1.Explainable machine learning model for predicting septic shock in critically sepsis patients based on coagulation indexes: A multicenter cohort study.
Qing-Bo ZENG ; En-Lan PENG ; Ye ZHOU ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):404-411
PURPOSE:
Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm.
RESULTS:
Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis.
CONCLUSION
The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans
;
Shock, Septic/blood*
;
Machine Learning
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
ROC Curve
;
Cohort Studies
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Adult
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Intensive Care Units
;
Algorithms
;
Blood Coagulation
;
Critical Illness
2.Effect of phenytoin and levetiracetam on busulfan blood concentration in children undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.
Shi-Xi XU ; Guang-Ting ZENG ; Jing-Yu WANG ; Shu-Lan LIU ; Jing LIU ; Bo-Yan DENG ; Ji-Ming LUO ; Jie LIN ; An-Fa WANG
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(11):1378-1383
OBJECTIVES:
To study the effect of prophylactic phenytoin (PHT) or levetiracetam (LEV) on busulfan (BU) blood concentration in children undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.
METHODS:
Pediatric patients conditioned with BU plus cyclophosphamide and fludarabine at the First People's Hospital of Chenzhou from September 2023 to February 2025 were retrospectively included. Patients were grouped by prophylactic antiepileptic regimen into PHT (n=24) and LEV (n=26). BU blood concentrations at the end of infusion (0 hour) and at 1, 2, and 4 hours post-infusion were compared between groups.
RESULTS:
At 0 hour post-infusion, BU blood concentrations did not differ significantly between groups (P>0.05). At 1, 2, and 4 hours post-infusion, BU blood concentrations were higher in the LEV group than in the PHT group (P<0.05). The area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to ∞ (AUC0-∞) was greater in the LEV group (P<0.001), and the attainment rate of AUC0-∞ was higher in the LEV group than in the PHT group (73% vs 21%, P<0.001). No significant differences were observed between groups in time to hematopoietic engraftment or in the incidence of BU-related adverse drug reactions (P>0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Compared with PHT, LEV prophylaxis is associated with higher BU blood concentration and a higher AUC0-∞ attainment rate. There is no observed difference in BU efficacy or safety between PHT and LEV.
Humans
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Levetiracetam/therapeutic use*
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Busulfan/pharmacokinetics*
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Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation
;
Male
;
Female
;
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
Phenytoin/pharmacology*
;
Infant
;
Retrospective Studies
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Anticonvulsants/pharmacology*
;
Adolescent
3.A newly proposed heatstroke-induced coagulopathy score in patients with heat illness: A multicenter retrospective study in China
Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Qing-Bo ZENG ; Wei ZHANG ; Qing SONG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2024;27(2):83-90
Purpose::In patients with heatstroke, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is associated with greater risk of in-hospital mortality. However, time-consuming assays or a complex diagnostic system may delay immediate treatment. Therefore, the present study proposes a new heatstroke-induced coagulopathy (HIC) score in patients with heat illness as an early warning indicator for DIC.Methods::This retrospective study enrolled patients with heat illness in 24 Chinese hospitals from March 2021 to May 2022. Patients under 18 years old, with a congenital clotting disorder or liver disease, or using anticoagulants were excluded. Data were collected on demographic characteristics, routine blood tests, conventional coagulation assays and biochemical indexes. The risk factors related to coagulation function in heatstroke were identified by regression analysis, and used to construct a scoring system for HIC. The data of patients who met the diagnostic criteria for HIC and International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis defined-DIC were analyzed. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 26.0.Results::The final analysis included 302 patients with heat illness, of whom 131 (43.4%) suffered from heatstroke, including 7 death (5.3%). Core temperature ( OR = 1.681, 95% CI 1.291 - 2.189, p < 0.001), prothrombin time ( OR = 1.427, 95% CI 1.175 - 1.733, p < 0.001) and D-dimer ( OR = 1.242, 95% CI 1.049 - 1.471, p = 0.012) were independent risk factors for heatstroke, and therefore used to construct an HIC scoring system because of their close relation with abnormal coagulation. A total score ≥ 3 indicated HIC, and HIC scores correlated with the score for International Society of Thrombosis and Hemostasis-DIC ( r = 0.8848, p < 0.001). The incidence of HIC (27.5%) was higher than that of DIC (11.2%) in all of 131 heatstroke patients. Meanwhile, the mortality rate of HIC (19.4%) was lower than that of DIC (46.7%). When HIC developed into DIC, parameters of coagulation dysfunction changed significantly: platelet count decreased, D-dimer level rose, and prothrombin time and activated partial thromboplastin time prolonged ( p < 0.05). Conclusions::The newly proposed HIC score may provide a valuable tool for early detection of HIC and prompt initiation of treatment.
