1.Volatile Component Differences in Xihuangwan Prepared with Natural and Artificial Musk Based on Non-targeted and Targeted Metabolomics
Jing WANG ; Fangzhu XU ; Li MENG ; Qizhen ZHU ; Huanjun ZHAO ; Caina YU ; Xuelian CHEN ; Hui GAO ; Zimin YUAN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(8):194-201
ObjectiveHeadspace solid-phase microextraction-gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(HS-SPME-GC-MS) and GC-triple quadrupole MS(GC-QqQ-MS) in combination with non-targeted and targeted metabolomics were employed to systematically analyze the chemical composition differences of Xihuangwan prepared with natural musk and artificial musk, and establish an identification system for them. MethodsThe volatile components of 9 batches of Xihuangwan samples from 8 manufacturers were analyzed by HS-SPME-GC-MS non-targeted metabolomics, and identified by comparing their MS data with the National Institute of Standards and Technology(NIST) spectral library. Orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis(OPLS-DA) was used to identify differential volatile components of Xihuangwan prepared with natural musk and artificial musk. Additionally, GC-QqQ-MS targeted metabolomics was applied to quantify the levels of α-pinene, β-elemene, muscone, dehydroepiandrosterone, bornyl acetate, and octyl acetate in 27 batches of samples from 9 manufacturers. Cluster analysis, principal component analysis(PCA), and partial least squares-discriminant analysis(PLS-DA) were conducted to further explore the differences in volatile components between Xihuangwan samples prepared with natural musk and artificial musk. ResultsNon-targeted metabolomics identified 291 volatile compounds in Xihuangwan, including alkanes, esters, alkanes, alcohols, ketones, naphthalenes and others. OPLS-DA analysis revealed distinct separation between Xihuangwan samples containing artificial musk(A1, C1, D1, E1, F1, G1, I1) and those containing natural musk(H1, H3). A total of 30 differential metabolites were identified. The relative contents of these 30 differential metabolites were visualized using a radar chart, revealing significant differences in the levels of octanol, borneol acetate and muscone. Cluster analysis and PCA results from targeted metabolomics indicated that Xihuangwan could be classified into two distinct groups:one composed of natural musk(H1, H3) and the other of artificial musk, sample H2. PLS-DA identified muscone, octyl acetate, and dehydroepiandrosterone as key differential volatile components. Although no significant difference was observed in the content of octyl acetate between the two groups, statistically significant differences were found for muscone and dehydroepiandrosterone(P<0.05). ConclusionMuscone and dehydroepiandrosterone can be used for the differentiation of Xihuangwan samples containing natural musk from those containing artificial musk. This study systematically and comprehensively analyzed the differences in the types and contents of major volatile components in Xihuangwan prepared with natural musk and artificial musk, providing a scientific basis for quality evaluation and control of Xihuangwan.
2.Volatile Component Differences in Xihuangwan Prepared with Natural and Artificial Musk Based on Non-targeted and Targeted Metabolomics
Jing WANG ; Fangzhu XU ; Li MENG ; Qizhen ZHU ; Huanjun ZHAO ; Caina YU ; Xuelian CHEN ; Hui GAO ; Zimin YUAN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(8):194-201
ObjectiveHeadspace solid-phase microextraction-gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(HS-SPME-GC-MS) and GC-triple quadrupole MS(GC-QqQ-MS) in combination with non-targeted and targeted metabolomics were employed to systematically analyze the chemical composition differences of Xihuangwan prepared with natural musk and artificial musk, and establish an identification system for them. MethodsThe volatile components of 9 batches of Xihuangwan samples from 8 manufacturers were analyzed by HS-SPME-GC-MS non-targeted metabolomics, and identified by comparing their MS data with the National Institute of Standards and Technology(NIST) spectral library. Orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis(OPLS-DA) was used to identify differential volatile components of Xihuangwan prepared with natural musk and artificial musk. Additionally, GC-QqQ-MS targeted metabolomics was applied to quantify the levels of α-pinene, β-elemene, muscone, dehydroepiandrosterone, bornyl acetate, and octyl acetate in 27 batches of samples from 9 manufacturers. Cluster analysis, principal component analysis(PCA), and partial least squares-discriminant analysis(PLS-DA) were conducted to further explore the differences in volatile components between Xihuangwan samples prepared with natural musk and artificial musk. ResultsNon-targeted metabolomics identified 291 volatile compounds in Xihuangwan, including alkanes, esters, alkanes, alcohols, ketones, naphthalenes and others. OPLS-DA analysis revealed distinct separation between Xihuangwan samples containing artificial musk(A1, C1, D1, E1, F1, G1, I1) and those containing