1.Efficacy and safety of transhepatic arterial chemoembolization combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitor and programmed death receptor-1 inhibitors in the treatment of intermediate and a-dvanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma
Jianwei XIONG ; Qiang LI ; Tao TANG ; Lixin ZHANG ; Bao YING ; Kaifeng ZHAO ; Yongfu XIONG ; Jingdong LI ; Guo WU
Journal of Clinical Surgery 2024;32(2):176-181
Objective To investigate the clinical effect of transhepatic arterial chemoembolization(TACE)combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitors(TKIs)and programmed death receptors-1(PD-1)inhibitors(TACE+TKIs+PD-1 antibody)in the treatment of moderate advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).Methods The clinical data of 65 patients with moderate advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2020 to January 2022 were analyzed retrospectively.65 patients were treated with TACE+TKIs+PD-1 antibody.The observation indexes were tumor response,objective response rate(ORR),disease control rate(DCR),total survival time,progression free survival time,conversion operation rate and adverse drug reaction.Results The ORR of 65 p-atients with hepatocellular carcinoma was 49.2%(32/65),and the DCR was 89.2%(58/65).Among them,there were 2 patients with complete remission(CR),30 patients with partial remission(PR),26 patients with stable disease(SD),and 7 patients with progression disease(PD).Among 65 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma,18 patients were transformed into resectable hepatocell-ular carcinoma and underwent RO surgery.The conversion rate was 27.6%(18/65).65 patients were followed up for 3 to 22.4 months,The median follow-up time was 16.5 months.The median overall survival time and median disease progression free survival time of 65 patients were 14.5 months(95%CI:12.3~16.6 months)and 8.8 months(95%CI:6.9~10.6 months),respectively.After treatment,65 patients all had post embolism syndrome(abdominal pain,fever,nausea,vomiting and other symptoms),and some patients had transient abnormal liver function.Adverse drug reactions below grade 3 recovered within a few days.Some patients were associated with multiple adverse drug reactions.1 patient(1.5%)stopped using TACE because of stubborn vomiting,and 5 patients(7.6%)stopped using Lenvatinib because of severe liver function damage during treatment,2 patients(3%)stopped using Camrelizumab because of severe reactive capillary hyperplasia,one patient(1.5%)stopped using Tislelizumab because of severe hypothyroidism,one patient(1.5%)stopped the treatment of Lenvatinib and Sintilimab due to severe gastrointestinal bleeding.The adverse drug reactions of grade 3~4 occurred in other patients were alleviated after drug reduction,symptomatic treatment and hormone treatment.Conclusion TACE+TKIs+PD-1 antibody can obtain reliable clinical efficacy and anti-tumor activity in the treatment of moderate advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.
2.Predict the effect of the number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers on the surgical method and prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients based on mediation analysis
Zonglong LI ; Jialu CHEN ; Yue TANG ; Delong QIN ; Chen CHEN ; Yinghe QIU ; Hong WU ; Yu HE ; Xianhai MAO ; Wenlong ZHAI ; Jingdong LI ; Xiao LIANG ; Chuandong SUN ; Kai MA ; Zhimin GENG ; Zhaohui TANG ; Zhiwei QUAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2024;62(7):685-696
Objective:To investigate the effect of the number of positive preoperative serological tumor markers on the surgical approach and prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.Methods:This is a retrospective case-series study. Data from 548 patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection from October 2010 to April 2019 were retrospectively collected in 10 hospitals of China. There were 277 males and 271 females with an age of (57.8±10.2)years(range:23 to 84 years). Four hundred and twenty-six patients(77.7%) had at least one positive preoperative serum tumor marker. The data collection included the results of 4 preoperative serological tumor markers,other preoperative indicators(5 prodromal symptoms, 6 medical history,8 preoperative serological indicators,5 preoperative imaging indicators,and 14 preoperative pathological examination indicators),baseline data (gender and age),surgical methods,and prognostic follow-up data. Four preoperative results of serologic tumor marker and surgical procedure were converted into categorical variables. The number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers was used as the treatment variable,the surgical method was used as the mediating variable,and the survival time was used as the outcome variable. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to screen for other preoperative indicators which were independent factors that influenced the surgical procedure and the prognosis of patients as covariates to analyze the mediating effect.Results:Of the 548 patients included in the study, 176 patients (32.1%) underwent partial hepatectomy,151 patients(27.5%) underwent hemihepatectomy, and 221 patients(40.3%) underwent partial hepatectomy or hemihepatectomy combined with other treatments. The results of the univariate and multivariate analysis showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers,intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,portal vein invasion,pathological differentiation,pathological type,vascular invasion,T stage,N stage and maximum tumor diameter were independent factors influencing the surgical procedure(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,pathological differentiation and T stage were independent prognostic factors for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,differentiation and T stage were included as covariates in the mediation effect model. The results showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers before surgery had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma ( β=-0.092, P=0.039),and had a positive predictive effect on the surgical method ( β=0.244, P<0.01). The number of positive serum tumor markers had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma ( β=-0.151, P=0.002). Direct and indirect effects accounted for 71.3% and 28.7% of total effects,respectively. Conclusions:The higher the positive number of preoperative tumor markers,the worse the prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. The number of positive cells not only directly affects the prognosis of patients,but also indirectly affects the prognosis of patients by affecting the surgical method.