4.Exploration of dry eye treatment plan for high-altitude military personnel
Peng-Cheng ZHANG ; Jing-Yi ZHU ; Han-Jing DAI ; Li-Bin CHEN ; Yu-Meng BAO ; Bo ZENG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2024;49(7):733-738
Objective To explore the efficacy and safety of modified meibomian gland massage combined with ultrasonic atomization and drug therapy for dry eye in high-altitude military personnel.Methods A total of 180 patients(360 eyes)with dry eye who were diagnosed and treated by the medical team of General Hospital of Central Theater Command of Chinese PLA from July to October 2022 in Linzhi,Tibet(average altitude of 3100 meters)were selected as the research subjects.Patients were divided into four block groups based on the course of the disease:<1 month,1-3 months,3-6 months,and≥6 months,and each block group was randomly assigned to control group,traditional group and modified group by random number table method,with 60 cases in each group.Control group received routine treatment(artificial tear drops and atomization fumigation);on the basis of routine treatment,traditional group underwent traditional meibomian gland massage,and modified group underwent modified meibomian gland massage.After 3 months of treatment,the scores of symptoms and signs,total effective rate,duration of treatment and incidence of adverse events were compared among the 3 groups.Results In the intra-group comparison before and after treatment,except for control group's symptom scores difference which was not statistically significant(P>0.05),all other scores decreased significantly(P<0.05).In the inter-group comparison after treatment,the scores of both traditional group and modified group were significantly better than those of control group(P<0.05),but no significant difference was observed in symptom and sign scores between traditional and modified groups(P>0.05).Compared with control group,the total effective rates of traditional group and modified group both significantly increased(P<0.01),but there was no significant difference in total effective rate between traditional and modified groups(P>0.05).The treatment time in modified group was significantly longer than that in control group(P<0.05),but significantly shorter than that in traditional group(P<0.05).The incidence of adverse events was significantly lower in modified group than that in traditional group(P<0.001).Conclusion In high-altitude areas,modified meibomian gland massage combined with ultrasonic atomization and local drug therapy for dry eye is safe and effective,non-invasiveness and easy to perform,and suitable for promoting and application in military field training.
5.A multicenter study of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China
Li-Xiu SHI ; Jin-Xing FENG ; Yan-Fang WEI ; Xin-Ru LU ; Yu-Xi ZHANG ; Lin-Ying YANG ; Sheng-Nan HE ; Pei-Juan CHEN ; Jing HAN ; Cheng CHEN ; Hui-Ying TU ; Zhang-Bin YU ; Jin-Jie HUANG ; Shu-Juan ZENG ; Wan-Ling CHEN ; Ying LIU ; Yan-Ping GUO ; Jiao-Yu MAO ; Xiao-Dong LI ; Qian-Shen ZHANG ; Zhi-Li XIE ; Mei-Ying HUANG ; Kun-Shan YAN ; Er-Ya YING ; Jun CHEN ; Yan-Rong WANG ; Ya-Ping LIU ; Bo SONG ; Hua-Yan LIU ; Xiao-Dong XIAO ; Hong TANG ; Yu-Na WANG ; Yin-Sha CAI ; Qi LONG ; Han-Qiang XU ; Hui-Zhan WANG ; Qian SUN ; Fang HAN ; Rui-Biao ZHANG ; Chuan-Zhong YANG ; Lei DOU ; Hui-Ju SHI ; Rui WANG ; Ping JIANG ; Shenzhen Neonatal Data Network
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(5):450-455
Objective To investigate the incidence rate,clinical characteristics,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China.Methods Led by Shenzhen Children's Hospital,the Shenzhen Neonatal Data Collaboration Network organized 21 institutions to collect 36 cases of neonatal stroke from January 2020 to December 2022.The incidence,clinical characteristics,treatment,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen were analyzed.Results The incidence rate of neonatal stroke in 21 hospitals from 2020 to 2022 was 1/15 137,1/6 060,and 1/7 704,respectively.Ischemic stroke accounted for 75%(27/36);boys accounted for 64%(23/36).Among the 36 neonates,31(86%)had disease onset within 3 days after birth,and 19(53%)had convulsion as the initial presentation.Cerebral MRI showed that 22 neonates(61%)had left cerebral infarction and 13(36%)had basal ganglia infarction.Magnetic resonance angiography was performed for 12 neonates,among whom 9(75%)had involvement of the middle cerebral artery.Electroencephalography was performed for 29 neonates,with