natural musk(H1, H3). A total of 30 differential metabolites were identified. The relative contents of these 30 differential metabolites were visualized using a radar chart, revealing significant differences in the levels of octanol, borneol acetate and muscone. Cluster analysis and PCA results from targeted metabolomics indicated that Xihuangwan could be classified into two distinct groups:one composed of natural musk(H1, H3) and the other of artificial musk, sample H2. PLS-DA identified muscone, octyl acetate, and dehydroepiandrosterone as key differential volatile components. Although no significant difference was observed in the content of octyl acetate between the two groups, statistically significant differences were found for muscone and dehydroepiandrosterone(P<0.05). ConclusionMuscone and dehydroepiandrosterone can be used for the differentiation of Xihuangwan samples containing natural musk from those containing artificial musk. This study systematically and comprehensively analyzed the differences in the types and contents of major volatile components in Xihuangwan prepared with natural musk and artificial musk, providing a scientific basis for quality evaluation and control of Xihuangwan.
3.Cranial magnetic resonance imaging features and risk factors for seizures in patients with hepatolenticular degeneration and epilepsy
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2026;43(2):110-113
Objective To investigate the cranial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features of patients with hepatolenticular degeneration (also known as Wilson disease,WD) and epilepsy, and to identify the neuroimaging risk factors for seizures in WD patients. Methods A total of 69 WD patients with epilepsy who were hospitalized in Affiliated Hospital of Neurology Institute, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, from January 2018 to November 2025 were enrolled as study group, while 80 WD patients without seizures, matched for sex and age, during the same period of time were randomly selected as control group. Cranial MRI findings were compared between the two groups. Results There were 69 WD patients (43 male patients and 26 female patients) in the study group, with a mean age of (29.46±8.58) years at the time of attending the hospital, and all these patients had abnormal electroencephalogram (EEG) findings. There were no significant differences between the two groups in age of onset,disease duration, WD subtype, and serum copper. Cranial MRI showed that the putamen was the most common site of brain injury (47 patients, 68.1%), followed by the frontal lobe (40 patients,58.0%) and the parietal lobe (31 patients,44.9%), and there was a significantly higher probability of epilepsy in patients with abnormal lesions in the frontal, temporal, or parietal lobes (P<0.05). Conclusion While the putamen is the most common site of brain injury in WD patients with epilepsy, frontal or temporal lobe injuries are neuroimaging risk factors for seizures in such patients.
Epilepsy, Frontal Lobe
;
Putamen
4.Evaluation of CARIFS Score and Negative Antigen Conversion Rate of Qingxuan Daozhi Formula in Treatment of Influenza in Children (Heat Accumulation in Lung and Stomach Syndrome):A Multi-center Randomized Controlled Clinical Study
Jing WANG ; Liqun WU ; Tiegang LIU ; Yongning CAO ; Jing QIU ; Jing LI ; Huaqing TAN ; Ying ZHANG ; Xulei GOU ; Jia WANG ; Jing LI ; Haipeng CHEN ; Xueying QIN ; Yuanshuo TIAN ; Yang WANG ; Chen BAI ; Zhendong WANG ; Qianqian LI ; He YU ; Xueyan MA ; Fei DONG ; Lin JIANG ; Yingqi XU ; Jianping LIU ; Xiaohong GU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(13):188-196
ObjectiveThis paper aims to observe the syndrome improvement and negative antigen conversion rate of Qingxuan Daozhi formula in the treatment of influenza in children (heat accumulation in the lung and stomach syndrome). MethodsThrough a multi-center randomized controlled methodology design,confirmed influenza cases were collected from October 2022 to April 2023 in the pediatrics department of eight hospitals,such as Dongfang Hospital of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine. A total of 180 children with influenza and heat accumulation in the lung and stomach syndrome conforming to the standard were recruited through the clinic. The sick children meeting the inclusion criteria were randomly divided into groups by a block-randomized method. The children in the experimental group were treated with Qingxuan Daozhi formula for five days,and those in the control group were treated with Oseltamivir Phosphate Granules for five days. The primary efficacy indicator was the negative conversion rate of influenza antigen detection. Secondary efficacy indicators were the Canadian acute respiratory illness and flu scale (CARIFS) and the incidence of complications,severe cases, and critical cases. Follow-up observation was conducted on the day of enrollment,48 hours after medication,72 hours after medication, and (6+1) d after medication. ResultsOne hundred and eighty participants were randomly assigned to the experimental group (90 cases) or the control group (90 cases). All participants were followed up during the study. Comparison of influenza antigen detection results in the primary efficacy indicators showed that the average time of negative influenza antigen conversion in the experimental group was (5.29±1.25) d,and that in the control group was (5.40±1.68) d,without a statistically significant difference. After five days of intervention,52 cases in the experimental group and 51 cases in the control group converted to negative,without a statistically significant difference. CARIFS score results in the secondary efficacy indicators showed that during 72 hours after intervention,there were statistically significant differences between the experimental group and the control group in three dimensions, including headache,muscle soreness, and the need for extra care (P<0.05). On the (6+1) days after the intervention,the differences in both the experimental group and the control group were statistically significant in 10 dimensions, including sore throat,bad sleep,uncomfortable feeling,poor spirit and fatigue,crying more than usual,the need for extra care,symptom,function,influence on parents,and total score (P<0.05). The comparison results within the group in the dimensional scores of symptom, function, and influence on parents,as well as the CARIFS total score showed that with the delay of follow-up time,scores of both groups decreased significantly,with a statistically significant difference (P<0.01). Inter-group comparison results showed that the mean score of the experimental group was higher than that of the control group at the time of enrollment. With the progress of intervention,the score of the experimental group was significantly decreased compared with that of the control group. At the end of follow-up,the mean score of the experimental group was lower than that of the control group,with no statistically significant difference. In terms of the incidence of complications,severe cases, and critical cases, there were no complications,severe cases, and critical cases in the two groups,without a statistically significant difference. ConclusionThe symptom improvement effect and negative antigen conversion rate of Qingxuan Daozhi formula in the treatment of influenza in children (heat accumulation in the lung and stomach syndrome) are not inferior to Oseltamivir Phosphate granules, and children's acceptance is better. It can be more widely used in clinical treatment of influenza in children (heat accumulation in the lung and stomach syndrome).
5.Assessment of survival vulnerability of Oncomelania hupensis in Jiangxi Province under climate change
Yu PENG ; Jingbo XUE ; Zongguang LI ; Shizhen LI ; Yinlong LI ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Yifeng LI ; Jing XU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(2):127-136
Objective To assess the survival vulnerability of Oncomelania hupensis in Jiangxi Province under future climate scenarios, and to identify low-vulnerability areas for its survival in this province. Methods Village-level O. hupensis snail survey and O. hupensis snail control with chemical treatments in Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2024 were captured from the Parasitic Disease Prevention and Control Information Management System of China Disease Prevention and Control Information System. Climatic data were primarily sourced from the Resource and Environmental Science Data Platform, Chinese Academy of Sciences (http://www.resdc.cn/), including annual average temperature, annual average precipitation, annual accumulated temperature above 10 °C, annual accumulated temperature above 0 °C, annual maximum temperature, annual minimum temperature, and annual average relative humidity, and nineteen bioclimatic variables were downloaded from the WorldClim website (https://www.worldclim.org/), including mean diurnal range, isothermality, temperature seasonality, and so on. Elevation and normalized difference vegetation index were catprued from the Resource and Environmental Science Data Platform, Chinese Academy of Sciences (http://www.resdc.cn/), and distance to rivers was downloaded from the WorldPop website (http://www.worldpop.org), and land use and land cover (LULC) data were downloaded from the Big Earth Data Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences (https://data.casearth.cn/), and nature reserve data were obtained from the China Nature Reserve Specimen Resource Sharing Platform (http://www.papc.cn/). Three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from the Beijing Climate Center-Climate System Model version 2-Medium Resolution (BCC-CSM2-MR) global climate model were employed as future climate scenarios, including SSP126, SSP245, SSP585, and the biomod2 ensemble model in R package was used to simulate suitable habitats for O. hupensis snails in Jiangxi Province in 2050 and 2070 under these scenarios. A snail survival vulnerability index was constructed based on the area of suitable snail habitats, area covered by snail control through chemical treatment, area covered by