3.Predict the effect of the number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers on the surgical method and prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients based on mediation analysis
Zonglong LI ; Jialu CHEN ; Yue TANG ; Delong QIN ; Chen CHEN ; Yinghe QIU ; Hong WU ; Yu HE ; Xianhai MAO ; Wenlong ZHAI ; Jingdong LI ; Xiao LIANG ; Chuandong SUN ; Kai MA ; Zhimin GENG ; Zhaohui TANG ; Zhiwei QUAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2024;62(7):685-696
Objective:To investigate the effect of the number of positive preoperative serological tumor markers on the surgical approach and prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.Methods:This is a retrospective case-series study. Data from 548 patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection from October 2010 to April 2019 were retrospectively collected in 10 hospitals of China. There were 277 males and 271 females with an age of (57.8±10.2)years(range:23 to 84 years). Four hundred and twenty-six patients(77.7%) had at least one positive preoperative serum tumor marker. The data collection included the results of 4 preoperative serological tumor markers,other preoperative indicators(5 prodromal symptoms, 6 medical history,8 preoperative serological indicators,5 preoperative imaging indicators,and 14 preoperative pathological examination indicators),baseline data (gender and age),surgical methods,and prognostic follow-up data. Four preoperative results of serologic tumor marker and surgical procedure were converted into categorical variables. The number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers was used as the treatment variable,the surgical method was used as the mediating variable,and the survival time was used as the outcome variable. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to screen for other preoperative indicators which were independent factors that influenced the surgical procedure and the prognosis of patients as covariates to analyze the mediating effect.Results:Of the 548 patients included in the study, 176 patients (32.1%) underwent partial hepatectomy,151 patients(27.5%) underwent hemihepatectomy, and 221 patients(40.3%) underwent partial hepatectomy or hemihepatectomy combined with other treatments. The results of the univariate and multivariate analysis showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers,intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,portal vein invasion,pathological differentiation,pathological type,vascular invasion,T stage,N stage and maximum tumor diameter were independent factors influencing the surgical procedure(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,pathological differentiation and T stage were independent prognostic factors for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,differentiation and T stage were included as covariates in the mediation effect model. The results showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers before surgery had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma ( β=-0.092, P=0.039),and had a positive predictive effect on the surgical method ( β=0.244, P<0.01). The number of positive serum tumor markers had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma ( β=-0.151, P=0.002). Direct and indirect effects accounted for 71.3% and 28.7% of total effects,respectively. Conclusions:The higher the positive number of preoperative tumor markers,the worse the prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. The number of positive cells not only directly affects the prognosis of patients,but also indirectly affects the prognosis of patients by affecting the surgical method.
