Objective To compare the performance and efficacy of prognostic models constructed by different machine learning algorithms in predicting the survival period of lung transplantation (LTx) recipients. Methods Data from 483 recipients who underwent LTx were retrospectively collected. All recipients were divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3. The 24 collected variables were screened based on variable importance (VIMP). Prognostic models were constructed using random survival forest (RSF) and extreme gradient boosting tree (XGBoost). The performance of the models was evaluated using the integrated area under the curve (iAUC) and time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC). Results There were no significant statistical differences in the variables between the training set and the validation set. The top 15 variables ranked by VIMP were used for modeling and the length of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) was determined as the most important factor. Compared with the XGBoost model, the RSF model demonstrated better performance in predicting the survival period of recipients (iAUC 0.773 vs. 0.723). The RSF model also showed better performance in predicting the 6-month survival period (tAUC _{6 months} 0.884 vs. 0.809, P = 0.009) and 1-year survival period (tAUC _{1 year} 0.896 vs. 0.825, P = 0.013) of recipients. Based on the prediction cut-off values of the two algorithms, LTx recipients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. The survival analysis results of both models showed that the survival rate of recipients in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the low-risk group (P<0.001). Conclusions Compared with XGBoost, the machine learning prognostic model developed based on the RSF algorithm may preferably predict the survival period of LTx recipients.

OBJECTIVE To establish a multi-dimensional value assessment framework for new antidiabetic drugs based on multi-criteria decision analysis theory， thus providing a theoretical framework and methodology for evidence-informed medical insurance decision-making. METHODS Firstly， multi-dimensional evidence was searched and obtained to provide reliable data for the establishment of the framework. Secondly， in terms of the obtained evidence， the value assessment framework was preliminarily constructed. Its structure， main core criteria， and contextual criteria were determined through focus group discussion. Finally， the criteria and sub-criteria of the framework and their weights were further determined， reasons for inclusion of sub-criteria and the reasonableness of rating scores were evaluated， and methods of assessment were optimized through expert consultation. RESULTS The multi-dimensional value assessment framework for new antidiabetic drugs was composed of core criteria and contextualized criteria， which could be used for quantitative and qualitative value assessment of new drugs， respectively. The core criteria consisted of five dimensions， with affordability （6.31） having the highest weighting score， followed by comparative effectiveness （6.20）， comparative safety （6.01）， cost-effectiveness （5.89）， and quality of evidence （5.46）. After the normalization of weight within sub-criteria， the budget impact on medical insurance had the highest standardized weight， followed by the control of glycated hemoglobin and patient affordability. The contextual criteria included two dimensions， i. e.， innovation and equity. CONCLUSIONS The assessment framework integrates evidence， stakeholders’ values， and decision contexts to enable a multi- dimensional and evidence-based assessment of the value of new antidiabetic drugs.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the therapeutic mechanism of compound Centella asiatica formula (CCA) for alleviating Schistosoma japonicum (Sj)-induced liver fibrosis in mice. METHODS: The active components and targets of CCA were identified using the TCMSP database with cross-analysis of Sj-related liver fibrosis targets. A "drug-component-target-pathway-disease" network was constructed using Cytoscape 3.9.1. Functional enrichment analysis (GO/KEGG) was performed using DAVID. Molecular docking study was carried out to validate interactions between the core targets and the key compounds. For experimental validation of the results, 36 mice were divided into control group, Sj-infected model group, and CCA-treated groups. In the latter two groups, liver fibrosis was induced via abdominal infection with Sj cercariae for 8 weeks, followed by 8 weeks of daily treatment with CCA decoction or saline. Hepatic pathology of the mice was assessedwith HE and Masson staining, and hepatic expressions of collagen-I and collagen-III were detected using immunohistochemistry; serum IL-6 and TNF-α levels were determined with ELISA. Hepatic expressions of TLR4 and MyD88 proteins were analyzed with Western blotting. RESULTS: We identified a total of 107 bioactive CCA components and 791 targets, including 37 intersection targets linked to Sj-induced fibrosis. The core targets included TNF, TP53, JUN, MMP9, and CXCL8, involving the IL-17 signaling, lipid metabolism, TLR4/MyD88 axis, and cancer pathways. Molecular docking study confirmed strong binding affinity between quercetin (a primary CCA component) and TNF/TP53/JUN/MMP9. In Sj-infected mouse models, CCA treatment significantly attenuated hepatic inflammatory cell infiltration, reduced collagen-I and collagen-III deposition, improved tissue architecture, reduced serum IL-6 and TNF-α levels, and downregulated TLR4 and MyD88 expressions in the liver. CONCLUSIONS CCA mitigates Sj-induced liver fibrosis by targeting TNF, TP53, JUN, and MMP9 to modulate the TLR4/MyD88 pathway, thereby suppressing pro-inflammatory cytokine release, inhibiting hepatic stellate cell activation, reducing collagen deposition, and preventing granuloma formation in the liver.