sharp waves in 21 neonates(72%)and seizures in 10 neonates(34%).Symptomatic/supportive treatment varied across different hospitals.Neonatal Behavioral Neurological Assessment was performed for 12 neonates(33%,12/36),with a mean score of(32±4)points.The prognosis of 27 neonates was followed up to around 12 months of age,with 44%(12/27)of the neonates having a good prognosis.Conclusions Ischemic stroke is the main type of neonatal stroke,often with convulsions as the initial presentation,involvement of the middle cerebral artery,sharp waves on electroencephalography,and a relatively low neurodevelopment score.Symptomatic/supportive treatment is the main treatment method,and some neonates tend to have a poor prognosis.
6.Progress in the study of chemical composition,pharmacological action and clinical application of Justicia procumbens and predictive analysis of its quality markers
Jing ZENG ; Aolei LIU ; Yongqi XUE ; Hezhen WU ; Yanfang YANG ; Bo LIU ; Zhongzhu AI
China Pharmacist 2024;27(8):1445-1458
The chemical constituents of Justicia procumbens are mainly lignans,flavonoids,alkaloids,etc.It is commonly used in clinical practice as an adjunctive treatment for malaria,fevers,coughs of pulmonary fever,poisonous snake bites and other diseases.Modern pharmacological studies have shown that Justicia procumbens has anti-platelet aggregation,analgesic,anti-tumor and anti-inflammatory effects.In this review,the herbal evidence of Justicia procumbens was summarised in more detail,and the chemical composition,the pharmacological effects and clinical applications of Justicia procumbens were summarised in combination with domestic and international studies,and the quality marker(Q-Marker)of Justicia procumbens was predicted and analyzed on the basis of the Five Principles,network pharmacology,and traditional medicinal properties.The preliminary predictions of 6'-hydroxy justicidin A,6'-hydroxy justicidin B,6'-hydroxy justicidin C,justicidin B,Chinensinaphthol methyl ether,and kaempferol were used as the Q-Markers of Justicia procumbens with a view to provide a reference for the better development and utilisation of Justicia resources.
7.Predictive value of serum indicators combined with echocardiography for heart failure in elderly patients after acute myocardial infarction
Xiaoyan YAN ; Zhuohua ZENG ; Kai LI ; Yang XIE ; Jing WU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2024;26(11):1272-1276
Objective To analyze the predictive value of serum solitary G protein-coupled receptor ligand-12(Apelin-12)combined with echocardiographic parameters,wall motion score(WMS)and left ventricular global longitudinal strain(LV-GLS)for heart failure(HF)in elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction(AMI)after percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).Methods A total of 98 elderly AMI patients undergoing PCI in our hospital from January 2021 to December 2023 were enrolled,and according to the occurrence of HF or not at 3 months after PCI,they were divided into HF group(39 cases)and non-HF group(59 cases).PCI procedure was completed within 12 h after admission,and the blood samples were collected and echocardiography was per-formed at discharge.ROC curve was plotted to evaluate the predictive value of Apelin-12,WMS and LV-GLS for HF in elderly AMI patients.Kappa consistency test was conducted to assess the accuracy of combined the three indicators in predicting HF in the patients.Results The HF group had significantly lower serum Apelin-12 level,and higher WMS and LV-GLS than the non-HF group(P<0.01).ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC value of Apelin-12,WMS and LV-GLS in predicting HF after PCI in elderly AMI patients was 0.931,0.745 and 0.749,respec-tively,and their cut-off values was 1.55 μg/L,20.50 and-12.90%,respectively.Multivariate lo-gistic regression analysis revealed that serum Apelin-12<1.55 μ g/L,WMS>20.50 points,and LV-GLS>-12.90%were independent risk factors for postoperative HF in elderly AMI patients(OR=3.508,95%CI:2.002-6.147);OR=2.818,95%CI:1.479-5.371;OR=2.841,95%CI:1.505-5.363).When the three indicators combined in tandem,that is,when serum Apelin-12<1.55 μg/L,WMS>20.50 and LV-GLS>-12.90%,HF was predicted to be positive,with a speci-ficity increasing to 94.92%and a Kappa value of 0.714(P<0.01).Conclusion Detection of serum Apelin-12,WMS and LV-GLS is beneficial for elderly AMI patients after PCI in predicting the oc-currence of HF,and can open up a new direction for clinical diagnosis and treatment.