4.The impact of lymph node dissection on textbook outcomes of intrahepatic cholangiocarci-noma and prognostic analysis
Tingfeng HUANG ; Hongzhi LIU ; Kongying LIN ; Shichuan TANG ; Jun FU ; Qizhu LIN ; Ruilin FAN ; Weiping ZHOU ; Jingdong LI ; Jiangtao LI ; Yongyi ZENG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2024;23(7):944-951
Objective:To analyze the impact of lymph node dissection on textbook outcomes (TO) and the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 376 ICC patients who underwent hepatectomy in 4 medical centers, including Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University et al, from December 2011 to December 2017 were collected. There were 242 males and 134 females, aged 57(range, 48-63)years. According to the criteria of TO, patients were classified as two cate-gories, including patients achieving TO and not achieving TO. Measurement data with normal distri-bution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was conducted using the independent sample t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M(range) or M( Q1, Q3), and comparison between groups was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. Count data were represented as absolute numbers, and comparison between groups was conducted using the chi-square test, Yates adjusted chi-square test or Fisher exact probability. Comparison of ordinal data was conducted using the non-parameter rank sum test. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted using the Logistic regression model. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curve. Survival analysis was conducted using the Log-rank test. Results:(1) TO situations. Of the 376 ICC patients who underwent hepatectomy, 199 cases achieved TO, including 40 cases with lymph node dissection and 159 cases without lymph node dissection, 177 cases did not achieve TO, including 76 cases with lymph node dissection and 101 cases without lymph node dissection. (2) Influencing factors for TO after hepatectomy of ICC patients. Results of multivariate analysis showed that lymph node dissection, microvascular invasion, nerve invasion and the volume of intraoperative blood loss >800 mL were independent risk factors for achieving TO after hepatec-tomy of ICC patients ( odds ratio=2.22, 2.95, 3.58, 4.09,95% confidence interval as 1.34-3.69, 1.43-6.07, 1.40-9.17, 1.35-12.43, P<0.05). Of the 116 patients with lymph node dissection, 40 cases achieved TO, 103 cases achieved R 0 resection, 38 cases had postoperative complications, 67 cases had delayed hospital stay. The above indicators were 159, 255, 41, 65 of 260 patients without lymph node dissection. There were significant differences in the above indicators between patients with and without lymph node dissection ( χ2=22.90, 15.16, 13.95, 37.78, P<0.05). (3) Follow-up. All the 376 patients were followed up for 19(range, 1-74)months. Of 199 patients achieving TO, the 1-, 2-and 3-year survival rates of 40 patients with lymph node dissection were 54.0%, 36.6% and 26.1%, respectively, versus 67.7%, 42.7% and 34.4% of 159 patients without lymph node dissection, showing no significant difference between them ( χ2=1.89, P>0.05). Of 177 patients not achieving TO, the 1-, 2-and 3-year survival rates of 76 cases with lymph node dissection were 58.9%, 25.7% and 10.3%, respectively, versus 53.0%, 28.5% and 17.2% of 101 cases without lymph node dissection, showing no significant difference between them ( χ2=0.25, P>0.05). Conclusions:Lymph node dissec-tion, microvascular invasion, nerve invasion and the volume of intraoperative blood loss >800 mL are independent risk factors for achieving TO after hepatectomy of ICC patients. Lymph node dissec-tion may increase the postoperative complication rate, prolong the hospital stay and decrease the rate of achieving TO. However, it does not affect the prognosis of patients.
5.Efficacy analysis of surgical combined with postoperative adjuvant therapy for T3 gallbladder carcinoma: a multicenter retrospective study
Facai YANG ; Jing HU ; Tianhang SU ; Zhimin GENG ; Kai ZHANG ; Jun DING ; Zhengqing LEI ; Bin YI ; Jingdong LI ; Zhaohui TANG ; Zhangjun CHENG ; Yinghe QIU
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2023;61(10):863-870
Objective:To explore the clinical value of adjuvant therapy in patients with T3 gallbladder cancer (GBC) who have undergone R0 resection.Methods:Clinical and pathological data from 415 patients with T3 GBC who underwent surgical treatment in 7 tertiary centers in China from January 2013 to December 2018 were collected,including 251 males and 164 females,aged (61±11)years (range: 26 to 88 years). Depending on whether to receive adjuvant therapy after radical resection,the patients were divided into the radical resection group alone (group A, n=358) and the radical resection combined with the postoperative adjuvant therapy group (group B, n=57). The general data of the two groups were matched 1∶1 by propensity score matching method,and the caliper value was 0.02.Clinicopathological characteristics,overall survival and disease-free survival of the two groups were compared.The Cox regression model was used for multivariate analysis,and patients with at least one or more independent risk factors were classified as high-risk clinicopathological subtypes. Subgroup analysis was performed to assess the clinical value of adjuvant therapy after radical resection in patients with high-risk clinicopathological subtypes. Results:After the matching,there were 42 patients in each of the two groups. The incidence of gallbladder cancer and the number of dissected lymph nodes in group B after cholecystectomy were higher than those in group A ( χ 2=9.224,2.570,both P<0.05). There were no significant differences in overall survival rate and disease-free survival rate between the two groups before and after matching (all P>0.05). The results of the univariate and multivariate analysis showed that CA19-9>39 U/ml,nerve invasion,tumor location (liver side or bilateral),TNM stage ⅢB to ⅣB ,poorly differentiated tumor were independent prognostic factors of overall survival and disease-free survival of patients with T3 stage gallbladder cancer (all P<0.05).Three hundred and twenty-nine patients(79.3%) had high-risk clinicopathological subtypes,and the median survival time after curative resection with and without adjuvant therapy was 17 months and 34 months respectively,and the 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates were respectively 40.0%,21.3% and 46.0%,46.0% ( χ 2=4.042, P=0.044);the median disease-free survival time was 9 months and 13 months,and the 3-year and 5-year disease-free survival rates were 23.4%,13.6% and 30.2%,18.2% ( χ 2=0.992, P=0.319). Conclusions:Postoperative adjuvant therapy following radical surgery did not yield significant improvements in the overall survival and disease-free survival rates of patients diagnosed with T3 gallbladder cancer. However, it demonstrated a significant extension in the overall survival rate for patients presenting high-risk clinicopathological subtypes.