Animals ; Toll-Like Receptor 4/metabolism* ; Mice ; Myeloid Differentiation Factor 88/metabolism* ; Schistosoma japonicum ; Liver Cirrhosis/parasitology* ; Schistosomiasis japonica ; Signal Transduction ; Molecular Docking Simulation ; Inflammation ; Centella/chemistry* ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal/pharmacology* ; Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/metabolism*

Objective In recent decades,China has implemented a series of policies to address air pollution.We aimed to assess the health effects of these policies on stroke burden attributable to ambient fine particulate matter(PM2.5). Methods Joinpoint regression was applied to explore the temporal tendency of stroke burden based on data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. Results The age-standardized rates of disability-adjusted life year(DALY)for stroke attributable to ambient PM2.5 in China,increased dramatically during 1990-2012,subsequently decreased at an annual percentage change(APC)of-1.98[95%confidence interval(CI):-2.26,-1.71]during 2012-2019.For ischemic stroke(IS),the age-standardized DALY rates doubled from 1990 to 2014,and decreased at an APC of-0.83(95%CI:-1.33,-0.33)during 2014-2019.Intracerebral hemorrhage(ICH)showed a substantial increase in age-standardized DALY rates from 1990 to 2003,followed by declining trends,with APCs of-1.46(95%CI:-2.74,-0.16)during 2003-2007 and-3.33(95%CI:-3.61,-3.06)during 2011-2019,respectively.Conversely,the age-standardized DALY rates for subarachnoid hemorrhage(SAH)generally declined during 1990-2019. Conclusion Our results clarified the dynamic changes of the ambient PM2.5-attributable stroke burden in China during 1990-2019,highlighting the health effects of air quality improvement policies.

Objective To analyze the influencing factors of survival of patients with airway stenosis requiring clinical interventions after lung transplantation. Methods Clinical data of 66 patients with airway stenosis requiring clinical interventions after lung transplantation were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox’s regression models were adopted to analyze the influencing factors of survival of all patients with airway stenosis and those with early airway stenosis. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the overall survival and delineate the survival curve. Results For 66 patients with airway stenosis, the median airway stenosis-free time was 72 (52,102) d, 27% (18/66) for central airway stenosis and 73% (48/66) for distal airway stenosis. Postoperative mechanical ventilation time [hazard ratio (HR) 1.037, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.005-1.070, P=0.024] and type of surgery (HR 0.400, 95%CI 0.177-0.903, P=0.027) were correlated with the survival of patients with airway stenosis after lung transplantation. The longer the postoperative mechanical ventilation time, the higher the risk of mortality of the recipients. The overall survival of airway stenosis recipients undergoing bilateral lung transplantation was better than that of their counterparts after single lung transplantation. Subgroup analysis showed that grade 3 primary graft dysfunction (PGD) (HR 4.577, 95%CI 1.439-14.555, P=0.010) and immunosuppressive drugs (HR 0.079, 95%CI 0.022-0.287, P<0.001) were associated with the survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation. The overall survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation without grade 3 PGD was better compared with that of those with grade 3 PGD. The overall survival of patients with early airway stenosis after lung transplantation treated with tacrolimus was superior to that of their counterparts treated with cyclosporine. Conclusions Long postoperative mechanical ventilation time, single lung transplantation, grade 3 PGD and use of cyclosporine may affect the survival of patients with airway stenosis after lung transplantation.