8.Expert consensus on ethical requirements for artificial intelligence (AI) processing medical data.
Cong LI ; Xiao-Yan ZHANG ; Yun-Hong WU ; Xiao-Lei YANG ; Hua-Rong YU ; Hong-Bo JIN ; Ying-Bo LI ; Zhao-Hui ZHU ; Rui LIU ; Na LIU ; Yi XIE ; Lin-Li LYU ; Xin-Hong ZHU ; Hong TANG ; Hong-Fang LI ; Hong-Li LI ; Xiang-Jun ZENG ; Zai-Xing CHEN ; Xiao-Fang FAN ; Yan WANG ; Zhi-Juan WU ; Zun-Qiu WU ; Ya-Qun GUAN ; Ming-Ming XUE ; Bin LUO ; Ai-Mei WANG ; Xin-Wang YANG ; Ying YING ; Xiu-Hong YANG ; Xin-Zhong HUANG ; Ming-Fei LANG ; Shi-Min CHEN ; Huan-Huan ZHANG ; Zhong ZHANG ; Wu HUANG ; Guo-Biao XU ; Jia-Qi LIU ; Tao SONG ; Jing XIAO ; Yun-Long XIA ; You-Fei GUAN ; Liang ZHU
Acta Physiologica Sinica 2024;76(6):937-942
As artificial intelligence technology rapidly advances, its deployment within the medical sector presents substantial ethical challenges. Consequently, it becomes crucial to create a standardized, transparent, and secure framework for processing medical data. This includes setting the ethical boundaries for medical artificial intelligence and safeguarding both patient rights and data integrity. This consensus governs every facet of medical data handling through artificial intelligence, encompassing data gathering, processing, storage, transmission, utilization, and sharing. Its purpose is to ensure the management of medical data adheres to ethical standards and legal requirements, while safeguarding patient privacy and data security. Concurrently, the principles of compliance with the law, patient privacy respect, patient interest protection, and safety and reliability are underscored. Key issues such as informed consent, data usage, intellectual property protection, conflict of interest, and benefit sharing are examined in depth. The enactment of this expert consensus is intended to foster the profound integration and sustainable advancement of artificial intelligence within the medical domain, while simultaneously ensuring that artificial intelligence adheres strictly to the relevant ethical norms and legal frameworks during the processing of medical data.
Artificial Intelligence/legislation & jurisprudence*
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Humans
;
Consensus
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Computer Security/standards*
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Confidentiality/ethics*
;
Informed Consent/ethics*
9.Catheter ablation versus medical therapy for atrial fibrillation with prior stroke history: a prospective propensity score-matched cohort study.
Wen-Li DAI ; Zi-Xu ZHAO ; Chao JIANG ; Liu HE ; Ke-Xin YAO ; Yu-Feng WANG ; Ming-Yang GAO ; Yi-Wei LAI ; Jing-Rui ZHANG ; Ming-Xiao LI ; Song ZUO ; Xue-Yuan GUO ; Ri-Bo TANG ; Song-Nan LI ; Chen-Xi JIANG ; Nian LIU ; De-Yong LONG ; Xin DU ; Cai-Hua SANG ; Jian-Zeng DONG ; Chang-Sheng MA
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(10):707-715
BACKGROUND:
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and prior stroke history have a high risk of cardiovascular events despite anticoagulation therapy. It is unclear whether catheter ablation (CA) has further benefits in these patients.