nature reserves, and changes in snail habitat fragmentation, and a map of snail survival vulnerability distribution was plotted. Results The real area of snail habitats ranged from 78 486.76 to 85 309.47 hm2, and the area of snail control with chemical treatment ranged from 10 138.98 to 13 240.16 hm2 in Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2024. There were 429 to 531 villages detected with snails during the nine-year period, and the number of actually snail-infested villages ranged from 645 to 686. A total of 818 snail-present points and 1 996 snail-absent points were obtained from snail survey records. The best performance of the biomod2 ensemble model was achieved if a weighted mean approach was used as the ensemble strategy, with a true skill statistic value of 0.799 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.957, and modeling identified annual average relative humidity and annual average precipitation as two most influencing climatic variables for snail distribution. Relative to the current areas of suitable snail habitats under present climate conditions, the area of suitable snail habitats was projected to expand by 24.49% to 46.28% in Jiangxi Province under future climate scenarios, and the proportion of nature reserves areas in the areas of suitable snail habitats was projected to decrease slightly from the current 2.77% to approximately 2.52%, while the proportion of areas of snail control through chemical treatment in areas of suitable snail habitats varied from 0.64% to 19.57%, and the percentage of changes in snail habitat fragmentation ranged from 3.86% to 12.23%. Based on these four indicators, the snail survival vulnerability index was estimated to range from –1.96 to 0.62 in Jiangxi Province. The arithmetic mean of the snail survival vulnerability index differed under three SSP scenarios (SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585), with the highest mean value (–0.69) in 2070 under SSP126, and the lowest mean value (–0.78) in 2070 under SSP585. Conclusions The snail survival vulnerability index ranges from –1.96 to 0.62 in Jiangxi Province under future climate scenarios, and the suitable habitats for O. hupensis snails appear an overall tendency towards expansion. Low-vulnerability snail habitats are mainly distributed along the shores of Poyang Lake and the Yangtze River in Jiangxi Province, partially overlapping with nature reserves. Intensified surveillance of O. hupensis snails is recommended in these areas in the future.
6.A real-world analysis of cardiovascular adverse events in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma
Chenqi YU ; Fanjie ZHOU ; Jing LI ; Yang YANG ; Panpan LI ; Jiadai XU ; Peng LIU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(4):569-581
Objective To evaluate the characteristics, related therapeutic regimens, risk factors of cardiovascular adverse events (CVAEs) and prognosis in the current therapy of newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients in China. Methods A retrospective observational study was performed on patients with NDMM treated at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, from January 2013 to October 2021. The propensity score matching at a ratio of 1∶1 was employed to balance baseline confounders between the therapeutic group and the control group, and CVAEs incidences were compared between the corresponding groups. Independent risk factors for CVAEs were identified through Fine-Gray competing risk regression model. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and log-rank tests were used to assess overall survival and progression-free survival of patients. Results A total of 829 patients with NDMM were analyzed, with a median of 33.1 months of follow-up for survivors. CVAEs occurred in 65 patients (7.8%) during first-line treatment, and a total of 74 events were recorded, with 52.7% grade 3 or greater in severity. Arrhythmia (particularly atrial fibrillation), thrombotic event (TE), and heart failure were the most common types. The median time from treatment to the first occurrence of CVAEs was 26 days, while the medium occurrence time of TE was later than the other events (76 d vs 19 d, P=0.003). The exposure to immunomodulatory drugs was related to a higher incidence of TEs, whereas other therapeutic regimens, including bortezomib, didn’t show the effect of cardiovascular toxicity. Results of multivariate analysis showed that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status >2, symptomatic heart diseases within three months before treatment, and estimated glomerular filtration rate≤50 mL·min−1·(1.73 m2)−1 were independent risk factors for CVAEs. Compared with patients without CVAE, patients who experienced CVAEs had significantly inferior progression-free survival and overall survival, and higher cardiovascular mortality (P<0.001). Conclusions The incidence of CVAE is relatively high during first-line treatment in NDMM patients, and the prognosis of CVAE patients is poor. The risk of CVAE is significantly increased in patients with underlying cardiovascular diseases.
