logistic regression model was used to screen out the independent risk factors influencing right-sided LN-prRLN. A nomogram prediction model for metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN based on independent risk factors was built; taking the postoperative pathological examination results as the gold standard, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the efficacy of the model in determining the metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN. Bootstrap internal validation method was used for random sampling to calculate the consistency index (CI) of the model. The calibration curves and clinical decision curves were drawn to respectively verify the calibration degree of the model and the clinical application ability of the model.Results:All 235 patients included 57 males (24.3%) and 178 females (75.7%). The age was (39±13) years old and 47 cases (20.0%) out of 235 patients had the metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN. The proportion of patients characterized by male, right-sided tumors, tumor diameter > 0.5 cm, extrathyroidal invasion, metastasis of right-sided lymph nodes anterior to right recurrent laryngeal nerve (LN-arRLN) in the metastatic group was higher than that in the normal group, and the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that male ( OR = 3.705, 95% CI: 1.133-12.116, P = 0.030), right-sided tumors ( OR = 5.610, 95% CI: 1.811-17.381, P = 0.003), the increased tumor diameter ( OR = 3.504, 95% CI: 1.169-10.507, P = 0.025), extrathyroidal invasion ( OR = 2.812, 95% CI: 1.026-7.708, P = 0.044) and right-sided LN-arRLN metastasis ( OR = 10.522, 95% CI: 3.237-34.199, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors of the metastasis of LN-prRLN in PTMC patients at cN 0 stage; based on the above independent risk factors, a nomogram prediction model was established. The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve of the nomogram prediction model for determining the metastasis of right-sided LN-prRLN in PTMC patients at cN 0 stage was 0.864 (95% CI: 0.794-0.935), Youden index was 0.735, the optimal cut-off value was 4.562, the corresponding sensitivity was 87.0%, and the corresponding specificity was 86.5%, which indicated a high predictive value of the nomogram model. Bootstrap test internal validation showed that the CI was 0.810 (95% CI: 0.763-0.917). Calibration curves showed that bias-corrected line was close to the ideal line, indicating a good consistency ( P = 0.347). Decision curve showed a good clinical efficacy. Conclusions:Male, right-sided tumors, the increased tumor diameter, extrathyroidal invasion and right-sided LN-arRLN metastasis are independent risk factors for right-sided LN-prRLN metastases in patients with PTMC at cN 0 stage. The nomogram prediction model based on the above factors has a good predictive performance, which is helpful for surgeons to make clinical decisions.
10.To establish and validate a nomogram prediction model for the risk factors of central lymph node metastasis in patients with capsular invasion of papillary thyroid carcinoma
Tianhao ZHANG ; Zhiwei HAO ; Jie AN ; Jin LI ; Jinhang LI ; Zhanwu JIANG
Chinese Archives of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery 2024;31(6):351-355
OBJECTIVE To investigate the related factors of central lymph node metastasis(CLNM)in papillary thyroid carcinoma(PTC)with capsular invasion,and to construct a clinical nomogram prediction model.Its purpose is to provide theoretical basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment.METHODS The clinical data of PTC patients with capsule invasion admitted to the Department of General Surgery,Baoding First Central Hospital from October,2020 to October,2023 were retrospectively analyzed.The data included gender,age,body mass index(BMI),aspect ratio,tumor location,multifocality,microcalcification,Hashimoto thyroiditis(HT)and tumor diameter.According to the presence or absence of CLNM,the patients were divided into the normal group(107 cases)and the metastasis group(108 cases).Univariate and multivariate analysis of the data were performed to construct a visual nomogram prediction model,and the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was drawn to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of the model.The nomogram model was internally verified using a Bootstrap test with 1000 repeated samples.Consistency index(C-index)and calibration curve were used to describe the prediction performance and prediction accuracy of the model.Finally,the clinical decision curve(DCA)was drawn to determine the clinical application ability of the model.RESULTS A total of 215 PTC patients with capsular invasion were included,of whom 108(50.23%)had CLNM.Univariate analysis showed that the occurrence of CLNM was associated with tumor diameter,aspect ratio>1,tumor located in the lower pole,multifocality,and HT(P<0.05).Multivariate regression analysis showed that tumor diameter,aspect ratio>1,tumor located in the lower pole and multifocus were independent risk factors for CLNM(OR=1.401,1.875,2.291,2.303,P<0.05),and HT was a protective factor for CLNM(OR=0.501,P<0.05).Based on the above risk factors,a nomogram prediction model for CLNM in patients with PTC with capsule invasion was constructed.The ROC curves showed that the area under the curve(AUC)was 0.859(95%CI:0.792-0.925,Yoden Index was 0.734,the sensitivity was 0.878,a specificity was 0.856),and the model had higher predictive value.Internal validation consistency index(C-index)was 0.83(95%CI,0.748 to 0.959).The calibration curve showed that the predictive value was close to the ideal curve,and it had good consistency.The DCA curve showed that the model had good clinical efficacy.CONCLUSION Larger tumor size,aspect ratio>1,tumor located in the lower pole and multifocality suggest higher risk of CLNM in PTC with capsular invasion,while HT is a protective factor for CLNM.The nomogram model based on the above risk factors has high discrimination and calibration,which is helpful for clinicians in preoperative evaluation and intraoperative exploration,so that high-risk patients can be prevented and treated as soon as possible.


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