Objective To summarize the effect of the timing of lung transplantation and related treatment measures on clinical prognosis of patients with paraquat poisoning. Methods Clinical data of a patient with paraquat poisoning undergoing bilateral lung transplantation were retrospectively analyzed. Clinical manifestations, auxiliary examination, diagnosis and treatment of this patient were summarized and analyzed. Results A 17-year-old adolescent was admitted to hospital due to nausea, vomiting, cough and systemic fatigue after oral intake of 20-30 mL of 25% paraquat. After symptomatic support treatment, the oxygen saturation was not improved, and pulmonary fibrosis continued to progress. Therefore, sequential bilateral lung transplantation was performed under extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). After postoperative rehabilitation and active prevention and treatment for postoperative complications, the patient was discharged at postoperative 50 d. Conclusions The timing of lung transplantation after paraquat poisoning may be selected when the liver and kidney function start to recover. Active and targeted prevention of potential pathogen infection in perioperative period and early rehabilitation training contribute to improving clinical prognosis of lung transplant recipients.

Objective To construct and identify a patient-derived organoid model,and to investigate the sensitivity of chemotherapy drugs using this model.Methods Pancreatic cancer cells were obtained from the surgical specimens of two female patients with a confirmed diagnosis of pancreatic cancer after tumor tissue digestion,and then the cells were inoculated into a culture dish using matrigel for three-dimensional culture.Paraffin sections were prepared for HE staining and immunohistochemical staining and were compared with the parent tumor tissue to determine whether the histopathological features of the tumor in vivo were preserved.The pancreatic cancer organoids were treated with seven chemotherapy drugs at different concentrations;Cell Titer-Glo?3D reagent was used to measure cell viability,and the results of drug sensitivity were analyzed.Results Two patient-derived pancreatic cancer organoids were successfully constructed,and HE staining and immunohistochemical staining showed that the pancreatic cancer organoids had consistent histopathological features with the tumors of the corresponding patient.Both pancreatic cancer organoids were more sensitive to gemcitabine monotherapy and the combination of oxaliplatin+SN38+fluorouracil,and patient 1 was more sensitive than patient 2.There were individual differences in the response to drugs between the organoids from different patients.Conclusion The pancreatic cancer organoid model successfully constructed in this study can reflect the histological classification of parent pancreatic tumors and can be used for in vitro chemotherapy drug sensitivity test,which is expected to provide a reference for clinical medication.

Objectives:To finely divide the aortic sinus into sections and accurately localize the coronary ostium through CARTO three-dimensional mapping,and to assess the clinical effects of treating aortic sinus cusps premature ventricular contraction(ASC-PVC)and the ablation risk in the corresponding area with zero X-ray radiofrequency ablation. Methods:A total of 66 patients who underwent radiofrequency ablation for ASC-PVC from January 2020 to January 2023 were included in this analysis,patients were divided into experimental group(n=34)and conventional group(n=32).In the conventional group,the CARTO 3 system was used to create an aortic sinus model through the conventional method.The earliest stimulating target was identified by using electrical stimulation mapping(ESM).Radiofrequency ablation treatment was performed after the distance between the target and the coronary ostium was precisely measured by coronary angiography through the hollow tube of the ablation catheter or coronary angiography tube.In the experimental group,the CARTO 3 system was used to build a model of the aortic sinus and the coronary ostium and aortic sinus were divided into sections.The earliest stimulating target was identified by ESM.After localizing coronary ostium through the impedance changing pattern on the ablation catheter tips,catheter ablation was performed with zero X-ray.The data regarding the impedance of the ablation catheter in the aortic sinus were collected.The total operative time,the operative time in the aortic sinus,contrast dosage,X-ray exposure time,immediate and short-term success rates of the operation and complication rates were compared between the two groups.Besides,the distribution of successfully ablated targets and their relationship with the risk of ablation were analyzed in both groups. Results:There was no significant statistical difference in the immediate and short-term success rates between the two groups(93.8%vs.94.1%;90.6%vs.88.2%,both P>0.05).The experimental group did not receive contrast agents during the operation,and the total operation time and intra-aortic sinus operation time in the experimental group were significantly shorter than those in the conventional group([58.76±4.94]min vs.[66.91±5.94]min,P<0.001;[43.12±4.49]min vs.[50.31±5.18]min,P<0.001).During the process of moving the ablation catheter from the intra-aortic sinus to the coronary artery opening and into the coronary artery,the impedance suddenly increased,which was significantly different from the impedance in other parts of the intra-aortic sinus(all P<0.001). Conclusions:Radiofrequency ablation of ASC-PVC with zero X-ray can simplify the procedures and shorten the operative time.The steep increase in impedance at the tip of the ablation catheter can be used as a basis for localizing the coronary ostium.Dividing the aortic sinus into sections allows a detailed assessment of the risk for ablation treatment at the targets.