7.Metabolic characteristics and related influencing factors in patients with diabetic retinopathy
Siman LIU ; Xinyi SUN ; Jing GE ; Xu YU ; Junjun MIAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(4):636-642
Objective To explore the metabolic characteristics and related factors in patients with diabetic retinopathy (DR). Methods A retrospective study was conducted on the clinical data of 467 diabetic patients hospitalized at the Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine from January 2020 to September 2024. The patients were divided into the DR group (n=150) and the non-DR group (n=317). Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) were assessed using a transient elastography device, and graded into five levels. Basic data, LSM and CAP grading, and metabolic indicators were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to identify factors influencing DR. Results Patients in the DR group were older than those in the non-DR group (P<0.001). Compared with the non-DR group, fasting blood glucose (FBG), glycated hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C), and triglyceride (TG) levels were higher, while low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) was lower in the DR group (P<0.05). Significant differences in LSM grading were observed between the two groups (P=0.006). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that LSM grading (grade 2: OR=2.127, P=0.002; grade 3: OR=2.344, P=0.030; grade 4: OR=2.960, P=0.038), FBG (OR=1.233, P<0.001), and serum creatinine (OR=1.013, P=0.006) were independent factors associated with DR. Conclusions FBG, serum creatinine, and LSM are related factors of DR. In clinical practice, attention should be paid to the coordinated management of blood glucose control, renal function monitoring, and liver fibrosis assessment, with early interventions to reduce the risk of DR.
8.Screening and epidemic trend analysis of TBHIV co-infection in Shaanxi from 2018 to 2022
China Tropical Medicine 2025;25(2):222-
Objective To retrospectively analyze the screening and prevalence trend of MTB/HIV(tuberculosis/human immunodeficiency virus) co-infection patients in Shaanxi Province from 2018 to 2022, and to provide scientific basis for further improving the prevention and control strategy of MTB/HIV co-infection in Shaanxi province. Methods Through annual reports and National Tuberculosis Information Management System of MTB/HIV co-infection, the screening, treatment and outcomes of MTB/HIV co-infected patients in Shaanxi Province from 2018 to 2022 were collected and analyzed. Results From 2018 to 2022, HIV antibodies were detected in 49 252 patients, with detection rate of 55.41%, and 57 patients of HIV infection were detected. During the same period, among HIV/AIDS patients, the screening rate of tuberculosis symptoms in newly detected HIV/AIDS patients was 95.91%, the detection rate of tuberculosis was 94.25%, and 174 MTB/HIV patients were found. The screening rate of tuberculosis symptoms in previously-recognized HIV/AIDS patients was 96.94%, the detection rate of tuberculosis was 95.45%, and 135 MTB/HIV patients were found. From 2018 to 2022, the overall trends of HIV detected in tuberculosis patients (χ2trend=4 589.301, P<0.05), screening of tuberculosis in newly detected and previous HIV (χ2trend=47.400, P<0.05; χ2trend=60.196, P<0.05), examination of tuberculosis in newly detected and previous HIV(χ2trend=755.856, P<0.05; χ2trend=526.498, P<0.05), were fluctuating and rising year by year. The screening rate, inspection rate and detection rate of newly detected and previous HIV in each year had statistical differences(P<0.05), except for the inspection rate in 2020 and 2022. Among the MTB/HIV patients, 336 (91.80%) were males, 30 (8.20%) were females. The anti tuberculosis treatment rate for all MTB/HIV patients was 89.62%, and the successful treatment rate for tuberculosis was 87.80%. Conclusion The quality of two-way screening and prevention work in Shaanxi Province is gradually improving. MTB patients have a higher detection rate in newly detected HIV/AIDS. Strengthening the screening of MTB in newly detected HIV/AIDS is beneficial to earlier found and treatment of MTB/HIV, improve the success rate of TB treatment and reduce the death rate of MTB/HIV patients.
