1.Development and multicenter validation of machine learning models for predicting postoperative pulmonary complications after neurosurgery.
Ming XU ; Wenhao ZHU ; Siyu HOU ; Hongzhi XU ; Jingwen XIA ; Liyu LIN ; Hao FU ; Mingyu YOU ; Jiafeng WANG ; Zhi XIE ; Xiaohong WEN ; Yingwei WANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(17):2170-2179
BACKGROUND:
Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are major adverse events in neurosurgical patients. This study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models predicting PPCs after neurosurgery.
METHODS:
PPCs were defined according to the European Perioperative Clinical Outcome standards as occurring within 7 postoperative days. Data of cases meeting inclusion/exclusion criteria were extracted from the anesthesia information management system to create three datasets: The development (data of Huashan Hospital, Fudan University from 2018 to 2020), temporal validation (data of Huashan Hospital, Fudan University in 2021) and external validation (data of other three hospitals in 2023) datasets. Machine learning models of six algorithms were trained using either 35 retrievable and plausible features or the 11 features selected by Lasso regression. Temporal validation was conducted for all models and the 11-feature models were also externally validated. Independent risk factors were identified and feature importance in top models was analyzed.
RESULTS:
PPCs occurred in 712 of 7533 (9.5%), 258 of 2824 (9.1%), and 207 of 2300 (9.0%) patients in the development, temporal validation and external validation datasets, respectively. During cross-validation training, all models except Bayes demonstrated good discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.840. In temporal validation of full-feature models, deep neural network (DNN) performed the best with an AUC of 0.835 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.805-0.858) and a Brier score of 0.069, followed by Logistic regression (LR), random forest and XGBoost. The 11-feature models performed comparable to full-feature models with very close but statistically significantly lower AUCs, with the top models of DNN and LR in temporal and external validations. An 11-feature nomogram was drawn based on the LR algorithm and it outperformed the minimally modified Assess respiratory RIsk in Surgical patients in CATalonia (ARISCAT) and Laparoscopic Surgery Video Educational Guidelines (LAS VEGAS) scores with a higher AUC (LR: 0.824, ARISCAT: 0.672, LAS: 0.663). Independent risk factors based on multivariate LR mostly overlapped with Lasso-selected features, but lacked consistency with the important features using the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) method of the LR model.
CONCLUSIONS:
The developed models, especially the DNN model and the nomogram, had good discrimination and calibration, and could be used for predicting PPCs in neurosurgical patients. The establishment of machine learning models and the ascertainment of risk factors might assist clinical decision support for improving surgical outcomes.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
ChiCTR 2100047474; https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.html?proj=128279 .
Adult
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Aged
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Algorithms
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Lung Diseases/etiology*
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Machine Learning
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Neurosurgical Procedures/adverse effects*
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Postoperative Complications/diagnosis*
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Risk Factors
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ROC Curve
2.Study on the prevalence and influencing factors of frailty in older adults with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome
Jingwen SHI ; Xiaopei HOU ; Shangxin LU ; Shan WANG ; Yunli XING ; Wen TANG ; Zhaoxu JIA ; Feng FENG ; Jieqiong HU ; Bing LIU ; Junpeng KAN ; Ying SUN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(8):1100-1106
Objective:To investigate the prevalence and influencing factors of frailty among older adults diagnosed with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome(NSTE-ACS).Methods:We conducted a cross-sectional study involving patients aged 65 years and older with NSTE-ACS, who were admitted to the Cardiology Center and the Department of Geriatrics at Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, between January 2020 and November 2021.Patients were categorized into non-frail, pre-frail, and frail groups based on the FRAIL scale.We collected clinical data, including general health conditions, comorbidities, laboratory results, treatments, and comprehensive geriatric assessments.Logistic regression analysis was employed to identify the influencing factors associated with frailty and pre-frailty in older adults with NSTE-ACS.Results:A total of 528 patients with NSTE-ACS were included in the study, comprising 308 males(58.3%)and 220 females(41.7%). The age range of participants was from 65 to 90 years, with a median age of 72(68, 76)years.The prevalence of frailty among older adults with NSTE-ACS was 11.4%(60/528), while pre-frailty was observed in 51.9%(274/528), and non-frailty in 36.7%(194/528). Compared to the non-frail and pre-frail groups, patients in the frail group were older, had a higher proportion of females, exhibited a greater prevalence of chronic diseases, and presented with elevated inflammatory markers.Additionally, frail patients demonstrated poorer nutritional status and reduced functional ability(all P<0.005). Risk factors for frailty in older adults with NSTE-ACS included older age( OR=1.110, 95% CI: 1.032-1.194, P=0.005), diabetes( OR=2.489, 95% CI: 1.091-5.679, P=0.030), cerebrovascular disease ( OR=4.151, 95% CI: 1.660-10.384, P=0.002), chronic kidney disease ( OR=42.874, 95% CI: 3.957-464.513, P=0.002), and elevated white blood cell levels( OR=1.424, 95% CI: 1.125-1.802, P=0.003). Conversely, being male( OR=0.252, 95% CI: 0.105-0.604, P=0.002)was identified as a protective factor against frailty in this patient population.For pre-frail older adults with NSTE-ACS, identified risk factors included diabetes( OR=1.882, 95% CI: 1.199-2.955, P=0.006), cerebrovascular disease( OR=1.938, 95% CI: 1.176-3.195, P=0.009), and chronic kidney disease ( OR=12.137, 95% CI: 1.536-95.934, P=0.018). Similarly, being male( OR=0.601, 95% CI: 0.376-0.961, P=0.033)was also a protective factor for pre-frailty in older adults with NSTE-ACS. Conclusions:The prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty among older adults with NSTE-ACS is notably high.Common risk factors for frailty and pre-frailty in this population include female gender, diabetes, cerebrovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease.
3.Study on the prevalence and influencing factors of frailty in older adults with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome
Jingwen SHI ; Xiaopei HOU ; Shangxin LU ; Shan WANG ; Yunli XING ; Wen TANG ; Zhaoxu JIA ; Feng FENG ; Jieqiong HU ; Bing LIU ; Junpeng KAN ; Ying SUN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(8):1100-1106
Objective:To investigate the prevalence and influencing factors of frailty among older adults diagnosed with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome(NSTE-ACS).Methods:We conducted a cross-sectional study involving patients aged 65 years and older with NSTE-ACS, who were admitted to the Cardiology Center and the Department of Geriatrics at Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, between January 2020 and November 2021.Patients were categorized into non-frail, pre-frail, and frail groups based on the FRAIL scale.We collected clinical data, including general health conditions, comorbidities, laboratory results, treatments, and comprehensive geriatric assessments.Logistic regression analysis was employed to identify the influencing factors associated with frailty and pre-frailty in older adults with NSTE-ACS.Results:A total of 528 patients with NSTE-ACS were included in the study, comprising 308 males(58.3%)and 220 females(41.7%). The age range of participants was from 65 to 90 years, with a median age of 72(68, 76)years.The prevalence of frailty among older adults with NSTE-ACS was 11.4%(60/528), while pre-frailty was observed in 51.9%(274/528), and non-frailty in 36.7%(194/528). Compared to the non-frail and pre-frail groups, patients in the frail group were older, had a higher proportion of females, exhibited a greater prevalence of chronic diseases, and presented with elevated inflammatory markers.Additionally, frail patients demonstrated poorer nutritional status and reduced functional ability(all P<0.005). Risk factors for frailty in older adults with NSTE-ACS included older age( OR=1.110, 95% CI: 1.032-1.194, P=0.005), diabetes( OR=2.489, 95% CI: 1.091-5.679, P=0.030), cerebrovascular disease ( OR=4.151, 95% CI: 1.660-10.384, P=0.002), chronic kidney disease ( OR=42.874, 95% CI: 3.957-464.513, P=0.002), and elevated white blood cell levels( OR=1.424, 95% CI: 1.125-1.802, P=0.003). Conversely, being male( OR=0.252, 95% CI: 0.105-0.604, P=0.002)was identified as a protective factor against frailty in this patient population.For pre-frail older adults with NSTE-ACS, identified risk factors included diabetes( OR=1.882, 95% CI: 1.199-2.955, P=0.006), cerebrovascular disease( OR=1.938, 95% CI: 1.176-3.195, P=0.009), and chronic kidney disease ( OR=12.137, 95% CI: 1.536-95.934, P=0.018). Similarly, being male( OR=0.601, 95% CI: 0.376-0.961, P=0.033)was also a protective factor for pre-frailty in older adults with NSTE-ACS. Conclusions:The prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty among older adults with NSTE-ACS is notably high.Common risk factors for frailty and pre-frailty in this population include female gender, diabetes, cerebrovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease.
4.Intestinal epithelial cell NCoR deficiency ameliorates obesity and metabolic syndrome.
Shaocong HOU ; Hengcai YU ; Caihong LIU ; Andrew M F JOHNSON ; Xingfeng LIU ; Qian JIANG ; Qijin ZHAO ; Lijuan KONG ; Yanjun WAN ; Xiaowei XING ; Yibing CHEN ; Jingwen CHEN ; Qing WU ; Peng ZHANG ; Changtao JIANG ; Bing CUI ; Pingping LI
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2024;14(12):5267-5285
Nuclear receptor corepressor (NCoR1) interacts with various nuclear receptors and regulates the anabolism and catabolism of lipids. An imbalance in lipid/energy homeostasis is also an important factor in obesity and metabolic syndrome development. In this study, we found that the deletion of NCoR1 in intestinal epithelial cells (IECs) mainly activated the nuclear receptor PPARα and attenuated metabolic syndrome by stimulating thermogenesis. The increase in brown adipose tissue thermogenesis was mediated by gut-derived tricarboxylic acid cycle intermediate succinate, whose production was significantly enhanced by PPARα activation in the fed state. Additionally, NCoR1 deletion derepressed intestinal LXR, increased cholesterol excretion, and impaired duodenal lipid absorption by decreasing bile acid hydrophobicity, thereby reversing the possible negative effects of intestinal PPARα activation. Therefore, the simultaneous regulatory effect of intestinal NCoR1 on both lipid intake and energy expenditure strongly suggests that it is a promising target for developing metabolic syndrome treatment.
5.Application value of 18F-D3FSP PET/CT in patients with cognitive impairment of varying degrees
Sihao LIANG ; Anqi LI ; Ruiyue ZHAO ; Jingwen LI ; Peng HOU ; Shuang XIONG ; Zhuohua WU ; Xiang CHEN ; Yuying HUANG ; Tengfei GUO ; Xinlu WANG
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2024;44(5):260-265
Objective:To explore the effectiveness of 18F-deuterated-Florbetapir (D3FSP) PET/CT imaging in detecting β-amyloid (Aβ) deposition in the brain and its correlation with plasma biomarkers. Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 79 patients (32 males, 47 females; age(66±7)years) who underwent 18F-D3FSP PET/CT imaging from June 2022 to November 2023 at the First Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, as a part of the Greater Bay Area Healthy Aging Brain Longitudinal Cohort Study (GHABS). Based on the Alzheimer′s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative cohort standard protocol, patients were categorized into cognitively unimpaired (CU) group, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) group, and Alzheimer′s disease (AD) group. Brain regions were segmented using the AW workstation and the SUV ratio (SUVR) was calculated with the cerebellum as the reference region. One-way analysis of variance, Bonferroni correction and Pearson correlation analysis were used to analyze data. The ROC curve analysis was used to analyze the cut-off value and the diagnostic efficacy of SUVR. Results:There were 48, 15 and 16 cases in CU, MCI and AD groups respectively. During the transition from CU to MCI and then to AD, there was a rising trend in SUVR ( F values: 11.15-22.38, all P<0.001) across the whole brain and various brain regions (bilateral frontal lobes, bilateral anterior cingulate gyrus, bilateral precuneus, bilateral parietal lobes, bilateral lateral temporal lobes, and bilateral occipital lobes). SUVRs of the right anterior cingulate gyrus and bilateral precuneus were different between the CU and MCI groups (all P<0.017), and those of bilateral frontal lobes, right precuneus, bilateral parietal lobes, bilateral lateral temporal lobes, and bilateral occipital lobes were different between the MCI and AD groups (all P<0.017). SUVRs of brain regions were negatively correlated with cognitive scale scores ( r values: from -0.57 to -0.37, all P<0.001), and were positively correlated with plasma phosphorylated tau181 (p-tau181, r values: 0.50-0.61, all P<0.001). The ROC curve analysis suggested that the cut-off value of SUVR in the precuneus for distinguishing CU from AD was 1.20, with the AUC, sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 0.85, 12/16, 91.7%(44/48)and 87.5%(56/64), respectively. Conclusion:18F-D3FSP PET/CT imaging has good clinical application value in assessing the deposition sites and the extent of Aβ in the brain, which is related to clinical cognition and plasma p-tau181 level.
6.Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy versus transarterial chemoembolization combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitors and camrelizumab for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma:a comparative study
Luhao CHEN ; Yi YANG ; Jingwen ZHANG ; Qi LIU ; Junrong LU ; Yingwen HOU ; Yan LIU
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2024;33(5):543-548
Objective To discuss the efficacy and safety of transarterial chemoembolization(TACE)and hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy(HAIC)combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitors(TKI)and immune checkpoint inhibitors(ICI)for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).Methods A total of 101 patients with unresectable HCC,who were admitted to the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Harbin Medical University of China between January 2021 and October 2022 to receive treatment,were enrolled in this study.Of the 101 patients,50 received TACE+TKI+ICI therapy(TACE+TKI+ICI group)and 51 received HAIC+TKI+ICI therapy(HAIC+TKI+ICI group).The overall survival(OS)and the progression-free survival(PFS)were compared between the two groups,and the adverse events were analyzed to assess the safety of the therapeutic scheme.Results The median PFS in the TACE+TKI+ICI group was 12.0 months,which in the HAIC+TKI+ICI group was 11.0 months(P=0.030).The median OS was not achieved in the TACE+TKI+ICI group,which in the HAIC+TKI+ICI group was 14.6 months(P=0.005).The most common adverse effects in the TACE+TKI+ICI group were the elevation of total bilirubin(46.0%)and hepatic function injury(26.0%),which in the HAIC+TKI+ICI group were the decrease of albumin level(62.7%),fatigue(39.2%),and gastrointestinal reactions(31.4%).Conclusion For the treatment of advanced HCC,the therapeutic scheme of TACE+TKI+ICI has a better long-term survival benefits and the therapeutic scheme of HAIC+TKI+ICI can better maintain the liver function reserve of the patients.Neither therapeutic scheme shows any unexpected toxicity,and both therapeutic schemes have high clinical safety.(J Intervent Radiol,2024,33:543-548)
7.Research on construction and application value of risk assessment model for safe operation of anesthesia equipment based on hesitant probabilistic fuzzy set
Jingwen ZHAO ; Yujing FENG ; Zhenhuan HOU ; Qiyun SHEN
China Medical Equipment 2024;21(5):144-149
Objective:To construct a risk assessment model based on hesitant probabilistic fuzzy set(HPFS)and to explore its application value in the risk control and management of safe operation of anesthesia equipment.Methods:Taking the whole life cycle safety and management safety as the important risk assessment dimensions,the risk index system of safe operation of anesthesia equipment was constructed,HPFS and hierarchical-superior-inferior solution distance method were used to realize the quantitative analysis of risks,and the safety self-inspection and risk control treatment strategies were formulated.A total of 150 surgical patients and 16 anesthesia equipment used in surgery used in the operation were selected from July 2020 to June 2023 in Tongzhou District Maternal and Child Health Hospital,and into control group and observation group according to different management modes of anesthetic equipment,with 75 cases in each group.The 10 anesthesia machines used during the surgical treatment of the control group adopted the conventional risk control mode,and the 12 anesthesia machines used in the observation group(including 6 in the control group and the 6 newly added ones)adopted the risk assessment control mode.The incidence of perioperative anesthesia equipment-related risk events,the awareness rate of anesthesia medical staff about potential safety risks,and the failure rate of anesthesia equipment were compared between the two groups.Results:The number of perioperative risk events of improper operation of anesthesia equipment,unreasonable dosage of anesthesia,associated infection and missing records in the observation group were 4 cases(5.3%),0 cases(0%),1 case(1.3%)and 1 case(1.3%),respectively,which was lower than that in the control group,the difference was statistically significant(x2=4.478,4.110,6.857,4.754;P<0.05).The average scores of theoretical knowledge of safety management,safe use,management awareness and fault judgment ability of medical staff operating anesthesia equipment in the observation group were(96.27±3.93)points,(94.31±2.69)points,(91.82±1.94)points and(84.97±4.36)points,respectively,which were higher than those in the control group,the difference was statistically significant(t=5.176,5.322,5.541,5.942;P<0.05).The total number of equipment operation setting,anesthetic gas path,anesthesia depth monitoring,threshold alarm and other faults in the two groups were 90,37,25,316 and 125,respectively,and the failure incidence rates in the observation group were 30%(27/90),35%(13/37),28%(7/25),22%(69/316)and 39%(49/125),respectively,which were lower than those in the control group,the difference was statistically significant(x2=28.800,6.541,9.680,200.532,11.664;P<0.05). Conclusion:The risk assessment model based on HPFS can reduce the incidence of risk events related to anesthesia equipment,enhance the awareness of safety risk control of anesthesia medical staff,and improve the quality of clinical operation of anesthesia equipment.
8.Rhabdomyolysis and acute kidney injury due to ibuprofen sustained-release capsules in patient with coronavirus disease 2019
Hengfen DAI ; Jingwen XIAO ; Yu OUYANG ; Haijuan HOU ; Caiyun ZHENG ; Yan ZHANG
Adverse Drug Reactions Journal 2023;25(12):761-763
A 17-year-old female patient developed fever after novel coronavirus infection and took ibuprofen sustained-release capsules 0.3 g 4 times within 3 days by herself. During the medication, the patient developed the symptoms such as chest tightness, shortness of breath, limbs fatigue, sweating, muscle soreness, and dark urine successively. Laboratory tests showed creatine kinase (CK) 583 800 U/L, CK-MB 45 μg/L, lactate dehydrogenase 4 772 U/L, serum creatinine (Scr) 392 μmol/L, myoglobin 87 μg/L, and urea nitrogen 32.8 mmol/L. It was considered that rhabdomyolysis with acute kidney injury might be related to ibuprofen. The patient was given symptomatic treatments such as renal replacement therapy, hemodialysis, blood transfusion, rehydration, diuresis, etc. Thirty-three days later, the patient′s muscle soreness and other symptoms disappeared, the urine color returned to normal, laboratory tests showed CK 168 U/L, myoglobin 24 μg/L, and Scr 52 μmol/L.
9.Rhabdomyolysis and acute kidney injury due to ibuprofen sustained-release capsules in patient with coronavirus disease 2019
Hengfen DAI ; Jingwen XIAO ; Yu OUYANG ; Haijuan HOU ; Caiyun ZHENG ; Yan ZHANG
Adverse Drug Reactions Journal 2023;25(12):761-763
A 17-year-old female patient developed fever after novel coronavirus infection and took ibuprofen sustained-release capsules 0.3 g 4 times within 3 days by herself. During the medication, the patient developed the symptoms such as chest tightness, shortness of breath, limbs fatigue, sweating, muscle soreness, and dark urine successively. Laboratory tests showed creatine kinase (CK) 583 800 U/L, CK-MB 45 μg/L, lactate dehydrogenase 4 772 U/L, serum creatinine (Scr) 392 μmol/L, myoglobin 87 μg/L, and urea nitrogen 32.8 mmol/L. It was considered that rhabdomyolysis with acute kidney injury might be related to ibuprofen. The patient was given symptomatic treatments such as renal replacement therapy, hemodialysis, blood transfusion, rehydration, diuresis, etc. Thirty-three days later, the patient′s muscle soreness and other symptoms disappeared, the urine color returned to normal, laboratory tests showed CK 168 U/L, myoglobin 24 μg/L, and Scr 52 μmol/L.
10.Study of sequential surgical guide assisting full arch immediate implant placement and provisionalization in patients with severe periodontitis
Jingwen YANG ; Jianxia HOU ; Jianzhang LIU ; Yu ZHANG ; Quan CHEN ; Yijiao ZHAO ; Yong WANG
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2021;56(6):576-580
To explore the technical process and the therapeutic effect of using sequential surgical guide with independent intellectual property rights assisting immediate implantation and restoration of the full arch, with the support from the periodontal splint for mobile supporting teeth, patients with severe periodontitis who planned to undergo immediate full arch implantation were recruited from August 2019 to December 2020 at the Department of Prosthodontics, Department of Periodontology, Department of Implantology and First Clinical Division, Peking University School and Hospital of Stomatology. Through the procedure of collecting preoperative maxillofacial data, making systematic diagnostic design, making periodontal splints fixation, producing surgical guide, and carrying out guided surgery for full arch immediate implantation, eight cases were included. By registering the postoperative cone-beam CT (CBCT) with the preoperative data, the difference between the actual three-dimensional position of the implants and the virtual design was observed, and the accuracy of the implant placement position guided by the sequential guide was statistically analyzed using SPSS 25.0 software. Analysis indicators include coronal and apical global displacement, coronal horizontal and vertical displacement, apical horizontal and vertical displacement, and angular deviation. Results revealed that the 8 patients [2 males and 6 females, aged (49.0±9.3) years (38-65 years)] of recruited cases included 7 cases of maxilla and 1 cases of mandible. A total of 48 implants, of which 44 implants were placed upright and 4 were placed tilted, 16 implants in the anterior region and 32 implants in the posterior region. No guide plate fracture or damage to important anatomical structures were reported. The overall displacement at the coronal point [(0.83±0.48) mm] and the global displacement at the apical point [(1.36±0.57) mm] were within the clinically acceptable safety range, and the horizontal displacement and vertical displacement at the coronal point, horizontal displacement and vertical displacement at the apical point, and the angle deviation of implants axial have no statistic significant difference in the anterior and posterior region ( P>0.05). Periodontal splints combined with sequential surgical guides to assist patients with severe periodontitis for immediate full arch implantation and immediate restoration can expand the indications of guide assisted implant surgery. It meets the safety requirements in clinical applications.

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