Objective:To investigate the risk factors for 1-year survival rate in patients with spinal metastasis secondary to lung cancer.Methods:The data of 343 patients with spinal metastases secondary to lung cancer from January 2011 to December 2018 were retrospectively studied. There were 188 males (54.8%) and 155 females (45.2%) with an average age of 59.47±10.21 years old (range 23-91 years). The patients were divided into operation group (150 cases, 43.7%) and non operation group (193 cases, 56.3%). The demographics, types of primary tumor, non spinal metastasis, visceral metastasis, spinal metastasis and segments, pathological fractures of vertebra, Frankel classification, physical function status (Karnofsky performance scale, KPS), visual analogue score (VAS), the spinal instability neoplastic score (SINS) were recorded and analyzed. The impact of different treatments on the survival prognosis of patients with spinal metastasis was evaluated. The independent factors affecting survival in those patients were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression model.Results:The peak incidence of spinal metastases was found in the age group of 46-60 years (43.7%, 150/343). 38.5% (132/343) of the patients had pathological fractures of the involved vertebral body. 58.3% (200/343) of the patients had extraspinal bone metastasis. 36.2% (124/343) of the patients had visceral metastasis. Among the primary tumors, adenocarcinoma was the most common tpye (61.5%, 211/343), followed by large cell lung cancer (12.5%, 43/343), small cell lung cancer (6.4%, 22/343), squamous cell cancer (6.1%, 21/343) and mixed cell lung cancer (5.3%, 18/343). The type of lung cancer cells in about 8.2 (28/343) patients was unknown. Among the surgical patients, 21 patients underwent minimally invasive surgery (14.0%), 28 patients underwent simple decompression surgery (18.7%), 76 patients underwent separation surgery (50.7%), and 25 patients underwent radical surgery (16.6%). 59.3% (89/150) of the patients had a better neurological function than before surgery. The average survival time of all patients was 9.88 months with the median survival time of 8 (5,14) months. The survival rates were 62.1% (213/343), 30.0% (103/343), and 3.8% (13/343) at 6, 12, and 24 months, respectively. The average survival time of patients in the operation group was 10.24 months with the median survival time of 9 (5, 15) months, and the average survival time of patients in the non operation group was 9.41 months with the median survival time of 7 (5, 13) months with no significant difference between the groups (χ 2=0.300, P=0.584). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis showed that radiotherapy [ HR=1.913, 95% CI(1.471, 2.488), P<0.001], chemotherapy [ HR=1.313, 95% CI(1.040, 1.658), P=0.022], targeted drug therapy [ HR=1.683, 95% CI(1.221, 2.319), P=0.001], KPS [ HR=1.593, 95% CI(1.140, 2.225), P=0.006] and pathological type (non-small cell lung cancer) were independent factors affecting the 1-year survival rate of patients with spinal metastasis secondary to lung cancer [ HR=0.322, 95% CI(0.225, 0.460), P<0.001] with significant difference. Conclusion:Surgical treatment can improve both the neurological function and general status of patients with spinal metastasis. Treatments of radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and targeted drug therapy can significantly improve 1-year survival rate, while a KPS less than 50 points and a primary lung cancer other than adenocarcinoma were independent risk factors reducing 1-year survival rate.

[Purpose]To analyze the epidemic characteristics and survival trends of upper gas-trointestinal cancer in Fujian cancer registration areas from 2011 to 2020.[Methods]Cancer regi-stration data in Fujian Province was collected to calculate the crude incidence and mortality rate,age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese standard population(ASIRC,ASMRC)and by world standard population(ASIRW,ASMRW)and cumulative rate of 0～74 years old of upper gastrointestinal cancer(including esophageal and gastric cancers)as well as the corresponding temporal trends from 2011 to 2020.Using the Joinpoint software to calculate the annual percent-age change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)to analyze the trends.The data were divided into two time periods(2011-2015 and 2016-2020)to compare the 5-year relative survival rates of upper gastrointestinal cancer.[Results]From 2011 to 2020,there were 26 286 new cases of upper gastrointestinal cancer in Fujian cancer registration areas,accounting for 20.28％of all malignant tumors.The incidence rate,ASIRC and ASIRW of upper gastrointestinal cancer was 56.52/105,42.55/105,and 42.75/105,respectively,and the cumulative incidence rate(0～74 years old)was 5.32％.Incidence of upper gastrointestinal cancer was higher in men than that in women.The incidence of upper gastrointestinal cancer showed an decreasing trend from 2011 to 2020,with an AAPC of ASIRC of-4.7％(95％CI:-6.6％～-2.9％).There were 11 680 new cases of esophageal cancer in Fujian cancer registration areas,the crude incidence,ASIRC,ASIRW and cumulative incidence(0～74 years old)of esophageal cancer were 25.12/105,18.67/105,18.97/105,and 2.32％,respectively.There were 14 606 gastric cancer new cases in Fujian cancer registration areas during 2011-2020,the crude mortality,ASMRC,ASIRW and cumulative mortality(0～74 years old)of gastric cancer were 31.41/105,23.88/105,23.78/105,and 3.00％,respectively.There were 20 133 upper gastrointestinal cancer deaths during 2011-2020 in Fujian cancer registration areas,accounting for 26.05％of all cancer deaths.The crude mortality,ASMRC and ASMRW of upper gastrointestinal cancer was 43.29/105,31.95/105,and 31.89/105,respectively,the cumu-lative mortality rate(0～74 years old)was 3.84％.The mortality of upper gastrointestinal cancer was higher in men than that in women.The mortality rate of upper gastrointestinal cancer showed a trend of first increase and then decrease,with an APC of 3.5％(95％CI:-0.5％～11.3％)from 2011 to 2014 and-5.2％(95％CI:-8.4％～3.7％)from 2014 to 2020.There were 9 643 deaths of esophageal cancer during 2011-2020 in Fujian cancer registration areas.The crude mortality,ASMRC,ASMRW and cumulative mortality rate(0～74 years old)of esophageal cancer was 20.74/105,15.20/105,15.35/105,and 1.83％,respectively.There were 10 490 deaths of gastric cancer dur-ing 2011-2020 in Fujian cancer registration areas.The crude mortality,ASMRC,ASMRW and cumulative mortality rate(0～74 years old)of gastric cancer was 22.56/105,16.75/105,16.54/105,and 2.00％,respectively.The 5-year relative survival rate for upper gastrointestinal cancer patients during 2011-2015 and 2016-2020 were 24.74％(95％CI:23.92％～25.56％)and 25.49％(95％CI:24.65％～26.34％),respectively.The 5-year relative survival rate for esophageal cancer patients during 2011-2015 and 2016-2020 were 17.15％(95％CI:16.10％～18.22％)and 18.72％(95％CI:17.59％～19.88％),respectively.The 5-year relative survival rate for gastric cancer patients during 2011-2015 and 2016-2020 were 30.90％(95％CI:29.71％～32.10％)and 30.76％(95％CI:29.56％～31.97％),respectively.There was a decreasing trend in 5-year survival of upper gastroin-testinal patients with increasing age,with lower survival rate in patients over 65 years old.[Con-clusion]The incidence and mortality of upper gastrointestinal cancer in Fujian cancer registration areas showed an overall decreasing trend,and the 5-year relative survival rate improved slightly,while the disease burden of upper gastrointestinal cancer remains heavy.Incidence and mortality of upper gastrointestinal cancer of men were higher than those of women,and the elderly patients with upper gastrointestinal cancer had a poorer prognosis.Fujian should pay close attention to the prevention and control of gastric cancer among key groups,and strengthen its comprehensive pre-vention and control ability of upper gastrointestinal cancer.