ObjectiveTo investigate the independent predictive factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure （ACLF）， to establish a risk predictive model， and to assess its predictive efficacy in comparison with MELD， MELD-Na， MELD 3.0， and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 394 patients with ACLF who were admitted to The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University and Hohhot Second Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024， and general information and laboratory markers on admission were collected from all patients. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of quantitative data between two groups， and the chi-square test or the adjusted chi-square test was used for comparison of qualitative data between two groups. The LASSO regression analysis was used to identify related variables， and the multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a predictive model and generate a nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic （ROC） curve， the area under the ROC curve （AUC）， calibration curve， and clinical decision curve were used to assess the performance of the model. ResultsA total of 394 patients with ACLF were included in this study， with 136 patients in the training set， 58 in the internal validation set， and 200 in the external validation set. The cohort had a mean age of 52.9±11.7 years， among whom male patients accounted for 72.84% （287/394）， the patients with HBV infection accounted for 22.33% （88/394）， the patients with alcohol-related causes accounted for 45.94% （181/394）， and the patients with other causes （including drug-induced and autoimmune diseases） accounted for 31.73% （125/394）. The overall 90-day mortality rate was 27.41% （108/394）. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes （odds ratio ［OR］= 5.831， 95% confidence interval ［CI］： 1.587 — 21.424， P=0.008）， cystatin C （Cys-C） （OR=2.984， 95%CI： 1.501 — 5.933， P=0.002）， and spontaneous peritonitis （SBP） （OR=5.692， 95%CI： 2.150 — 15.071， P<0.001） were independent risk factors， and a nomogram was generated based on these factors. This model had an AUC of 0.836 in the training set， 0.881 in the internal validation set， and 0.878 in the external validation set， showing a good discriminatory ability. The calibration curve showed a good degree of fitting， with a relatively high net clinical benefit. The subgroup analysis based on etiology showed that the model had an AUC of 0.850 in the patients with HBV infection， 0.858 in the patients with alcohol-induced ACLF， and 0.908 in the patients with other etiologies， indicating that the model had a good discriminatory ability across the populations with different etiologies. Compared with traditional scores， the model （AUC=0.836） had a significantly better predictive value than MELD （AUC=0.619， Z=3.197， P=0.001）， MELD-Na （AUC=0.651， Z=2.998， P=0.003）， MELD 3.0 （AUC=0.601， Z=3.682， P<0.001）， and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ （AUC=0.719， Z=2.396， P=0.017） alone. ConclusionDiabetes， SBP， and Cys-C are independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Compared with MELD， MELD-Na， MELD 3.0， and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores， this model has a higher predictive value for 90-day prognosis in patients with ACLF and is suitable for patients with ACLF caused by various etiologies.

Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and disease burden of malignant tumors in Shijiazhuang in 2021. Methods Based on data from the Shijiazhuang City Cancer Registry, incidence and mortality indicators for malignant tumors were calculated, including crude rates, age-standardized rates (using Chinese and world standard populations), and the cumulative rate (0−74 years old), to describe the epidemiological profile. The disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) were calculated to estimate the disease burden of malignant tumors. Results In 2021, a total of 13250 new cancer cases were recorded. The crude incidence rate was 275.50/10⁵, the ASR China was 177.17/10⁵, the ASR world was 172.11/10⁵, and the cumulative rate (0–74 years old) was17.77%. The age-specific incidence of malignant tumors reached its peak in the age group of 80–84 years old. A total of 7165 deaths were noted, and the crude mortality rate was 148.98/10⁵. The ASR China was 85.13/10⁵, the ASR world was 84.52/10⁵, and the cumulative rate (0–74 years old) was 9.49%. The age-specific mortality of malignant tumors reached its peak in the age group of above 85 years old. Lung cancer and breast cancer were the most common malignant tumors in males and females. The DALYs of malignant tumors were 87725.29 person-years, and the DALY rate was 18.24‰. YLL was 85392.09 person-years (97.34%), and YLD was 2333.19 person-years (2.66%). Lung cancer had the heaviest disease burden with DALY of 22687.12 person-years, accounting for 25.86% of all malignant tumors, followed by gastric, liver, colorectal and esophageal cancers. Conclusion Cancers of the lung, liver, female breast, stomach, and colorectum are the major health threats in Shijiazhuang. Malignant tumor brings heavy burden to residents of Shijiazhuang city. To decrease the disease burden of cancer, scholars should pay more attention, and implement preventive measures early.