6.Efficacy analysis of surgical combined with postoperative adjuvant therapy for T3 gallbladder carcinoma: a multicenter retrospective study
Facai YANG ; Jing HU ; Tianhang SU ; Zhimin GENG ; Kai ZHANG ; Jun DING ; Zhengqing LEI ; Bin YI ; Jingdong LI ; Zhaohui TANG ; Zhangjun CHENG ; Yinghe QIU
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2023;61(10):863-870
Objective:To explore the clinical value of adjuvant therapy in patients with T3 gallbladder cancer (GBC) who have undergone R0 resection.Methods:Clinical and pathological data from 415 patients with T3 GBC who underwent surgical treatment in 7 tertiary centers in China from January 2013 to December 2018 were collected,including 251 males and 164 females,aged (61±11)years (range: 26 to 88 years). Depending on whether to receive adjuvant therapy after radical resection,the patients were divided into the radical resection group alone (group A, n=358) and the radical resection combined with the postoperative adjuvant therapy group (group B, n=57). The general data of the two groups were matched 1∶1 by propensity score matching method,and the caliper value was 0.02.Clinicopathological characteristics,overall survival and disease-free survival of the two groups were compared.The Cox regression model was used for multivariate analysis,and patients with at least one or more independent risk factors were classified as high-risk clinicopathological subtypes. Subgroup analysis was performed to assess the clinical value of adjuvant therapy after radical resection in patients with high-risk clinicopathological subtypes. Results:After the matching,there were 42 patients in each of the two groups. The incidence of gallbladder cancer and the number of dissected lymph nodes in group B after cholecystectomy were higher than those in group A ( χ 2=9.224,2.570,both P<0.05). There were no significant differences in overall survival rate and disease-free survival rate between the two groups before and after matching (all P>0.05). The results of the univariate and multivariate analysis showed that CA19-9>39 U/ml,nerve invasion,tumor location (liver side or bilateral),TNM stage ⅢB to ⅣB ,poorly differentiated tumor were independent prognostic factors of overall survival and disease-free survival of patients with T3 stage gallbladder cancer (all P<0.05).Three hundred and twenty-nine patients(79.3%) had high-risk clinicopathological subtypes,and the median survival time after curative resection with and without adjuvant therapy was 17 months and 34 months respectively,and the 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates were respectively 40.0%,21.3% and 46.0%,46.0% ( χ 2=4.042, P=0.044);the median disease-free survival time was 9 months and 13 months,and the 3-year and 5-year disease-free survival rates were 23.4%,13.6% and 30.2%,18.2% ( χ 2=0.992, P=0.319). Conclusions:Postoperative adjuvant therapy following radical surgery did not yield significant improvements in the overall survival and disease-free survival rates of patients diagnosed with T3 gallbladder cancer. However, it demonstrated a significant extension in the overall survival rate for patients presenting high-risk clinicopathological subtypes.
7.Dexamethasone enhances glucose uptake by SGLT1 and GLUT1 and boosts ATP generation through the PPP-TCA cycle in bovine neutrophils
Xinbo WANG ; Mingyu TANG ; Yuming ZHANG ; Yansong LI ; Jingdong MAO ; Qinghua DENG ; Shusen LI ; Zhenwei JIA ; Liyin DU
Journal of Veterinary Science 2022;23(5):e76-
Background:
Clinical dexamethasone (DEX) treatment or stress in bovines results in extensive physiological changes with prominent hyperglycemia and neutrophils dysfunction.
Objectives:
To elucidate the effects of DEX treatment in vivo on cellular energy status and the underlying mechanism in circulating neutrophils.