METHODS:
AF patients with a previous history of stroke or systemic embolism (SE) from the prospective Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry study between August 2011 and December 2020 were included in the analysis. Patients were matched in a 1:1 ratio to CA or medical treatment (MT) based on propensity score. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death or ischemic stroke (IS)/SE.
RESULTS:
During a total of 4.1 ± 2.3 years of follow-up, the primary outcome occurred in 111 patients in the CA group (3.3 per 100 person-years) and in 229 patients in the MT group (5.7 per 100 person-years). The CA group had a lower risk of the primary outcome compared to the MT group [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.47-0.74, P < 0.001]. There was a significant decreasing risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.31-0.61, P < 0.001), IS/SE (HR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.54-0.97, P = 0.033), cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.32, 95% CI: 0.19-0.54, P < 0.001) and AF recurrence (HR = 0.33, 95% CI: 0.30-0.37, P < 0.001) in the CA group compared to that in the MT group. Sensitivity analysis generated consistent results when adjusting for time-dependent usage of anticoagulants.
CONCLUSIONS
In AF patients with a prior stroke history, CA was associated with a lower combined risk of all-cause death or IS/SE. Further clinical trials are warranted to confirm the benefits of CA in these patients.
10.Short-term prognostic predictive value of deep-learning assisted quantitative myocardial contrast echocardiography in ST-elevated myocardial infarction after primary percutaneous coronary intervention
Mingqi LI ; Dewen ZENG ; Wenyue YUAN ; Yanxiang ZHOU ; Jinling CHEN ; Sheng CAO ; Hongning SONG ; Bo HU ; Jing CHEN ; Yuanting YANG ; Hao WANG ; Hongwen FEI ; Qing ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2023;32(7):572-582
Objective:To explore the prognostic predictive value of deep neural network (DNN) assisted myocardial contrast echocardiography (MCE) quantitative analysis of ST-elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients after successful percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed in 97 STEMI patients with thrombolysis in myocardial infarction-3 flow in infarct vessel after primary PCI in Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University from June to November 2021. MCE was performed within 48 h after PCI. Patients were followed up to 120 days. The adverse events were defined as cardiac death, hospitalization for congestive heart failure, reinfarction, stroke and recurrent angina. The framework consisted of the U-net and hierarchical convolutional LSTMs. The plateau myocardial contrast intensity (A), micro-bubble rate constant (β), and microvascular blood flow (MBF) for all myocardial segments were obtained by the framework, and then underwent variability analysis. Patients were divided into low MBF group and high MBF group based on MBF values, the baseline characteristics and adverse events were compared between the two groups. Other variables included biomarkers, ventricular wall motion analysis, MCE qualitative analysis, and left ventricular ejection fraction. The relationship between various variables and prognosis was investigated using Cox regression analysis. The ROC curve was plotted to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of the models, and the diagnostic efficacy of the models was compared using the integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI).Results:The time-cost for processing all 3 810 frames from 97 patients was 377 s. 92.89% and 7.11% of the frames were evaluated by an experienced echocardiographer as "good segmentation" and "correction needed". The correlation coefficients of A, β, and MBF ranged from 0.97 to 0.99 for intra-observer and inter-observer variability. During follow-up, 20 patients met the adverse events. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that for each increase of 1 IU/s in MBF of the infarct-related artery territory, the risk of adverse events decreased by 6% ( HR 0.94, 95% CI =0.91-0.98). There was a 4.5-fold increased risk of adverse events in the low MBF group ( HR 5.50, 95% CI=1.55-19.49). After incorporating DNN-assisted MCE quantitative analysis into qualitative analysis, the IDI for prognostic prediction was 15% (AUC 0.86, sensitivity 0.78, specificity 0.73). Conclusions:MBF of the area supplied by infarct-related artery after STEMI-PCI is an independent protective factor for short-term prognosis. The DNN-assisted MCE quantitative analysis is an objective, efficient, and reproducible method to evaluate microvascular perfusion. Assessment of culprit-MBF after PCI in STEMI patients adds independent short-term prognostic information over qualitative analysis.It has the potential to be a valuable tool for risk stratification and clinical follow-up.

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