Zhigancao Tang， derived from the Treatise on Cold Damage，is a classic and renowned formula for treating "intermittent and irregular pulse， and palpitations of the heart". It has an exquisite formulation. By replenishing Qi， nourishing Yin， activating Yang， and restoring the pulse， it achieves the dual supplementation of Yin and Yang， and the simultaneous treatment of Qi and blood. With the practical expansion by practitioners over successive dynasties， the application scope of this formula has been continuously expanding， extending from traditional cardiovascular diseases to diseases of multiple systems， fully reflecting the theoretical characteristics of traditional Chinese medicine （TCM） of "treating different diseases with the same method". Modern research shows that Zhigancao Tang not only has a remarkable curative effect on cardiovascular diseases but is also widely applied to diseases of the respiratory， nervous， digestive， endocrine， oncologic， gynecologic， and otorhinolaryngologic systems， demonstrating its interdisciplinary clinical application value. At the same time， research on the mechanism of action of Zhigancao Tang is also continuously deepening. The mechanisms by which it treats diseases involve multiple aspects， including anti-arrhythmic effects， myocardial protection， anti-fibrosis， antioxidative stress and anti‑inflammatory effects， regulation of glucose and lipid metabolism， enhancing hematopoietic function， and improving hemorheology. These mechanisms work synergistically to jointly regulate the physiological functions of the body and play a role in treating diseases. However， there are still some deficiencies in current research. For example， the sample size of some clinical trials is small， most of the mechanism studies are based on animal models or in vitro experiments， there is insufficient high-quality evidence from clinical trials， the composition of the compound formula is complex， and the pharmacodynamic material basis and the rules of compatibility still need to be deeply analyzed. By consulting relevant literature， this article systematically summarizes the modern clinical application and action mechanism of Zhigancao Tang， aiming to provide new ideas for its subsequent in-depth research and clinical application， promote the integrated development of classic TCM formulas and modern medicine， and further explore its great potential in clinical treatment.

ObjectiveTo explore the dose-effect relationship and safety of high， medium， and low doses of raw Astragali Radix in the modified Huangqi Chifengtang （MHCD） for treating proteinuria in immunoglobulin A （IgA） nephropathy， and to provide scientific evidence for the clinical use of high-dose Astragali Radix in the treatment of proteinuria in IgA nephropathy. MethodsA total of 120 patients with IgA nephropathy， diagnosed with Qi deficiency and blood stasis combined with wind pathogen and heat toxicity， were randomly divided into a control group and three treatment groups. The control group received telmisartan combined with a Chinese medicine placebo， while the treatment groups were given telmisartan combined with MHCD containing different doses of raw Astragali Radix （60， 30， 15 g）. Each group contained 30 patients， and the treatment period was 12 weeks. Changes in 24-hour urinary protein （24 hUTP）， traditional Chinese medicine （TCM） syndrome scores， effective rate， and renal function were observed before and after treatment. Safety was assessed by monitoring liver function and blood routine. ResultsAfter 12 weeks of treatment， 24 hUTP significantly decreased in the high， medium， and low-dose groups， as well as the control group （P<0.05， P<0.01）. The TCM syndrome scores in the high， medium， and low-dose groups also significantly decreased （P<0.01）. Comparisons between groups showed that the 24 hUTP in the high-dose group was significantly lower than in the medium， low-dose， and control groups （P<0.05， P<0.01）， and the 24 hUTP in the medium-dose group was significantly lower than in the control group （P<0.05）. The TCM syndrome scores in the high and medium-dose groups were significantly lower than in the low-dose and control groups （P<0.05， P<0.01）. The total effective rates for proteinuria in the high， medium， low-dose， and control groups were 92.59% （25/27）， 85.19% （23/27）， 60.71% （17/28）， and 57.14% （16/28）， respectively. The effective rates in the high and medium-dose groups were significantly higher than in the low-dose and control groups （χ²=13.185， P<0.05， P<0.01）. The effective rates for TCM syndrome scores in the high， medium， low-dose， and control groups were 88.89% （24/27）， 81.48% （22/27）， 71.43% （20/28）， and 46.43% （13/28）， respectively. The efficacy of TCM syndrome scores in the high and medium-dose groups was significantly higher than in the control group （χ²=14.053， P<0.01）. Compared with pre-treatment values， there was no statistically significant difference in eGFR and serum creatinine in the high and medium-dose groups. However， eGFR significantly decreased in the low-dose and control groups after treatment （P<0.05）， and serum creatinine levels increased significantly in the control group （P<0.05）. No statistically significant differences were observed in urea nitrogen， uric acid， albumin， total cholesterol， triglycerides， liver function， and blood routine before and after treatment in any group. ConclusionThere is a dose-effect relationship in the treatment of IgA nephropathy with high， medium， and low doses of raw Astragali Radix in MHCD. The high-dose group exhibited the best therapeutic effect and good safety profile.