9.Association of participation in non-sports extracurricular tutoring classes with screening myopia and axial length among primary school students
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(11):1544-1548
Objective:
To analyze the association of participation in non-sports extracurricular tutoring classes with the prevalence of screening myopia, axial length (AL) and axial length to corneal radius ratio (AL/CR) among primary school students, so as to provide evidences for formulating myopia prevention and control policies.
Methods:
In December 2024, combination of convenience and cluster sampling method was used to select 2 273 students from two primary schools in Hefei City, Anhui Province. Ophthalmic examinations and questionnaire surveys were conducted to obtain information on myopia, AL, AL/CR and participation in various types of extracurricular tutoring. A binary Logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between non-sports tutoring and screening myopia, and multiple linear regression models were used to examine the associations between non-sports tutoring and AL and AL/CR.
Results:
Among the surveyed students, the participation rate in non-sports extracurricular tutoring classes was 64.9% , and the overall prevalence of screening myopia was 39.1%. The average AL and AL/CR were (23.60± 1.01 ) mm and (3.00±0.12), respectively. Univariate analysis showed that students who attended non-sports, music, or academic tutoring classes for ≥2 h per week had higher risks of screening myopia and greater AL/CR values than non-participants (screening myopia: OR =1.38, 1.82, 1.55; AL/CR: β =0.01, 0.03, 0.03; all P <0.05). After adjusting for sex, grade, and participation in sports tutoring, multivariate analysis indicated that participation in non-sports and musical instrument tutoring classes for ≥2 h per week remained significantly associated with higher risks of screening myopia ( OR =1.26, 1.49, both P <0.05). Multiple linear regression showed that participation in musical instrument tutoring for ≥2 h per week was positively correlated with AL ( β=0.14, P < 0.05).
Conclusions
Participation in non-sports extracurricular tutoring is common among primary school students. Attending non-sports tutoring classes for ≥2 h per week increases the risk of screening myopia.
10.Association of axial length to corneal radius ratio on myopia progression among primary school students in Jing an District, Shanghai 2019-2023
XU Wenyan, WANG Limeng, YU Yongfu
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(11):1645-1649
Objective:
To investigate the current prevalence of myopia and the progression of the axial length/corneal radius ratio(AL/CR) among primary school students in Jing an District, Shanghai, and to analyze the value of dynamic AL/CR monitoring and elucidate its longitudinal association with myopia progression, so as to provide evidences for supporting myopia prevention and control interventions.
Methods:
From 2019 to 2023, by using a stratified cluster random sampling method, 17 624 students from two primary schools in Jing an District, Shanghai were selected for annual vision screenings in five consecutive years. Additionally, a retrospective cohort of 480 eligible first grade students identified in 2019 was followed up until 2023. The analysis focused on the myopia prevalence and the trend in the AL/CR. Differences in screening myopia rates across different student groups from 2019 to 2023 were compared using the Chi square test. The trends in myopia rates were analyzed using the Chi square trend test. The Kruskal-Wallis H test was employed to compare AL/CR and its annual increment across groups. A linear mixed effects model was used to identify factors influencing AL/CR, and a time dependent Cox regression model was developed to predict the risk of myopia onset.
Results:
From 2019 to 2023, the screening myopia rates were 36.65%, 38.31%, 40.47%, 39.56%, and 39.76% for each respective year. Cohort analyses revealed Grade 5 girls had significantly greater AL/CR increments than boys ( Z =-2.05, P <0.05). Linear mixed models identified baseline AL/CR ( β =1.051, 95% CI =1.012-1.091), grade level ( β =0.040, 95% CI =0.038- 0.042 ), and first year AL/CR increment ( β =0.788, 95% CI =0.733-0.843) as primary determinants (all P <0.01). Boys showed slower AL/CR progression than girls ( β =-0.003, 95% CI =-0.005 to-0.001, P <0.01). The time dependent Cox model demonstrated that both baseline AL/CR ( Z =3.40) and its time varying effect ( Z =10.41) significantly predicted myopia risk(both P <0.01). The effect of AL/CR on myopia risk significantly increased with follow up time, and the growth rate exceeded a linear progression pattern.
Conclusions
AL/CR progression is primarily driven by baseline values and grade advancement, with slower progression in boys. Dynamic AL/CR monitoring outperforms baseline measurements in predicting myopia progression. Students with rapid AL/CR increments require early intervention.


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