Methods:
We selected eight-month-old male bovines and injected DEX for 3 consecutive days (1 time/d). The levels of glucose, total protein (TP), total cholesterol (TC), and the proinflammatory cytokines interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6 and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α in blood were examined, and we then detected glycogen and adenosine triphosphate (ATP) content, phosphofructosekinase-1 (PFK1) and glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PDH) activity, glucose transporter (GLUT)1, GLUT4, sodium/glucose cotransporter (SGLT)1 and citrate synthase (CS) protein expression and autophagy levels in circulating neutrophils.
Results:
DEX injection markedly increased blood glucose, TP and TC levels, the Ca 2+ /P 5+ ratio and the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and significantly decreased blood IL-1β, IL-6 and TNF-α levels. Particularly in neutrophils, DEX injection inhibited p65-NFκB activation and elevated glycogen and ATP contents and SGLT1, GLUT1 and GR expression while inhibiting PFK1 activity, enhancing G6PDH activity and CS expression and lowering cell autophagy levels.
Conclusions
DEX induced neutrophils glucose uptake by enhancing SGLT1 and GLUT1 expression and the transformation of energy metabolism from glycolysis to pentose phosphate pathway (PPP)-tricarboxylic acid (TCA) cycle. This finding gives us a new perspective on deeper understanding of clinical anti-inflammatory effects of DEX on bovine.
8.A prognostic model of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after curative intent resection based on Bayesian network
Chen CHEN ; Yuhan WU ; Jingwei ZHANG ; Yinghe QIU ; Hong WU ; Qi LI ; Tianqiang SONG ; Yu HE ; Xianhan MAO ; Wenlong ZHAI ; Zhangjun CHENG ; Jingdong LI ; Shubin SI ; Zhiqiang CAI ; Zhimin GENG ; Zhaohui TANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2021;59(4):265-271
Objective:To examine a survival prognostic model applicable for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) based on Bayesian network.Methods:The clinical and pathological data of ICC patients who underwent curative intent resection in ten Chinese hepatobiliary surgery centers from January 2010 to December 2018 were collected.A total of 516 patients were included in the study. There were 266 males and 250 females.The median age( M( Q R)) was 58(14) years.One hundred and sixteen cases (22.5%) with intrahepatic bile duct stones,and 143 cases (27.7%) with chronic viral hepatitis.The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis.The univariate and multivariate analysis were implemented respectively using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model.One-year survival prediction models based on tree augmented naive Bayesian (TAN) and na?ve Bayesian algorithm were established by Bayesialab software according to different variables,a nomogram model was also developed based on the independent predictors.The receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the prediction effect of the models. Results:The overall median survival time was 25.0 months,and the 1-,3-and 5-year cumulative survival rates was 76.6%,37.9%,and 21.0%,respectively.Univariate analysis showed that gender,preoperative jaundice,pathological differentiation,vascular invasion,microvascular invasion,liver capsule invasion,T staging,N staging,margin,intrahepatic bile duct stones,carcinoembryonic antigen,and CA19-9 affected the prognosis(χ 2=5.858-54.974, all P<0.05).The Cox multivariate model showed that gender,pathological differentiation,liver capsule invasion, T stage,N stage,intrahepatic bile duct stones,and CA19-9 were the independent predictive factors(all P<0.05). The AUC of the TAN model based on all 19 clinicopathological factors was 74.5%,and the AUC of the TAN model based on the 12 prognostic factors derived from univariate analysis was 74.0%,the AUC of the na?ve Bayesian model based on 7 independent prognostic risk factors was 79.5%,the AUC and C-index of the nomogram survival prediction model based on 7 independent prognostic risk factors were 78.8% and 0.73,respectively. Conclusion:The Bayesian network model may provide a relatively accurate prognostic prediction for ICC patients after curative intent resection and performed superior to the nomogram model.