ObjectiveAutism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental condition characterized by difficulties with communication and social interaction, restricted and repetitive behaviors. Previous studies have indicated that individuals with ASD exhibit early and lifelong attention deficits, which are closely related to the core symptoms of ASD. Basic visual attention processes may provide a critical foundation for their social communication and interaction abilities. Therefore, this study explores the behavior of children with ASD in capturing attention to changes in topological properties. MethodsOur study recruited twenty-seven ASD children diagnosed by professional clinicians according to DSM-5 and twenty-eight typically developing (TD) age-matched controls. In an attention capture task, we recorded the saccadic behaviors of children with ASD and TD in response to topological change (TC) and non-topological change (nTC) stimuli. Saccadic reaction time (SRT), visual search time (VS), and first fixation dwell time (FFDT) were used as indicators of attentional bias. Pearson correlation tests between the clinical assessment scales and attentional bias were conducted. ResultsThis study found that TD children had significantly faster SRT (P<0.05) and VS (P<0.05) for the TC stimuli compared to the nTC stimuli, while the children with ASD did not exhibit significant differences in either measure (P>0.05). Additionally, ASD children demonstrated significantly less attention towards the TC targets (measured by FFDT), in comparison to TD children (P<0.05). Furthermore, ASD children exhibited a significant negative linear correlation between their attentional bias (measured by VS) and their scores on the compulsive subscale (P<0.05). ConclusionThe results suggest that children with ASD have difficulty shifting their attention to objects with topological changes during change detection. This atypical attention may affect the child’s cognitive and behavioral development, thereby impacting their social communication and interaction. In sum, our findings indicate that difficulties in attentional capture by TC may be a key feature of ASD.

After 50 years of clinical development， endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography （ERCP） has become the preferred method for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of cholangio-pancreatic duct diseases； however， the major postoperative complications of ERCP， such as pancreatitis， hemorrhage， and perforation， are still a difficult issue faced by clinicians， and postoperative perforation is associated with an extremely high risk of death. Therefore， it is very important to explore the risk factors for perforation after ERCP， make a definite diagnosis of perforation in a timely manner， and formulate precise prevention and treatment measures. By reviewing a large number of articles， this article summarizes the influencing factors for perforation after ERCP and related diagnosis and treatment measures.

OBJECTIVE To explore the main factors influencing the blood concentration of duloxetine， and provide a scientific basis for the individualized use of duloxetine. METHODS Retrospective analysis was conducted on 434 inpatients with depressive disorders at the First Hospital of Hebei Medical University， who were treated with duloxetine and underwent blood concentration monitoring between January 2022 and April 2024. The study examined the impact of various factors， including gender， age， body mass index （BMI）， gene phenotypes， combined medication， drug type （original/generic）， and genotyping results of gene single nucleotide polymorphism loci， on blood concentration and the concentration-to-dose （C/D） after dose adjustment. RESULTS The blood concentration of duloxetine was 76.65 （45.57， 130.31） ng/mL， and C/D was 0.96 （0.63， 1.60） ng·d/（mL·mg）. The blood concentration of duloxetine was positively correlated with the daily dose of administration （R2＝0.253 7， P＜0.001）. Blood concentration of duloxetine in 38.94% of patients exceeded the recommended range specified in the guidelines. Gender， age， BMI， combined use of CYP2D6 enzyme inhibitors， and CYP2D6 and CYP1A2 phenotypes had significant effects on C/D of duloxetine （P＜0.05）. CONCLUSIONS The patient’s age， gender， BMI， combined medication， and genetic phenotypes are closely related to the blood concentration of duloxetine.

BACKGROUND: Based on the China-VHD database, this study sought to develop and validate a Valvular Heart Disease- specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) for predicting mortality risk in patients with VHD. METHODS & RESULTS: The China-VHD study was a nationwide, multi-centre multi-centre cohort study enrolling 13,917 patients with moderate or severe VHD across 46 medical centres in China between April-June 2018. After excluding cases with missing key variables, 11,459 patients were retained for final analysis. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality, with 941 deaths (10.0%) observed during follow-up. The VHD-ACI was derived after identifying 13 independent mortality predictors: cardiomyopathy, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pulmonary artery hypertension, low body weight, anaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, renal insufficiency, moderate/severe hepatic dysfunction, heart failure, cancer, NYHA functional class and age. The index exhibited good discrimination (AUC, 0.79) and calibration (Brier score, 0.062) in the total cohort, outperforming both EuroSCORE II and ACCI (P < 0.001 for comparison). Internal validation through 100 bootstrap iterations yielded a C statistic of 0.694 (95% CI: 0.665-0.723) for 2-year mortality prediction. VHD-ACI scores, as a continuous variable (VHD-ACI score: adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.263 (1.245-1.282), P < 0.001) or categorized using thresholds determined by the Yoden index (VHD-ACI ≥ 9 vs. < 9, adjusted HR (95% CI): 6.216 (5.378-7.184), P < 0.001), were independently associated with mortality. The prognostic performance remained consistent across all VHD subtypes (aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid valve disease, mixed aortic/mitral valve disease and multiple VHD), and clinical subgroups stratified by therapeutic strategy, LVEF status (preserved vs. reduced), disease severity and etiology. CONCLUSION The VHD-ACI is a simple 13-comorbidity algorithm for the prediction of mortality in VHD patients and providing a simple and rapid tool for risk stratification.

OBJECTIVES: Global epidemiological data indicate that 20% to 30% of intensive care unit (ICU) sepsis patients progress to deep vein thrombosis (DVT) due to coagulopathy, with an associated mortality rate of 25% to 40%. Existing prognostic tools have limitations. This study aims to develop and validate nomogram and machine learning models to predict in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients with DVT and assess their clinical applicability. METHODS: This multicenter retrospective study drew on data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV; n=2 235), the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD; n=1 274), and the Patient Admission Dataset from the ICU of Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University (CSU-XYS-ICU; n=107). MIMIC-IV was split into a training set (n=1 584) and internal validation set (n=651), with the remaining datasets used for external validation. Predictors were selected via least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and a nomogram model was constructed. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm was used to build the machine learning model. Model performance was assessed by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, Brier score, decision curve analysis (DCA), and net reclassification improvement index (NRI). RESULTS: Five key predictors, age [odds ratio (OR)=1.02, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.03, P<0.001], minimum activated partial thromboplastin (APTT; OR=1.09, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.11, P<0.001), maximum APTT (OR=1.01, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.01, P<0.001), maximum lactate (OR=1.56, 95% CI 1.39 to 1.75, P<0.001), and maximum serum creatinine (OR=2.03, 95% CI 1.79 to 2.30, P<0.001), were included in the nomogram. The model showed robust performance in internal validation (C-index=0.845, 95% CI 0.811 to 0.879) and external validation (eICU-CRD: C-index=0.827, 95% CI 0.800 to 0.854; CSU-XYS-ICU: C-index=0.779, 95% CI 0.687 to 0.871). Calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes (Brier score<0.25), and DCA confirmed clinical benefit. The XGBoost model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.982 (95% CI 0.969 to 0.985) in the training set, but performance declined in external validation (eICU-CRD, AUC=0.825, 95% CI 0.817 to 0.861; CSU-XYS-ICU, AUC=0.766, 95% CI 0.700 to 0.873), though it remained above clinical thresholds. Net reclassification improvement was slightly lower for XGBoost compared with the nomogram (NRI=0.58). CONCLUSIONS Both the nomogram and XGBoost models effectively predict in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients with DVT. However, the nomogram offers superior generalizability and clinical usability. Its visual scoring system provides a quantitative tool for identifying high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
Humans ; Sepsis/complications* ; Machine Learning ; Nomograms ; Venous Thrombosis/complications* ; Retrospective Studies ; Hospital Mortality ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Intensive Care Units ; Prognosis ; Bayes Theorem