9.A prognostic model of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after curative intent resection based on Bayesian network
Chen CHEN ; Yuhan WU ; Jingwei ZHANG ; Yinghe QIU ; Hong WU ; Qi LI ; Tianqiang SONG ; Yu HE ; Xianhan MAO ; Wenlong ZHAI ; Zhangjun CHENG ; Jingdong LI ; Shubin SI ; Zhiqiang CAI ; Zhimin GENG ; Zhaohui TANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2021;59(4):265-271
Objective:To examine a survival prognostic model applicable for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) based on Bayesian network.Methods:The clinical and pathological data of ICC patients who underwent curative intent resection in ten Chinese hepatobiliary surgery centers from January 2010 to December 2018 were collected.A total of 516 patients were included in the study. There were 266 males and 250 females.The median age( M( Q R)) was 58(14) years.One hundred and sixteen cases (22.5%) with intrahepatic bile duct stones,and 143 cases (27.7%) with chronic viral hepatitis.The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis.The univariate and multivariate analysis were implemented respectively using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model.One-year survival prediction models based on tree augmented naive Bayesian (TAN) and na?ve Bayesian algorithm were established by Bayesialab software according to different variables,a nomogram model was also developed based on the independent predictors.The receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the prediction effect of the models. Results:The overall median survival time was 25.0 months,and the 1-,3-and 5-year cumulative survival rates was 76.6%,37.9%,and 21.0%,respectively.Univariate analysis showed that gender,preoperative jaundice,pathological differentiation,vascular invasion,microvascular invasion,liver capsule invasion,T staging,N staging,margin,intrahepatic bile duct stones,carcinoembryonic antigen,and CA19-9 affected the prognosis(χ 2=5.858-54.974, all P<0.05).The Cox multivariate model showed that gender,pathological differentiation,liver capsule invasion, T stage,N stage,intrahepatic bile duct stones,and CA19-9 were the independent predictive factors(all P<0.05). The AUC of the TAN model based on all 19 clinicopathological factors was 74.5%,and the AUC of the TAN model based on the 12 prognostic factors derived from univariate analysis was 74.0%,the AUC of the na?ve Bayesian model based on 7 independent prognostic risk factors was 79.5%,the AUC and C-index of the nomogram survival prediction model based on 7 independent prognostic risk factors were 78.8% and 0.73,respectively. Conclusion:The Bayesian network model may provide a relatively accurate prognostic prediction for ICC patients after curative intent resection and performed superior to the nomogram model.
10.Application value of different lymph node staging system in predicting prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma
Chen CHEN ; Yuhan WU ; Qi LI ; Hong WU ; Yinghe QIU ; Tianqiang SONG ; Xianhai MAO ; Yu HE ; Zhangjun CHENG ; Wenlong ZHAI ; Jingdong LI ; Zhimin GENG ; Zhaohui TANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2020;58(4):295-302
Objective:To examine the value of number of metastatic lymph nodes(NMLN), lymph node ratio(LNR) and log odds of metastatic lymph nodes(LODDS) in assessing the prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(ICC).Methods:The clinical and pathological data of 440 ICC patients who underwent curative-intent resection in 10 of Chinese hepatobiliary surgery centers from January 2010 to December 2018 were collected, and the deadline of follow-up was April 30th, 2019. Among them, 205 were males and 235 were females, with age of (57.0±9.9) years (range:23-83 years).Eighty-five cases (19.3%) had intrahepatic bile duct stones, and 98 cases (22.3%) had chronic viral hepatitis.The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. The univariate and multivariate analysis were implemented respectively using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model.Results:A total of 440 patients underwent curative-intent resection and lymphadenectomy.R0 resection were achieved in 424 cases (96.4%) and R1 resection were in 16 cases (3.6%). The results of postoperative pathological examination showed that high, moderate and poor differentiation was 4.2%(18/426), 60.6%(258/426) and 35.2%(150/426), respectively.Adenocarcinoma was seen in 90.2%(397/440) and non-adenocarcinoma was seen in 9.8%(43/440), respectively. T stage: 2 cases (0.5%) with Tis, 83 cases(18.9%) with T1a, 97 cases(22.0%) with T1b, 95 cases(21.6%) with T2, 122 cases (27.7%) with T3 and 41 cases(9.3%) with T4.The overall median survival time was 24.0 months, and the 1-,3-, and 5-year survival rate was 74.3%, 37.7% and 18.3%, respectively. Lymphatic metastasis occurred in 175 patients(39.8%), the median total number of TNLE( M( Q R)) was 6(5), the median number of NMLN was 0(1), the median number of LNR was 0 (0.33) and the median number of LODDS was -0.70(-0.92). Rerults of univariate analysis showed that combined stones, pathological differentiation, vascular invasion, LODDS, margin and T staging affected the prognosis (all P<0.05). Rerults of multivariate analysis showed that pathological differentiation, LODDS, margin, and T staging were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of ICC patients (all P<0.05). Conclusion:LODDS could be used as an optimal prognostic lymph node staging index for ICC, and it is also an independent risk factor for survival after curative intent resection.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail